Ramalan yang boleh dipercayai
Ringkasan:
Model dan pasaran kedua-dua lean {pasukan}, tetapi kedua-duanya tidak menunjukkan kegemaran yang dominan. Seri dan PK-35 kekal munasabah — ini perlawanan yang agak terbuka.
Log masuk untuk melihat keputusan pertaruhan penuh
Daftar percuma untuk membuka kunci keputusan pertaruhan akhir — pasaran mana lulus, di mana +EV mungkin wujud, dan amaran steam.
Anggaran saksama dan harga pasaran berbeza secara sederhana. Pantau sebelum sepak mula.
Anggaran saksama menunjukkan kelebihan sederhana berbanding harga pasaran semasa pada JäPS.
Aktiviti pasaran sejajar dengan jurang harga terbesar pada JäPS.
| Hasil | Adil | Pasaran | Tepi |
|---|---|---|---|
| JäPS | 35.5% | 29.9% | +5.6 pp |
| Seri | 29.0% | 29.32% | -0.3 pp |
| PK-35 | 35.5% | 40.78% | -5.3 pp |
Kebarangkalian saksama daripada model statistik Poisson/xG. Bukan penentu taruhan. Bukan nasihat pertaruhan.
Kecekapan harga pasaran berbeza secara berbeza — 1X2 boleh menjadi hantaran sementara pasaran matlamat masih menunjukkan kelebihan.
JäPS market context before kickoff
⚠️ Pasaran tidak stabil on JäPS
Steam detected. Model value still remains — 1X2 looks repriced; compare Over/Under and BTTS EV cards above.
Steam measures market activity. EV measures betting value.
Peringkat semasa: Pemantauan pasaran
Taklimat AI untuk perlawanan ini belum tersedia. Selepas naik taraf pelayan, jalankan semula “Batch generate odds” untuk menjana ringkasan.
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"api_prediction": {
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"percent_away": "45%",
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"market_comparison": [
{
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"bookmaker_name": "Pinnacle",
"odd": 3.35
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{
"affi_link": "",
"bookmaker_name": "Superbet",
"odd": 3.25
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{
"affi_link": "https://refpa14435.com/L?tag=d_4682699m_1599c_\u0026site=4682699\u0026ad=1599",
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{
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"bookmaker_name": "Marathonbet",
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{
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{
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"bookmaker_name": "10Bet",
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{
"affi_link": "",
"bookmaker_name": "Betfair",
"odd": 3.0
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{
"affi_link": "",
"bookmaker_name": "William Hill",
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{
"away": 1,
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"label": "0-1",
"prob": 9.1
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{
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{
"away": 2,
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{
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"double_chance": {
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{
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"model_prob": 35.5,
"odds": 3.35
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"closing_line_bundle": {
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"correct_score_insight": {
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"most_likely": {
"label": "1-1",
"prob": 12.2
}
},
"home_xg": 1.35,
"homepage_pick": null,
"market_cards": [
{
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"ev_no_display": {
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"text": "-14.7%"
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"ev_yes": 0.0565,
"ev_yes_display": {
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{
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"ev_under": -0.1355,
"ev_under_display": {
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{
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{
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"alert_breadth_note": "",
"alert_move": "",
"alert_team": "",
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"has_alert": false,
"hero_edge_pp": 5.6,
"hero_label": "J\u00e4PS",
"market_prob_pct": 29.9,
"market_team": "PK-35",
"model_prob_pct": 35.5,
"model_team": "J\u00e4PS",
"show": true,
"status_icon": "\u2713",
"status_key": "aligned",
"status_label": "Reliable forecast",
"status_line": "Model and market broadly aligned",
"steam_score": null,
"steam_subtitle": "",
"steam_tier": "",
"title": "Betting Signal"
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"edge_rows": [
{
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"market_type": "1x2",
"outcome": "home"
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{
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"label": "Draw",
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"outcome": "draw"
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{
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"outcome": "away"
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{
"edge_pp": 5.18,
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{
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{
"edge_pp": 5.24,
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"label": "BTTS Yes",
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},
{
"edge_pp": -5.24,
"fair_prob": 43.5,
"label": "BTTS No",
"market_prob": 48.74,
"market_type": "btts",
"outcome": "no"
}
],
"edge_snapshot": {
"edge_label": "mild_disagreement",
"edge_pp": 5.6,
"fair_prob_pct": 35.5,
"hero_side": "home",
"hero_team_name": "J\u00e4PS",
"market_prob_pct": 29.9,
"status": "strong_disagreement",
"steam_team_name": "J\u00e4PS"
},
"fair_source": "poisson_pipeline",
"fair_vs_market": {
"comparison_available": true,
"comparison_disabled": false,
"degraded_note": "",
"divergence_guard": {
"divergence_level": "moderate",
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"suppress_value_language": false
},
"divergence_label": "Moderate model-market divergence",
"divergence_level": "moderate",
"divergence_level_label": "Moderate divergence",
"divergence_note": "Fair estimate and market pricing differ modestly. Monitor before kickoff.",
"divergence_tier": "moderate",
"edge_label": "Mild disagreement",
"edge_label_key": "mild_disagreement",
"fair_confidence": "medium",
"fair_confidence_label": "Medium",
"fair_source_note": "Fair probability from Poisson/xG statistical model. Not bookmaker odds. Not betting advice.",
"forecast_assessment": {
"favourite_class": "Balanced match",
"favourite_label": "J\u00e4PS",
"forecast_certainty_tier": "low",
"headline": "Balanced match",
"market_agreement_label": "Strong",
"market_prob_pct": 29.9,
"model_prob_pct": 35.5,
"outcome_separation_tier": "low",
"paragraphs": [],
"reliability_headline": "Reliable forecast",
"reliability_icon": "\u2713",
"reliability_tier": "reliable",
"summary": "The model and market both lean J\u00e4PS, but neither indicates a dominant favourite. Draw and PK-35 remain plausible \u2014 this is a relatively open match.",
"tier": "balanced",
"title": "Forecast Assessment",
"validation_label": "Pass"
},
"forecast_certainty": {
"note": "Three outcomes remain closely bunched \u2014 treat as a relatively open match.",
"tier": "low",
"tier_label": "Low"
},
"forecast_certainty_label": "Low",
"has_market_probs": true,
"hero_edge_pp": 5.6,
"hero_label": "J\u00e4PS",
"hero_side": "home",
"market_activity": "No meaningful directional movement yet.",
"market_agreement": "strong",
"market_agreement_label": "Strong",
"market_interpretation": {
"bullets": [
"Monitor line movement before kickoff \u2014 not a betting recommendation."
],
"follow_up": "",
"gap_tier": "mild",
"lead": "The fair estimate shows a modest edge over current market pricing on J\u00e4PS.",
"note": "Market activity aligns with the largest pricing gap on J\u00e4PS.",
"paragraphs": [
"The fair estimate shows a modest edge over current market pricing on J\u00e4PS.",
"Market activity aligns with the largest pricing gap on J\u00e4PS."
],
"quiet_market": false,
"title": "Market Assessment"
},
"market_narrative": {
"paragraphs": [
"The fair estimate still sits above current market pricing on J\u00e4PS.",
"Recent line movement on J\u00e4PS (+0.0%) aligns with the pricing gap.",
"Broad sportsbook alignment (12/12) supports the current market view on J\u00e4PS."
],
"title": "Current Market Narrative"
},
"max_gap_pp": 5.6,
"model_validation": {
"score_label_key": "mi_mv_pass",
"status": "pass"
},
"model_validation_label": "Pass",
"outcome_separation": {
"breakdown": [
"No outcome exceeds 50% on the 1X2 grid.",
"Top two 1X2 outcomes within 0.0 percentage points."
],
"lead_gap_pp": 0.0,
"max_prob_pct": 35.5,
"note": "How spread out the model 1X2 probabilities are \u2014 crowded splits mean no single outcome dominates. Not accuracy vs the market.",
"tier": "low",
"tier_label": "Low"
},
"outcome_separation_label": "Low",
"rows": [
{
"edge_pp": 5.6,
"fair_prob_pct": 35.5,
"is_hero": true,
"label": "J\u00e4PS",
"market_prob_pct": 29.9,
"side": "home"
},
{
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"fair_prob_pct": 29.0,
"is_hero": false,
"label": "Draw",
"market_prob_pct": 29.32,
"side": "draw"
},
{
"edge_pp": -5.28,
"fair_prob_pct": 35.5,
"is_hero": false,
"label": "PK-35",
"market_prob_pct": 40.78,
"side": "away"
}
],
"status": "strong_disagreement",
"status_label": "Strong Disagreement",
"steam_note": "Market activity aligns with the largest pricing gap on J\u00e4PS.",
"unavailable_note": ""
},
"interpretation": {
"has_conflict": true,
"paragraphs": [
"The betting market strongly prefers PK-35 (29.9%).",
"This creates a conflict: Model \u2192 J\u00e4PS, Market \u2192 PK-35, Recent sharp money \u2192 recent line movement.",
"Because signals disagree, confidence remains limited."
],
"show": true,
"title": "OddsGPT Interpretation"
},
"lifecycle": {
"closing_implied_pct": null,
"closing_odds": null,
"clv_pending": true,
"clv_pp": null,
"clv_status": "pending",
"context": "match",
"current_stage": "market_monitoring",
"current_stage_detail": "",
"current_stage_label": "Market monitoring",
"entry_implied_pct": 33.33,
"entry_odds": 3.0,
"model_validation_label": "Pass",
"model_validation_status": "pass",
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"id": "forecast_generated",
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"status": "done"
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{
"detail": "",
"id": "market_detected",
"label": "Market Compared",
"status": "active"
},
{
"detail": "",
"id": "model_validated",
"label": "Validation Passed",
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},
{
"detail": "",
"id": "closing_recorded",
"label": "Closing Recorded",
"status": "pending"
},
{
"detail": "",
"id": "clv_evaluated",
"label": "CLV Evaluated",
"status": "pending"
}
]
},
"market_move_intelligence": {
"show": false
},
"market_overview": {
"breadth_display": "12/12",
"current_odds": 3.0,
"move_display": "+0.0%",
"open_odds": 3.0,
"pick_team": "J\u00e4PS",
"steam_score": 30,
"steam_team_name": "J\u00e4PS",
"steam_tier": "C"
},
"premium_teaser": {
"current_divergence_pp": 5.6,
"divergence_label": "Current divergence",
"title": "Premium Market Intelligence",
"unlock_items": [
"Historical similar matches",
"Closing odds analysis",
"CLV tracking",
"Sharp money signals",
"Market efficiency rating",
"Historical model vs market results"
],
"unlock_label": "Unlock"
},
"show": true
},
"match": {
"away_expected_goals": null,
"away_team_id": 10669,
"away_team_logo": "/static/teams/10669.webp",
"away_team_name": "PK-35",
"country_code": "FI",
"country_flag": "/static/images/country/fi.svg",
"country_name": "Finland",
"fixture_id": 1504242,
"goals_away": null,
"goals_home": null,
"home_expected_goals": null,
"home_team_country": "Finland",
"home_team_id": 9173,
"home_team_logo": "/static/teams/9173.webp",
"home_team_name": "J\u00e4PS",
"league_country": "Finland",
"league_id": 1087,
"league_logo": "/static/leagues/1087.webp",
"league_name": "Ykk\u00f6sliiga",
"league_season": 2026,
"match_date": "2026-06-12 15:30:00",
"score_fulltime_away": null,
"score_fulltime_home": null,
"status_long": "Not Started",
"status_short": "NS",
"venue_city": null,
"venue_name": null
},
"match_decision": {
"confidence": {
"breakdown": [
"pred_conf_md_max_1x2_under_50",
"pred_conf_md_top_two_close",
"pred_conf_md_line_above_ev"
],
"breakdown_resolved": [
"Max 1X2 prob under 50% (open contest) (\u22121.0)",
"Top two outcomes relatively close in probability (\u22120.5)",
"At least one tracked line above +EV threshold (+0.5)"
],
"score": 6.0
},
"markets": {
"1x2": {
"1x2_ev_mode": "market_first_p15",
"away": {
"alpha": 0.4143,
"best_odd": 2.2,
"calibration": {
"active": false,
"hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
},
"edge": -0.0219,
"ev": -0.151,
"implied_prob": 0.4078,
"model_prob": 0.3549,
"p_final": 0.3859
},
"draw": {
"alpha": 0.2986,
"best_odd": 3.06,
"calibration": {
"active": false,
"hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
},
"edge": -0.0009,
"ev": -0.1057,
"implied_prob": 0.2932,
"model_prob": 0.2901,
"p_final": 0.2923
},
"ev_available": true,
"home": {
"alpha": 0.2748,
"best_odd": 3.0,
"calibration": {
"active": false,
"hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
},
"edge": 0.0154,
"ev": -0.0568,
"implied_prob": 0.299,
"model_prob": 0.3549,
"p_final": 0.3144
}
},
"btts": {
"best_no_odd": 1.96,
"best_yes_odd": 1.87,
"edge_no": -0.0524,
"edge_yes": 0.0524,
"ev_available": true,
"ev_no": -0.1474,
"ev_yes": 0.0565,
"implied_no": 0.4874,
"implied_yes": 0.5126,
"n_bookmakers": 9,
"reliability": "medium"
},
"ou25": {
"best_over_odd": 2.1,
"best_under_odd": 1.75,
"edge_over": 0.0518,
"edge_under": -0.0518,
"ev_available": true,
"ev_over": 0.0626,
"ev_under": -0.1355,
"implied_over": 0.4542,
"implied_under": 0.5458,
"n_bookmakers": 9,
"reliability": "medium"
}
},
"match_tier": "value_game",
"min_ev": 0.02,
"total_xg": 2.7,
"variance_flag": false
},
"unified_decision": {
"actionable_ev_threshold": 0.02,
"algorithm": {
"enabled_since": "2026-05-26",
"game_typing_module": true,
"version": "2.2.0"
},
"balanced_alternative": null,
"best_tracked_ev": 0.0626,
"confidence": 5.5,
"decision_confidence_v1": {
"breakdown": [
"pred_conf_v1_primary_line",
"pred_conf_v1_max_1x2_under_50",
"pred_conf_v1_multi_ev_lines"
],
"breakdown_resolved": [
"Primary line identified (+1.0)",
"Max 1X2 prob under 50% (no dominant 1X2) (\u22121.0)",
"Two or more valid +EV lines at threshold (+0.5)"
],
"score": 5.5
},
"execution": {
"1x2_dominant": false,
"1x2_open_contest": true,
"grade": "A",
"stake_factor": 1.0
},
"favourite_misaligned_1x2": {
"active": false,
"gap": null,
"side": null
},
"game_type": {
"label_zh": "\u672a\u5206\u578b",
"scoring_type": "neutral",
"signals": {
"btts_yes_prob": 0.565,
"draw_prob": 0.2901,
"max_1x2_prob": 0.3549,
"over_prob": 0.506,
"total_xg": 2.7,
"under_prob": 0.494,
"xg_diff": 0.0
},
"type": "neutral",
"typing_weights_enabled": true
},
"hero_display_pick": null,
"longshot_picks": [],
"markets": {
"1x2": {
"decision": "no_bet",
"edge": 0.0154,
"ev": -0.0568,
"implied_prob": 0.299,
"max_ev_side": "home",
"model_prob": 0.3549,
"side": "home",
"side_label": "J\u00e4PS"
},
"btts": {
"decision": "value_bet",
"edge": 0.0524,
"ev": 0.0565,
"implied_prob": 0.5126,
"model_prob": 0.565,
"side": "yes",
"value_side": "yes"
},
"ou_2_5": {
"decision": "value_bet",
"edge": 0.0518,
"ev": 0.0626,
"implied_prob": 0.4542,
"model_prob": 0.506,
"side": "over",
"value_side": "over"
}
},
"match_id": 1504242,
"match_regime": {
"action": "optional",
"actionable": true,
"clear_edge": false,
"code": "thin_edge",
"execution_line_key": null,
"insight_line_key": null,
"max_valid_ev": 0.0626,
"min_ev": 0.02,
"stake_mult": 0.25,
"use_split_strip": false
},
"match_tier": "value_game",
"no_clear_primary": false,
"probabilities": {
"away": 0.3549,
"draw": 0.2901,
"home": 0.3549
},
"reason_codes": [
"no_ev_1x2",
"high_total_goals"
],
"secondary_pick": null,
"secondary_picks": [],
"suppressed_primary": null,
"teams": {
"away": "PK-35",
"home": "J\u00e4PS"
},
"top_pick": {
"composite_score": 0.031922,
"decision": "value_bet",
"ev": 0.0565,
"implied_prob": 0.5126,
"market": "btts",
"model_prob": 0.565,
"not_dominant": false,
"primary_strength": "clear",
"risk_band": "strong",
"risk_tier": "primary",
"side": "yes",
"slot": "primary",
"speculative_primary": false
},
"valid_markets_count": 2
}
},
"fixture_id": 1504242,
"generated_at_utc": "2026-06-12T00:42:00.786033+00:00",
"lang_id": "en"
}
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