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- Chợ Dự đoán Kết quả kết quả
- Tài / Xỉu 2.5 Xỉu 2.5 Tài 2.5 (4 mục tiêu) ✖ Không đúng
- Cả Hai Đội Đều Ghi Bàn BTTS Không Có ✖ Không đúng
- 1X2 Ngân hàng Quốc gia Ai Cập Ngân hàng Quốc gia Ai Cập ✔ Chính xác
- Thông tin tỷ số chính xác 0-0, 1-0, 0-1, 1-1, 2-0 3-1 ✖ Không đúng
Validation Report
Immutable Snapshot
Closing Odds
1.71
AI Fair Odds
—
CLV
+0.0%
Final Result
Ngân hàng Quốc gia Ai Cập win · Ngân hàng Quốc gia Ai Cập 3–1 Ghazl El Mehalla
Prediction
✔ Correct
Decision Grade
F
Model Performance
This prediction contributes to:
- Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%
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View technical JSON
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"content_hash": "257fbee76bc09478b8e5dec5cc92b7229c217f9c3696754ea4a1444b32e7ff87",
"decision_algo_version": "2.5.0",
"facts": {
"ai_fp": {
"away_predicted_xg": 0.51,
"away_win_prob": 0.1724,
"away_win_prob_posterior": null,
"bayes_applied": 0,
"btts_no_prob": 0.736,
"btts_yes_prob": 0.264,
"dc_rho": -0.13,
"draw_prob": 0.3822,
"draw_prob_posterior": null,
"fair_odds_away": 5.8,
"fair_odds_away_posterior": null,
"fair_odds_draw": 2.62,
"fair_odds_draw_posterior": null,
"fair_odds_home": 2.25,
"fair_odds_home_posterior": null,
"home_predicted_xg": 0.98,
"home_win_prob": 0.4454,
"home_win_prob_posterior": null,
"over_25_prob": 0.189,
"prediction_confidence": "high",
"under_25_prob": 0.811
},
"api_prediction": {
"advice": "Double chance : Ng\u00e2n h\u00e0ng Qu\u1ed1c gia Ai C\u1eadp or draw",
"main_pick_display": "No Strong Winner Bet",
"percent_away": "10%",
"percent_draw": "45%",
"percent_home": "45%",
"winner_name": "Ng\u00e2n h\u00e0ng Qu\u1ed1c gia Ai C\u1eadp"
},
"away_xg": 0.51,
"betting_insight": {
"bet_label": "Ng\u00e2n h\u00e0ng Qu\u1ed1c gia Ai C\u1eadp",
"confidence": null,
"main_pick_meta": {
"confidence": "low",
"display_text": "No Strong Winner Bet",
"edge": -0.1105,
"edge_gap": 0.0629,
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"market_prob": 0.5556,
"model_prob": 0.4451,
"pick_type": "no_strong",
"probabilities": {
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"draw": 38.2,
"home": 44.5
},
"reason": "No clear edge in 1X2 market",
"selection": null,
"selection_name": null
},
"market_comparison": [
{
"affi_link": "",
"bookmaker_name": "Pinnacle",
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}
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"risk_color": null,
"risk_key": null,
"stacked_market": null,
"value_bet": {
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"bookmaker_id": 0,
"bookmaker_name": "Pinnacle",
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"is_value": false,
"label": "Home",
"market_fair_odds": 1.8,
"market_odds": 1.71,
"model_odds": 2.25,
"overround": 5.3,
"prob_edge": -14.0,
"value_pct": -24.0,
"value_rating": "no_value"
}
},
"betting_markets": {
"btts": {
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"away_failed_to_score": 2,
"away_played": 2,
"away_score_rate": 40.0,
"home_clean_sheet": 1,
"home_failed_to_score": 2,
"home_played": 3,
"home_score_rate": 62.5,
"no_prob": 73.6,
"pick": "No",
"pick_prob": 73.6,
"source": "xG_dc",
"strong_pick": true,
"yes_prob": 26.4
},
"correct_score": {
"away_expected": 0.51,
"home_expected": 0.98,
"scores": [
{
"away": 0,
"home": 0,
"label": "0-0",
"prob": 22.5
},
{
"away": 0,
"home": 1,
"label": "1-0",
"prob": 22.1
},
{
"away": 1,
"home": 0,
"label": "0-1",
"prob": 11.5
},
{
"away": 1,
"home": 1,
"label": "1-1",
"prob": 11.3
},
{
"away": 0,
"home": 2,
"label": "2-0",
"prob": 10.8
}
],
"source": "xG"
},
"double_chance": {
"options": [
{
"key": "1X",
"label": "Ng\u00e2n h\u00e0ng Qu\u1ed1c gia Ai C\u1eadp or Draw",
"prob": 82.7
},
{
"key": "12",
"label": "Ng\u00e2n h\u00e0ng Qu\u1ed1c gia Ai C\u1eadp or Ghazl El Mehalla",
"prob": 61.7
},
{
"key": "X2",
"label": "Draw or Ghazl El Mehalla",
"prob": 55.4
}
],
"pick_key": "1X",
"pick_label": "Ng\u00e2n h\u00e0ng Qu\u1ed1c gia Ai C\u1eadp or Draw",
"pick_prob": 82.7
},
"match_winner": {
"away_pct": 17.2,
"draw_pct": 38.2,
"home_pct": 44.5,
"lean_key": "home",
"lean_label": "Ng\u00e2n h\u00e0ng Qu\u1ed1c gia Ai C\u1eadp"
},
"over_under": {
"api_hint": null,
"avg_total": 1.49,
"away_avg_scored": 0.0,
"confidence": "high",
"home_avg_scored": 0.3,
"over_prob": 18.9,
"pick": "Under 2.5",
"pick_prob": 81.1,
"source": "xG_dc",
"strong_pick": true,
"total_expected": 1.49,
"under_prob": 81.1
},
"prob_source": "poisson",
"value_bet_enhanced": {
"bookmaker_id": 0,
"bookmaker_name": "Pinnacle",
"edge": 27.6,
"implied_prob": 29.9,
"is_value": true,
"label": "Draw",
"market": "Draw",
"model_prob": 38.2,
"odds": 3.34
}
},
"closing_line_bundle": {
"away_team": "Ghazl El Mehalla",
"closing_1x2_probs_pct": {
"away": 15.99,
"draw": 28.45,
"home": 55.56
},
"closing_bookmaker": "Pinnacle",
"closing_capture": "PRE1",
"closing_fetched_at": "2026-09-07 17:00:43",
"early_bookmaker": "Pinnacle",
"early_capture": "PRE30",
"early_fetched_at": "2026-09-07 16:30:55",
"has_data": true,
"home_team": "Ng\u00e2n h\u00e0ng Qu\u1ed1c gia Ai C\u1eadp",
"largest_move_kind": null,
"max_abs_move_pp": 0.0,
"model_vs_closing": [
{
"closing_implied_pct": 55.56,
"gap_pp": -11.05,
"kind": "1x2_h",
"model_pct": 44.51
},
{
"closing_implied_pct": 28.45,
"gap_pp": 9.78,
"kind": "1x2_d",
"model_pct": 38.22
},
{
"closing_implied_pct": 15.99,
"gap_pp": 1.27,
"kind": "1x2_a",
"model_pct": 17.27
},
{
"closing_implied_pct": 39.7,
"gap_pp": -20.8,
"kind": "ou_o",
"model_pct": 18.9
},
{
"closing_implied_pct": 60.3,
"gap_pp": 20.8,
"kind": "ou_u",
"model_pct": 81.1
}
],
"movement": [
{
"closing": 1.71,
"early": 1.71,
"implied_closing_pct": 55.56,
"implied_delta_pp": 0.0,
"implied_early_pct": 55.56,
"kind": "1x2_h"
},
{
"closing": 3.34,
"early": 3.34,
"implied_closing_pct": 28.45,
"implied_delta_pp": 0.0,
"implied_early_pct": 28.45,
"kind": "1x2_d"
},
{
"closing": 5.94,
"early": 5.94,
"implied_closing_pct": 15.99,
"implied_delta_pp": 0.0,
"implied_early_pct": 15.99,
"kind": "1x2_a"
},
{
"closing": 2.4,
"early": 2.4,
"implied_closing_pct": 39.7,
"implied_delta_pp": 0.0,
"implied_early_pct": 39.7,
"kind": "ou_o"
},
{
"closing": 1.58,
"early": 1.58,
"implied_closing_pct": 60.3,
"implied_delta_pp": 0.0,
"implied_early_pct": 60.3,
"kind": "ou_u"
}
],
"movement_negligible": true,
"same_bookmaker": true,
"top_value_gap": {
"gap_pp": 20.8,
"kind": "ou_u"
}
},
"correct_score_insight": {
"best_value": {
"best_bookmaker": "Betfair",
"best_odds": 7.5,
"edge": 9.2,
"ev": 69.0,
"label": "0-0",
"probability": 22.5
},
"lean_card": {
"diff_pp": 9.2,
"ev": 0.6875,
"has_edge": true,
"label": "0-0",
"market_odds": 7.5,
"market_prob": 0.1333,
"market_prob_pct": 13.3,
"model_prob": 0.225,
"model_prob_pct": 22.5,
"n_bookmakers": 10,
"status_key": "positive_edge"
},
"most_likely": {
"label": "0-0",
"prob": 22.5
},
"top5": [
{
"label": "0-0",
"prob": 22.5
},
{
"label": "1-0",
"prob": 22.1
},
{
"label": "0-1",
"prob": 11.5
},
{
"label": "1-1",
"prob": 11.3
},
{
"label": "2-0",
"prob": 10.8
}
]
},
"home_xg": 0.98,
"homepage_pick": null,
"market_cards": [
{
"decision": "value_bet",
"decision_layer": {
"alpha": 0.4182,
"available": true,
"consensus_odds": 1.54,
"edge": 0.0865,
"edge_pp": 8.7,
"market_prob": 0.6041,
"mode": "market_first_ou",
"model_prob": 0.811,
"n_bookmakers": 10,
"over": {
"alpha": 0.3041,
"best_odd": 2.35,
"edge": -0.0629,
"ev": -0.2175,
"implied_prob": 0.3959,
"model_prob": 0.189,
"p_final": 0.333
},
"p_final": 0.6906,
"prediction_confidence": "high",
"raw_edge_pp": 20.7,
"raw_signal_ev": 0.2489,
"risk_adj_ev": 0.0636,
"under": {
"alpha": 0.4182,
"best_odd": 1.54,
"edge": 0.0865,
"ev": 0.0636,
"implied_prob": 0.6041,
"model_prob": 0.811,
"p_final": 0.6906
},
"value_side": "under"
},
"ev_available": true,
"ev_over": -0.537,
"ev_over_display": {
"capped": false,
"raw_pct": -53.7,
"text": "-53.7%"
},
"ev_under": 0.2814,
"ev_under_display": {
"capped": true,
"raw_pct": 28.1,
"text": "+25%+"
},
"featured": true,
"id": "ou_2_5",
"max_ev": 0.2814,
"n_bookmakers": 10,
"over_prob": 18.9,
"sort_key": 10403.26,
"tier": "best",
"under_prob": 81.1,
"value_side": "under"
},
{
"decision": "value_bet",
"decision_layer": {
"alpha": 0.46,
"available": true,
"consensus_odds": 1.6,
"edge": 0.074,
"edge_pp": 7.4,
"market_prob": 0.575,
"mode": "market_first_btts",
"model_prob": 0.736,
"n_bookmakers": 10,
"no": {
"alpha": 0.46,
"best_odd": 1.6,
"edge": 0.074,
"ev": 0.0385,
"implied_prob": 0.575,
"model_prob": 0.736,
"p_final": 0.6491
},
"p_final": 0.6491,
"prediction_confidence": "high",
"raw_edge_pp": 16.1,
"raw_signal_ev": 0.1776,
"risk_adj_ev": 0.0385,
"value_side": "no",
"yes": {
"alpha": 0.4182,
"best_odd": 2.165,
"edge": -0.0673,
"ev": -0.2257,
"implied_prob": 0.425,
"model_prob": 0.264,
"p_final": 0.3577
}
},
"ev_available": true,
"ev_no": 0.2144,
"ev_no_display": {
"capped": false,
"raw_pct": 21.4,
"text": "+21.4%"
},
"ev_yes": -0.3928,
"ev_yes_display": {
"capped": false,
"raw_pct": -39.3,
"text": "-39.3%"
},
"featured": false,
"id": "btts",
"max_ev": 0.2144,
"n_bookmakers": 10,
"no_prob": 73.6,
"sort_key": 10192.96,
"tier": "best",
"value_side": "no",
"yes_prob": 26.4
},
{
"authority_action": "lean",
"authority_note": "Selective consensus value may exist \u2014 below default Primary sizing bar.",
"consensus_odds": 1.71,
"decision": "no_bet",
"disagreement_label": "Moderate",
"disagreement_level": "moderate",
"ev": -0.1445,
"ev_available": true,
"ev_display": {
"capped": false,
"raw_pct": -14.4,
"text": "-14.4%"
},
"featured": false,
"id": "1x2",
"implied_prob": 0.5556,
"is_extreme_disagreement": false,
"max_ev": 0.0337,
"max_ev_display": {
"capped": false,
"raw_pct": 3.4,
"text": "+3.4%"
},
"model_prob": 0.4451,
"raw_edge_display": "-11.0 percentage points",
"raw_edge_pp": -11.0,
"raw_signal_ev": -0.2389,
"raw_signal_ev_display": "-23.9%",
"show_primary_label": false,
"side_label": "Ng\u00e2n h\u00e0ng Qu\u1ed1c gia Ai C\u1eadp",
"sort_key": 5226.96,
"tier": "lean"
},
{
"featured": false,
"id": "correct_score",
"sort_key": 847.5,
"tier": "risk",
"top_label": "0-0",
"top_prob": 22.5
}
],
"market_intelligence": {
"betting_signal": {
"alert_breadth": "",
"alert_breadth_note": "",
"alert_move": "",
"alert_team": "",
"alert_title": "Sharp Money Alert",
"divergence_pp": 11.1,
"has_alert": false,
"hero_edge_pp": -11.02,
"hero_label": "Ng\u00e2n h\u00e0ng Qu\u1ed1c gia Ai C\u1eadp",
"market_prob_pct": 55.6,
"market_team": "Ng\u00e2n h\u00e0ng Qu\u1ed1c gia Ai C\u1eadp",
"model_prob_pct": 44.5,
"model_team": "Ng\u00e2n h\u00e0ng Qu\u1ed1c gia Ai C\u1eadp",
"show": true,
"status_icon": "!",
"status_key": "caution",
"status_label": "Use caution",
"status_line": "Use caution \u2014 signals are mixed",
"steam_score": null,
"steam_subtitle": "",
"steam_tier": "",
"title": "Betting Signal"
},
"decision_chain": {
"academy_links": [
{
"key": "market_disagree",
"read_min": 5,
"title": "When Should You Trust AI Over the Market?",
"url": "/academy/ai-betting/when-should-you-trust-ai-over-the-market/en"
},
{
"key": "steam",
"read_min": 4,
"title": "What Is a Steam Move?",
"url": "/academy/betting-market/what-is-a-steam-move/en"
},
{
"key": "clv_pending",
"read_min": 3,
"title": "Why CLV Matters More Than Win Rate",
"url": "/academy/clv/why-clv-matters-more-than-win-rate/en"
}
],
"alignment": {
"direction_aligned": true,
"direction_key": "agree",
"gap_pp": 11.0,
"key": "agree",
"label": "Agree",
"model_strong": false,
"pricing_aligned": true,
"pricing_key": "moderate",
"probability_gap_pp": 11.0,
"summary": "Model and market currently agree on the stronger side (Ng\u00e2n h\u00e0ng Qu\u1ed1c gia Ai C\u1eadp)."
},
"authority": {
"action": "lean",
"alignment": {
"direction_aligned": true,
"direction_key": "agree",
"gap_pp": 11.0,
"key": "agree",
"label": "Agree",
"model_strong": false,
"pricing_aligned": true,
"pricing_key": "moderate",
"probability_gap_pp": 11.0,
"summary": "Model and market currently agree on the stronger side (Ng\u00e2n h\u00e0ng Qu\u1ed1c gia Ai C\u1eadp)."
},
"alignment_key": "agree",
"best_consensus_ev": 0.2814,
"best_outlier_ev": 0.2814,
"confidence_band": "High",
"decision_strength": 7.0,
"decision_strength_v1": 6.0,
"decision_strength_v2": 6.5,
"decision_type": "VALUE_ALERT",
"execution_confidence": 51,
"extreme_disagreement": false,
"final_verdict_audit": {
"action": "Monitor closing market and validate with CLV.",
"action_label": "Action",
"decision": "Selective Lean - No Primary Bet",
"is_primary": false,
"snapshot": "The Decision Model estimates Ng\u00e2n h\u00e0ng Qu\u1ed1c gia Ai C\u1eadp at 44.5%, compared with a no-vig market probability of 55.6%.",
"why": [
{
"text": "Decision Model identifies Ng\u00e2n h\u00e0ng Qu\u1ed1c gia Ai C\u1eadp as the value side (44.5%)",
"tone": "ok"
},
{
"text": "Market broadly agrees with the direction",
"tone": "ok"
},
{
"text": "Edge does not clear Primary threshold",
"tone": "bad"
}
],
"why_label": "Decision Summary"
},
"gap_pp": 11.0,
"gates_failed": [
"Reliability below 65"
],
"has_top_pick": true,
"headline": "Selective Lean - No Primary Bet",
"hero_mode": "default",
"icon": "\u2192",
"label": "Lean only \u2014 not a default Primary",
"market_signal": "Market aligns with model lean",
"model_conflict_detail": null,
"model_lean": "Ng\u00e2n h\u00e0ng Qu\u1ed1c gia Ai C\u1eadp",
"no_primary_reasons": {
"all_triggered": [
"edge_low"
],
"calibration_mode": null,
"codes": [
"edge_low"
],
"label": "Reason",
"other_factors": [],
"other_label": "Other factors",
"primary": {
"code": "edge_low",
"detail": "The estimated edge does not meet the Primary threshold.",
"name": "Edge Below Threshold",
"short": "Edge Below Threshold",
"tone": "neutral"
},
"secondary": null,
"version": "v1"
},
"outlier_detected": false,
"outlier_excluded_panel": "",
"primary_allowed": false,
"primary_block_explain": {
"entries": [
{
"key": "positive_ev",
"label": "Consensus EV +28.1% meets Primary gate (\u2265+5.0%)",
"ok": true
},
{
"key": "gate",
"label": "Reliability below 65",
"ok": false
}
],
"lean_ev_threshold_pct": 2.0,
"primary_ev_threshold_pct": 5.0,
"subtitle": "Primary needs consensus EV \u2265 +5.0% plus reliability/execution/calibration gates (Decision Strength is explain-only). Lean/tracked gate is +2.0% (selective only \u2014 not default Primary sizing).",
"title": "Why not Primary?"
},
"primary_gate_checklist": "Gate checklist: Consensus EV +28.1% \u2705 (need \u2265+5.0%) \u00b7 Calibration Clear \u2705 \u2192 Primary blocked. Decision Strength 7.0/10 (explain only, not a Primary gate). If you still act under hard block: example stake 0.10\u20130.20% bankroll (never Primary).",
"primary_gate_snapshot": "Primary Gate Snapshot: Consensus EV +28.1% (gate \u2265+5.0%) \u00b7 Calibration: Clear \u2192 Primary blocked \u00b7 Decision Strength 7.0/10 (display only)",
"primary_gates": {
"items": [
{
"key": "extreme_gap",
"label": "Extreme gap",
"ok": true,
"value": "no"
},
{
"key": "xg_calibration",
"label": "xG calibration",
"ok": true,
"value": "ok"
},
{
"key": "reliability",
"label": "Rel",
"ok": false,
"value": "64 (\u226565)"
},
{
"key": "execution",
"label": "Exec",
"ok": false,
"value": "51 (\u226565)"
},
{
"key": "alignment",
"label": "Align",
"ok": true,
"value": "agree"
},
{
"key": "consensus_ev",
"label": "ConsEV",
"ok": true,
"value": "+28.1% (\u2265+5.0%)"
},
{
"key": "top_pick",
"label": "Pick",
"ok": true,
"value": "true"
},
{
"key": "validation",
"label": "Validation",
"ok": true,
"value": "true"
}
],
"passed": 6,
"total": 8
},
"primary_type": null,
"reasons": [
"Model and market currently agree on the stronger side (Ng\u00e2n h\u00e0ng Qu\u1ed1c gia Ai C\u1eadp).",
"Decision strength: 7.0/10",
"Reliability below 65"
],
"reliability_score": 64,
"speed_read": "Speed read: Model Signal can look moderate/strong while Decision Strength stays low after calibration \u2014 Strength alone does not block Primary (v2.5+); still check reliability/execution/EV hard gates.",
"strength_v2_breakdown": [
"Base decision score (v1)",
"Market aligns with model",
"Consensus-line +EV",
"Clear xG separation"
],
"subline": "Selective consensus value may exist \u2014 below default Primary sizing bar.",
"thresholds": {
"extreme_gap_pp": 30.0,
"lean_min_consensus_ev": 0.02,
"lean_min_strength": 5.0,
"min_consensus_ev": 0.05,
"min_execution": 65,
"min_reliability": 65,
"min_strength": 7.0,
"source": "db",
"user_id": 2
},
"thresholds_source": "db",
"thresholds_user_id": 2,
"tier": "lean",
"validation_ok": true,
"value_context": {
"consensus_ev": -0.1445,
"consensus_ev_display": "-14.4%",
"consensus_odds": 1.71,
"disagreement_label": "Moderate",
"disagreement_level": "moderate",
"implied_prob": 0.5556,
"is_extreme_disagreement": false,
"model_prob": 0.4451,
"raw_edge_display": "-11.0 percentage points",
"raw_edge_pp": -11.0,
"raw_implied_prob": 0.5847953216374269,
"raw_signal_ev": -0.2389,
"raw_signal_ev_display": "-23.9%"
},
"version": "v2.5",
"xg_calibration": {
"block_value_alert": false,
"calibration_status": "ok",
"deviation_pct": -27.4,
"reasons": [
"Clear xG separation gap=0.47"
],
"recommended_action": "ok",
"strength_delta": 0.5,
"uplift_away": null,
"uplift_home": null,
"xg_separation": {
"band": "clear",
"block_value_alert": false,
"separation_score": 5,
"strength_delta": 0.5,
"xg_gap": 0.47
}
}
},
"bet_status": "lean",
"books_breadth_display": "11/13",
"breadth_ratio": 0.8461538461538461,
"evidence": {
"score": 55,
"signals": [
{
"icon": "\u25cb",
"key": "statistical_edge",
"label": "No strong statistical edge",
"status": "neutral"
},
{
"icon": "!",
"key": "market_agreement",
"label": "Direction agrees; pricing still diverges",
"status": "caution"
},
{
"icon": "\u25cb",
"key": "steam",
"label": "Sharp steam detected",
"status": "neutral"
},
{
"icon": "!",
"key": "validation",
"label": "Validation warning",
"status": "caution"
}
],
"stars": 2,
"tier": "moderate",
"tier_label": "Moderate"
},
"forecast_reliability": {
"breakdown": [
{
"key": "validation",
"label": "Validation: Warning",
"tone": "caution"
},
{
"key": "gap",
"label": "Large market gap (11 pp)",
"tone": "caution"
}
],
"parts": {
"alignment": 19.5,
"data_quality": 12.0,
"market_coverage": 8.5,
"steam_coherence": 5.0,
"validation": 14.0
},
"score": 64,
"stars": 3,
"tier": "moderate",
"tier_label": "Moderate"
},
"lean_gap_pp": 11.02,
"market_agreement": "weak",
"max_gap_pp": 11.02,
"model_calibration": {
"away_xg": 0.51,
"calibration_status": "ok",
"deviation_pct": -27.0,
"elevated": false,
"home_xg": 0.98,
"impact_note": "",
"league_avg_xg": 1.35,
"peak_xg": 0.98,
"status_label": "Within typical league range",
"summary": "Home xG 0.98 \u00b7 Away xG 0.51 \u00b7 League avg 1.35 \u00b7 Peak deviation -27%",
"title": "Model Calibration Check"
},
"move_is_drift": false,
"mv_status": "warning",
"odds_delta_pct": 0.0,
"steam_conflicts": null,
"steam_move_display": "+0.0%",
"steam_team": "Ng\u00e2n h\u00e0ng Qu\u1ed1c gia Ai C\u1eadp",
"suppress_execution": false,
"value_split": {
"execution_confidence": {
"label": "Betting Confidence",
"score": 51,
"tier": "moderate",
"tier_label": "Moderate"
},
"market_compatibility": {
"label": "Pricing proximity (inverse gap)",
"note": "This score falls as the probability gap (pp) rises \u2014 it is NOT a bet green light. Direction may still agree (see Alignment above). Formula: proximity = max(0, 100 \u2212 5\u00d7pp). Example: 16 pp \u2192 20/100 (diverged).",
"score": 45,
"tier": "moderate",
"tier_label": "Moderate"
},
"model_edge_strength": {
"label": "Model Signal Strength",
"score": 44,
"tier": "low",
"tier_label": "Low"
},
"model_value": {
"label": "Pricing proximity (inverse gap)",
"note": "This score falls as the probability gap (pp) rises \u2014 it is NOT a bet green light. Direction may still agree (see Alignment above). Formula: proximity = max(0, 100 \u2212 5\u00d7pp). Example: 16 pp \u2192 20/100 (diverged).",
"score": 45,
"tier": "moderate",
"tier_label": "Moderate"
},
"recommendation": {
"action": "lean",
"label": "Selective Lean - No Primary Bet"
}
},
"verdict": {
"agree_note": "Selective consensus value may exist \u2014 below default Primary sizing bar.",
"alignment": {
"direction_aligned": true,
"direction_key": "agree",
"gap_pp": 11.0,
"key": "agree",
"label": "Agree",
"model_strong": false,
"pricing_aligned": true,
"pricing_key": "moderate",
"probability_gap_pp": 11.0,
"summary": "Model and market currently agree on the stronger side (Ng\u00e2n h\u00e0ng Qu\u1ed1c gia Ai C\u1eadp)."
},
"authority": {
"action": "lean",
"alignment": {
"direction_aligned": true,
"direction_key": "agree",
"gap_pp": 11.0,
"key": "agree",
"label": "Agree",
"model_strong": false,
"pricing_aligned": true,
"pricing_key": "moderate",
"probability_gap_pp": 11.0,
"summary": "Model and market currently agree on the stronger side (Ng\u00e2n h\u00e0ng Qu\u1ed1c gia Ai C\u1eadp)."
},
"alignment_key": "agree",
"best_consensus_ev": 0.2814,
"best_outlier_ev": 0.2814,
"confidence_band": "High",
"decision_strength": 7.0,
"decision_strength_v1": 6.0,
"decision_strength_v2": 6.5,
"decision_type": "VALUE_ALERT",
"execution_confidence": 51,
"extreme_disagreement": false,
"final_verdict_audit": {
"action": "Monitor closing market and validate with CLV.",
"action_label": "Action",
"decision": "Selective Lean - No Primary Bet",
"is_primary": false,
"snapshot": "The Decision Model estimates Ng\u00e2n h\u00e0ng Qu\u1ed1c gia Ai C\u1eadp at 44.5%, compared with a no-vig market probability of 55.6%.",
"why": [
{
"text": "Decision Model identifies Ng\u00e2n h\u00e0ng Qu\u1ed1c gia Ai C\u1eadp as the value side (44.5%)",
"tone": "ok"
},
{
"text": "Market broadly agrees with the direction",
"tone": "ok"
},
{
"text": "Edge does not clear Primary threshold",
"tone": "bad"
}
],
"why_label": "Decision Summary"
},
"gap_pp": 11.0,
"gates_failed": [
"Reliability below 65"
],
"has_top_pick": true,
"headline": "Selective Lean - No Primary Bet",
"hero_mode": "default",
"icon": "\u2192",
"label": "Lean only \u2014 not a default Primary",
"market_signal": "Market aligns with model lean",
"model_conflict_detail": null,
"model_lean": "Ng\u00e2n h\u00e0ng Qu\u1ed1c gia Ai C\u1eadp",
"no_primary_reasons": {
"all_triggered": [
"edge_low"
],
"calibration_mode": null,
"codes": [
"edge_low"
],
"label": "Reason",
"other_factors": [],
"other_label": "Other factors",
"primary": {
"code": "edge_low",
"detail": "The estimated edge does not meet the Primary threshold.",
"name": "Edge Below Threshold",
"short": "Edge Below Threshold",
"tone": "neutral"
},
"secondary": null,
"version": "v1"
},
"outlier_detected": false,
"outlier_excluded_panel": "",
"primary_allowed": false,
"primary_block_explain": {
"entries": [
{
"key": "positive_ev",
"label": "Consensus EV +28.1% meets Primary gate (\u2265+5.0%)",
"ok": true
},
{
"key": "gate",
"label": "Reliability below 65",
"ok": false
}
],
"lean_ev_threshold_pct": 2.0,
"primary_ev_threshold_pct": 5.0,
"subtitle": "Primary needs consensus EV \u2265 +5.0% plus reliability/execution/calibration gates (Decision Strength is explain-only). Lean/tracked gate is +2.0% (selective only \u2014 not default Primary sizing).",
"title": "Why not Primary?"
},
"primary_gate_checklist": "Gate checklist: Consensus EV +28.1% \u2705 (need \u2265+5.0%) \u00b7 Calibration Clear \u2705 \u2192 Primary blocked. Decision Strength 7.0/10 (explain only, not a Primary gate). If you still act under hard block: example stake 0.10\u20130.20% bankroll (never Primary).",
"primary_gate_snapshot": "Primary Gate Snapshot: Consensus EV +28.1% (gate \u2265+5.0%) \u00b7 Calibration: Clear \u2192 Primary blocked \u00b7 Decision Strength 7.0/10 (display only)",
"primary_gates": {
"items": [
{
"key": "extreme_gap",
"label": "Extreme gap",
"ok": true,
"value": "no"
},
{
"key": "xg_calibration",
"label": "xG calibration",
"ok": true,
"value": "ok"
},
{
"key": "reliability",
"label": "Rel",
"ok": false,
"value": "64 (\u226565)"
},
{
"key": "execution",
"label": "Exec",
"ok": false,
"value": "51 (\u226565)"
},
{
"key": "alignment",
"label": "Align",
"ok": true,
"value": "agree"
},
{
"key": "consensus_ev",
"label": "ConsEV",
"ok": true,
"value": "+28.1% (\u2265+5.0%)"
},
{
"key": "top_pick",
"label": "Pick",
"ok": true,
"value": "true"
},
{
"key": "validation",
"label": "Validation",
"ok": true,
"value": "true"
}
],
"passed": 6,
"total": 8
},
"primary_type": null,
"reasons": [
"Model and market currently agree on the stronger side (Ng\u00e2n h\u00e0ng Qu\u1ed1c gia Ai C\u1eadp).",
"Decision strength: 7.0/10",
"Reliability below 65"
],
"reliability_score": 64,
"speed_read": "Speed read: Model Signal can look moderate/strong while Decision Strength stays low after calibration \u2014 Strength alone does not block Primary (v2.5+); still check reliability/execution/EV hard gates.",
"strength_v2_breakdown": [
"Base decision score (v1)",
"Market aligns with model",
"Consensus-line +EV",
"Clear xG separation"
],
"subline": "Selective consensus value may exist \u2014 below default Primary sizing bar.",
"thresholds": {
"extreme_gap_pp": 30.0,
"lean_min_consensus_ev": 0.02,
"lean_min_strength": 5.0,
"min_consensus_ev": 0.05,
"min_execution": 65,
"min_reliability": 65,
"min_strength": 7.0,
"source": "db",
"user_id": 2
},
"thresholds_source": "db",
"thresholds_user_id": 2,
"tier": "lean",
"validation_ok": true,
"value_context": {
"consensus_ev": -0.1445,
"consensus_ev_display": "-14.4%",
"consensus_odds": 1.71,
"disagreement_label": "Moderate",
"disagreement_level": "moderate",
"implied_prob": 0.5556,
"is_extreme_disagreement": false,
"model_prob": 0.4451,
"raw_edge_display": "-11.0 percentage points",
"raw_edge_pp": -11.0,
"raw_implied_prob": 0.5847953216374269,
"raw_signal_ev": -0.2389,
"raw_signal_ev_display": "-23.9%"
},
"version": "v2.5",
"xg_calibration": {
"block_value_alert": false,
"calibration_status": "ok",
"deviation_pct": -27.4,
"reasons": [
"Clear xG separation gap=0.47"
],
"recommended_action": "ok",
"strength_delta": 0.5,
"uplift_away": null,
"uplift_home": null,
"xg_separation": {
"band": "clear",
"block_value_alert": false,
"separation_score": 5,
"strength_delta": 0.5,
"xg_gap": 0.47
}
}
},
"headline": "Selective Lean - No Primary Bet",
"icon": "\u2192",
"label": "Lean only \u2014 not a default Primary",
"subline": "Selective consensus value may exist \u2014 below default Primary sizing bar.",
"tier": "lean"
},
"why": {
"action_line": "Compare model lean with current best odds before sizing any bet.",
"bullets": [
"Model: Ng\u00e2n h\u00e0ng Qu\u1ed1c gia Ai C\u1eadp 0.98 xG vs Ghazl El Mehalla 0.51 \u2192 Ng\u00e2n h\u00e0ng Qu\u1ed1c gia Ai C\u1eadp 44.5%",
"Market: Ng\u00e2n h\u00e0ng Qu\u1ed1c gia Ai C\u1eadp ~55.6% implied",
"Market Steam: Ng\u00e2n h\u00e0ng Qu\u1ed1c gia Ai C\u1eadp +0.0%"
],
"one_liner": "Ng\u00e2n h\u00e0ng Qu\u1ed1c gia Ai C\u1eadp projects stronger on expected goals (+0.47 xG edge).",
"title": "Why?"
}
},
"edge_rows": [
{
"edge_pp": -11.02,
"fair_prob": 44.54,
"label": "Ng\u00e2n h\u00e0ng Qu\u1ed1c gia Ai C\u1eadp",
"market_prob": 55.56,
"market_type": "1x2",
"outcome": "home"
},
{
"edge_pp": 9.77,
"fair_prob": 38.22,
"label": "Draw",
"market_prob": 28.45,
"market_type": "1x2",
"outcome": "draw"
},
{
"edge_pp": 1.25,
"fair_prob": 17.24,
"label": "Ghazl El Mehalla",
"market_prob": 15.99,
"market_type": "1x2",
"outcome": "away"
},
{
"edge_pp": -20.82,
"fair_prob": 18.9,
"label": "Over 2.5",
"market_prob": 39.72,
"market_type": "ou25",
"outcome": "over"
},
{
"edge_pp": 20.82,
"fair_prob": 81.1,
"label": "Under 2.5",
"market_prob": 60.28,
"market_type": "ou25",
"outcome": "under"
},
{
"edge_pp": -15.85,
"fair_prob": 26.4,
"label": "BTTS Yes",
"market_prob": 42.25,
"market_type": "btts",
"outcome": "yes"
},
{
"edge_pp": 15.85,
"fair_prob": 73.6,
"label": "BTTS No",
"market_prob": 57.75,
"market_type": "btts",
"outcome": "no"
}
],
"edge_snapshot": {
"edge_label": "strong_disagreement",
"edge_pp": -11.02,
"fair_prob_pct": 44.54,
"hero_side": "home",
"hero_team_name": "Ng\u00e2n h\u00e0ng Qu\u1ed1c gia Ai C\u1eadp",
"market_prob_pct": 55.56,
"status": "strong_market_ahead",
"steam_team_name": "Ng\u00e2n h\u00e0ng Qu\u1ed1c gia Ai C\u1eadp"
},
"fair_source": "poisson_pipeline",
"fair_vs_market": {
"closing_capture": "PRE1",
"closing_footnote": "Model probabilities are generated from the statistical xG model using a Poisson distribution. Closing market probabilities are derived from consensus closing 1X2 odds after margin removal. Values represent implied probabilities rather than betting recommendations. Closing snapshot: PRE1.",
"comparison_available": true,
"comparison_disabled": false,
"comparison_summary": "The closing market estimates Ng\u00e2n h\u00e0ng Qu\u1ed1c gia Ai C\u1eadp\u0027s win probability at 55.6%, compared with the model\u0027s estimate of 44.5%, a difference of 11.0 percentage points. This highlights a disagreement between the model and market consensus, without indicating which view is ultimately correct.",
"degraded_note": "",
"divergence_guard": {
"divergence_level": "strong",
"edge_status": "strong_market_ahead",
"max_gap_pp": 11.02,
"suppress_hero": false,
"suppress_value_language": false
},
"divergence_label": "Strong model-market divergence",
"divergence_level": "strong",
"divergence_level_label": "Strong divergence",
"divergence_note": "The fair estimate differs noticeably from current market pricing. This may reflect genuine disagreement or incomplete rating inputs.",
"divergence_tier": "strong",
"edge_label": "Strong disagreement",
"edge_label_key": "strong_disagreement",
"fair_confidence": "medium",
"fair_confidence_label": "Medium",
"fair_source_note": "Model probabilities are generated from the statistical xG model using a Poisson distribution. Closing market probabilities are derived from consensus closing 1X2 odds after margin removal. Values represent implied probabilities rather than betting recommendations. Closing snapshot: PRE1.",
"forecast_assessment": {
"favourite_class": "Balanced match",
"favourite_label": "Ng\u00e2n h\u00e0ng Qu\u1ed1c gia Ai C\u1eadp",
"forecast_certainty_tier": "low",
"headline": "Balanced match",
"market_agreement_label": "Weak",
"market_direction": {
"label": "Supports model direction",
"positive": true
},
"market_prob_pct": 55.6,
"model_prob_gap_display": "-11.1 percentage points",
"model_prob_gap_pp": -11.1,
"model_prob_pct": 44.5,
"outcome_separation_tier": "medium",
"paragraphs": [],
"pricing_convergence": {
"gap_display": "-11.1 percentage points",
"gap_pp": -11.1,
"label": "Moderate",
"label_key": "mi_fa_pricing_moderate"
},
"reliability_headline": "Limited reliability",
"reliability_icon": "!",
"reliability_score": 64,
"reliability_tier": "limited",
"summary": "Ng\u00e2n h\u00e0ng Qu\u1ed1c gia Ai C\u1eadp \u2014 market direction supports the model lean.",
"tier": "balanced",
"title": "Prediction Assessment",
"validation_label": "Warning",
"value_split": {
"execution_confidence": {
"label": "Betting Confidence",
"score": 51,
"tier": "moderate",
"tier_label": "Moderate"
},
"market_compatibility": {
"label": "Pricing proximity (inverse gap)",
"note": "This score falls as the probability gap (pp) rises \u2014 it is NOT a bet green light. Direction may still agree (see Alignment above). Formula: proximity = max(0, 100 \u2212 5\u00d7pp). Example: 16 pp \u2192 20/100 (diverged).",
"score": 45,
"tier": "moderate",
"tier_label": "Moderate"
},
"model_edge_strength": {
"label": "Model Signal Strength",
"score": 44,
"tier": "low",
"tier_label": "Low"
},
"model_value": {
"label": "Pricing proximity (inverse gap)",
"note": "This score falls as the probability gap (pp) rises \u2014 it is NOT a bet green light. Direction may still agree (see Alignment above). Formula: proximity = max(0, 100 \u2212 5\u00d7pp). Example: 16 pp \u2192 20/100 (diverged).",
"score": 45,
"tier": "moderate",
"tier_label": "Moderate"
},
"recommendation": {
"action": "lean",
"label": "Selective Lean - No Primary Bet"
}
},
"why": {
"action_line": "Compare model lean with current best odds before sizing any bet.",
"bullets": [
"Model: Ng\u00e2n h\u00e0ng Qu\u1ed1c gia Ai C\u1eadp 0.98 xG vs Ghazl El Mehalla 0.51 \u2192 Ng\u00e2n h\u00e0ng Qu\u1ed1c gia Ai C\u1eadp 44.5%",
"Market: Ng\u00e2n h\u00e0ng Qu\u1ed1c gia Ai C\u1eadp ~55.6% implied",
"Market Steam: Ng\u00e2n h\u00e0ng Qu\u1ed1c gia Ai C\u1eadp +0.0%"
],
"one_liner": "Ng\u00e2n h\u00e0ng Qu\u1ed1c gia Ai C\u1eadp projects stronger on expected goals (+0.47 xG edge).",
"title": "Why?"
}
},
"forecast_certainty": {
"note": "Three outcomes remain closely bunched \u2014 treat as a relatively open match.",
"tier": "low",
"tier_label": "Low"
},
"forecast_certainty_label": "Low",
"has_market_probs": true,
"hero_edge_pp": -11.02,
"hero_label": "Ng\u00e2n h\u00e0ng Qu\u1ed1c gia Ai C\u1eadp",
"hero_side": "home",
"market_activity": "No meaningful directional movement yet.",
"market_agreement": "weak",
"market_agreement_label": "Weak",
"market_interpretation": {
"bullets": [
"Investors may be incorporating information not fully reflected in the baseline model.",
"Tournament-specific context can shift market pricing."
],
"follow_up": "Current market behavior suggests broad agreement that Ng\u00e2n h\u00e0ng Qu\u1ed1c gia Ai C\u1eadp is the dominant side.",
"gap_tier": "strong",
"lead": "The market is materially more optimistic about Ng\u00e2n h\u00e0ng Qu\u1ed1c gia Ai C\u1eadp than the current fair estimate.",
"note": "The market is materially more optimistic about Ng\u00e2n h\u00e0ng Qu\u1ed1c gia Ai C\u1eadp than the current fair estimate.",
"paragraphs": [
"The market is materially more optimistic about Ng\u00e2n h\u00e0ng Qu\u1ed1c gia Ai C\u1eadp than the current fair estimate.",
"Current market behavior suggests broad agreement that Ng\u00e2n h\u00e0ng Qu\u1ed1c gia Ai C\u1eadp is the dominant side."
],
"quiet_market": true,
"title": "Market Assessment"
},
"market_narrative": {
"paragraphs": [
"The market favors Ng\u00e2n h\u00e0ng Qu\u1ed1c gia Ai C\u1eadp more strongly than the current fair estimate.",
"Pricing has been stable with broad sportsbook participation, suggesting settled consensus.",
"The market materially disagrees with the model on Ng\u00e2n h\u00e0ng Qu\u1ed1c gia Ai C\u1eadp (pricing gap 11.0 pp). The market may be pricing squad quality, tournament context, or lineup strength beyond the Elo framework."
],
"title": "Current Market Narrative"
},
"market_source": "closing_1x2",
"max_gap_pp": 11.02,
"model_validation": {
"score_label_key": "mi_mv_warning",
"status": "warning"
},
"model_validation_label": "Warning",
"outcome_separation": {
"breakdown": [
"No outcome exceeds 50% on the 1X2 grid.",
"Favourite exceeds second outcome by 6.3 pp (at 44.5%)."
],
"lead_gap_pp": 6.3,
"max_prob_pct": 44.5,
"note": "How spread out the model 1X2 probabilities are \u2014 crowded splits mean no single outcome dominates. Not accuracy vs the market.",
"tier": "medium",
"tier_label": "Medium"
},
"outcome_separation_label": "Medium",
"overall_assessment": {
"badge_class": "strong",
"largest_gap_label": "Ng\u00e2n h\u00e0ng Qu\u1ed1c gia Ai C\u1eadp",
"largest_gap_pp": -11.0,
"lead": "The closing market prices Ng\u00e2n h\u00e0ng Qu\u1ed1c gia Ai C\u1eadp higher than the statistical model.",
"level": "strong",
"max_gap_pp": 11.0,
"title": "Strong Disagreement"
},
"rows": [
{
"difference_pp": -11.02,
"edge_pp": -11.02,
"fair_prob_pct": 44.54,
"is_hero": true,
"label": "Ng\u00e2n h\u00e0ng Qu\u1ed1c gia Ai C\u1eadp",
"market_prob_pct": 55.56,
"side": "home",
"signal_key": "market_higher",
"signal_label": "Market Higher"
},
{
"difference_pp": 9.77,
"edge_pp": 9.77,
"fair_prob_pct": 38.22,
"is_hero": false,
"label": "Draw",
"market_prob_pct": 28.45,
"side": "draw",
"signal_key": "model_higher",
"signal_label": "Model Higher"
},
{
"difference_pp": 1.25,
"edge_pp": 1.25,
"fair_prob_pct": 17.24,
"is_hero": false,
"label": "Ghazl El Mehalla",
"market_prob_pct": 15.99,
"side": "away",
"signal_key": "aligned",
"signal_label": "Aligned"
}
],
"status": "strong_market_ahead",
"status_label": "Strong Market Ahead",
"steam_note": "The market is materially more optimistic about Ng\u00e2n h\u00e0ng Qu\u1ed1c gia Ai C\u1eadp than the current fair estimate.",
"unavailable_note": ""
},
"interpretation": {
"has_conflict": false,
"paragraphs": [
"The betting market strongly prefers Ng\u00e2n h\u00e0ng Qu\u1ed1c gia Ai C\u1eadp (55.6%).",
"Ng\u00e2n h\u00e0ng Qu\u1ed1c gia Ai C\u1eadp \u2014 market direction supports the model lean."
],
"show": true,
"title": "OddsGPT Interpretation"
},
"lifecycle": {
"closing_implied_pct": 58.48,
"closing_odds": 1.71,
"closing_reason": "",
"closing_status": "recorded",
"closing_status_label": "Recorded",
"clv_pending": true,
"clv_pp": 0.0,
"clv_reason": "",
"clv_status": "pending",
"context": "match",
"current_stage": "waiting_for_kickoff",
"current_stage_detail": "",
"current_stage_label": "Waiting for kickoff",
"entry_implied_pct": 58.48,
"entry_odds": 1.71,
"match_phase": "upcoming",
"match_phase_detail": "",
"match_phase_display": "Upcoming",
"match_phase_label": "Upcoming",
"model_validation_label": "Warning",
"model_validation_status": "warning",
"stages": [
{
"detail": "",
"id": "forecast_generated",
"label": "Prediction Generated",
"status": "done"
},
{
"detail": "",
"id": "market_detected",
"label": "Market Compared",
"status": "active"
},
{
"detail": "",
"id": "model_validated",
"label": "Validation Passed",
"status": "active"
},
{
"detail": "PRE1",
"id": "closing_recorded",
"label": "Closing Recorded",
"status": "done"
},
{
"detail": "",
"id": "clv_evaluated",
"label": "CLV Evaluated",
"status": "pending"
}
]
},
"market_move_intelligence": {
"show": false
},
"market_overview": {
"breadth_display": "11/13",
"current_odds": 1.7,
"move_display": "+0.0%",
"open_odds": 1.7,
"pick_team": "Ng\u00e2n h\u00e0ng Qu\u1ed1c gia Ai C\u1eadp",
"steam_score": 25,
"steam_team_name": "Ng\u00e2n h\u00e0ng Qu\u1ed1c gia Ai C\u1eadp",
"steam_tier": "C"
},
"premium_teaser": {
"current_divergence_pp": 11.0,
"divergence_label": "Current divergence",
"title": "Premium Market Intelligence",
"unlock_items": [
"Historical similar matches",
"Closing odds analysis",
"CLV tracking",
"Sharp money signals",
"Market efficiency rating",
"Historical model vs market results"
],
"unlock_label": "Unlock"
},
"show": true
},
"match": {
"at2.away_team_slug": "ghazl-el-mehalla",
"away_expected_goals": null,
"away_goal_display": null,
"away_team_display_name": "Ghazl El Mehalla",
"away_team_id": 13819,
"away_team_logo": "/static/teams/13819.webp",
"away_team_name": "Ghazl El Mehalla",
"away_team_public_id": "4CHtOGzIzmCBVh",
"away_team_slug": "ghazl-el-mehalla",
"country_code": "EG",
"country_display_name": "Egypt",
"country_flag": "/static/images/country/eg.svg",
"country_id": 47,
"country_name": "Egypt",
"fixture_id": 1612231,
"goals_away": null,
"goals_home": null,
"home_expected_goals": null,
"home_goal_display": null,
"home_team_country": "Egypt",
"home_team_display_name": "Ng\u00e2n h\u00e0ng Qu\u1ed1c gia Ai C\u1eadp",
"home_team_id": 15570,
"home_team_logo": "/static/teams/15570.webp",
"home_team_name": "Ng\u00e2n h\u00e0ng Qu\u1ed1c gia Ai C\u1eadp",
"home_team_public_id": "3KLuU2ARk0nkIz",
"home_team_slug": "national-bank-of-egypt",
"ht.home_team_slug": "national-bank-of-egypt",
"league_country": "Egypt",
"league_country_display": "Egypt",
"league_display_name": "Gi\u1ea3i Ngo\u1ea1i H\u1ea1ng Ai C\u1eadp",
"league_id": 233,
"league_logo": "/static/leagues/233.webp",
"league_name": "Gi\u1ea3i Ngo\u1ea1i H\u1ea1ng Ai C\u1eadp",
"league_public_id": "5BSRqT0INOx7NZ",
"league_season": 2026,
"match_date": "2026-09-07 17:00:00",
"public_id": "4oxLALULG1A2nl",
"score_fulltime_away": null,
"score_fulltime_home": null,
"score_penalty_away": null,
"score_penalty_home": null,
"status_long": "Not Started",
"status_short": "NS",
"venue_city": null,
"venue_name": null
},
"match_decision": {
"confidence": {
"breakdown": [
"pred_conf_md_max_1x2_under_50",
"pred_conf_md_top_two_close",
"pred_conf_md_line_above_ev",
"pred_conf_md_draw_above_30"
],
"breakdown_resolved": [
"Max 1X2 prob under 50% (open contest) (\u22121.0)",
"Top two outcomes relatively close in probability (\u22120.5)",
"At least one tracked line above +EV threshold (+0.5)",
"Draw probability above 30% (\u22120.5)"
],
"score": 5.5
},
"markets": {
"1x2": {
"1x2_ev_mode": "market_first_p15",
"away": {
"alpha": 0.1962,
"best_odd": 5.94,
"calibration": {
"active": false,
"hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
},
"edge": 0.0025,
"ev": -0.0351,
"implied_prob": 0.1599,
"joint_probs": {
"away": 0.1599,
"draw": 0.2845,
"home": 0.5556
},
"model_prob": 0.1727,
"p_final": 0.1624
},
"draw": {
"alpha": 0.256,
"best_odd": 3.34,
"calibration": {
"active": false,
"hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
},
"edge": 0.025,
"ev": 0.0337,
"implied_prob": 0.2845,
"joint_probs": {
"away": 0.1599,
"draw": 0.2845,
"home": 0.5556
},
"model_prob": 0.3822,
"p_final": 0.3095
},
"ev_available": true,
"home": {
"alpha": 0.5005,
"best_odd": 1.71,
"calibration": {
"active": false,
"hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
},
"edge": -0.0553,
"ev": -0.1445,
"implied_prob": 0.5556,
"joint_probs": {
"away": 0.1599,
"draw": 0.2845,
"home": 0.5556
},
"model_prob": 0.4451,
"p_final": 0.5003
}
},
"1x2_outlier": {
"1x2_ev_mode": "legacy_max_odd",
"away": {
"best_odd": 5.94,
"edge": 0.0043,
"ev": 0.0256,
"implied_prob": 0.1684,
"model_prob": 0.1727
},
"draw": {
"best_odd": 3.34,
"edge": 0.0828,
"ev": 0.2767,
"implied_prob": 0.2994,
"model_prob": 0.3822
},
"ev_available": true,
"home": {
"best_odd": 1.71,
"edge": -0.1397,
"ev": -0.2389,
"implied_prob": 0.5848,
"model_prob": 0.4451
}
},
"btts": {
"alpha_no": 0.46,
"alpha_yes": 0.4182,
"best_no_odd": 1.65,
"best_yes_odd": 2.3,
"btts_ev_mode": "market_first_available",
"edge_no": 0.1585,
"edge_yes": -0.1585,
"ev_available": true,
"ev_no": 0.2144,
"ev_no_risk_adj": 0.0385,
"ev_yes": -0.3928,
"ev_yes_risk_adj": -0.2257,
"implied_no": 0.5775,
"implied_yes": 0.4225,
"market_first": {
"available": true,
"mode": "market_first_btts",
"n_bookmakers": 10,
"no": {
"alpha": 0.46,
"best_odd": 1.6,
"edge": 0.074,
"ev": 0.0385,
"implied_prob": 0.575,
"model_prob": 0.736,
"p_final": 0.6491
},
"prediction_confidence": "high",
"yes": {
"alpha": 0.4182,
"best_odd": 2.165,
"edge": -0.0673,
"ev": -0.2257,
"implied_prob": 0.425,
"model_prob": 0.264,
"p_final": 0.3577
}
},
"n_bookmakers": 10,
"p_final_no": 0.6491,
"p_final_yes": 0.3577,
"prediction_confidence": "high",
"reliability": "medium"
},
"ou25": {
"alpha_over": 0.3041,
"alpha_under": 0.4182,
"best_over_odd": 2.45,
"best_under_odd": 1.58,
"consensus_over_odd": 2.35,
"consensus_under_odd": 1.54,
"edge_over": -0.2082,
"edge_under": 0.2082,
"ev_available": true,
"ev_over": -0.537,
"ev_over_risk_adj": -0.2175,
"ev_under": 0.2814,
"ev_under_risk_adj": 0.0636,
"implied_over": 0.3972,
"implied_over_mf": 0.3959,
"implied_under": 0.6028,
"implied_under_mf": 0.6041,
"market_first": {
"available": true,
"mode": "market_first_ou",
"n_bookmakers": 10,
"over": {
"alpha": 0.3041,
"best_odd": 2.35,
"edge": -0.0629,
"ev": -0.2175,
"implied_prob": 0.3959,
"model_prob": 0.189,
"p_final": 0.333
},
"prediction_confidence": "high",
"under": {
"alpha": 0.4182,
"best_odd": 1.54,
"edge": 0.0865,
"ev": 0.0636,
"implied_prob": 0.6041,
"model_prob": 0.811,
"p_final": 0.6906
}
},
"n_bookmakers": 10,
"ou_ev_mode": "market_first_available",
"p_final_over": 0.333,
"p_final_under": 0.6906,
"prediction_confidence": "high",
"reliability": "medium"
}
},
"match_tier": "value_game",
"min_ev": 0.02,
"total_xg": 1.49,
"variance_flag": false
},
"unified_decision": {
"actionable_ev_threshold": 0.02,
"algorithm": {
"enabled_since": "2026-05-26",
"game_typing_module": true,
"version": "2.5.0"
},
"balanced_alternative": null,
"best_consensus_ev": 0.2814,
"best_outlier_ev": 0.2814,
"best_tracked_ev": 0.2814,
"confidence": 6.0,
"decision_confidence_v1": {
"breakdown": [
"pred_conf_v1_primary_line",
"pred_conf_v1_primary_ev_above_10",
"pred_conf_v1_max_1x2_under_50",
"pred_conf_v1_draw_above_30",
"pred_conf_v1_multi_ev_lines"
],
"breakdown_resolved": [
"Primary line identified (+1.0)",
"Primary EV above 10% (+1.0)",
"Max 1X2 prob under 50% (no dominant 1X2) (\u22121.0)",
"Draw probability above 30% (\u22120.5)",
"Two or more valid +EV lines at threshold (+0.5)"
],
"breakdown_v2": [
"Base decision score (v1)",
"Market aligns with model",
"Consensus-line +EV",
"Clear xG separation"
],
"score": 7.0,
"score_v1_legacy": 6.0,
"score_v2_pre_penalty": 6.5,
"strength_v2": true
},
"decision_strength_v2": {
"breakdown": [
"Base decision score (v1)",
"Market aligns with model",
"Consensus-line +EV",
"Clear xG separation"
],
"score": 7.0,
"score_pre_penalty": 6.5
},
"decision_type": "VALUE_ALERT",
"execution": {
"1x2_dominant": false,
"1x2_open_contest": true,
"grade": "A",
"stake_factor": 1.0
},
"favourite_misaligned_1x2": {
"active": false,
"gap": null,
"side": null
},
"final_action": "lean",
"final_decision": {
"action": "lean",
"alignment": {
"direction_aligned": true,
"direction_key": "agree",
"gap_pp": 11.0,
"key": "agree",
"label": "Agree",
"model_strong": false,
"pricing_aligned": true,
"pricing_key": "moderate",
"probability_gap_pp": 11.0,
"summary": "Model and market currently agree on the stronger side (Ng\u00e2n h\u00e0ng Qu\u1ed1c gia Ai C\u1eadp)."
},
"alignment_key": "agree",
"best_consensus_ev": 0.2814,
"best_outlier_ev": 0.2814,
"confidence_band": "High",
"decision_strength": 7.0,
"decision_strength_v1": 6.0,
"decision_strength_v2": 6.5,
"decision_type": "VALUE_ALERT",
"execution_confidence": 51,
"extreme_disagreement": false,
"final_verdict_audit": {
"action": "Monitor closing market and validate with CLV.",
"action_label": "Action",
"decision": "Selective Lean - No Primary Bet",
"is_primary": false,
"snapshot": "The Decision Model estimates Ng\u00e2n h\u00e0ng Qu\u1ed1c gia Ai C\u1eadp at 44.5%, compared with a no-vig market probability of 55.6%.",
"why": [
{
"text": "Decision Model identifies Ng\u00e2n h\u00e0ng Qu\u1ed1c gia Ai C\u1eadp as the value side (44.5%)",
"tone": "ok"
},
{
"text": "Market broadly agrees with the direction",
"tone": "ok"
},
{
"text": "Edge does not clear Primary threshold",
"tone": "bad"
}
],
"why_label": "Decision Summary"
},
"gap_pp": 11.0,
"gates_failed": [
"Reliability below 65"
],
"has_top_pick": true,
"headline": "Selective Lean - No Primary Bet",
"hero_mode": "default",
"icon": "\u2192",
"label": "Lean only \u2014 not a default Primary",
"market_signal": "Market aligns with model lean",
"model_conflict_detail": null,
"model_lean": "Ng\u00e2n h\u00e0ng Qu\u1ed1c gia Ai C\u1eadp",
"no_primary_reasons": {
"all_triggered": [
"edge_low"
],
"calibration_mode": null,
"codes": [
"edge_low"
],
"label": "Reason",
"other_factors": [],
"other_label": "Other factors",
"primary": {
"code": "edge_low",
"detail": "The estimated edge does not meet the Primary threshold.",
"name": "Edge Below Threshold",
"short": "Edge Below Threshold",
"tone": "neutral"
},
"secondary": null,
"version": "v1"
},
"outlier_detected": false,
"outlier_excluded_panel": "",
"primary_allowed": false,
"primary_block_explain": {
"entries": [
{
"key": "positive_ev",
"label": "Consensus EV +28.1% meets Primary gate (\u2265+5.0%)",
"ok": true
},
{
"key": "gate",
"label": "Reliability below 65",
"ok": false
}
],
"lean_ev_threshold_pct": 2.0,
"primary_ev_threshold_pct": 5.0,
"subtitle": "Primary needs consensus EV \u2265 +5.0% plus reliability/execution/calibration gates (Decision Strength is explain-only). Lean/tracked gate is +2.0% (selective only \u2014 not default Primary sizing).",
"title": "Why not Primary?"
},
"primary_gate_checklist": "Gate checklist: Consensus EV +28.1% \u2705 (need \u2265+5.0%) \u00b7 Calibration Clear \u2705 \u2192 Primary blocked. Decision Strength 7.0/10 (explain only, not a Primary gate). If you still act under hard block: example stake 0.10\u20130.20% bankroll (never Primary).",
"primary_gate_snapshot": "Primary Gate Snapshot: Consensus EV +28.1% (gate \u2265+5.0%) \u00b7 Calibration: Clear \u2192 Primary blocked \u00b7 Decision Strength 7.0/10 (display only)",
"primary_gates": {
"items": [
{
"key": "extreme_gap",
"label": "Extreme gap",
"ok": true,
"value": "no"
},
{
"key": "xg_calibration",
"label": "xG calibration",
"ok": true,
"value": "ok"
},
{
"key": "reliability",
"label": "Rel",
"ok": false,
"value": "64 (\u226565)"
},
{
"key": "execution",
"label": "Exec",
"ok": false,
"value": "51 (\u226565)"
},
{
"key": "alignment",
"label": "Align",
"ok": true,
"value": "agree"
},
{
"key": "consensus_ev",
"label": "ConsEV",
"ok": true,
"value": "+28.1% (\u2265+5.0%)"
},
{
"key": "top_pick",
"label": "Pick",
"ok": true,
"value": "true"
},
{
"key": "validation",
"label": "Validation",
"ok": true,
"value": "true"
}
],
"passed": 6,
"total": 8
},
"primary_type": null,
"reasons": [
"Model and market currently agree on the stronger side (Ng\u00e2n h\u00e0ng Qu\u1ed1c gia Ai C\u1eadp).",
"Decision strength: 7.0/10",
"Reliability below 65"
],
"reliability_score": 64,
"speed_read": "Speed read: Model Signal can look moderate/strong while Decision Strength stays low after calibration \u2014 Strength alone does not block Primary (v2.5+); still check reliability/execution/EV hard gates.",
"strength_v2_breakdown": [
"Base decision score (v1)",
"Market aligns with model",
"Consensus-line +EV",
"Clear xG separation"
],
"subline": "Selective consensus value may exist \u2014 below default Primary sizing bar.",
"thresholds": {
"extreme_gap_pp": 30.0,
"lean_min_consensus_ev": 0.02,
"lean_min_strength": 5.0,
"min_consensus_ev": 0.05,
"min_execution": 65,
"min_reliability": 65,
"min_strength": 7.0,
"source": "db",
"user_id": 2
},
"thresholds_source": "db",
"thresholds_user_id": 2,
"tier": "lean",
"validation_ok": true,
"value_context": {
"consensus_ev": -0.1445,
"consensus_ev_display": "-14.4%",
"consensus_odds": 1.71,
"disagreement_label": "Moderate",
"disagreement_level": "moderate",
"implied_prob": 0.5556,
"is_extreme_disagreement": false,
"model_prob": 0.4451,
"raw_edge_display": "-11.0 percentage points",
"raw_edge_pp": -11.0,
"raw_implied_prob": 0.5847953216374269,
"raw_signal_ev": -0.2389,
"raw_signal_ev_display": "-23.9%"
},
"version": "v2.5",
"xg_calibration": {
"block_value_alert": false,
"calibration_status": "ok",
"deviation_pct": -27.4,
"reasons": [
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],
"recommended_action": "ok",
"strength_delta": 0.5,
"uplift_away": null,
"uplift_home": null,
"xg_separation": {
"band": "clear",
"block_value_alert": false,
"separation_score": 5,
"strength_delta": 0.5,
"xg_gap": 0.47
}
}
},
"game_type": {
"label_zh": "\u6781\u7aef\u9632\u5b88\uff08\u4f4e\u8fdb\u7403\uff09",
"scoring_type": "defensive",
"signals": {
"btts_yes_prob": 0.264,
"draw_prob": 0.3822,
"max_1x2_prob": 0.4451,
"over_prob": 0.189,
"total_xg": 1.49,
"under_prob": 0.811,
"xg_diff": 0.47
},
"type": "defensive",
"typing_weights_enabled": true
},
"hero_display_pick": null,
"hero_mode": "default",
"longshot_picks": [],
"markets": {
"1x2": {
"consensus_odds": 1.71,
"decision": "no_bet",
"edge": -0.0553,
"ev": -0.1445,
"implied_prob": 0.5556,
"max_ev_side": "draw",
"model_prob": 0.4451,
"side": "home",
"side_label": "Ng\u00e2n h\u00e0ng Qu\u1ed1c gia Ai C\u1eadp"
},
"btts": {
"decision": "value_bet",
"decision_layer": {
"alpha": 0.46,
"available": true,
"consensus_odds": 1.6,
"edge": 0.074,
"market_prob": 0.575,
"mode": "market_first_btts",
"model_prob": 0.736,
"n_bookmakers": 10,
"no": {
"alpha": 0.46,
"best_odd": 1.6,
"edge": 0.074,
"ev": 0.0385,
"implied_prob": 0.575,
"model_prob": 0.736,
"p_final": 0.6491
},
"p_final": 0.6491,
"prediction_confidence": "high",
"risk_adj_ev": 0.0385,
"value_side": "no",
"yes": {
"alpha": 0.4182,
"best_odd": 2.165,
"edge": -0.0673,
"ev": -0.2257,
"implied_prob": 0.425,
"model_prob": 0.264,
"p_final": 0.3577
}
},
"edge": 0.1585,
"ev": 0.2144,
"implied_prob": 0.5775,
"model_prob": 0.736,
"side": "no",
"value_side": "no"
},
"ou_2_5": {
"decision": "value_bet",
"decision_layer": {
"alpha": 0.4182,
"available": true,
"consensus_odds": 1.54,
"edge": 0.0865,
"market_prob": 0.6041,
"mode": "market_first_ou",
"model_prob": 0.811,
"n_bookmakers": 10,
"over": {
"alpha": 0.3041,
"best_odd": 2.35,
"edge": -0.0629,
"ev": -0.2175,
"implied_prob": 0.3959,
"model_prob": 0.189,
"p_final": 0.333
},
"p_final": 0.6906,
"prediction_confidence": "high",
"risk_adj_ev": 0.0636,
"under": {
"alpha": 0.4182,
"best_odd": 1.54,
"edge": 0.0865,
"ev": 0.0636,
"implied_prob": 0.6041,
"model_prob": 0.811,
"p_final": 0.6906
},
"value_side": "under"
},
"edge": 0.2082,
"ev": 0.2814,
"implied_prob": 0.6028,
"model_prob": 0.811,
"side": "under",
"value_side": "under"
}
},
"match_id": 1612231,
"match_regime": {
"action": "bet",
"actionable": true,
"clear_edge": true,
"code": "clear_edge",
"execution_line_key": null,
"insight_line_key": null,
"max_valid_ev": 0.2814,
"min_ev": 0.02,
"stake_mult": 1.0,
"use_split_strip": false
},
"match_tier": "value_game",
"no_clear_primary": false,
"probabilities": {
"away": 0.1727,
"draw": 0.3822,
"home": 0.4451
},
"reason_codes": [
"no_ev_1x2"
],
"secondary_pick": {
"decision": "value_bet",
"ev": 0.2144,
"implied_prob": 0.5775,
"market": "btts",
"model_prob": 0.736,
"not_dominant": false,
"risk_band": "strong",
"risk_tier": "secondary",
"side": "no",
"slot": "secondary"
},
"secondary_picks": [
{
"decision": "value_bet",
"ev": 0.2144,
"implied_prob": 0.5775,
"market": "btts",
"model_prob": 0.736,
"not_dominant": false,
"risk_band": "strong",
"risk_tier": "secondary",
"side": "no",
"slot": "secondary"
}
],
"show_betting_primary_label": false,
"suppressed_primary": null,
"teams": {
"away": "Ghazl El Mehalla",
"home": "Ng\u00e2n h\u00e0ng Qu\u1ed1c gia Ai C\u1eadp"
},
"top_pick": {
"composite_score": 0.29668,
"decision": "value_bet",
"ev": 0.2814,
"implied_prob": 0.6028,
"market": "ou_2_5",
"model_prob": 0.811,
"not_dominant": false,
"primary_strength": "clear",
"risk_band": "strong",
"risk_tier": "primary",
"side": "under",
"slot": "primary",
"speculative_primary": false
},
"valid_markets_count": 3,
"value_context_1x2": {
"consensus_ev": -0.1445,
"consensus_ev_display": "-14.4%",
"consensus_odds": 1.71,
"disagreement_label": "Moderate",
"disagreement_level": "moderate",
"implied_prob": 0.5556,
"is_extreme_disagreement": false,
"model_prob": 0.4451,
"raw_edge_display": "-11.0 percentage points",
"raw_edge_pp": -11.0,
"raw_implied_prob": 0.5847953216374269,
"raw_signal_ev": -0.2389,
"raw_signal_ev_display": "-23.9%"
}
}
},
"fixture_id": 1612231,
"generated_at_utc": "2026-09-07T17:00:44.876059+00:00",
"lang_id": "en"
}
Khám phá thêm nội dung dự đoán
Nhận dự đoán cao cấp cho Ngân hàng Quốc gia Ai Cập & Ghazl El Mehalla!
Mở khóa phân tích chuyên sâu, mẹo cá cược độc quyền và dự đoán trận đấu với dịch vụ đăng ký cao cấp của chúng tôi.
Đăng ký ngay
Giải Ngoại Hạng Ai Cập — Bảng xếp hạng
| # | Đội | Tr | T | H | B | Đ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Pyramids FC | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 15 |
| 2 | Zamalek SC | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 13 |
| 3 | Al Ahly | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 13 |
| 4 | Ceramica Cleopatra | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 12 |
| 5 | Future FC | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 10 |
| 6 | Al Ittihad | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 10 |
| 7 | El Mokawloon | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7 |
| 8 | Petrojet | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7 |
| 9 | El Geish | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7 |
| 10 | Masr | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7 |
| 11 | Olympic El Qanah | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 6 |
| 12 | Al Masry | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 6 |
| 13 | Ngân hàng Quốc gia Ai Cập | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 6 |
| 14 | Wadi Degla | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 |
| 15 | Enppi | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 |
| 16 | Smouha SC | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 |
| 17 | Abu Qair Semad | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3 |
| 18 | El Gouna FC | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 2 |
| 19 | Asyut Petrol | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 2 |
| 20 | Ghazl El Mehalla | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 |
| # | Đội | Tr | BT | BB | +/- | Đ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ceramica Cleopatra | 5 | 10 | 3 | +7 | 12 |
| 2 | Pyramids FC | 5 | 9 | 1 | +8 | 15 |
| 3 | Al Ahly | 5 | 9 | 3 | +6 | 13 |
| 4 | Zamalek SC | 5 | 8 | 1 | +7 | 13 |
| 5 | Petrojet | 5 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 7 |
| 6 | Future FC | 5 | 7 | 4 | +3 | 10 |
| 7 | Al Ittihad | 5 | 6 | 3 | +3 | 10 |
| 8 | El Mokawloon | 5 | 6 | 5 | +1 | 7 |
| 9 | Enppi | 5 | 6 | 9 | -3 | 4 |
| 10 | El Geish | 5 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 7 |
| 11 | Olympic El Qanah | 5 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 6 |
| 12 | Al Masry | 5 | 5 | 7 | -2 | 6 |
| 13 | Masr | 5 | 4 | 5 | -1 | 7 |
| 14 | Wadi Degla | 5 | 4 | 5 | -1 | 5 |
| 15 | Ngân hàng Quốc gia Ai Cập | 5 | 4 | 7 | -3 | 6 |
| 16 | El Gouna FC | 5 | 3 | 6 | -3 | 2 |
| 17 | Smouha SC | 5 | 1 | 4 | -3 | 4 |
| 18 | Asyut Petrol | 5 | 1 | 5 | -4 | 2 |
| 19 | Abu Qair Semad | 5 | 1 | 8 | -7 | 3 |
| 20 | Ghazl El Mehalla | 5 | 1 | 9 | -8 | 1 |
| # | Đội | Tr | xG | xGC | +/- | Đ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Pyramids FC | 5 | 4.7 | 1.0 | +3.7 | 15 |
| 2 | Al Masry | 5 | 4.8 | 2.7 | +2.1 | 6 |
| 3 | Petrojet | 5 | 5.3 | 3.7 | +1.6 | 7 |
| 4 | Ngân hàng Quốc gia Ai Cập | 5 | 4.0 | 2.4 | +1.6 | 6 |
| 5 | Ceramica Cleopatra | 5 | 5.5 | 4.1 | +1.4 | 12 |
| 6 | Al Ahly | 5 | 4.2 | 3.0 | +1.2 | 13 |
| 7 | Wadi Degla | 5 | 3.6 | 3.3 | +0.3 | 5 |
| 8 | Smouha SC | 5 | 2.2 | 1.9 | +0.3 | 4 |
| 9 | Asyut Petrol | 5 | 1.9 | 1.7 | +0.2 | 2 |
| 10 | Future FC | 5 | 4.6 | 4.5 | +0.1 | 10 |
| 11 | Al Ittihad | 5 | 3.7 | 3.6 | +0.1 | 10 |
| 12 | El Geish | 5 | 2.9 | 3.0 | -0.1 | 7 |
| 13 | Masr | 5 | 3.1 | 3.6 | -0.5 | 7 |
| 14 | Enppi | 5 | 4.9 | 5.7 | -0.8 | 4 |
| 15 | Abu Qair Semad | 5 | 0.9 | 1.7 | -0.8 | 3 |
| 16 | El Mokawloon | 5 | 3.4 | 4.4 | -1.0 | 7 |
| 17 | El Gouna FC | 5 | 3.2 | 4.9 | -1.7 | 2 |
| 18 | Olympic El Qanah | 5 | 2.4 | 4.5 | -2.1 | 6 |
| 19 | Zamalek SC | 5 | 2.6 | 5.0 | -2.4 | 13 |
| 20 | Ghazl El Mehalla | 5 | 1.9 | 5.0 | -3.1 | 1 |
