Laman pertaruhan premium 1xBet: pengguna baharu boleh guna kod promo 1x_3342271. Daftar sekarang
Tracked markets vs full-time result
Each row compares the model’s highlighted side (or lean) to what happened at full time.
- Market Prediction Result Outcome
- Lebih / Kurang 2.5 Lebih 2.5 Lebih 2.5 (3 goals) ✔ Correct
- Kedua-dua Pasukan Menjaringkan Gol BTTS Ya Ya ✔ Correct
- 1X2 Botafogo SP Botafogo SP ✔ Correct
- Cerapan skor tepat 2-0, 2-1, 3-0, 3-1, 1-0 2-1 ✔ Correct
Taklimat AI untuk perlawanan ini belum tersedia. Selepas naik taraf pelayan, jalankan semula “Batch generate odds” untuk menjana ringkasan.
View technical JSON
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"btts_yes_prob": 0.588,
"dc_rho": -0.13,
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"fair_odds_away": 8.46,
"fair_odds_away_posterior": null,
"fair_odds_draw": 5.39,
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"fair_odds_home": 1.44,
"fair_odds_home_posterior": null,
"home_predicted_xg": 2.52,
"home_win_prob": 0.6963,
"home_win_prob_posterior": null,
"over_25_prob": 0.681,
"prediction_confidence": "low",
"under_25_prob": 0.319
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"api_prediction": {
"advice": "Double chance : draw or Operario-PR",
"main_pick_display": "Winner : Botafogo SP",
"percent_away": "45%",
"percent_draw": "45%",
"percent_home": "10%",
"winner_name": "Operario-PR"
},
"away_xg": 0.99,
"betting_insight": {
"bet_label": "Botafogo SP",
"confidence": 69.6,
"main_pick_meta": {
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"selection": "home",
"selection_name": "Botafogo SP"
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"bookmaker_name": "Pinnacle",
"odd": 2.34
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],
"risk_color": "#ff9800",
"risk_key": "medium_risk",
"stacked_market": null,
"value_bet": {
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"bookmaker_name": "Pinnacle",
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"away_played": 12,
"away_score_rate": 62.8,
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"home_played": 12,
"home_score_rate": 92.0,
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"pick": "Yes",
"pick_prob": 58.8,
"source": "xG_dc",
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"yes_prob": 58.8
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"home_expected": 2.52,
"scores": [
{
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{
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{
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{
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{
"key": "12",
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{
"key": "X2",
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],
"pick_key": "1X",
"pick_label": "Botafogo SP or Draw",
"pick_prob": 88.2
},
"match_winner": {
"away_pct": 11.8,
"draw_pct": 18.6,
"home_pct": 69.6,
"lean_key": "home",
"lean_label": "Botafogo SP"
},
"over_under": {
"api_hint": null,
"avg_total": 3.51,
"away_avg_scored": 1.2,
"confidence": "high",
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"pick": "Over 2.5",
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"market": "Botafogo SP Win",
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},
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"early_bookmaker": "Pinnacle",
"early_capture": "PRE30",
"has_data": true,
"home_team": "Botafogo SP",
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"max_abs_move_pp": 0.0,
"model_vs_closing": [
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{
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{
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{
"closing_implied_pct": 35.97,
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"kind": "ou_o",
"model_pct": 68.1
},
{
"closing_implied_pct": 64.03,
"gap_pp": -32.13,
"kind": "ou_u",
"model_pct": 31.9
}
],
"movement": [
{
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"implied_closing_pct": 41.09,
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"implied_early_pct": 41.09,
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{
"closing": 2.89,
"early": 2.89,
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"kind": "1x2_d"
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{
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{
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{
"closing": 1.5,
"early": 1.5,
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"kind": "ou_u"
}
],
"movement_negligible": true,
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"top_value_gap": {
"gap_pp": 32.1,
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},
"correct_score_insight": {
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"most_likely": {
"label": "2-0",
"prob": 9.5
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},
"home_xg": 2.52,
"homepage_pick": null,
"market_cards": [
{
"decision": "value_bet",
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"raw_pct": 81.8,
"text": "+25%+"
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"ev_under": -0.5215,
"ev_under_display": {
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"text": "-52.1%"
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"tier": "best",
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},
{
"decision": "value_bet",
"ev_available": true,
"ev_no": -0.2584,
"ev_no_display": {
"capped": false,
"raw_pct": -25.8,
"text": "-25.8%"
},
"ev_yes": 0.2348,
"ev_yes_display": {
"capped": false,
"raw_pct": 23.5,
"text": "+23.5%"
},
"featured": false,
"id": "btts",
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"no_prob": 41.2,
"sort_key": 10211.32,
"tier": "best",
"value_side": "yes",
"yes_prob": 58.8
},
{
"decision": "value_bet",
"ev": 0.1333,
"ev_available": true,
"ev_display": {
"capped": false,
"raw_pct": 13.3,
"text": "+13.3%"
},
"featured": false,
"id": "1x2",
"implied_prob": 0.4109,
"max_ev": 0.1333,
"max_ev_display": {
"capped": false,
"raw_pct": 13.3,
"text": "+13.3%"
},
"model_prob": 0.6957,
"side_label": "Botafogo SP",
"sort_key": 10119.97,
"tier": "best"
},
{
"featured": false,
"id": "correct_score",
"sort_key": 808.5,
"tier": "risk",
"top_label": "2-0",
"top_prob": 9.5
}
],
"market_intelligence": {
"betting_signal": {
"alert_breadth": "12/13",
"alert_breadth_note": "12/13 sportsbooks confirmed",
"alert_move": "\u2193 -5.3%",
"alert_team": "Operario-PR",
"alert_title": "Sharp Money Alert",
"divergence_pp": 28.5,
"has_alert": true,
"hero_edge_pp": 28.54,
"hero_label": "Botafogo SP",
"market_prob_pct": 41.1,
"market_team": "Botafogo SP",
"model_prob_pct": 69.6,
"model_team": "Botafogo SP",
"show": true,
"status_icon": "!",
"status_key": "caution",
"status_label": "Use caution",
"status_line": "Use caution \u2014 signals are mixed",
"steam_score": 50,
"steam_subtitle": "Moderate sharp signal",
"steam_tier": "B",
"title": "Betting Signal"
},
"edge_rows": [
{
"edge_pp": 28.54,
"fair_prob": 69.63,
"label": "Botafogo SP",
"market_prob": 41.09,
"market_type": "1x2",
"outcome": "home"
},
{
"edge_pp": -14.72,
"fair_prob": 18.55,
"label": "Draw",
"market_prob": 33.27,
"market_type": "1x2",
"outcome": "draw"
},
{
"edge_pp": -13.82,
"fair_prob": 11.82,
"label": "Operario-PR",
"market_prob": 25.64,
"market_type": "1x2",
"outcome": "away"
},
{
"edge_pp": 30.99,
"fair_prob": 68.1,
"label": "Over 2.5",
"market_prob": 37.11,
"market_type": "ou25",
"outcome": "over"
},
{
"edge_pp": -30.99,
"fair_prob": 31.9,
"label": "Under 2.5",
"market_prob": 62.89,
"market_type": "ou25",
"outcome": "under"
},
{
"edge_pp": 13.48,
"fair_prob": 58.8,
"label": "BTTS Yes",
"market_prob": 45.32,
"market_type": "btts",
"outcome": "yes"
},
{
"edge_pp": -13.48,
"fair_prob": 41.2,
"label": "BTTS No",
"market_prob": 54.68,
"market_type": "btts",
"outcome": "no"
}
],
"edge_snapshot": {
"edge_label": "extreme_disagreement",
"edge_pp": 28.54,
"fair_prob_pct": 69.63,
"hero_side": "home",
"hero_team_name": "Botafogo SP",
"market_prob_pct": 41.09,
"status": "strong_disagreement",
"steam_team_name": "Operario-PR"
},
"fair_source": "poisson_pipeline",
"fair_vs_market": {
"comparison_available": true,
"comparison_disabled": false,
"degraded_note": "",
"divergence_guard": {
"divergence_level": "extreme",
"edge_status": "strong_disagreement",
"max_gap_pp": 28.54,
"suppress_hero": false,
"suppress_value_language": true
},
"divergence_label": "Extreme model-market divergence",
"divergence_level": "extreme",
"divergence_level_label": "Extreme divergence",
"divergence_note": "The fair estimate differs substantially from current market pricing. Large divergences can occur when rating inputs are incomplete, team-strength estimates are uncertain, or the market incorporates information not present in the model. Interpret with caution.",
"divergence_tier": "extreme",
"edge_label": "Extreme disagreement",
"edge_label_key": "extreme_disagreement",
"fair_confidence": "medium",
"fair_confidence_label": "Medium",
"fair_source_note": "Fair probability from Poisson/xG statistical model. Not bookmaker odds. Not betting advice.",
"forecast_assessment": {
"favourite_class": "Favourite",
"favourite_label": "Botafogo SP",
"forecast_certainty_tier": "high",
"headline": "Clear favourite",
"market_agreement_label": "Weak",
"market_prob_pct": 41.1,
"model_prob_pct": 69.6,
"outcome_separation_tier": "high",
"paragraphs": [],
"reliability_headline": "Use caution",
"reliability_icon": "!",
"reliability_tier": "caution",
"summary": "Model and market lean the same side on Botafogo SP, but pricing gaps warrant caution.",
"tier": "favourite",
"title": "Prediction Assessment",
"validation_label": "Warning"
},
"forecast_certainty": {
"note": "One outcome clearly leads the model 1X2 grid.",
"tier": "high",
"tier_label": "High"
},
"forecast_certainty_label": "High",
"has_market_probs": true,
"hero_edge_pp": 28.54,
"hero_label": "Botafogo SP",
"hero_side": "home",
"market_activity": "Operario-PR odds shortened \u2193 -5.3%.",
"market_agreement": "weak",
"market_agreement_label": "Weak",
"market_interpretation": {},
"market_narrative": {},
"max_gap_pp": 28.54,
"model_validation": {
"score_label_key": "mi_mv_warning",
"status": "warning"
},
"model_validation_label": "Warning",
"outcome_separation": {
"breakdown": [
"Favourite exceeds second outcome by 51.1 pp (at 69.6%)."
],
"lead_gap_pp": 51.1,
"max_prob_pct": 69.6,
"note": "How spread out the model 1X2 probabilities are \u2014 crowded splits mean no single outcome dominates. Not accuracy vs the market.",
"tier": "high",
"tier_label": "High"
},
"outcome_separation_label": "High",
"rows": [
{
"edge_pp": 28.54,
"fair_prob_pct": 69.63,
"is_hero": true,
"label": "Botafogo SP",
"market_prob_pct": 41.09,
"side": "home"
},
{
"edge_pp": -14.72,
"fair_prob_pct": 18.55,
"is_hero": false,
"label": "Draw",
"market_prob_pct": 33.27,
"side": "draw"
},
{
"edge_pp": -13.82,
"fair_prob_pct": 11.82,
"is_hero": false,
"label": "Operario-PR",
"market_prob_pct": 25.64,
"side": "away"
}
],
"status": "strong_disagreement",
"status_label": "Strong Disagreement",
"steam_note": "",
"unavailable_note": ""
},
"interpretation": {
"has_conflict": true,
"paragraphs": [
"The betting market strongly prefers Botafogo SP (41.1%).",
"However, Operario-PR has attracted one of the strongest multi-book steam moves of the day (\u2193 -5.3%, 12/13).",
"This creates a conflict: Model \u2192 Botafogo SP, Market \u2192 Botafogo SP, Recent sharp money \u2192 Operario-PR.",
"Because signals disagree, confidence remains limited."
],
"show": true,
"title": "OddsGPT Interpretation"
},
"lifecycle": {
"closing_implied_pct": 42.74,
"closing_odds": 2.34,
"clv_pending": true,
"clv_pp": 0.0,
"clv_status": "pending",
"context": "match",
"current_stage": "waiting_for_kickoff",
"current_stage_detail": "",
"current_stage_label": "Waiting for kickoff",
"entry_implied_pct": 42.74,
"entry_odds": 2.34,
"model_validation_label": "Warning",
"model_validation_status": "warning",
"stages": [
{
"detail": "",
"id": "forecast_generated",
"label": "Prediction Generated",
"status": "done"
},
{
"detail": "",
"id": "market_detected",
"label": "Market Compared",
"status": "active"
},
{
"detail": "",
"id": "model_validated",
"label": "Validation Passed",
"status": "active"
},
{
"detail": "PRE1",
"id": "closing_recorded",
"label": "Closing Recorded",
"status": "done"
},
{
"detail": "",
"id": "clv_evaluated",
"label": "CLV Evaluated",
"status": "pending"
}
]
},
"market_move_intelligence": {
"books_reacting": 12,
"books_total": 13,
"breadth_display": "12/13",
"clv_label": "+0.00 pp",
"clv_status": "evaluated",
"current_odds": 3.6,
"move_context": "Largest move today",
"move_display": "\u2193 -5.3%",
"move_pct_abs": 5.3,
"move_speed_icon": "\ud83d\udc22",
"move_speed_label": "Slow drift over 63h 53m",
"narrative_paragraphs": [
"Pinnacle led repricing on Operario-PR (5.3%) \u2014 sharp book moved before wider follow-through.",
"A meaningful move led by sharper sportsbooks, with moderate market confirmation."
],
"narrative_title": "Market Narrative",
"odds_path": {
"display": "3.98 \u2192 3.14 \u2192 3.60",
"move_speed_icon": "\ud83d\udc22",
"move_speed_label": "Slow drift over 63h 53m",
"pick_team": "Operario-PR",
"points": [
{
"label_key": "open",
"value": "3.98"
},
{
"label_key": "extreme",
"value": "3.14"
},
{
"label_key": "current",
"value": "3.60"
}
],
"sparkline_polyline": "0.0,0.0 28.0,4.5 56.0,18.0",
"sparkline_trend": "down",
"sparkline_trend_label": "One-way drop"
},
"open_odds": 3.8,
"page_alert_line": "Strong steam move across 12/13 sportsbooks on Operario-PR",
"phase_label": "Sharp repricing",
"phase_tip": "Aggressive adjustment \u2014 often sharp-led or high consensus.",
"pick_team": "Operario-PR",
"ref_book": "Bet365",
"seo_title_alert": "",
"sharp_leader": "Pinnacle",
"show": true,
"signal_badge_class": "confirm",
"signal_icon": "\u26a1",
"signal_key": "sharp_led",
"signal_label": "Sharp-led move",
"steam_score": 50,
"steam_subtitle": "Moderate sharp signal",
"steam_tier": "B",
"title": "Market Move Intelligence"
},
"market_overview": {
"breadth_display": "12/13",
"current_odds": 3.6,
"move_display": "\u2193 -5.3%",
"open_odds": 3.8,
"pick_team": "Operario-PR",
"steam_score": 50,
"steam_team_name": "Operario-PR",
"steam_tier": "B"
},
"premium_teaser": {
"current_divergence_pp": 28.5,
"divergence_label": "Current divergence",
"title": "Premium Market Intelligence",
"unlock_items": [
"Historical similar matches",
"Closing odds analysis",
"CLV tracking",
"Sharp money signals",
"Market efficiency rating",
"Historical model vs market results"
],
"unlock_label": "Unlock"
},
"show": true
},
"match": {
"away_expected_goals": null,
"away_team_id": 1223,
"away_team_logo": "/static/teams/1223.webp",
"away_team_name": "Operario-PR",
"country_code": "BR",
"country_flag": "/static/images/country/br.svg",
"country_name": "Brazil",
"fixture_id": 1520722,
"goals_away": null,
"goals_home": null,
"home_expected_goals": null,
"home_team_country": "Brazil",
"home_team_id": 2618,
"home_team_logo": "/static/teams/2618.webp",
"home_team_name": "Botafogo SP",
"league_country": "Brazil",
"league_id": 72,
"league_logo": "/static/leagues/72.webp",
"league_name": "Serie B",
"league_season": 2026,
"match_date": "2026-06-14 22:00:00",
"score_fulltime_away": null,
"score_fulltime_home": null,
"status_long": "Not Started",
"status_short": "NS",
"venue_city": "Ribeirao Preto",
"venue_name": "Estadio Santa Cruz"
},
"match_decision": {
"confidence": {
"breakdown": [
"pred_conf_md_strong_fav_1x2",
"pred_conf_md_line_above_ev"
],
"breakdown_resolved": [
"Strong favourite in 1X2 model (+1.5)",
"At least one tracked line above +EV threshold (+0.5)"
],
"score": 9.0
},
"markets": {
"1x2": {
"1x2_ev_mode": "market_first_p15",
"away": {
"alpha": 0.2379,
"best_odd": 3.75,
"calibration": {
"active": false,
"hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
},
"edge": -0.0328,
"ev": -0.1616,
"implied_prob": 0.2564,
"model_prob": 0.1184,
"p_final": 0.2236
},
"draw": {
"alpha": 0.3509,
"best_odd": 2.89,
"calibration": {
"active": false,
"hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
},
"edge": -0.0515,
"ev": -0.1874,
"implied_prob": 0.3327,
"model_prob": 0.1859,
"p_final": 0.2812
},
"ev_available": true,
"home": {
"alpha": 0.2578,
"best_odd": 2.34,
"calibration": {
"active": false,
"hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
},
"edge": 0.0734,
"ev": 0.1333,
"implied_prob": 0.4109,
"model_prob": 0.6957,
"p_final": 0.4843
}
},
"btts": {
"best_no_odd": 1.8,
"best_yes_odd": 2.1,
"edge_no": -0.1348,
"edge_yes": 0.1348,
"ev_available": true,
"ev_no": -0.2584,
"ev_yes": 0.2348,
"implied_no": 0.5468,
"implied_yes": 0.4532,
"n_bookmakers": 10,
"reliability": "medium"
},
"ou25": {
"best_over_odd": 2.67,
"best_under_odd": 1.5,
"edge_over": 0.3099,
"edge_under": -0.3099,
"ev_available": true,
"ev_over": 0.8183,
"ev_under": -0.5215,
"implied_over": 0.3711,
"implied_under": 0.6289,
"n_bookmakers": 10,
"reliability": "medium"
}
},
"match_tier": "value_game",
"min_ev": 0.02,
"total_xg": 3.51,
"variance_flag": false
},
"unified_decision": {
"actionable_ev_threshold": 0.02,
"algorithm": {
"enabled_since": "2026-05-26",
"game_typing_module": true,
"version": "2.2.0"
},
"balanced_alternative": null,
"best_tracked_ev": 0.8183,
"confidence": 7.5,
"decision_confidence_v1": {
"breakdown": [
"pred_conf_v1_primary_line",
"pred_conf_v1_primary_ev_above_10",
"pred_conf_v1_multi_ev_lines"
],
"breakdown_resolved": [
"Primary line identified (+1.0)",
"Primary EV above 10% (+1.0)",
"Two or more valid +EV lines at threshold (+0.5)"
],
"score": 7.5
},
"execution": {
"1x2_dominant": true,
"1x2_open_contest": false,
"grade": "A",
"stake_factor": 1.0
},
"favourite_misaligned_1x2": {
"active": false,
"gap": null,
"side": null
},
"game_type": {
"label_zh": "\u5f3a\u4fe1\u53f7\uff08\u4f4e\u65b9\u5dee\uff09",
"scoring_type": "strong_signal",
"signals": {
"btts_yes_prob": 0.588,
"draw_prob": 0.1859,
"max_1x2_prob": 0.6957,
"over_prob": 0.681,
"total_xg": 3.51,
"under_prob": 0.319,
"xg_diff": 1.53
},
"type": "strong_signal",
"typing_weights_enabled": true
},
"hero_display_pick": null,
"longshot_picks": [],
"markets": {
"1x2": {
"decision": "value_bet",
"edge": 0.0734,
"ev": 0.1333,
"implied_prob": 0.4109,
"max_ev_side": "home",
"model_prob": 0.6957,
"side": "home",
"side_label": "Botafogo SP"
},
"btts": {
"decision": "value_bet",
"edge": 0.1348,
"ev": 0.2348,
"implied_prob": 0.4532,
"model_prob": 0.588,
"side": "yes",
"value_side": "yes"
},
"ou_2_5": {
"decision": "value_bet",
"edge": 0.3099,
"ev": 0.8183,
"implied_prob": 0.3711,
"model_prob": 0.681,
"side": "over",
"value_side": "over"
}
},
"match_id": 1520722,
"match_regime": {
"action": "bet",
"actionable": true,
"clear_edge": true,
"code": "clear_edge",
"execution_line_key": null,
"insight_line_key": null,
"max_valid_ev": 0.8183,
"min_ev": 0.02,
"stake_mult": 1.0,
"use_split_strip": false
},
"match_tier": "value_game",
"no_clear_primary": false,
"probabilities": {
"away": 0.1184,
"draw": 0.1859,
"home": 0.6957
},
"reason_codes": [
"high_total_goals"
],
"secondary_pick": {
"decision": "value_bet",
"ev": 0.2348,
"implied_prob": 0.4532,
"market": "btts",
"model_prob": 0.588,
"not_dominant": false,
"risk_band": "strong",
"risk_tier": "secondary",
"side": "yes",
"slot": "secondary"
},
"secondary_picks": [
{
"decision": "value_bet",
"ev": 0.2348,
"implied_prob": 0.4532,
"market": "btts",
"model_prob": 0.588,
"not_dominant": false,
"risk_band": "strong",
"risk_tier": "secondary",
"side": "yes",
"slot": "secondary"
},
{
"decision": "value_bet",
"ev": 0.1333,
"implied_prob": 0.4109,
"market": "1x2",
"model_prob": 0.6957,
"not_dominant": false,
"risk_band": "strong",
"risk_tier": "secondary",
"side": "home",
"side_label": "Botafogo SP",
"slot": "secondary"
}
],
"suppressed_primary": null,
"teams": {
"away": "Operario-PR",
"home": "Botafogo SP"
},
"top_pick": {
"composite_score": 0.557262,
"decision": "value_bet",
"ev": 0.8183,
"implied_prob": 0.3711,
"market": "ou_2_5",
"model_prob": 0.681,
"not_dominant": false,
"primary_strength": "clear",
"risk_band": "strong",
"risk_tier": "primary",
"side": "over",
"slot": "primary",
"speculative_primary": false
},
"valid_markets_count": 3
}
},
"fixture_id": 1520722,
"generated_at_utc": "2026-06-14T21:59:09.789717+00:00",
"lang_id": "en"
}
Bagaimana untuk menggunakan ini
- Fokus pada baris Utama apabila anda mahukan satu idea yang boleh diambil tindakan.
- Jangan parlay banyak picks tepi nipis bersama-sama;tepi tidak menambah dengan pasti.
- Anggap pukulan panjang sebagai permainan pilihan, bersaiz tinggi sahaja.
Terokai Kandungan Ramalan Lain
Dapatkan Ramalan Premium untuk Botafogo SP & Operario-PR!
Buka analisis mendalam, tip pertaruhan eksklusif, dan ramalan perlawanan dengan perkhidmatan langganan premium kami.
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