Ramalan / Bola Sepak / Brazil. Serie B / Goias vs Operario-PR

Goias vs Operario-PR Ramalan, Odds & Tip Pertaruhan AI

Jun 21, 2026 - 21:30
2.53
0.86
73% 18% 10%

Penilaian Prediksi

Berhati-hatilah

Kegemaran
Goias Kegemaran
Kebarangkalian model
72.6%
Kebarangkalian pasaran
46.2%
Perjanjian pasaran
Lemah
Pengesahan
Amaran

Ringkasan:

Model dan pasaran bersandar pada sisi yang sama pada Goias, tetapi jurang harga memerlukan berhati-hati.

Audit Pasaran

Perjanjian pasaran
Lemah
Pengesahan
Amaran
Jurang terbesar
Goias +26.4 pp
Keluasan
10/12
Aktiviti pasaran semasa
Belum ada pergerakan arah yang bermakna.

Anggaran saksama berbeza dengan ketara daripada harga pasaran semasa. Perbezaan besar boleh berlaku apabila input penarafan tidak lengkap, anggaran kekuatan pasukan tidak pasti, atau pasaran menggabungkan maklumat yang tidak terdapat dalam model. Tafsir dengan berhati-hati.

Hasil Adil Pasaran Tepi
Goias 72.64% 46.22% +26.4 pp
Seri 17.71% 29.97% -12.3 pp
Operario-PR 9.65% 23.82% -14.2 pp

Kebarangkalian saksama daripada model statistik Poisson/xG. Bukan penentu taruhan. Bukan nasihat pertaruhan.

Pengesahan Model Diperlukan

Model dan pasaran berbeza secara material (26.4 mata peratusan). Pengesahan tambahan disyorkan sebelum mentafsir perbandingan ini.

  • Perbezaan model-pasaran yang melampau dikesan.
Laman pertaruhan premium 1xBet: pengguna baharu boleh guna kod promo 1x_3342271. Daftar sekarang
Pilihan utama (+EV tertinggi)
Lebih 2.5 — Nilai
EV +25%+ Model 65.8%
Menengah (nilai seimbang): BTTS Ya (EV +13.4%) — 54.0% Model
Menengah (nilai seimbang): Goias (EV +7.3%) — 72.6% Model
EV yang lebih rendah daripada primer, tetapi dengan kebarangkalian model yang lebih tinggi (lebih "stabil" apabila ditunjukkan).
Kedua-dua Pasukan Menjaringkan Gol Nilai terbaik (+EV)
Ya 54.0% · Tidak 46.0%
EV Ya +13.4% · EV No -20.9%
Condong nilai: BTTS Ya
1X2 Nilai terbaik (+EV)
Goias · Kebarangkalian model 72.6%
Konsensus pasaran (3 hala) 46.2%
EV garisan konsensus: +7.3%
Cerapan skor tepat Kecua / hiburan
Paling berkemungkinan
2-0
Kebarangkalian 10.8%
Skor tepat berisiko tinggi — pertaruhan kecil untuk hiburan sahaja.
Keputusan pertaruhan (model lwn. EV pasaran)
Nilai peluang — Sekurang-kurangnya satu pasaran menunjukkan anggaran +EV pada kemungkinan perpuluhan terbaik semasa (ambang: 2.0%).
Kekuatan keputusan: 7.5 / 10
  • Barisan utama dikenal pasti (+1.0)
  • EV utama melebihi 10% (+1.0)
  • Dua atau lebih baris +EV yang sah pada ambang (+0.5)
O/U 2.5: EV Selesai +25%+ · EV Di Bawah -46.3% (8 pasangan buku)
BTTS: EV Ya +13.4% · EV No -20.9%
Should you bet on this match? Only where +EV is shown; always compare with your own limits.

Goias market context before kickoff

⚠️ Pasaran tidak stabil on Goias

Odds move
1.95 → 1.95 (+0.0%)
Market breadth
10/12
Steam score
25 (C)
Current status
Tracked markets may still show +EV at best odds.

Steam detected. Model value still remains on tracked markets — compare EV cards above.

Steam measures market activity. EV measures betting value.

Kitaran Hayat Keputusan

Peringkat semasa: Amaran pengesahan model

  1. Prediksi Dijana
  2. Pasaran Berbanding
  3. Pengesahan Lulus
  4. Penutupan Dirakam
  5. CLV Dinilai
Kemasukan
2.01
Penutup
Belum selesai
CLV
Belum selesai

Taklimat AI untuk perlawanan ini belum tersedia. Selepas naik taraf pelayan, jalankan semula “Batch generate odds” untuk menjana ringkasan.

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          },
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            "edge_pp": -14.17,
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          }
        ],
        "status": "strong_disagreement",
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        "steam_note": "",
        "unavailable_note": ""
      },
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        "paragraphs": [
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          "Model and market lean the same side on Goias, but pricing gaps warrant caution."
        ],
        "show": true,
        "title": "OddsGPT Interpretation"
      },
      "lifecycle": {
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        "closing_odds": null,
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      "market_move_intelligence": {
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      },
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        "breadth_display": "10/12",
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        "pick_team": "Goias",
        "steam_score": 25,
        "steam_team_name": "Goias",
        "steam_tier": "C"
      },
      "premium_teaser": {
        "current_divergence_pp": 26.4,
        "divergence_label": "Current divergence",
        "title": "Premium Market Intelligence",
        "unlock_items": [
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          "CLV tracking",
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        "unlock_label": "Unlock"
      },
      "show": true
    },
    "match": {
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      "away_team_id": 1223,
      "away_team_logo": "/static/teams/1223.webp",
      "away_team_name": "Operario-PR",
      "country_code": "BR",
      "country_flag": "/static/images/country/br.svg",
      "country_name": "Brazil",
      "fixture_id": 1520734,
      "goals_away": null,
      "goals_home": null,
      "home_expected_goals": null,
      "home_team_country": "Brazil",
      "home_team_id": 151,
      "home_team_logo": "/static/teams/151.webp",
      "home_team_name": "Goias",
      "league_country": "Brazil",
      "league_id": 72,
      "league_logo": "/static/leagues/72.webp",
      "league_name": "Serie B",
      "league_season": 2026,
      "match_date": "2026-06-21 21:30:00",
      "score_fulltime_away": null,
      "score_fulltime_home": null,
      "status_long": "Not Started",
      "status_short": "NS",
      "venue_city": "Goiania",
      "venue_name": null
    },
    "match_decision": {
      "confidence": {
        "breakdown": [
          "pred_conf_md_strong_fav_1x2",
          "pred_conf_md_line_above_ev"
        ],
        "breakdown_resolved": [
          "Strong favourite in 1X2 model (+1.5)",
          "At least one tracked line above +EV threshold (+0.5)"
        ],
        "score": 9.0
      },
      "markets": {
        "1x2": {
          "1x2_ev_mode": "market_first_p15",
          "away": {
            "alpha": 0.2363,
            "best_odd": 3.9,
            "calibration": {
              "active": false,
              "hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
            },
            "edge": -0.0334,
            "ev": -0.2015,
            "implied_prob": 0.2382,
            "model_prob": 0.0967,
            "p_final": 0.2048
          },
          "draw": {
            "alpha": 0.2449,
            "best_odd": 3.1,
            "calibration": {
              "active": false,
              "hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
            },
            "edge": -0.03,
            "ev": -0.164,
            "implied_prob": 0.2997,
            "model_prob": 0.1773,
            "p_final": 0.2697
          },
          "ev_available": true,
          "home": {
            "alpha": 0.2719,
            "best_odd": 2.01,
            "calibration": {
              "active": false,
              "hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
            },
            "edge": 0.0717,
            "ev": 0.0731,
            "implied_prob": 0.4622,
            "model_prob": 0.726,
            "p_final": 0.5339
          }
        },
        "btts": {
          "best_no_odd": 1.72,
          "best_yes_odd": 2.1,
          "edge_no": -0.0936,
          "edge_yes": 0.0936,
          "ev_available": true,
          "ev_no": -0.2088,
          "ev_yes": 0.134,
          "implied_no": 0.5536,
          "implied_yes": 0.4464,
          "n_bookmakers": 8,
          "reliability": "medium"
        },
        "ou25": {
          "best_over_odd": 2.54,
          "best_under_odd": 1.57,
          "edge_over": 0.274,
          "edge_under": -0.274,
          "ev_available": true,
          "ev_over": 0.6713,
          "ev_under": -0.4631,
          "implied_over": 0.384,
          "implied_under": 0.616,
          "n_bookmakers": 8,
          "reliability": "medium"
        }
      },
      "match_tier": "value_game",
      "min_ev": 0.02,
      "total_xg": 3.39,
      "variance_flag": false
    },
    "unified_decision": {
      "actionable_ev_threshold": 0.02,
      "algorithm": {
        "enabled_since": "2026-05-26",
        "game_typing_module": true,
        "version": "2.2.0"
      },
      "balanced_alternative": null,
      "best_tracked_ev": 0.6713,
      "confidence": 7.5,
      "decision_confidence_v1": {
        "breakdown": [
          "pred_conf_v1_primary_line",
          "pred_conf_v1_primary_ev_above_10",
          "pred_conf_v1_multi_ev_lines"
        ],
        "breakdown_resolved": [
          "Primary line identified (+1.0)",
          "Primary EV above 10% (+1.0)",
          "Two or more valid +EV lines at threshold (+0.5)"
        ],
        "score": 7.5
      },
      "execution": {
        "1x2_dominant": true,
        "1x2_open_contest": false,
        "grade": "A",
        "stake_factor": 1.0
      },
      "favourite_misaligned_1x2": {
        "active": false,
        "gap": null,
        "side": null
      },
      "game_type": {
        "label_zh": "\u5f3a\u4fe1\u53f7\uff08\u4f4e\u65b9\u5dee\uff09",
        "scoring_type": "strong_signal",
        "signals": {
          "btts_yes_prob": 0.54,
          "draw_prob": 0.1773,
          "max_1x2_prob": 0.726,
          "over_prob": 0.658,
          "total_xg": 3.39,
          "under_prob": 0.342,
          "xg_diff": 1.67
        },
        "type": "strong_signal",
        "typing_weights_enabled": true
      },
      "hero_display_pick": null,
      "longshot_picks": [],
      "markets": {
        "1x2": {
          "decision": "value_bet",
          "edge": 0.0717,
          "ev": 0.0731,
          "implied_prob": 0.4622,
          "max_ev_side": "home",
          "model_prob": 0.726,
          "side": "home",
          "side_label": "Goias"
        },
        "btts": {
          "decision": "value_bet",
          "edge": 0.0936,
          "ev": 0.134,
          "implied_prob": 0.4464,
          "model_prob": 0.54,
          "side": "yes",
          "value_side": "yes"
        },
        "ou_2_5": {
          "decision": "value_bet",
          "edge": 0.274,
          "ev": 0.6713,
          "implied_prob": 0.384,
          "model_prob": 0.658,
          "side": "over",
          "value_side": "over"
        }
      },
      "match_id": 1520734,
      "match_regime": {
        "action": "bet",
        "actionable": true,
        "clear_edge": true,
        "code": "clear_edge",
        "execution_line_key": null,
        "insight_line_key": null,
        "max_valid_ev": 0.6713,
        "min_ev": 0.02,
        "stake_mult": 1.0,
        "use_split_strip": false
      },
      "match_tier": "value_game",
      "no_clear_primary": false,
      "probabilities": {
        "away": 0.0967,
        "draw": 0.1773,
        "home": 0.726
      },
      "reason_codes": [
        "high_total_goals"
      ],
      "secondary_pick": {
        "decision": "value_bet",
        "ev": 0.134,
        "implied_prob": 0.4464,
        "market": "btts",
        "model_prob": 0.54,
        "not_dominant": false,
        "risk_band": "strong",
        "risk_tier": "secondary",
        "side": "yes",
        "slot": "secondary"
      },
      "secondary_picks": [
        {
          "decision": "value_bet",
          "ev": 0.134,
          "implied_prob": 0.4464,
          "market": "btts",
          "model_prob": 0.54,
          "not_dominant": false,
          "risk_band": "strong",
          "risk_tier": "secondary",
          "side": "yes",
          "slot": "secondary"
        },
        {
          "decision": "value_bet",
          "ev": 0.0731,
          "implied_prob": 0.4622,
          "market": "1x2",
          "model_prob": 0.726,
          "not_dominant": false,
          "risk_band": "strong",
          "risk_tier": "secondary",
          "side": "home",
          "side_label": "Goias",
          "slot": "secondary"
        }
      ],
      "suppressed_primary": null,
      "teams": {
        "away": "Operario-PR",
        "home": "Goias"
      },
      "top_pick": {
        "composite_score": 0.441715,
        "decision": "value_bet",
        "ev": 0.6713,
        "implied_prob": 0.384,
        "market": "ou_2_5",
        "model_prob": 0.658,
        "not_dominant": false,
        "primary_strength": "clear",
        "risk_band": "strong",
        "risk_tier": "primary",
        "side": "over",
        "slot": "primary",
        "speculative_primary": false
      },
      "valid_markets_count": 3
    }
  },
  "fixture_id": 1520734,
  "generated_at_utc": "2026-06-17T03:00:16.675638+00:00",
  "lang_id": "en"
}
Bagaimana untuk menggunakan ini
  • Fokus pada baris Utama apabila anda mahukan satu idea yang boleh diambil tindakan.
  • Jangan parlay banyak picks tepi nipis bersama-sama;tepi tidak menambah dengan pasti.
  • Anggap pukulan panjang sebagai permainan pilihan, bersaiz tinggi sahaja.

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