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Market Movements - Live-Market-Moves

World Cup 2026 TODAY TOMORROW WEEK

Live-Market-Moves Early-Sharp-Moves Final-Closing-Moves CLV-Performance
Live market monitor

🔥 Top market moves

Match Side Move Signal Market Breadth? Number of sportsbooks confirming the same directional move. Number of sportsbooks confirming the same directional move. Steam Score? Measures how aggressively odds moved across sharp sportsbooks. Measures how aggressively odds moved across sharp sportsbooks.
Jordan vs Algeria Jordan ↑ +8.7% 📈 Steam 11/12 Steam Score: 63 A
New Zealand vs Egypt New Zealand ↓ -17.4% ⚡ Movimento liderado por sharp 5/12 Steam Score: 62 A
Jordan vs Argentina Jordan ↑ +10.0% 📈 Steam 7/11 Steam Score: 57 B
Switzerland vs Bosnia & Herzegovina Bosnia & Herzegovina ↓ -9.1% 📈 Steam 7/12 Steam Score: 54 B
Curaçao vs Ivory Coast Curaçao ↓ -16.7% ⚡ Movimento liderado por sharp 3/12 Steam Score: 51 B
World Cup · início em 14d
A 63
Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 0% CLV win rate
60-70 = 64% CLV win rate
70+ = 71% CLV win rate
Key drivers
  • Elevated intraday volatility reduced confidence
  • Strong cross-book alignment
  • Early movement from respected sharp books
  • Meaningful odds adjustment
ReliabilityStrong confidence signal.
Score breakdown
Magnitude do movimento: +19/45
Sincronização dos books: +28/30
Books reagindo: +10/10
Convicção do sinal: +10/10
Liderança de sharp book: +6/6
Ajuste por volatilidade: -10
Strong sharp signal

Sharper sportsbooks initiated a solid move with growing cross-book confirmation.

Jordan vs Algeria
Jordan (Home) 🐢 Deslocamento lento em 71h 59m Movimento no top 10%
Open 5.75 → 6.25 ↑ +8.7%
Alta acentuada
Draw (Draw)
Open 3.8 → 4.0 ↑ +5.3%
Alta acentuada
Algeria (Away)
Open 1.57 → 1.5 ↓ -4.5%
Queda acentuada
Books 11/12 📈 Steam Reprecificação agressiva
View market brief

Steam multi-casas em Jordan (8.7%, 11/12) — encurtamento alinhado, não um movimento isolado de uma casa.

Sharp-led: Betfair

Waiting for Close

World Cup · início em 13d
A 62
Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 0% CLV win rate
60-70 = 64% CLV win rate
70+ = 71% CLV win rate
Key drivers
  • Elevated intraday volatility reduced confidence
  • Strong odds adjustment magnitude
  • Early movement from respected sharp books
  • Moderate cross-book follow-through
ReliabilityStrong confidence signal.
Score breakdown
Magnitude do movimento: +38/45
Sincronização dos books: +12/30
Books reagindo: +10/10
Convicção do sinal: +5/5
Liderança de sharp book: +6/6
Ajuste por volatilidade: -10
Strong sharp signal

Sharper sportsbooks initiated a solid move with growing cross-book confirmation.

New Zealand vs Egypt
New Zealand (Home) 🐢 Deslocamento lento em 71h 59m Maior movimento do dia
Open 5.75 → 4.75 ↓ -17.4%
Queda acentuada
Draw (Draw)
Open 3.75 → 3.5 ↓ -6.7%
Queda acentuada
Egypt (Away)
Open 1.57 → 1.73 ↑ +10.2%
Alta acentuada
Books 5/12 ⚡ Movimento liderado por sharp Reprecificação agressiva
View market brief

Bet365 liderou a reprecificação em New Zealand (17.4%) — casa sharp moveu antes do acompanhamento mais amplo.

Waiting for Close

World Cup · início em 19d
B 57
Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 0% CLV win rate
60-70 = 64% CLV win rate
70+ = 71% CLV win rate
Key drivers
  • Elevated intraday volatility reduced confidence
  • Early movement from respected sharp books
  • Meaningful odds adjustment
  • Moderate cross-book follow-through
ReliabilityMedium confidence signal.
Score breakdown
Magnitude do movimento: +22/45
Sincronização dos books: +19/30
Books reagindo: +10/10
Convicção do sinal: +10/10
Liderança de sharp book: +6/6
Ajuste por volatilidade: -10
Moderate sharp signal

A meaningful move led by sharper sportsbooks, with moderate market confirmation.

Jordan vs Argentina
Jordan (Home) 🐢 Deslocamento lento em 71h 59m Movimento no top 10%
Open 10.0 → 11.0 ↑ +10.0%
Alta acentuada
Draw (Draw)
Open 6.0 → 6.5 ↑ +8.3%
Alta acentuada
Argentina (Away)
Open 1.22 → 1.2 ↓ -1.6%
Estável
Books 7/11 📈 Steam Reprecificação agressiva
View market brief

Steam multi-casas em Jordan (10.0%, 7/11) — encurtamento alinhado, não um movimento isolado de uma casa.

Sharp-led: Pinnacle

Waiting for Close

World Cup · início em 9d
B 54
Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 0% CLV win rate
60-70 = 64% CLV win rate
70+ = 71% CLV win rate
Key drivers
  • Elevated intraday volatility reduced confidence
  • Early movement from respected sharp books
  • Meaningful odds adjustment
  • Moderate cross-book follow-through
ReliabilityMedium confidence signal.
Score breakdown
Magnitude do movimento: +20/45
Sincronização dos books: +18/30
Books reagindo: +10/10
Convicção do sinal: +10/10
Liderança de sharp book: +6/6
Ajuste por volatilidade: -10
Moderate sharp signal

A meaningful move led by sharper sportsbooks, with moderate market confirmation.

Switzerland vs Bosnia & Herzegovina
Switzerland (Home)
Open 1.57 → 1.62 ↑ +3.2%
Alta acentuada
Draw (Draw)
Open 4.0 → 3.9 ↓ -2.5%
Estável
Bosnia & Herzegovina (Away) 🐢 Deslocamento lento em 71h 59m Movimento no top 10%
Open 5.5 → 5.0 ↓ -9.1%
Queda acentuada
Books 7/12 📈 Steam Reprecificação agressiva
View market brief

Steam multi-casas em Bosnia & Herzegovina (9.1%, 7/12) — encurtamento alinhado, não um movimento isolado de uma casa.

Waiting for Close

World Cup · início em 16d
B 51
Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 0% CLV win rate
60-70 = 64% CLV win rate
70+ = 71% CLV win rate
Key drivers
  • Elevated intraday volatility reduced confidence
  • Strong odds adjustment magnitude
  • Early movement from respected sharp books
  • Moderate signal conviction
ReliabilityMedium confidence signal.
Score breakdown
Magnitude do movimento: +37/45
Sincronização dos books: +8/30
Books reagindo: +6/10
Convicção do sinal: +5/5
Liderança de sharp book: +6/6
Ajuste por volatilidade: -10
Moderate sharp signal

Sharper sportsbooks initiated the move, but wider market participation remains limited.

Curaçao vs Ivory Coast
Curaçao (Home) 🐢 Deslocamento lento em 67h 59m Movimento no top 3%
Open 12.0 → 10.0 ↓ -16.7%
Queda acentuada
Draw (Draw)
Open 6.0 → 5.75 ↓ -4.2%
Queda acentuada
Ivory Coast (Away)
Open 1.18 → 1.2 ↑ +1.7%
Estável
Books 3/12 ⚡ Movimento liderado por sharp Reprecificação agressiva
View market brief

Bet365 liderou a reprecificação em Curaçao (16.7%) — casa sharp moveu antes do acompanhamento mais amplo.

Waiting for Close

World Cup · início em 18d
B 46
Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 0% CLV win rate
60-70 = 64% CLV win rate
70+ = 71% CLV win rate
Key drivers
  • Elevated intraday volatility reduced confidence
  • Strong cross-book alignment
  • Early movement from respected sharp books
  • Moderate signal conviction
ReliabilityMedium confidence signal.
Score breakdown
Magnitude do movimento: +15/45
Sincronização dos books: +20/30
Books reagindo: +10/10
Convicção do sinal: +5/5
Liderança de sharp book: +6/6
Ajuste por volatilidade: -10
Moderate sharp signal

A meaningful move led by sharper sportsbooks, with moderate market confirmation.

New Zealand vs Belgium
New Zealand (Home) 🐢 Deslocamento lento em 67h 59m Movimento no top 25%
Open 7.5 → 8.0 ↑ +6.7%
Alta acentuada
Draw (Draw)
Open 5.5 → 5.5 +0.0%
Belgium (Away)
Open 1.33 → 1.3 ↓ -2.3%
Estável
Books 8/12 ⚡ Movimento liderado por sharp Reprecificação agressiva
View market brief

Betfair liderou a reprecificação em New Zealand (6.7%) — casa sharp moveu antes do acompanhamento mais amplo.

Sharp-led: Betfair

Waiting for Close

World Cup · início em 19d
B 45
Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 0% CLV win rate
60-70 = 64% CLV win rate
70+ = 71% CLV win rate
Key drivers
  • Elevated intraday volatility reduced confidence
  • Strong cross-book alignment
  • Early movement from respected sharp books
  • Moderate signal conviction
ReliabilityMedium confidence signal.
Score breakdown
Magnitude do movimento: +12/45
Sincronização dos books: +22/30
Books reagindo: +10/10
Convicção do sinal: +5/5
Liderança de sharp book: +6/6
Ajuste por volatilidade: -10
Moderate sharp signal

A meaningful move led by sharper sportsbooks, with moderate market confirmation.

Croatia vs Ghana
Croatia (Home)
Open 1.67 → 1.65 ↓ -1.2%
Estável
Draw (Draw)
Open 3.6 → 3.7 ↑ +2.8%
Estável
Ghana (Away) 🐢 Deslocamento lento em 71h 59m Movimento no top 25%
Open 4.75 → 5.0 ↑ +5.3%
Alta acentuada
Books 9/12 ⚡ Movimento liderado por sharp Reprecificação agressiva
View market brief

SBO liderou a reprecificação em Ghana (5.3%) — casa sharp moveu antes do acompanhamento mais amplo.

Sharp-led: SBO

Waiting for Close

World Cup · início em 18d
B 43
Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 0% CLV win rate
60-70 = 64% CLV win rate
70+ = 71% CLV win rate
Key drivers
  • Elevated intraday volatility reduced confidence
  • Strong cross-book alignment
  • Early movement from respected sharp books
  • Moderate signal conviction
ReliabilityMedium confidence signal.
Score breakdown
Magnitude do movimento: +9/45
Sincronização dos books: +22/30
Books reagindo: +10/10
Convicção do sinal: +5/5
Liderança de sharp book: +6/6
Ajuste por volatilidade: -10
Moderate sharp signal

A meaningful move led by sharper sportsbooks, with moderate market confirmation.

Cape Verde Islands vs Saudi Arabia
Cape Verde Islands (Home) 🐢 Deslocamento lento em 71h 59m
Open 2.4 → 2.5 ↑ +4.2%
Alta acentuada
Draw (Draw)
Open 3.3 → 3.3 +0.0%
Saudi Arabia (Away)
Open 2.8 → 2.7 ↓ -3.6%
Queda acentuada
Books 9/12 ⚡ Movimento liderado por sharp Reprecificação agressiva
View market brief

Betfair liderou a reprecificação em Cape Verde Islands (4.2%) — casa sharp moveu antes do acompanhamento mais amplo.

Sharp-led: Betfair

Waiting for Close

World Cup · início em 12d
C 38
Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 0% CLV win rate
60-70 = 64% CLV win rate
70+ = 71% CLV win rate
Key drivers
  • Elevated intraday volatility reduced confidence
  • Early movement from respected sharp books
  • Moderate cross-book follow-through
  • Moderate signal conviction
ReliabilityLow confidence — elevated volatility undermines the signal.
Score breakdown
Magnitude do movimento: +9/45
Sincronização dos books: +18/30
Books reagindo: +10/10
Convicção do sinal: +5/5
Liderança de sharp book: +6/6
Ajuste por volatilidade: -10
Limited conviction

Price swings look choppy — volatility reduced overall confidence in the directional signal.

Ecuador vs Curaçao
Ecuador (Home)
Open 1.2 → 1.2 +0.0%
Draw (Draw) 🐢 Deslocamento lento em 71h 59m
Open 6.0 → 6.25 ↑ +4.2%
Alta acentuada
Curaçao (Away)
Open 13.0 → 13.0 +0.0%
Books 7/12 ⚡ Movimento liderado por sharp Reprecificação agressiva
View market brief

SBO liderou a reprecificação em Empate (4.2%) — casa sharp moveu antes do acompanhamento mais amplo.

Sharp-led: SBO

Waiting for Close

World Cup · início em 9d
C 36
Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 0% CLV win rate
60-70 = 64% CLV win rate
70+ = 71% CLV win rate
Key drivers
  • Elevated intraday volatility reduced confidence
  • Strong cross-book alignment
  • Early movement from respected sharp books
  • Moderate signal conviction
ReliabilityLow confidence — elevated volatility undermines the signal.
Score breakdown
Magnitude do movimento: +5/45
Sincronização dos books: +20/30
Books reagindo: +10/10
Convicção do sinal: +5/5
Liderança de sharp book: +6/6
Ajuste por volatilidade: -10
Limited conviction

Price swings look choppy — volatility reduced overall confidence in the directional signal.

Czech Republic vs South Africa
Czech Republic (Home)
Open 1.95 → 1.91 ↓ -2.1%
Estável
Draw (Draw)
Open 3.25 → 3.25 +0.0%
South Africa (Away) — Linha estável
Open 4.1 → 4.2 ↑ +2.4%
Estável
Books 8/12 📉 Enfraquecendo Descoberta
View market brief

Mercado contra South Africa (2.4%) — linha alongando em relação à abertura (8/12).

Sharp-led: SBO

Waiting for Close

World Cup · início em 10d
C 33
Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 0% CLV win rate
60-70 = 64% CLV win rate
70+ = 71% CLV win rate
Key drivers
  • Elevated intraday volatility reduced confidence
  • Early movement from respected sharp books
  • Moderate cross-book follow-through
  • Broad sportsbook participation
ReliabilityLow confidence — elevated volatility undermines the signal.
Score breakdown
Magnitude do movimento: +12/45
Sincronização dos books: +15/30
Books reagindo: +10/10
Liderança de sharp book: +6/6
Ajuste por volatilidade: -10
Limited conviction

Price swings look choppy — volatility reduced overall confidence in the directional signal.

Canada vs Qatar
Canada (Home)
Open 1.33 → 1.3 ↓ -2.3%
Estável
Draw (Draw) 🐢 Deslocamento lento em 71h 59m Movimento no top 25%
Open 4.75 → 5.0 ↑ +5.3%
Alta acentuada
Qatar (Away)
Open 9.0 → 9.0 +0.0%
Books 6/12 ⚠️ Mercado volátil Volátil
View market brief

Preços voláteis em duas direções para Empate (variação 5.04 → 4.56 → 5.00) — líquido 5.3%, mas volatilidade intradiária elevada.

Sharp-led: SBO

Waiting for Close

World Cup · início em 8d
C 31
Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 0% CLV win rate
60-70 = 64% CLV win rate
70+ = 71% CLV win rate
Key drivers
  • Elevated intraday volatility reduced confidence
  • Early movement from respected sharp books
  • Moderate cross-book follow-through
  • Broad sportsbook participation
ReliabilityLow confidence — elevated volatility undermines the signal.
Score breakdown
Magnitude do movimento: +14/45
Sincronização dos books: +12/30
Books reagindo: +10/10
Liderança de sharp book: +6/6
Ajuste por volatilidade: -10
Limited conviction

Price swings look choppy — volatility reduced overall confidence in the directional signal.

Austria vs Jordan
Austria (Home)
Open 1.33 → 1.3 ↓ -2.3%
Estável
Draw (Draw)
Open 5.5 → 5.5 +0.0%
Jordan (Away) 🐢 Deslocamento lento em 71h 59m Movimento no top 25%
Open 8.0 → 8.5 ↑ +6.2%
Alta acentuada
Books 5/13 ⚠️ Mercado volátil Volátil
View market brief

Preços voláteis em duas direções para Jordan (variação 10.50 → 7.20 → 8.50) — líquido 6.2%, mas volatilidade intradiária elevada.

Sharp-led: SBO

Waiting for Close

World Cup · início em 6d
C 30
Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 0% CLV win rate
60-70 = 64% CLV win rate
70+ = 71% CLV win rate
Key drivers
  • Elevated intraday volatility reduced confidence
  • Early movement from respected sharp books
  • Moderate cross-book follow-through
  • Broad sportsbook participation
ReliabilityLow confidence — elevated volatility undermines the signal.
Score breakdown
Magnitude do movimento: +12/45
Sincronização dos books: +12/30
Books reagindo: +10/10
Liderança de sharp book: +6/6
Ajuste por volatilidade: -10
Limited conviction

Price swings look choppy — volatility reduced overall confidence in the directional signal.

Sweden vs Tunisia
Sweden (Home)
Open 1.9 → 1.85 ↓ -2.6%
Estável
Draw (Draw)
Open 3.4 → 3.4 +0.0%
Tunisia (Away) 🐢 Deslocamento lento em 71h 59m Movimento no top 25%
Open 4.1 → 4.33 ↑ +5.6%
Alta acentuada
Books 5/13 ⚠️ Mercado volátil Volátil
View market brief

Preços voláteis em duas direções para Tunisia (variação 4.37 → 3.64 → 4.33) — líquido 5.6%, mas volatilidade intradiária elevada.

Sharp-led: SBO

Waiting for Close

World Cup · início em 16d
C 30
Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 0% CLV win rate
60-70 = 64% CLV win rate
70+ = 71% CLV win rate
Key drivers
  • Elevated intraday volatility reduced confidence
  • Early movement from respected sharp books
  • Moderate cross-book follow-through
  • Broad sportsbook participation
ReliabilityLow confidence — elevated volatility undermines the signal.
Score breakdown
Magnitude do movimento: +9/45
Sincronização dos books: +15/30
Books reagindo: +10/10
Liderança de sharp book: +6/6
Ajuste por volatilidade: -10
Limited conviction

Price swings look choppy — volatility reduced overall confidence in the directional signal.

Scotland vs Brazil
Scotland (Home) 🐢 Deslocamento lento em 71h 59m
Open 6.25 → 6.5 ↑ +4.0%
Alta acentuada
Draw (Draw)
Open 4.2 → 4.33 ↑ +3.1%
Alta acentuada
Brazil (Away)
Open 1.48 → 1.45 ↓ -2.0%
Estável
Books 6/12 ⚠️ Mercado volátil Volátil
View market brief

Preços voláteis em duas direções para Scotland (variação 9.10 → 5.17 → 6.50) — líquido 4.0%, mas volatilidade intradiária elevada.

Waiting for Close

World Cup · início em 14d
C 30
Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 0% CLV win rate
60-70 = 64% CLV win rate
70+ = 71% CLV win rate
Key drivers
  • Elevated intraday volatility reduced confidence
  • Strong cross-book alignment
  • Broad sportsbook participation
ReliabilityLow confidence — elevated volatility undermines the signal.
Score breakdown
Sincronização dos books: +30/30
Books reagindo: +10/10
Ajuste por volatilidade: -10
Limited conviction

Price swings look choppy — volatility reduced overall confidence in the directional signal.

Norway vs Senegal
Norway (Home) — Linha estável
Open 2.1 → 2.1 +0.0%
Draw (Draw)
Open 3.3 → 3.3 +0.0%
Senegal (Away)
Open 3.4 → 3.4 +0.0%
Books 12/12 ⚠️ Mercado volátil Volátil
View market brief

Net move flat on Norway (0.0%), but intraday swing reached 6.8% — price repriced then reverted.

Sharp-led: SBO

Waiting for Close

World Cup · início em 15d
C 30
Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 0% CLV win rate
60-70 = 64% CLV win rate
70+ = 71% CLV win rate
Key drivers
  • Elevated intraday volatility reduced confidence
  • Strong cross-book alignment
  • Broad sportsbook participation
ReliabilityLow confidence — elevated volatility undermines the signal.
Score breakdown
Sincronização dos books: +30/30
Books reagindo: +10/10
Ajuste por volatilidade: -10
Limited conviction

Price swings look choppy — volatility reduced overall confidence in the directional signal.

Switzerland vs Canada
Switzerland (Home) — Linha estável
Open 2.05 → 2.05 +0.0%
Draw (Draw)
Open 3.25 → 3.25 +0.0%
Canada (Away)
Open 3.4 → 3.4 +0.0%
Books 12/12 ⚠️ Mercado volátil Volátil
View market brief

Net move flat on Switzerland (0.0%), but intraday swing reached 6.8% — price repriced then reverted.

Sharp-led: SBO

Waiting for Close

World Cup · início em 17d
C 30
Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 0% CLV win rate
60-70 = 64% CLV win rate
70+ = 71% CLV win rate
Key drivers
  • Elevated intraday volatility reduced confidence
  • Strong cross-book alignment
  • Broad sportsbook participation
ReliabilityLow confidence — elevated volatility undermines the signal.
Score breakdown
Sincronização dos books: +30/30
Books reagindo: +10/10
Ajuste por volatilidade: -10
Limited conviction

Price swings look choppy — volatility reduced overall confidence in the directional signal.

Japan vs Sweden
Japan (Home) — Linha estável
Open 2.05 → 2.05 +0.0%
Draw (Draw)
Open 3.4 → 3.4 +0.0%
Sweden (Away)
Open 3.5 → 3.5 +0.0%
Books 12/12 ⚠️ Mercado volátil Volátil
View market brief

Net move flat on Japan (0.0%), but intraday swing reached 5.8% — price repriced then reverted.

Sharp-led: SBO

Waiting for Close

World Cup · início em 6d
C 28
Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 0% CLV win rate
60-70 = 64% CLV win rate
70+ = 71% CLV win rate
Key drivers
  • Elevated intraday volatility reduced confidence
  • Early movement from respected sharp books
  • Moderate cross-book follow-through
  • Broad sportsbook participation
ReliabilityLow confidence — elevated volatility undermines the signal.
Score breakdown
Magnitude do movimento: +11/45
Sincronização dos books: +12/30
Books reagindo: +10/10
Liderança de sharp book: +6/6
Ajuste por volatilidade: -10
Limited conviction

Price swings look choppy — volatility reduced overall confidence in the directional signal.

Spain vs Cape Verde Islands
Spain (Home)
Open 1.08 → 1.09 ↑ +0.9%
Estável
Draw (Draw) 🐢 Deslocamento lento em 71h 59m Movimento no top 25%
Open 10.0 → 9.5 ↓ -5.0%
Queda acentuada
Cape Verde Islands (Away)
Open 23.0 → 23.0 +0.0%
Books 5/13 ⚠️ Mercado volátil Volátil
View market brief

Preços voláteis em duas direções para Empate (variação 12.00 → 7.90 → 9.50) — líquido 5.0%, mas volatilidade intradiária elevada.

Waiting for Close

World Cup · início em 11d
C 28
Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 0% CLV win rate
60-70 = 64% CLV win rate
70+ = 71% CLV win rate
Key drivers
  • Elevated intraday volatility reduced confidence
  • Early movement from respected sharp books
  • Moderate cross-book follow-through
  • Broad sportsbook participation
ReliabilityLow confidence — elevated volatility undermines the signal.
Score breakdown
Magnitude do movimento: +10/45
Sincronização dos books: +12/30
Books reagindo: +10/10
Liderança de sharp book: +6/6
Ajuste por volatilidade: -10
Limited conviction

Price swings look choppy — volatility reduced overall confidence in the directional signal.

Germany vs Ivory Coast
Germany (Home)
Open 1.5 → 1.53 ↑ +2.0%
Estável
Draw (Draw)
Open 4.1 → 4.0 ↓ -2.4%
Estável
Ivory Coast (Away) 🐢 Deslocamento lento em 71h 59m Movimento no top 25%
Open 5.75 → 5.5 ↓ -4.3%
Queda acentuada
Books 5/12 ⚠️ Mercado volátil Volátil
View market brief

Preços voláteis em duas direções para Ivory Coast (variação 6.40 → 5.29 → 5.50) — líquido 4.3%, mas volatilidade intradiária elevada.

Sharp-led: Pinnacle

Waiting for Close

World Cup · início em 6d
C 28
Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 0% CLV win rate
60-70 = 64% CLV win rate
70+ = 71% CLV win rate
Key drivers
  • Elevated intraday volatility reduced confidence
  • Strong cross-book alignment
  • Broad sportsbook participation
ReliabilityLow confidence — elevated volatility undermines the signal.
Score breakdown
Sincronização dos books: +28/30
Books reagindo: +10/10
Ajuste por volatilidade: -10
Limited conviction

Price swings look choppy — volatility reduced overall confidence in the directional signal.

Belgium vs Egypt
Belgium (Home) — Linha estável
Open 1.65 → 1.65 +0.0%
Draw (Draw)
Open 3.8 → 3.8 +0.0%
Egypt (Away)
Open 5.0 → 5.0 +0.0%
Books 12/13 ⚠️ Mercado volátil Volátil
View market brief

Net move flat on Belgium (0.0%), but intraday swing reached 7.2% — price repriced then reverted.

Sharp-led: Pinnacle

Waiting for Close

World Cup · início em 8d
C 28
Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 0% CLV win rate
60-70 = 64% CLV win rate
70+ = 71% CLV win rate
Key drivers
  • Elevated intraday volatility reduced confidence
  • Strong cross-book alignment
  • Broad sportsbook participation
ReliabilityLow confidence — elevated volatility undermines the signal.
Score breakdown
Sincronização dos books: +28/30
Books reagindo: +10/10
Ajuste por volatilidade: -10
Limited conviction

Price swings look choppy — volatility reduced overall confidence in the directional signal.

Portugal vs Congo DR
Portugal (Home) — Linha estável
Open 1.25 → 1.25 +0.0%
Draw (Draw)
Open 6.0 → 6.0 +0.0%
Congo DR (Away)
Open 9.5 → 9.5 +0.0%
Books 12/13 ⚠️ Mercado volátil Volátil
View market brief

Net move flat on Portugal (0.0%), but intraday swing reached 6.3% — price repriced then reverted.

Sharp-led: Betfair

Waiting for Close

World Cup · início em 10d
C 28
Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 0% CLV win rate
60-70 = 64% CLV win rate
70+ = 71% CLV win rate
Key drivers
  • Elevated intraday volatility reduced confidence
  • Strong cross-book alignment
  • Broad sportsbook participation
ReliabilityLow confidence — elevated volatility undermines the signal.
Score breakdown
Sincronização dos books: +28/30
Books reagindo: +10/10
Ajuste por volatilidade: -10
Limited conviction

Price swings look choppy — volatility reduced overall confidence in the directional signal.

USA vs Australia
USA (Home) — Linha estável
Open 1.7 → 1.7 +0.0%
Draw (Draw)
Open 3.5 → 3.5 +0.0%
Australia (Away)
Open 4.75 → 4.75 +0.0%
Books 11/12 ⚠️ Mercado volátil Volátil
View market brief

Net move flat on USA (0.0%), but intraday swing reached 6.9% — price repriced then reverted.

Sharp-led: Betfair

Waiting for Close

World Cup · início em 13d
C 28
Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 0% CLV win rate
60-70 = 64% CLV win rate
70+ = 71% CLV win rate
Key drivers
  • Elevated intraday volatility reduced confidence
  • Strong cross-book alignment
  • Broad sportsbook participation
ReliabilityLow confidence — elevated volatility undermines the signal.
Score breakdown
Sincronização dos books: +28/30
Books reagindo: +10/10
Ajuste por volatilidade: -10
Limited conviction

Price swings look choppy — volatility reduced overall confidence in the directional signal.

Argentina vs Austria
Argentina (Home) — Linha estável
Open 1.62 → 1.62 +0.0%
Draw (Draw)
Open 3.75 → 3.75 +0.0%
Austria (Away)
Open 5.25 → 5.25 +0.0%
Books 11/12 ⚠️ Mercado volátil Volátil
View market brief

Net move flat on Argentina (0.0%), but intraday swing reached 6.1% — price repriced then reverted.

Sharp-led: Betfair

Waiting for Close

World Cup · início em 14d
C 28
Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 0% CLV win rate
60-70 = 64% CLV win rate
70+ = 71% CLV win rate
Key drivers
  • Elevated intraday volatility reduced confidence
  • Strong cross-book alignment
  • Broad sportsbook participation
ReliabilityLow confidence — elevated volatility undermines the signal.
Score breakdown
Sincronização dos books: +28/30
Books reagindo: +10/10
Ajuste por volatilidade: -10
Limited conviction

Price swings look choppy — volatility reduced overall confidence in the directional signal.

France vs Iraq
France (Home) — Linha estável
Open 1.11 → 1.11 +0.0%
Draw (Draw)
Open 8.5 → 8.5 +0.0%
Iraq (Away)
Open 19.0 → 19.0 +0.0%
Books 11/12 ⚠️ Mercado volátil Volátil
View market brief

Net move flat on France (0.0%), but intraday swing reached 6.3% — price repriced then reverted.

Sharp-led: Betfair

Waiting for Close

World Cup · início em 17d
C 28
Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 0% CLV win rate
60-70 = 64% CLV win rate
70+ = 71% CLV win rate
Key drivers
  • Elevated intraday volatility reduced confidence
  • Strong cross-book alignment
  • Broad sportsbook participation
ReliabilityLow confidence — elevated volatility undermines the signal.
Score breakdown
Sincronização dos books: +28/30
Books reagindo: +10/10
Ajuste por volatilidade: -10
Limited conviction

Price swings look choppy — volatility reduced overall confidence in the directional signal.

Paraguay vs Australia
Paraguay (Home) — Linha estável
Open 2.15 → 2.15 +0.0%
Draw (Draw)
Open 3.2 → 3.2 +0.0%
Australia (Away)
Open 3.4 → 3.4 +0.0%
Books 11/12 ⚠️ Mercado volátil Volátil
View market brief

Net move flat on Paraguay (0.0%), but intraday swing reached 5.5% — price repriced then reverted.

Sharp-led: Betfair

Waiting for Close

Match(72) Pick Open Current Move Signal Ref book Market Breadth? Number of sportsbooks confirming the same directional move. Number of sportsbooks confirming the same directional move. Steam Score? Measures how aggressively odds moved across sharp sportsbooks. Measures how aggressively odds moved across sharp sportsbooks. Context Phase CLV Validation? Indicates whether the tracked price beat the final closing odds. Indicates whether the tracked price beat the final closing odds.
Jordan vs Algeria World Cup · ter 03:00 Jordan 5.75 6.25
início em 14d 		↑ +8.7%
5.75 6.25

🐢 Deslocamento lento em 71h 59m
6.68 → 4.90 → 6.25 		📈 Steam Bet365
Sharp-led: Betfair		 11/12
Steam Score: 63 A Strong sharp signal

Sharper sportsbooks initiated a solid move with growing cross-book confirmation.

 Movimento no top 10% Reprecificação agressiva Waiting for Close Steam multi-casas em Jordan (8.7%, 11/12) — encurtamento alinhado, não um movimento isolado de uma casa.
New Zealand vs Egypt World Cup · seg 01:00 New Zealand 5.75 4.75
início em 13d 		↓ -17.4%
5.75 4.75

🐢 Deslocamento lento em 71h 59m
5.75 → 4.29 → 4.75 		⚡ Movimento liderado por sharp Bet365 5/12
Steam Score: 62 A Strong sharp signal

Sharper sportsbooks initiated a solid move with growing cross-book confirmation.

 Maior movimento do dia Reprecificação agressiva Waiting for Close Bet365 liderou a reprecificação em New Zealand (17.4%) — casa sharp moveu antes do acompanhamento mais amplo.
Jordan vs Argentina World Cup · dom 02:00 Jordan 10.0 11.0
início em 19d 		↑ +10.0%
10.0 11.0

🐢 Deslocamento lento em 71h 59m
15.50 → 10.00 → 11.00 		📈 Steam Bet365
Sharp-led: Pinnacle		 7/11
Steam Score: 57 B Moderate sharp signal

A meaningful move led by sharper sportsbooks, with moderate market confirmation.

 Movimento no top 10% Reprecificação agressiva Waiting for Close Steam multi-casas em Jordan (10.0%, 7/11) — encurtamento alinhado, não um movimento isolado de uma casa.
Switzerland vs Bosnia & Herzegovina World Cup · qui 19:00 Bosnia & Herzegovina 5.5 5.0
início em 9d 		↓ -9.1%
5.5 5.0

🐢 Deslocamento lento em 71h 59m
6.10 → 5.00 → 5.00 		📈 Steam Bet365 7/12
Steam Score: 54 B Moderate sharp signal

A meaningful move led by sharper sportsbooks, with moderate market confirmation.

 Movimento no top 10% Reprecificação agressiva Waiting for Close Steam multi-casas em Bosnia & Herzegovina (9.1%, 7/12) — encurtamento alinhado, não um movimento isolado de uma casa.
Curaçao vs Ivory Coast World Cup · qui 20:00 Curaçao 12.0 10.0
início em 16d 		↓ -16.7%
12.0 10.0

🐢 Deslocamento lento em 67h 59m
17.00 → 7.40 → 10.00 		⚡ Movimento liderado por sharp Bet365 3/12
Steam Score: 51 B Moderate sharp signal

Sharper sportsbooks initiated the move, but wider market participation remains limited.

 Movimento no top 3% Reprecificação agressiva Waiting for Close Bet365 liderou a reprecificação em Curaçao (16.7%) — casa sharp moveu antes do acompanhamento mais amplo.
New Zealand vs Belgium World Cup · sáb 03:00 New Zealand 7.5 8.0
início em 18d 		↑ +6.7%
7.5 8.0

🐢 Deslocamento lento em 67h 59m
11.00 → 7.50 → 8.00 		⚡ Movimento liderado por sharp Bet365
Sharp-led: Betfair		 8/12
Steam Score: 46 B Moderate sharp signal

A meaningful move led by sharper sportsbooks, with moderate market confirmation.

 Movimento no top 25% Reprecificação agressiva Waiting for Close Betfair liderou a reprecificação em New Zealand (6.7%) — casa sharp moveu antes do acompanhamento mais amplo.
Croatia vs Ghana World Cup · sáb 21:00 Ghana 4.75 5.0
início em 19d 		↑ +5.3%
4.75 5.0

🐢 Deslocamento lento em 71h 59m
5.50 → 4.50 → 5.00 		⚡ Movimento liderado por sharp Bet365
Sharp-led: SBO		 9/12
Steam Score: 45 B Moderate sharp signal

A meaningful move led by sharper sportsbooks, with moderate market confirmation.

 Movimento no top 25% Reprecificação agressiva Waiting for Close SBO liderou a reprecificação em Ghana (5.3%) — casa sharp moveu antes do acompanhamento mais amplo.
Cape Verde Islands vs Saudi Arabia World Cup · sáb 00:00 Cape Verde Islands 2.4 2.5
início em 18d 		↑ +4.2%
2.4 2.5

🐢 Deslocamento lento em 71h 59m
2.76 → 2.40 → 2.50 		⚡ Movimento liderado por sharp Bet365
Sharp-led: Betfair		 9/12
Steam Score: 43 B Moderate sharp signal

A meaningful move led by sharper sportsbooks, with moderate market confirmation.

 — Reprecificação agressiva Waiting for Close Betfair liderou a reprecificação em Cape Verde Islands (4.2%) — casa sharp moveu antes do acompanhamento mais amplo.
Ecuador vs Curaçao World Cup · dom 00:00 Empate 6.0 6.25
início em 12d 		↑ +4.2%
6.0 6.25

🐢 Deslocamento lento em 71h 59m
7.18 → 4.73 → 6.25 		⚡ Movimento liderado por sharp Bet365
Sharp-led: SBO		 7/12
Steam Score: 38 C Limited conviction

Price swings look choppy — volatility reduced overall confidence in the directional signal.

 — Reprecificação agressiva Waiting for Close SBO liderou a reprecificação em Empate (4.2%) — casa sharp moveu antes do acompanhamento mais amplo.
Czech Republic vs South Africa World Cup · qui 16:00 South Africa 4.1 4.2
início em 9d 		↑ +2.4%
4.1 4.2

— Linha estável
4.30 → 3.68 → 4.20 		📉 Enfraquecendo Bet365
Sharp-led: SBO		 8/12
Steam Score: 36 C Limited conviction

Price swings look choppy — volatility reduced overall confidence in the directional signal.

 — Descoberta Waiting for Close Mercado contra South Africa (2.4%) — linha alongando em relação à abertura (8/12).
Canada vs Qatar World Cup · qui 22:00 Empate 4.75 5.0
início em 10d 		↑ +5.3%
4.75 5.0

🐢 Deslocamento lento em 71h 59m
5.04 → 4.56 → 5.00 		⚠️ Mercado volátil Bet365
Sharp-led: SBO		 6/12
Steam Score: 33 C Limited conviction

Price swings look choppy — volatility reduced overall confidence in the directional signal.

 Movimento no top 25% Volátil Waiting for Close Preços voláteis em duas direções para Empate (variação 5.04 → 4.56 → 5.00) — líquido 5.3%, mas volatilidade intradiária elevada.
Austria vs Jordan World Cup · qua 04:00 Jordan 8.0 8.5
início em 8d 		↑ +6.2%
8.0 8.5

🐢 Deslocamento lento em 71h 59m
10.50 → 7.20 → 8.50 		⚠️ Mercado volátil Bet365
Sharp-led: SBO		 5/13
Steam Score: 31 C Limited conviction

Price swings look choppy — volatility reduced overall confidence in the directional signal.

 Movimento no top 25% Volátil Waiting for Close Preços voláteis em duas direções para Jordan (variação 10.50 → 7.20 → 8.50) — líquido 6.2%, mas volatilidade intradiária elevada.
Sweden vs Tunisia World Cup · seg 02:00 Tunisia 4.1 4.33
início em 6d 		↑ +5.6%
4.1 4.33

🐢 Deslocamento lento em 71h 59m
4.37 → 3.64 → 4.33 		⚠️ Mercado volátil Bet365
Sharp-led: SBO		 5/13
Steam Score: 30 C Limited conviction

Price swings look choppy — volatility reduced overall confidence in the directional signal.

 Movimento no top 25% Volátil Waiting for Close Preços voláteis em duas direções para Tunisia (variação 4.37 → 3.64 → 4.33) — líquido 5.6%, mas volatilidade intradiária elevada.
Scotland vs Brazil World Cup · qua 22:00 Scotland 6.25 6.5
início em 16d 		↑ +4.0%
6.25 6.5

🐢 Deslocamento lento em 71h 59m
9.10 → 5.17 → 6.50 		⚠️ Mercado volátil Bet365 6/12
Steam Score: 30 C Limited conviction

Price swings look choppy — volatility reduced overall confidence in the directional signal.

 — Volátil Waiting for Close Preços voláteis em duas direções para Scotland (variação 9.10 → 5.17 → 6.50) — líquido 4.0%, mas volatilidade intradiária elevada.
Norway vs Senegal World Cup · ter 00:00 Norway 2.1 2.1
início em 14d 		+0.0%
— Linha estável
2.14 → 2.00 → 2.10 		⚠️ Mercado volátil Bet365
Sharp-led: SBO		 12/12
Steam Score: 30 C Limited conviction

Price swings look choppy — volatility reduced overall confidence in the directional signal.

 — Volátil Waiting for Close Net move flat on Norway (0.0%), but intraday swing reached 6.8% — price repriced then reverted.
Switzerland vs Canada World Cup · qua 19:00 Switzerland 2.05 2.05
início em 15d 		+0.0%
— Linha estável
2.14 → 2.00 → 2.05 		⚠️ Mercado volátil Bet365
Sharp-led: SBO		 12/12
Steam Score: 30 C Limited conviction

Price swings look choppy — volatility reduced overall confidence in the directional signal.

 — Volátil Waiting for Close Net move flat on Switzerland (0.0%), but intraday swing reached 6.8% — price repriced then reverted.
Japan vs Sweden World Cup · qui 23:00 Japan 2.05 2.05
início em 17d 		+0.0%
— Linha estável
2.12 → 2.00 → 2.05 		⚠️ Mercado volátil Bet365
Sharp-led: SBO		 12/12
Steam Score: 30 C Limited conviction

Price swings look choppy — volatility reduced overall confidence in the directional signal.

 — Volátil Waiting for Close Net move flat on Japan (0.0%), but intraday swing reached 5.8% — price repriced then reverted.
Spain vs Cape Verde Islands World Cup · seg 16:00 Empate 10.0 9.5
início em 6d 		↓ -5.0%
10.0 9.5

🐢 Deslocamento lento em 71h 59m
12.00 → 7.90 → 9.50 		⚠️ Mercado volátil Bet365 5/13
Steam Score: 28 C Limited conviction

Price swings look choppy — volatility reduced overall confidence in the directional signal.

 Movimento no top 25% Volátil Waiting for Close Preços voláteis em duas direções para Empate (variação 12.00 → 7.90 → 9.50) — líquido 5.0%, mas volatilidade intradiária elevada.
Germany vs Ivory Coast World Cup · sáb 20:00 Ivory Coast 5.75 5.5
início em 11d 		↓ -4.3%
5.75 5.5

🐢 Deslocamento lento em 71h 59m
6.40 → 5.29 → 5.50 		⚠️ Mercado volátil Bet365
Sharp-led: Pinnacle		 5/12
Steam Score: 28 C Limited conviction

Price swings look choppy — volatility reduced overall confidence in the directional signal.

 Movimento no top 25% Volátil Waiting for Close Preços voláteis em duas direções para Ivory Coast (variação 6.40 → 5.29 → 5.50) — líquido 4.3%, mas volatilidade intradiária elevada.
Belgium vs Egypt World Cup · seg 19:00 Belgium 1.65 1.65
início em 6d 		+0.0%
— Linha estável
1.72 → 1.60 → 1.65 		⚠️ Mercado volátil Bet365
Sharp-led: Pinnacle		 12/13
Steam Score: 28 C Limited conviction

Price swings look choppy — volatility reduced overall confidence in the directional signal.

 — Volátil Waiting for Close Net move flat on Belgium (0.0%), but intraday swing reached 7.2% — price repriced then reverted.
Portugal vs Congo DR World Cup · qua 17:00 Portugal 1.25 1.25
início em 8d 		+0.0%
— Linha estável
1.31 → 1.23 → 1.25 		⚠️ Mercado volátil Bet365
Sharp-led: Betfair		 12/13
Steam Score: 28 C Limited conviction

Price swings look choppy — volatility reduced overall confidence in the directional signal.

 — Volátil Waiting for Close Net move flat on Portugal (0.0%), but intraday swing reached 6.3% — price repriced then reverted.
USA vs Australia World Cup · sex 19:00 USA 1.7 1.7
início em 10d 		+0.0%
— Linha estável
1.80 → 1.68 → 1.70 		⚠️ Mercado volátil Bet365
Sharp-led: Betfair		 11/12
Steam Score: 28 C Limited conviction

Price swings look choppy — volatility reduced overall confidence in the directional signal.

 — Volátil Waiting for Close Net move flat on USA (0.0%), but intraday swing reached 6.9% — price repriced then reverted.
Argentina vs Austria World Cup · seg 17:00 Argentina 1.62 1.62
início em 13d 		+0.0%
— Linha estável
1.68 → 1.58 → 1.62 		⚠️ Mercado volátil Bet365
Sharp-led: Betfair		 11/12
Steam Score: 28 C Limited conviction

Price swings look choppy — volatility reduced overall confidence in the directional signal.

 — Volátil Waiting for Close Net move flat on Argentina (0.0%), but intraday swing reached 6.1% — price repriced then reverted.
France vs Iraq World Cup · seg 21:00 France 1.11 1.11
início em 14d 		+0.0%
— Linha estável
1.14 → 1.07 → 1.11 		⚠️ Mercado volátil Bet365
Sharp-led: Betfair		 11/12
Steam Score: 28 C Limited conviction

Price swings look choppy — volatility reduced overall confidence in the directional signal.

 — Volátil Waiting for Close Net move flat on France (0.0%), but intraday swing reached 6.3% — price repriced then reverted.
Paraguay vs Australia World Cup · sex 02:00 Paraguay 2.15 2.15
início em 17d 		+0.0%
— Linha estável
2.23 → 2.11 → 2.15 		⚠️ Mercado volátil Bet365
Sharp-led: Betfair		 11/12
Steam Score: 28 C Limited conviction

Price swings look choppy — volatility reduced overall confidence in the directional signal.

 — Volátil Waiting for Close Net move flat on Paraguay (0.0%), but intraday swing reached 5.5% — price repriced then reverted.
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