Ramalan / Piala Dunia 2026 / Uruguay vs Sepanyol

Uruguay vs Sepanyol

Group H
Uruguay Uruguay
Jun 27, 2026 - 00:00
0 0.91
1 1.79
Sepanyol Sepanyol

Betting Signal

Model berkata
Sepanyol 56.9%
Status
Direction aligned; check pricing gap separately

OddsGPT Interpretation

The statistical model leans Sepanyol (56.9%).

The model leans Sepanyol, with modest separation from other outcomes. Monitor market movement before kickoff.

Laman pertaruhan premium stake: pengguna baharu boleh guna kod promo FHn2uDc1. Daftar sekarang
Ramalan AI
Uruguay 17.3%
Draw 25.8%
Sepanyol 56.9%

Dijana daripada simulasi Poisson terlaras Elo. Bukan penentu taruhan.

Tunjukkan Data Model Penuh
Kebarangkalian garisan gol Poisson
Garisan Over Under
0.5 91.9% 8.1%
1.5 76.6% 23.4%
2.5 50.6% 49.4%
3.5 28.6% 71.4%
4.5 13.7% 86.3%
Jangkaan perlawanan
Over 2.5 gol
50.6%
Balanced
Under 2.5 gol
49.4%
Kedua-dua jaring gol
51.1%
Balanced
Clean sheet mungkin
48.9%

Poisson total-goals expectation Σλ = 2.7 (Over 2.5 50.6% · Under 2.5 49.4%).

BTTS Yes 51.1% · No 48.9% — neither side dominates the BTTS split.

Skor paling mungkin
Skor Kebarangkalian
1-1 12.3%
0-2 10.8%
0-1 10.6%
1-2 9.8%
0-0 8.1%

Top Poisson cell: 1-1 at 12.3% (draw-type scoreline; exact-score variance remains high).

FAQ
How are win probabilities calculated?

Home and away expected goals (λ) are derived from Elo ratings and tournament parameters, then fed into a Dixon–Coles Poisson grid to produce 1X2, goal-line, and scoreline probabilities shown on this page.

Is this page betting advice?

No. OddsGPT displays model probabilities for informational purposes only. We do not recommend wagers or stake sizes on this page.

What does xG / λ mean here?

λ is the model’s pre-match expected goals for each team before variance is simulated. It is an input to the Poisson matrix, not a post-match expected-goals stat.

Why are exact score probabilities low?

Even the most likely scoreline typically sits below 15% because many score combinations share the probability mass — that is normal for Poisson models.

Fasa Perlawanan: Finished

Kitaran Hayat Keputusan

Peringkat semasa: Closing unavailable

  1. Prediksi Dijana
  2. Pasaran Berbanding
    Kemasukan Belum selesai
  3. Pengesahan Lulus
  4. Penutupan Dirakam
    Penutup Unavailable No complete pre-match closing snapshot
  5. CLV Dinilai
    CLV Belum selesai Requires closing line after full time
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Perlawanan Group H