Previsões / Futebol / Italy. Serie D - Girone H / Sarnese vs Francavilla

Sarnese vs Francavilla Previsão, Odds e Dicas de Apostas com IA

Apr 26, 2026 - 13:00
1.45
1.25
45% 45% 10%
Betting decision (model & EV)
1X2 No bet — no value vs. current odds
Match: 45.0% Sarnese; implied 52.6%; EV -14.5%
Primary: Empate — Value · EV 40.4% · Model 45.0%
Not a dominant outcome (model probability is below 50% on this leg).
Secondary (balanced value): Acima de 2.5 (EV 11.6%) — 46.9% model
Lower EV than primary, but with higher model probability (more “stable” when shown).
How to use this
  • Focus on the Primary line when you want one actionable idea.
  • Do not parlay many thin-edge picks together; edges do not add reliably.
  • Treat longshots as optional, high-stake-sizing plays only.
Mais / Menos de 2.5
Acima de 2.5 46.9%
Abaixo de 2.5 53.1%
Escolha da IA: Acima de 2.5
Ambas as Equipes Marcam
Sim 48.8%
Não 51.2%
No value — BTTS is efficiently priced at the best available odds (no side clears the +EV threshold).
Principais Previsões de Placar Exato
1-1 12.7%
1-0 10.2%
0-1 9.8%
Betting decision (model vs. market EV)
Value opportunity — At least one market shows estimated +EV at current best decimal odds (threshold: 2.0%).
Confiança: 6.0 / 9
  • Primary line identified (+1.0)
  • Primary EV above 10% (+1.0)
  • Max 1X2 prob under 50% (no dominant 1X2) (−1.0)
  • Draw probability above 30% (−0.5)
  • Two or more valid +EV lines at threshold (+0.5)
O/U 2.5: EV Over 11.62% · EV Under -17.69% (5 book pairs)
BTTS: EV Yes -1.91% · EV No -13.98%
Should you bet on this match? Only where +EV is shown; always compare with your own limits.

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Serie D - Girone H Serie D - Girone H — Standings
# EQUIPE PJ W D L PTS
1 Barletta 32 19 10 3 67
2 Martina Franca 32 17 8 7 59
3 Città di Fasano 32 17 8 7 59
4 Paganese 32 16 7 9 55
5 Nardò 32 13 13 6 52
6 Gravina 32 14 7 11 49
7 Afragolese 32 13 10 9 49
8 Fidelis Andria 32 13 8 11 47
9 Virtus Francavilla 32 12 11 9 47
10 Real Normanna 32 9 13 10 40
11 Manfredonia 32 10 9 13 39
12 Sarnese 32 9 12 11 39
13 Francavilla 32 10 9 13 39
14 Nola 1925 32 10 8 14 38
15 Heraclea 32 9 8 15 35
16 Pompei 32 7 7 18 28
17 Ferrandina 32 6 9 17 27
18 Real Acerrana 32 3 5 24 14
# EQUIPE PJ GS GC +/- PTS
1 Barletta 32 51 19 +32 67
2 Sarnese 32 47 45 +2 39
3 Città di Fasano 32 45 33 +12 59
4 Afragolese 32 45 38 +7 49
5 Martina Franca 32 44 27 +17 59
6 Virtus Francavilla 32 42 34 +8 47
7 Gravina 32 41 38 +3 49
8 Nola 1925 32 40 44 -4 38
9 Nardò 32 39 26 +13 52
10 Francavilla 32 35 36 -1 39
11 Fidelis Andria 32 34 26 +8 47
12 Manfredonia 32 32 38 -6 39
13 Paganese 32 31 26 +5 55
14 Heraclea 32 28 36 -8 35
15 Real Normanna 32 23 23 0 40
16 Pompei 32 20 36 -16 28
17 Ferrandina 32 19 41 -22 27
18 Real Acerrana 32 19 69 -50 14