Predictions / Football / Croatia. HNL / NK Slaven Belupo vs NK Varazdin

NK Slaven Belupo vs NK Varazdin Prediction, Odds & AI Betting Tips

Jan 31, 2026 - 16:45 2H
0
2
45% 28% 27%
1X2 No bet — no value vs. current odds
Match: 44.5% NK Slaven Belupo; implied 38.5%; EV -2.7%
Steam vs. value
Market momentum is strong, but current odds may already be over-adjusted. Steam detected — model value on this line may be priced out.
This match appears on the market-movement board for aggressive line repricing — not because 1X2 is currently a positive-EV bet.
📈 Steam · NK Varazdin ↓ -11.3% · 9/13 · 62 A
Market steam Moderate
Current EV Negative
Closing line pressure High
Value remaining None
No positive EV on tracked lines at current best odds.
Over / Under 2.5 Pass
Over 2.5 51.1% · Under 2.5 48.9%
Value lean: Over 2.5
1X2 Poor value
NK Slaven Belupo · Model 44.5%
implied 38.5%
Main consensus market · EV: -2.7%
Correct Score Insights Longshot / fun
Most Likely
1-1
Probability 11.9%
Correct score is high-variance — small stakes for fun only.
Betting decision (model vs. market EV)
Lean only (below +EV threshold) — The model leans a side in at least one market, but no tracked line reaches the engine’s minimum EV threshold for a default stake suggestion.
Decision strength: 4.0 / 10
  • Max 1X2 prob under 50% (no dominant 1X2) (−1.0)
O/U 2.5: insufficient book odds for EV
BTTS: insufficient book odds for EV
Should you bet on this match? No default bet: the model does not show +EV at the configured threshold on available lines.
How to use this
  • Focus on the Primary line when you want one actionable idea.
  • Do not parlay many thin-edge picks together; edges do not add reliably.
  • Treat longshots as optional, high-stake-sizing plays only.

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HNL HNLStandings
# TEAM MP W D L PTS
1 Dinamo Zagreb 35 27 4 4 85
2 HNK Hajduk Split 36 20 8 8 68
3 NK Varazdin 35 14 9 12 51
4 HNK Rijeka 35 13 11 11 50
5 Istra 1961 35 12 7 16 43
6 NK Lokomotiva Zagreb 35 10 13 12 43
7 HNK Gorica 35 11 8 16 41
8 NK Slaven Belupo 36 10 11 15 41
9 NK Osijek 36 8 11 17 35
10 Vukovar 36 6 10 20 28
# TEAM MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 Dinamo Zagreb 35 93 28 +65 85
2 HNK Hajduk Split 36 61 36 +25 68
3 HNK Rijeka 35 47 36 +11 50
4 NK Slaven Belupo 36 46 61 -15 41
5 NK Varazdin 35 45 46 -1 51
6 HNK Gorica 35 40 46 -6 41
7 NK Lokomotiva Zagreb 35 40 52 -12 43
8 Istra 1961 35 39 48 -9 43
9 Vukovar 36 37 73 -36 28
10 NK Osijek 36 27 49 -22 35
# TEAM MP xG xGC +/- PTS
1 Dinamo Zagreb 35 68.5 24.6 +43.9 85
2 HNK Hajduk Split 36 63.1 34.8 +28.3 68
3 HNK Rijeka 35 49.3 31.9 +17.4 50
4 HNK Gorica 35 38.1 42.0 -3.9 41
5 NK Lokomotiva Zagreb 35 40.1 45.6 -5.5 43
6 NK Osijek 36 35.9 42.9 -7.0 35
7 NK Varazdin 35 33.9 42.1 -8.2 51
8 NK Slaven Belupo 36 35.2 49.3 -14.1 41
9 Vukovar 36 27.2 50.6 -23.4 28
10 Istra 1961 35 31.1 58.5 -27.4 43