Ramalan / Bola Sepak / Australia. New South Wales NPL 2 / Dulwich Hill vs Blacktown Spartans

Dulwich Hill vs Blacktown Spartans Ramalan, Odds & Tip Pertaruhan AI

Jun 20, 2026 - 07:00
1.19
1.41
30% 29% 40%

Penilaian Prediksi

Berhati-hatilah

Kegemaran
Blacktown Spartans Perlawanan seimbang
Kebarangkalian model
40.4%
Kebarangkalian pasaran
54.9%
Perjanjian pasaran
Lemah
Pengesahan
Amaran

Ringkasan:

Kedua-dua {pasukan} kurus, tetapi harga pasaran mereka lebih tinggi (54.9% vs model 40.4%). Kelebihan kekal sederhana dan perlawanan kekal terbuka.

Audit Pasaran

Perjanjian pasaran
Lemah
Pengesahan
Amaran
Jurang terbesar
Blacktown Spartans -14.5 pp
Keluasan
1/1
Aktiviti pasaran semasa
Belum ada pergerakan arah yang bermakna.

Anggaran saksama berbeza dengan ketara daripada harga pasaran semasa. Ini mungkin mencerminkan ketidaksetujuan yang tulen atau input penilaian yang tidak lengkap.

Penilaian Pasaran

Pasaran secara material lebih optimistik tentang {pasukan} daripada anggaran saksama semasa.

Walau bagaimanapun, Dulwich Hill telah menyaksikan hanyut — kemungkinan dipanjangkan dengan 0.0%, mencadangkan sokongan yang lemah.

Aktiviti pasaran kini tertumpu pada Dulwich Hill.

  • Pelabur mungkin memasukkan maklumat yang tidak dicerminkan sepenuhnya dalam model garis dasar.
  • Konteks khusus kejohanan boleh mengalihkan harga pasaran.
Hasil Adil Pasaran Tepi
Dulwich Hill 30.14% 22.75% +7.4 pp
Seri 29.44% 22.36% +7.1 pp
Blacktown Spartans 40.42% 54.89% -14.5 pp

Kebarangkalian saksama daripada model statistik Poisson/xG. Bukan penentu taruhan. Bukan nasihat pertaruhan.

Keputusan pertaruhan akhir

Kecekapan harga pasaran berbeza secara berbeza — 1X2 boleh menjadi hantaran sementara pasaran matlamat masih menunjukkan kelebihan.

  • Tiada nilai pada 1X2 (Blacktown Spartans lwn. odds semasa)
  • Nilai yang mungkin: Kurang 2.5 (+25%+ EV pada kemungkinan terbaik)
  • Nilai yang mungkin: BTTS Tidak (+13.1% EV pada kemungkinan terbaik)
Sabitan sederhana (6.5/10) — satu baris terpilih, bukan parlay berbilang pasaran.
Laman pertaruhan premium 1xBet: pengguna baharu boleh guna kod promo 1x_3342271. Daftar sekarang
Pilihan utama (+EV tertinggi)
Kurang 2.5 — Nilai
EV +25%+ Model 51.8%
Menengah (nilai seimbang): BTTS Tidak (EV +13.1%) — 45.8% Model
EV yang lebih rendah daripada primer, tetapi dengan kebarangkalian model yang lebih tinggi (lebih "stabil" apabila ditunjukkan).
Kedua-dua Pasukan Menjaringkan Gol Nilai terbaik (+EV)
Ya 54.2% · Tidak 45.8%
EV Ya -17.6% · EV No +13.1%
Condong nilai: BTTS Tidak
1X2 Nilai lemah
Blacktown Spartans · Kebarangkalian model 40.5%
Konsensus pasaran (3 hala) 54.9%
EV garisan konsensus: -19.7%
Garis pembuat taruhan terbaik yang tersedia: -3.0% EV
Sesetengah odds outlier pembuat taruhan mungkin masih menunjukkan nilai teori kecil berbanding garisan konsensus di atas.
Cerapan skor tepat Kecua / hiburan
Paling berkemungkinan
1-1
Kebarangkalian 12.5%
Skor tepat berisiko tinggi — pertaruhan kecil untuk hiburan sahaja.
Keputusan pertaruhan (model lwn. EV pasaran)
Nilai peluang — Sekurang-kurangnya satu pasaran menunjukkan anggaran +EV pada kemungkinan perpuluhan terbaik semasa (ambang: 2.0%).
Kekuatan keputusan: 6.5 / 10
  • Barisan utama dikenal pasti (+1.0)
  • EV utama melebihi 10% (+1.0)
  • Kebarangkalian maksimum 1X2 di bawah 50% (tiada 1X2 dominan) (−1.0)
  • Dua atau lebih baris +EV yang sah pada ambang (+0.5)
O/U 2.5: EV Selesai -30.1% · EV Di Bawah +25%+ (1 pasangan buku)
BTTS: EV Ya -17.6% · EV No +13.1%
Should you bet on this match? Only where +EV is shown; always compare with your own limits.

Kitaran Hayat Keputusan

Peringkat semasa: Amaran pengesahan model

  1. Prediksi Dijana
  2. Pasaran Berbanding
  3. Pengesahan Lulus
  4. Penutupan Dirakam
  5. CLV Dinilai
Kemasukan
1.67
Penutup
Belum selesai
CLV
Belum selesai

Taklimat AI untuk perlawanan ini belum tersedia. Selepas naik taraf pelayan, jalankan semula “Batch generate odds” untuk menjana ringkasan.

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        "edge_label": "Strong disagreement",
        "edge_label_key": "strong_disagreement",
        "fair_confidence": "medium",
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        "forecast_assessment": {
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          "favourite_label": "Blacktown Spartans",
          "forecast_certainty_tier": "low",
          "headline": "Balanced match",
          "market_agreement_label": "Weak",
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          "validation_label": "Warning"
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          "tier": "low",
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        "market_agreement": "weak",
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            "Investors may be incorporating information not fully reflected in the baseline model.",
            "Tournament-specific context can shift market pricing."
          ],
          "follow_up": "However, Dulwich Hill has seen drift \u2014 odds lengthened by 0.0%, suggesting weakening support.",
          "gap_tier": "strong",
          "lead": "The market is materially more optimistic about Blacktown Spartans than the current fair estimate.",
          "note": "Market activity is currently concentrated on Dulwich Hill.",
          "paragraphs": [
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            "However, Dulwich Hill has seen drift \u2014 odds lengthened by 0.0%, suggesting weakening support.",
            "Market activity is currently concentrated on Dulwich Hill."
          ],
          "quiet_market": false,
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            "At the same time, Dulwich Hill has drifted \u2014 odds lengthened by 0.0%, suggesting weakening support.",
            "Broad sportsbook alignment (1/1) supports the current market view on Dulwich Hill."
          ],
          "title": "Current Market Narrative"
        },
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        "model_validation": {
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          "status": "warning"
        },
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        "outcome_separation": {
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          ],
          "lead_gap_pp": 10.3,
          "max_prob_pct": 40.4,
          "note": "How spread out the model 1X2 probabilities are \u2014 crowded splits mean no single outcome dominates. Not accuracy vs the market.",
          "tier": "medium",
          "tier_label": "Medium"
        },
        "outcome_separation_label": "Medium",
        "rows": [
          {
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            "is_hero": false,
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            "side": "home"
          },
          {
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            "is_hero": false,
            "label": "Draw",
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            "side": "draw"
          },
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            "is_hero": true,
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            "market_prob_pct": 54.89,
            "side": "away"
          }
        ],
        "status": "market_ahead",
        "status_label": "Market Ahead",
        "steam_note": "Market activity is currently concentrated on Dulwich Hill.",
        "unavailable_note": ""
      },
      "interpretation": {
        "has_conflict": true,
        "paragraphs": [
          "The betting market strongly prefers Blacktown Spartans (54.9%).",
          "This creates a conflict: Model \u2192 Blacktown Spartans, Market \u2192 Blacktown Spartans, Recent sharp money \u2192 recent line movement.",
          "Because signals disagree, confidence remains limited."
        ],
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        "title": "OddsGPT Interpretation"
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        "current_stage_label": "Model validation warning",
        "entry_implied_pct": 59.88,
        "entry_odds": 1.67,
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        "model_validation_status": "warning",
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            "id": "clv_evaluated",
            "label": "CLV Evaluated",
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      "market_move_intelligence": {
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        "breadth_display": "1/1",
        "current_odds": 4.03,
        "move_display": "+0.0%",
        "open_odds": 4.03,
        "pick_team": "Dulwich Hill",
        "steam_score": 32,
        "steam_team_name": "Dulwich Hill",
        "steam_tier": "C"
      },
      "premium_teaser": {
        "current_divergence_pp": 14.5,
        "divergence_label": "Current divergence",
        "title": "Premium Market Intelligence",
        "unlock_items": [
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          "Closing odds analysis",
          "CLV tracking",
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          "Market efficiency rating",
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      },
      "show": true
    },
    "match": {
      "away_expected_goals": null,
      "away_team_id": 16771,
      "away_team_logo": "/static/teams/16771.webp",
      "away_team_name": "Blacktown Spartans",
      "country_code": "AU",
      "country_flag": "/static/images/country/au.svg",
      "country_name": "Australia",
      "fixture_id": 1517794,
      "goals_away": null,
      "goals_home": null,
      "home_expected_goals": null,
      "home_team_country": "Australia",
      "home_team_id": 20793,
      "home_team_logo": "/static/teams/20793.webp",
      "home_team_name": "Dulwich Hill",
      "league_country": "Australia",
      "league_id": 835,
      "league_logo": "/static/leagues/835.webp",
      "league_name": "New South Wales NPL 2",
      "league_season": 2026,
      "match_date": "2026-06-20 07:00:00",
      "score_fulltime_away": null,
      "score_fulltime_home": null,
      "status_long": "Not Started",
      "status_short": "NS",
      "venue_city": null,
      "venue_name": null
    },
    "match_decision": {
      "confidence": {
        "breakdown": [
          "pred_conf_md_max_1x2_under_50",
          "pred_conf_md_line_above_ev",
          "pred_conf_md_few_books_ou",
          "pred_conf_md_few_books_btts"
        ],
        "breakdown_resolved": [
          "Max 1X2 prob under 50% (open contest) (\u22121.0)",
          "At least one tracked line above +EV threshold (+0.5)",
          "Few bookmakers for O/U odds (edge less reliable) (\u22120.5)",
          "Few bookmakers for BTTS odds (edge less reliable) (\u22120.5)"
        ],
        "score": 5.5
      },
      "markets": {
        "1x2": {
          "1x2_ev_mode": "market_first_p15",
          "away": {
            "alpha": 0.4703,
            "best_odd": 1.67,
            "calibration": {
              "active": false,
              "hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
            },
            "edge": -0.0678,
            "ev": -0.1965,
            "implied_prob": 0.5489,
            "model_prob": 0.4048,
            "p_final": 0.4811
          },
          "draw": {
            "alpha": 0.1789,
            "best_odd": 4.1,
            "calibration": {
              "active": false,
              "hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
            },
            "edge": 0.0126,
            "ev": -0.0316,
            "implied_prob": 0.2236,
            "model_prob": 0.2941,
            "p_final": 0.2362
          },
          "ev_available": true,
          "home": {
            "alpha": 0.1779,
            "best_odd": 4.03,
            "calibration": {
              "active": false,
              "hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
            },
            "edge": 0.0131,
            "ev": -0.0305,
            "implied_prob": 0.2275,
            "model_prob": 0.3012,
            "p_final": 0.2406
          }
        },
        "btts": {
          "best_no_odd": 2.47,
          "best_yes_odd": 1.52,
          "edge_no": 0.077,
          "edge_yes": -0.077,
          "ev_available": true,
          "ev_no": 0.1313,
          "ev_yes": -0.1762,
          "implied_no": 0.381,
          "implied_yes": 0.619,
          "n_bookmakers": 1,
          "reliability": "low"
        },
        "ou25": {
          "best_over_odd": 1.45,
          "best_under_odd": 2.55,
          "edge_over": -0.1555,
          "edge_under": 0.1555,
          "ev_available": true,
          "ev_over": -0.3011,
          "ev_under": 0.3209,
          "implied_over": 0.6375,
          "implied_under": 0.3625,
          "n_bookmakers": 1,
          "reliability": "low"
        }
      },
      "match_tier": "value_game",
      "min_ev": 0.02,
      "total_xg": 2.6,
      "variance_flag": false
    },
    "unified_decision": {
      "actionable_ev_threshold": 0.02,
      "algorithm": {
        "enabled_since": "2026-05-26",
        "game_typing_module": true,
        "version": "2.2.0"
      },
      "balanced_alternative": null,
      "best_tracked_ev": 0.3209,
      "confidence": 6.5,
      "decision_confidence_v1": {
        "breakdown": [
          "pred_conf_v1_primary_line",
          "pred_conf_v1_primary_ev_above_10",
          "pred_conf_v1_max_1x2_under_50",
          "pred_conf_v1_multi_ev_lines"
        ],
        "breakdown_resolved": [
          "Primary line identified (+1.0)",
          "Primary EV above 10% (+1.0)",
          "Max 1X2 prob under 50% (no dominant 1X2) (\u22121.0)",
          "Two or more valid +EV lines at threshold (+0.5)"
        ],
        "score": 6.5
      },
      "execution": {
        "1x2_dominant": false,
        "1x2_open_contest": true,
        "grade": "A",
        "stake_factor": 1.0
      },
      "favourite_misaligned_1x2": {
        "active": false,
        "gap": null,
        "side": null
      },
      "game_type": {
        "label_zh": "\u5747\u8861\uff08\u5f00\u653e\u8d5b\u679c\uff09",
        "scoring_type": "balanced",
        "signals": {
          "btts_yes_prob": 0.542,
          "draw_prob": 0.2941,
          "max_1x2_prob": 0.4048,
          "over_prob": 0.482,
          "total_xg": 2.6,
          "under_prob": 0.518,
          "xg_diff": 0.22
        },
        "type": "balanced",
        "typing_weights_enabled": true
      },
      "hero_display_pick": null,
      "longshot_picks": [],
      "markets": {
        "1x2": {
          "decision": "no_bet",
          "edge": -0.0678,
          "ev": -0.1965,
          "implied_prob": 0.5489,
          "max_ev_side": "home",
          "model_prob": 0.4048,
          "side": "away",
          "side_label": "Blacktown Spartans"
        },
        "btts": {
          "decision": "value_bet",
          "edge": 0.077,
          "ev": 0.1313,
          "implied_prob": 0.381,
          "model_prob": 0.458,
          "side": "no",
          "value_side": "no"
        },
        "ou_2_5": {
          "decision": "value_bet",
          "edge": 0.1555,
          "ev": 0.3209,
          "implied_prob": 0.3625,
          "model_prob": 0.518,
          "side": "under",
          "value_side": "under"
        }
      },
      "match_id": 1517794,
      "match_regime": {
        "action": "bet",
        "actionable": true,
        "clear_edge": true,
        "code": "clear_edge",
        "execution_line_key": null,
        "insight_line_key": null,
        "max_valid_ev": 0.3209,
        "min_ev": 0.02,
        "stake_mult": 1.0,
        "use_split_strip": false
      },
      "match_tier": "value_game",
      "no_clear_primary": false,
      "probabilities": {
        "away": 0.4048,
        "draw": 0.2941,
        "home": 0.3012
      },
      "reason_codes": [
        "no_ev_1x2"
      ],
      "secondary_pick": {
        "decision": "value_bet",
        "ev": 0.1313,
        "implied_prob": 0.381,
        "market": "btts",
        "model_prob": 0.458,
        "not_dominant": true,
        "risk_band": "medium",
        "risk_tier": "secondary",
        "side": "no",
        "slot": "secondary"
      },
      "secondary_picks": [
        {
          "decision": "value_bet",
          "ev": 0.1313,
          "implied_prob": 0.381,
          "market": "btts",
          "model_prob": 0.458,
          "not_dominant": true,
          "risk_band": "medium",
          "risk_tier": "secondary",
          "side": "no",
          "slot": "secondary"
        }
      ],
      "suppressed_primary": null,
      "teams": {
        "away": "Blacktown Spartans",
        "home": "Dulwich Hill"
      },
      "top_pick": {
        "composite_score": 0.088432,
        "decision": "value_bet",
        "ev": 0.3209,
        "implied_prob": 0.3625,
        "market": "ou_2_5",
        "model_prob": 0.518,
        "not_dominant": false,
        "primary_strength": "clear",
        "risk_band": "strong",
        "risk_tier": "primary",
        "side": "under",
        "slot": "primary",
        "speculative_primary": false
      },
      "valid_markets_count": 2
    }
  },
  "fixture_id": 1517794,
  "generated_at_utc": "2026-06-17T07:00:36.207064+00:00",
  "lang_id": "en"
}
Bagaimana untuk menggunakan ini
  • Fokus pada baris Utama apabila anda mahukan satu idea yang boleh diambil tindakan.
  • Jangan parlay banyak picks tepi nipis bersama-sama;tepi tidak menambah dengan pasti.
  • Anggap pukulan panjang sebagai permainan pilihan, bersaiz tinggi sahaja.

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