Ramalan / Bola Sepak / South-Korea. WK-League / Suwon FMC W vs Gumi Sportstoto W

Suwon FMC W vs Gumi Sportstoto W Ramalan, Odds & Tip Pertaruhan AI

Jun 12, 2026 - 10:00
1.33
1.37
35% 29% 36%

Penilaian Ramalan

Berhati-hatilah

Kegemaran
Gumi Sportstoto W Perlawanan seimbang
Kebarangkalian model
36.4%
Kebarangkalian pasaran
16.2%
Perjanjian pasaran
Lemah
Pengesahan
Amaran

Ringkasan:

Model dan pasaran kedua-dua lean {pasukan}, tetapi kedua-duanya tidak menunjukkan kegemaran yang dominan. Seri dan Suwon FMC W kekal munasabah — ini perlawanan yang agak terbuka.

Audit Pasaran

Perjanjian pasaran
Lemah
Pengesahan
Amaran
Jurang terbesar
Suwon FMC W -25.8 pp
Keluasan
9/11
Aktiviti pasaran semasa
Belum ada pergerakan arah yang bermakna.

Anggaran saksama berbeza dengan ketara daripada harga pasaran semasa. Perbezaan besar boleh berlaku apabila input penarafan tidak lengkap, anggaran kekuatan pasukan tidak pasti, atau pasaran menggabungkan maklumat yang tidak terdapat dalam model. Tafsir dengan berhati-hati.

Hasil Adil Pasaran Tepi
Suwon FMC W 34.58% 60.42% -25.8 pp
Seri 29.0% 23.39% +5.6 pp
Gumi Sportstoto W 36.42% 16.19% +20.2 pp

Kebarangkalian saksama daripada model statistik Poisson/xG. Bukan penentu taruhan. Bukan nasihat pertaruhan.

Pengesahan Model Diperlukan

Model dan pasaran berbeza secara material (25.8 mata peratusan). Pengesahan tambahan disyorkan sebelum mentafsir perbandingan ini.

  • Perbezaan model-pasaran yang melampau dikesan.
Laman pertaruhan premium 1xBet: pengguna baharu boleh guna kod promo 1x_3342271. Daftar sekarang
Pilihan utama (+EV tertinggi)
BTTS Ya — Nilai
EV +6.2% Model 56.5%
1X2 Tepi model (+EV)
Gumi Sportstoto W · Kebarangkalian model 36.4%
Konsensus pasaran (3 hala) 16.2%
EV garisan konsensus: +6.4%
Lebih / Kurang 2.5 Condong
Lebih 2.5 50.6% · Kurang 2.5 49.4%
EV Selesai -8.4% · EV Di Bawah +1.3%
Condong nilai: Kurang 2.5
Cerapan skor tepat Kecua / hiburan
Paling berkemungkinan
1-1
Kebarangkalian 12.2%
Skor tepat berisiko tinggi — pertaruhan kecil untuk hiburan sahaja.
Keputusan pertaruhan (model lwn. EV pasaran)
Nilai terpilih — Sekurang-kurangnya satu pasaran yang dijejaki mungkin mengosongkan +EV pada kemungkinan terbaik, tetapi sabitan adalah terhad (5.5/10) — saiz ke bawah.
Kekuatan keputusan: 5.5 / 10
  • Barisan utama dikenal pasti (+1.0)
  • Kebarangkalian maksimum 1X2 di bawah 50% (tiada 1X2 dominan) (−1.0)
  • Dua atau lebih baris +EV yang sah pada ambang (+0.5)
O/U 2.5: EV Selesai -8.4% · EV Di Bawah +1.3% (10 pasangan buku)
BTTS: EV Ya +6.2% · EV No -15.2%
Should you bet on this match? Only where +EV is shown; always compare with your own limits.

Suwon FMC W market context before kickoff

⚠️ Pasaran tidak stabil on Suwon FMC W

Odds move
1.50 → 1.50 (+0.0%)
Market breadth
9/11
Steam score
24 (C)
Current status
Tracked markets may still show +EV at best odds.

Steam detected. Model value still remains on tracked markets — compare EV cards above.

Steam measures market activity. EV measures betting value.

Kitaran Hayat Keputusan

Peringkat semasa: Amaran pengesahan model

  1. Ramalan Dijana
  2. Pasaran Berbanding
  3. Pengesahan Lulus
  4. Penutupan Dirakam
  5. CLV Dinilai
Kemasukan
1.5
Penutup
Belum selesai
CLV
Belum selesai

Taklimat AI untuk perlawanan ini belum tersedia. Selepas naik taraf pelayan, jalankan semula “Batch generate odds” untuk menjana ringkasan.

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            "away": 0,
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          "outcome": "away"
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          "outcome": "over"
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          "edge_pp": 2.11,
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        {
          "edge_pp": 5.71,
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        },
        {
          "edge_pp": -5.71,
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          "label": "BTTS No",
          "market_prob": 49.21,
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      ],
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        "fair_prob_pct": 34.58,
        "hero_side": "home",
        "hero_team_name": "Suwon FMC W",
        "market_prob_pct": 59.88,
        "status": "market_ahead",
        "steam_team_name": "Suwon FMC W"
      },
      "fair_source": "poisson_pipeline",
      "fair_vs_market": {
        "comparison_available": true,
        "comparison_disabled": false,
        "degraded_note": "",
        "divergence_guard": {
          "divergence_level": "extreme",
          "edge_status": "market_ahead",
          "max_gap_pp": 25.3,
          "suppress_hero": false,
          "suppress_value_language": true
        },
        "divergence_label": "Extreme model-market divergence",
        "divergence_level": "extreme",
        "divergence_level_label": "Extreme divergence",
        "divergence_note": "The fair estimate differs substantially from current market pricing. Large divergences can occur when rating inputs are incomplete, team-strength estimates are uncertain, or the market incorporates information not present in the model. Interpret with caution.",
        "divergence_tier": "extreme",
        "edge_label": "Extreme disagreement",
        "edge_label_key": "extreme_disagreement",
        "fair_confidence": "medium",
        "fair_confidence_label": "Medium",
        "fair_source_note": "Fair probability from Poisson/xG statistical model. Not bookmaker odds. Not betting advice.",
        "forecast_assessment": {
          "favourite_class": "Balanced match",
          "favourite_label": "Gumi Sportstoto W",
          "forecast_certainty_tier": "low",
          "headline": "Balanced match",
          "market_agreement_label": "Weak",
          "market_prob_pct": 16.3,
          "model_prob_pct": 36.4,
          "outcome_separation_tier": "low",
          "paragraphs": [],
          "reliability_headline": "Use caution",
          "reliability_icon": "!",
          "reliability_tier": "caution",
          "summary": "The model and market both lean Gumi Sportstoto W, but neither indicates a dominant favourite. Draw and Suwon FMC W remain plausible \u2014 this is a relatively open match.",
          "tier": "balanced",
          "title": "Forecast Assessment",
          "validation_label": "Warning"
        },
        "forecast_certainty": {
          "note": "Three outcomes remain closely bunched \u2014 treat as a relatively open match.",
          "tier": "low",
          "tier_label": "Low"
        },
        "forecast_certainty_label": "Low",
        "has_market_probs": true,
        "hero_edge_pp": -25.3,
        "hero_label": "Suwon FMC W",
        "hero_side": "home",
        "market_activity": "No meaningful directional movement yet.",
        "market_agreement": "weak",
        "market_agreement_label": "Weak",
        "market_interpretation": {},
        "market_narrative": {},
        "max_gap_pp": 25.3,
        "model_validation": {
          "score_label_key": "mi_mv_warning",
          "status": "warning"
        },
        "model_validation_label": "Warning",
        "outcome_separation": {
          "breakdown": [
            "No outcome exceeds 50% on the 1X2 grid.",
            "Top two 1X2 outcomes within 1.8 percentage points."
          ],
          "lead_gap_pp": 1.8,
          "max_prob_pct": 36.4,
          "note": "How spread out the model 1X2 probabilities are \u2014 crowded splits mean no single outcome dominates. Not accuracy vs the market.",
          "tier": "low",
          "tier_label": "Low"
        },
        "outcome_separation_label": "Low",
        "rows": [
          {
            "edge_pp": -25.3,
            "fair_prob_pct": 34.58,
            "is_hero": true,
            "label": "Suwon FMC W",
            "market_prob_pct": 59.88,
            "side": "home"
          },
          {
            "edge_pp": 5.21,
            "fair_prob_pct": 29.0,
            "is_hero": false,
            "label": "Draw",
            "market_prob_pct": 23.79,
            "side": "draw"
          },
          {
            "edge_pp": 20.09,
            "fair_prob_pct": 36.42,
            "is_hero": false,
            "label": "Gumi Sportstoto W",
            "market_prob_pct": 16.33,
            "side": "away"
          }
        ],
        "status": "market_ahead",
        "status_label": "Market Ahead",
        "steam_note": "",
        "unavailable_note": ""
      },
      "interpretation": {
        "has_conflict": true,
        "paragraphs": [
          "The betting market strongly prefers Suwon FMC W (16.3%).",
          "This creates a conflict: Model \u2192 Gumi Sportstoto W, Market \u2192 Suwon FMC W, Recent sharp money \u2192 recent line movement.",
          "Because signals disagree, confidence remains limited."
        ],
        "show": true,
        "title": "OddsGPT Interpretation"
      },
      "lifecycle": {
        "closing_implied_pct": null,
        "closing_odds": null,
        "clv_pending": true,
        "clv_pp": null,
        "clv_status": "pending",
        "context": "match",
        "current_stage": "model_validation_warning",
        "current_stage_detail": "",
        "current_stage_label": "Model validation warning",
        "entry_implied_pct": 66.67,
        "entry_odds": 1.5,
        "model_validation_label": "Warning",
        "model_validation_status": "warning",
        "stages": [
          {
            "detail": "",
            "id": "forecast_generated",
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            "id": "market_detected",
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            "label": "Validation Passed",
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          {
            "detail": "",
            "id": "closing_recorded",
            "label": "Closing Recorded",
            "status": "pending"
          },
          {
            "detail": "",
            "id": "clv_evaluated",
            "label": "CLV Evaluated",
            "status": "pending"
          }
        ]
      },
      "market_move_intelligence": {
        "show": false
      },
      "market_overview": {
        "breadth_display": "9/9",
        "current_odds": 1.5,
        "move_display": "+0.0%",
        "open_odds": 1.5,
        "pick_team": "Suwon FMC W",
        "steam_score": 30,
        "steam_team_name": "Suwon FMC W",
        "steam_tier": "C"
      },
      "premium_teaser": {
        "current_divergence_pp": 25.3,
        "divergence_label": "Current divergence",
        "title": "Premium Market Intelligence",
        "unlock_items": [
          "Historical similar matches",
          "Closing odds analysis",
          "CLV tracking",
          "Sharp money signals",
          "Market efficiency rating",
          "Historical model vs market results"
        ],
        "unlock_label": "Unlock"
      },
      "show": true
    },
    "match": {
      "away_expected_goals": null,
      "away_team_id": 14374,
      "away_team_logo": "/static/teams/14374.webp",
      "away_team_name": "Gumi Sportstoto W",
      "country_code": "KR",
      "country_flag": "/static/images/country/kr.svg",
      "country_name": "South-Korea",
      "fixture_id": 1533726,
      "goals_away": null,
      "goals_home": null,
      "home_expected_goals": null,
      "home_team_country": "South-Korea",
      "home_team_id": 14379,
      "home_team_logo": "/static/teams/14379.webp",
      "home_team_name": "Suwon FMC W",
      "league_country": "South-Korea",
      "league_id": 660,
      "league_logo": "/static/leagues/660.webp",
      "league_name": "WK-League",
      "league_season": 2026,
      "match_date": "2026-06-12 10:00:00",
      "score_fulltime_away": null,
      "score_fulltime_home": null,
      "status_long": "Not Started",
      "status_short": "NS",
      "venue_city": null,
      "venue_name": null
    },
    "match_decision": {
      "confidence": {
        "breakdown": [
          "pred_conf_md_max_1x2_under_50",
          "pred_conf_md_top_two_close",
          "pred_conf_md_line_above_ev"
        ],
        "breakdown_resolved": [
          "Max 1X2 prob under 50% (open contest) (\u22121.0)",
          "Top two outcomes relatively close in probability (\u22120.5)",
          "At least one tracked line above +EV threshold (+0.5)"
        ],
        "score": 6.0
      },
      "markets": {
        "1x2": {
          "1x2_ev_mode": "market_first_p15",
          "away": {
            "alpha": 0.1398,
            "best_odd": 5.5,
            "calibration": {
              "active": false,
              "hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
            },
            "edge": 0.028,
            "ev": 0.0524,
            "implied_prob": 0.1633,
            "model_prob": 0.3638,
            "p_final": 0.1913
          },
          "draw": {
            "alpha": 0.2766,
            "best_odd": 3.775,
            "calibration": {
              "active": false,
              "hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
            },
            "edge": 0.0144,
            "ev": -0.0475,
            "implied_prob": 0.2379,
            "model_prob": 0.29,
            "p_final": 0.2523
          },
          "ev_available": true,
          "home": {
            "alpha": 0.3727,
            "best_odd": 1.5,
            "calibration": {
              "active": false,
              "hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
            },
            "edge": -0.0941,
            "ev": -0.243,
            "implied_prob": 0.5988,
            "model_prob": 0.3462,
            "p_final": 0.5046
          }
        },
        "btts": {
          "best_no_odd": 1.95,
          "best_yes_odd": 1.88,
          "edge_no": -0.0571,
          "edge_yes": 0.0571,
          "ev_available": true,
          "ev_no": -0.1518,
          "ev_yes": 0.0622,
          "implied_no": 0.4921,
          "implied_yes": 0.5079,
          "n_bookmakers": 5,
          "reliability": "medium"
        },
        "ou25": {
          "best_over_odd": 1.81,
          "best_under_odd": 2.05,
          "edge_over": -0.0211,
          "edge_under": 0.0211,
          "ev_available": true,
          "ev_over": -0.0841,
          "ev_under": 0.0127,
          "implied_over": 0.5271,
          "implied_under": 0.4729,
          "n_bookmakers": 8,
          "reliability": "medium"
        }
      },
      "match_tier": "value_game",
      "min_ev": 0.02,
      "total_xg": 2.7,
      "variance_flag": false
    },
    "unified_decision": {
      "actionable_ev_threshold": 0.02,
      "algorithm": {
        "enabled_since": "2026-05-26",
        "game_typing_module": true,
        "version": "2.2.0"
      },
      "balanced_alternative": null,
      "best_tracked_ev": 0.0622,
      "confidence": 5.5,
      "decision_confidence_v1": {
        "breakdown": [
          "pred_conf_v1_primary_line",
          "pred_conf_v1_max_1x2_under_50",
          "pred_conf_v1_multi_ev_lines"
        ],
        "breakdown_resolved": [
          "Primary line identified (+1.0)",
          "Max 1X2 prob under 50% (no dominant 1X2) (\u22121.0)",
          "Two or more valid +EV lines at threshold (+0.5)"
        ],
        "score": 5.5
      },
      "execution": {
        "1x2_dominant": false,
        "1x2_open_contest": true,
        "grade": "A",
        "stake_factor": 1.0
      },
      "favourite_misaligned_1x2": {
        "active": false,
        "gap": null,
        "side": null
      },
      "game_type": {
        "label_zh": "\u672a\u5206\u578b",
        "scoring_type": "neutral",
        "signals": {
          "btts_yes_prob": 0.565,
          "draw_prob": 0.29,
          "max_1x2_prob": 0.3638,
          "over_prob": 0.506,
          "total_xg": 2.7,
          "under_prob": 0.494,
          "xg_diff": 0.04
        },
        "type": "neutral",
        "typing_weights_enabled": true
      },
      "hero_display_pick": null,
      "longshot_picks": [],
      "markets": {
        "1x2": {
          "decision": "value_bet",
          "edge": 0.028,
          "ev": 0.0524,
          "implied_prob": 0.1633,
          "max_ev_side": "away",
          "model_prob": 0.3638,
          "side": "away",
          "side_label": "Gumi Sportstoto W"
        },
        "btts": {
          "decision": "value_bet",
          "edge": 0.0571,
          "ev": 0.0622,
          "implied_prob": 0.5079,
          "model_prob": 0.565,
          "side": "yes",
          "value_side": "yes"
        },
        "ou_2_5": {
          "decision": "small_edge",
          "edge": 0.0211,
          "ev": 0.0127,
          "implied_prob": 0.4729,
          "model_prob": 0.494,
          "side": "under",
          "value_side": "under"
        }
      },
      "match_id": 1533726,
      "match_regime": {
        "action": "optional",
        "actionable": true,
        "clear_edge": false,
        "code": "thin_edge",
        "execution_line_key": null,
        "insight_line_key": null,
        "max_valid_ev": 0.0622,
        "min_ev": 0.02,
        "stake_mult": 0.25,
        "use_split_strip": false
      },
      "match_tier": "value_game",
      "no_clear_primary": false,
      "probabilities": {
        "away": 0.3638,
        "draw": 0.29,
        "home": 0.3462
      },
      "reason_codes": [
        "high_total_goals"
      ],
      "secondary_pick": null,
      "secondary_picks": [],
      "suppressed_primary": null,
      "teams": {
        "away": "Gumi Sportstoto W",
        "home": "Suwon FMC W"
      },
      "top_pick": {
        "composite_score": 0.035143,
        "decision": "value_bet",
        "ev": 0.0622,
        "implied_prob": 0.5079,
        "market": "btts",
        "model_prob": 0.565,
        "not_dominant": false,
        "primary_strength": "clear",
        "risk_band": "strong",
        "risk_tier": "primary",
        "side": "yes",
        "slot": "primary",
        "speculative_primary": false
      },
      "valid_markets_count": 2
    }
  },
  "fixture_id": 1533726,
  "generated_at_utc": "2026-06-12T00:30:41.437926+00:00",
  "lang_id": "en"
}
Bagaimana untuk menggunakan ini
  • Fokus pada baris Utama apabila anda mahukan satu idea yang boleh diambil tindakan.
  • Jangan parlay banyak picks tepi nipis bersama-sama;tepi tidak menambah dengan pasti.
  • Anggap pukulan panjang sebagai permainan pilihan, bersaiz tinggi sahaja.

Dapatkan Ramalan Premium untuk Suwon FMC W & Gumi Sportstoto W!

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