CF Talavera vs Real Madrid II Previsão, Odds e Dicas de Apostas com IA

Apr 26, 2026 - 16:00
1.45
1.25
10% 45% 45%
Betting decision (model & EV)
1X2 ✔ draw (Value)
Match: 45.0% draw; implied 29.1%; EV 54.4%
Primary: Empate — Value · EV 54.4% · Model 45.0%
Not a dominant outcome (model probability is below 50% on this leg).
Secondary (balanced value): Real Madrid II (EV 14.8%) — 45.0% model
Lower EV than primary, but with higher model probability (more “stable” when shown).
How to use this
  • Focus on the Primary line when you want one actionable idea.
  • Do not parlay many thin-edge picks together; edges do not add reliably.
  • Treat longshots as optional, high-stake-sizing plays only.
Mais / Menos de 2.5
Acima de 2.5 46.9%
Abaixo de 2.5 53.1%
No value — this market is efficiently priced at the best available odds (no line clears the +EV threshold).
Ambas as Equipes Marcam
Sim 48.2%
Não 51.8%
Escolha da IA: BTTS Não
Principais Previsões de Placar Exato
1-1 12.6%
0-1 10.9%
1-0 9.0%
Betting decision (model vs. market EV)
Value opportunity — At least one market shows estimated +EV at current best decimal odds (threshold: 2.0%).
Confiança: 6.0 / 9
  • Primary line identified (+1.0)
  • Primary EV above 10% (+1.0)
  • Max 1X2 prob under 50% (no dominant 1X2) (−1.0)
  • Draw probability above 30% (−0.5)
  • Two or more valid +EV lines at threshold (+0.5)
O/U 2.5: EV Over -2.45% · EV Under -2.83% (7 book pairs)
BTTS: EV Yes -11.79% · EV No 2.56%
Should you bet on this match? Only where +EV is shown; always compare with your own limits.

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Primera División RFEF - Group 1 Primera División RFEF - Group 1 — Standings
# EQUIPE PJ W D L PTS
1 Tenerife 34 20 10 4 70
2 Celta de Vigo II 34 17 10 7 61
3 Pontevedra 34 13 14 7 53
4 Real Madrid U21 34 15 8 11 53
5 Zamora 33 14 10 9 52
6 Barakaldo 34 13 12 9 51
7 Real Madrid II 31 13 7 11 46
7 Ponferradina 34 14 9 11 51
8 Unionistas de Salamanca 33 13 9 11 48
9 Mérida AD 34 13 9 12 48
10 Arenas Getxo 34 14 5 15 47
11 Lugo 34 11 13 10 46
12 Racing Ferrol 33 13 6 14 45
13 Athletic Club II 33 12 8 13 44
14 Real Avilés 33 11 8 14 41
15 Ourense CF 33 9 11 13 38
16 CF Talavera 34 9 9 16 36
17 Guadalajara 34 9 9 16 36
18 Cacereño 34 7 14 13 35
19 Osasuna II 34 8 9 17 33
20 Arenteiro 34 6 9 19 27
# EQUIPE PJ GS GC +/- PTS
1 Celta de Vigo II 34 56 43 +13 61
2 Tenerife 34 55 20 +35 70
3 Real Madrid U21 34 54 43 +11 53
4 Real Avilés 33 47 54 -7 41
5 Real Madrid II 31 46 41 +5 46
6 Unionistas de Salamanca 33 46 43 +3 48
7 Barakaldo 34 44 34 +10 51
8 Zamora 33 44 37 +7 52
9 Mérida AD 34 44 47 -3 48
10 Pontevedra 34 43 26 +17 53
11 Arenas Getxo 34 40 49 -9 47
12 Ponferradina 34 38 29 +9 51
13 Ourense CF 33 37 38 -1 38
14 Guadalajara 34 37 52 -15 36
15 Racing Ferrol 33 36 41 -5 45
16 Athletic Club II 33 33 37 -4 44
17 CF Talavera 34 33 43 -10 36
18 Lugo 34 32 37 -5 46
19 Cacereño 34 31 45 -14 35
20 Arenteiro 34 29 46 -17 27
21 Osasuna II 34 24 39 -15 33