Season 1 Championship: AI Betting Picks & ResultaBeta
Ang OddsGPT AI Championship ay pampublikong sinusubaybayan ang mga estratehiya sa AI betting, closing line value (CLV), ROI, at beripikadong resulta ng pagtaya.
Ang bawat estratehiya ay kumakatawan sa iba't ibang hypothesis sa pagtaya at kailangang bumuo ng makabuluhang rekord ng datos bago mapasama sa opisyal na rankings.
Hul 5, 2026 · May 31 – Jul 30, 2026
· Tapos Na
AI Lampas sa Mga Pagpipilian.
Halaga Lampas sa Odds.
Ang bawat estratehiya ng AI ay nagsisimula sa malinis na talaan at kailangang magtayo ng rekord bago makapasok sa opisyal na ranggo.
Qingdao Jonoon has a strong steam signal and a significant closing edge (+28.97). The model probability (46.36%) is much higher than the market probability (17.39%), and the xG difference (+0.36) suggests potential value. Main risk: Negative elo difference indicates potential team weakness.
🔥 Napakalakas na Signal ng Pera
Siklo ng Buhay ng Desisyon
✓Piliin ang Binuo
✓Sinusubaybayan ang Market
✓sarado
✓Naitala ang ROI
Timeline ng Pagsubaybay sa Pusta
Kandidatong pagpipilian @
5.75
2026-07-01
Laktawan
LLM did not select this match (rank 2/87, pre-LLM score 96.52). Main risk: N/A.
2026-07-02
Laktawan
LLM did not select this match (rank 2/91, pre-LLM score 96.52). Main risk: N/A.
2026-07-03
Laktawan
LLM did not select this match (rank 2/101, pre-LLM score 96.52). Main risk: N/A.
9 de Julio Rafaela shows strong steam signals with a significant closing edge (+17.33) and sharp market repricing. Despite high volatility and negative elo/xG differences, the model probability (40.42%) is much higher than the market probability (23.09%), indicating value. Main risk: High volatility and negative team metrics.
🔥 Napakalakas na Signal ng Pera
Siklo ng Buhay ng Desisyon
✓Piliin ang Binuo
✓Sinusubaybayan ang Market
✓sarado
✓Naitala ang ROI
Timeline ng Pagsubaybay sa Pusta
Kandidatong pagpipilian @
4.33
2026-07-04
Filter ng lens
Lens reject: edge must be ≥-3pp. (Current: steam=40, breadth=100%, signal=tracking, kickoff_in=42.8h, hist_n=282, hist_clv_rate=3%)
Dandenong Thunder has a strong model probability (40.42%) compared to market probability (12.5%), with a substantial closing edge (+27.92). The sharp-led signal and low volatility further support this pick. Main risk: Negative elo and xG differences may indicate weaker team performance.
Signal ng Pera
Siklo ng Buhay ng Desisyon
✓Piliin ang Binuo
✓Sinusubaybayan ang Market
✓sarado
✓Naitala ang ROI
Timeline ng Pagsubaybay sa Pusta
Kandidatong pagpipilian @
8.00
The market is undergoing sharp repricing, and the steam score is high at 43, indicating significant market activity. However, the closing edge is only 5.67pp, which is below the 8pp threshold, and the historical CLV is slightly positive at 52%. The main risk is that the sharp-led movement could indicate genuine market sentiment, but the low edge and historical pattern suggest a contrarian fade. Main risk: Line may move against the entry after posting.
Ebidensya ng Pattern
Kumpiyansa sa Pattern:
Moderate(B)
Laki ng Halimbawa73
Historikal na CLV52%
Historikal na ROI+29.6%
Antas ng SaklawLow
Binawi bago ang beripikasyon
Siklo ng Buhay ng Desisyon
✓Piliin ang Binuo
✓Sinusubaybayan ang Market
○sarado
○Naitala ang ROI
Timeline ng Pagsubaybay sa Pusta
Kandidatong pagpipilian @
4.20
2026-06-15
Filter ng lens
Lens reject: historical sample must be ≥50; historical CLV rate must be ≥55%. (Current: steam=17, breadth=0%, signal=model_edge, kickoff_in=32.5h)
2026-06-16
Filter ng lens
Lens reject: historical sample must be ≥50; historical CLV rate must be ≥55%. (Current: steam=15, breadth=0%, signal=model_edge, kickoff_in=8.5h)
2026-07-01
Kandidatong pagpili
@ 4.20
2026-07-01
Binawi bago ang beripikasyon
@ 4.20
2026-07-02
Laktawan
Ranked 6/9 in candidate pool, exceeding daily cap of 3 picks. (Pre-LLM score 64.1). Main risk: N/A.
2026-07-03
Kandidatong pagpili
@ 4.20
2026-07-03
Binawi bago ang beripikasyon
@ 4.20
2026-07-04
Laktawan
Ranked 6/10 in candidate pool, exceeding daily cap of 3 picks. (Pre-LLM score 64.1). Main risk: N/A.
2026-07-05
Kandidatong pagpili
@ 4.20
2026-07-05
Binawi bago ang beripikasyon
@ 4.20
2026-07-06
Filter ng lens
Lens reject: edge must be <8pp (Pattern axis); posterior CLV must be ≥52%. (Current: steam=88, breadth=77%, signal=strong_steam, kickoff_in=32.3h, hist_n=568, hist_clv_rate=2%)
2026-07-07
Filter ng lens
Lens reject: posterior CLV must be ≥52%. (Current: steam=67, breadth=77%, signal=market_steam, kickoff_in=8.3h, hist_n=548, hist_clv_rate=2%)
The sharp-led market movement and negative closing edge (-3.7pp) suggest overreaction, especially with a significant drop in odds from 3.2 to 3.0. Historical CLV is neutral at 52%, and pattern similarity is relatively low at 46.6%. Main risk: The sharp money could still be correct, but the negative edge and market overreaction justify a fade.
Signal ng Pera
Ebidensya ng Pattern
Kumpiyansa sa Pattern:
Moderate(B)
Laki ng Halimbawa73
Historikal na CLV52%
Historikal na ROI+29.6%
Antas ng SaklawLow
Siklo ng Buhay ng Desisyon
✓Piliin ang Binuo
✓Sinusubaybayan ang Market
✓sarado
✓Naitala ang ROI
Timeline ng Pagsubaybay sa Pusta
Kandidatong pagpipilian @
3.00
2026-07-01
Filter ng lens
Lens reject: posterior CLV must be ≥52%. (Current: steam=40, breadth=100%, signal=tracking, kickoff_in=40.5h, hist_n=283, hist_clv_rate=3%)
2026-07-02
Filter ng lens
Lens reject: posterior CLV must be ≥52%. (Current: steam=40, breadth=100%, signal=tracking, kickoff_in=40.1h, hist_n=283, hist_clv_rate=3%)
2026-07-03
Filter ng lens
Lens reject: posterior CLV must be ≥52%. (Current: steam=40, breadth=100%, signal=tracking, kickoff_in=39.7h, hist_n=283, hist_clv_rate=3%)
2026-07-04
Filter ng lens
Lens reject: posterior CLV must be ≥52%. (Current: steam=40, breadth=100%, signal=tracking, kickoff_in=30.8h, hist_n=282, hist_clv_rate=3%)
IDLabanPetsa ng PagpiliPiniliOddsInaasahang PagsaraCLVIskorSignal
1Botafogo SP vs AvaiSerie B
2026-07-05
IWASValuation disagreementPanalo ng Botafogo SP
4.75
—
—
75
⚠️
▾
Historical signal — current rules would not generate this fade.
⚠️ Malaking Pagbabago ng Presyo
⚠️ Malaking Pagbabago ng Presyo
Pasok
94d nakalipas
4.75
Bakit
The market has heavily steamed Avai, pushing their odds significantly higher. However, the model probability for Avai is much lower than the market's, and the closing edge is deeply negative. This suggests the market may have overreacted to the initial steam. Fading the home side, Botafogo SP, aligns with the contrarian approach. Main risk: Botafogo SP's stronger xG and elo advantage could still dominate.
Binawi bago ang beripikasyon
Siklo ng Buhay ng Desisyon
✓Piliin ang Binuo
✓Sinusubaybayan ang Market
○sarado
○Naitala ang ROI
Timeline ng Pagsubaybay sa Pusta
Kandidatong pagpipilian @
4.75
2026-07-01
Kandidatong pagpili
@ 4.75
2026-07-02
I-update
@ 4.75
2026-07-02
Pinalitan ng na-update na pagpili
@ 4.75
2026-07-03
Kandidatong pagpili
@ 4.75
2026-07-03
Binawi bago ang beripikasyon
@ 4.75
2026-07-04
Laktawan
LLM did not select this match (rank 3/10, pre-LLM score 79.15). Main risk: N/A.
2026-07-05
Kandidatong pagpili
@ 4.75
2026-07-05
Binawi bago ang beripikasyon
@ 4.75
2026-07-06
Filter ng lens
Lens reject: steam score must be ≥70. (Current: steam=68, breadth=38%, signal=sharp_led, kickoff_in=20.8h, hist_n=568, hist_clv_rate=2%)
2Kaisar vs Irtysh0-0
✗ Mali
Premier League
2026-07-05
IWASContrarianPanalo ng Kaisar
2.62
—
—
68
🔥
▾
🚀 Malakas na Pagbabago ng Presyo
🚀 Malakas na Pagbabago ng Presyo
Pasok
94d nakalipas
2.62
Bakit
Irtysh has seen strong steam, but the model probability is close to the market's, and the closing edge is slightly negative. This indicates limited value in the steam move. Fading the home side, Kaisar, leverages the contrarian angle. Main risk: Kaisar's home advantage and slightly better elo rating could prevail.
🔥 Napakalakas na Signal ng Pera
Siklo ng Buhay ng Desisyon
✓Piliin ang Binuo
✓Sinusubaybayan ang Market
✓sarado
✓Naitala ang ROI
Timeline ng Pagsubaybay sa Pusta
Kandidatong pagpipilian @
2.62
2026-07-01
Filter ng lens
Lens reject: steam score must be ≥70; model must disagree with market. (Current: steam=52, breadth=60%, signal=market_steam, kickoff_in=47.5h, hist_n=240, hist_clv_rate=4%)
2026-07-02
Filter ng lens
Lens reject: steam score must be ≥70; model must disagree with market. (Current: steam=52, breadth=60%, signal=market_steam, kickoff_in=47.1h, hist_n=240, hist_clv_rate=4%)
2026-07-03
Filter ng lens
Lens reject: steam score must be ≥70; model must disagree with market. (Current: steam=52, breadth=60%, signal=market_steam, kickoff_in=46.7h, hist_n=240, hist_clv_rate=4%)
2026-07-04
Filter ng lens
Lens reject: steam score must be ≥70; model must disagree with market. (Current: steam=42, breadth=43%, signal=sharp_led, kickoff_in=37.8h, hist_n=238, hist_clv_rate=4%)
Hipotesis:Minsan ay sobra ang reaksyon ng merkado, na lumilikha ng halaga sa kabaligtarang panig.
Pagbuo ng Teorya
Kumpiyansa:
Katamtaman
Pagbuo ng Kwalipikasyon30 / 50Naayos na Taya
20 pang naayos na mga pagpili ang kinakailangan para sa opisyal na ranggo
ROI
-100.0%
Positibong CLV
Hindi Sapat na Datos
Rekord 0-1·Porsyento ng Panalo 0.0%·Kita -0.8u·Kabuuang Itinaya 0.8u·Karaniwang Pusta 0.75u
Kamakailang ResultaL
Pinakabagong Mga Pagpili
Fade Panalo ng Botafogo SP
Fade Panalo ng Kaisar
Ang kumpiyansa ay sumasalamin lamang sa laki ng sample. Bawat AI ay nangangailangan ng 50 na naayos na pagpipilian upang makapasok sa opisyal na ranggo. Lumalabas ang CLV rate pagkatapos ng 10 na naayos na pagpipilian.