Penilaian Prediksi
Berhati-hatilah
- Kegemaran
- Magallanes Perlawanan seimbang
- Kebarangkalian model
- 38.0%
- Kebarangkalian pasaran
- 17.1%
- Perjanjian pasaran
- Lemah
- Pengesahan
- Amaran
Ringkasan:
Model dan pasaran kedua-dua lean {pasukan}, tetapi kedua-duanya tidak menunjukkan kegemaran yang dominan. Seri dan Palestino kekal munasabah — ini perlawanan yang agak terbuka.
Log masuk untuk melihat keputusan pertaruhan penuh
Daftar percuma untuk membuka kunci keputusan pertaruhan akhir — pasaran mana lulus, di mana +EV mungkin wujud, dan amaran steam.
Perisikan Pergerakan Pasaran
- Pergerakan semasa
- Magallanes ↑ +53.3% 3.75 → 5.75
- Jenis bergerak
- 🔥 Steam kuat
- Skor Stim
- 91A+
Strong multi-book steam - Keluasan pasaran
- 4/5
- fasa
- Penetapan harga semula tajam
- Buku rujuk
- Bet365
Gerakan dipimpin sharp: Betfair - Pengesahan CLV
- Waiting for Close
Pergerakan terbesar hari ini
Laluan Odds — Magallanes
🐢 Drift perlahan selama 27j 56m
Naratif Pasaran
4/5 buku diselaraskan pada Magallanes (53.3% steam, skor 91) — penetapan harga semula multi-buku keyakinan tinggi mengatasi pergerakan terpencil.
Sharp sportsbooks led a meaningful repricing with broad market follow-through.
Audit Pasaran
- Perjanjian pasaran
- Lemah
- Pengesahan
- Amaran
- Jurang terbesar
- Palestino -26.7 pp
- Keluasan
- 4/5
- Aktiviti pasaran semasa
- Magallanes odds dipanjangkan ↑ +53.3%.
Anggaran saksama berbeza dengan ketara daripada harga pasaran semasa. Perbezaan besar boleh berlaku apabila input penarafan tidak lengkap, anggaran kekuatan pasukan tidak pasti, atau pasaran menggabungkan maklumat yang tidak terdapat dalam model. Tafsir dengan berhati-hati.
| Hasil | Adil | Pasaran | Tepi |
|---|---|---|---|
| Palestino | 32.39% | 59.08% | -26.7 pp |
| Seri | 29.59% | 23.87% | +5.7 pp |
| Magallanes | 38.01% | 17.05% | +21.0 pp |
Kebarangkalian saksama daripada model statistik Poisson/xG. Bukan penentu taruhan. Bukan nasihat pertaruhan.
Pengesahan Model Diperlukan
Model dan pasaran berbeza secara material (26.7 mata peratusan). Pengesahan tambahan disyorkan sebelum mentafsir perbandingan ini.
- Perbezaan model-pasaran yang melampau dikesan.
- Barisan utama dikenal pasti (+1.0)
- EV utama melebihi 10% (+1.0)
- Kebarangkalian maksimum 1X2 di bawah 50% (tiada 1X2 dominan) (−1.0)
- Dua atau lebih baris +EV yang sah pada ambang (+0.5)
BTTS: EV Ya -3.2% · EV No +11.7%
Magallanes market context before kickoff
🔥 Steam kuat on Magallanes
- Odds move
- 3.75 → 5.75 (↑ +53.3%)
- Market breadth
- 4/5
- Steam score
- 91 (A+)
- Current status
- Tracked markets may still show +EV at best odds.
Steam detected. Model value still remains on tracked markets — compare EV cards above.
Steam measures market activity. EV measures betting value.
Kitaran Hayat Keputusan
Peringkat semasa: Amaran pengesahan model
- Prediksi Dijana
- Pasaran Berbanding
- Pengesahan Lulus
- Penutupan Dirakam
- CLV Dinilai
- Kemasukan
- 1.51
- Penutup
- Belum selesai
- CLV
- Belum selesai
Taklimat AI untuk perlawanan ini belum tersedia. Selepas naik taraf pelayan, jalankan semula “Batch generate odds” untuk menjana ringkasan.
View technical JSON
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"match": {
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"country_code": "CL",
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"home_team_name": "Palestino",
"league_country": "Chile",
"league_id": 267,
"league_logo": "/static/leagues/267.webp",
"league_name": "Copa Chile",
"league_season": 2026,
"match_date": "2026-06-20 16:30:00",
"score_fulltime_away": null,
"score_fulltime_home": null,
"status_long": "Not Started",
"status_short": "NS",
"venue_city": "Santiago de Chile",
"venue_name": "Estadio Municipal de La Cisterna"
},
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"confidence": {
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],
"score": 6.0
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"markets": {
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"calibration": {
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"edge": -0.0677,
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},
"btts": {
"best_no_odd": 2.5,
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"edge_no": 0.0557,
"edge_yes": -0.0557,
"ev_available": true,
"ev_no": 0.14,
"ev_yes": -0.0317,
"implied_no": 0.4003,
"implied_yes": 0.5997,
"n_bookmakers": 4,
"reliability": "medium"
},
"ou25": {
"best_over_odd": 1.65,
"best_under_odd": 2.45,
"edge_over": -0.1139,
"edge_under": 0.1139,
"ev_available": true,
"ev_over": -0.2047,
"ev_under": 0.2691,
"implied_over": 0.5959,
"implied_under": 0.4041,
"n_bookmakers": 4,
"reliability": "medium"
}
},
"match_tier": "value_game",
"min_ev": 0.02,
"total_xg": 2.6,
"variance_flag": false
},
"unified_decision": {
"actionable_ev_threshold": 0.02,
"algorithm": {
"enabled_since": "2026-05-26",
"game_typing_module": true,
"version": "2.2.0"
},
"balanced_alternative": null,
"best_tracked_ev": 0.2691,
"confidence": 6.5,
"decision_confidence_v1": {
"breakdown": [
"pred_conf_v1_primary_line",
"pred_conf_v1_primary_ev_above_10",
"pred_conf_v1_max_1x2_under_50",
"pred_conf_v1_multi_ev_lines"
],
"breakdown_resolved": [
"Primary line identified (+1.0)",
"Primary EV above 10% (+1.0)",
"Max 1X2 prob under 50% (no dominant 1X2) (\u22121.0)",
"Two or more valid +EV lines at threshold (+0.5)"
],
"score": 6.5
},
"execution": {
"1x2_dominant": false,
"1x2_open_contest": true,
"grade": "A",
"stake_factor": 1.0
},
"favourite_misaligned_1x2": {
"active": false,
"gap": null,
"side": null
},
"game_type": {
"label_zh": "\u5747\u8861\uff08\u5f00\u653e\u8d5b\u679c\uff09",
"scoring_type": "balanced",
"signals": {
"btts_yes_prob": 0.544,
"draw_prob": 0.2959,
"max_1x2_prob": 0.3803,
"over_prob": 0.482,
"total_xg": 2.6,
"under_prob": 0.518,
"xg_diff": 0.12
},
"type": "balanced",
"typing_weights_enabled": true
},
"hero_display_pick": null,
"longshot_picks": [],
"markets": {
"1x2": {
"decision": "no_bet",
"edge": 0.0256,
"ev": -0.0224,
"implied_prob": 0.2799,
"max_ev_side": "away",
"model_prob": 0.3803,
"side": "away",
"side_label": "Magallanes"
},
"btts": {
"decision": "value_bet",
"edge": 0.0557,
"ev": 0.14,
"implied_prob": 0.4003,
"model_prob": 0.456,
"side": "no",
"value_side": "no"
},
"ou_2_5": {
"decision": "value_bet",
"edge": 0.1139,
"ev": 0.2691,
"implied_prob": 0.4041,
"model_prob": 0.518,
"side": "under",
"value_side": "under"
}
},
"match_id": 1544440,
"match_regime": {
"action": "bet",
"actionable": true,
"clear_edge": true,
"code": "clear_edge",
"execution_line_key": null,
"insight_line_key": null,
"max_valid_ev": 0.2691,
"min_ev": 0.02,
"stake_mult": 1.0,
"use_split_strip": false
},
"match_tier": "value_game",
"no_clear_primary": false,
"probabilities": {
"away": 0.3803,
"draw": 0.2959,
"home": 0.3237
},
"reason_codes": [
"no_ev_1x2"
],
"secondary_pick": {
"decision": "value_bet",
"ev": 0.14,
"implied_prob": 0.4003,
"market": "btts",
"model_prob": 0.456,
"not_dominant": true,
"risk_band": "medium",
"risk_tier": "secondary",
"side": "no",
"slot": "secondary"
},
"secondary_picks": [
{
"decision": "value_bet",
"ev": 0.14,
"implied_prob": 0.4003,
"market": "btts",
"model_prob": 0.456,
"not_dominant": true,
"risk_band": "medium",
"risk_tier": "secondary",
"side": "no",
"slot": "secondary"
}
],
"suppressed_primary": null,
"teams": {
"away": "Magallanes",
"home": "Palestino"
},
"top_pick": {
"composite_score": 0.097576,
"decision": "value_bet",
"ev": 0.2691,
"implied_prob": 0.4041,
"market": "ou_2_5",
"model_prob": 0.518,
"not_dominant": false,
"primary_strength": "clear",
"risk_band": "strong",
"risk_tier": "primary",
"side": "under",
"slot": "primary",
"speculative_primary": false
},
"valid_markets_count": 2
}
},
"fixture_id": 1544440,
"generated_at_utc": "2026-06-19T03:31:30.452555+00:00",
"lang_id": "en"
}
- Fokus pada baris Utama apabila anda mahukan satu idea yang boleh diambil tindakan.
- Jangan parlay banyak picks tepi nipis bersama-sama;tepi tidak menambah dengan pasti.
- Anggap pukulan panjang sebagai permainan pilihan, bersaiz tinggi sahaja.
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