ЦСКА Москва vs Шинник Ярославль Statistics & Analysis

ЦСКА Москва

Jun 30, 2026 - 14:00

1 1.43

1 1.17

xG Accuracy: 85%

Шинник Ярославль

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Отслеживаемые рынки против результата матча

Каждая строка сравнивает предматчевый уклон модели с результатом матча.

Рынок Прогноз Результат Исход
Тотал больше / меньше 2.5 Тотал меньше 2.5 Тотал меньше 2.5 (2 голы) ✔ Верно
Обе забьют Обе забьют (BTTS) Да Да ✔ Верно
1X2 ЦСКА Москва Ничья ✖ Неверно
Инсайты по точному счету 1-1, 1-0, 2-1, 0-1, 2-0 1-1 ✔ Верно

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Jul 23, 2026 · 19:27 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-1491397

Closing Odds Pending

AI Fair Odds —

CLV Pending

Final Result Draw · ЦСКА Москва 1–1 Шинник Ярославль

Prediction ✖ Missed

Decision Grade C

AI обзор матча

AI краткий обзор матча

Pre-match snapshot for this fixture.

League: Товарищеские матчи клубов
Fixture: ЦСКА Москва vs Шинник Ярославль
Kickoff: 2026-06-30 14:00:00
1X2 (model): Home 45.5% · Draw 28.1% · Away 26.4%
xG (showing): ЦСКА Москва 1.43 — Шинник Ярославль 1.17 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
Value headline: At least one tracked line reaches the headline EV threshold — align with the hero / Primary card if shown.
Structural leans (not bets): Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
BTTS (model): Yes N/A · No N/A
Correct score (top bin): N/A

When book depth is thin or odds are missing, EV may be unavailable even though the model still prefers one side on totals or BTTS — wait for cleaner prices or skip.

If lines move materially, re-run generation or refresh — implied probabilities and any future EV readouts will change first.

Историческая рекомендация

Историческое решение: AI–Market Conflict - No Primary Bet

Исход: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Факторы риска, учтенные до начала матча

Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).