Galway United · Kebarangkalian model 67.6%
Konsensus pasaran (3 hala) 30.6%
EV garisan konsensus: +10.1%
Penilaian Ramalan
Risiko kerosakan model
- Kegemaran
- Galway United Kegemaran
- Kebarangkalian model
- 67.6%
- Kebarangkalian pasaran
- 30.6%
- Perjanjian pasaran
- Sangat lemah
- Pengesahan
- gagal
Ringkasan:
Jangan tafsir perbandingan model vs pasaran sehingga pengesahan berlalu.
Log masuk untuk melihat keputusan pertaruhan penuh
Daftar percuma untuk membuka kunci keputusan pertaruhan akhir — pasaran mana lulus, di mana +EV mungkin wujud, dan amaran steam.
Audit Pasaran
- Perjanjian pasaran
- Sangat lemah
- Pengesahan
- gagal
- Jurang terbesar
- Galway United +37.0 pp
- Keluasan
- 8/8
- Aktiviti pasaran semasa
- Belum ada pergerakan arah yang bermakna.
Model dan pasaran berbeza mengikut 37.0 mata peratusan. Output model mungkin tidak boleh dipercayai untuk padanan ini — sahkan input sebelum mentafsir kebarangkalian.
| Hasil | Adil | Pasaran | Tepi |
|---|---|---|---|
| Galway United | 67.58% | 30.55% | +37.0 pp |
| Seri | 20.07% | 28.94% | -8.9 pp |
| Derry City | 12.35% | 40.51% | -28.2 pp |
Kebarangkalian saksama daripada model statistik Poisson/xG. Bukan penentu taruhan. Bukan nasihat pertaruhan.
Risiko Pecahan Model
Model dan pasaran berbeza mengikut 37.0 mata peratusan. Output model mungkin tidak boleh dipercayai untuk padanan ini — sahkan input sebelum mentafsir kebarangkalian.
- Perbezaan model-pasaran yang melampau dikesan.
Laman pertaruhan premium 1xBet: pengguna baharu boleh guna kod promo 1x_3342271. Daftar sekarang
Pilihan utama (+EV tertinggi)
Lebih 2.5
— Nilai
Ya 55.7% · Tidak 44.3%
EV Ya +1.4% · EV No -11.4%
Condong nilai: BTTS Ya
Paling berkemungkinan
2-0
Kebarangkalian 10.4%
Skor tepat berisiko tinggi — pertaruhan kecil untuk hiburan sahaja.
Keputusan pertaruhan (model lwn. EV pasaran)
Nilai peluang — Sekurang-kurangnya satu pasaran menunjukkan anggaran +EV pada kemungkinan perpuluhan terbaik semasa (ambang: 2.0%).
Kekuatan keputusan: 7.5 / 10
- Barisan utama dikenal pasti (+1.0)
- EV utama melebihi 10% (+1.0)
- Dua atau lebih baris +EV yang sah pada ambang (+0.5)
O/U 2.5:
EV Selesai +25%+ ·
EV Di Bawah -33.8%
(6 pasangan buku)
BTTS: EV Ya +1.4% · EV No -11.4%
BTTS: EV Ya +1.4% · EV No -11.4%
Galway United market context before kickoff
— Menjejaki on Galway United
- Odds move
- 3.13 → 3.13 (+0.0%)
- Market breadth
- 8/8
- Steam score
- 40 (B)
- Current status
- Tracked markets may still show +EV at best odds.
Steam detected. Model value still remains on tracked markets — compare EV cards above.
Steam measures market activity. EV measures betting value.
Kitaran Hayat Keputusan
Peringkat semasa: Pengesahan model gagal
- Ramalan Dijana
- Pasaran Berbanding
- Pengesahan Lulus
- Penutupan Dirakam
- CLV Dinilai
- Kemasukan
- 3.05
- Penutup
- Belum selesai
- CLV
- Belum selesai
Enjin Keputusan OddsGPT v2.2.0
Sentiasa diperhalusi menggunakan prestasi model, data pasaran dan keputusan sejarah.
Semak Odds di 1xBet
Taklimat AI untuk perlawanan ini belum tersedia. Selepas naik taraf pelayan, jalankan semula “Batch generate odds” untuk menjana ringkasan.
View technical JSON
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"fair_confidence_label": "Medium",
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"headline": "Model breakdown risk",
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"paragraphs": [
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"reliability_icon": "\u2717",
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"summary": "Do not interpret model vs market comparison until validation passes.",
"tier": "breakdown",
"title": "Forecast Assessment",
"validation_label": "Fail"
},
"forecast_certainty": {
"note": "One outcome clearly leads the model 1X2 grid.",
"tier": "high",
"tier_label": "High"
},
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"has_market_probs": true,
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"hero_side": "home",
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"market_narrative": {},
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"tier": "high",
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{
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"label": "Draw",
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"side": "draw"
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{
"edge_pp": -28.16,
"fair_prob_pct": 12.35,
"is_hero": false,
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"market_prob_pct": 40.51,
"side": "away"
}
],
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"steam_note": "",
"unavailable_note": ""
},
"interpretation": {
"has_conflict": true,
"paragraphs": [
"The betting market strongly prefers Derry City (30.6%).",
"This creates a conflict: Model \u2192 Galway United, Market \u2192 Derry City, Recent sharp money \u2192 recent line movement.",
"Because signals disagree, confidence remains limited."
],
"show": true,
"title": "OddsGPT Interpretation"
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"lifecycle": {
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"closing_odds": null,
"clv_pending": true,
"clv_pp": null,
"clv_status": "pending",
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"id": "market_detected",
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{
"detail": "",
"id": "model_validated",
"label": "Validation Passed",
"status": "lost"
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{
"detail": "",
"id": "closing_recorded",
"label": "Closing Recorded",
"status": "pending"
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{
"detail": "",
"id": "clv_evaluated",
"label": "CLV Evaluated",
"status": "pending"
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]
},
"market_move_intelligence": {
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},
"market_overview": {
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"current_odds": 3.13,
"move_display": "+0.0%",
"open_odds": 3.13,
"pick_team": "Galway United",
"steam_score": 40,
"steam_team_name": "Galway United",
"steam_tier": "B"
},
"premium_teaser": {
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"divergence_label": "Current divergence",
"title": "Premium Market Intelligence",
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"show": true
},
"match": {
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"away_team_id": 670,
"away_team_logo": "/static/teams/670.webp",
"away_team_name": "Derry City",
"country_code": "IE",
"country_flag": "/static/images/country/ie.svg",
"country_name": "Ireland",
"fixture_id": 1492718,
"goals_away": null,
"goals_home": null,
"home_expected_goals": null,
"home_team_country": "Ireland",
"home_team_id": 3851,
"home_team_logo": "/static/teams/3851.webp",
"home_team_name": "Galway United",
"league_country": "Ireland",
"league_id": 357,
"league_logo": "/static/leagues/357.webp",
"league_name": "Premier Division",
"league_season": 2026,
"match_date": "2026-06-19 18:45:00",
"score_fulltime_away": null,
"score_fulltime_home": null,
"status_long": "Not Started",
"status_short": "NS",
"venue_city": "Galway",
"venue_name": "Eamonn Deacy Park"
},
"match_decision": {
"confidence": {
"breakdown": [
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"pred_conf_md_line_above_ev"
],
"breakdown_resolved": [
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"At least one tracked line above +EV threshold (+0.5)"
],
"score": 9.0
},
"markets": {
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"away": {
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"calibration": {
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"edge": -0.0732,
"ev": -0.2366,
"implied_prob": 0.4051,
"model_prob": 0.1235,
"p_final": 0.3319
},
"draw": {
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"best_odd": 3.22,
"calibration": {
"active": false,
"hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
},
"edge": -0.023,
"ev": -0.1424,
"implied_prob": 0.2894,
"model_prob": 0.2008,
"p_final": 0.2663
},
"ev_available": true,
"home": {
"alpha": 0.15,
"best_odd": 3.05,
"calibration": {
"active": false,
"hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
},
"edge": 0.0555,
"ev": 0.1012,
"implied_prob": 0.3055,
"model_prob": 0.6757,
"p_final": 0.361
}
},
"btts": {
"best_no_odd": 2.0,
"best_yes_odd": 1.82,
"edge_no": -0.0327,
"edge_yes": 0.0327,
"ev_available": true,
"ev_no": -0.114,
"ev_yes": 0.0137,
"implied_no": 0.4757,
"implied_yes": 0.5243,
"n_bookmakers": 6,
"reliability": "medium"
},
"ou25": {
"best_over_odd": 2.1,
"best_under_odd": 1.8,
"edge_over": 0.1699,
"edge_under": -0.1699,
"ev_available": true,
"ev_over": 0.3272,
"ev_under": -0.3376,
"implied_over": 0.4621,
"implied_under": 0.5379,
"n_bookmakers": 6,
"reliability": "medium"
}
},
"match_tier": "value_game",
"min_ev": 0.02,
"total_xg": 3.26,
"variance_flag": false
},
"unified_decision": {
"actionable_ev_threshold": 0.02,
"algorithm": {
"enabled_since": "2026-05-26",
"game_typing_module": true,
"version": "2.2.0"
},
"balanced_alternative": null,
"best_tracked_ev": 0.3272,
"confidence": 7.5,
"decision_confidence_v1": {
"breakdown": [
"pred_conf_v1_primary_line",
"pred_conf_v1_primary_ev_above_10",
"pred_conf_v1_multi_ev_lines"
],
"breakdown_resolved": [
"Primary line identified (+1.0)",
"Primary EV above 10% (+1.0)",
"Two or more valid +EV lines at threshold (+0.5)"
],
"score": 7.5
},
"execution": {
"1x2_dominant": true,
"1x2_open_contest": false,
"grade": "A",
"stake_factor": 1.0
},
"favourite_misaligned_1x2": {
"active": false,
"gap": null,
"side": null
},
"game_type": {
"label_zh": "\u5f3a\u4fe1\u53f7\uff08\u4f4e\u65b9\u5dee\uff09",
"scoring_type": "strong_signal",
"signals": {
"btts_yes_prob": 0.557,
"draw_prob": 0.2008,
"max_1x2_prob": 0.6757,
"over_prob": 0.632,
"total_xg": 3.26,
"under_prob": 0.368,
"xg_diff": 1.4
},
"type": "strong_signal",
"typing_weights_enabled": true
},
"hero_display_pick": null,
"longshot_picks": [],
"markets": {
"1x2": {
"decision": "value_bet",
"edge": 0.0555,
"ev": 0.1012,
"implied_prob": 0.3055,
"max_ev_side": "home",
"model_prob": 0.6757,
"side": "home",
"side_label": "Galway United"
},
"btts": {
"decision": "small_edge",
"edge": 0.0327,
"ev": 0.0137,
"implied_prob": 0.5243,
"model_prob": 0.557,
"side": "yes",
"value_side": "yes"
},
"ou_2_5": {
"decision": "value_bet",
"edge": 0.1699,
"ev": 0.3272,
"implied_prob": 0.4621,
"model_prob": 0.632,
"side": "over",
"value_side": "over"
}
},
"match_id": 1492718,
"match_regime": {
"action": "bet",
"actionable": true,
"clear_edge": true,
"code": "clear_edge",
"execution_line_key": null,
"insight_line_key": null,
"max_valid_ev": 0.3272,
"min_ev": 0.02,
"stake_mult": 1.0,
"use_split_strip": false
},
"match_tier": "value_game",
"no_clear_primary": false,
"probabilities": {
"away": 0.1235,
"draw": 0.2008,
"home": 0.6757
},
"reason_codes": [
"high_total_goals"
],
"secondary_pick": {
"decision": "value_bet",
"ev": 0.1012,
"implied_prob": 0.3055,
"market": "1x2",
"model_prob": 0.6757,
"not_dominant": false,
"risk_band": "strong",
"risk_tier": "secondary",
"side": "home",
"side_label": "Galway United",
"slot": "secondary"
},
"secondary_picks": [
{
"decision": "value_bet",
"ev": 0.1012,
"implied_prob": 0.3055,
"market": "1x2",
"model_prob": 0.6757,
"not_dominant": false,
"risk_band": "strong",
"risk_tier": "secondary",
"side": "home",
"side_label": "Galway United",
"slot": "secondary"
}
],
"suppressed_primary": null,
"teams": {
"away": "Derry City",
"home": "Galway United"
},
"top_pick": {
"composite_score": 0.20679,
"decision": "value_bet",
"ev": 0.3272,
"implied_prob": 0.4621,
"market": "ou_2_5",
"model_prob": 0.632,
"not_dominant": false,
"primary_strength": "clear",
"risk_band": "strong",
"risk_tier": "primary",
"side": "over",
"slot": "primary",
"speculative_primary": false
},
"valid_markets_count": 2
}
},
"fixture_id": 1492718,
"generated_at_utc": "2026-06-13T13:27:59.985099+00:00",
"lang_id": "en"
}
Bagaimana untuk menggunakan ini
- Fokus pada baris Utama apabila anda mahukan satu idea yang boleh diambil tindakan.
- Jangan parlay banyak picks tepi nipis bersama-sama;tepi tidak menambah dengan pasti.
- Anggap pukulan panjang sebagai permainan pilihan, bersaiz tinggi sahaja.
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