Ramalan / Bola Sepak / Sweden. Superettan / Norrby IF vs United Nordic

Norrby IF vs United Nordic Ramalan, Odds & Tip Pertaruhan AI

Jun 21, 2026 - 15:00
1.40
1.20
40% 29% 31%

Penilaian Prediksi

Prediksi yang boleh dipercayai

Kegemaran
Norrby IF Perlawanan seimbang
Kebarangkalian model
39.9%
Kebarangkalian pasaran
35.2%
Perjanjian pasaran
Sederhana
Pengesahan
lulus

Ringkasan:

Model dan pasaran kedua-dua lean {pasukan}, tetapi kedua-duanya tidak menunjukkan kegemaran yang dominan. Seri dan United Nordic kekal munasabah — ini perlawanan yang agak terbuka.

Audit Pasaran

Perjanjian pasaran
Sederhana
Pengesahan
lulus
Jurang terbesar
United Nordic -7.8 pp
Keluasan
4/11
Aktiviti pasaran semasa
Belum ada pergerakan arah yang bermakna.

Anggaran saksama dan harga pasaran berbeza secara sederhana. Pantau sebelum sepak mula.

Penilaian Pasaran

Pasaran dan model secara umum bersetuju dengan United Nordic. Perbezaan yang selebihnya mungkin mencerminkan perbezaan dalam andaian kekuatan pasukan dan bukannya perselisihan arah.

  • Pantau pergerakan barisan sebelum sepak mula — bukan cadangan pertaruhan.
Hasil Adil Pasaran Tepi
Norrby IF 39.94% 35.23% +4.7 pp
Seri 29.48% 26.4% +3.1 pp
United Nordic 30.58% 38.37% -7.8 pp

Kebarangkalian saksama daripada model statistik Poisson/xG. Bukan penentu taruhan. Bukan nasihat pertaruhan.

Keputusan pertaruhan akhir

Kecekapan harga pasaran berbeza secara berbeza — 1X2 boleh menjadi hantaran sementara pasaran matlamat masih menunjukkan kelebihan.

  • Tiada nilai pada 1X2 (Norrby IF lwn. odds semasa)
  • Nilai yang mungkin: Kurang 2.5 (+14.0% EV pada kemungkinan terbaik)
  • Nilai yang mungkin: BTTS Tidak (+6.0% EV pada kemungkinan terbaik)
Sabitan sederhana (6.5/10) — satu baris terpilih, bukan parlay berbilang pasaran.
Laman pertaruhan premium 1xBet: pengguna baharu boleh guna kod promo 1x_3342271. Daftar sekarang
Pilihan utama (+EV tertinggi)
Kurang 2.5 — Nilai
EV +14.0% Model 51.8%
Kedua-dua Pasukan Menjaringkan Gol Nilai terbaik (+EV)
Ya 54.3% · Tidak 45.7%
EV Ya -14.8% · EV No +6.0%
Condong nilai: BTTS Tidak
1X2 Nilai lemah
Norrby IF · Kebarangkalian model 40.0%
Konsensus pasaran (3 hala) 35.2%
EV garisan konsensus: -2.1%
Cerapan skor tepat Kecua / hiburan
Paling berkemungkinan
1-1
Kebarangkalian 12.5%
Skor tepat berisiko tinggi — pertaruhan kecil untuk hiburan sahaja.
Keputusan pertaruhan (model lwn. EV pasaran)
Nilai peluang — Sekurang-kurangnya satu pasaran menunjukkan anggaran +EV pada kemungkinan perpuluhan terbaik semasa (ambang: 2.0%).
Kekuatan keputusan: 6.5 / 10
  • Barisan utama dikenal pasti (+1.0)
  • EV utama melebihi 10% (+1.0)
  • Kebarangkalian maksimum 1X2 di bawah 50% (tiada 1X2 dominan) (−1.0)
  • Dua atau lebih baris +EV yang sah pada ambang (+0.5)
O/U 2.5: EV Selesai -19.0% · EV Di Bawah +14.0% (8 pasangan buku)
BTTS: EV Ya -14.8% · EV No +6.0%
Should you bet on this match? Only where +EV is shown; always compare with your own limits.

Kitaran Hayat Keputusan

Peringkat semasa: Pemantauan pasaran

  1. Prediksi Dijana
  2. Pasaran Berbanding
  3. Pengesahan Lulus
  4. Penutupan Dirakam
  5. CLV Dinilai
Kemasukan
2.42
Penutup
Belum selesai
CLV
Belum selesai

Taklimat AI untuk perlawanan ini belum tersedia. Selepas naik taraf pelayan, jalankan semula “Batch generate odds” untuk menjana ringkasan.

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        "market_agreement_label": "Strong",
        "market_interpretation": {
          "bullets": [
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          ],
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          "note": "How spread out the model 1X2 probabilities are \u2014 crowded splits mean no single outcome dominates. Not accuracy vs the market.",
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            "is_hero": true,
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        "unavailable_note": ""
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            "label": "CLV Evaluated",
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      },
      "market_move_intelligence": {
        "show": false
      },
      "market_overview": {
        "breadth_display": "10/10",
        "current_odds": 2.4,
        "move_display": "+0.0%",
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        "steam_score": 40,
        "steam_team_name": "Norrby IF",
        "steam_tier": "B"
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        "divergence_label": "Current divergence",
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    },
    "match": {
      "away_expected_goals": null,
      "away_team_id": 16601,
      "away_team_logo": "/static/teams/16601.webp",
      "away_team_name": "United Nordic",
      "country_code": "SE",
      "country_flag": "/static/images/country/se.svg",
      "country_name": "Sweden",
      "fixture_id": 1497611,
      "goals_away": null,
      "goals_home": null,
      "home_expected_goals": null,
      "home_team_country": "Sweden",
      "home_team_id": 2173,
      "home_team_logo": "/static/teams/2173.webp",
      "home_team_name": "Norrby IF",
      "league_country": "Sweden",
      "league_id": 114,
      "league_logo": "/static/leagues/114.webp",
      "league_name": "Superettan",
      "league_season": 2026,
      "match_date": "2026-06-21 15:00:00",
      "score_fulltime_away": null,
      "score_fulltime_home": null,
      "status_long": "Not Started",
      "status_short": "NS",
      "venue_city": null,
      "venue_name": null
    },
    "match_decision": {
      "confidence": {
        "breakdown": [
          "pred_conf_md_max_1x2_under_50",
          "pred_conf_md_line_above_ev"
        ],
        "breakdown_resolved": [
          "Max 1X2 prob under 50% (open contest) (\u22121.0)",
          "At least one tracked line above +EV threshold (+0.5)"
        ],
        "score": 6.5
      },
      "markets": {
        "1x2": {
          "1x2_ev_mode": "market_first_p15",
          "away": {
            "alpha": 0.416,
            "best_odd": 2.6,
            "calibration": {
              "active": false,
              "hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
            },
            "edge": -0.021,
            "ev": -0.129,
            "implied_prob": 0.3559,
            "model_prob": 0.3056,
            "p_final": 0.335
          },
          "draw": {
            "alpha": 0.2876,
            "best_odd": 3.465,
            "calibration": {
              "active": false,
              "hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
            },
            "edge": 0.008,
            "ev": -0.047,
            "implied_prob": 0.2671,
            "model_prob": 0.2948,
            "p_final": 0.275
          },
          "ev_available": true,
          "home": {
            "alpha": 0.4347,
            "best_odd": 2.455,
            "calibration": {
              "active": false,
              "hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
            },
            "edge": 0.0099,
            "ev": -0.0503,
            "implied_prob": 0.377,
            "model_prob": 0.3997,
            "p_final": 0.3868
          }
        },
        "btts": {
          "best_no_odd": 2.35,
          "best_yes_odd": 1.57,
          "edge_no": 0.0575,
          "edge_yes": -0.0575,
          "ev_available": true,
          "ev_no": 0.074,
          "ev_yes": -0.1475,
          "implied_no": 0.3995,
          "implied_yes": 0.6005,
          "n_bookmakers": 8,
          "reliability": "medium"
        },
        "ou25": {
          "best_over_odd": 1.68,
          "best_under_odd": 2.2,
          "edge_over": -0.0767,
          "edge_under": 0.0767,
          "ev_available": true,
          "ev_over": -0.1902,
          "ev_under": 0.1396,
          "implied_over": 0.5587,
          "implied_under": 0.4413,
          "n_bookmakers": 7,
          "reliability": "medium"
        }
      },
      "match_tier": "value_game",
      "min_ev": 0.02,
      "total_xg": 2.6,
      "variance_flag": false
    },
    "unified_decision": {
      "actionable_ev_threshold": 0.02,
      "algorithm": {
        "enabled_since": "2026-05-26",
        "game_typing_module": true,
        "version": "2.2.0"
      },
      "balanced_alternative": null,
      "best_tracked_ev": 0.1396,
      "confidence": 6.5,
      "decision_confidence_v1": {
        "breakdown": [
          "pred_conf_v1_primary_line",
          "pred_conf_v1_primary_ev_above_10",
          "pred_conf_v1_max_1x2_under_50",
          "pred_conf_v1_multi_ev_lines"
        ],
        "breakdown_resolved": [
          "Primary line identified (+1.0)",
          "Primary EV above 10% (+1.0)",
          "Max 1X2 prob under 50% (no dominant 1X2) (\u22121.0)",
          "Two or more valid +EV lines at threshold (+0.5)"
        ],
        "score": 6.5
      },
      "execution": {
        "1x2_dominant": false,
        "1x2_open_contest": true,
        "grade": "A",
        "stake_factor": 1.0
      },
      "favourite_misaligned_1x2": {
        "active": false,
        "gap": null,
        "side": null
      },
      "game_type": {
        "label_zh": "\u5747\u8861\uff08\u5f00\u653e\u8d5b\u679c\uff09",
        "scoring_type": "balanced",
        "signals": {
          "btts_yes_prob": 0.543,
          "draw_prob": 0.2948,
          "max_1x2_prob": 0.3997,
          "over_prob": 0.482,
          "total_xg": 2.6,
          "under_prob": 0.518,
          "xg_diff": 0.2
        },
        "type": "balanced",
        "typing_weights_enabled": true
      },
      "hero_display_pick": null,
      "longshot_picks": [],
      "markets": {
        "1x2": {
          "decision": "no_bet",
          "edge": 0.0099,
          "ev": -0.0503,
          "implied_prob": 0.377,
          "max_ev_side": "draw",
          "model_prob": 0.3997,
          "side": "home",
          "side_label": "Norrby IF"
        },
        "btts": {
          "decision": "value_bet",
          "edge": 0.0575,
          "ev": 0.074,
          "implied_prob": 0.3995,
          "model_prob": 0.457,
          "side": "no",
          "value_side": "no"
        },
        "ou_2_5": {
          "decision": "value_bet",
          "edge": 0.0767,
          "ev": 0.1396,
          "implied_prob": 0.4413,
          "model_prob": 0.518,
          "side": "under",
          "value_side": "under"
        }
      },
      "match_id": 1497611,
      "match_regime": {
        "action": "bet",
        "actionable": true,
        "clear_edge": true,
        "code": "clear_edge",
        "execution_line_key": null,
        "insight_line_key": null,
        "max_valid_ev": 0.1396,
        "min_ev": 0.02,
        "stake_mult": 1.0,
        "use_split_strip": false
      },
      "match_tier": "value_game",
      "no_clear_primary": false,
      "probabilities": {
        "away": 0.3056,
        "draw": 0.2948,
        "home": 0.3997
      },
      "reason_codes": [
        "no_ev_1x2"
      ],
      "secondary_pick": null,
      "secondary_picks": [],
      "suppressed_primary": null,
      "teams": {
        "away": "United Nordic",
        "home": "Norrby IF"
      },
      "top_pick": {
        "composite_score": 0.050619,
        "decision": "value_bet",
        "ev": 0.1396,
        "implied_prob": 0.4413,
        "market": "ou_2_5",
        "model_prob": 0.518,
        "not_dominant": false,
        "primary_strength": "clear",
        "risk_band": "strong",
        "risk_tier": "primary",
        "side": "under",
        "slot": "primary",
        "speculative_primary": false
      },
      "valid_markets_count": 2
    }
  },
  "fixture_id": 1497611,
  "generated_at_utc": "2026-06-17T08:22:33.063573+00:00",
  "lang_id": "en"
}
Bagaimana untuk menggunakan ini
  • Fokus pada baris Utama apabila anda mahukan satu idea yang boleh diambil tindakan.
  • Jangan parlay banyak picks tepi nipis bersama-sama;tepi tidak menambah dengan pasti.
  • Anggap pukulan panjang sebagai permainan pilihan, bersaiz tinggi sahaja.

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