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Market Movements - Live-Market-Moves

World Cup 2026 TODAY TOMORROW WEEK

Live-Market-Moves Early-Sharp-Moves Final-Closing-Moves CLV-Performance
Live market monitor

🔥 Top market moves

Match Side Move Signal Market Breadth? Number of sportsbooks confirming the same directional move. Number of sportsbooks confirming the same directional move. Steam Score? Measures how aggressively odds moved across sharp sportsbooks. Measures how aggressively odds moved across sharp sportsbooks.
Jordan vs Algeria Jordan ↑ +8.7% 📈 Steam 11/12 Steam Score: 63 A
New Zealand vs Egypt New Zealand ↓ -17.4% ⚡ Mouvement dirigé par les sharps 5/12 Steam Score: 62 A
Jordan vs Argentina Jordan ↑ +10.0% 📈 Steam 7/11 Steam Score: 57 B
Switzerland vs Bosnia & Herzegovina Bosnia & Herzegovina ↓ -9.1% 📈 Steam 7/12 Steam Score: 54 B
Curaçao vs Ivory Coast Curaçao ↓ -16.7% ⚡ Mouvement dirigé par les sharps 3/12 Steam Score: 51 B
World Cup · coup d'envoi dans 14j
A 63
Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 0% CLV win rate
60-70 = 64% CLV win rate
70+ = 71% CLV win rate
Key drivers
  • Elevated intraday volatility reduced confidence
  • Strong cross-book alignment
  • Early movement from respected sharp books
  • Meaningful odds adjustment
ReliabilityStrong confidence signal.
Score breakdown
Amplitude du mouvement: +19/45
Synchronisation des bookmakers: +28/30
Réaction des bookmakers: +10/10
Conviction du signal: +10/10
Leadership des sharps: +6/6
Ajustement de volatilité: -10
Strong sharp signal

Sharper sportsbooks initiated a solid move with growing cross-book confirmation.

Jordan vs Algeria
Jordan (Home) 🐢 Dérive lente sur 71h 59m Mouvement du top 10%
Open 5.75 → 6.25 ↑ +8.7%
Hausse unilatérale
Draw (Draw)
Open 3.8 → 4.0 ↑ +5.3%
Hausse unilatérale
Algeria (Away)
Open 1.57 → 1.5 ↓ -4.5%
Baisse unilatérale
Books 11/12 📈 Steam Réajustement agressif
View market brief

Steam multi-books sur Jordan (8.7%, 11/12) — raccourcissement aligné, pas un simple mouvement isolé.

Sharp-led: Betfair

Waiting for Close

World Cup · coup d'envoi dans 13j
A 62
Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 0% CLV win rate
60-70 = 64% CLV win rate
70+ = 71% CLV win rate
Key drivers
  • Elevated intraday volatility reduced confidence
  • Strong odds adjustment magnitude
  • Early movement from respected sharp books
  • Moderate cross-book follow-through
ReliabilityStrong confidence signal.
Score breakdown
Amplitude du mouvement: +38/45
Synchronisation des bookmakers: +12/30
Réaction des bookmakers: +10/10
Conviction du signal: +5/5
Leadership des sharps: +6/6
Ajustement de volatilité: -10
Strong sharp signal

Sharper sportsbooks initiated a solid move with growing cross-book confirmation.

New Zealand vs Egypt
New Zealand (Home) 🐢 Dérive lente sur 71h 59m Plus grand mouvement aujourd'hui
Open 5.75 → 4.75 ↓ -17.4%
Baisse unilatérale
Draw (Draw)
Open 3.75 → 3.5 ↓ -6.7%
Baisse unilatérale
Egypt (Away)
Open 1.57 → 1.73 ↑ +10.2%
Hausse unilatérale
Books 5/12 ⚡ Mouvement dirigé par les sharps Réajustement agressif
View market brief

Bet365 a mené le réajustement sur New Zealand (17.4%) — book sharp a bougé avant le suivi général.

Waiting for Close

World Cup · coup d'envoi dans 19j
B 57
Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 0% CLV win rate
60-70 = 64% CLV win rate
70+ = 71% CLV win rate
Key drivers
  • Elevated intraday volatility reduced confidence
  • Early movement from respected sharp books
  • Meaningful odds adjustment
  • Moderate cross-book follow-through
ReliabilityMedium confidence signal.
Score breakdown
Amplitude du mouvement: +22/45
Synchronisation des bookmakers: +19/30
Réaction des bookmakers: +10/10
Conviction du signal: +10/10
Leadership des sharps: +6/6
Ajustement de volatilité: -10
Moderate sharp signal

A meaningful move led by sharper sportsbooks, with moderate market confirmation.

Jordan vs Argentina
Jordan (Home) 🐢 Dérive lente sur 71h 59m Mouvement du top 10%
Open 10.0 → 11.0 ↑ +10.0%
Hausse unilatérale
Draw (Draw)
Open 6.0 → 6.5 ↑ +8.3%
Hausse unilatérale
Argentina (Away)
Open 1.22 → 1.2 ↓ -1.6%
Stable
Books 7/11 📈 Steam Réajustement agressif
View market brief

Steam multi-books sur Jordan (10.0%, 7/11) — raccourcissement aligné, pas un simple mouvement isolé.

Sharp-led: Pinnacle

Waiting for Close

World Cup · coup d'envoi dans 9j
B 54
Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 0% CLV win rate
60-70 = 64% CLV win rate
70+ = 71% CLV win rate
Key drivers
  • Elevated intraday volatility reduced confidence
  • Early movement from respected sharp books
  • Meaningful odds adjustment
  • Moderate cross-book follow-through
ReliabilityMedium confidence signal.
Score breakdown
Amplitude du mouvement: +20/45
Synchronisation des bookmakers: +18/30
Réaction des bookmakers: +10/10
Conviction du signal: +10/10
Leadership des sharps: +6/6
Ajustement de volatilité: -10
Moderate sharp signal

A meaningful move led by sharper sportsbooks, with moderate market confirmation.

Switzerland vs Bosnia & Herzegovina
Switzerland (Home)
Open 1.57 → 1.62 ↑ +3.2%
Hausse unilatérale
Draw (Draw)
Open 4.0 → 3.9 ↓ -2.5%
Stable
Bosnia & Herzegovina (Away) 🐢 Dérive lente sur 71h 59m Mouvement du top 10%
Open 5.5 → 5.0 ↓ -9.1%
Baisse unilatérale
Books 7/12 📈 Steam Réajustement agressif
View market brief

Steam multi-books sur Bosnia & Herzegovina (9.1%, 7/12) — raccourcissement aligné, pas un simple mouvement isolé.

Waiting for Close

World Cup · coup d'envoi dans 16j
B 51
Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 0% CLV win rate
60-70 = 64% CLV win rate
70+ = 71% CLV win rate
Key drivers
  • Elevated intraday volatility reduced confidence
  • Strong odds adjustment magnitude
  • Early movement from respected sharp books
  • Moderate signal conviction
ReliabilityMedium confidence signal.
Score breakdown
Amplitude du mouvement: +37/45
Synchronisation des bookmakers: +8/30
Réaction des bookmakers: +6/10
Conviction du signal: +5/5
Leadership des sharps: +6/6
Ajustement de volatilité: -10
Moderate sharp signal

Sharper sportsbooks initiated the move, but wider market participation remains limited.

Curaçao vs Ivory Coast
Curaçao (Home) 🐢 Dérive lente sur 67h 59m Mouvement du top 3%
Open 12.0 → 10.0 ↓ -16.7%
Baisse unilatérale
Draw (Draw)
Open 6.0 → 5.75 ↓ -4.2%
Baisse unilatérale
Ivory Coast (Away)
Open 1.18 → 1.2 ↑ +1.7%
Stable
Books 3/12 ⚡ Mouvement dirigé par les sharps Réajustement agressif
View market brief

Bet365 a mené le réajustement sur Curaçao (16.7%) — book sharp a bougé avant le suivi général.

Waiting for Close

World Cup · coup d'envoi dans 18j
B 46
Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 0% CLV win rate
60-70 = 64% CLV win rate
70+ = 71% CLV win rate
Key drivers
  • Elevated intraday volatility reduced confidence
  • Strong cross-book alignment
  • Early movement from respected sharp books
  • Moderate signal conviction
ReliabilityMedium confidence signal.
Score breakdown
Amplitude du mouvement: +15/45
Synchronisation des bookmakers: +20/30
Réaction des bookmakers: +10/10
Conviction du signal: +5/5
Leadership des sharps: +6/6
Ajustement de volatilité: -10
Moderate sharp signal

A meaningful move led by sharper sportsbooks, with moderate market confirmation.

New Zealand vs Belgium
New Zealand (Home) 🐢 Dérive lente sur 67h 59m Mouvement du top 25%
Open 7.5 → 8.0 ↑ +6.7%
Hausse unilatérale
Draw (Draw)
Open 5.5 → 5.5 +0.0%
Belgium (Away)
Open 1.33 → 1.3 ↓ -2.3%
Stable
Books 8/12 ⚡ Mouvement dirigé par les sharps Réajustement agressif
View market brief

Betfair a mené le réajustement sur New Zealand (6.7%) — book sharp a bougé avant le suivi général.

Sharp-led: Betfair

Waiting for Close

World Cup · coup d'envoi dans 19j
B 45
Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 0% CLV win rate
60-70 = 64% CLV win rate
70+ = 71% CLV win rate
Key drivers
  • Elevated intraday volatility reduced confidence
  • Strong cross-book alignment
  • Early movement from respected sharp books
  • Moderate signal conviction
ReliabilityMedium confidence signal.
Score breakdown
Amplitude du mouvement: +12/45
Synchronisation des bookmakers: +22/30
Réaction des bookmakers: +10/10
Conviction du signal: +5/5
Leadership des sharps: +6/6
Ajustement de volatilité: -10
Moderate sharp signal

A meaningful move led by sharper sportsbooks, with moderate market confirmation.

Croatia vs Ghana
Croatia (Home)
Open 1.67 → 1.65 ↓ -1.2%
Stable
Draw (Draw)
Open 3.6 → 3.7 ↑ +2.8%
Stable
Ghana (Away) 🐢 Dérive lente sur 71h 59m Mouvement du top 25%
Open 4.75 → 5.0 ↑ +5.3%
Hausse unilatérale
Books 9/12 ⚡ Mouvement dirigé par les sharps Réajustement agressif
View market brief

SBO a mené le réajustement sur Ghana (5.3%) — book sharp a bougé avant le suivi général.

Sharp-led: SBO

Waiting for Close

World Cup · coup d'envoi dans 18j
B 43
Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 0% CLV win rate
60-70 = 64% CLV win rate
70+ = 71% CLV win rate
Key drivers
  • Elevated intraday volatility reduced confidence
  • Strong cross-book alignment
  • Early movement from respected sharp books
  • Moderate signal conviction
ReliabilityMedium confidence signal.
Score breakdown
Amplitude du mouvement: +9/45
Synchronisation des bookmakers: +22/30
Réaction des bookmakers: +10/10
Conviction du signal: +5/5
Leadership des sharps: +6/6
Ajustement de volatilité: -10
Moderate sharp signal

A meaningful move led by sharper sportsbooks, with moderate market confirmation.

Cape Verde Islands vs Saudi Arabia
Cape Verde Islands (Home) 🐢 Dérive lente sur 71h 59m
Open 2.4 → 2.5 ↑ +4.2%
Hausse unilatérale
Draw (Draw)
Open 3.3 → 3.3 +0.0%
Saudi Arabia (Away)
Open 2.8 → 2.7 ↓ -3.6%
Baisse unilatérale
Books 9/12 ⚡ Mouvement dirigé par les sharps Réajustement agressif
View market brief

Betfair a mené le réajustement sur Cape Verde Islands (4.2%) — book sharp a bougé avant le suivi général.

Sharp-led: Betfair

Waiting for Close

World Cup · coup d'envoi dans 12j
C 38
Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 0% CLV win rate
60-70 = 64% CLV win rate
70+ = 71% CLV win rate
Key drivers
  • Elevated intraday volatility reduced confidence
  • Early movement from respected sharp books
  • Moderate cross-book follow-through
  • Moderate signal conviction
ReliabilityLow confidence — elevated volatility undermines the signal.
Score breakdown
Amplitude du mouvement: +9/45
Synchronisation des bookmakers: +18/30
Réaction des bookmakers: +10/10
Conviction du signal: +5/5
Leadership des sharps: +6/6
Ajustement de volatilité: -10
Limited conviction

Price swings look choppy — volatility reduced overall confidence in the directional signal.

Ecuador vs Curaçao
Ecuador (Home)
Open 1.2 → 1.2 +0.0%
Draw (Draw) 🐢 Dérive lente sur 71h 59m
Open 6.0 → 6.25 ↑ +4.2%
Hausse unilatérale
Curaçao (Away)
Open 13.0 → 13.0 +0.0%
Books 7/12 ⚡ Mouvement dirigé par les sharps Réajustement agressif
View market brief

SBO a mené le réajustement sur Nul (4.2%) — book sharp a bougé avant le suivi général.

Sharp-led: SBO

Waiting for Close

World Cup · coup d'envoi dans 9j
C 36
Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 0% CLV win rate
60-70 = 64% CLV win rate
70+ = 71% CLV win rate
Key drivers
  • Elevated intraday volatility reduced confidence
  • Strong cross-book alignment
  • Early movement from respected sharp books
  • Moderate signal conviction
ReliabilityLow confidence — elevated volatility undermines the signal.
Score breakdown
Amplitude du mouvement: +5/45
Synchronisation des bookmakers: +20/30
Réaction des bookmakers: +10/10
Conviction du signal: +5/5
Leadership des sharps: +6/6
Ajustement de volatilité: -10
Limited conviction

Price swings look choppy — volatility reduced overall confidence in the directional signal.

Czech Republic vs South Africa
Czech Republic (Home)
Open 1.95 → 1.91 ↓ -2.1%
Stable
Draw (Draw)
Open 3.25 → 3.25 +0.0%
South Africa (Away) — Ligne stable
Open 4.1 → 4.2 ↑ +2.4%
Stable
Books 8/12 📉 Affaiblissement Découverte
View market brief

Le marché délaisse South Africa (2.4%) — la ligne dérive à la hausse par rapport à l'ouverture (8/12).

Sharp-led: SBO

Waiting for Close

World Cup · coup d'envoi dans 10j
C 33
Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 0% CLV win rate
60-70 = 64% CLV win rate
70+ = 71% CLV win rate
Key drivers
  • Elevated intraday volatility reduced confidence
  • Early movement from respected sharp books
  • Moderate cross-book follow-through
  • Broad sportsbook participation
ReliabilityLow confidence — elevated volatility undermines the signal.
Score breakdown
Amplitude du mouvement: +12/45
Synchronisation des bookmakers: +15/30
Réaction des bookmakers: +10/10
Leadership des sharps: +6/6
Ajustement de volatilité: -10
Limited conviction

Price swings look choppy — volatility reduced overall confidence in the directional signal.

Canada vs Qatar
Canada (Home)
Open 1.33 → 1.3 ↓ -2.3%
Stable
Draw (Draw) 🐢 Dérive lente sur 71h 59m Mouvement du top 25%
Open 4.75 → 5.0 ↑ +5.3%
Hausse unilatérale
Qatar (Away)
Open 9.0 → 9.0 +0.0%
Books 6/12 ⚠️ Marché volatile Volatile
View market brief

Prix volatil dans les deux sens sur Nul (amplitude 5.04 → 4.56 → 5.00) — net 5.3% mais la volatilité intrajournalière est élevée.

Sharp-led: SBO

Waiting for Close

World Cup · coup d'envoi dans 8j
C 31
Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 0% CLV win rate
60-70 = 64% CLV win rate
70+ = 71% CLV win rate
Key drivers
  • Elevated intraday volatility reduced confidence
  • Early movement from respected sharp books
  • Moderate cross-book follow-through
  • Broad sportsbook participation
ReliabilityLow confidence — elevated volatility undermines the signal.
Score breakdown
Amplitude du mouvement: +14/45
Synchronisation des bookmakers: +12/30
Réaction des bookmakers: +10/10
Leadership des sharps: +6/6
Ajustement de volatilité: -10
Limited conviction

Price swings look choppy — volatility reduced overall confidence in the directional signal.

Austria vs Jordan
Austria (Home)
Open 1.33 → 1.3 ↓ -2.3%
Stable
Draw (Draw)
Open 5.5 → 5.5 +0.0%
Jordan (Away) 🐢 Dérive lente sur 71h 59m Mouvement du top 25%
Open 8.0 → 8.5 ↑ +6.2%
Hausse unilatérale
Books 5/13 ⚠️ Marché volatile Volatile
View market brief

Prix volatil dans les deux sens sur Jordan (amplitude 10.50 → 7.20 → 8.50) — net 6.2% mais la volatilité intrajournalière est élevée.

Sharp-led: SBO

Waiting for Close

World Cup · coup d'envoi dans 6j
C 30
Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 0% CLV win rate
60-70 = 64% CLV win rate
70+ = 71% CLV win rate
Key drivers
  • Elevated intraday volatility reduced confidence
  • Early movement from respected sharp books
  • Moderate cross-book follow-through
  • Broad sportsbook participation
ReliabilityLow confidence — elevated volatility undermines the signal.
Score breakdown
Amplitude du mouvement: +12/45
Synchronisation des bookmakers: +12/30
Réaction des bookmakers: +10/10
Leadership des sharps: +6/6
Ajustement de volatilité: -10
Limited conviction

Price swings look choppy — volatility reduced overall confidence in the directional signal.

Sweden vs Tunisia
Sweden (Home)
Open 1.9 → 1.85 ↓ -2.6%
Stable
Draw (Draw)
Open 3.4 → 3.4 +0.0%
Tunisia (Away) 🐢 Dérive lente sur 71h 59m Mouvement du top 25%
Open 4.1 → 4.33 ↑ +5.6%
Hausse unilatérale
Books 5/13 ⚠️ Marché volatile Volatile
View market brief

Prix volatil dans les deux sens sur Tunisia (amplitude 4.37 → 3.64 → 4.33) — net 5.6% mais la volatilité intrajournalière est élevée.

Sharp-led: SBO

Waiting for Close

World Cup · coup d'envoi dans 16j
C 30
Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 0% CLV win rate
60-70 = 64% CLV win rate
70+ = 71% CLV win rate
Key drivers
  • Elevated intraday volatility reduced confidence
  • Early movement from respected sharp books
  • Moderate cross-book follow-through
  • Broad sportsbook participation
ReliabilityLow confidence — elevated volatility undermines the signal.
Score breakdown
Amplitude du mouvement: +9/45
Synchronisation des bookmakers: +15/30
Réaction des bookmakers: +10/10
Leadership des sharps: +6/6
Ajustement de volatilité: -10
Limited conviction

Price swings look choppy — volatility reduced overall confidence in the directional signal.

Scotland vs Brazil
Scotland (Home) 🐢 Dérive lente sur 71h 59m
Open 6.25 → 6.5 ↑ +4.0%
Hausse unilatérale
Draw (Draw)
Open 4.2 → 4.33 ↑ +3.1%
Hausse unilatérale
Brazil (Away)
Open 1.48 → 1.45 ↓ -2.0%
Stable
Books 6/12 ⚠️ Marché volatile Volatile
View market brief

Prix volatil dans les deux sens sur Scotland (amplitude 9.10 → 5.17 → 6.50) — net 4.0% mais la volatilité intrajournalière est élevée.

Waiting for Close

World Cup · coup d'envoi dans 14j
C 30
Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 0% CLV win rate
60-70 = 64% CLV win rate
70+ = 71% CLV win rate
Key drivers
  • Elevated intraday volatility reduced confidence
  • Strong cross-book alignment
  • Broad sportsbook participation
ReliabilityLow confidence — elevated volatility undermines the signal.
Score breakdown
Synchronisation des bookmakers: +30/30
Réaction des bookmakers: +10/10
Ajustement de volatilité: -10
Limited conviction

Price swings look choppy — volatility reduced overall confidence in the directional signal.

Norway vs Senegal
Norway (Home) — Ligne stable
Open 2.1 → 2.1 +0.0%
Draw (Draw)
Open 3.3 → 3.3 +0.0%
Senegal (Away)
Open 3.4 → 3.4 +0.0%
Books 12/12 ⚠️ Marché volatile Volatile
View market brief

Net move flat on Norway (0.0%), but intraday swing reached 6.8% — price repriced then reverted.

Sharp-led: SBO

Waiting for Close

World Cup · coup d'envoi dans 15j
C 30
Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 0% CLV win rate
60-70 = 64% CLV win rate
70+ = 71% CLV win rate
Key drivers
  • Elevated intraday volatility reduced confidence
  • Strong cross-book alignment
  • Broad sportsbook participation
ReliabilityLow confidence — elevated volatility undermines the signal.
Score breakdown
Synchronisation des bookmakers: +30/30
Réaction des bookmakers: +10/10
Ajustement de volatilité: -10
Limited conviction

Price swings look choppy — volatility reduced overall confidence in the directional signal.

Switzerland vs Canada
Switzerland (Home) — Ligne stable
Open 2.05 → 2.05 +0.0%
Draw (Draw)
Open 3.25 → 3.25 +0.0%
Canada (Away)
Open 3.4 → 3.4 +0.0%
Books 12/12 ⚠️ Marché volatile Volatile
View market brief

Net move flat on Switzerland (0.0%), but intraday swing reached 6.8% — price repriced then reverted.

Sharp-led: SBO

Waiting for Close

World Cup · coup d'envoi dans 17j
C 30
Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 0% CLV win rate
60-70 = 64% CLV win rate
70+ = 71% CLV win rate
Key drivers
  • Elevated intraday volatility reduced confidence
  • Strong cross-book alignment
  • Broad sportsbook participation
ReliabilityLow confidence — elevated volatility undermines the signal.
Score breakdown
Synchronisation des bookmakers: +30/30
Réaction des bookmakers: +10/10
Ajustement de volatilité: -10
Limited conviction

Price swings look choppy — volatility reduced overall confidence in the directional signal.

Japan vs Sweden
Japan (Home) — Ligne stable
Open 2.05 → 2.05 +0.0%
Draw (Draw)
Open 3.4 → 3.4 +0.0%
Sweden (Away)
Open 3.5 → 3.5 +0.0%
Books 12/12 ⚠️ Marché volatile Volatile
View market brief

Net move flat on Japan (0.0%), but intraday swing reached 5.8% — price repriced then reverted.

Sharp-led: SBO

Waiting for Close

World Cup · coup d'envoi dans 6j
C 28
Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 0% CLV win rate
60-70 = 64% CLV win rate
70+ = 71% CLV win rate
Key drivers
  • Elevated intraday volatility reduced confidence
  • Early movement from respected sharp books
  • Moderate cross-book follow-through
  • Broad sportsbook participation
ReliabilityLow confidence — elevated volatility undermines the signal.
Score breakdown
Amplitude du mouvement: +11/45
Synchronisation des bookmakers: +12/30
Réaction des bookmakers: +10/10
Leadership des sharps: +6/6
Ajustement de volatilité: -10
Limited conviction

Price swings look choppy — volatility reduced overall confidence in the directional signal.

Spain vs Cape Verde Islands
Spain (Home)
Open 1.08 → 1.09 ↑ +0.9%
Stable
Draw (Draw) 🐢 Dérive lente sur 71h 59m Mouvement du top 25%
Open 10.0 → 9.5 ↓ -5.0%
Baisse unilatérale
Cape Verde Islands (Away)
Open 23.0 → 23.0 +0.0%
Books 5/13 ⚠️ Marché volatile Volatile
View market brief

Prix volatil dans les deux sens sur Nul (amplitude 12.00 → 7.90 → 9.50) — net 5.0% mais la volatilité intrajournalière est élevée.

Waiting for Close

World Cup · coup d'envoi dans 11j
C 28
Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 0% CLV win rate
60-70 = 64% CLV win rate
70+ = 71% CLV win rate
Key drivers
  • Elevated intraday volatility reduced confidence
  • Early movement from respected sharp books
  • Moderate cross-book follow-through
  • Broad sportsbook participation
ReliabilityLow confidence — elevated volatility undermines the signal.
Score breakdown
Amplitude du mouvement: +10/45
Synchronisation des bookmakers: +12/30
Réaction des bookmakers: +10/10
Leadership des sharps: +6/6
Ajustement de volatilité: -10
Limited conviction

Price swings look choppy — volatility reduced overall confidence in the directional signal.

Germany vs Ivory Coast
Germany (Home)
Open 1.5 → 1.53 ↑ +2.0%
Stable
Draw (Draw)
Open 4.1 → 4.0 ↓ -2.4%
Stable
Ivory Coast (Away) 🐢 Dérive lente sur 71h 59m Mouvement du top 25%
Open 5.75 → 5.5 ↓ -4.3%
Baisse unilatérale
Books 5/12 ⚠️ Marché volatile Volatile
View market brief

Prix volatil dans les deux sens sur Ivory Coast (amplitude 6.40 → 5.29 → 5.50) — net 4.3% mais la volatilité intrajournalière est élevée.

Sharp-led: Pinnacle

Waiting for Close

World Cup · coup d'envoi dans 6j
C 28
Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 0% CLV win rate
60-70 = 64% CLV win rate
70+ = 71% CLV win rate
Key drivers
  • Elevated intraday volatility reduced confidence
  • Strong cross-book alignment
  • Broad sportsbook participation
ReliabilityLow confidence — elevated volatility undermines the signal.
Score breakdown
Synchronisation des bookmakers: +28/30
Réaction des bookmakers: +10/10
Ajustement de volatilité: -10
Limited conviction

Price swings look choppy — volatility reduced overall confidence in the directional signal.

Belgium vs Egypt
Belgium (Home) — Ligne stable
Open 1.65 → 1.65 +0.0%
Draw (Draw)
Open 3.8 → 3.8 +0.0%
Egypt (Away)
Open 5.0 → 5.0 +0.0%
Books 12/13 ⚠️ Marché volatile Volatile
View market brief

Net move flat on Belgium (0.0%), but intraday swing reached 7.2% — price repriced then reverted.

Sharp-led: Pinnacle

Waiting for Close

World Cup · coup d'envoi dans 8j
C 28
Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 0% CLV win rate
60-70 = 64% CLV win rate
70+ = 71% CLV win rate
Key drivers
  • Elevated intraday volatility reduced confidence
  • Strong cross-book alignment
  • Broad sportsbook participation
ReliabilityLow confidence — elevated volatility undermines the signal.
Score breakdown
Synchronisation des bookmakers: +28/30
Réaction des bookmakers: +10/10
Ajustement de volatilité: -10
Limited conviction

Price swings look choppy — volatility reduced overall confidence in the directional signal.

Portugal vs Congo DR
Portugal (Home) — Ligne stable
Open 1.25 → 1.25 +0.0%
Draw (Draw)
Open 6.0 → 6.0 +0.0%
Congo DR (Away)
Open 9.5 → 9.5 +0.0%
Books 12/13 ⚠️ Marché volatile Volatile
View market brief

Net move flat on Portugal (0.0%), but intraday swing reached 6.3% — price repriced then reverted.

Sharp-led: Betfair

Waiting for Close

World Cup · coup d'envoi dans 10j
C 28
Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 0% CLV win rate
60-70 = 64% CLV win rate
70+ = 71% CLV win rate
Key drivers
  • Elevated intraday volatility reduced confidence
  • Strong cross-book alignment
  • Broad sportsbook participation
ReliabilityLow confidence — elevated volatility undermines the signal.
Score breakdown
Synchronisation des bookmakers: +28/30
Réaction des bookmakers: +10/10
Ajustement de volatilité: -10
Limited conviction

Price swings look choppy — volatility reduced overall confidence in the directional signal.

USA vs Australia
USA (Home) — Ligne stable
Open 1.7 → 1.7 +0.0%
Draw (Draw)
Open 3.5 → 3.5 +0.0%
Australia (Away)
Open 4.75 → 4.75 +0.0%
Books 11/12 ⚠️ Marché volatile Volatile
View market brief

Net move flat on USA (0.0%), but intraday swing reached 6.9% — price repriced then reverted.

Sharp-led: Betfair

Waiting for Close

World Cup · coup d'envoi dans 13j
C 28
Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 0% CLV win rate
60-70 = 64% CLV win rate
70+ = 71% CLV win rate
Key drivers
  • Elevated intraday volatility reduced confidence
  • Strong cross-book alignment
  • Broad sportsbook participation
ReliabilityLow confidence — elevated volatility undermines the signal.
Score breakdown
Synchronisation des bookmakers: +28/30
Réaction des bookmakers: +10/10
Ajustement de volatilité: -10
Limited conviction

Price swings look choppy — volatility reduced overall confidence in the directional signal.

Argentina vs Austria
Argentina (Home) — Ligne stable
Open 1.62 → 1.62 +0.0%
Draw (Draw)
Open 3.75 → 3.75 +0.0%
Austria (Away)
Open 5.25 → 5.25 +0.0%
Books 11/12 ⚠️ Marché volatile Volatile
View market brief

Net move flat on Argentina (0.0%), but intraday swing reached 6.1% — price repriced then reverted.

Sharp-led: Betfair

Waiting for Close

World Cup · coup d'envoi dans 14j
C 28
Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 0% CLV win rate
60-70 = 64% CLV win rate
70+ = 71% CLV win rate
Key drivers
  • Elevated intraday volatility reduced confidence
  • Strong cross-book alignment
  • Broad sportsbook participation
ReliabilityLow confidence — elevated volatility undermines the signal.
Score breakdown
Synchronisation des bookmakers: +28/30
Réaction des bookmakers: +10/10
Ajustement de volatilité: -10
Limited conviction

Price swings look choppy — volatility reduced overall confidence in the directional signal.

France vs Iraq
France (Home) — Ligne stable
Open 1.11 → 1.11 +0.0%
Draw (Draw)
Open 8.5 → 8.5 +0.0%
Iraq (Away)
Open 19.0 → 19.0 +0.0%
Books 11/12 ⚠️ Marché volatile Volatile
View market brief

Net move flat on France (0.0%), but intraday swing reached 6.3% — price repriced then reverted.

Sharp-led: Betfair

Waiting for Close

World Cup · coup d'envoi dans 17j
C 28
Why It Matters
Historically:
50-60 = 0% CLV win rate
60-70 = 64% CLV win rate
70+ = 71% CLV win rate
Key drivers
  • Elevated intraday volatility reduced confidence
  • Strong cross-book alignment
  • Broad sportsbook participation
ReliabilityLow confidence — elevated volatility undermines the signal.
Score breakdown
Synchronisation des bookmakers: +28/30
Réaction des bookmakers: +10/10
Ajustement de volatilité: -10
Limited conviction

Price swings look choppy — volatility reduced overall confidence in the directional signal.

Paraguay vs Australia
Paraguay (Home) — Ligne stable
Open 2.15 → 2.15 +0.0%
Draw (Draw)
Open 3.2 → 3.2 +0.0%
Australia (Away)
Open 3.4 → 3.4 +0.0%
Books 11/12 ⚠️ Marché volatile Volatile
View market brief

Net move flat on Paraguay (0.0%), but intraday swing reached 5.5% — price repriced then reverted.

Sharp-led: Betfair

Waiting for Close

Match(72) Pick Open Current Move Signal Ref book Market Breadth? Number of sportsbooks confirming the same directional move. Number of sportsbooks confirming the same directional move. Steam Score? Measures how aggressively odds moved across sharp sportsbooks. Measures how aggressively odds moved across sharp sportsbooks. Context Phase CLV Validation? Indicates whether the tracked price beat the final closing odds. Indicates whether the tracked price beat the final closing odds.
Jordan vs Algeria World Cup · mar. 03:00 Jordan 5.75 6.25
coup d'envoi dans 14j 		↑ +8.7%
5.75 6.25

🐢 Dérive lente sur 71h 59m
6.68 → 4.90 → 6.25 		📈 Steam Bet365
Sharp-led: Betfair		 11/12
Steam Score: 63 A Strong sharp signal

Sharper sportsbooks initiated a solid move with growing cross-book confirmation.

 Mouvement du top 10% Réajustement agressif Waiting for Close Steam multi-books sur Jordan (8.7%, 11/12) — raccourcissement aligné, pas un simple mouvement isolé.
New Zealand vs Egypt World Cup · lun. 01:00 New Zealand 5.75 4.75
coup d'envoi dans 13j 		↓ -17.4%
5.75 4.75

🐢 Dérive lente sur 71h 59m
5.75 → 4.29 → 4.75 		⚡ Mouvement dirigé par les sharps Bet365 5/12
Steam Score: 62 A Strong sharp signal

Sharper sportsbooks initiated a solid move with growing cross-book confirmation.

 Plus grand mouvement aujourd'hui Réajustement agressif Waiting for Close Bet365 a mené le réajustement sur New Zealand (17.4%) — book sharp a bougé avant le suivi général.
Jordan vs Argentina World Cup · dim. 02:00 Jordan 10.0 11.0
coup d'envoi dans 19j 		↑ +10.0%
10.0 11.0

🐢 Dérive lente sur 71h 59m
15.50 → 10.00 → 11.00 		📈 Steam Bet365
Sharp-led: Pinnacle		 7/11
Steam Score: 57 B Moderate sharp signal

A meaningful move led by sharper sportsbooks, with moderate market confirmation.

 Mouvement du top 10% Réajustement agressif Waiting for Close Steam multi-books sur Jordan (10.0%, 7/11) — raccourcissement aligné, pas un simple mouvement isolé.
Switzerland vs Bosnia & Herzegovina World Cup · jeu. 19:00 Bosnia & Herzegovina 5.5 5.0
coup d'envoi dans 9j 		↓ -9.1%
5.5 5.0

🐢 Dérive lente sur 71h 59m
6.10 → 5.00 → 5.00 		📈 Steam Bet365 7/12
Steam Score: 54 B Moderate sharp signal

A meaningful move led by sharper sportsbooks, with moderate market confirmation.

 Mouvement du top 10% Réajustement agressif Waiting for Close Steam multi-books sur Bosnia & Herzegovina (9.1%, 7/12) — raccourcissement aligné, pas un simple mouvement isolé.
Curaçao vs Ivory Coast World Cup · jeu. 20:00 Curaçao 12.0 10.0
coup d'envoi dans 16j 		↓ -16.7%
12.0 10.0

🐢 Dérive lente sur 67h 59m
17.00 → 7.40 → 10.00 		⚡ Mouvement dirigé par les sharps Bet365 3/12
Steam Score: 51 B Moderate sharp signal

Sharper sportsbooks initiated the move, but wider market participation remains limited.

 Mouvement du top 3% Réajustement agressif Waiting for Close Bet365 a mené le réajustement sur Curaçao (16.7%) — book sharp a bougé avant le suivi général.
New Zealand vs Belgium World Cup · sam. 03:00 New Zealand 7.5 8.0
coup d'envoi dans 18j 		↑ +6.7%
7.5 8.0

🐢 Dérive lente sur 67h 59m
11.00 → 7.50 → 8.00 		⚡ Mouvement dirigé par les sharps Bet365
Sharp-led: Betfair		 8/12
Steam Score: 46 B Moderate sharp signal

A meaningful move led by sharper sportsbooks, with moderate market confirmation.

 Mouvement du top 25% Réajustement agressif Waiting for Close Betfair a mené le réajustement sur New Zealand (6.7%) — book sharp a bougé avant le suivi général.
Croatia vs Ghana World Cup · sam. 21:00 Ghana 4.75 5.0
coup d'envoi dans 19j 		↑ +5.3%
4.75 5.0

🐢 Dérive lente sur 71h 59m
5.50 → 4.50 → 5.00 		⚡ Mouvement dirigé par les sharps Bet365
Sharp-led: SBO		 9/12
Steam Score: 45 B Moderate sharp signal

A meaningful move led by sharper sportsbooks, with moderate market confirmation.

 Mouvement du top 25% Réajustement agressif Waiting for Close SBO a mené le réajustement sur Ghana (5.3%) — book sharp a bougé avant le suivi général.
Cape Verde Islands vs Saudi Arabia World Cup · sam. 00:00 Cape Verde Islands 2.4 2.5
coup d'envoi dans 18j 		↑ +4.2%
2.4 2.5

🐢 Dérive lente sur 71h 59m
2.76 → 2.40 → 2.50 		⚡ Mouvement dirigé par les sharps Bet365
Sharp-led: Betfair		 9/12
Steam Score: 43 B Moderate sharp signal

A meaningful move led by sharper sportsbooks, with moderate market confirmation.

 — Réajustement agressif Waiting for Close Betfair a mené le réajustement sur Cape Verde Islands (4.2%) — book sharp a bougé avant le suivi général.
Ecuador vs Curaçao World Cup · dim. 00:00 Nul 6.0 6.25
coup d'envoi dans 12j 		↑ +4.2%
6.0 6.25

🐢 Dérive lente sur 71h 59m
7.18 → 4.73 → 6.25 		⚡ Mouvement dirigé par les sharps Bet365
Sharp-led: SBO		 7/12
Steam Score: 38 C Limited conviction

Price swings look choppy — volatility reduced overall confidence in the directional signal.

 — Réajustement agressif Waiting for Close SBO a mené le réajustement sur Nul (4.2%) — book sharp a bougé avant le suivi général.
Czech Republic vs South Africa World Cup · jeu. 16:00 South Africa 4.1 4.2
coup d'envoi dans 9j 		↑ +2.4%
4.1 4.2

— Ligne stable
4.30 → 3.68 → 4.20 		📉 Affaiblissement Bet365
Sharp-led: SBO		 8/12
Steam Score: 36 C Limited conviction

Price swings look choppy — volatility reduced overall confidence in the directional signal.

 — Découverte Waiting for Close Le marché délaisse South Africa (2.4%) — la ligne dérive à la hausse par rapport à l'ouverture (8/12).
Canada vs Qatar World Cup · jeu. 22:00 Nul 4.75 5.0
coup d'envoi dans 10j 		↑ +5.3%
4.75 5.0

🐢 Dérive lente sur 71h 59m
5.04 → 4.56 → 5.00 		⚠️ Marché volatile Bet365
Sharp-led: SBO		 6/12
Steam Score: 33 C Limited conviction

Price swings look choppy — volatility reduced overall confidence in the directional signal.

 Mouvement du top 25% Volatile Waiting for Close Prix volatil dans les deux sens sur Nul (amplitude 5.04 → 4.56 → 5.00) — net 5.3% mais la volatilité intrajournalière est élevée.
Austria vs Jordan World Cup · mer. 04:00 Jordan 8.0 8.5
coup d'envoi dans 8j 		↑ +6.2%
8.0 8.5

🐢 Dérive lente sur 71h 59m
10.50 → 7.20 → 8.50 		⚠️ Marché volatile Bet365
Sharp-led: SBO		 5/13
Steam Score: 31 C Limited conviction

Price swings look choppy — volatility reduced overall confidence in the directional signal.

 Mouvement du top 25% Volatile Waiting for Close Prix volatil dans les deux sens sur Jordan (amplitude 10.50 → 7.20 → 8.50) — net 6.2% mais la volatilité intrajournalière est élevée.
Sweden vs Tunisia World Cup · lun. 02:00 Tunisia 4.1 4.33
coup d'envoi dans 6j 		↑ +5.6%
4.1 4.33

🐢 Dérive lente sur 71h 59m
4.37 → 3.64 → 4.33 		⚠️ Marché volatile Bet365
Sharp-led: SBO		 5/13
Steam Score: 30 C Limited conviction

Price swings look choppy — volatility reduced overall confidence in the directional signal.

 Mouvement du top 25% Volatile Waiting for Close Prix volatil dans les deux sens sur Tunisia (amplitude 4.37 → 3.64 → 4.33) — net 5.6% mais la volatilité intrajournalière est élevée.
Scotland vs Brazil World Cup · mer. 22:00 Scotland 6.25 6.5
coup d'envoi dans 16j 		↑ +4.0%
6.25 6.5

🐢 Dérive lente sur 71h 59m
9.10 → 5.17 → 6.50 		⚠️ Marché volatile Bet365 6/12
Steam Score: 30 C Limited conviction

Price swings look choppy — volatility reduced overall confidence in the directional signal.

 — Volatile Waiting for Close Prix volatil dans les deux sens sur Scotland (amplitude 9.10 → 5.17 → 6.50) — net 4.0% mais la volatilité intrajournalière est élevée.
Norway vs Senegal World Cup · mar. 00:00 Norway 2.1 2.1
coup d'envoi dans 14j 		+0.0%
— Ligne stable
2.14 → 2.00 → 2.10 		⚠️ Marché volatile Bet365
Sharp-led: SBO		 12/12
Steam Score: 30 C Limited conviction

Price swings look choppy — volatility reduced overall confidence in the directional signal.

 — Volatile Waiting for Close Net move flat on Norway (0.0%), but intraday swing reached 6.8% — price repriced then reverted.
Switzerland vs Canada World Cup · mer. 19:00 Switzerland 2.05 2.05
coup d'envoi dans 15j 		+0.0%
— Ligne stable
2.14 → 2.00 → 2.05 		⚠️ Marché volatile Bet365
Sharp-led: SBO		 12/12
Steam Score: 30 C Limited conviction

Price swings look choppy — volatility reduced overall confidence in the directional signal.

 — Volatile Waiting for Close Net move flat on Switzerland (0.0%), but intraday swing reached 6.8% — price repriced then reverted.
Japan vs Sweden World Cup · jeu. 23:00 Japan 2.05 2.05
coup d'envoi dans 17j 		+0.0%
— Ligne stable
2.12 → 2.00 → 2.05 		⚠️ Marché volatile Bet365
Sharp-led: SBO		 12/12
Steam Score: 30 C Limited conviction

Price swings look choppy — volatility reduced overall confidence in the directional signal.

 — Volatile Waiting for Close Net move flat on Japan (0.0%), but intraday swing reached 5.8% — price repriced then reverted.
Spain vs Cape Verde Islands World Cup · lun. 16:00 Nul 10.0 9.5
coup d'envoi dans 6j 		↓ -5.0%
10.0 9.5

🐢 Dérive lente sur 71h 59m
12.00 → 7.90 → 9.50 		⚠️ Marché volatile Bet365 5/13
Steam Score: 28 C Limited conviction

Price swings look choppy — volatility reduced overall confidence in the directional signal.

 Mouvement du top 25% Volatile Waiting for Close Prix volatil dans les deux sens sur Nul (amplitude 12.00 → 7.90 → 9.50) — net 5.0% mais la volatilité intrajournalière est élevée.
Germany vs Ivory Coast World Cup · sam. 20:00 Ivory Coast 5.75 5.5
coup d'envoi dans 11j 		↓ -4.3%
5.75 5.5

🐢 Dérive lente sur 71h 59m
6.40 → 5.29 → 5.50 		⚠️ Marché volatile Bet365
Sharp-led: Pinnacle		 5/12
Steam Score: 28 C Limited conviction

Price swings look choppy — volatility reduced overall confidence in the directional signal.

 Mouvement du top 25% Volatile Waiting for Close Prix volatil dans les deux sens sur Ivory Coast (amplitude 6.40 → 5.29 → 5.50) — net 4.3% mais la volatilité intrajournalière est élevée.
Belgium vs Egypt World Cup · lun. 19:00 Belgium 1.65 1.65
coup d'envoi dans 6j 		+0.0%
— Ligne stable
1.72 → 1.60 → 1.65 		⚠️ Marché volatile Bet365
Sharp-led: Pinnacle		 12/13
Steam Score: 28 C Limited conviction

Price swings look choppy — volatility reduced overall confidence in the directional signal.

 — Volatile Waiting for Close Net move flat on Belgium (0.0%), but intraday swing reached 7.2% — price repriced then reverted.
Portugal vs Congo DR World Cup · mer. 17:00 Portugal 1.25 1.25
coup d'envoi dans 8j 		+0.0%
— Ligne stable
1.31 → 1.23 → 1.25 		⚠️ Marché volatile Bet365
Sharp-led: Betfair		 12/13
Steam Score: 28 C Limited conviction

Price swings look choppy — volatility reduced overall confidence in the directional signal.

 — Volatile Waiting for Close Net move flat on Portugal (0.0%), but intraday swing reached 6.3% — price repriced then reverted.
USA vs Australia World Cup · ven. 19:00 USA 1.7 1.7
coup d'envoi dans 10j 		+0.0%
— Ligne stable
1.80 → 1.68 → 1.70 		⚠️ Marché volatile Bet365
Sharp-led: Betfair		 11/12
Steam Score: 28 C Limited conviction

Price swings look choppy — volatility reduced overall confidence in the directional signal.

 — Volatile Waiting for Close Net move flat on USA (0.0%), but intraday swing reached 6.9% — price repriced then reverted.
Argentina vs Austria World Cup · lun. 17:00 Argentina 1.62 1.62
coup d'envoi dans 13j 		+0.0%
— Ligne stable
1.68 → 1.58 → 1.62 		⚠️ Marché volatile Bet365
Sharp-led: Betfair		 11/12
Steam Score: 28 C Limited conviction

Price swings look choppy — volatility reduced overall confidence in the directional signal.

 — Volatile Waiting for Close Net move flat on Argentina (0.0%), but intraday swing reached 6.1% — price repriced then reverted.
France vs Iraq World Cup · lun. 21:00 France 1.11 1.11
coup d'envoi dans 14j 		+0.0%
— Ligne stable
1.14 → 1.07 → 1.11 		⚠️ Marché volatile Bet365
Sharp-led: Betfair		 11/12
Steam Score: 28 C Limited conviction

Price swings look choppy — volatility reduced overall confidence in the directional signal.

 — Volatile Waiting for Close Net move flat on France (0.0%), but intraday swing reached 6.3% — price repriced then reverted.
Paraguay vs Australia World Cup · ven. 02:00 Paraguay 2.15 2.15
coup d'envoi dans 17j 		+0.0%
— Ligne stable
2.23 → 2.11 → 2.15 		⚠️ Marché volatile Bet365
Sharp-led: Betfair		 11/12
Steam Score: 28 C Limited conviction

Price swings look choppy — volatility reduced overall confidence in the directional signal.

 — Volatile Waiting for Close Net move flat on Paraguay (0.0%), but intraday swing reached 5.5% — price repriced then reverted.
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