Ramalan / Bola Sepak / Australia. Queensland NPL / WDSC Wolves vs Eastern Suburbs

WDSC Wolves vs Eastern Suburbs Ramalan, Odds & Tip Pertaruhan AI

Jun 16, 2026 - 09:30
1.32
1.28
36% 30% 34%

Penilaian Ramalan

Berhati-hatilah

Kegemaran
WDSC Wolves Perlawanan seimbang
Kebarangkalian model
36.1%
Kebarangkalian pasaran
32.1%
Perjanjian pasaran
Lemah
Pengesahan
Amaran

Ringkasan:

Model dan pasaran kedua-dua lean {pasukan}, tetapi kedua-duanya tidak menunjukkan kegemaran yang dominan. Seri dan Eastern Suburbs kekal munasabah — ini perlawanan yang agak terbuka.

Audit Pasaran

Perjanjian pasaran
Lemah
Pengesahan
Amaran
Jurang terbesar
Eastern Suburbs -10.2 pp
Keluasan
12/12
Aktiviti pasaran semasa
Belum ada pergerakan arah yang bermakna.

Anggaran saksama berbeza dengan ketara daripada harga pasaran semasa. Ini mungkin mencerminkan ketidaksetujuan yang tulen atau input penilaian yang tidak lengkap.

Penilaian Pasaran

Pasaran secara material lebih optimistik tentang {pasukan} daripada anggaran saksama semasa.

Walau bagaimanapun, WDSC Wolves telah menyaksikan hanyut — kemungkinan dipanjangkan dengan 0.0%, mencadangkan sokongan yang lemah.

Aktiviti pasaran kini tertumpu pada WDSC Wolves.

  • Pelabur mungkin memasukkan maklumat yang tidak dicerminkan sepenuhnya dalam model garis dasar.
  • Konteks khusus kejohanan boleh mengalihkan harga pasaran.
Hasil Adil Pasaran Tepi
WDSC Wolves 36.11% 32.11% +4.0 pp
Seri 29.65% 23.49% +6.2 pp
Eastern Suburbs 34.24% 44.41% -10.2 pp

Kebarangkalian saksama daripada model statistik Poisson/xG. Bukan penentu taruhan. Bukan nasihat pertaruhan.

Keputusan pertaruhan akhir

Kecekapan harga pasaran berbeza secara berbeza — 1X2 boleh menjadi hantaran sementara pasaran matlamat masih menunjukkan kelebihan.

  • Tiada nilai pada 1X2 (WDSC Wolves lwn. odds semasa)
  • Nilai yang mungkin: Kurang 2.5 (+25%+ EV pada kemungkinan terbaik)
  • Nilai yang mungkin: BTTS Tidak (+25%+ EV pada kemungkinan terbaik)
  • Significant line move — see market context below.
Sabitan sederhana (6.5/10) — satu baris terpilih, bukan parlay berbilang pasaran.
Laman pertaruhan premium 1xBet: pengguna baharu boleh guna kod promo 1x_3342271. Daftar sekarang
Pilihan utama (+EV tertinggi)
Kurang 2.5 — Nilai
EV +25%+ Model 51.8%
Menengah (nilai seimbang): BTTS Tidak (EV +25%+) — 45.5% Model
EV yang lebih rendah daripada primer, tetapi dengan kebarangkalian model yang lebih tinggi (lebih "stabil" apabila ditunjukkan).
Kedua-dua Pasukan Menjaringkan Gol Nilai terbaik (+EV)
Ya 54.5% · Tidak 45.5%
EV Ya -21.5% · EV No +25%+
Condong nilai: BTTS Tidak
1X2 Nilai lemah
WDSC Wolves · Kebarangkalian model 36.1%
Konsensus pasaran (3 hala) 32.1%
EV garisan konsensus: -6.1%
Garis pembuat taruhan terbaik yang tersedia: -4.3% EV
Sesetengah odds outlier pembuat taruhan mungkin masih menunjukkan nilai teori kecil berbanding garisan konsensus di atas.
Cerapan skor tepat Kecua / hiburan
Paling berkemungkinan
1-1
Kebarangkalian 12.5%
Skor tepat berisiko tinggi — pertaruhan kecil untuk hiburan sahaja.
Keputusan pertaruhan (model lwn. EV pasaran)
Nilai peluang — Sekurang-kurangnya satu pasaran menunjukkan anggaran +EV pada kemungkinan perpuluhan terbaik semasa (ambang: 2.0%).
Kekuatan keputusan: 6.5 / 10
  • Barisan utama dikenal pasti (+1.0)
  • EV utama melebihi 10% (+1.0)
  • Kebarangkalian maksimum 1X2 di bawah 50% (tiada 1X2 dominan) (−1.0)
  • Dua atau lebih baris +EV yang sah pada ambang (+0.5)
O/U 2.5: EV Selesai -31.6% · EV Di Bawah +25%+ (9 pasangan buku)
BTTS: EV Ya -21.5% · EV No +25%+
Should you bet on this match? Only where +EV is shown; always compare with your own limits.

WDSC Wolves market context before kickoff

⚠️ Pasaran tidak stabil on WDSC Wolves

Odds move
2.75 → 2.75 (+0.0%)
Market breadth
12/12
Steam score
30 (C)
Current status
1X2 repriced at consensus; goals markets may still show +EV.

Steam detected. Model value still remains — 1X2 looks repriced; compare Over/Under and BTTS EV cards above.

Steam measures market activity. EV measures betting value.

Kitaran Hayat Keputusan

Peringkat semasa: Amaran pengesahan model

  1. Ramalan Dijana
  2. Pasaran Berbanding
  3. Pengesahan Lulus
  4. Penutupan Dirakam
  5. CLV Dinilai
Kemasukan
2.01
Penutup
Belum selesai
CLV
Belum selesai

Taklimat AI untuk perlawanan ini belum tersedia. Selepas naik taraf pelayan, jalankan semula “Batch generate odds” untuk menjana ringkasan.

View technical JSON
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        "divergence_level": "strong",
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        "divergence_tier": "strong",
        "edge_label": "Strong disagreement",
        "edge_label_key": "strong_disagreement",
        "fair_confidence": "medium",
        "fair_confidence_label": "Medium",
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        "forecast_assessment": {
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          "favourite_label": "WDSC Wolves",
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          "headline": "Balanced match",
          "market_agreement_label": "Weak",
          "market_prob_pct": 32.1,
          "model_prob_pct": 36.1,
          "outcome_separation_tier": "low",
          "paragraphs": [],
          "reliability_headline": "Use caution",
          "reliability_icon": "!",
          "reliability_tier": "caution",
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          "tier": "balanced",
          "title": "Forecast Assessment",
          "validation_label": "Warning"
        },
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          "note": "Three outcomes remain closely bunched \u2014 treat as a relatively open match.",
          "tier": "low",
          "tier_label": "Low"
        },
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        "has_market_probs": true,
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        "hero_label": "Eastern Suburbs",
        "hero_side": "away",
        "market_activity": "No meaningful directional movement yet.",
        "market_agreement": "weak",
        "market_agreement_label": "Weak",
        "market_interpretation": {
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            "Investors may be incorporating information not fully reflected in the baseline model.",
            "Tournament-specific context can shift market pricing."
          ],
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          "gap_tier": "strong",
          "lead": "The market is materially more optimistic about Eastern Suburbs than the current fair estimate.",
          "note": "Market activity is currently concentrated on WDSC Wolves.",
          "paragraphs": [
            "The market is materially more optimistic about Eastern Suburbs than the current fair estimate.",
            "However, WDSC Wolves has seen drift \u2014 odds lengthened by 0.0%, suggesting weakening support.",
            "Market activity is currently concentrated on WDSC Wolves."
          ],
          "quiet_market": false,
          "title": "Market Assessment"
        },
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            "At the same time, WDSC Wolves has drifted \u2014 odds lengthened by 0.0%, suggesting weakening support.",
            "Broad sportsbook alignment (12/12) supports the current market view on WDSC Wolves."
          ],
          "title": "Current Market Narrative"
        },
        "max_gap_pp": 10.17,
        "model_validation": {
          "score_label_key": "mi_mv_warning",
          "status": "warning"
        },
        "model_validation_label": "Warning",
        "outcome_separation": {
          "breakdown": [
            "No outcome exceeds 50% on the 1X2 grid.",
            "Top two 1X2 outcomes within 1.9 percentage points."
          ],
          "lead_gap_pp": 1.9,
          "max_prob_pct": 36.1,
          "note": "How spread out the model 1X2 probabilities are \u2014 crowded splits mean no single outcome dominates. Not accuracy vs the market.",
          "tier": "low",
          "tier_label": "Low"
        },
        "outcome_separation_label": "Low",
        "rows": [
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            "fair_prob_pct": 36.11,
            "is_hero": false,
            "label": "WDSC Wolves",
            "market_prob_pct": 32.11,
            "side": "home"
          },
          {
            "edge_pp": 6.16,
            "fair_prob_pct": 29.65,
            "is_hero": false,
            "label": "Draw",
            "market_prob_pct": 23.49,
            "side": "draw"
          },
          {
            "edge_pp": -10.17,
            "fair_prob_pct": 34.24,
            "is_hero": true,
            "label": "Eastern Suburbs",
            "market_prob_pct": 44.41,
            "side": "away"
          }
        ],
        "status": "market_ahead",
        "status_label": "Market Ahead",
        "steam_note": "Market activity is currently concentrated on WDSC Wolves.",
        "unavailable_note": ""
      },
      "interpretation": {
        "has_conflict": true,
        "paragraphs": [
          "The betting market strongly prefers Eastern Suburbs (32.1%).",
          "This creates a conflict: Model \u2192 WDSC Wolves, Market \u2192 Eastern Suburbs, Recent sharp money \u2192 recent line movement.",
          "Because signals disagree, confidence remains limited."
        ],
        "show": true,
        "title": "OddsGPT Interpretation"
      },
      "lifecycle": {
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        "clv_pp": null,
        "clv_status": "pending",
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        "entry_implied_pct": 49.75,
        "entry_odds": 2.01,
        "model_validation_label": "Warning",
        "model_validation_status": "warning",
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            "status": "done"
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            "detail": "",
            "id": "closing_recorded",
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          {
            "detail": "",
            "id": "clv_evaluated",
            "label": "CLV Evaluated",
            "status": "pending"
          }
        ]
      },
      "market_move_intelligence": {
        "show": false
      },
      "market_overview": {
        "breadth_display": "12/12",
        "current_odds": 2.75,
        "move_display": "+0.0%",
        "open_odds": 2.75,
        "pick_team": "WDSC Wolves",
        "steam_score": 30,
        "steam_team_name": "WDSC Wolves",
        "steam_tier": "C"
      },
      "premium_teaser": {
        "current_divergence_pp": 10.2,
        "divergence_label": "Current divergence",
        "title": "Premium Market Intelligence",
        "unlock_items": [
          "Historical similar matches",
          "Closing odds analysis",
          "CLV tracking",
          "Sharp money signals",
          "Market efficiency rating",
          "Historical model vs market results"
        ],
        "unlock_label": "Unlock"
      },
      "show": true
    },
    "match": {
      "away_expected_goals": null,
      "away_team_id": 2531,
      "away_team_logo": "/static/teams/2531.webp",
      "away_team_name": "Eastern Suburbs",
      "country_code": "AU",
      "country_flag": "/static/images/country/au.svg",
      "country_name": "Australia",
      "fixture_id": 1524029,
      "goals_away": null,
      "goals_home": null,
      "home_expected_goals": null,
      "home_team_country": "Australia",
      "home_team_id": 11184,
      "home_team_logo": "/static/teams/11184.webp",
      "home_team_name": "WDSC Wolves",
      "league_country": "Australia",
      "league_id": 482,
      "league_logo": "/static/leagues/482.webp",
      "league_name": "Queensland NPL",
      "league_season": 2026,
      "match_date": "2026-06-16 09:30:00",
      "score_fulltime_away": null,
      "score_fulltime_home": null,
      "status_long": "Not Started",
      "status_short": "NS",
      "venue_city": null,
      "venue_name": null
    },
    "match_decision": {
      "confidence": {
        "breakdown": [
          "pred_conf_md_max_1x2_under_50",
          "pred_conf_md_top_two_close",
          "pred_conf_md_line_above_ev"
        ],
        "breakdown_resolved": [
          "Max 1X2 prob under 50% (open contest) (\u22121.0)",
          "Top two outcomes relatively close in probability (\u22120.5)",
          "At least one tracked line above +EV threshold (+0.5)"
        ],
        "score": 6.0
      },
      "markets": {
        "1x2": {
          "1x2_ev_mode": "market_first_p15",
          "away": {
            "alpha": 0.3814,
            "best_odd": 2.01,
            "calibration": {
              "active": false,
              "hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
            },
            "edge": -0.0388,
            "ev": -0.1854,
            "implied_prob": 0.4441,
            "model_prob": 0.3424,
            "p_final": 0.4053
          },
          "draw": {
            "alpha": 0.2722,
            "best_odd": 3.8,
            "calibration": {
              "active": false,
              "hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
            },
            "edge": 0.0168,
            "ev": -0.0435,
            "implied_prob": 0.2349,
            "model_prob": 0.2967,
            "p_final": 0.2517
          },
          "ev_available": true,
          "home": {
            "alpha": 0.4231,
            "best_odd": 2.78,
            "calibration": {
              "active": false,
              "hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
            },
            "edge": 0.0169,
            "ev": -0.0606,
            "implied_prob": 0.3211,
            "model_prob": 0.3609,
            "p_final": 0.3379
          }
        },
        "btts": {
          "best_no_odd": 2.97,
          "best_yes_odd": 1.44,
          "edge_no": 0.1225,
          "edge_yes": -0.1225,
          "ev_available": true,
          "ev_no": 0.3514,
          "ev_yes": -0.2152,
          "implied_no": 0.3325,
          "implied_yes": 0.6675,
          "n_bookmakers": 8,
          "reliability": "medium"
        },
        "ou25": {
          "best_over_odd": 1.42,
          "best_under_odd": 2.97,
          "edge_over": -0.1856,
          "edge_under": 0.1856,
          "ev_available": true,
          "ev_over": -0.3156,
          "ev_under": 0.5385,
          "implied_over": 0.6676,
          "implied_under": 0.3324,
          "n_bookmakers": 9,
          "reliability": "medium"
        }
      },
      "match_tier": "value_game",
      "min_ev": 0.02,
      "total_xg": 2.6,
      "variance_flag": false
    },
    "unified_decision": {
      "actionable_ev_threshold": 0.02,
      "algorithm": {
        "enabled_since": "2026-05-26",
        "game_typing_module": true,
        "version": "2.2.0"
      },
      "balanced_alternative": null,
      "best_tracked_ev": 0.5385,
      "confidence": 6.5,
      "decision_confidence_v1": {
        "breakdown": [
          "pred_conf_v1_primary_line",
          "pred_conf_v1_primary_ev_above_10",
          "pred_conf_v1_max_1x2_under_50",
          "pred_conf_v1_multi_ev_lines"
        ],
        "breakdown_resolved": [
          "Primary line identified (+1.0)",
          "Primary EV above 10% (+1.0)",
          "Max 1X2 prob under 50% (no dominant 1X2) (\u22121.0)",
          "Two or more valid +EV lines at threshold (+0.5)"
        ],
        "score": 6.5
      },
      "execution": {
        "1x2_dominant": false,
        "1x2_open_contest": true,
        "grade": "A",
        "stake_factor": 1.0
      },
      "favourite_misaligned_1x2": {
        "active": false,
        "gap": null,
        "side": null
      },
      "game_type": {
        "label_zh": "\u5747\u8861\uff08\u5f00\u653e\u8d5b\u679c\uff09",
        "scoring_type": "balanced",
        "signals": {
          "btts_yes_prob": 0.545,
          "draw_prob": 0.2967,
          "max_1x2_prob": 0.3609,
          "over_prob": 0.482,
          "total_xg": 2.6,
          "under_prob": 0.518,
          "xg_diff": 0.04
        },
        "type": "balanced",
        "typing_weights_enabled": true
      },
      "hero_display_pick": null,
      "longshot_picks": [],
      "markets": {
        "1x2": {
          "decision": "no_bet",
          "edge": 0.0169,
          "ev": -0.0606,
          "implied_prob": 0.3211,
          "max_ev_side": "draw",
          "model_prob": 0.3609,
          "side": "home",
          "side_label": "WDSC Wolves"
        },
        "btts": {
          "decision": "value_bet",
          "edge": 0.1225,
          "ev": 0.3514,
          "implied_prob": 0.3325,
          "model_prob": 0.455,
          "side": "no",
          "value_side": "no"
        },
        "ou_2_5": {
          "decision": "value_bet",
          "edge": 0.1856,
          "ev": 0.5385,
          "implied_prob": 0.3324,
          "model_prob": 0.518,
          "side": "under",
          "value_side": "under"
        }
      },
      "match_id": 1524029,
      "match_regime": {
        "action": "bet",
        "actionable": true,
        "clear_edge": true,
        "code": "clear_edge",
        "execution_line_key": null,
        "insight_line_key": null,
        "max_valid_ev": 0.5385,
        "min_ev": 0.02,
        "stake_mult": 1.0,
        "use_split_strip": false
      },
      "match_tier": "value_game",
      "no_clear_primary": false,
      "probabilities": {
        "away": 0.3424,
        "draw": 0.2967,
        "home": 0.3609
      },
      "reason_codes": [
        "no_ev_1x2"
      ],
      "secondary_pick": {
        "decision": "value_bet",
        "ev": 0.3514,
        "implied_prob": 0.3325,
        "market": "btts",
        "model_prob": 0.455,
        "not_dominant": true,
        "risk_band": "medium",
        "risk_tier": "secondary",
        "side": "no",
        "slot": "secondary"
      },
      "secondary_picks": [
        {
          "decision": "value_bet",
          "ev": 0.3514,
          "implied_prob": 0.3325,
          "market": "btts",
          "model_prob": 0.455,
          "not_dominant": true,
          "risk_band": "medium",
          "risk_tier": "secondary",
          "side": "no",
          "slot": "secondary"
        }
      ],
      "suppressed_primary": null,
      "teams": {
        "away": "Eastern Suburbs",
        "home": "WDSC Wolves"
      },
      "top_pick": {
        "composite_score": 0.19526,
        "decision": "value_bet",
        "ev": 0.5385,
        "implied_prob": 0.3324,
        "market": "ou_2_5",
        "model_prob": 0.518,
        "not_dominant": false,
        "primary_strength": "clear",
        "risk_band": "strong",
        "risk_tier": "primary",
        "side": "under",
        "slot": "primary",
        "speculative_primary": false
      },
      "valid_markets_count": 2
    }
  },
  "fixture_id": 1524029,
  "generated_at_utc": "2026-06-13T12:25:48.761961+00:00",
  "lang_id": "en"
}
Bagaimana untuk menggunakan ini
  • Fokus pada baris Utama apabila anda mahukan satu idea yang boleh diambil tindakan.
  • Jangan parlay banyak picks tepi nipis bersama-sama;tepi tidak menambah dengan pasti.
  • Anggap pukulan panjang sebagai permainan pilihan, bersaiz tinggi sahaja.

Dapatkan Ramalan Premium untuk WDSC Wolves & Eastern Suburbs!

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