Paradiso vs Cham Statistics & Analysis

Paradiso

May 09, 2026 - 14:30

0 1.45

2 1.25

xG Accuracy: 55%

Cham

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Pasaran yang dijejaki vs hasil sepenuh masa

Setiap baris membandingkan model pra-perlawanan lean dengan keputusan sepenuh masa.

Pasaran Ramalan Hasilnya Hasil
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5 Under 2.5 (2 matlamat) ✖ tak betul
Kedua-dua Pasukan Menjaringkan Gol BTTS Tidak Tidak ✔ Betul
1X2 Paradiso Cham ✖ tak betul
Cerapan skor tepat 1-1, 1-2, 2-1, 2-2, 0-1 0-2 ✖ tak betul

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Jul 24, 2026 · 04:11 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-1549070

Closing Odds 1.96

AI Fair Odds —

CLV +0.0%

Final Result Cham win · Paradiso 0–2 Cham

Prediction ✖ Missed

Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Intelijen pasaran

Bacaan selepas pilihan utama: bagaimana suapan penutup berprioriti bergerak berbanding model.

Ringkasan pasaran

Pasaran kekal stabil menjelang sepakan. Tiada anjakan implied ketara antara PRE30 dan PRE1 pada snapshot berprioriti.

Walaupun pergerakan lewat kecil, model masih menilai Lukis (1X2),Cham (1X2),Bawah 2.5 gol jauh melebihi implied snapshot penutupan — bacaan statik "model vs harga", bukan kejaran steam.

Model masih melebihi implied penutupan pada Bawah 2.5 gol kira-kira 6.3 mata peratus — isyarat salah harga paling jelas pada halaman ini.

Model vs implied penutup

Pasaran	Model %	Implied penutup %	Jurang (pp)
Paradiso (1X2)	41.8	46.7	-4.9
Lukis (1X2)	25.7	23.8	+1.9
Cham (1X2)	32.6	29.5	+3.1
Lebih 2.5 gol	50.6	56.9	-6.3
Bawah 2.5 gol	49.4	43.1	+6.3

Apa maksudnya

Secara ringkas: model kira-kira 49.4% pada Bawah 2.5 gol, manakala snapshot penutup menunjukkan kira-kira 43.1%. Bezanya — kira-kira 6.3 mata peratus — ialah jurang model-vs-pasaran terbesar yang ditonjolkan di halaman ini.

Ringkas: "implied penutup" ialah kebarangkalian terbit daripada odds akhir yang ditangkap (selepas de-vig ringkas). "Jurang (pp)" = peratus model tolak implied tersebut, dalam mata peratus (pp).

Pergerakan garisan menjelang sepakan mula

Satu buku prioriti setiap snapshot (bukan semua). Laluan tangkapan: PRE30 → PRE1 · Buku: Pinnacle

Dalam kurungan pada lajur: Penutup = snapshot pertama tersedia ikut PRE1→PRE5→PRE10→PRE30; Awal = pertama dalam PRE30→PRE10→PRE5 yang berbeza daripada Penutup.

Odds terperinci dilipat di bawah — pergerakan implied (de-vig) boleh diabaikan.

Lihat jadual penuh baris demi baris

Pasaran	Awal (PRE30)	Penutup (PRE1)
Paradiso (1X2)	1.96	1.96
Lukis (1X2)	3.84	3.84
Cham (1X2)	3.1	3.1
Lebih 2.5 gol	1.65	1.65
Bawah 2.5 gol	2.18	2.18

Taklimat AI untuk perlawanan ini belum tersedia. Selepas naik taraf pelayan, jalankan semula “Batch generate odds” untuk menjana ringkasan.

View technical JSON

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      "draw_prob": null,
      "fair_odds_away": null,
      "fair_odds_draw": null,
      "fair_odds_home": null,
      "home_predicted_xg": 1.45,
      "home_win_prob": null,
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        "under_prob": 31.2
      },
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    },
    "correct_score_insight": {
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      "most_likely": {
        "label": "1-1",
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    },
    "home_xg": 1.45,
    "homepage_pick": null,
    "market_cards": [
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        "ev_available": true,
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      "away_team_id": 6621,
      "away_team_logo": "/static/teams/6621.webp",
      "away_team_name": "Cham",
      "country_flag": "/static/images/country/ch.svg",
      "country_name": "Switzerland",
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      "home_expected_goals": null,
      "home_team_id": 12717,
      "home_team_logo": "/static/teams/12717.webp",
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      "league_country": "Switzerland",
      "league_id": 510,
      "league_logo": "/static/leagues/510.webp",
      "league_name": "1. Liga Promosi",
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          "edge_yes": 0.0019,
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        },
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          "value_side": "no"
        },
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          "side": "over",
          "value_side": "over"
        }
      },
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      "match_regime": {
        "action": "bet",
        "actionable": true,
        "clear_edge": true,
        "code": "clear_edge",
        "execution_line_key": null,
        "insight_line_key": null,
        "max_valid_ev": 0.1352,
        "min_ev": 0.02,
        "stake_mult": 1.0,
        "use_split_strip": false
      },
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      "no_clear_primary": false,
      "probabilities": {
        "away": 0.3257,
        "draw": 0.2567,
        "home": 0.4177
      },
      "reason_codes": [
        "no_ev_1x2",
        "high_total_goals"
      ],
      "secondary_pick": null,
      "secondary_picks": [],
      "suppressed_primary": null,
      "teams": {
        "away": "Cham",
        "home": "Paradiso"
      },
      "top_pick": {
        "composite_score": 0.093018,
        "decision": "value_bet",
        "ev": 0.1352,
        "implied_prob": 0.5664,
        "market": "ou_2_5",
        "model_prob": 0.688,
        "not_dominant": false,
        "primary_strength": "clear",
        "risk_band": "strong",
        "risk_tier": "primary",
        "side": "over",
        "slot": "primary",
        "speculative_primary": false
      },
      "valid_markets_count": 1
    }
  },
  "fixture_id": 1418721,
  "generated_at_utc": "2026-05-09T13:00:25.948466+00:00",
  "lang_id": "en"
}

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1. Liga Promosi — Kedudukan

#	PASUKAN	P	M	S	K	Mata
1	SC Kriens	34	25	4	5	79
2	Brühl	34	22	6	6	72
3	Biel-Bienne	34	19	7	8	64
4	Basel II	34	17	8	9	59
5	Bavois	34	17	4	13	55
6	Young Boys II	34	15	9	10	54
7	FC Schaffhausen	34	16	5	13	53
8	Bulle	34	15	6	13	51
9	Cham	34	14	8	12	50
10	Grand-Saconnex	34	11	10	13	43
11	Zürich II	34	11	8	15	41
12	Breitenrain	34	11	8	15	41
13	Luzern II	34	10	10	14	40
14	Kreuzlingen	34	8	13	13	37
15	Lugano II	34	8	12	14	36
16	Paradiso	34	8	11	15	35
17	Lausanne Sport II	34	9	4	21	31
18	Vevey Sports	34	1	5	28	2

#	PASUKAN	P	J	B	+/-	Mata
1	SC Kriens	34	100	43	+57	79
2	Brühl	34	89	46	+43	72
3	Luzern II	34	80	83	-3	40
4	Biel-Bienne	34	78	46	+32	64
5	Grand-Saconnex	34	71	69	+2	43
6	Bulle	34	70	64	+6	51
7	Young Boys II	34	66	52	+14	54
8	Basel II	34	65	48	+17	59
9	Bavois	34	64	53	+11	55
10	Cham	34	62	61	+1	50
11	Lausanne Sport II	34	60	84	-24	31
12	Zürich II	34	59	62	-3	41
13	FC Schaffhausen	34	51	46	+5	53
14	Paradiso	34	51	65	-14	35
15	Breitenrain	34	47	51	-4	41
16	Lugano II	34	45	75	-30	36
17	Kreuzlingen	34	43	66	-23	37
18	Vevey Sports	34	28	115	-87	2