Mga Prediksyon / World Cup 2026 / Morocco vs Haiti

Morocco vs Haiti

Group C
Morocco Morocco
Jun 24, 2026 - 22:00
4 1.82
2 0.88
Haiti Haiti

Betting Signal

Sabi ng model
Morocco 58.0%
Katayuan
Direction aligned; check pricing gap separately

OddsGPT Interpretation

The statistical model leans Morocco (58.0%).

The model leans Morocco, with modest separation from other outcomes. Monitor market movement before kickoff.

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Pagtataya ng AI
Morocco 58.0%
Draw 25.5%
Haiti 16.5%

Binuo mula sa Elo-adjusted Poisson simulation. Hindi bookmaker logro.

Ipakita ang Buong Data ng Modelo
Poisson goal-line probabilities
Line Over Under
0.5 91.9% 8.1%
1.5 76.5% 23.5%
2.5 50.6% 49.4%
3.5 28.6% 71.4%
4.5 13.7% 86.3%
Match Expectations
Over 2.5 goals
50.6%
Balanced
Under 2.5 goals
49.4%
Both teams to score
50.5%
Balanced
Clean sheet likely
49.5%

Poisson total-goals expectation Σλ = 2.7 (Over 2.5 50.6% · Under 2.5 49.4%).

BTTS Yes 50.5% · No 49.5% — neither side dominates the BTTS split.

Pinaka-malamang na Scorelines
Score Probability
1-1 12.2%
2-0 11.1%
1-0 10.8%
2-1 9.8%
0-0 8.1%

Top Poisson cell: 1-1 at 12.2% (draw-type scoreline; exact-score variance remains high).

FAQ
How are win probabilities calculated?

Home and away expected goals (λ) are derived from Elo ratings and tournament parameters, then fed into a Dixon–Coles Poisson grid to produce 1X2, goal-line, and scoreline probabilities shown on this page.

Is this page betting advice?

No. OddsGPT displays model probabilities for informational purposes only. We do not recommend wagers or stake sizes on this page.

What does xG / λ mean here?

λ is the model’s pre-match expected goals for each team before variance is simulated. It is an input to the Poisson matrix, not a post-match expected-goals stat.

Why are exact score probabilities low?

Even the most likely scoreline typically sits below 15% because many score combinations share the probability mass — that is normal for Poisson models.

Yugto ng Pagtutugma: Finished

Siklo ng Buhay ng Desisyon

Kasalukuyang yugto: Closing unavailable

  1. Nabuo ang Prediksyon
  2. Market Kumpara
    Pagpasok Nakabinbin
  3. Naipasa ang Validation
  4. Pagsara Naitala
    Pagsasara Unavailable No complete pre-match closing snapshot
  5. Nasuri ang CLV
    CLV Nakabinbin Requires closing line after full time
Bumalik sa predictions ngayon
Group C fixtures