Ya 54.5% · Tidak 45.5%
EV Ya -18.2% · EV No +15.1%
Condong nilai: BTTS Tidak
Penilaian Ramalan
Risiko kerosakan model
- Kegemaran
- P-Iirot Perlawanan seimbang
- Kebarangkalian model
- 37.5%
- Kebarangkalian pasaran
- 16.9%
- Perjanjian pasaran
- Sangat lemah
- Pengesahan
- gagal
Ringkasan:
Jangan tafsir perbandingan model vs pasaran sehingga pengesahan berlalu.
Log masuk untuk melihat keputusan pertaruhan penuh
Daftar percuma untuk membuka kunci keputusan pertaruhan akhir — pasaran mana lulus, di mana +EV mungkin wujud, dan amaran steam.
Audit Pasaran
- Perjanjian pasaran
- Sangat lemah
- Pengesahan
- gagal
- Jurang terbesar
- Honka -31.0 pp
- Keluasan
- 8/8
- Aktiviti pasaran semasa
- Belum ada pergerakan arah yang bermakna.
Model dan pasaran berbeza mengikut 31.0 mata peratusan. Output model mungkin tidak boleh dipercayai untuk padanan ini — sahkan input sebelum mentafsir kebarangkalian.
| Hasil | Adil | Pasaran | Tepi |
|---|---|---|---|
| P-Iirot | 37.54% | 16.88% | +20.7 pp |
| Seri | 29.61% | 19.24% | +10.4 pp |
| Honka | 32.85% | 63.89% | -31.0 pp |
Kebarangkalian saksama daripada model statistik Poisson/xG. Bukan penentu taruhan. Bukan nasihat pertaruhan.
Risiko Pecahan Model
Model dan pasaran berbeza mengikut 31.0 mata peratusan. Output model mungkin tidak boleh dipercayai untuk padanan ini — sahkan input sebelum mentafsir kebarangkalian.
- Perbezaan model-pasaran yang melampau dikesan.
Laman pertaruhan premium 1xBet: pengguna baharu boleh guna kod promo 1x_3342271. Daftar sekarang
Pilihan utama (+EV tertinggi)
Kurang 2.5
— Nilai
P-Iirot · Kebarangkalian model 37.6%
Konsensus pasaran (3 hala) 16.9%
EV garisan konsensus: +4.6%
Paling berkemungkinan
1-1
Kebarangkalian 12.5%
Skor tepat berisiko tinggi — pertaruhan kecil untuk hiburan sahaja.
Keputusan pertaruhan (model lwn. EV pasaran)
Nilai peluang — Sekurang-kurangnya satu pasaran menunjukkan anggaran +EV pada kemungkinan perpuluhan terbaik semasa (ambang: 2.0%).
Kekuatan keputusan: 6.5 / 10
- Barisan utama dikenal pasti (+1.0)
- EV utama melebihi 10% (+1.0)
- Kebarangkalian maksimum 1X2 di bawah 50% (tiada 1X2 dominan) (−1.0)
- Dua atau lebih baris +EV yang sah pada ambang (+0.5)
O/U 2.5:
EV Selesai -35.9% ·
EV Di Bawah +25%+
(5 pasangan buku)
BTTS: EV Ya -18.2% · EV No +15.1%
BTTS: EV Ya -18.2% · EV No +15.1%
P-Iirot market context before kickoff
⚠️ Pasaran tidak stabil on P-Iirot
- Odds move
- 5.25 → 5.25 (+0.0%)
- Market breadth
- 8/8
- Steam score
- 30 (C)
- Current status
- Tracked markets may still show +EV at best odds.
Steam detected. Model value still remains on tracked markets — compare EV cards above.
Steam measures market activity. EV measures betting value.
Kitaran Hayat Keputusan
Peringkat semasa: Pengesahan model gagal
- Ramalan Dijana
- Pasaran Berbanding
- Pengesahan Lulus
- Penutupan Dirakam
- CLV Dinilai
- Kemasukan
- 1.4
- Penutup
- Belum selesai
- CLV
- Belum selesai
Enjin Keputusan OddsGPT v2.2.0
Sentiasa diperhalusi menggunakan prestasi model, data pasaran dan keputusan sejarah.
Semak Odds di 1xBet
Taklimat AI untuk perlawanan ini belum tersedia. Selepas naik taraf pelayan, jalankan semula “Batch generate odds” untuk menjana ringkasan.
View technical JSON
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"headline": "Model breakdown risk",
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"paragraphs": [
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"title": "Forecast Assessment",
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},
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},
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{
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{
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],
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"steam_note": "",
"unavailable_note": ""
},
"interpretation": {
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"paragraphs": [
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"This creates a conflict: Model \u2192 P-Iirot, Market \u2192 Honka, Recent sharp money \u2192 recent line movement.",
"Because signals disagree, confidence remains limited."
],
"show": true,
"title": "OddsGPT Interpretation"
},
"lifecycle": {
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"closing_odds": null,
"clv_pending": true,
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{
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{
"detail": "",
"id": "closing_recorded",
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{
"detail": "",
"id": "clv_evaluated",
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},
"market_move_intelligence": {
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},
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"current_odds": 5.25,
"move_display": "+0.0%",
"open_odds": 5.25,
"pick_team": "P-Iirot",
"steam_score": 30,
"steam_team_name": "P-Iirot",
"steam_tier": "C"
},
"premium_teaser": {
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"divergence_label": "Current divergence",
"title": "Premium Market Intelligence",
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"match": {
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"away_team_id": 1169,
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"country_code": "FI",
"country_flag": "/static/images/country/fi.svg",
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"home_team_id": 9188,
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"home_team_name": "P-Iirot",
"league_country": "Finland",
"league_id": 248,
"league_logo": "/static/leagues/248.webp",
"league_name": "Kakkonen - Lohko B",
"league_season": 2026,
"match_date": "2026-06-13 14:00:00",
"score_fulltime_away": null,
"score_fulltime_home": null,
"status_long": "Not Started",
"status_short": "NS",
"venue_city": "Rauma",
"venue_name": null
},
"match_decision": {
"confidence": {
"breakdown": [
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"pred_conf_md_top_two_close",
"pred_conf_md_line_above_ev"
],
"breakdown_resolved": [
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"Top two outcomes relatively close in probability (\u22120.5)",
"At least one tracked line above +EV threshold (+0.5)"
],
"score": 6.0
},
"markets": {
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"away": {
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"best_odd": 1.4,
"calibration": {
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"hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
},
"edge": -0.0995,
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},
"draw": {
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"best_odd": 4.65,
"calibration": {
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},
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},
"ev_available": true,
"home": {
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"calibration": {
"active": false,
"hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
},
"edge": 0.0285,
"ev": 0.0457,
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}
},
"btts": {
"best_no_odd": 2.53,
"best_yes_odd": 1.5,
"edge_no": 0.0827,
"edge_yes": -0.0827,
"ev_available": true,
"ev_no": 0.1511,
"ev_yes": -0.1825,
"implied_no": 0.3723,
"implied_yes": 0.6277,
"n_bookmakers": 5,
"reliability": "medium"
},
"ou25": {
"best_over_odd": 1.33,
"best_under_odd": 3.25,
"edge_over": -0.2111,
"edge_under": 0.2111,
"ev_available": true,
"ev_over": -0.3589,
"ev_under": 0.6835,
"implied_over": 0.6931,
"implied_under": 0.3069,
"n_bookmakers": 5,
"reliability": "medium"
}
},
"match_tier": "value_game",
"min_ev": 0.02,
"total_xg": 2.6,
"variance_flag": false
},
"unified_decision": {
"actionable_ev_threshold": 0.02,
"algorithm": {
"enabled_since": "2026-05-26",
"game_typing_module": true,
"version": "2.2.0"
},
"balanced_alternative": null,
"best_tracked_ev": 0.6835,
"confidence": 6.5,
"decision_confidence_v1": {
"breakdown": [
"pred_conf_v1_primary_line",
"pred_conf_v1_primary_ev_above_10",
"pred_conf_v1_max_1x2_under_50",
"pred_conf_v1_multi_ev_lines"
],
"breakdown_resolved": [
"Primary line identified (+1.0)",
"Primary EV above 10% (+1.0)",
"Max 1X2 prob under 50% (no dominant 1X2) (\u22121.0)",
"Two or more valid +EV lines at threshold (+0.5)"
],
"score": 6.5
},
"execution": {
"1x2_dominant": false,
"1x2_open_contest": true,
"grade": "A",
"stake_factor": 1.0
},
"favourite_misaligned_1x2": {
"active": false,
"gap": null,
"side": null
},
"game_type": {
"label_zh": "\u5747\u8861\uff08\u5f00\u653e\u8d5b\u679c\uff09",
"scoring_type": "balanced",
"signals": {
"btts_yes_prob": 0.545,
"draw_prob": 0.2956,
"max_1x2_prob": 0.3757,
"over_prob": 0.482,
"total_xg": 2.6,
"under_prob": 0.518,
"xg_diff": 0.1
},
"type": "balanced",
"typing_weights_enabled": true
},
"hero_display_pick": null,
"longshot_picks": [],
"markets": {
"1x2": {
"decision": "value_bet",
"edge": 0.0285,
"ev": 0.0457,
"implied_prob": 0.1688,
"max_ev_side": "home",
"model_prob": 0.3757,
"side": "home",
"side_label": "P-Iirot"
},
"btts": {
"decision": "value_bet",
"edge": 0.0827,
"ev": 0.1511,
"implied_prob": 0.3723,
"model_prob": 0.455,
"side": "no",
"value_side": "no"
},
"ou_2_5": {
"decision": "value_bet",
"edge": 0.2111,
"ev": 0.6835,
"implied_prob": 0.3069,
"model_prob": 0.518,
"side": "under",
"value_side": "under"
}
},
"match_id": 1541510,
"match_regime": {
"action": "bet",
"actionable": true,
"clear_edge": true,
"code": "clear_edge",
"execution_line_key": null,
"insight_line_key": null,
"max_valid_ev": 0.6835,
"min_ev": 0.02,
"stake_mult": 1.0,
"use_split_strip": false
},
"match_tier": "value_game",
"no_clear_primary": false,
"probabilities": {
"away": 0.3287,
"draw": 0.2956,
"home": 0.3757
},
"reason_codes": [
"model_summary"
],
"secondary_pick": {
"decision": "value_bet",
"ev": 0.1511,
"implied_prob": 0.3723,
"market": "btts",
"model_prob": 0.455,
"not_dominant": true,
"risk_band": "medium",
"risk_tier": "secondary",
"side": "no",
"slot": "secondary"
},
"secondary_picks": [
{
"decision": "value_bet",
"ev": 0.1511,
"implied_prob": 0.3723,
"market": "btts",
"model_prob": 0.455,
"not_dominant": true,
"risk_band": "medium",
"risk_tier": "secondary",
"side": "no",
"slot": "secondary"
}
],
"suppressed_primary": null,
"teams": {
"away": "Honka",
"home": "P-Iirot"
},
"top_pick": {
"composite_score": 0.247837,
"decision": "value_bet",
"ev": 0.6835,
"implied_prob": 0.3069,
"market": "ou_2_5",
"model_prob": 0.518,
"not_dominant": false,
"primary_strength": "clear",
"risk_band": "strong",
"risk_tier": "primary",
"side": "under",
"slot": "primary",
"speculative_primary": false
},
"valid_markets_count": 3
}
},
"fixture_id": 1541510,
"generated_at_utc": "2026-06-12T08:51:26.531478+00:00",
"lang_id": "en"
}
Bagaimana untuk menggunakan ini
- Fokus pada baris Utama apabila anda mahukan satu idea yang boleh diambil tindakan.
- Jangan parlay banyak picks tepi nipis bersama-sama;tepi tidak menambah dengan pasti.
- Anggap pukulan panjang sebagai permainan pilihan, bersaiz tinggi sahaja.
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