Penilaian Ramalan
Berhati-hatilah
- Kegemaran
- Universidad de Chile Kegemaran
- Kebarangkalian model
- 62.5%
- Kebarangkalian pasaran
- 46.2%
- Perjanjian pasaran
- Lemah
- Pengesahan
- Amaran
Ringkasan:
Model dan pasaran bersandar pada sisi yang sama pada Universidad de Chile, tetapi jurang harga memerlukan berhati-hati.
Log masuk untuk melihat keputusan pertaruhan penuh
Daftar percuma untuk membuka kunci keputusan pertaruhan akhir — pasaran mana lulus, di mana +EV mungkin wujud, dan amaran steam.
Audit Pasaran
- Perjanjian pasaran
- Lemah
- Pengesahan
- Amaran
- Jurang terbesar
- Universidad de Chile +16.3 pp
- Keluasan
- 4/4
- Aktiviti pasaran semasa
- Belum ada pergerakan arah yang bermakna.
Anggaran saksama berbeza dengan ketara daripada harga pasaran semasa. Ini mungkin mencerminkan ketidaksetujuan yang tulen atau input penilaian yang tidak lengkap.
Penilaian Pasaran
Anggaran saksama statistik adalah lebih tinggi daripada pasaran pada Universidad de Chile.
- Model ini mungkin melihat perlawanan yang lebih perlahan atau lebih hampir daripada pasaran.
- Pantau pergerakan barisan sebelum sepak mula — bukan cadangan pertaruhan.
| Hasil | Adil | Pasaran | Tepi |
|---|---|---|---|
| Universidad de Chile | 62.47% | 46.18% | +16.3 pp |
| Seri | 20.07% | 27.43% | -7.4 pp |
| O'Higgins | 17.46% | 26.39% | -8.9 pp |
Kebarangkalian saksama daripada model statistik Poisson/xG. Bukan penentu taruhan. Bukan nasihat pertaruhan.
Keputusan pertaruhan akhir
Kecekapan harga pasaran berbeza secara berbeza — 1X2 boleh menjadi hantaran sementara pasaran matlamat masih menunjukkan kelebihan.
- Nilai yang mungkin pada 1X2: Universidad de Chile (+5.0% EV pada kemungkinan terbaik)
- Nilai yang mungkin: Lebih 2.5 (+25%+ EV pada kemungkinan terbaik)
- Nilai yang mungkin: BTTS Ya (+25%+ EV pada kemungkinan terbaik)
- Barisan utama dikenal pasti (+1.0)
- EV utama melebihi 10% (+1.0)
- Dua atau lebih baris +EV yang sah pada ambang (+0.5)
BTTS: EV Ya +25%+ · EV No -34.8%
Kitaran Hayat Keputusan
Peringkat semasa: Amaran pengesahan model
- Ramalan Dijana
- Pasaran Berbanding
- Pengesahan Lulus
- Penutupan Dirakam
- CLV Dinilai
- Kemasukan
- 1.96
- Penutup
- Belum selesai
- CLV
- Belum selesai
Taklimat AI untuk perlawanan ini belum tersedia. Selepas naik taraf pelayan, jalankan semula “Batch generate odds” untuk menjana ringkasan.
View technical JSON
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},
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"confidence": 7.5,
"decision_confidence_v1": {
"breakdown": [
"pred_conf_v1_primary_line",
"pred_conf_v1_primary_ev_above_10",
"pred_conf_v1_multi_ev_lines"
],
"breakdown_resolved": [
"Primary line identified (+1.0)",
"Primary EV above 10% (+1.0)",
"Two or more valid +EV lines at threshold (+0.5)"
],
"score": 7.5
},
"execution": {
"1x2_dominant": true,
"1x2_open_contest": false,
"grade": "A",
"stake_factor": 1.0
},
"favourite_misaligned_1x2": {
"active": false,
"gap": null,
"side": null
},
"game_type": {
"label_zh": "\u5f3a\u4fe1\u53f7\uff08\u4f4e\u65b9\u5dee\uff09",
"scoring_type": "strong_signal",
"signals": {
"btts_yes_prob": 0.674,
"draw_prob": 0.2007,
"max_1x2_prob": 0.6248,
"over_prob": 0.726,
"total_xg": 3.77,
"under_prob": 0.274,
"xg_diff": 1.19
},
"type": "strong_signal",
"typing_weights_enabled": true
},
"hero_display_pick": null,
"longshot_picks": [],
"markets": {
"1x2": {
"decision": "value_bet",
"edge": 0.0739,
"ev": 0.05,
"implied_prob": 0.4618,
"max_ev_side": "home",
"model_prob": 0.6248,
"side": "home",
"side_label": "Universidad de Chile"
},
"btts": {
"decision": "value_bet",
"edge": 0.1681,
"ev": 0.2739,
"implied_prob": 0.5059,
"model_prob": 0.674,
"side": "yes",
"value_side": "yes"
},
"ou_2_5": {
"decision": "value_bet",
"edge": 0.2705,
"ev": 0.5246,
"implied_prob": 0.4555,
"model_prob": 0.726,
"side": "over",
"value_side": "over"
}
},
"match_id": 1505449,
"match_regime": {
"action": "bet",
"actionable": true,
"clear_edge": true,
"code": "clear_edge",
"execution_line_key": null,
"insight_line_key": null,
"max_valid_ev": 0.5246,
"min_ev": 0.02,
"stake_mult": 1.0,
"use_split_strip": false
},
"match_tier": "value_game",
"no_clear_primary": false,
"probabilities": {
"away": 0.1745,
"draw": 0.2007,
"home": 0.6248
},
"reason_codes": [
"high_total_goals"
],
"secondary_pick": {
"decision": "value_bet",
"ev": 0.2739,
"implied_prob": 0.5059,
"market": "btts",
"model_prob": 0.674,
"not_dominant": false,
"risk_band": "strong",
"risk_tier": "secondary",
"side": "yes",
"slot": "secondary"
},
"secondary_picks": [
{
"decision": "value_bet",
"ev": 0.2739,
"implied_prob": 0.5059,
"market": "btts",
"model_prob": 0.674,
"not_dominant": false,
"risk_band": "strong",
"risk_tier": "secondary",
"side": "yes",
"slot": "secondary"
}
],
"suppressed_primary": null,
"teams": {
"away": "O\u0027Higgins",
"home": "Universidad de Chile"
},
"top_pick": {
"composite_score": 0.38086,
"decision": "value_bet",
"ev": 0.5246,
"implied_prob": 0.4555,
"market": "ou_2_5",
"model_prob": 0.726,
"not_dominant": false,
"primary_strength": "clear",
"risk_band": "strong",
"risk_tier": "primary",
"side": "over",
"slot": "primary",
"speculative_primary": false
},
"valid_markets_count": 3
}
},
"fixture_id": 1505449,
"generated_at_utc": "2026-06-13T13:09:47.946096+00:00",
"lang_id": "en"
}
- Fokus pada baris Utama apabila anda mahukan satu idea yang boleh diambil tindakan.
- Jangan parlay banyak picks tepi nipis bersama-sama;tepi tidak menambah dengan pasti.
- Anggap pukulan panjang sebagai permainan pilihan, bersaiz tinggi sahaja.
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