Ya 62.0% · Tidak 38.0%
EV Ya +25%+ · EV No -32.7%
Condong nilai: BTTS Ya
Penilaian Prediksi
Prediksi yang boleh dipercayai
- Kegemaran
- São Bernardo Kegemaran sikit
- Kebarangkalian model
- 45.0%
- Kebarangkalian pasaran
- 36.8%
- Perjanjian pasaran
- Sederhana
- Pengesahan
- lulus
Ringkasan:
Model bersandar {pasukan}, dengan pemisahan sederhana daripada hasil lain. Pantau pergerakan pasaran sebelum sepak mula.
Log masuk untuk melihat keputusan pertaruhan penuh
Daftar percuma untuk membuka kunci keputusan pertaruhan akhir — pasaran mana lulus, di mana +EV mungkin wujud, dan amaran steam.
Perisikan Pergerakan Pasaran
- Pergerakan semasa
- São Bernardo ↓ -4.0% 2.5 → 2.4
- Jenis bergerak
- ⚠️ Pasaran tidak stabil
- Skor Stim
- 14C
Limited conviction - Keluasan pasaran
- 2/12
- fasa
- Tidak stabil
- Buku rujuk
- Bet365
- Pengesahan CLV
- Waiting for Close
Pergerakan tajam paling ketara
Laluan Odds — São Bernardo
🐢 Drift perlahan selama 32j
Buka
2.60
Rendah / Tinggi
2.28
semasa
2.40
Naratif Pasaran
Harga dua hala tidak stabil pada São Bernardo (ayunan 2.60 → 2.28 → 2.40) — bersih 4.0% tetapi turun naik intrahari tinggi.
Price swings look choppy — volatility reduced overall confidence in the directional signal.
Audit Pasaran
- Perjanjian pasaran
- Sederhana
- Pengesahan
- lulus
- Jurang terbesar
- São Bernardo +8.2 pp
- Keluasan
- 2/12
- Aktiviti pasaran semasa
- São Bernardo kemungkinan dipendekkan ↓ -4.0%.
Anggaran saksama dan harga pasaran berbeza secara sederhana. Pantau sebelum sepak mula.
Penilaian Pasaran
Anggaran saksama menunjukkan kelebihan sederhana berbanding harga pasaran semasa pada São Bernardo.
Pengesahan kekal terhad (2/12 buku), mencadangkan minat awal dan bukannya pergerakan pasaran yang luas.
- Pantau pergerakan barisan sebelum sepak mula — bukan cadangan pertaruhan.
| Hasil | Adil | Pasaran | Tepi |
|---|---|---|---|
| São Bernardo | 45.05% | 36.83% | +8.2 pp |
| Seri | 26.38% | 32.23% | -5.8 pp |
| Juventude | 28.57% | 30.94% | -2.4 pp |
Kebarangkalian saksama daripada model statistik Poisson/xG. Bukan penentu taruhan. Bukan nasihat pertaruhan.
Keputusan pertaruhan akhir
Kecekapan harga pasaran berbeza secara berbeza — 1X2 boleh menjadi hantaran sementara pasaran matlamat masih menunjukkan kelebihan.
- Nilai yang mungkin pada 1X2: São Bernardo (+1.0% EV pada kemungkinan terbaik)
- Nilai yang mungkin: Lebih 2.5 (+25%+ EV pada kemungkinan terbaik)
- Nilai yang mungkin: BTTS Ya (+25%+ EV pada kemungkinan terbaik)
Sabitan sederhana (6.5/10) — satu baris terpilih, bukan parlay berbilang pasaran.
Laman pertaruhan premium 1xBet: pengguna baharu boleh guna kod promo 1x_3342271. Daftar sekarang
Pilihan utama (+EV tertinggi)
Lebih 2.5
— Nilai
São Bernardo · Kebarangkalian model 45.0%
Konsensus pasaran (3 hala) 36.8%
EV garisan konsensus: +1.0%
Paling berkemungkinan
1-1
Kebarangkalian 10.8%
Skor tepat berisiko tinggi — pertaruhan kecil untuk hiburan sahaja.
Keputusan pertaruhan (model lwn. EV pasaran)
Nilai peluang — Sekurang-kurangnya satu pasaran menunjukkan anggaran +EV pada kemungkinan perpuluhan terbaik semasa (ambang: 2.0%).
Kekuatan keputusan: 6.5 / 10
- Barisan utama dikenal pasti (+1.0)
- EV utama melebihi 10% (+1.0)
- Kebarangkalian maksimum 1X2 di bawah 50% (tiada 1X2 dominan) (−1.0)
- Dua atau lebih baris +EV yang sah pada ambang (+0.5)
O/U 2.5:
EV Selesai +25%+ ·
EV Di Bawah -36.4%
(8 pasangan buku)
BTTS: EV Ya +25%+ · EV No -32.7%
BTTS: EV Ya +25%+ · EV No -32.7%
Kitaran Hayat Keputusan
Peringkat semasa: Pemantauan pasaran
- Prediksi Dijana
- Pasaran Berbanding
- Pengesahan Lulus
- Penutupan Dirakam
- CLV Dinilai
- Kemasukan
- 2.52
- Penutup
- Belum selesai
- CLV
- Belum selesai
Enjin Keputusan OddsGPT v2.2.0
Sentiasa diperhalusi menggunakan prestasi model, data pasaran dan keputusan sejarah.
Semak Odds di 1xBet
Taklimat AI untuk perlawanan ini belum tersedia. Selepas naik taraf pelayan, jalankan semula “Batch generate odds” untuk menjana ringkasan.
View technical JSON
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"lead_gap_pp": 16.5,
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"side": "away"
}
],
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"move_context": "Sharpest sharp-led move",
"move_display": "\u2193 -4.0%",
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"narrative_paragraphs": [
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"value": "2.60"
},
{
"label_key": "extreme",
"value": "2.28"
},
{
"label_key": "current",
"value": "2.40"
}
],
"sparkline_polyline": "0.0,0.0 56.0,18.0",
"sparkline_trend": "down",
"sparkline_trend_label": "One-way drop"
},
"open_odds": 2.5,
"page_alert_line": "",
"phase_label": "Volatile",
"phase_tip": "High disagreement or chop \u2014 low reliability for directional bets.",
"pick_team": "S\u00e3o Bernardo",
"ref_book": "Bet365",
"seo_title_alert": "",
"sharp_leader": "Bet365",
"show": true,
"signal_badge_class": "warn",
"signal_icon": "\u26a0\ufe0f",
"signal_key": "volatile_market",
"signal_label": "Volatile market",
"steam_score": 14,
"steam_subtitle": "Limited conviction",
"steam_tier": "C",
"title": "Market Move Intelligence"
},
"market_overview": {
"breadth_display": "2/12",
"current_odds": 2.4,
"move_display": "\u2193 -4.0%",
"open_odds": 2.5,
"pick_team": "S\u00e3o Bernardo",
"steam_score": 14,
"steam_team_name": "S\u00e3o Bernardo",
"steam_tier": "C"
},
"premium_teaser": {
"current_divergence_pp": 8.2,
"divergence_label": "Current divergence",
"title": "Premium Market Intelligence",
"unlock_items": [
"Historical similar matches",
"Closing odds analysis",
"CLV tracking",
"Sharp money signals",
"Market efficiency rating",
"Historical model vs market results"
],
"unlock_label": "Unlock"
},
"show": true
},
"match": {
"away_expected_goals": null,
"away_team_id": 152,
"away_team_logo": "/static/teams/152.webp",
"away_team_name": "Juventude",
"country_code": "BR",
"country_flag": "/static/images/country/br.svg",
"country_name": "Brazil",
"fixture_id": 1520737,
"goals_away": null,
"goals_home": null,
"home_expected_goals": null,
"home_team_country": "Brazil",
"home_team_id": 7865,
"home_team_logo": "/static/teams/7865.webp",
"home_team_name": "S\u00e3o Bernardo",
"league_country": "Brazil",
"league_id": 72,
"league_logo": "/static/leagues/72.webp",
"league_name": "Serie B",
"league_season": 2026,
"match_date": "2026-06-21 20:00:00",
"score_fulltime_away": null,
"score_fulltime_home": null,
"status_long": "Not Started",
"status_short": "NS",
"venue_city": "Sao Bernardo",
"venue_name": "Estadio Primeiro de Maio"
},
"match_decision": {
"confidence": {
"breakdown": [
"pred_conf_md_max_1x2_under_50",
"pred_conf_md_line_above_ev"
],
"breakdown_resolved": [
"Max 1X2 prob under 50% (open contest) (\u22121.0)",
"At least one tracked line above +EV threshold (+0.5)"
],
"score": 6.5
},
"markets": {
"1x2": {
"1x2_ev_mode": "market_first_p15",
"away": {
"alpha": 0.2893,
"best_odd": 3.0,
"calibration": {
"active": false,
"hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
},
"edge": -0.0069,
"ev": -0.0924,
"implied_prob": 0.3094,
"model_prob": 0.2857,
"p_final": 0.3025
},
"draw": {
"alpha": 0.4106,
"best_odd": 2.88,
"calibration": {
"active": false,
"hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
},
"edge": -0.024,
"ev": -0.1409,
"implied_prob": 0.3223,
"model_prob": 0.2638,
"p_final": 0.2983
},
"ev_available": true,
"home": {
"alpha": 0.3946,
"best_odd": 2.52,
"calibration": {
"active": false,
"hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
},
"edge": 0.0324,
"ev": 0.0098,
"implied_prob": 0.3683,
"model_prob": 0.4504,
"p_final": 0.4007
}
},
"btts": {
"best_no_odd": 1.77,
"best_yes_odd": 2.1,
"edge_no": -0.1618,
"edge_yes": 0.1618,
"ev_available": true,
"ev_no": -0.3274,
"ev_yes": 0.302,
"implied_no": 0.5418,
"implied_yes": 0.4582,
"n_bookmakers": 8,
"reliability": "medium"
},
"ou25": {
"best_over_odd": 2.62,
"best_under_odd": 1.55,
"edge_over": 0.2145,
"edge_under": -0.2145,
"ev_available": true,
"ev_over": 0.5458,
"ev_under": -0.3645,
"implied_over": 0.3755,
"implied_under": 0.6245,
"n_bookmakers": 8,
"reliability": "medium"
}
},
"match_tier": "value_game",
"min_ev": 0.02,
"total_xg": 3.06,
"variance_flag": false
},
"unified_decision": {
"actionable_ev_threshold": 0.02,
"algorithm": {
"enabled_since": "2026-05-26",
"game_typing_module": true,
"version": "2.2.0"
},
"balanced_alternative": null,
"best_tracked_ev": 0.5458,
"confidence": 6.5,
"decision_confidence_v1": {
"breakdown": [
"pred_conf_v1_primary_line",
"pred_conf_v1_primary_ev_above_10",
"pred_conf_v1_max_1x2_under_50",
"pred_conf_v1_multi_ev_lines"
],
"breakdown_resolved": [
"Primary line identified (+1.0)",
"Primary EV above 10% (+1.0)",
"Max 1X2 prob under 50% (no dominant 1X2) (\u22121.0)",
"Two or more valid +EV lines at threshold (+0.5)"
],
"score": 6.5
},
"execution": {
"1x2_dominant": false,
"1x2_open_contest": true,
"grade": "A",
"stake_factor": 1.0
},
"favourite_misaligned_1x2": {
"active": false,
"gap": null,
"side": null
},
"game_type": {
"label_zh": "\u5927\u5f00\u5927\u5408\uff08\u8fdb\u7403\u578b\uff09",
"scoring_type": "high_scoring",
"signals": {
"btts_yes_prob": 0.62,
"draw_prob": 0.2638,
"max_1x2_prob": 0.4504,
"over_prob": 0.59,
"total_xg": 3.06,
"under_prob": 0.41,
"xg_diff": 0.38
},
"type": "high_scoring",
"typing_weights_enabled": true
},
"hero_display_pick": null,
"longshot_picks": [],
"markets": {
"1x2": {
"decision": "small_edge",
"edge": 0.0324,
"ev": 0.0098,
"implied_prob": 0.3683,
"max_ev_side": "home",
"model_prob": 0.4504,
"side": "home",
"side_label": "S\u00e3o Bernardo"
},
"btts": {
"decision": "value_bet",
"edge": 0.1618,
"ev": 0.302,
"implied_prob": 0.4582,
"model_prob": 0.62,
"side": "yes",
"value_side": "yes"
},
"ou_2_5": {
"decision": "value_bet",
"edge": 0.2145,
"ev": 0.5458,
"implied_prob": 0.3755,
"model_prob": 0.59,
"side": "over",
"value_side": "over"
}
},
"match_id": 1520737,
"match_regime": {
"action": "bet",
"actionable": true,
"clear_edge": true,
"code": "clear_edge",
"execution_line_key": null,
"insight_line_key": null,
"max_valid_ev": 0.5458,
"min_ev": 0.02,
"stake_mult": 1.0,
"use_split_strip": false
},
"match_tier": "value_game",
"no_clear_primary": false,
"probabilities": {
"away": 0.2857,
"draw": 0.2638,
"home": 0.4504
},
"reason_codes": [
"high_total_goals"
],
"secondary_pick": {
"decision": "value_bet",
"ev": 0.302,
"implied_prob": 0.4582,
"market": "btts",
"model_prob": 0.62,
"not_dominant": false,
"risk_band": "strong",
"risk_tier": "secondary",
"side": "yes",
"slot": "secondary"
},
"secondary_picks": [
{
"decision": "value_bet",
"ev": 0.302,
"implied_prob": 0.4582,
"market": "btts",
"model_prob": 0.62,
"not_dominant": false,
"risk_band": "strong",
"risk_tier": "secondary",
"side": "yes",
"slot": "secondary"
}
],
"suppressed_primary": null,
"teams": {
"away": "Juventude",
"home": "S\u00e3o Bernardo"
},
"top_pick": {
"composite_score": 0.402527,
"decision": "value_bet",
"ev": 0.5458,
"implied_prob": 0.3755,
"market": "ou_2_5",
"model_prob": 0.59,
"not_dominant": false,
"primary_strength": "clear",
"risk_band": "strong",
"risk_tier": "primary",
"side": "over",
"slot": "primary",
"speculative_primary": false
},
"valid_markets_count": 2
}
},
"fixture_id": 1520737,
"generated_at_utc": "2026-06-17T08:46:24.498182+00:00",
"lang_id": "en"
}
Bagaimana untuk menggunakan ini
- Fokus pada baris Utama apabila anda mahukan satu idea yang boleh diambil tindakan.
- Jangan parlay banyak picks tepi nipis bersama-sama;tepi tidak menambah dengan pasti.
- Anggap pukulan panjang sebagai permainan pilihan, bersaiz tinggi sahaja.
Terokai Kandungan Ramalan Lain
Dapatkan Ramalan Premium untuk São Bernardo & Juventude!
Buka analisis mendalam, tip pertaruhan eksklusif, dan ramalan perlawanan dengan perkhidmatan langganan premium kami.
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