Penilaian Ramalan
Ramalan yang boleh dipercayai
- Kegemaran
- Sydney United Perlawanan seimbang
- Kebarangkalian model
- 39.7%
- Kebarangkalian pasaran
- 49.6%
- Perjanjian pasaran
- Sederhana
- Pengesahan
- lulus
Ringkasan:
Kedua-dua {pasukan} kurus, tetapi harga pasaran mereka lebih tinggi (49.6% vs model 39.7%). Kelebihan kekal sederhana dan perlawanan kekal terbuka.
Log masuk untuk melihat keputusan pertaruhan penuh
Daftar percuma untuk membuka kunci keputusan pertaruhan akhir — pasaran mana lulus, di mana +EV mungkin wujud, dan amaran steam.
Audit Pasaran
- Perjanjian pasaran
- Sederhana
- Pengesahan
- lulus
- Jurang terbesar
- Sydney United -9.9 pp
- Keluasan
- 13/13
- Aktiviti pasaran semasa
- Belum ada pergerakan arah yang bermakna.
Anggaran saksama dan harga pasaran berbeza secara sederhana. Pantau sebelum sepak mula.
Penilaian Pasaran
Pasaran dan model secara umum bersetuju dengan Sydney United. Perbezaan yang selebihnya mungkin mencerminkan perbezaan dalam andaian kekuatan pasukan dan bukannya perselisihan arah.
Walau bagaimanapun, Manly United telah menyaksikan hanyut — kemungkinan dipanjangkan dengan 0.0%, mencadangkan sokongan yang lemah.
Aktiviti pasaran kini tertumpu pada Manly United.
- Pantau pergerakan barisan sebelum sepak mula — bukan cadangan pertaruhan.
| Hasil | Adil | Pasaran | Tepi |
|---|---|---|---|
| Manly United | 31.42% | 24.32% | +7.1 pp |
| Seri | 28.87% | 26.03% | +2.8 pp |
| Sydney United | 39.71% | 49.64% | -9.9 pp |
Kebarangkalian saksama daripada model statistik Poisson/xG. Bukan penentu taruhan. Bukan nasihat pertaruhan.
Keputusan pertaruhan akhir
Tiada pertaruhan lalai pada ambang standard — gunakan lean untuk konteks sahaja.
- Tiada nilai pada 1X2 (Sydney United lwn. odds semasa)
- Tepi nipis: Lebih 2.5 (+0.2% — di bawah bar saiz lalai)
- Tepi nipis: BTTS Ya (+2.9% — di bawah bar saiz lalai)
- Significant line move — see market context below.
- Kebarangkalian maksimum 1X2 di bawah 50% (tiada 1X2 dominan) (−1.0)
BTTS: EV Ya +2.9% · EV No -9.8%
Manly United market context before kickoff
⚠️ Pasaran tidak stabil on Manly United
- Odds move
- 3.70 → 3.70 (+0.0%)
- Market breadth
- 13/13
- Steam score
- 30 (C)
- Current status
- 1X2 repriced at consensus; goals markets may still show +EV.
Steam detected. Model value still remains — 1X2 looks repriced; compare Over/Under and BTTS EV cards above.
Steam measures market activity. EV measures betting value.
Kitaran Hayat Keputusan
Peringkat semasa: Pemantauan pasaran
- Ramalan Dijana
- Pasaran Berbanding
- Pengesahan Lulus
- Penutupan Dirakam
- CLV Dinilai
- Kemasukan
- 1.82
- Penutup
- Belum selesai
- CLV
- Belum selesai
Taklimat AI untuk perlawanan ini belum tersedia. Selepas naik taraf pelayan, jalankan semula “Batch generate odds” untuk menjana ringkasan.
View technical JSON
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"best_no_odd": 2.06,
"best_yes_odd": 1.83,
"edge_no": -0.039,
"edge_yes": 0.039,
"ev_available": true,
"ev_no": -0.0977,
"ev_yes": 0.0285,
"implied_no": 0.477,
"implied_yes": 0.523,
"n_bookmakers": 9,
"reliability": "medium"
},
"ou25": {
"best_over_odd": 1.98,
"best_under_odd": 1.86,
"edge_over": 0.0118,
"edge_under": -0.0118,
"ev_available": true,
"ev_over": 0.0019,
"ev_under": -0.0812,
"implied_over": 0.4942,
"implied_under": 0.5058,
"n_bookmakers": 10,
"reliability": "medium"
}
},
"match_tier": "value_game",
"min_ev": 0.02,
"total_xg": 2.7,
"variance_flag": false
},
"unified_decision": {
"actionable_ev_threshold": 0.02,
"algorithm": {
"enabled_since": "2026-05-26",
"game_typing_module": true,
"version": "2.2.0"
},
"balanced_alternative": null,
"best_tracked_ev": 0.0285,
"confidence": 4.0,
"decision_confidence_v1": {
"breakdown": [
"pred_conf_v1_max_1x2_under_50"
],
"breakdown_resolved": [
"Max 1X2 prob under 50% (no dominant 1X2) (\u22121.0)"
],
"score": 4.0
},
"execution": {
"1x2_dominant": false,
"1x2_open_contest": true,
"grade": "C",
"stake_factor": 0.0
},
"favourite_misaligned_1x2": {
"active": false,
"gap": null,
"side": null
},
"game_type": {
"label_zh": "\u672a\u5206\u578b",
"scoring_type": "neutral",
"signals": {
"btts_yes_prob": 0.562,
"draw_prob": 0.2889,
"max_1x2_prob": 0.3967,
"over_prob": 0.506,
"total_xg": 2.7,
"under_prob": 0.494,
"xg_diff": 0.18
},
"type": "neutral",
"typing_weights_enabled": true
},
"hero_display_pick": {
"decision": "small_edge",
"ev": 0.0285,
"hero_display_only": true,
"implied_prob": 0.523,
"market": "btts",
"model_prob": 0.562,
"not_dominant": false,
"risk_band": "strong",
"risk_tier": "hero_display",
"side": "yes",
"slot": "hero_display"
},
"longshot_picks": [],
"markets": {
"1x2": {
"decision": "no_bet",
"edge": -0.0509,
"ev": -0.1869,
"implied_prob": 0.4964,
"max_ev_side": "home",
"model_prob": 0.3967,
"side": "away",
"side_label": "Sydney United"
},
"btts": {
"decision": "small_edge",
"edge": 0.039,
"ev": 0.0285,
"implied_prob": 0.523,
"model_prob": 0.562,
"side": "yes",
"value_side": "yes"
},
"ou_2_5": {
"decision": "small_edge",
"edge": 0.0118,
"ev": 0.0019,
"implied_prob": 0.4942,
"model_prob": 0.506,
"side": "over",
"value_side": "over"
}
},
"match_id": 1517568,
"match_regime": {
"action": "optional",
"actionable": false,
"clear_edge": false,
"code": "thin_edge",
"execution_line_key": "pred_regime_exec_no_actionable",
"insight_line_key": "pred_regime_insight_minor_inefficiency",
"max_valid_ev": 0.0285,
"min_ev": 0.02,
"stake_mult": 0.25,
"use_split_strip": true
},
"match_tier": "value_game",
"no_clear_primary": false,
"probabilities": {
"away": 0.3967,
"draw": 0.2889,
"home": 0.3144
},
"reason_codes": [
"no_ev_1x2",
"high_total_goals"
],
"secondary_pick": null,
"secondary_picks": [],
"suppressed_primary": null,
"teams": {
"away": "Sydney United",
"home": "Manly United"
},
"top_pick": null,
"valid_markets_count": 1
}
},
"fixture_id": 1517568,
"generated_at_utc": "2026-06-12T00:29:02.431528+00:00",
"lang_id": "en"
}
- Fokus pada baris Utama apabila anda mahukan satu idea yang boleh diambil tindakan.
- Jangan parlay banyak picks tepi nipis bersama-sama;tepi tidak menambah dengan pasti.
- Anggap pukulan panjang sebagai permainan pilihan, bersaiz tinggi sahaja.
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