Mtibwa Sugar vs KMC Dự đoán, tỷ lệ cược & mẹo cá cược AI

May 14, 2026 - 11:00
4 1.45
3 1.25
xG Accuracy: 31%
Nhà cái cao cấp 1xBet: người mới có thể dùng mã khuyến mãi 1x_3342271. Đăng ký ngay

Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the model’s highlighted side (or lean) to what happened at full time.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Trên / Dưới 2.5 Dưới 2.5 Dưới 2.5 (0 goals) ✔ Correct
  • Cả Hai Đội Đều Ghi Bàn BTTS Không Không ✔ Correct
  • 1X2 Mtibwa Sugar Vẽ tranh ✖ Incorrect
  • Thông tin tỷ số chính xác 1-0, 1-1, 0-0, 0-1, 2-0 0-0 ✔ Correct

Chưa có briefing AI cho trận này. Sau khi nâng cấp máy chủ, chạy lại «Tạo tỷ lệ hàng loạt» để tạo bản tóm tắt.

View technical JSON
{
  "bundle_version": 1,
  "content_hash": "53c22f792280bfa3d835c37572ef6f82cffc13938e9a0d55cca62015696addfa",
  "decision_algo_version": "2.1.0",
  "facts": {
    "ai_fp": {
      "away_predicted_xg": 1.25,
      "away_win_prob": null,
      "dc_rho": -0.13,
      "draw_prob": null,
      "fair_odds_away": null,
      "fair_odds_draw": null,
      "fair_odds_home": null,
      "home_predicted_xg": 1.45,
      "home_win_prob": null,
      "prediction_confidence": "none"
    },
    "api_prediction": {
      "advice": "Double chance : draw or KMC",
      "main_pick_display": "No Strong Winner Bet",
      "percent_away": "45%",
      "percent_draw": "45%",
      "percent_home": "10%",
      "winner_name": "KMC"
    },
    "away_xg": 1.25,
    "betting_insight": {
      "bet_label": "Mtibwa Sugar",
      "confidence": null,
      "main_pick_meta": {
        "confidence": "low",
        "display_text": "No Strong Winner Bet",
        "edge": -0.0268,
        "edge_gap": 0.092,
        "market": "1X2",
        "market_prob": 0.4445,
        "model_prob": 0.4177,
        "pick_type": "no_strong",
        "probabilities": {
          "away": 32.6,
          "draw": 25.7,
          "home": 41.8
        },
        "reason": "No clear edge in 1X2 market",
        "selection": null,
        "selection_name": null
      },
      "market_comparison": [],
      "risk_color": null,
      "risk_key": null,
      "stacked_market": null,
      "value_bet": null
    },
    "betting_markets": {
      "btts": {
        "away_clean_sheet": 3,
        "away_failed_to_score": 14,
        "away_played": 22,
        "away_score_rate": 36.4,
        "home_clean_sheet": 6,
        "home_failed_to_score": 10,
        "home_played": 22,
        "home_score_rate": 54.5,
        "no_prob": 80.2,
        "pick": "No",
        "pick_prob": 80.2,
        "source": "stats",
        "strong_pick": true,
        "yes_prob": 19.8
      },
      "correct_score": {
        "away_expected": 0.9,
        "home_expected": 1.15,
        "scores": [
          {
            "away": 0,
            "home": 1,
            "label": "1-0",
            "prob": 14.8
          },
          {
            "away": 1,
            "home": 1,
            "label": "1-1",
            "prob": 13.3
          },
          {
            "away": 0,
            "home": 0,
            "label": "0-0",
            "prob": 12.9
          },
          {
            "away": 1,
            "home": 0,
            "label": "0-1",
            "prob": 11.6
          },
          {
            "away": 0,
            "home": 2,
            "label": "2-0",
            "prob": 8.5
          }
        ],
        "source": "avg"
      },
      "double_chance": {
        "options": [
          {
            "key": "1X",
            "label": "Mtibwa Sugar or Draw",
            "prob": 55.0
          },
          {
            "key": "12",
            "label": "Mtibwa Sugar or KMC",
            "prob": 55.0
          },
          {
            "key": "X2",
            "label": "Draw or KMC",
            "prob": 90.0
          }
        ],
        "pick_key": "X2",
        "pick_label": "Draw or KMC",
        "pick_prob": 90.0
      },
      "match_winner": {
        "away_pct": 45.0,
        "draw_pct": 45.0,
        "home_pct": 10.0,
        "lean_key": "draw",
        "lean_label": "Draw"
      },
      "over_under": {
        "api_hint": null,
        "avg_total": 2.05,
        "away_avg_scored": 0.5,
        "confidence": "high",
        "home_avg_scored": 0.7,
        "over_prob": 33.7,
        "pick": "Under 2.5",
        "pick_prob": 66.3,
        "source": "avg",
        "strong_pick": false,
        "total_expected": 2.05,
        "under_prob": 66.3
      },
      "prob_source": null,
      "value_bet_enhanced": null
    },
    "closing_line_bundle": {
      "away_team": "KMC",
      "closing_bookmaker": "Pinnacle",
      "closing_capture": "PRE1",
      "early_bookmaker": "Pinnacle",
      "early_capture": "PRE30",
      "has_data": true,
      "home_team": "Mtibwa Sugar",
      "largest_move_kind": null,
      "max_abs_move_pp": 0.0,
      "model_vs_closing": [
        {
          "closing_implied_pct": 44.45,
          "gap_pp": -2.68,
          "kind": "1x2_h",
          "model_pct": 41.77
        },
        {
          "closing_implied_pct": 31.19,
          "gap_pp": -5.52,
          "kind": "1x2_d",
          "model_pct": 25.67
        },
        {
          "closing_implied_pct": 24.36,
          "gap_pp": 8.21,
          "kind": "1x2_a",
          "model_pct": 32.57
        },
        {
          "closing_implied_pct": 35.77,
          "gap_pp": -2.07,
          "kind": "ou_o",
          "model_pct": 33.7
        },
        {
          "closing_implied_pct": 64.23,
          "gap_pp": 2.07,
          "kind": "ou_u",
          "model_pct": 66.3
        }
      ],
      "movement": [
        {
          "closing": 2.0,
          "early": 2.0,
          "implied_closing_pct": 44.45,
          "implied_delta_pp": 0.0,
          "implied_early_pct": 44.45,
          "kind": "1x2_h"
        },
        {
          "closing": 2.85,
          "early": 2.85,
          "implied_closing_pct": 31.19,
          "implied_delta_pp": 0.0,
          "implied_early_pct": 31.19,
          "kind": "1x2_d"
        },
        {
          "closing": 3.65,
          "early": 3.65,
          "implied_closing_pct": 24.36,
          "implied_delta_pp": 0.0,
          "implied_early_pct": 24.36,
          "kind": "1x2_a"
        },
        {
          "closing": 2.55,
          "early": 2.55,
          "implied_closing_pct": 35.77,
          "implied_delta_pp": 0.0,
          "implied_early_pct": 35.77,
          "kind": "ou_o"
        },
        {
          "closing": 1.42,
          "early": 1.42,
          "implied_closing_pct": 64.23,
          "implied_delta_pp": 0.0,
          "implied_early_pct": 64.23,
          "kind": "ou_u"
        }
      ],
      "movement_negligible": true,
      "same_bookmaker": true,
      "top_value_gap": {
        "gap_pp": 8.2,
        "kind": "1x2_a"
      }
    },
    "correct_score_insight": {
      "best_value": null,
      "most_likely": {
        "label": "1-0",
        "prob": 14.8
      }
    },
    "home_xg": 1.45,
    "homepage_pick": null,
    "market_cards": [
      {
        "decision": "value_bet",
        "ev_available": true,
        "ev_no": 0.3233,
        "ev_yes": -0.5743,
        "featured": true,
        "id": "btts",
        "max_ev": 0.3233,
        "no_prob": 80.2,
        "sort_key": 10440.97,
        "tier": "best",
        "value_side": "no",
        "yes_prob": 19.8
      },
      {
        "decision": "lean",
        "ev_available": true,
        "ev_over": -0.1407,
        "ev_under": -0.0055,
        "featured": false,
        "id": "ou_2_5",
        "max_ev": -0.0055,
        "over_prob": 33.7,
        "sort_key": 1798.625,
        "tier": "bad_ev",
        "under_prob": 66.3,
        "value_side": "under"
      },
      {
        "decision": "no_bet",
        "ev": -0.1342,
        "ev_available": true,
        "featured": false,
        "id": "1x2",
        "implied_prob": 0.4445,
        "max_ev": -0.0322,
        "model_prob": 0.4177,
        "side_label": "Mtibwa Sugar",
        "sort_key": 1791.95,
        "tier": "bad_ev"
      },
      {
        "featured": false,
        "id": "correct_score",
        "sort_key": 824.4,
        "tier": "risk",
        "top_label": "1-0",
        "top_prob": 14.8
      }
    ],
    "match": {
      "away_expected_goals": null,
      "away_team_id": 8061,
      "away_team_logo": "/static/teams/8061.webp",
      "away_team_name": "KMC",
      "country_flag": "/static/images/country/tz.svg",
      "country_name": "Tanzania",
      "fixture_id": 1457771,
      "goals_away": null,
      "goals_home": null,
      "home_expected_goals": null,
      "home_team_id": 12195,
      "home_team_logo": "/static/teams/12195.webp",
      "home_team_name": "Mtibwa Sugar",
      "league_country": "Tanzania",
      "league_id": 567,
      "league_logo": "/static/leagues/567.webp",
      "league_name": "Ligi kuu Bara",
      "league_season": 2025,
      "match_date": "2026-05-14 11:00:00",
      "score_fulltime_away": null,
      "score_fulltime_home": null,
      "status_long": "Not Started",
      "status_short": "NS"
    },
    "match_decision": {
      "confidence": {
        "breakdown": [
          "pred_conf_md_max_1x2_under_50",
          "pred_conf_md_line_above_ev"
        ],
        "breakdown_resolved": [
          "Max 1X2 prob under 50% (open contest) (\u22121.0)",
          "At least one tracked line above +EV threshold (+0.5)"
        ],
        "score": 6.5
      },
      "markets": {
        "1x2": {
          "1x2_ev_mode": "market_first_p15",
          "away": {
            "alpha": 0.2631,
            "best_odd": 3.65,
            "calibration": {
              "active": false,
              "hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
            },
            "edge": 0.0216,
            "ev": -0.0322,
            "implied_prob": 0.2436,
            "model_prob": 0.3257,
            "p_final": 0.2652
          },
          "draw": {
            "alpha": 0.4127,
            "best_odd": 2.85,
            "calibration": {
              "active": false,
              "hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
            },
            "edge": -0.0228,
            "ev": -0.176,
            "implied_prob": 0.3119,
            "model_prob": 0.2567,
            "p_final": 0.2891
          },
          "ev_available": true,
          "home": {
            "alpha": 0.4319,
            "best_odd": 2.0,
            "calibration": {
              "active": false,
              "hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
            },
            "edge": -0.0116,
            "ev": -0.1342,
            "implied_prob": 0.4445,
            "model_prob": 0.4177,
            "p_final": 0.4329
          }
        },
        "btts": {
          "best_no_odd": 1.65,
          "best_yes_odd": 2.15,
          "edge_no": 0.2324,
          "edge_yes": -0.2324,
          "ev_available": true,
          "ev_no": 0.3233,
          "ev_yes": -0.5743,
          "implied_no": 0.5696,
          "implied_yes": 0.4304,
          "n_bookmakers": 5,
          "reliability": "medium"
        },
        "ou25": {
          "best_over_odd": 2.55,
          "best_under_odd": 1.5,
          "edge_over": -0.0323,
          "edge_under": 0.0323,
          "ev_available": true,
          "ev_over": -0.1407,
          "ev_under": -0.0055,
          "implied_over": 0.3693,
          "implied_under": 0.6307,
          "n_bookmakers": 8,
          "reliability": "medium"
        }
      },
      "match_tier": "value_game",
      "min_ev": 0.02,
      "total_xg": 2.7,
      "variance_flag": false
    },
    "unified_decision": {
      "actionable_ev_threshold": 0.02,
      "algorithm": {
        "enabled_since": "2026-04-26",
        "game_typing_module": true,
        "version": "2.1.0"
      },
      "balanced_alternative": null,
      "best_tracked_ev": 0.3233,
      "confidence": 6.0,
      "decision_confidence_v1": {
        "breakdown": [
          "pred_conf_v1_primary_line",
          "pred_conf_v1_primary_ev_above_10",
          "pred_conf_v1_max_1x2_under_50"
        ],
        "breakdown_resolved": [
          "Primary line identified (+1.0)",
          "Primary EV above 10% (+1.0)",
          "Max 1X2 prob under 50% (no dominant 1X2) (\u22121.0)"
        ],
        "score": 6.0
      },
      "execution": {
        "1x2_dominant": false,
        "1x2_open_contest": true,
        "grade": "A",
        "stake_factor": 1.0
      },
      "favourite_misaligned_1x2": {
        "active": false,
        "gap": null,
        "side": null
      },
      "game_type": {
        "label_zh": "\u672a\u5206\u578b",
        "scoring_type": "neutral",
        "signals": {
          "btts_yes_prob": 0.198,
          "draw_prob": 0.2567,
          "max_1x2_prob": 0.4177,
          "over_prob": 0.337,
          "total_xg": 2.7,
          "under_prob": 0.663,
          "xg_diff": 0.2
        },
        "type": "neutral",
        "typing_weights_enabled": true
      },
      "hero_display_pick": null,
      "longshot_picks": [],
      "markets": {
        "1x2": {
          "decision": "no_bet",
          "edge": -0.0116,
          "ev": -0.1342,
          "implied_prob": 0.4445,
          "max_ev_side": "away",
          "model_prob": 0.4177,
          "side": "home",
          "side_label": "Mtibwa Sugar"
        },
        "btts": {
          "decision": "value_bet",
          "edge": 0.2324,
          "ev": 0.3233,
          "implied_prob": 0.5696,
          "model_prob": 0.802,
          "side": "no",
          "value_side": "no"
        },
        "ou_2_5": {
          "decision": "lean",
          "edge": 0.0323,
          "ev": -0.0055,
          "implied_prob": 0.6307,
          "model_prob": 0.663,
          "side": "under",
          "value_side": "under"
        }
      },
      "match_id": 1457771,
      "match_regime": {
        "action": "bet",
        "actionable": true,
        "clear_edge": true,
        "code": "clear_edge",
        "execution_line_key": null,
        "insight_line_key": null,
        "max_valid_ev": 0.3233,
        "min_ev": 0.02,
        "stake_mult": 1.0,
        "use_split_strip": false
      },
      "match_tier": "value_game",
      "no_clear_primary": false,
      "probabilities": {
        "away": 0.3257,
        "draw": 0.2567,
        "home": 0.4177
      },
      "reason_codes": [
        "no_ev_1x2",
        "high_total_goals"
      ],
      "secondary_pick": null,
      "secondary_picks": [],
      "suppressed_primary": null,
      "teams": {
        "away": "KMC",
        "home": "Mtibwa Sugar"
      },
      "top_pick": {
        "composite_score": 0.259287,
        "decision": "value_bet",
        "ev": 0.3233,
        "implied_prob": 0.5696,
        "market": "btts",
        "model_prob": 0.802,
        "not_dominant": false,
        "primary_strength": "clear",
        "risk_band": "strong",
        "risk_tier": "primary",
        "side": "no",
        "slot": "primary",
        "speculative_primary": false
      },
      "valid_markets_count": 1
    }
  },
  "fixture_id": 1457771,
  "generated_at_utc": "2026-05-14T10:59:04.495325+00:00",
  "lang_id": "en"
}

Nhận dự đoán cao cấp cho Mtibwa Sugar & KMC!

Mở khóa phân tích chuyên sâu, mẹo cá cược độc quyền và dự đoán trận đấu với dịch vụ đăng ký cao cấp của chúng tôi.

Đăng ký ngay
Quay lại Dự đoán
Ligi kuu Bara Ligi kuu BaraBảng xếp hạng
# ĐỘI MP T H B PTS
1 Young Africans 23 16 6 1 54
2 Simba 23 15 7 1 52
3 Azam 23 12 10 1 46
4 Singida Black Stars 23 11 5 7 38
5 Tabora United 24 10 7 7 37
6 JKT Tanzania 23 9 9 5 36
7 Pamba Jiji 24 8 9 7 33
8 Dodoma Jiji 24 8 9 7 33
9 Mashujaa 24 5 12 7 27
10 Mtibwa Sugar 24 6 8 10 26
11 Coastal Union 23 6 7 10 25
12 Fountain Gate 23 7 4 12 25
13 Namungo 23 5 9 9 24
14 Mbeya City 23 5 6 12 21
15 Tanzania Prisons 23 4 5 14 17
16 KMC 24 2 3 19 9
# ĐỘI MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 Young Africans 23 52 8 +44 54
2 Simba 23 42 9 +33 52
3 Azam 23 33 9 +24 46
4 Tabora United 24 30 22 +8 37
5 Singida Black Stars 23 30 23 +7 38
6 JKT Tanzania 23 23 22 +1 36
7 Pamba Jiji 24 23 24 -1 33
8 Dodoma Jiji 24 23 24 -1 33
9 Coastal Union 23 22 29 -7 25
10 Mtibwa Sugar 24 21 34 -13 26
11 Mbeya City 23 18 34 -16 21
12 Namungo 23 17 24 -7 24
13 Fountain Gate 23 17 33 -16 25
14 KMC 24 13 40 -27 9
15 Mashujaa 24 12 21 -9 27
16 Tanzania Prisons 23 12 32 -20 17