Vreden vs Schermbeck Prediction, Odds & AI Betting Tips

Vreden

May 17, 2026 - 13:00

0 1.45

2 1.25

xG Accuracy: 55%

Schermbeck

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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the model’s highlighted side (or lean) to what happened at full time.

Market Prediction Result Outcome
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5 Under 2.5 (2 goals) ✖ Incorrect
Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes No ✖ Incorrect
1X2 Vreden Schermbeck ✖ Incorrect
Correct Score Insights 1-1, 1-2, 2-1, 2-2, 0-1 0-2 ✖ Incorrect

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AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Pre-match snapshot for this fixture.

League: Oberliga - Westfalen
Fixture: Vreden vs Schermbeck
Kickoff: 2026-05-17 13:00:00
1X2 (model): Home 41.8% · Draw 25.7% · Away 32.6%
xG (showing): Vreden 1.45 — Schermbeck 1.25 (total xG ≈ 2.7)
Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Over 2.5 (Under 2.5 34.9% · Over 2.5 65.1%); BTTS Yes (Yes 58.4% · No 41.6%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Over 2.5; BTTS Yes
BTTS (model): Yes 58.4% · No 41.6%
Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (9.8%)

Saying “no value” on a snapshot is a feature, not a bug: it protects readers from forcing a play when the edge is not there.

Most likely correct score stays a low-probability tail: use it for context, not as a must-bet story.

Best Bet + Reason

No bankroll-sized bet is implied here.

When 1X2 is tight, prices often already embed the uncertainty — all three legs can be −EV, or show only small +EV that still fails the headline threshold — respect that when sizing.

Stake sizing should default to zero when no headline +EV exists — experimentation belongs in the discretionary bucket only.

FAQ

What do the grey “lean” labels mean then?

They summarise where the model tilts (e.g. Under 2.5 or BTTS No) without claiming a positive economic edge. Use them as context; size to zero unless you deliberately accept discretionary risk.

Is the most likely correct score still relevant?

As context only: it is still a low absolute probability tail outcome (often in the single digits, sometimes low teens). It does not override the “no headline +EV” stance — treat score bets as fun-sized if you play them at all.

When would a headline +EV return?

When odds move enough that implied probabilities drop relative to the same model snapshot, or when more book prices arrive so EV can be computed reliably — then re-run the pipeline.

Should I still read the 1X2 card?

Yes — it shows whether any winner price clears value. Here it often explains why there is no headline: probabilities can be clustered while prices already embed that uncertainty.

Risk Factors

Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Methodology

Inputs: Same structured facts bundle as the public prediction page (xG / Poisson snapshot, market EV where available, decision engine v2).
Compliance: Educational framing only; not personalised advice.

Last Updated

May 24, 2026 (UTC)

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Oberliga - Westfalen — Standings

#	TEAM	MP	W	D	L	PTS
1	Westfalia Rhynern	34	23	6	4	76
2	SG Wattenscheid 09	33	21	10	2	73
3	ASC Dortmund	34	21	7	5	70
4	Lippstadt 08	34	20	9	5	69
5	Preußen Münster II	35	20	5	10	65
6	Gievenbeck	34	13	6	14	46
7	Arminia II	34	12	10	12	46
8	Victoria Clarholz	36	12	10	14	46
9	Sprockhovel	34	11	7	16	40
10	Eintracht Rheine	34	10	10	14	40
11	Erkenschwick	34	10	10	14	40
12	Verl II	34	10	8	16	38
13	Schermbeck	33	9	10	15	37
14	Vreden	34	10	6	18	36
15	Ennepetal	34	10	4	20	34
16	Rot Weiss Ahlen	34	9	7	18	34
17	Hiltrup	35	8	9	17	33
18	Finnentrop / Bamenohl	34	8	9	17	33
19	Türkspor Dortmund	34	12	4	18	31

#	TEAM	MP	GS	GC	+/-	PTS
1	Westfalia Rhynern	34	86	34	+52	76
2	ASC Dortmund	34	79	40	+39	70
3	Preußen Münster II	35	77	48	+29	65
4	SG Wattenscheid 09	33	71	27	+44	73
5	Lippstadt 08	34	62	26	+36	69
6	Sprockhovel	34	59	66	-7	40
7	Türkspor Dortmund	34	56	70	-14	31
8	Gievenbeck	34	55	52	+3	46
9	Arminia II	34	55	54	+1	46
10	Victoria Clarholz	36	54	63	-9	46
11	Eintracht Rheine	34	50	59	-9	40
12	Finnentrop / Bamenohl	34	50	78	-28	33
13	Schermbeck	33	49	59	-10	37
14	Vreden	34	49	67	-18	36
15	Erkenschwick	34	47	59	-12	40
16	Verl II	34	46	61	-15	38
17	Ennepetal	34	42	74	-32	34
18	Hiltrup	35	41	57	-16	33
19	Rot Weiss Ahlen	34	39	71	-32	34