Ya 58.6% · Tidak 41.4%
EV Ya +23.1% · EV No -28.0%
Condong nilai: BTTS Ya
Penilaian Ramalan
Berhati-hatilah
- Kegemaran
- Athletic Club Kegemaran
- Kebarangkalian model
- 63.6%
- Kebarangkalian pasaran
- 35.9%
- Perjanjian pasaran
- Lemah
- Pengesahan
- Amaran
Ringkasan:
Model dan pasaran bersandar pada sisi yang sama pada Athletic Club, tetapi jurang harga memerlukan berhati-hati.
Log masuk untuk melihat keputusan pertaruhan penuh
Daftar percuma untuk membuka kunci keputusan pertaruhan akhir — pasaran mana lulus, di mana +EV mungkin wujud, dan amaran steam.
Audit Pasaran
- Perjanjian pasaran
- Lemah
- Pengesahan
- Amaran
- Jurang terbesar
- Athletic Club +27.7 pp
- Keluasan
- 12/12
- Aktiviti pasaran semasa
- Belum ada pergerakan arah yang bermakna.
Anggaran saksama berbeza dengan ketara daripada harga pasaran semasa. Perbezaan besar boleh berlaku apabila input penarafan tidak lengkap, anggaran kekuatan pasukan tidak pasti, atau pasaran menggabungkan maklumat yang tidak terdapat dalam model. Tafsir dengan berhati-hati.
| Hasil | Adil | Pasaran | Tepi |
|---|---|---|---|
| Athletic Club | 63.56% | 35.86% | +27.7 pp |
| Seri | 21.41% | 31.08% | -9.7 pp |
| Goias | 15.03% | 33.06% | -18.0 pp |
Kebarangkalian saksama daripada model statistik Poisson/xG. Bukan penentu taruhan. Bukan nasihat pertaruhan.
Pengesahan Model Diperlukan
Model dan pasaran berbeza secara material (27.7 mata peratusan). Pengesahan tambahan disyorkan sebelum mentafsir perbandingan ini.
- Perbezaan model-pasaran yang melampau dikesan.
Laman pertaruhan premium 1xBet: pengguna baharu boleh guna kod promo 1x_3342271. Daftar sekarang
Pilihan utama (+EV tertinggi)
Lebih 2.5
— Nilai
Athletic Club · Kebarangkalian model 63.6%
Konsensus pasaran (3 hala) 35.9%
EV garisan konsensus: +12.2%
Paling berkemungkinan
2-1
Kebarangkalian 9.8%
Skor tepat berisiko tinggi — pertaruhan kecil untuk hiburan sahaja.
Keputusan pertaruhan (model lwn. EV pasaran)
Nilai peluang — Sekurang-kurangnya satu pasaran menunjukkan anggaran +EV pada kemungkinan perpuluhan terbaik semasa (ambang: 2.0%).
Kekuatan keputusan: 7.5 / 10
- Barisan utama dikenal pasti (+1.0)
- EV utama melebihi 10% (+1.0)
- Dua atau lebih baris +EV yang sah pada ambang (+0.5)
O/U 2.5:
EV Selesai +25%+ ·
EV Di Bawah -43.8%
(10 pasangan buku)
BTTS: EV Ya +23.1% · EV No -28.0%
BTTS: EV Ya +23.1% · EV No -28.0%
Athletic Club market context before kickoff
⚠️ Pasaran tidak stabil on Athletic Club
- Odds move
- 2.60 → 2.60 (+0.0%)
- Market breadth
- 12/12
- Steam score
- 30 (C)
- Current status
- Tracked markets may still show +EV at best odds.
Steam detected. Model value still remains on tracked markets — compare EV cards above.
Steam measures market activity. EV measures betting value.
Kitaran Hayat Keputusan
Peringkat semasa: Amaran pengesahan model
- Ramalan Dijana
- Pasaran Berbanding
- Pengesahan Lulus
- Penutupan Dirakam
- CLV Dinilai
- Kemasukan
- 2.6
- Penutup
- Belum selesai
- CLV
- Belum selesai
Enjin Keputusan OddsGPT v2.2.0
Sentiasa diperhalusi menggunakan prestasi model, data pasaran dan keputusan sejarah.
Semak Odds di 1xBet
Taklimat AI untuk perlawanan ini belum tersedia. Selepas naik taraf pelayan, jalankan semula “Batch generate odds” untuk menjana ringkasan.
View technical JSON
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"edge_label": "Extreme disagreement",
"edge_label_key": "extreme_disagreement",
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"fair_confidence_label": "Medium",
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"outcome_separation_tier": "high",
"paragraphs": [],
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"reliability_icon": "!",
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"tier": "favourite",
"title": "Forecast Assessment",
"validation_label": "Warning"
},
"forecast_certainty": {
"note": "One outcome clearly leads the model 1X2 grid.",
"tier": "high",
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},
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"has_market_probs": true,
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"hero_side": "home",
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],
"lead_gap_pp": 42.2,
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"note": "How spread out the model 1X2 probabilities are \u2014 crowded splits mean no single outcome dominates. Not accuracy vs the market.",
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}
],
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"steam_note": "",
"unavailable_note": ""
},
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"paragraphs": [
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"title": "OddsGPT Interpretation"
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"lifecycle": {
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{
"detail": "",
"id": "closing_recorded",
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{
"detail": "",
"id": "clv_evaluated",
"label": "CLV Evaluated",
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},
"market_move_intelligence": {
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},
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"current_odds": 2.6,
"move_display": "+0.0%",
"open_odds": 2.6,
"pick_team": "Athletic Club",
"steam_score": 30,
"steam_team_name": "Athletic Club",
"steam_tier": "C"
},
"premium_teaser": {
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"divergence_label": "Current divergence",
"title": "Premium Market Intelligence",
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"show": true
},
"match": {
"away_expected_goals": null,
"away_team_id": 151,
"away_team_logo": "/static/teams/151.webp",
"away_team_name": "Goias",
"country_code": "BR",
"country_flag": "/static/images/country/br.svg",
"country_name": "Brazil",
"fixture_id": 1520720,
"goals_away": null,
"goals_home": null,
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"home_team_id": 13975,
"home_team_logo": "/static/teams/13975.webp",
"home_team_name": "Athletic Club",
"league_country": "Brazil",
"league_id": 72,
"league_logo": "/static/leagues/72.webp",
"league_name": "Serie B",
"league_season": 2026,
"match_date": "2026-06-14 19:00:00",
"score_fulltime_away": null,
"score_fulltime_home": null,
"status_long": "Not Started",
"status_short": "NS",
"venue_city": "Minas Gerais",
"venue_name": null
},
"match_decision": {
"confidence": {
"breakdown": [
"pred_conf_md_strong_fav_1x2",
"pred_conf_md_line_above_ev"
],
"breakdown_resolved": [
"Strong favourite in 1X2 model (+1.5)",
"At least one tracked line above +EV threshold (+0.5)"
],
"score": 9.0
},
"markets": {
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"away": {
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"best_odd": 2.82,
"calibration": {
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"hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
},
"edge": -0.0592,
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"p_final": 0.2714
},
"draw": {
"alpha": 0.2564,
"best_odd": 3.0,
"calibration": {
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"hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
},
"edge": -0.0249,
"ev": -0.1422,
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"p_final": 0.2859
},
"ev_available": true,
"home": {
"alpha": 0.2627,
"best_odd": 2.6,
"calibration": {
"active": false,
"hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
},
"edge": 0.0729,
"ev": 0.1219,
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"model_prob": 0.636,
"p_final": 0.4315
}
},
"btts": {
"best_no_odd": 1.74,
"best_yes_odd": 2.1,
"edge_no": -0.131,
"edge_yes": 0.131,
"ev_available": true,
"ev_no": -0.2796,
"ev_yes": 0.2306,
"implied_no": 0.545,
"implied_yes": 0.455,
"n_bookmakers": 9,
"reliability": "medium"
},
"ou25": {
"best_over_odd": 2.56,
"best_under_odd": 1.54,
"edge_over": 0.2536,
"edge_under": -0.2546,
"ev_available": true,
"ev_over": 0.623,
"ev_under": -0.4379,
"implied_over": 0.3804,
"implied_under": 0.6196,
"n_bookmakers": 10,
"reliability": "medium"
}
},
"match_tier": "value_game",
"min_ev": 0.02,
"total_xg": 3.27,
"variance_flag": false
},
"unified_decision": {
"actionable_ev_threshold": 0.02,
"algorithm": {
"enabled_since": "2026-05-26",
"game_typing_module": true,
"version": "2.2.0"
},
"balanced_alternative": null,
"best_tracked_ev": 0.623,
"confidence": 7.5,
"decision_confidence_v1": {
"breakdown": [
"pred_conf_v1_primary_line",
"pred_conf_v1_primary_ev_above_10",
"pred_conf_v1_multi_ev_lines"
],
"breakdown_resolved": [
"Primary line identified (+1.0)",
"Primary EV above 10% (+1.0)",
"Two or more valid +EV lines at threshold (+0.5)"
],
"score": 7.5
},
"execution": {
"1x2_dominant": true,
"1x2_open_contest": false,
"grade": "A",
"stake_factor": 1.0
},
"favourite_misaligned_1x2": {
"active": false,
"gap": null,
"side": null
},
"game_type": {
"label_zh": "\u5f3a\u4fe1\u53f7\uff08\u4f4e\u65b9\u5dee\uff09",
"scoring_type": "strong_signal",
"signals": {
"btts_yes_prob": 0.586,
"draw_prob": 0.2138,
"max_1x2_prob": 0.636,
"over_prob": 0.634,
"total_xg": 3.27,
"under_prob": 0.365,
"xg_diff": 1.21
},
"type": "strong_signal",
"typing_weights_enabled": true
},
"hero_display_pick": null,
"longshot_picks": [],
"markets": {
"1x2": {
"decision": "value_bet",
"edge": 0.0729,
"ev": 0.1219,
"implied_prob": 0.3586,
"max_ev_side": "home",
"model_prob": 0.636,
"side": "home",
"side_label": "Athletic Club"
},
"btts": {
"decision": "value_bet",
"edge": 0.131,
"ev": 0.2306,
"implied_prob": 0.455,
"model_prob": 0.586,
"side": "yes",
"value_side": "yes"
},
"ou_2_5": {
"decision": "value_bet",
"edge": 0.2536,
"ev": 0.623,
"implied_prob": 0.3804,
"model_prob": 0.634,
"side": "over",
"value_side": "over"
}
},
"match_id": 1520720,
"match_regime": {
"action": "bet",
"actionable": true,
"clear_edge": true,
"code": "clear_edge",
"execution_line_key": null,
"insight_line_key": null,
"max_valid_ev": 0.623,
"min_ev": 0.02,
"stake_mult": 1.0,
"use_split_strip": false
},
"match_tier": "value_game",
"no_clear_primary": false,
"probabilities": {
"away": 0.1502,
"draw": 0.2138,
"home": 0.636
},
"reason_codes": [
"high_total_goals"
],
"secondary_pick": {
"decision": "value_bet",
"ev": 0.2306,
"implied_prob": 0.455,
"market": "btts",
"model_prob": 0.586,
"not_dominant": false,
"risk_band": "strong",
"risk_tier": "secondary",
"side": "yes",
"slot": "secondary"
},
"secondary_picks": [
{
"decision": "value_bet",
"ev": 0.2306,
"implied_prob": 0.455,
"market": "btts",
"model_prob": 0.586,
"not_dominant": false,
"risk_band": "strong",
"risk_tier": "secondary",
"side": "yes",
"slot": "secondary"
},
{
"decision": "value_bet",
"ev": 0.1219,
"implied_prob": 0.3586,
"market": "1x2",
"model_prob": 0.636,
"not_dominant": false,
"risk_band": "strong",
"risk_tier": "secondary",
"side": "home",
"side_label": "Athletic Club",
"slot": "secondary"
}
],
"suppressed_primary": null,
"teams": {
"away": "Goias",
"home": "Athletic Club"
},
"top_pick": {
"composite_score": 0.394982,
"decision": "value_bet",
"ev": 0.623,
"implied_prob": 0.3804,
"market": "ou_2_5",
"model_prob": 0.634,
"not_dominant": false,
"primary_strength": "clear",
"risk_band": "strong",
"risk_tier": "primary",
"side": "over",
"slot": "primary",
"speculative_primary": false
},
"valid_markets_count": 3
}
},
"fixture_id": 1520720,
"generated_at_utc": "2026-06-12T05:39:57.562475+00:00",
"lang_id": "en"
}
Bagaimana untuk menggunakan ini
- Fokus pada baris Utama apabila anda mahukan satu idea yang boleh diambil tindakan.
- Jangan parlay banyak picks tepi nipis bersama-sama;tepi tidak menambah dengan pasti.
- Anggap pukulan panjang sebagai permainan pilihan, bersaiz tinggi sahaja.
Terokai Kandungan Ramalan Lain
Dapatkan Ramalan Premium untuk Athletic Club & Goias!
Buka analisis mendalam, tip pertaruhan eksklusif, dan ramalan perlawanan dengan perkhidmatan langganan premium kami.
Langgan Sekarang
Brazil. Serie B Ramalan
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