Penilaian Ramalan
Ramalan yang boleh dipercayai
- Kegemaran
- Nosaby Perlawanan seimbang
- Kebarangkalian model
- 35.6%
- Kebarangkalian pasaran
- 32.7%
- Perjanjian pasaran
- Sederhana
- Pengesahan
- lulus
Ringkasan:
Model dan pasaran kedua-dua lean {pasukan}, tetapi kedua-duanya tidak menunjukkan kegemaran yang dominan. Seri dan Österlen kekal munasabah — ini perlawanan yang agak terbuka.
Log masuk untuk melihat keputusan pertaruhan penuh
Daftar percuma untuk membuka kunci keputusan pertaruhan akhir — pasaran mana lulus, di mana +EV mungkin wujud, dan amaran steam.
Perisikan Pergerakan Pasaran
- Pergerakan semasa
- Österlen ↑ +2.3% 2.15 → 2.2
- Jenis bergerak
- ⚠️ Pasaran tidak stabil
- Skor Stim
- 4C
Limited conviction - Keluasan pasaran
- 2/12
- fasa
- Tidak stabil
- Buku rujuk
- Bet365
- Pengesahan CLV
- Waiting for Close
Laluan Odds — Österlen
— Garis stabil
Naratif Pasaran
Harga dua hala tidak stabil pada Österlen (ayunan 2.35 → 2.09 → 2.20) — bersih 2.3% tetapi turun naik intrahari tinggi.
Price swings look choppy — volatility reduced overall confidence in the directional signal.
Audit Pasaran
- Perjanjian pasaran
- Sederhana
- Pengesahan
- lulus
- Jurang terbesar
- Österlen -6.2 pp
- Keluasan
- 2/12
- Aktiviti pasaran semasa
- Österlen odds dipanjangkan ↑ +2.3%.
Anggaran saksama dan harga pasaran berbeza secara sederhana. Pantau sebelum sepak mula.
Penilaian Pasaran
Pasaran dan model secara umum bersetuju dengan Österlen. Perbezaan yang selebihnya mungkin mencerminkan perbezaan dalam andaian kekuatan pasukan dan bukannya perselisihan arah.
Pengesahan kekal terhad (2/12 buku), mencadangkan minat awal dan bukannya pergerakan pasaran yang luas.
- Pantau pergerakan barisan sebelum sepak mula — bukan cadangan pertaruhan.
| Hasil | Adil | Pasaran | Tepi |
|---|---|---|---|
| Österlen | 34.7% | 40.93% | -6.2 pp |
| Seri | 29.65% | 26.33% | +3.3 pp |
| Nosaby | 35.64% | 32.74% | +2.9 pp |
Kebarangkalian saksama daripada model statistik Poisson/xG. Bukan penentu taruhan. Bukan nasihat pertaruhan.
Keputusan pertaruhan akhir
Kecekapan harga pasaran berbeza secara berbeza — 1X2 boleh menjadi hantaran sementara pasaran matlamat masih menunjukkan kelebihan.
- Tiada nilai pada 1X2 (Nosaby lwn. odds semasa)
- Nilai yang mungkin: Kurang 2.5 (+21.7% EV pada kemungkinan terbaik)
- Nilai yang mungkin: BTTS Tidak (+19.7% EV pada kemungkinan terbaik)
- Barisan utama dikenal pasti (+1.0)
- EV utama melebihi 10% (+1.0)
- Kebarangkalian maksimum 1X2 di bawah 50% (tiada 1X2 dominan) (−1.0)
- Dua atau lebih baris +EV yang sah pada ambang (+0.5)
BTTS: EV Ya -18.2% · EV No +19.7%
Kitaran Hayat Keputusan
Peringkat semasa: Pemantauan pasaran
- Ramalan Dijana
- Pasaran Berbanding
- Pengesahan Lulus
- Penutupan Dirakam
- CLV Dinilai
- Kemasukan
- 2.2
- Penutup
- Belum selesai
- CLV
- Belum selesai
Taklimat AI untuk perlawanan ini belum tersedia. Selepas naik taraf pelayan, jalankan semula “Batch generate odds” untuk menjana ringkasan.
View technical JSON
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"model_prob": 0.2968,
"p_final": 0.2737
},
"ev_available": true,
"home": {
"alpha": 0.4144,
"best_odd": 2.265,
"calibration": {
"active": false,
"hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
},
"edge": -0.0218,
"ev": -0.1435,
"implied_prob": 0.4,
"model_prob": 0.3473,
"p_final": 0.3781
}
},
"btts": {
"best_no_odd": 2.63,
"best_yes_odd": 1.5,
"edge_no": 0.0817,
"edge_yes": -0.0817,
"ev_available": true,
"ev_no": 0.1966,
"ev_yes": -0.1825,
"implied_no": 0.3733,
"implied_yes": 0.6267,
"n_bookmakers": 8,
"reliability": "medium"
},
"ou25": {
"best_over_odd": 1.6,
"best_under_odd": 2.35,
"edge_over": -0.1075,
"edge_under": 0.1075,
"ev_available": true,
"ev_over": -0.2288,
"ev_under": 0.2173,
"implied_over": 0.5895,
"implied_under": 0.4105,
"n_bookmakers": 8,
"reliability": "medium"
}
},
"match_tier": "value_game",
"min_ev": 0.02,
"total_xg": 2.6,
"variance_flag": false
},
"unified_decision": {
"actionable_ev_threshold": 0.02,
"algorithm": {
"enabled_since": "2026-05-26",
"game_typing_module": true,
"version": "2.2.0"
},
"balanced_alternative": null,
"best_tracked_ev": 0.2173,
"confidence": 6.5,
"decision_confidence_v1": {
"breakdown": [
"pred_conf_v1_primary_line",
"pred_conf_v1_primary_ev_above_10",
"pred_conf_v1_max_1x2_under_50",
"pred_conf_v1_multi_ev_lines"
],
"breakdown_resolved": [
"Primary line identified (+1.0)",
"Primary EV above 10% (+1.0)",
"Max 1X2 prob under 50% (no dominant 1X2) (\u22121.0)",
"Two or more valid +EV lines at threshold (+0.5)"
],
"score": 6.5
},
"execution": {
"1x2_dominant": false,
"1x2_open_contest": true,
"grade": "A",
"stake_factor": 1.0
},
"favourite_misaligned_1x2": {
"active": false,
"gap": null,
"side": null
},
"game_type": {
"label_zh": "\u5747\u8861\uff08\u5f00\u653e\u8d5b\u679c\uff09",
"scoring_type": "balanced",
"signals": {
"btts_yes_prob": 0.545,
"draw_prob": 0.2968,
"max_1x2_prob": 0.3559,
"over_prob": 0.482,
"total_xg": 2.6,
"under_prob": 0.518,
"xg_diff": 0.02
},
"type": "balanced",
"typing_weights_enabled": true
},
"hero_display_pick": null,
"longshot_picks": [],
"markets": {
"1x2": {
"decision": "no_bet",
"edge": 0.0089,
"ev": -0.07,
"implied_prob": 0.3355,
"max_ev_side": "draw",
"model_prob": 0.3559,
"side": "away",
"side_label": "Nosaby"
},
"btts": {
"decision": "value_bet",
"edge": 0.0817,
"ev": 0.1966,
"implied_prob": 0.3733,
"model_prob": 0.455,
"side": "no",
"value_side": "no"
},
"ou_2_5": {
"decision": "value_bet",
"edge": 0.1075,
"ev": 0.2173,
"implied_prob": 0.4105,
"model_prob": 0.518,
"side": "under",
"value_side": "under"
}
},
"match_id": 1510957,
"match_regime": {
"action": "bet",
"actionable": true,
"clear_edge": true,
"code": "clear_edge",
"execution_line_key": null,
"insight_line_key": null,
"max_valid_ev": 0.2173,
"min_ev": 0.02,
"stake_mult": 1.0,
"use_split_strip": false
},
"match_tier": "value_game",
"no_clear_primary": false,
"probabilities": {
"away": 0.3559,
"draw": 0.2968,
"home": 0.3473
},
"reason_codes": [
"no_ev_1x2"
],
"secondary_pick": {
"decision": "value_bet",
"ev": 0.2173,
"implied_prob": 0.4105,
"market": "ou_2_5",
"model_prob": 0.518,
"not_dominant": false,
"risk_band": "strong",
"risk_tier": "secondary",
"side": "under",
"slot": "secondary"
},
"secondary_picks": [
{
"decision": "value_bet",
"ev": 0.2173,
"implied_prob": 0.4105,
"market": "ou_2_5",
"model_prob": 0.518,
"not_dominant": false,
"risk_band": "strong",
"risk_tier": "secondary",
"side": "under",
"slot": "secondary"
}
],
"suppressed_primary": null,
"teams": {
"away": "Nosaby",
"home": "\u00d6sterlen"
},
"top_pick": {
"composite_score": 0.089453,
"decision": "value_bet",
"ev": 0.1966,
"implied_prob": 0.3733,
"market": "btts",
"model_prob": 0.455,
"not_dominant": true,
"primary_strength": "clear",
"risk_band": "medium",
"risk_tier": "primary",
"side": "no",
"slot": "primary",
"speculative_primary": false
},
"valid_markets_count": 2
}
},
"fixture_id": 1510957,
"generated_at_utc": "2026-06-12T06:56:20.893069+00:00",
"lang_id": "en"
}
- Fokus pada baris Utama apabila anda mahukan satu idea yang boleh diambil tindakan.
- Jangan parlay banyak picks tepi nipis bersama-sama;tepi tidak menambah dengan pasti.
- Anggap pukulan panjang sebagai permainan pilihan, bersaiz tinggi sahaja.
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