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Bản tóm tắt:
Cả hai đều nạc Yelimay Semey, nhưng thị trường định giá chúng cao hơn (50.4% so với mô hình 40.4%). Lợi thế vẫn còn khiêm tốn và trận đấu vẫn tương đối cởi mở.
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Ước tính hợp lý và giá cả thị trường khác nhau một cách khiêm tốn. Theo dõi trước giờ khai mạc.
Thị trường và mô hình nhìn chung đều đồng ý với Yelimay Semey. Sự khác biệt còn lại có thể phản ánh sự khác biệt trong các giả định về sức mạnh của nhóm hơn là sự bất đồng về phương hướng.
| kết quả | Hội chợ | Chợ | Bờ rìa |
|---|---|---|---|
| Yelimay Semey | 40.42% | 50.35% | -9.9 pp |
| Hòa | 29.44% | 25.99% | +3.5 pp |
| Atyrau | 30.14% | 23.66% | +6.5 pp |
Xác suất hợp lý từ mô hình thống kê Poisson/xG. Không phải tỷ lệ cá cược. Không tư vấn cá cược.
Các thị trường khác nhau có hiệu quả định giá khác nhau - 1X2 có thể vượt qua trong khi thị trường mục tiêu vẫn cho thấy lợi thế.
Giai đoạn hiện tại: Giám sát thị trường
Chưa có briefing AI cho trận này. Sau khi nâng cấp máy chủ, chạy lại «Tạo tỷ lệ hàng loạt» để tạo bản tóm tắt.
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{
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{
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],
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],
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"title": "OddsGPT Interpretation"
},
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{
"detail": "",
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},
"match": {
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"status_long": "Not Started",
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"venue_name": "Turkestan Arena"
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"Few bookmakers for O/U odds (edge less reliable) (\u22120.5)",
"Few bookmakers for BTTS odds (edge less reliable) (\u22120.5)"
],
"score": 5.5
},
"markets": {
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"edge": 0.0175,
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"draw": {
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"edge": 0.0097,
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"ev_available": true,
"home": {
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"hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
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"edge": -0.0505,
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},
"btts": {
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"edge_no": -0.0663,
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"ou25": {
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}
},
"match_tier": "value_game",
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"variance_flag": false
},
"unified_decision": {
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"algorithm": {
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"game_typing_module": true,
"version": "2.2.0"
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"confidence": 5.5,
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"breakdown_resolved": [
"Primary line identified (+1.0)",
"Max 1X2 prob under 50% (no dominant 1X2) (\u22121.0)",
"Two or more valid +EV lines at threshold (+0.5)"
],
"score": 5.5
},
"execution": {
"1x2_dominant": false,
"1x2_open_contest": true,
"grade": "A",
"stake_factor": 1.0
},
"favourite_misaligned_1x2": {
"active": false,
"gap": null,
"side": null
},
"game_type": {
"label_zh": "\u5747\u8861\uff08\u5f00\u653e\u8d5b\u679c\uff09",
"scoring_type": "balanced",
"signals": {
"btts_yes_prob": 0.542,
"draw_prob": 0.2941,
"max_1x2_prob": 0.4048,
"over_prob": 0.482,
"total_xg": 2.6,
"under_prob": 0.518,
"xg_diff": 0.22
},
"type": "balanced",
"typing_weights_enabled": true
},
"hero_display_pick": null,
"longshot_picks": [],
"markets": {
"1x2": {
"decision": "no_bet",
"edge": -0.0505,
"ev": -0.1709,
"implied_prob": 0.5035,
"max_ev_side": "away",
"model_prob": 0.4048,
"side": "home",
"side_label": "Yelimay Semey"
},
"btts": {
"decision": "value_bet",
"edge": 0.0663,
"ev": 0.0569,
"implied_prob": 0.4757,
"model_prob": 0.542,
"side": "yes",
"value_side": "yes"
},
"ou_2_5": {
"decision": "value_bet",
"edge": 0.0408,
"ev": 0.0315,
"implied_prob": 0.4412,
"model_prob": 0.482,
"side": "over",
"value_side": "over"
}
},
"match_id": 1527998,
"match_regime": {
"action": "optional",
"actionable": true,
"clear_edge": false,
"code": "thin_edge",
"execution_line_key": null,
"insight_line_key": null,
"max_valid_ev": 0.0569,
"min_ev": 0.02,
"stake_mult": 0.25,
"use_split_strip": false
},
"match_tier": "value_game",
"no_clear_primary": false,
"probabilities": {
"away": 0.3012,
"draw": 0.2941,
"home": 0.4048
},
"reason_codes": [
"no_ev_1x2"
],
"secondary_pick": null,
"secondary_picks": [],
"suppressed_primary": null,
"teams": {
"away": "Atyrau",
"home": "Yelimay Semey"
},
"top_pick": {
"composite_score": 0.027139,
"decision": "value_bet",
"ev": 0.0569,
"implied_prob": 0.4757,
"market": "btts",
"model_prob": 0.542,
"not_dominant": false,
"primary_strength": "clear",
"risk_band": "strong",
"risk_tier": "primary",
"side": "yes",
"slot": "primary",
"speculative_primary": false
},
"valid_markets_count": 2
}
},
"fixture_id": 1527998,
"generated_at_utc": "2026-06-17T08:17:24.181098+00:00",
"lang_id": "en"
}
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