Ya 59.3% · Tidak 40.7%
EV Ya -16.98% · EV No 20.07%
Condong nilai: BTTS Tidak
Pilihan utama (+EV tertinggi)
Kurang 2.5
— Nilai
Villarreal · Model 47.6%
tersirat 38.7%
EV: 2.4%
EV terbaik (1X2) 2.4%
Paling berkemungkinan
1-1
Kebarangkalian 11.1%
Skor tepat berisiko tinggi — pertaruhan kecil untuk hiburan sahaja.
Keputusan pertaruhan (model lwn. EV pasaran)
Nilai peluang — Sekurang-kurangnya satu pasaran menunjukkan anggaran +EV pada kemungkinan perpuluhan terbaik semasa (ambang: 2.0%).
Kekuatan keputusan: 6.5 / 10
- Barisan utama dikenal pasti (+1.0)
- EV utama melebihi 10% (+1.0)
- Kebarangkalian maksimum 1X2 di bawah 50% (tiada 1X2 dominan) (−1.0)
- Dua atau lebih baris +EV yang sah pada ambang (+0.5)
O/U 2.5:
EV Selesai -16.68% ·
EV Di Bawah 24.55%
(9 pasangan buku)
BTTS: EV Ya -16.98% · EV No 20.07%
BTTS: EV Ya -16.98% · EV No 20.07%
Enjin Keputusan OddsGPT v2.1.0(EV + Struktur Pasaran + Pelarasan Risiko)
Semak Odds di 1xBet
Taklimat AI untuk perlawanan ini belum tersedia. Selepas naik taraf pelayan, jalankan semula “Batch generate odds” untuk menjana ringkasan.
View technical JSON
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"facts": {
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"away_win_prob": 0.257,
"dc_rho": -0.13,
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"fair_odds_away": 3.89,
"fair_odds_draw": 3.75,
"fair_odds_home": 2.1,
"home_predicted_xg": 1.72,
"home_win_prob": 0.4767,
"prediction_confidence": "high"
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"api_prediction": {
"advice": "Double chance : draw or Atletico Madrid",
"main_pick_display": "Winner : Villarreal",
"percent_away": "45%",
"percent_draw": "45%",
"percent_home": "10%",
"winner_name": "Atletico Madrid"
},
"away_xg": 1.22,
"betting_insight": {
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"confidence": 47.6,
"main_pick_meta": {
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"edge_gap": 0.2095,
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"probabilities": {
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"home": 47.6
},
"reason": "",
"selection": "home",
"selection_name": "Villarreal"
},
"market_comparison": [
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"odd": 2.58
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"betting_markets": {
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"away_played": 36,
"away_score_rate": 70.5,
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"home_failed_to_score": 5,
"home_played": 36,
"home_score_rate": 82.1,
"no_prob": 40.7,
"pick": "No",
"pick_prob": 59.3,
"source": "xG_dc",
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"yes_prob": 59.3
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"home_expected": 1.72,
"scores": [
{
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"home": 1,
"label": "1-1",
"prob": 11.1
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{
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"label": "2-1",
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{
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{
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{
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"source": "xG"
},
"double_chance": {
"options": [
{
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"label": "Villarreal or Draw",
"prob": 74.3
},
{
"key": "12",
"label": "Villarreal or Atletico Madrid",
"prob": 73.4
},
{
"key": "X2",
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],
"pick_key": "1X",
"pick_label": "Villarreal or Draw",
"pick_prob": 74.3
},
"match_winner": {
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"draw_pct": 26.6,
"home_pct": 47.7,
"lean_key": "home",
"lean_label": "Villarreal"
},
"over_under": {
"api_hint": null,
"avg_total": 2.94,
"away_avg_scored": 1.7,
"confidence": "medium",
"home_avg_scored": 1.9,
"over_prob": 56.3,
"pick": "Under 2.5",
"pick_prob": 56.3,
"source": "xG_dc",
"strong_pick": true,
"total_expected": 2.94,
"under_prob": 43.7
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"prob_source": "poisson",
"value_bet_enhanced": {
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"bookmaker_name": "1xBet",
"edge": 23.1,
"implied_prob": 38.8,
"is_value": true,
"label": "Home",
"market": "Villarreal Win",
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"closing_line_bundle": {
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"correct_score_insight": {
"best_value": null,
"most_likely": {
"label": "1-1",
"prob": 11.1
}
},
"home_xg": 1.72,
"homepage_pick": null,
"market_cards": [
{
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"ev_available": true,
"ev_over": -0.0711,
"ev_under": 0.0663,
"featured": true,
"id": "ou_2_5",
"max_ev": 0.0663,
"over_prob": 56.3,
"sort_key": 10209.67,
"tier": "best",
"under_prob": 43.7,
"value_side": "under"
},
{
"decision": "value_bet",
"ev": 0.038,
"ev_available": true,
"featured": false,
"id": "1x2",
"implied_prob": 0.3924,
"max_ev": 0.038,
"model_prob": 0.4762,
"side_label": "Villarreal",
"sort_key": 10034.2,
"tier": "best"
},
{
"decision": "value_bet",
"ev_available": true,
"ev_no": 0.0378,
"ev_yes": -0.1105,
"featured": false,
"id": "btts",
"max_ev": 0.0378,
"no_prob": 40.7,
"sort_key": 10034.02,
"tier": "best",
"value_side": "no",
"yes_prob": 59.3
},
{
"featured": false,
"id": "correct_score",
"sort_key": 813.3,
"tier": "risk",
"top_label": "1-1",
"top_prob": 11.1
}
],
"match": {
"away_expected_goals": null,
"away_team_id": 530,
"away_team_logo": "/static/teams/530.webp",
"away_team_name": "Atletico Madrid",
"country_flag": "/static/images/country/es.svg",
"country_name": "Spain",
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"goals_away": null,
"goals_home": null,
"home_expected_goals": null,
"home_team_id": 533,
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"home_team_name": "Villarreal",
"league_country": "Spain",
"league_id": 140,
"league_logo": "/static/leagues/140.webp",
"league_name": "La Liga",
"league_season": 2025,
"match_date": "2026-05-24 16:00:00",
"score_fulltime_away": null,
"score_fulltime_home": null,
"status_long": "Not Started",
"status_short": "NS"
},
"match_decision": {
"confidence": {
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"pred_conf_md_max_1x2_under_50",
"pred_conf_md_line_above_ev",
"pred_conf_md_few_books_ou",
"pred_conf_md_few_books_btts"
],
"breakdown_resolved": [
"Max 1X2 prob under 50% (open contest) (\u22121.0)",
"At least one tracked line above +EV threshold (+0.5)",
"Few bookmakers for O/U odds (edge less reliable) (\u22120.5)",
"Few bookmakers for BTTS odds (edge less reliable) (\u22120.5)"
],
"score": 5.5
},
"markets": {
"1x2": {
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"away": {
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"best_odd": 2.74,
"calibration": {
"active": false,
"hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
},
"edge": -0.0358,
"ev": -0.1406,
"implied_prob": 0.3495,
"model_prob": 0.2571,
"p_final": 0.3137
},
"draw": {
"alpha": 0.2961,
"best_odd": 3.71,
"calibration": {
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"hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
},
"edge": 0.0025,
"ev": -0.033,
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},
"ev_available": true,
"home": {
"alpha": 0.3934,
"best_odd": 2.44,
"calibration": {
"active": false,
"hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
},
"edge": 0.033,
"ev": 0.038,
"implied_prob": 0.3924,
"model_prob": 0.4762,
"p_final": 0.4254
}
},
"btts": {
"best_no_odd": 2.55,
"best_yes_odd": 1.5,
"edge_no": 0.0343,
"edge_yes": -0.0343,
"ev_available": true,
"ev_no": 0.0378,
"ev_yes": -0.1105,
"implied_no": 0.3727,
"implied_yes": 0.6273,
"n_bookmakers": 2,
"reliability": "low"
},
"ou25": {
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"best_under_odd": 2.44,
"edge_over": -0.0336,
"edge_under": 0.0336,
"ev_available": true,
"ev_over": -0.0711,
"ev_under": 0.0663,
"implied_over": 0.5966,
"implied_under": 0.4034,
"n_bookmakers": 1,
"reliability": "low"
}
},
"match_tier": "value_game",
"min_ev": 0.02,
"total_xg": 2.94,
"variance_flag": false
},
"unified_decision": {
"actionable_ev_threshold": 0.02,
"algorithm": {
"enabled_since": "2026-04-26",
"game_typing_module": true,
"version": "2.1.0"
},
"balanced_alternative": null,
"best_tracked_ev": 0.0663,
"confidence": 5.5,
"decision_confidence_v1": {
"breakdown": [
"pred_conf_v1_primary_line",
"pred_conf_v1_max_1x2_under_50",
"pred_conf_v1_multi_ev_lines"
],
"breakdown_resolved": [
"Primary line identified (+1.0)",
"Max 1X2 prob under 50% (no dominant 1X2) (\u22121.0)",
"Two or more valid +EV lines at threshold (+0.5)"
],
"score": 5.5
},
"execution": {
"1x2_dominant": false,
"1x2_open_contest": true,
"grade": "A",
"stake_factor": 1.0
},
"favourite_misaligned_1x2": {
"active": false,
"gap": null,
"side": null
},
"game_type": {
"label_zh": "\u5927\u5f00\u5927\u5408\uff08\u8fdb\u7403\u578b\uff09",
"scoring_type": "high_scoring",
"signals": {
"btts_yes_prob": 0.593,
"draw_prob": 0.2667,
"max_1x2_prob": 0.4762,
"over_prob": 0.563,
"total_xg": 2.94,
"under_prob": 0.437,
"xg_diff": 0.5
},
"type": "high_scoring",
"typing_weights_enabled": true
},
"hero_display_pick": null,
"longshot_picks": [],
"markets": {
"1x2": {
"decision": "value_bet",
"edge": 0.033,
"ev": 0.038,
"implied_prob": 0.3924,
"max_ev_side": "home",
"model_prob": 0.4762,
"side": "home",
"side_label": "Villarreal"
},
"btts": {
"decision": "value_bet",
"edge": 0.0343,
"ev": 0.0378,
"implied_prob": 0.3727,
"model_prob": 0.407,
"side": "no",
"value_side": "no"
},
"ou_2_5": {
"decision": "value_bet",
"edge": 0.0336,
"ev": 0.0663,
"implied_prob": 0.4034,
"model_prob": 0.437,
"side": "under",
"value_side": "under"
}
},
"match_id": 1391198,
"match_regime": {
"action": "optional",
"actionable": true,
"clear_edge": false,
"code": "thin_edge",
"execution_line_key": null,
"insight_line_key": null,
"max_valid_ev": 0.0663,
"min_ev": 0.02,
"stake_mult": 0.25,
"use_split_strip": false
},
"match_tier": "value_game",
"no_clear_primary": false,
"probabilities": {
"away": 0.2571,
"draw": 0.2667,
"home": 0.4762
},
"reason_codes": [
"high_total_goals"
],
"secondary_pick": null,
"secondary_picks": [],
"suppressed_primary": null,
"teams": {
"away": "Atletico Madrid",
"home": "Villarreal"
},
"top_pick": {
"composite_score": 0.020919,
"decision": "value_bet",
"ev": 0.0663,
"implied_prob": 0.4034,
"market": "ou_2_5",
"model_prob": 0.437,
"not_dominant": true,
"primary_strength": "clear",
"risk_band": "medium",
"risk_tier": "primary",
"side": "under",
"slot": "primary",
"speculative_primary": false
},
"valid_markets_count": 3
}
},
"fixture_id": 1391198,
"generated_at_utc": "2026-05-18T02:24:25.423974+00:00",
"lang_id": "en"
}
Bagaimana untuk menggunakan ini
- Fokus pada baris Utama apabila anda mahukan satu idea yang boleh diambil tindakan.
- Jangan parlay banyak picks tepi nipis bersama-sama;tepi tidak menambah dengan pasti.
- Anggap pukulan panjang sebagai permainan pilihan, bersaiz tinggi sahaja.
Terokai Kandungan Ramalan Lain
Dapatkan Ramalan Premium untuk Villarreal & Atletico Madrid!
Buka analisis mendalam, tip pertaruhan eksklusif, dan ramalan perlawanan dengan perkhidmatan langganan premium kami.
Langgan Sekarang
La Liga — Kedudukan
| # | PASUKAN | MP | M | S | K | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Barcelona | 37 | 31 | 1 | 5 | 94 |
| 2 | Real Madrid | 37 | 26 | 5 | 6 | 83 |
| 3 | Villarreal | 37 | 21 | 6 | 10 | 69 |
| 4 | Atletico Madrid | 37 | 21 | 6 | 10 | 69 |
| 5 | Real Betis | 37 | 14 | 15 | 8 | 57 |
| 6 | Celta Vigo | 37 | 13 | 12 | 12 | 51 |
| 7 | Getafe | 37 | 14 | 6 | 17 | 48 |
| 8 | Rayo Vallecano | 37 | 11 | 14 | 12 | 47 |
| 9 | Valencia | 37 | 12 | 10 | 15 | 46 |
| 10 | Real Sociedad | 37 | 11 | 12 | 14 | 45 |
| 11 | Espanyol | 37 | 12 | 9 | 16 | 45 |
| 12 | Athletic Club | 37 | 13 | 6 | 18 | 45 |
| 13 | Sevilla | 37 | 12 | 7 | 18 | 43 |
| 14 | Alaves | 37 | 11 | 10 | 16 | 43 |
| 15 | Levante | 37 | 11 | 9 | 17 | 42 |
| 16 | Osasuna | 37 | 11 | 9 | 17 | 42 |
| 17 | Elche | 37 | 10 | 12 | 15 | 42 |
| 18 | Girona | 37 | 9 | 13 | 15 | 40 |
| 19 | Mallorca | 37 | 10 | 9 | 18 | 39 |
| 20 | Oviedo | 37 | 6 | 11 | 20 | 29 |
| # | PASUKAN | MP | GS | GC | +/- | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Barcelona | 37 | 94 | 33 | +61 | 94 |
| 2 | Real Madrid | 37 | 73 | 33 | +40 | 83 |
| 3 | Villarreal | 37 | 67 | 45 | +22 | 69 |
| 4 | Atletico Madrid | 37 | 61 | 39 | +22 | 69 |
| 5 | Real Sociedad | 37 | 58 | 60 | -2 | 45 |
| 6 | Real Betis | 37 | 57 | 47 | +10 | 57 |
| 7 | Celta Vigo | 37 | 52 | 48 | +4 | 51 |
| 8 | Elche | 37 | 48 | 56 | -8 | 42 |
| 9 | Sevilla | 37 | 46 | 59 | -13 | 43 |
| 10 | Levante | 37 | 46 | 59 | -13 | 42 |
| 11 | Osasuna | 37 | 44 | 49 | -5 | 42 |
| 12 | Mallorca | 37 | 44 | 57 | -13 | 39 |
| 13 | Valencia | 37 | 43 | 54 | -11 | 46 |
| 14 | Alaves | 37 | 43 | 54 | -11 | 43 |
| 15 | Espanyol | 37 | 42 | 54 | -12 | 45 |
| 16 | Athletic Club | 37 | 41 | 54 | -13 | 45 |
| 17 | Rayo Vallecano | 37 | 39 | 43 | -4 | 47 |
| 18 | Girona | 37 | 38 | 54 | -16 | 40 |
| 19 | Getafe | 37 | 31 | 38 | -7 | 48 |
| 20 | Oviedo | 37 | 26 | 57 | -31 | 29 |
| # | PASUKAN | MP | xG | xGC | +/- | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Barcelona | 37 | 85.2 | 44.1 | +41.1 | 94 |
| 2 | Real Madrid | 37 | 72.9 | 39.3 | +33.6 | 83 |
| 3 | Villarreal | 37 | 55.3 | 43.8 | +11.5 | 69 |
| 4 | Atletico Madrid | 37 | 56.8 | 46.1 | +10.7 | 69 |
| 5 | Real Betis | 37 | 53.2 | 43.2 | +10.0 | 57 |
| 6 | Athletic Club | 37 | 48.6 | 38.6 | +10.0 | 45 |
| 7 | Valencia | 37 | 47.8 | 44.8 | +3.0 | 46 |
| 8 | Rayo Vallecano | 37 | 48.8 | 46.4 | +2.4 | 47 |
| 9 | Celta Vigo | 37 | 48.1 | 48.5 | -0.4 | 51 |
| 10 | Alaves | 37 | 44.5 | 46.0 | -1.5 | 43 |
| 11 | Osasuna | 37 | 45.0 | 48.9 | -3.9 | 42 |
| 12 | Real Sociedad | 37 | 47.6 | 52.3 | -4.7 | 45 |
| 13 | Espanyol | 37 | 46.0 | 52.4 | -6.4 | 45 |
| 14 | Levante | 37 | 49.3 | 57.8 | -8.5 | 42 |
| 15 | Girona | 37 | 45.0 | 55.2 | -10.2 | 40 |
| 16 | Getafe | 37 | 29.9 | 40.3 | -10.4 | 48 |
| 17 | Sevilla | 37 | 37.2 | 52.4 | -15.2 | 43 |
| 18 | Elche | 37 | 40.3 | 59.5 | -19.2 | 42 |
| 19 | Oviedo | 37 | 34.0 | 54.7 | -20.7 | 29 |
| 20 | Mallorca | 37 | 40.4 | 61.6 | -21.2 | 39 |
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