Orebro SK · Kebarangkalian model 39.5%
Konsensus pasaran (3 hala) 24.4%
EV garisan konsensus: +5.3%
Penilaian Ramalan
Berhati-hatilah
- Kegemaran
- Orebro SK Perlawanan seimbang
- Kebarangkalian model
- 39.6%
- Kebarangkalian pasaran
- 24.4%
- Perjanjian pasaran
- Lemah
- Pengesahan
- Amaran
Ringkasan:
Model dan pasaran kedua-dua lean {pasukan}, tetapi kedua-duanya tidak menunjukkan kegemaran yang dominan. Seri dan Falkenbergs FF kekal munasabah — ini perlawanan yang agak terbuka.
Log masuk untuk melihat keputusan pertaruhan penuh
Daftar percuma untuk membuka kunci keputusan pertaruhan akhir — pasaran mana lulus, di mana +EV mungkin wujud, dan amaran steam.
Audit Pasaran
- Perjanjian pasaran
- Lemah
- Pengesahan
- Amaran
- Jurang terbesar
- Falkenbergs FF -16.8 pp
- Keluasan
- 13/13
- Aktiviti pasaran semasa
- Belum ada pergerakan arah yang bermakna.
Anggaran saksama berbeza dengan ketara daripada harga pasaran semasa. Ini mungkin mencerminkan ketidaksetujuan yang tulen atau input penilaian yang tidak lengkap.
Penilaian Pasaran
Pasaran secara material lebih optimistik tentang {pasukan} daripada anggaran saksama semasa.
Aktiviti pasaran sejajar dengan jurang harga terbesar pada Falkenbergs FF.
- Pelabur mungkin memasukkan maklumat yang tidak dicerminkan sepenuhnya dalam model garis dasar.
- Konteks khusus kejohanan boleh mengalihkan harga pasaran.
| Hasil | Adil | Pasaran | Tepi |
|---|---|---|---|
| Falkenbergs FF | 32.91% | 49.72% | -16.8 pp |
| Seri | 27.53% | 25.91% | +1.6 pp |
| Orebro SK | 39.57% | 24.37% | +15.2 pp |
Kebarangkalian saksama daripada model statistik Poisson/xG. Bukan penentu taruhan. Bukan nasihat pertaruhan.
Keputusan pertaruhan akhir
Kecekapan harga pasaran berbeza secara berbeza — 1X2 boleh menjadi hantaran sementara pasaran matlamat masih menunjukkan kelebihan.
- Nilai yang mungkin pada 1X2: Orebro SK (+5.3% EV pada kemungkinan terbaik)
- Tepi nipis: Lebih 2.5 (+1.0% — di bawah bar saiz lalai)
- Nilai yang mungkin: BTTS Ya (+4.7% EV pada kemungkinan terbaik)
- Significant line move — see market context below.
Sabitan sederhana (5.5/10) — satu baris terpilih, bukan parlay berbilang pasaran.
Laman pertaruhan premium 1xBet: pengguna baharu boleh guna kod promo 1x_3342271. Daftar sekarang
1X2
✔ Orebro SK (Nilai)
Ya 60.5% · Tidak 39.5%
EV Ya +4.7% · EV No -13.1%
Condong nilai: BTTS Ya
Lebih 2.5 56.1% · Kurang 2.5 43.9%
EV Selesai +1.0% · EV Di Bawah -8.7%
Condong nilai:
Lebih 2.5
Paling berkemungkinan
1-1
Kebarangkalian 11.4%
Skor tepat berisiko tinggi — pertaruhan kecil untuk hiburan sahaja.
Keputusan pertaruhan (model lwn. EV pasaran)
Nilai terpilih — Sekurang-kurangnya satu pasaran yang dijejaki mungkin mengosongkan +EV pada kemungkinan terbaik, tetapi sabitan adalah terhad (5.5/10) — saiz ke bawah.
Kekuatan keputusan: 5.5 / 10
- Barisan utama dikenal pasti (+1.0)
- Kebarangkalian maksimum 1X2 di bawah 50% (tiada 1X2 dominan) (−1.0)
- Dua atau lebih baris +EV yang sah pada ambang (+0.5)
O/U 2.5:
EV Selesai +1.0% ·
EV Di Bawah -8.7%
(10 pasangan buku)
BTTS: EV Ya +4.7% · EV No -13.1%
BTTS: EV Ya +4.7% · EV No -13.1%
Falkenbergs FF market context before kickoff
⚠️ Pasaran tidak stabil on Falkenbergs FF
- Odds move
- 1.83 → 1.83 (+0.0%)
- Market breadth
- 13/13
- Steam score
- 30 (C)
- Current status
- Tracked markets may still show +EV at best odds.
Steam detected. Model value still remains on tracked markets — compare EV cards above.
Steam measures market activity. EV measures betting value.
Kitaran Hayat Keputusan
Peringkat semasa: Amaran pengesahan model
- Ramalan Dijana
- Pasaran Berbanding
- Pengesahan Lulus
- Penutupan Dirakam
- CLV Dinilai
- Kemasukan
- 1.85
- Penutup
- Belum selesai
- CLV
- Belum selesai
Enjin Keputusan OddsGPT v2.2.0
Sentiasa diperhalusi menggunakan prestasi model, data pasaran dan keputusan sejarah.
Semak Odds di 1xBet
Taklimat AI untuk perlawanan ini belum tersedia. Selepas naik taraf pelayan, jalankan semula “Batch generate odds” untuk menjana ringkasan.
View technical JSON
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"pred_conf_md_max_1x2_under_50",
"pred_conf_md_top_two_close",
"pred_conf_md_line_above_ev"
],
"breakdown_resolved": [
"Max 1X2 prob under 50% (open contest) (\u22121.0)",
"Top two outcomes relatively close in probability (\u22120.5)",
"At least one tracked line above +EV threshold (+0.5)"
],
"score": 6.0
},
"markets": {
"1x2": {
"1x2_ev_mode": "market_first_p15",
"away": {
"alpha": 0.2317,
"best_odd": 3.775,
"calibration": {
"active": false,
"hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
},
"edge": 0.0352,
"ev": 0.0526,
"implied_prob": 0.2437,
"model_prob": 0.3954,
"p_final": 0.2788
},
"draw": {
"alpha": 0.2926,
"best_odd": 3.55,
"calibration": {
"active": false,
"hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
},
"edge": 0.0048,
"ev": -0.0631,
"implied_prob": 0.2591,
"model_prob": 0.2756,
"p_final": 0.2639
},
"ev_available": true,
"home": {
"alpha": 0.4486,
"best_odd": 1.85,
"calibration": {
"active": false,
"hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
},
"edge": -0.0754,
"ev": -0.2197,
"implied_prob": 0.4972,
"model_prob": 0.3291,
"p_final": 0.4218
}
},
"btts": {
"best_no_odd": 2.2,
"best_yes_odd": 1.73,
"edge_no": -0.0462,
"edge_yes": 0.0462,
"ev_available": true,
"ev_no": -0.131,
"ev_yes": 0.0466,
"implied_no": 0.4412,
"implied_yes": 0.5588,
"n_bookmakers": 10,
"reliability": "medium"
},
"ou25": {
"best_over_odd": 1.8,
"best_under_odd": 2.08,
"edge_over": 0.0263,
"edge_under": -0.0263,
"ev_available": true,
"ev_over": 0.0098,
"ev_under": -0.0869,
"implied_over": 0.5347,
"implied_under": 0.4653,
"n_bookmakers": 10,
"reliability": "medium"
}
},
"match_tier": "value_game",
"min_ev": 0.02,
"total_xg": 2.93,
"variance_flag": false
},
"unified_decision": {
"actionable_ev_threshold": 0.02,
"algorithm": {
"enabled_since": "2026-05-26",
"game_typing_module": true,
"version": "2.2.0"
},
"balanced_alternative": null,
"best_tracked_ev": 0.0526,
"confidence": 5.5,
"decision_confidence_v1": {
"breakdown": [
"pred_conf_v1_primary_line",
"pred_conf_v1_max_1x2_under_50",
"pred_conf_v1_multi_ev_lines"
],
"breakdown_resolved": [
"Primary line identified (+1.0)",
"Max 1X2 prob under 50% (no dominant 1X2) (\u22121.0)",
"Two or more valid +EV lines at threshold (+0.5)"
],
"score": 5.5
},
"execution": {
"1x2_dominant": false,
"1x2_open_contest": true,
"grade": "B",
"stake_factor": 0.5
},
"favourite_misaligned_1x2": {
"active": false,
"gap": null,
"side": null
},
"game_type": {
"label_zh": "\u5927\u5f00\u5927\u5408\uff08\u8fdb\u7403\u578b\uff09",
"scoring_type": "high_scoring",
"signals": {
"btts_yes_prob": 0.605,
"draw_prob": 0.2756,
"max_1x2_prob": 0.3954,
"over_prob": 0.561,
"total_xg": 2.93,
"under_prob": 0.439,
"xg_diff": 0.15
},
"type": "high_scoring",
"typing_weights_enabled": true
},
"hero_display_pick": null,
"longshot_picks": [],
"markets": {
"1x2": {
"decision": "value_bet",
"edge": 0.0352,
"ev": 0.0526,
"implied_prob": 0.2437,
"max_ev_side": "away",
"model_prob": 0.3954,
"side": "away",
"side_label": "Orebro SK"
},
"btts": {
"decision": "value_bet",
"edge": 0.0462,
"ev": 0.0466,
"implied_prob": 0.5588,
"model_prob": 0.605,
"side": "yes",
"value_side": "yes"
},
"ou_2_5": {
"decision": "small_edge",
"edge": 0.0263,
"ev": 0.0098,
"implied_prob": 0.5347,
"model_prob": 0.561,
"side": "over",
"value_side": "over"
}
},
"match_id": 1497601,
"match_regime": {
"action": "optional",
"actionable": true,
"clear_edge": false,
"code": "thin_edge",
"execution_line_key": null,
"insight_line_key": null,
"max_valid_ev": 0.0526,
"min_ev": 0.02,
"stake_mult": 0.25,
"use_split_strip": false
},
"match_tier": "value_game",
"no_clear_primary": false,
"probabilities": {
"away": 0.3954,
"draw": 0.2756,
"home": 0.3291
},
"reason_codes": [
"high_total_goals"
],
"secondary_pick": null,
"secondary_picks": [],
"suppressed_primary": null,
"teams": {
"away": "Orebro SK",
"home": "Falkenbergs FF"
},
"top_pick": {
"composite_score": 0.016638,
"decision": "value_bet",
"ev": 0.0526,
"implied_prob": 0.2437,
"market": "1x2",
"model_prob": 0.3954,
"not_dominant": true,
"primary_strength": "weak",
"risk_band": "speculative",
"risk_tier": "primary",
"side": "away",
"side_label": "Orebro SK",
"slot": "primary",
"speculative_primary": true
},
"valid_markets_count": 2
}
},
"fixture_id": 1497601,
"generated_at_utc": "2026-06-12T04:44:06.282796+00:00",
"lang_id": "en"
}
Bagaimana untuk menggunakan ini
- Fokus pada baris Utama apabila anda mahukan satu idea yang boleh diambil tindakan.
- Jangan parlay banyak picks tepi nipis bersama-sama;tepi tidak menambah dengan pasti.
- Anggap pukulan panjang sebagai permainan pilihan, bersaiz tinggi sahaja.
Terokai Kandungan Ramalan Lain
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