Berhati-hatilah
Ringkasan:
Model dan pasaran kedua-dua lean {pasukan}, tetapi kedua-duanya tidak menunjukkan kegemaran yang dominan. Seri dan Nacional Potosí kekal munasabah — ini perlawanan yang agak terbuka.
Log masuk untuk melihat keputusan pertaruhan penuh
Daftar percuma untuk membuka kunci keputusan pertaruhan akhir — pasaran mana lulus, di mana +EV mungkin wujud, dan amaran steam.
Anggaran saksama berbeza dengan ketara daripada harga pasaran semasa. Perbezaan besar boleh berlaku apabila input penarafan tidak lengkap, anggaran kekuatan pasukan tidak pasti, atau pasaran menggabungkan maklumat yang tidak terdapat dalam model. Tafsir dengan berhati-hati.
| Hasil | Adil | Pasaran | Tepi |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nacional Potosí | 39.0% | 67.87% | -28.9 pp |
| Seri | 19.88% | 18.46% | +1.4 pp |
| Real Oruro | 41.12% | 13.67% | +27.4 pp |
Kebarangkalian saksama daripada model statistik Poisson/xG. Bukan penentu taruhan. Bukan nasihat pertaruhan.
Model dan pasaran berbeza secara material (28.9 mata peratusan). Pengesahan tambahan disyorkan sebelum mentafsir perbandingan ini.
Nacional Potosí market context before kickoff
⚠️ Pasaran tidak stabil on Nacional Potosí
Steam detected. Model value still remains on tracked markets — compare EV cards above.
Steam measures market activity. EV measures betting value.
Peringkat semasa: Amaran pengesahan model
Taklimat AI untuk perlawanan ini belum tersedia. Selepas naik taraf pelayan, jalankan semula “Batch generate odds” untuk menjana ringkasan.
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"draw_prob": 0.1986,
"max_1x2_prob": 0.4111,
"over_prob": 0.861,
"total_xg": 4.84,
"under_prob": 0.139,
"xg_diff": 0.06
},
"type": "high_scoring",
"typing_weights_enabled": true
},
"hero_display_pick": null,
"longshot_picks": [],
"markets": {
"1x2": {
"decision": "value_bet",
"edge": 0.0323,
"ev": 0.1409,
"implied_prob": 0.1367,
"max_ev_side": "away",
"model_prob": 0.4111,
"side": "away",
"side_label": "Real Oruro"
},
"btts": {
"decision": "value_bet",
"edge": 0.2305,
"ev": 0.3125,
"implied_prob": 0.6055,
"model_prob": 0.836,
"side": "yes",
"value_side": "yes"
},
"ou_2_5": {
"decision": "value_bet",
"edge": 0.1667,
"ev": 0.171,
"implied_prob": 0.6943,
"model_prob": 0.861,
"side": "over",
"value_side": "over"
}
},
"match_id": 1538394,
"match_regime": {
"action": "bet",
"actionable": true,
"clear_edge": true,
"code": "clear_edge",
"execution_line_key": null,
"insight_line_key": null,
"max_valid_ev": 0.3125,
"min_ev": 0.02,
"stake_mult": 1.0,
"use_split_strip": false
},
"match_tier": "value_game",
"no_clear_primary": false,
"probabilities": {
"away": 0.4111,
"draw": 0.1986,
"home": 0.3903
},
"reason_codes": [
"high_total_goals"
],
"secondary_pick": {
"decision": "value_bet",
"ev": 0.171,
"implied_prob": 0.6943,
"market": "ou_2_5",
"model_prob": 0.861,
"not_dominant": false,
"risk_band": "strong",
"risk_tier": "secondary",
"side": "over",
"slot": "secondary"
},
"secondary_picks": [
{
"decision": "value_bet",
"ev": 0.171,
"implied_prob": 0.6943,
"market": "ou_2_5",
"model_prob": 0.861,
"not_dominant": false,
"risk_band": "strong",
"risk_tier": "secondary",
"side": "over",
"slot": "secondary"
},
{
"decision": "value_bet",
"ev": 0.1409,
"implied_prob": 0.1367,
"market": "1x2",
"model_prob": 0.4111,
"not_dominant": true,
"risk_band": "medium",
"risk_tier": "secondary",
"side": "away",
"side_label": "Real Oruro",
"slot": "secondary"
}
],
"suppressed_primary": null,
"teams": {
"away": "Real Oruro",
"home": "Nacional Potos\u00ed"
},
"top_pick": {
"composite_score": 0.300437,
"decision": "value_bet",
"ev": 0.3125,
"implied_prob": 0.6055,
"market": "btts",
"model_prob": 0.836,
"not_dominant": false,
"primary_strength": "clear",
"risk_band": "strong",
"risk_tier": "primary",
"side": "yes",
"slot": "primary",
"speculative_primary": false
},
"valid_markets_count": 3
}
},
"fixture_id": 1538394,
"generated_at_utc": "2026-06-12T01:12:37.279548+00:00",
"lang_id": "en"
}
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