Ramalan / Bola Sepak / Australia. Npl Nsw U20 / Sutherland Sharks U20 vs Blacktown City U20

Sutherland Sharks U20 vs Blacktown City U20 Ramalan, Odds & Tip Pertaruhan AI

Jun 13, 2026 - 09:45
1.32
1.28
36% 30% 34%

Penilaian Ramalan

Ramalan yang boleh dipercayai

Kegemaran
Sutherland Sharks U20 Perlawanan seimbang
Kebarangkalian model
36.1%
Kebarangkalian pasaran
42.0%
Perjanjian pasaran
Sederhana
Pengesahan
lulus

Ringkasan:

Kedua-dua {pasukan} kurus, tetapi harga pasaran mereka lebih tinggi (42.0% vs model 36.1%). Kelebihan kekal sederhana dan perlawanan kekal terbuka.

Audit Pasaran

Perjanjian pasaran
Sederhana
Pengesahan
lulus
Jurang terbesar
Seri +6.0 pp
Keluasan
6/6
Aktiviti pasaran semasa
Belum ada pergerakan arah yang bermakna.

Anggaran saksama dan harga pasaran berbeza secara sederhana. Pantau sebelum sepak mula.

Penilaian Pasaran

Anggaran saksama menunjukkan kelebihan sederhana berbanding harga pasaran semasa pada Seri.

Walau bagaimanapun, Sutherland Sharks U20 telah menyaksikan hanyut — kemungkinan dipanjangkan dengan 0.0%, mencadangkan sokongan yang lemah.

Aktiviti pasaran kini tertumpu pada Sutherland Sharks U20.

  • Pantau pergerakan barisan sebelum sepak mula — bukan cadangan pertaruhan.
Hasil Adil Pasaran Tepi
Sutherland Sharks U20 36.11% 41.96% -5.8 pp
Seri 29.65% 23.61% +6.0 pp
Blacktown City U20 34.24% 34.43% -0.2 pp

Kebarangkalian saksama daripada model statistik Poisson/xG. Bukan penentu taruhan. Bukan nasihat pertaruhan.

Keputusan pertaruhan akhir

Kecekapan harga pasaran berbeza secara berbeza — 1X2 boleh menjadi hantaran sementara pasaran matlamat masih menunjukkan kelebihan.

  • Tiada nilai pada 1X2 (Sutherland Sharks U20 lwn. odds semasa)
  • Nilai yang mungkin: Kurang 2.5 (+25%+ EV pada kemungkinan terbaik)
  • Nilai yang mungkin: BTTS Tidak (+25%+ EV pada kemungkinan terbaik)
  • Significant line move — see market context below.
Sabitan sederhana (6.5/10) — satu baris terpilih, bukan parlay berbilang pasaran.
Laman pertaruhan premium 1xBet: pengguna baharu boleh guna kod promo 1x_3342271. Daftar sekarang
Pilihan utama (+EV tertinggi)
Kurang 2.5 — Nilai
EV +25%+ Model 51.8%
Menengah (nilai seimbang): BTTS Tidak (EV +25%+) — 45.5% Model
EV yang lebih rendah daripada primer, tetapi dengan kebarangkalian model yang lebih tinggi (lebih "stabil" apabila ditunjukkan).
Kedua-dua Pasukan Menjaringkan Gol Nilai terbaik (+EV)
Ya 54.5% · Tidak 45.5%
EV Ya -27.5% · EV No +25%+
Condong nilai: BTTS Tidak
1X2 Nilai lemah
Sutherland Sharks U20 · Kebarangkalian model 36.1%
Konsensus pasaran (3 hala) 42.0%
EV garisan konsensus: -15.0%
Garis pembuat taruhan terbaik yang tersedia: -3.5% EV
Sesetengah odds outlier pembuat taruhan mungkin masih menunjukkan nilai teori kecil berbanding garisan konsensus di atas.
Cerapan skor tepat Kecua / hiburan
Paling berkemungkinan
1-1
Kebarangkalian 12.5%
Skor tepat berisiko tinggi — pertaruhan kecil untuk hiburan sahaja.
Keputusan pertaruhan (model lwn. EV pasaran)
Nilai peluang — Sekurang-kurangnya satu pasaran menunjukkan anggaran +EV pada kemungkinan perpuluhan terbaik semasa (ambang: 2.0%).
Kekuatan keputusan: 6.5 / 10
  • Barisan utama dikenal pasti (+1.0)
  • EV utama melebihi 10% (+1.0)
  • Kebarangkalian maksimum 1X2 di bawah 50% (tiada 1X2 dominan) (−1.0)
  • Dua atau lebih baris +EV yang sah pada ambang (+0.5)
O/U 2.5: EV Selesai -36.4% · EV Di Bawah +25%+ (5 pasangan buku)
BTTS: EV Ya -27.5% · EV No +25%+
Should you bet on this match? Only where +EV is shown; always compare with your own limits.

Sutherland Sharks U20 market context before kickoff

— Menjejaki on Sutherland Sharks U20

Odds move
2.10 → 2.10 (+0.0%)
Market breadth
6/6
Steam score
40 (B)
Current status
1X2 repriced at consensus; goals markets may still show +EV.

Steam detected. Model value still remains — 1X2 looks repriced; compare Over/Under and BTTS EV cards above.

Steam measures market activity. EV measures betting value.

Kitaran Hayat Keputusan

Peringkat semasa: Pemantauan pasaran

  1. Ramalan Dijana
  2. Pasaran Berbanding
  3. Pengesahan Lulus
  4. Penutupan Dirakam
  5. CLV Dinilai
Kemasukan
3.82
Penutup
Belum selesai
CLV
Belum selesai

Taklimat AI untuk perlawanan ini belum tersedia. Selepas naik taraf pelayan, jalankan semula “Batch generate odds” untuk menjana ringkasan.

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        "market_prob_pct": 23.61,
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          "suppress_value_language": false
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        "divergence_tier": "moderate",
        "edge_label": "Mild disagreement",
        "edge_label_key": "mild_disagreement",
        "fair_confidence": "medium",
        "fair_confidence_label": "Medium",
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        "forecast_assessment": {
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          "favourite_label": "Sutherland Sharks U20",
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          "headline": "Balanced match",
          "market_agreement_label": "Moderate",
          "market_prob_pct": 42.0,
          "model_prob_pct": 36.1,
          "outcome_separation_tier": "low",
          "paragraphs": [],
          "reliability_headline": "Reliable forecast",
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          "reliability_tier": "reliable",
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          "tier": "balanced",
          "title": "Forecast Assessment",
          "validation_label": "Pass"
        },
        "forecast_certainty": {
          "note": "Three outcomes remain closely bunched \u2014 treat as a relatively open match.",
          "tier": "low",
          "tier_label": "Low"
        },
        "forecast_certainty_label": "Low",
        "has_market_probs": true,
        "hero_edge_pp": 6.04,
        "hero_label": "Draw",
        "hero_side": "draw",
        "market_activity": "No meaningful directional movement yet.",
        "market_agreement": "moderate",
        "market_agreement_label": "Moderate",
        "market_interpretation": {
          "bullets": [
            "Monitor line movement before kickoff \u2014 not a betting recommendation."
          ],
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          "lead": "The fair estimate shows a modest edge over current market pricing on Draw.",
          "note": "Market activity is currently concentrated on Sutherland Sharks U20.",
          "paragraphs": [
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            "Market activity is currently concentrated on Sutherland Sharks U20."
          ],
          "quiet_market": false,
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        },
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            "At the same time, Sutherland Sharks U20 has drifted \u2014 odds lengthened by 0.0%, suggesting weakening support.",
            "Broad sportsbook alignment (6/6) supports the current market view on Sutherland Sharks U20."
          ],
          "title": "Current Market Narrative"
        },
        "max_gap_pp": 6.04,
        "model_validation": {
          "score_label_key": "mi_mv_pass",
          "status": "pass"
        },
        "model_validation_label": "Pass",
        "outcome_separation": {
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            "Top two 1X2 outcomes within 1.9 percentage points."
          ],
          "lead_gap_pp": 1.9,
          "max_prob_pct": 36.1,
          "note": "How spread out the model 1X2 probabilities are \u2014 crowded splits mean no single outcome dominates. Not accuracy vs the market.",
          "tier": "low",
          "tier_label": "Low"
        },
        "outcome_separation_label": "Low",
        "rows": [
          {
            "edge_pp": -5.85,
            "fair_prob_pct": 36.11,
            "is_hero": false,
            "label": "Sutherland Sharks U20",
            "market_prob_pct": 41.96,
            "side": "home"
          },
          {
            "edge_pp": 6.04,
            "fair_prob_pct": 29.65,
            "is_hero": true,
            "label": "Draw",
            "market_prob_pct": 23.61,
            "side": "draw"
          },
          {
            "edge_pp": -0.19,
            "fair_prob_pct": 34.24,
            "is_hero": false,
            "label": "Blacktown City U20",
            "market_prob_pct": 34.43,
            "side": "away"
          }
        ],
        "status": "strong_disagreement",
        "status_label": "Strong Disagreement",
        "steam_note": "Market activity is currently concentrated on Sutherland Sharks U20.",
        "unavailable_note": ""
      },
      "interpretation": {
        "has_conflict": false,
        "paragraphs": [
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          "Both lean Sutherland Sharks U20, but the market prices them higher (42.0% vs model 36.1%). The edge remains modest and the match stays relatively open."
        ],
        "show": true,
        "title": "OddsGPT Interpretation"
      },
      "lifecycle": {
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        "clv_pending": true,
        "clv_pp": null,
        "clv_status": "pending",
        "context": "match",
        "current_stage": "market_monitoring",
        "current_stage_detail": "",
        "current_stage_label": "Market monitoring",
        "entry_implied_pct": 26.18,
        "entry_odds": 3.82,
        "model_validation_label": "Pass",
        "model_validation_status": "pass",
        "stages": [
          {
            "detail": "",
            "id": "forecast_generated",
            "label": "Forecast Generated",
            "status": "done"
          },
          {
            "detail": "",
            "id": "market_detected",
            "label": "Market Compared",
            "status": "active"
          },
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            "detail": "",
            "id": "model_validated",
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            "status": "done"
          },
          {
            "detail": "",
            "id": "closing_recorded",
            "label": "Closing Recorded",
            "status": "pending"
          },
          {
            "detail": "",
            "id": "clv_evaluated",
            "label": "CLV Evaluated",
            "status": "pending"
          }
        ]
      },
      "market_move_intelligence": {
        "show": false
      },
      "market_overview": {
        "breadth_display": "6/6",
        "current_odds": 2.1,
        "move_display": "+0.0%",
        "open_odds": 2.1,
        "pick_team": "Sutherland Sharks U20",
        "steam_score": 40,
        "steam_team_name": "Sutherland Sharks U20",
        "steam_tier": "B"
      },
      "premium_teaser": {
        "current_divergence_pp": 6.0,
        "divergence_label": "Current divergence",
        "title": "Premium Market Intelligence",
        "unlock_items": [
          "Historical similar matches",
          "Closing odds analysis",
          "CLV tracking",
          "Sharp money signals",
          "Market efficiency rating",
          "Historical model vs market results"
        ],
        "unlock_label": "Unlock"
      },
      "show": true
    },
    "match": {
      "away_expected_goals": null,
      "away_team_id": 27802,
      "away_team_logo": null,
      "away_team_name": "Blacktown City U20",
      "country_code": "AU",
      "country_flag": "/static/images/country/au.svg",
      "country_name": "Australia",
      "fixture_id": 1549298,
      "goals_away": null,
      "goals_home": null,
      "home_expected_goals": null,
      "home_team_country": null,
      "home_team_id": 27810,
      "home_team_logo": null,
      "home_team_name": "Sutherland Sharks U20",
      "league_country": "Australia",
      "league_id": 1230,
      "league_logo": "/static/leagues/1230.webp",
      "league_name": "Npl Nsw U20",
      "league_season": 2026,
      "match_date": "2026-06-13 09:45:00",
      "score_fulltime_away": null,
      "score_fulltime_home": null,
      "status_long": "Not Started",
      "status_short": "NS",
      "venue_city": null,
      "venue_name": null
    },
    "match_decision": {
      "confidence": {
        "breakdown": [
          "pred_conf_md_max_1x2_under_50",
          "pred_conf_md_top_two_close",
          "pred_conf_md_line_above_ev"
        ],
        "breakdown_resolved": [
          "Max 1X2 prob under 50% (open contest) (\u22121.0)",
          "Top two outcomes relatively close in probability (\u22120.5)",
          "At least one tracked line above +EV threshold (+0.5)"
        ],
        "score": 6.0
      },
      "markets": {
        "1x2": {
          "1x2_ev_mode": "market_first_p15",
          "away": {
            "alpha": 0.4487,
            "best_odd": 2.62,
            "calibration": {
              "active": false,
              "hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
            },
            "edge": -0.0009,
            "ev": -0.1002,
            "implied_prob": 0.3443,
            "model_prob": 0.3424,
            "p_final": 0.3434
          },
          "draw": {
            "alpha": 0.2728,
            "best_odd": 3.82,
            "calibration": {
              "active": false,
              "hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
            },
            "edge": 0.0165,
            "ev": -0.0349,
            "implied_prob": 0.2361,
            "model_prob": 0.2967,
            "p_final": 0.2527
          },
          "ev_available": true,
          "home": {
            "alpha": 0.4104,
            "best_odd": 2.15,
            "calibration": {
              "active": false,
              "hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
            },
            "edge": -0.0241,
            "ev": -0.1497,
            "implied_prob": 0.4196,
            "model_prob": 0.3609,
            "p_final": 0.3955
          }
        },
        "btts": {
          "best_no_odd": 3.21,
          "best_yes_odd": 1.33,
          "edge_no": 0.1619,
          "edge_yes": -0.1619,
          "ev_available": true,
          "ev_no": 0.4606,
          "ev_yes": -0.2751,
          "implied_no": 0.2931,
          "implied_yes": 0.7069,
          "n_bookmakers": 3,
          "reliability": "medium"
        },
        "ou25": {
          "best_over_odd": 1.32,
          "best_under_odd": 3.4,
          "edge_over": -0.2212,
          "edge_under": 0.2212,
          "ev_available": true,
          "ev_over": -0.3638,
          "ev_under": 0.7612,
          "implied_over": 0.7032,
          "implied_under": 0.2968,
          "n_bookmakers": 5,
          "reliability": "medium"
        }
      },
      "match_tier": "value_game",
      "min_ev": 0.02,
      "total_xg": 2.6,
      "variance_flag": false
    },
    "unified_decision": {
      "actionable_ev_threshold": 0.02,
      "algorithm": {
        "enabled_since": "2026-05-26",
        "game_typing_module": true,
        "version": "2.2.0"
      },
      "balanced_alternative": null,
      "best_tracked_ev": 0.7612,
      "confidence": 6.5,
      "decision_confidence_v1": {
        "breakdown": [
          "pred_conf_v1_primary_line",
          "pred_conf_v1_primary_ev_above_10",
          "pred_conf_v1_max_1x2_under_50",
          "pred_conf_v1_multi_ev_lines"
        ],
        "breakdown_resolved": [
          "Primary line identified (+1.0)",
          "Primary EV above 10% (+1.0)",
          "Max 1X2 prob under 50% (no dominant 1X2) (\u22121.0)",
          "Two or more valid +EV lines at threshold (+0.5)"
        ],
        "score": 6.5
      },
      "execution": {
        "1x2_dominant": false,
        "1x2_open_contest": true,
        "grade": "A",
        "stake_factor": 1.0
      },
      "favourite_misaligned_1x2": {
        "active": false,
        "gap": null,
        "side": null
      },
      "game_type": {
        "label_zh": "\u5747\u8861\uff08\u5f00\u653e\u8d5b\u679c\uff09",
        "scoring_type": "balanced",
        "signals": {
          "btts_yes_prob": 0.545,
          "draw_prob": 0.2967,
          "max_1x2_prob": 0.3609,
          "over_prob": 0.482,
          "total_xg": 2.6,
          "under_prob": 0.518,
          "xg_diff": 0.04
        },
        "type": "balanced",
        "typing_weights_enabled": true
      },
      "hero_display_pick": null,
      "longshot_picks": [],
      "markets": {
        "1x2": {
          "decision": "no_bet",
          "edge": -0.0241,
          "ev": -0.1497,
          "implied_prob": 0.4196,
          "max_ev_side": "draw",
          "model_prob": 0.3609,
          "side": "home",
          "side_label": "Sutherland Sharks U20"
        },
        "btts": {
          "decision": "value_bet",
          "edge": 0.1619,
          "ev": 0.4606,
          "implied_prob": 0.2931,
          "model_prob": 0.455,
          "side": "no",
          "value_side": "no"
        },
        "ou_2_5": {
          "decision": "value_bet",
          "edge": 0.2212,
          "ev": 0.7612,
          "implied_prob": 0.2968,
          "model_prob": 0.518,
          "side": "under",
          "value_side": "under"
        }
      },
      "match_id": 1549298,
      "match_regime": {
        "action": "bet",
        "actionable": true,
        "clear_edge": true,
        "code": "clear_edge",
        "execution_line_key": null,
        "insight_line_key": null,
        "max_valid_ev": 0.7612,
        "min_ev": 0.02,
        "stake_mult": 1.0,
        "use_split_strip": false
      },
      "match_tier": "value_game",
      "no_clear_primary": false,
      "probabilities": {
        "away": 0.3424,
        "draw": 0.2967,
        "home": 0.3609
      },
      "reason_codes": [
        "no_ev_1x2"
      ],
      "secondary_pick": {
        "decision": "value_bet",
        "ev": 0.4606,
        "implied_prob": 0.2931,
        "market": "btts",
        "model_prob": 0.455,
        "not_dominant": true,
        "risk_band": "medium",
        "risk_tier": "secondary",
        "side": "no",
        "slot": "secondary"
      },
      "secondary_picks": [
        {
          "decision": "value_bet",
          "ev": 0.4606,
          "implied_prob": 0.2931,
          "market": "btts",
          "model_prob": 0.455,
          "not_dominant": true,
          "risk_band": "medium",
          "risk_tier": "secondary",
          "side": "no",
          "slot": "secondary"
        }
      ],
      "suppressed_primary": null,
      "teams": {
        "away": "Blacktown City U20",
        "home": "Sutherland Sharks U20"
      },
      "top_pick": {
        "composite_score": 0.276011,
        "decision": "value_bet",
        "ev": 0.7612,
        "implied_prob": 0.2968,
        "market": "ou_2_5",
        "model_prob": 0.518,
        "not_dominant": false,
        "primary_strength": "clear",
        "risk_band": "strong",
        "risk_tier": "primary",
        "side": "under",
        "slot": "primary",
        "speculative_primary": false
      },
      "valid_markets_count": 2
    }
  },
  "fixture_id": 1549298,
  "generated_at_utc": "2026-06-12T07:48:16.402970+00:00",
  "lang_id": "en"
}
Bagaimana untuk menggunakan ini
  • Fokus pada baris Utama apabila anda mahukan satu idea yang boleh diambil tindakan.
  • Jangan parlay banyak picks tepi nipis bersama-sama;tepi tidak menambah dengan pasti.
  • Anggap pukulan panjang sebagai permainan pilihan, bersaiz tinggi sahaja.

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