Hartford Athletic · Kebarangkalian model 39.0%
Konsensus pasaran (3 hala) 15.1%
EV garisan konsensus: +8.9%
Penilaian Ramalan
Risiko kerosakan model
- Kegemaran
- Hartford Athletic Perlawanan seimbang
- Kebarangkalian model
- 39.0%
- Kebarangkalian pasaran
- 15.1%
- Perjanjian pasaran
- Sangat lemah
- Pengesahan
- gagal
Ringkasan:
Jangan tafsir perbandingan model vs pasaran sehingga pengesahan berlalu.
Log masuk untuk melihat keputusan pertaruhan penuh
Daftar percuma untuk membuka kunci keputusan pertaruhan akhir — pasaran mana lulus, di mana +EV mungkin wujud, dan amaran steam.
Audit Pasaran
- Perjanjian pasaran
- Sangat lemah
- Pengesahan
- gagal
- Jurang terbesar
- Tampa Bay Rowdies -30.3 pp
- Keluasan
- 11/11
- Aktiviti pasaran semasa
- Belum ada pergerakan arah yang bermakna.
Model dan pasaran berbeza mengikut 30.3 mata peratusan. Output model mungkin tidak boleh dipercayai untuk padanan ini — sahkan input sebelum mentafsir kebarangkalian.
| Hasil | Adil | Pasaran | Tepi |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tampa Bay Rowdies | 31.48% | 61.81% | -30.3 pp |
| Seri | 29.54% | 23.1% | +6.4 pp |
| Hartford Athletic | 38.97% | 15.09% | +23.9 pp |
Kebarangkalian saksama daripada model statistik Poisson/xG. Bukan penentu taruhan. Bukan nasihat pertaruhan.
Risiko Pecahan Model
Model dan pasaran berbeza mengikut 30.3 mata peratusan. Output model mungkin tidak boleh dipercayai untuk padanan ini — sahkan input sebelum mentafsir kebarangkalian.
- Perbezaan model-pasaran yang melampau dikesan.
Laman pertaruhan premium 1xBet: pengguna baharu boleh guna kod promo 1x_3342271. Daftar sekarang
Pilihan utama (+EV tertinggi)
BTTS Ya
— Nilai
Lebih 2.5 48.2% · Kurang 2.5 51.8%
EV Selesai -9.4% · EV Di Bawah +1.0%
Condong nilai:
Kurang 2.5
Paling berkemungkinan
1-1
Kebarangkalian 12.5%
Skor tepat berisiko tinggi — pertaruhan kecil untuk hiburan sahaja.
Keputusan pertaruhan (model lwn. EV pasaran)
Nilai terpilih — Sekurang-kurangnya satu pasaran yang dijejaki mungkin mengosongkan +EV pada kemungkinan terbaik, tetapi sabitan adalah terhad (5.5/10) — saiz ke bawah.
Kekuatan keputusan: 5.5 / 10
- Barisan utama dikenal pasti (+1.0)
- Kebarangkalian maksimum 1X2 di bawah 50% (tiada 1X2 dominan) (−1.0)
- Dua atau lebih baris +EV yang sah pada ambang (+0.5)
O/U 2.5:
EV Selesai -9.4% ·
EV Di Bawah +1.0%
(8 pasangan buku)
BTTS: EV Ya +8.8% · EV No -13.4%
BTTS: EV Ya +8.8% · EV No -13.4%
Tampa Bay Rowdies market context before kickoff
⚠️ Pasaran tidak stabil on Tampa Bay Rowdies
- Odds move
- 1.48 → 1.48 (+0.0%)
- Market breadth
- 11/11
- Steam score
- 30 (C)
- Current status
- Tracked markets may still show +EV at best odds.
Steam detected. Model value still remains on tracked markets — compare EV cards above.
Steam measures market activity. EV measures betting value.
Kitaran Hayat Keputusan
Peringkat semasa: Pengesahan model gagal
- Ramalan Dijana
- Pasaran Berbanding
- Pengesahan Lulus
- Penutupan Dirakam
- CLV Dinilai
- Kemasukan
- 1.47
- Penutup
- Belum selesai
- CLV
- Belum selesai
Enjin Keputusan OddsGPT v2.2.0
Sentiasa diperhalusi menggunakan prestasi model, data pasaran dan keputusan sejarah.
Semak Odds di 1xBet
Taklimat AI untuk perlawanan ini belum tersedia. Selepas naik taraf pelayan, jalankan semula “Batch generate odds” untuk menjana ringkasan.
View technical JSON
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{
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{
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"hero_side": "home",
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"status": "model_breakdown_risk",
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"divergence_level": "breakdown",
"divergence_level_label": "Model breakdown risk",
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"edge_label_key": "extreme_disagreement",
"fair_confidence": "medium",
"fair_confidence_label": "Medium",
"fair_source_note": "Fair probability from Poisson/xG statistical model. Not bookmaker odds. Not betting advice.",
"forecast_assessment": {
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"favourite_label": "Hartford Athletic",
"headline": "Model breakdown risk",
"market_agreement_label": "Very weak",
"market_prob_pct": 15.1,
"model_prob_pct": 39.0,
"paragraphs": [
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],
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"reliability_icon": "\u2717",
"reliability_tier": "breakdown",
"summary": "Do not interpret model vs market comparison until validation passes.",
"tier": "breakdown",
"title": "Forecast Assessment",
"validation_label": "Fail"
},
"forecast_certainty": {
"note": "Three outcomes remain closely bunched \u2014 treat as a relatively open match.",
"tier": "low",
"tier_label": "Low"
},
"forecast_certainty_label": "Low",
"has_market_probs": true,
"hero_edge_pp": -30.33,
"hero_label": "Tampa Bay Rowdies",
"hero_side": "home",
"market_activity": "No meaningful directional movement yet.",
"market_agreement": "very_weak",
"market_agreement_label": "Very weak",
"market_interpretation": {},
"market_narrative": {},
"max_gap_pp": 30.33,
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"status": "fail"
},
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"outcome_separation": {
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],
"lead_gap_pp": 7.5,
"max_prob_pct": 39.0,
"note": "How spread out the model 1X2 probabilities are \u2014 crowded splits mean no single outcome dominates. Not accuracy vs the market.",
"tier": "medium",
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"rows": [
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"side": "home"
},
{
"edge_pp": 6.44,
"fair_prob_pct": 29.54,
"is_hero": false,
"label": "Draw",
"market_prob_pct": 23.1,
"side": "draw"
},
{
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"fair_prob_pct": 38.97,
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"label": "Hartford Athletic",
"market_prob_pct": 15.09,
"side": "away"
}
],
"status": "model_breakdown_risk",
"status_label": "Model Breakdown Risk",
"steam_note": "",
"unavailable_note": ""
},
"interpretation": {
"has_conflict": true,
"paragraphs": [
"The betting market strongly prefers Tampa Bay Rowdies (15.1%).",
"This creates a conflict: Model \u2192 Hartford Athletic, Market \u2192 Tampa Bay Rowdies, Recent sharp money \u2192 recent line movement.",
"Because signals disagree, confidence remains limited."
],
"show": true,
"title": "OddsGPT Interpretation"
},
"lifecycle": {
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"closing_odds": null,
"clv_pending": true,
"clv_pp": null,
"clv_status": "pending",
"context": "match",
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"entry_implied_pct": 68.26,
"entry_odds": 1.47,
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{
"detail": "",
"id": "forecast_generated",
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"status": "done"
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{
"detail": "",
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{
"detail": "",
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"status": "lost"
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{
"detail": "",
"id": "closing_recorded",
"label": "Closing Recorded",
"status": "pending"
},
{
"detail": "",
"id": "clv_evaluated",
"label": "CLV Evaluated",
"status": "pending"
}
]
},
"market_move_intelligence": {
"show": false
},
"market_overview": {
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"current_odds": 1.48,
"move_display": "+0.0%",
"open_odds": 1.48,
"pick_team": "Tampa Bay Rowdies",
"steam_score": 30,
"steam_team_name": "Tampa Bay Rowdies",
"steam_tier": "C"
},
"premium_teaser": {
"current_divergence_pp": 30.3,
"divergence_label": "Current divergence",
"title": "Premium Market Intelligence",
"unlock_items": [
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"Closing odds analysis",
"CLV tracking",
"Sharp money signals",
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"unlock_label": "Unlock"
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"show": true
},
"match": {
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"away_team_id": 3995,
"away_team_logo": "/static/teams/3995.webp",
"away_team_name": "Hartford Athletic",
"country_code": "US",
"country_flag": "/static/images/country/us.svg",
"country_name": "USA",
"fixture_id": 1493542,
"goals_away": null,
"goals_home": null,
"home_expected_goals": null,
"home_team_country": "USA",
"home_team_id": 4021,
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"home_team_name": "Tampa Bay Rowdies",
"league_country": "USA",
"league_id": 255,
"league_logo": "/static/leagues/255.webp",
"league_name": "USL Championship",
"league_season": 2026,
"match_date": "2026-06-13 23:30:00",
"score_fulltime_away": null,
"score_fulltime_home": null,
"status_long": "Not Started",
"status_short": "NS",
"venue_city": null,
"venue_name": "Al Lang Stadium"
},
"match_decision": {
"confidence": {
"breakdown": [
"pred_conf_md_max_1x2_under_50",
"pred_conf_md_line_above_ev"
],
"breakdown_resolved": [
"Max 1X2 prob under 50% (open contest) (\u22121.0)",
"At least one tracked line above +EV threshold (+0.5)"
],
"score": 6.5
},
"markets": {
"1x2": {
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"away": {
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"best_odd": 6.0,
"calibration": {
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"hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
},
"edge": 0.0306,
"ev": 0.0894,
"implied_prob": 0.1509,
"model_prob": 0.3897,
"p_final": 0.1816
},
"draw": {
"alpha": 0.271,
"best_odd": 3.92,
"calibration": {
"active": false,
"hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
},
"edge": 0.0175,
"ev": -0.0261,
"implied_prob": 0.231,
"model_prob": 0.2954,
"p_final": 0.2485
},
"ev_available": true,
"home": {
"alpha": 0.3271,
"best_odd": 1.465,
"calibration": {
"active": false,
"hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
},
"edge": -0.0992,
"ev": -0.2398,
"implied_prob": 0.6181,
"model_prob": 0.3149,
"p_final": 0.5189
}
},
"btts": {
"best_no_odd": 1.9,
"best_yes_odd": 2.0,
"edge_no": -0.0652,
"edge_yes": 0.0652,
"ev_available": true,
"ev_no": -0.1336,
"ev_yes": 0.088,
"implied_no": 0.5212,
"implied_yes": 0.4788,
"n_bookmakers": 8,
"reliability": "medium"
},
"ou25": {
"best_over_odd": 1.88,
"best_under_odd": 1.95,
"edge_over": -0.0279,
"edge_under": 0.0279,
"ev_available": true,
"ev_over": -0.0938,
"ev_under": 0.0101,
"implied_over": 0.5099,
"implied_under": 0.4901,
"n_bookmakers": 8,
"reliability": "medium"
}
},
"match_tier": "value_game",
"min_ev": 0.02,
"total_xg": 2.6,
"variance_flag": false
},
"unified_decision": {
"actionable_ev_threshold": 0.02,
"algorithm": {
"enabled_since": "2026-05-26",
"game_typing_module": true,
"version": "2.2.0"
},
"balanced_alternative": null,
"best_tracked_ev": 0.0894,
"confidence": 5.5,
"decision_confidence_v1": {
"breakdown": [
"pred_conf_v1_primary_line",
"pred_conf_v1_max_1x2_under_50",
"pred_conf_v1_multi_ev_lines"
],
"breakdown_resolved": [
"Primary line identified (+1.0)",
"Max 1X2 prob under 50% (no dominant 1X2) (\u22121.0)",
"Two or more valid +EV lines at threshold (+0.5)"
],
"score": 5.5
},
"execution": {
"1x2_dominant": false,
"1x2_open_contest": true,
"grade": "A",
"stake_factor": 1.0
},
"favourite_misaligned_1x2": {
"active": false,
"gap": null,
"side": null
},
"game_type": {
"label_zh": "\u5747\u8861\uff08\u5f00\u653e\u8d5b\u679c\uff09",
"scoring_type": "balanced",
"signals": {
"btts_yes_prob": 0.544,
"draw_prob": 0.2954,
"max_1x2_prob": 0.3897,
"over_prob": 0.482,
"total_xg": 2.6,
"under_prob": 0.518,
"xg_diff": 0.16
},
"type": "balanced",
"typing_weights_enabled": true
},
"hero_display_pick": null,
"longshot_picks": [],
"markets": {
"1x2": {
"decision": "value_bet",
"edge": 0.0306,
"ev": 0.0894,
"implied_prob": 0.1509,
"max_ev_side": "away",
"model_prob": 0.3897,
"side": "away",
"side_label": "Hartford Athletic"
},
"btts": {
"decision": "value_bet",
"edge": 0.0652,
"ev": 0.088,
"implied_prob": 0.4788,
"model_prob": 0.544,
"side": "yes",
"value_side": "yes"
},
"ou_2_5": {
"decision": "small_edge",
"edge": 0.0279,
"ev": 0.0101,
"implied_prob": 0.4901,
"model_prob": 0.518,
"side": "under",
"value_side": "under"
}
},
"match_id": 1493542,
"match_regime": {
"action": "bet",
"actionable": true,
"clear_edge": true,
"code": "clear_edge",
"execution_line_key": null,
"insight_line_key": null,
"max_valid_ev": 0.0894,
"min_ev": 0.02,
"stake_mult": 1.0,
"use_split_strip": false
},
"match_tier": "value_game",
"no_clear_primary": false,
"probabilities": {
"away": 0.3897,
"draw": 0.2954,
"home": 0.3149
},
"reason_codes": [
"model_summary"
],
"secondary_pick": null,
"secondary_picks": [],
"suppressed_primary": null,
"teams": {
"away": "Hartford Athletic",
"home": "Tampa Bay Rowdies"
},
"top_pick": {
"composite_score": 0.047872,
"decision": "value_bet",
"ev": 0.088,
"implied_prob": 0.4788,
"market": "btts",
"model_prob": 0.544,
"not_dominant": false,
"primary_strength": "clear",
"risk_band": "strong",
"risk_tier": "primary",
"side": "yes",
"slot": "primary",
"speculative_primary": false
},
"valid_markets_count": 2
}
},
"fixture_id": 1493542,
"generated_at_utc": "2026-06-12T05:28:54.988137+00:00",
"lang_id": "en"
}
Bagaimana untuk menggunakan ini
- Fokus pada baris Utama apabila anda mahukan satu idea yang boleh diambil tindakan.
- Jangan parlay banyak picks tepi nipis bersama-sama;tepi tidak menambah dengan pasti.
- Anggap pukulan panjang sebagai permainan pilihan, bersaiz tinggi sahaja.
Terokai Kandungan Ramalan Lain
Dapatkan Ramalan Premium untuk Tampa Bay Rowdies & Hartford Athletic!
Buka analisis mendalam, tip pertaruhan eksklusif, dan ramalan perlawanan dengan perkhidmatan langganan premium kami.
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