Ramalan yang boleh dipercayai
Ringkasan:
Model dan pasaran kedua-dua lean {pasukan}, tetapi kedua-duanya tidak menunjukkan kegemaran yang dominan. Seri dan Österlen kekal munasabah — ini perlawanan yang agak terbuka.
Log masuk untuk melihat keputusan pertaruhan penuh
Daftar percuma untuk membuka kunci keputusan pertaruhan akhir — pasaran mana lulus, di mana +EV mungkin wujud, dan amaran steam.
— Garis stabil
Harga dua hala tidak stabil pada Österlen (ayunan 2.35 → 2.09 → 2.20) — bersih 2.3% tetapi turun naik intrahari tinggi.
Price swings look choppy — volatility reduced overall confidence in the directional signal.
Anggaran saksama dan harga pasaran berbeza secara sederhana. Pantau sebelum sepak mula.
Pasaran dan model secara umum bersetuju dengan Österlen. Perbezaan yang selebihnya mungkin mencerminkan perbezaan dalam andaian kekuatan pasukan dan bukannya perselisihan arah.
Pengesahan kekal terhad (2/12 buku), mencadangkan minat awal dan bukannya pergerakan pasaran yang luas.
| Hasil | Adil | Pasaran | Tepi |
|---|---|---|---|
| Österlen | 34.7% | 40.93% | -6.2 pp |
| Seri | 29.65% | 26.33% | +3.3 pp |
| Nosaby | 35.64% | 32.74% | +2.9 pp |
Kebarangkalian saksama daripada model statistik Poisson/xG. Bukan penentu taruhan. Bukan nasihat pertaruhan.
Kecekapan harga pasaran berbeza secara berbeza — 1X2 boleh menjadi hantaran sementara pasaran matlamat masih menunjukkan kelebihan.
Peringkat semasa: Pemantauan pasaran
Taklimat AI untuk perlawanan ini belum tersedia. Selepas naik taraf pelayan, jalankan semula “Batch generate odds” untuk menjana ringkasan.
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"draw": {
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"best_odd": 3.42,
"calibration": {
"active": false,
"hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
},
"edge": 0.0095,
"ev": -0.0669,
"implied_prob": 0.2633,
"model_prob": 0.2968,
"p_final": 0.2728
},
"ev_available": true,
"home": {
"alpha": 0.4081,
"best_odd": 2.2,
"calibration": {
"active": false,
"hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
},
"edge": -0.0253,
"ev": -0.1552,
"implied_prob": 0.4093,
"model_prob": 0.3473,
"p_final": 0.384
}
},
"btts": {
"best_no_odd": 2.63,
"best_yes_odd": 1.5,
"edge_no": 0.0814,
"edge_yes": -0.0814,
"ev_available": true,
"ev_no": 0.1966,
"ev_yes": -0.1825,
"implied_no": 0.3736,
"implied_yes": 0.6264,
"n_bookmakers": 8,
"reliability": "medium"
},
"ou25": {
"best_over_odd": 1.57,
"best_under_odd": 2.35,
"edge_over": -0.1075,
"edge_under": 0.1075,
"ev_available": true,
"ev_over": -0.2433,
"ev_under": 0.2173,
"implied_over": 0.5895,
"implied_under": 0.4105,
"n_bookmakers": 9,
"reliability": "medium"
}
},
"match_tier": "value_game",
"min_ev": 0.02,
"total_xg": 2.6,
"variance_flag": false
},
"unified_decision": {
"actionable_ev_threshold": 0.02,
"algorithm": {
"enabled_since": "2026-05-26",
"game_typing_module": true,
"version": "2.2.0"
},
"balanced_alternative": null,
"best_tracked_ev": 0.2173,
"confidence": 6.5,
"decision_confidence_v1": {
"breakdown": [
"pred_conf_v1_primary_line",
"pred_conf_v1_primary_ev_above_10",
"pred_conf_v1_max_1x2_under_50",
"pred_conf_v1_multi_ev_lines"
],
"breakdown_resolved": [
"Primary line identified (+1.0)",
"Primary EV above 10% (+1.0)",
"Max 1X2 prob under 50% (no dominant 1X2) (\u22121.0)",
"Two or more valid +EV lines at threshold (+0.5)"
],
"score": 6.5
},
"execution": {
"1x2_dominant": false,
"1x2_open_contest": true,
"grade": "A",
"stake_factor": 1.0
},
"favourite_misaligned_1x2": {
"active": false,
"gap": null,
"side": null
},
"game_type": {
"label_zh": "\u5747\u8861\uff08\u5f00\u653e\u8d5b\u679c\uff09",
"scoring_type": "balanced",
"signals": {
"btts_yes_prob": 0.545,
"draw_prob": 0.2968,
"max_1x2_prob": 0.3559,
"over_prob": 0.482,
"total_xg": 2.6,
"under_prob": 0.518,
"xg_diff": 0.02
},
"type": "balanced",
"typing_weights_enabled": true
},
"hero_display_pick": null,
"longshot_picks": [],
"markets": {
"1x2": {
"decision": "no_bet",
"edge": 0.0123,
"ev": -0.0658,
"implied_prob": 0.3274,
"max_ev_side": "away",
"model_prob": 0.3559,
"side": "away",
"side_label": "Nosaby"
},
"btts": {
"decision": "value_bet",
"edge": 0.0814,
"ev": 0.1966,
"implied_prob": 0.3736,
"model_prob": 0.455,
"side": "no",
"value_side": "no"
},
"ou_2_5": {
"decision": "value_bet",
"edge": 0.1075,
"ev": 0.2173,
"implied_prob": 0.4105,
"model_prob": 0.518,
"side": "under",
"value_side": "under"
}
},
"match_id": 1510957,
"match_regime": {
"action": "bet",
"actionable": true,
"clear_edge": true,
"code": "clear_edge",
"execution_line_key": null,
"insight_line_key": null,
"max_valid_ev": 0.2173,
"min_ev": 0.02,
"stake_mult": 1.0,
"use_split_strip": false
},
"match_tier": "value_game",
"no_clear_primary": false,
"probabilities": {
"away": 0.3559,
"draw": 0.2968,
"home": 0.3473
},
"reason_codes": [
"no_ev_1x2"
],
"secondary_pick": {
"decision": "value_bet",
"ev": 0.2173,
"implied_prob": 0.4105,
"market": "ou_2_5",
"model_prob": 0.518,
"not_dominant": false,
"risk_band": "strong",
"risk_tier": "secondary",
"side": "under",
"slot": "secondary"
},
"secondary_picks": [
{
"decision": "value_bet",
"ev": 0.2173,
"implied_prob": 0.4105,
"market": "ou_2_5",
"model_prob": 0.518,
"not_dominant": false,
"risk_band": "strong",
"risk_tier": "secondary",
"side": "under",
"slot": "secondary"
}
],
"suppressed_primary": null,
"teams": {
"away": "Nosaby",
"home": "\u00d6sterlen"
},
"top_pick": {
"composite_score": 0.089453,
"decision": "value_bet",
"ev": 0.1966,
"implied_prob": 0.3736,
"market": "btts",
"model_prob": 0.455,
"not_dominant": true,
"primary_strength": "clear",
"risk_band": "medium",
"risk_tier": "primary",
"side": "no",
"slot": "primary",
"speculative_primary": false
},
"valid_markets_count": 2
}
},
"fixture_id": 1510957,
"generated_at_utc": "2026-06-12T12:47:40.293320+00:00",
"lang_id": "en"
}
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