FK Tobol Kostanay · Kebarangkalian model 41.4%
Konsensus pasaran (3 hala) 23.2%
EV garisan konsensus: +7.7%
Penilaian Prediksi
Berhati-hatilah
- Kegemaran
- FK Tobol Kostanay Perlawanan seimbang
- Kebarangkalian model
- 41.4%
- Kebarangkalian pasaran
- 23.2%
- Perjanjian pasaran
- Lemah
- Pengesahan
- Amaran
Ringkasan:
Model dan pasaran kedua-dua lean {pasukan}, tetapi kedua-duanya tidak menunjukkan kegemaran yang dominan. Seri dan Seri kekal munasabah — ini perlawanan yang agak terbuka.
Log masuk untuk melihat keputusan pertaruhan penuh
Daftar percuma untuk membuka kunci keputusan pertaruhan akhir — pasaran mana lulus, di mana +EV mungkin wujud, dan amaran steam.
Audit Pasaran
- Perjanjian pasaran
- Lemah
- Pengesahan
- Amaran
- Jurang terbesar
- Okzhetpes -24.4 pp
- Keluasan
- 2/2
- Aktiviti pasaran semasa
- Belum ada pergerakan arah yang bermakna.
Anggaran saksama berbeza dengan ketara daripada harga pasaran semasa. Perbezaan besar boleh berlaku apabila input penarafan tidak lengkap, anggaran kekuatan pasukan tidak pasti, atau pasaran menggabungkan maklumat yang tidak terdapat dalam model. Tafsir dengan berhati-hati.
| Hasil | Adil | Pasaran | Tepi |
|---|---|---|---|
| Okzhetpes | 29.25% | 53.62% | -24.4 pp |
| Seri | 29.36% | 23.19% | +6.2 pp |
| FK Tobol Kostanay | 41.4% | 23.19% | +18.2 pp |
Kebarangkalian saksama daripada model statistik Poisson/xG. Bukan penentu taruhan. Bukan nasihat pertaruhan.
Pengesahan Model Diperlukan
Model dan pasaran berbeza secara material (24.4 mata peratusan). Pengesahan tambahan disyorkan sebelum mentafsir perbandingan ini.
- Perbezaan model-pasaran yang melampau dikesan.
Laman pertaruhan premium 1xBet: pengguna baharu boleh guna kod promo 1x_3342271. Daftar sekarang
1X2
✔ FK Tobol Kostanay (Nilai)
Lebih 2.5 48.2% · Kurang 2.5 51.8%
EV Selesai -13.7% · EV Di Bawah +2.6%
Condong nilai:
Kurang 2.5
Ya 54.1% · Tidak 45.9%
EV Ya -2.6% · EV No -13.2%
Condong nilai: BTTS Ya
Paling berkemungkinan
1-1
Kebarangkalian 12.4%
Skor tepat berisiko tinggi — pertaruhan kecil untuk hiburan sahaja.
Keputusan pertaruhan (model lwn. EV pasaran)
Nilai terpilih — Sekurang-kurangnya satu pasaran yang dijejaki mungkin mengosongkan +EV pada kemungkinan terbaik, tetapi sabitan adalah terhad (5.5/10) — saiz ke bawah.
Kekuatan keputusan: 5.5 / 10
- Barisan utama dikenal pasti (+1.0)
- Kebarangkalian maksimum 1X2 di bawah 50% (tiada 1X2 dominan) (−1.0)
- Dua atau lebih baris +EV yang sah pada ambang (+0.5)
O/U 2.5:
EV Selesai -13.7% ·
EV Di Bawah +2.6%
(2 pasangan buku)
BTTS: EV Ya -2.6% · EV No -13.2%
BTTS: EV Ya -2.6% · EV No -13.2%
Kitaran Hayat Keputusan
Peringkat semasa: Amaran pengesahan model
- Prediksi Dijana
- Pasaran Berbanding
- Pengesahan Lulus
- Penutupan Dirakam
- CLV Dinilai
- Kemasukan
- 1.72
- Penutup
- Belum selesai
- CLV
- Belum selesai
Enjin Keputusan OddsGPT v2.2.0
Sentiasa diperhalusi menggunakan prestasi model, data pasaran dan keputusan sejarah.
Semak Odds di 1xBet
Taklimat AI untuk perlawanan ini belum tersedia. Selepas naik taraf pelayan, jalankan semula “Batch generate odds” untuk menjana ringkasan.
View technical JSON
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{
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"paragraphs": [
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"Because signals disagree, confidence remains limited."
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"detail": "",
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"steam_team_name": "Okzhetpes",
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"match": {
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"away_team_id": 2259,
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"country_code": "KZ",
"country_flag": "/static/images/country/kz.svg",
"country_name": "Kazakhstan",
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"home_team_name": "Okzhetpes",
"league_country": "Kazakhstan",
"league_id": 389,
"league_logo": "/static/leagues/389.webp",
"league_name": "Premier League",
"league_season": 2026,
"match_date": "2026-06-21 12:00:00",
"score_fulltime_away": null,
"score_fulltime_home": null,
"status_long": "Not Started",
"status_short": "NS",
"venue_city": "Kokshetau",
"venue_name": "Okzhetpes Stadium"
},
"match_decision": {
"confidence": {
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"pred_conf_md_line_above_ev",
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"pred_conf_md_few_books_btts"
],
"breakdown_resolved": [
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"Few bookmakers for O/U odds (edge less reliable) (\u22120.5)",
"Few bookmakers for BTTS odds (edge less reliable) (\u22120.5)"
],
"score": 5.5
},
"markets": {
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"away": {
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"hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
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"edge": 0.0397,
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},
"draw": {
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"best_odd": 3.965,
"calibration": {
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"edge": 0.0168,
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},
"ev_available": true,
"home": {
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"calibration": {
"active": false,
"hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
},
"edge": -0.0927,
"ev": -0.2395,
"implied_prob": 0.5362,
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}
},
"btts": {
"best_no_odd": 1.89,
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"edge_no": -0.0308,
"edge_yes": 0.0308,
"ev_available": true,
"ev_no": -0.1325,
"ev_yes": -0.0262,
"implied_no": 0.4898,
"implied_yes": 0.5102,
"n_bookmakers": 2,
"reliability": "low"
},
"ou25": {
"best_over_odd": 1.79,
"best_under_odd": 1.98,
"edge_over": -0.0434,
"edge_under": 0.0434,
"ev_available": true,
"ev_over": -0.1372,
"ev_under": 0.0256,
"implied_over": 0.5254,
"implied_under": 0.4746,
"n_bookmakers": 2,
"reliability": "low"
}
},
"match_tier": "value_game",
"min_ev": 0.02,
"total_xg": 2.6,
"variance_flag": false
},
"unified_decision": {
"actionable_ev_threshold": 0.02,
"algorithm": {
"enabled_since": "2026-05-26",
"game_typing_module": true,
"version": "2.2.0"
},
"balanced_alternative": null,
"best_tracked_ev": 0.0768,
"confidence": 5.5,
"decision_confidence_v1": {
"breakdown": [
"pred_conf_v1_primary_line",
"pred_conf_v1_max_1x2_under_50",
"pred_conf_v1_multi_ev_lines"
],
"breakdown_resolved": [
"Primary line identified (+1.0)",
"Max 1X2 prob under 50% (no dominant 1X2) (\u22121.0)",
"Two or more valid +EV lines at threshold (+0.5)"
],
"score": 5.5
},
"execution": {
"1x2_dominant": false,
"1x2_open_contest": true,
"grade": "B",
"stake_factor": 0.5
},
"favourite_misaligned_1x2": {
"active": false,
"gap": null,
"side": null
},
"game_type": {
"label_zh": "\u5747\u8861\uff08\u5f00\u653e\u8d5b\u679c\uff09",
"scoring_type": "balanced",
"signals": {
"btts_yes_prob": 0.541,
"draw_prob": 0.2936,
"max_1x2_prob": 0.4137,
"over_prob": 0.482,
"total_xg": 2.6,
"under_prob": 0.518,
"xg_diff": 0.26
},
"type": "balanced",
"typing_weights_enabled": true
},
"hero_display_pick": null,
"longshot_picks": [],
"markets": {
"1x2": {
"decision": "value_bet",
"edge": 0.0397,
"ev": 0.0768,
"implied_prob": 0.2319,
"max_ev_side": "away",
"model_prob": 0.4137,
"side": "away",
"side_label": "FK Tobol Kostanay"
},
"btts": {
"decision": "lean",
"edge": 0.0308,
"ev": -0.0262,
"implied_prob": 0.5102,
"model_prob": 0.541,
"side": "yes",
"value_side": "yes"
},
"ou_2_5": {
"decision": "small_edge",
"edge": 0.0434,
"ev": 0.0256,
"implied_prob": 0.4746,
"model_prob": 0.518,
"side": "under",
"value_side": "under"
}
},
"match_id": 1528001,
"match_regime": {
"action": "optional",
"actionable": true,
"clear_edge": false,
"code": "thin_edge",
"execution_line_key": null,
"insight_line_key": null,
"max_valid_ev": 0.0768,
"min_ev": 0.02,
"stake_mult": 0.25,
"use_split_strip": false
},
"match_tier": "value_game",
"no_clear_primary": false,
"probabilities": {
"away": 0.4137,
"draw": 0.2936,
"home": 0.2927
},
"reason_codes": [
"model_summary"
],
"secondary_pick": null,
"secondary_picks": [],
"suppressed_primary": null,
"teams": {
"away": "FK Tobol Kostanay",
"home": "Okzhetpes"
},
"top_pick": {
"composite_score": 0.030755,
"decision": "value_bet",
"ev": 0.0768,
"implied_prob": 0.2319,
"market": "1x2",
"model_prob": 0.4137,
"not_dominant": true,
"primary_strength": "clear",
"risk_band": "medium",
"risk_tier": "primary",
"side": "away",
"side_label": "FK Tobol Kostanay",
"slot": "primary",
"speculative_primary": false
},
"valid_markets_count": 2
}
},
"fixture_id": 1528001,
"generated_at_utc": "2026-06-17T07:57:37.119501+00:00",
"lang_id": "en"
}
Bagaimana untuk menggunakan ini
- Fokus pada baris Utama apabila anda mahukan satu idea yang boleh diambil tindakan.
- Jangan parlay banyak picks tepi nipis bersama-sama;tepi tidak menambah dengan pasti.
- Anggap pukulan panjang sebagai permainan pilihan, bersaiz tinggi sahaja.
Terokai Kandungan Ramalan Lain
Dapatkan Ramalan Premium untuk Okzhetpes & FK Tobol Kostanay!
Buka analisis mendalam, tip pertaruhan eksklusif, dan ramalan perlawanan dengan perkhidmatan langganan premium kami.
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