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- Chợ Dự đoán Kết quả kết quả
- Tài / Xỉu 2.5 Xỉu 2.5 Tài 2.5 (6 mục tiêu) ✖ Không đúng
- Cả Hai Đội Đều Ghi Bàn BTTS Không Có ✖ Không đúng
- 1X2 Hutnik Kraków Znicz Pruszków ✖ Không đúng
- Thông tin tỷ số chính xác 1-1, 0-1, 1-0, 1-2, 2-1 4-2 ✖ Không đúng
Validation Report
Immutable Snapshot
Closing Odds
2.1
AI Fair Odds
—
CLV
+0.0%
Final Result
Znicz Pruszków win · Znicz Pruszków 4–2 Hutnik Kraków
Prediction
✖ Missed
Decision Grade
F
Model Performance
This prediction contributes to:
- Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%
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View technical JSON
{
"bundle_version": 1,
"content_hash": "ece14302de022d688a457ecba3e70e0d50dc560e9cb12e09988180ccad28115c",
"decision_algo_version": "2.5.0",
"facts": {
"ai_fp": {
"away_predicted_xg": 1.36,
"away_win_prob": 0.3801,
"away_win_prob_posterior": null,
"bayes_applied": 0,
"btts_no_prob": 0.456,
"btts_yes_prob": 0.545,
"dc_rho": -0.13,
"draw_prob": 0.2959,
"draw_prob_posterior": null,
"fair_odds_away": 2.63,
"fair_odds_away_posterior": null,
"fair_odds_draw": 3.38,
"fair_odds_draw_posterior": null,
"fair_odds_home": 3.09,
"fair_odds_home_posterior": null,
"home_predicted_xg": 1.24,
"home_win_prob": 0.3239,
"home_win_prob_posterior": null,
"over_25_prob": 0.482,
"prediction_confidence": "very_low",
"under_25_prob": 0.518
},
"api_prediction": {
"advice": "Double chance : draw or Hutnik Krak\u00f3w",
"main_pick_display": "No Strong Winner Bet",
"percent_away": "45%",
"percent_draw": "45%",
"percent_home": "10%",
"winner_name": "Hutnik Krak\u00f3w"
},
"away_xg": 1.36,
"betting_insight": {
"bet_label": "Hutnik Krak\u00f3w",
"confidence": null,
"main_pick_meta": {
"confidence": "low",
"display_text": "No Strong Winner Bet",
"edge": 0.0781,
"edge_gap": 0.0566,
"market": "1X2",
"market_prob": 0.3022,
"model_prob": 0.3803,
"pick_type": "no_strong",
"probabilities": {
"away": 38.0,
"draw": 29.6,
"home": 32.4
},
"reason": "No clear edge in 1X2 market",
"selection": null,
"selection_name": null
},
"market_comparison": [
{
"affi_link": "",
"bookmaker_name": "Pinnacle",
"odd": 3.03
}
],
"risk_color": null,
"risk_key": null,
"stacked_market": null,
"value_bet": {
"best_odds": 3.03,
"bookmaker_id": 0,
"bookmaker_name": "Pinnacle",
"display_market": "Hutnik Krak\u00f3w Win",
"is_value": true,
"label": "Away",
"market_fair_odds": 3.31,
"market_odds": 3.03,
"model_odds": 2.63,
"overround": 9.2,
"prob_edge": 5.0,
"value_pct": 15.2,
"value_rating": "value_bet"
}
},
"betting_markets": {
"btts": {
"away_clean_sheet": 3,
"away_failed_to_score": 1,
"away_played": 6,
"away_score_rate": 74.3,
"home_clean_sheet": 1,
"home_failed_to_score": 1,
"home_played": 6,
"home_score_rate": 71.1,
"no_prob": 45.6,
"pick": "No",
"pick_prob": 54.4,
"source": "xG_dc",
"strong_pick": true,
"yes_prob": 54.4
},
"correct_score": {
"away_expected": 1.36,
"home_expected": 1.24,
"scores": [
{
"away": 1,
"home": 1,
"label": "1-1",
"prob": 12.5
},
{
"away": 1,
"home": 0,
"label": "0-1",
"prob": 10.1
},
{
"away": 0,
"home": 1,
"label": "1-0",
"prob": 9.2
},
{
"away": 2,
"home": 1,
"label": "1-2",
"prob": 8.5
},
{
"away": 1,
"home": 2,
"label": "2-1",
"prob": 7.8
}
],
"source": "xG"
},
"double_chance": {
"options": [
{
"key": "1X",
"label": "Znicz Pruszk\u00f3w or Draw",
"prob": 62.0
},
{
"key": "12",
"label": "Znicz Pruszk\u00f3w or Hutnik Krak\u00f3w",
"prob": 70.4
},
{
"key": "X2",
"label": "Draw or Hutnik Krak\u00f3w",
"prob": 67.6
}
],
"pick_key": "12",
"pick_label": "Znicz Pruszk\u00f3w or Hutnik Krak\u00f3w",
"pick_prob": 70.4
},
"match_winner": {
"away_pct": 38.0,
"draw_pct": 29.6,
"home_pct": 32.4,
"lean_key": "away",
"lean_label": "Hutnik Krak\u00f3w"
},
"over_under": {
"api_hint": null,
"avg_total": 2.6,
"away_avg_scored": 2.2,
"confidence": "low",
"home_avg_scored": 1.8,
"over_prob": 48.2,
"pick": "Under 2.5",
"pick_prob": 51.8,
"source": "xG_dc",
"strong_pick": true,
"total_expected": 2.6,
"under_prob": 51.8
},
"prob_source": "poisson",
"value_bet_enhanced": {
"bookmaker_id": 0,
"bookmaker_name": "Pinnacle",
"edge": 15.2,
"implied_prob": 33.0,
"is_value": true,
"label": "Away",
"market": "Hutnik Krak\u00f3w Win",
"model_prob": 38.0,
"odds": 3.03
}
},
"closing_line_bundle": {
"away_team": "Hutnik Krak\u00f3w",
"closing_1x2_probs_pct": {
"away": 30.22,
"draw": 26.17,
"home": 43.61
},
"closing_bookmaker": "Pinnacle",
"closing_capture": "PRE1",
"closing_fetched_at": "2026-09-06 12:29:31",
"early_bookmaker": "Pinnacle",
"early_capture": "PRE30",
"early_fetched_at": "2026-09-06 12:02:37",
"has_data": true,
"home_team": "Znicz Pruszk\u00f3w",
"largest_move_kind": null,
"max_abs_move_pp": 0.0,
"model_vs_closing": [
{
"closing_implied_pct": 43.61,
"gap_pp": -11.24,
"kind": "1x2_h",
"model_pct": 32.37
},
{
"closing_implied_pct": 26.17,
"gap_pp": 3.43,
"kind": "1x2_d",
"model_pct": 29.59
},
{
"closing_implied_pct": 30.22,
"gap_pp": 7.81,
"kind": "1x2_a",
"model_pct": 38.03
},
{
"closing_implied_pct": 57.85,
"gap_pp": -9.65,
"kind": "ou_o",
"model_pct": 48.2
},
{
"closing_implied_pct": 42.15,
"gap_pp": 9.65,
"kind": "ou_u",
"model_pct": 51.8
}
],
"movement": [
{
"closing": 2.1,
"early": 2.1,
"implied_closing_pct": 43.61,
"implied_delta_pp": 0.0,
"implied_early_pct": 43.61,
"kind": "1x2_h"
},
{
"closing": 3.5,
"early": 3.5,
"implied_closing_pct": 26.17,
"implied_delta_pp": 0.0,
"implied_early_pct": 26.17,
"kind": "1x2_d"
},
{
"closing": 3.03,
"early": 3.03,
"implied_closing_pct": 30.22,
"implied_delta_pp": 0.0,
"implied_early_pct": 30.22,
"kind": "1x2_a"
},
{
"closing": 1.61,
"early": 1.61,
"implied_closing_pct": 57.85,
"implied_delta_pp": 0.0,
"implied_early_pct": 57.85,
"kind": "ou_o"
},
{
"closing": 2.21,
"early": 2.21,
"implied_closing_pct": 42.15,
"implied_delta_pp": 0.0,
"implied_early_pct": 42.15,
"kind": "ou_u"
}
],
"movement_negligible": true,
"same_bookmaker": true,
"top_value_gap": {
"gap_pp": 9.7,
"kind": "ou_u"
}
},
"correct_score_insight": {
"best_value": null,
"lean_card": {
"diff_pp": -0.8,
"ev": -0.0625,
"has_edge": false,
"label": "1-1",
"market_odds": 7.5,
"market_prob": 0.1333,
"market_prob_pct": 13.3,
"model_prob": 0.125,
"model_prob_pct": 12.5,
"n_bookmakers": 6,
"status_key": "no_value"
},
"most_likely": {
"label": "1-1",
"prob": 12.5
},
"top5": [
{
"label": "1-1",
"prob": 12.5
},
{
"label": "0-1",
"prob": 10.1
},
{
"label": "1-0",
"prob": 9.2
},
{
"label": "1-2",
"prob": 8.5
},
{
"label": "2-1",
"prob": 7.8
}
]
},
"home_xg": 1.24,
"homepage_pick": null,
"market_cards": [
{
"decision": "value_bet",
"decision_layer": {
"alpha": 0.1545,
"available": true,
"consensus_odds": 2.3,
"edge": 0.0188,
"edge_pp": 1.9,
"market_prob": 0.3963,
"mode": "market_first_ou",
"model_prob": 0.518,
"n_bookmakers": 8,
"over": {
"alpha": 0.2124,
"best_odd": 1.51,
"edge": -0.0258,
"ev": -0.1275,
"implied_prob": 0.6037,
"model_prob": 0.482,
"p_final": 0.5778
},
"p_final": 0.4151,
"prediction_confidence": "very_low",
"raw_edge_pp": 12.2,
"raw_signal_ev": 0.1914,
"risk_adj_ev": -0.0452,
"under": {
"alpha": 0.1545,
"best_odd": 2.3,
"edge": 0.0188,
"ev": -0.0452,
"implied_prob": 0.3963,
"model_prob": 0.518,
"p_final": 0.4151
},
"value_side": "under"
},
"ev_available": true,
"ev_over": -0.2288,
"ev_over_display": {
"capped": false,
"raw_pct": -22.9,
"text": "-22.9%"
},
"ev_under": 0.2328,
"ev_under_display": {
"capped": false,
"raw_pct": 23.3,
"text": "+23.3%"
},
"featured": true,
"id": "ou_2_5",
"max_ev": 0.2328,
"n_bookmakers": 8,
"over_prob": 48.2,
"sort_key": 10359.52,
"tier": "best",
"under_prob": 51.8,
"value_side": "under"
},
{
"decision": "value_bet",
"decision_layer": {
"alpha": 0.1644,
"available": true,
"consensus_odds": 2.46,
"edge": 0.0143,
"edge_pp": 1.4,
"market_prob": 0.3692,
"mode": "market_first_btts",
"model_prob": 0.456,
"n_bookmakers": 8,
"no": {
"alpha": 0.1644,
"best_odd": 2.46,
"edge": 0.0143,
"ev": -0.0566,
"implied_prob": 0.3692,
"model_prob": 0.456,
"p_final": 0.3835
},
"p_final": 0.3835,
"prediction_confidence": "very_low",
"raw_edge_pp": 8.7,
"raw_signal_ev": 0.1218,
"risk_adj_ev": -0.0566,
"value_side": "no",
"yes": {
"alpha": 0.2261,
"best_odd": 1.44,
"edge": -0.0196,
"ev": -0.1199,
"implied_prob": 0.6308,
"model_prob": 0.544,
"p_final": 0.6112
}
},
"ev_available": true,
"ev_no": 0.1491,
"ev_no_display": {
"capped": false,
"raw_pct": 14.9,
"text": "+14.9%"
},
"ev_yes": -0.1731,
"ev_yes_display": {
"capped": false,
"raw_pct": -17.3,
"text": "-17.3%"
},
"featured": false,
"id": "btts",
"max_ev": 0.1491,
"n_bookmakers": 8,
"no_prob": 45.6,
"sort_key": 10134.19,
"tier": "best",
"value_side": "no",
"yes_prob": 54.4
},
{
"authority_action": "no_bet",
"authority_note": "The market has moved away from Hutnik Krak\u00f3w, but the model still strongly favours Hutnik Krak\u00f3w.",
"consensus_odds": 3.03,
"decision": "no_bet",
"disagreement_label": "Moderate",
"disagreement_level": "moderate",
"ev": -0.0215,
"ev_available": true,
"ev_display": {
"capped": false,
"raw_pct": -2.1,
"text": "-2.1%"
},
"featured": false,
"id": "1x2",
"implied_prob": 0.3022,
"is_extreme_disagreement": false,
"max_ev": -0.0215,
"max_ev_display": {
"capped": false,
"raw_pct": -2.1,
"text": "-2.1%"
},
"model_prob": 0.3803,
"raw_edge_display": "+7.8 percentage points",
"raw_edge_pp": 7.8,
"raw_signal_ev": 0.1523,
"raw_signal_ev_display": "+15.2%",
"show_primary_label": false,
"side_label": "Hutnik Krak\u00f3w",
"sort_key": 1794.625,
"tier": "bad_ev"
},
{
"featured": false,
"id": "correct_score",
"sort_key": 817.5,
"tier": "risk",
"top_label": "1-1",
"top_prob": 12.5
}
],
"market_intelligence": {
"betting_signal": {
"alert_breadth": "2/11",
"alert_breadth_note": "2/11 sportsbooks confirmed",
"alert_move": "\u2191 +3.6%",
"alert_team": "Hutnik Krak\u00f3w",
"alert_title": "Sharp Money Alert",
"divergence_pp": 11.2,
"has_alert": false,
"hero_edge_pp": -11.22,
"hero_label": "Znicz Pruszk\u00f3w",
"market_prob_pct": 30.2,
"market_team": "Znicz Pruszk\u00f3w",
"model_prob_pct": 38.0,
"model_team": "Hutnik Krak\u00f3w",
"show": true,
"status_icon": "!",
"status_key": "caution",
"status_label": "Use caution",
"status_line": "Use caution \u2014 signals are mixed",
"steam_score": 13,
"steam_subtitle": "Limited conviction",
"steam_tier": "C",
"title": "Betting Signal"
},
"decision_chain": {
"academy_links": [
{
"key": "market_disagree",
"read_min": 5,
"title": "When Should You Trust AI Over the Market?",
"url": "/academy/ai-betting/when-should-you-trust-ai-over-the-market/en"
},
{
"key": "steam",
"read_min": 4,
"title": "What Is a Steam Move?",
"url": "/academy/betting-market/what-is-a-steam-move/en"
},
{
"key": "clv_pending",
"read_min": 3,
"title": "Why CLV Matters More Than Win Rate",
"url": "/academy/clv/why-clv-matters-more-than-win-rate/en"
}
],
"alignment": {
"direction_aligned": false,
"direction_key": "conflict",
"gap_pp": 11.2,
"key": "conflict",
"label": "Disagree",
"model_strong": false,
"pricing_aligned": true,
"pricing_key": "moderate",
"probability_gap_pp": 11.2,
"summary": "The market has moved away from Hutnik Krak\u00f3w, but the model still strongly favours Hutnik Krak\u00f3w."
},
"authority": {
"action": "no_bet",
"alignment": {
"direction_aligned": false,
"direction_key": "conflict",
"gap_pp": 11.2,
"key": "conflict",
"label": "Disagree",
"model_strong": false,
"pricing_aligned": true,
"pricing_key": "moderate",
"probability_gap_pp": 11.2,
"summary": "The market has moved away from Hutnik Krak\u00f3w, but the model still strongly favours Hutnik Krak\u00f3w."
},
"alignment_key": "conflict",
"best_consensus_ev": 0.2328,
"best_outlier_ev": 0.2328,
"confidence_band": "Moderate\u2013Low",
"decision_strength": 3.0,
"decision_strength_v1": 6.5,
"decision_strength_v2": 3.8,
"decision_type": "NO_SIGNAL",
"execution_confidence": 19,
"extreme_disagreement": false,
"final_verdict_audit": {
"action": "Monitor closing market and validate with CLV.",
"action_label": "Action",
"decision": "No Primary Bet",
"is_primary": false,
"snapshot": "The Decision Model estimates Hutnik Krak\u00f3w at 38.0%, compared with a no-vig market probability of 30.2%.",
"why": [
{
"text": "Decision Model identifies Hutnik Krak\u00f3w as the value side (38.0%)",
"tone": "ok"
},
{
"text": "Market pricing conflicts with the model lean",
"tone": "bad"
},
{
"text": "Model\u2013market disagreement blocks Primary sizing",
"tone": "bad"
},
{
"text": "Market quality / price reliability is insufficient for Primary",
"tone": "bad"
},
{
"text": "Model confidence reduced due to calibration uncertainty",
"tone": "bad"
}
],
"why_label": "Decision Summary"
},
"gap_pp": 7.8,
"gates_failed": [
"Reliability below 65"
],
"has_top_pick": true,
"headline": "No Primary Bet",
"hero_mode": "default",
"icon": "\u25cb",
"label": "No Primary Bet",
"market_signal": "The market has moved away from Hutnik Krak\u00f3w, but the model still strongly favours Hutnik Krak\u00f3w.",
"model_conflict_detail": null,
"model_lean": "Hutnik Krak\u00f3w",
"no_primary_reasons": {
"all_triggered": [
"market_conflict",
"market_quality",
"calibration_risk"
],
"calibration_mode": "soft",
"codes": [
"market_conflict",
"market_quality"
],
"label": "Reason",
"other_factors": [
{
"code": "market_quality",
"detail": "Price reliability is weak (thin coverage, outlier quote, or low book agreement).",
"name": "Market Quality Risk",
"short": "Market Quality Risk",
"tone": "warn"
}
],
"other_label": "Other factors",
"primary": {
"code": "market_conflict",
"detail": "Model lean and market pricing / drift are not aligned.",
"name": "Market Conflict",
"short": "Market Conflict",
"subtype": "drift_against_model",
"tone": "warn"
},
"secondary": {
"code": "market_quality",
"detail": "Price reliability is weak (thin coverage, outlier quote, or low book agreement).",
"name": "Market Quality Risk",
"short": "Market Quality Risk",
"tone": "warn"
},
"version": "v1"
},
"outlier_detected": false,
"outlier_excluded_panel": "",
"primary_allowed": false,
"primary_block_explain": {
"entries": [
{
"key": "positive_ev",
"label": "Consensus EV +23.3% meets Primary gate (\u2265+5.0%)",
"ok": true
},
{
"key": "gate",
"label": "Reliability below 65",
"ok": false
}
],
"lean_ev_threshold_pct": 2.0,
"primary_ev_threshold_pct": 5.0,
"subtitle": "Primary needs consensus EV \u2265 +5.0% plus reliability/execution/calibration gates (Decision Strength is explain-only). Lean/tracked gate is +2.0% (selective only \u2014 not default Primary sizing).",
"title": "Why not Primary?"
},
"primary_gate_checklist": "Gate checklist: Consensus EV +23.3% \u2705 (need \u2265+5.0%) \u00b7 Calibration See checklist \u274c \u2192 Primary blocked. Decision Strength 3.0/10 (explain only, not a Primary gate). If you still act under hard block: example stake 0.10\u20130.20% bankroll (never Primary).",
"primary_gate_snapshot": "Primary Gate Snapshot: Consensus EV +23.3% (gate \u2265+5.0%) \u00b7 Calibration: See checklist \u2192 Primary blocked \u00b7 Decision Strength 3.0/10 (display only)",
"primary_gates": {
"items": [
{
"key": "extreme_gap",
"label": "Extreme gap",
"ok": true,
"value": "no"
},
{
"key": "xg_calibration",
"label": "xG calibration",
"ok": true,
"value": "warning"
},
{
"key": "reliability",
"label": "Rel",
"ok": false,
"value": "54 (\u226565)"
},
{
"key": "execution",
"label": "Exec",
"ok": false,
"value": "19 (\u226565)"
},
{
"key": "alignment",
"label": "Align",
"ok": false,
"value": "conflict"
},
{
"key": "consensus_ev",
"label": "ConsEV",
"ok": true,
"value": "+23.3% (\u2265+5.0%)"
},
{
"key": "top_pick",
"label": "Pick",
"ok": true,
"value": "true"
},
{
"key": "validation",
"label": "Validation",
"ok": true,
"value": "true"
}
],
"passed": 5,
"total": 8
},
"primary_type": null,
"reasons": [
"The market has moved away from Hutnik Krak\u00f3w, but the model still strongly favours Hutnik Krak\u00f3w.",
"Decision strength: 3.0/10",
"Reliability below 65"
],
"reliability_score": 54,
"speed_read": "Speed read: Model Signal can look moderate/strong while Decision Strength stays low after calibration \u2014 Strength alone does not block Primary (v2.5+); still check reliability/execution/EV hard gates.",
"strength_v2_breakdown": [
"Base decision score (v1)",
"Market steam conflicts with model",
"Consensus-line +EV",
"Low xG separation (league-average noise)"
],
"subline": "The market has moved away from Hutnik Krak\u00f3w, but the model still strongly favours Hutnik Krak\u00f3w.",
"thresholds": {
"extreme_gap_pp": 30.0,
"lean_min_consensus_ev": 0.02,
"lean_min_strength": 5.0,
"min_consensus_ev": 0.05,
"min_execution": 65,
"min_reliability": 65,
"min_strength": 7.0,
"source": "db",
"user_id": 2
},
"thresholds_source": "db",
"thresholds_user_id": 2,
"tier": "observe",
"validation_ok": true,
"value_context": {
"consensus_ev": -0.0215,
"consensus_ev_display": "-2.1%",
"consensus_odds": 3.03,
"disagreement_label": "Moderate",
"disagreement_level": "moderate",
"implied_prob": 0.3022,
"is_extreme_disagreement": false,
"model_prob": 0.3803,
"raw_edge_display": "+7.8 percentage points",
"raw_edge_pp": 7.8,
"raw_implied_prob": 0.33003300330033003,
"raw_signal_ev": 0.1523,
"raw_signal_ev_display": "+15.2%"
},
"version": "v2.5",
"xg_calibration": {
"block_value_alert": false,
"calibration_status": "warning",
"deviation_pct": 0.7,
"reasons": [
"Thin xG separation gap=0.12"
],
"recommended_action": "monitor",
"strength_delta": -1.0,
"uplift_away": null,
"uplift_home": null,
"xg_separation": {
"band": "low",
"block_value_alert": false,
"separation_score": -10,
"strength_delta": -1.0,
"xg_gap": 0.12
}
}
},
"bet_status": "no_bet",
"books_breadth_display": "2/11",
"breadth_ratio": 0.18181818181818182,
"evidence": {
"score": 57,
"signals": [
{
"icon": "\u25cb",
"key": "statistical_edge",
"label": "No strong statistical edge",
"status": "neutral"
},
{
"icon": "!",
"key": "market_agreement",
"label": "Recent market move conflicts with the model favourite",
"status": "caution"
},
{
"icon": "!",
"key": "steam",
"label": "Market drift conflicts with model",
"status": "caution"
},
{
"icon": "!",
"key": "validation",
"label": "Validation warning",
"status": "caution"
}
],
"stars": 2,
"tier": "moderate",
"tier_label": "Moderate"
},
"forecast_reliability": {
"breakdown": [
{
"key": "validation",
"label": "Validation: Warning",
"tone": "caution"
},
{
"key": "gap",
"label": "Large market gap (11 pp)",
"tone": "caution"
},
{
"key": "steam",
"label": "Market drift conflicts with model",
"tone": "caution"
}
],
"parts": {
"alignment": 19.4,
"data_quality": 12.0,
"market_coverage": 1.8,
"steam_coherence": 2.0,
"validation": 14.0
},
"score": 54,
"stars": 2,
"tier": "moderate",
"tier_label": "Moderate"
},
"lean_gap_pp": 11.22,
"market_agreement": "weak",
"max_gap_pp": 11.22,
"model_calibration": {
"away_xg": 1.36,
"calibration_status": "ok",
"deviation_pct": 1.0,
"elevated": false,
"home_xg": 1.24,
"impact_note": "",
"league_avg_xg": 1.35,
"peak_xg": 1.36,
"status_label": "Within typical league range",
"summary": "Home xG 1.24 \u00b7 Away xG 1.36 \u00b7 League avg 1.35 \u00b7 Peak deviation +1%",
"title": "Model Calibration Check"
},
"move_is_drift": true,
"mv_status": "warning",
"odds_delta_pct": 3.6,
"steam_conflicts": true,
"steam_move_display": "\u2191 +3.6%",
"steam_team": "Hutnik Krak\u00f3w",
"suppress_execution": false,
"value_split": {
"execution_confidence": {
"label": "Monitoring Confidence",
"score": 19,
"tier": "not_reliable",
"tier_label": "Not reliable"
},
"market_compatibility": {
"label": "Pricing proximity (inverse gap)",
"note": "This score falls as the probability gap (pp) rises \u2014 it is NOT a bet green light. Direction may still agree (see Alignment above). Formula: proximity = max(0, 100 \u2212 5\u00d7pp). Example: 16 pp \u2192 20/100 (diverged).",
"score": 21,
"tier": "not_reliable",
"tier_label": "Not reliable"
},
"model_edge_strength": {
"label": "Model Signal Strength",
"score": 38,
"tier": "low",
"tier_label": "Low"
},
"model_value": {
"label": "Pricing proximity (inverse gap)",
"note": "This score falls as the probability gap (pp) rises \u2014 it is NOT a bet green light. Direction may still agree (see Alignment above). Formula: proximity = max(0, 100 \u2212 5\u00d7pp). Example: 16 pp \u2192 20/100 (diverged).",
"score": 21,
"tier": "not_reliable",
"tier_label": "Not reliable"
},
"recommendation": {
"action": "no_bet",
"label": "No Primary Bet"
}
},
"verdict": {
"agree_note": "The market has moved away from Hutnik Krak\u00f3w, but the model still strongly favours Hutnik Krak\u00f3w.",
"alignment": {
"direction_aligned": false,
"direction_key": "conflict",
"gap_pp": 11.2,
"key": "conflict",
"label": "Disagree",
"model_strong": false,
"pricing_aligned": true,
"pricing_key": "moderate",
"probability_gap_pp": 11.2,
"summary": "The market has moved away from Hutnik Krak\u00f3w, but the model still strongly favours Hutnik Krak\u00f3w."
},
"authority": {
"action": "no_bet",
"alignment": {
"direction_aligned": false,
"direction_key": "conflict",
"gap_pp": 11.2,
"key": "conflict",
"label": "Disagree",
"model_strong": false,
"pricing_aligned": true,
"pricing_key": "moderate",
"probability_gap_pp": 11.2,
"summary": "The market has moved away from Hutnik Krak\u00f3w, but the model still strongly favours Hutnik Krak\u00f3w."
},
"alignment_key": "conflict",
"best_consensus_ev": 0.2328,
"best_outlier_ev": 0.2328,
"confidence_band": "Moderate\u2013Low",
"decision_strength": 3.0,
"decision_strength_v1": 6.5,
"decision_strength_v2": 3.8,
"decision_type": "NO_SIGNAL",
"execution_confidence": 19,
"extreme_disagreement": false,
"final_verdict_audit": {
"action": "Monitor closing market and validate with CLV.",
"action_label": "Action",
"decision": "No Primary Bet",
"is_primary": false,
"snapshot": "The Decision Model estimates Hutnik Krak\u00f3w at 38.0%, compared with a no-vig market probability of 30.2%.",
"why": [
{
"text": "Decision Model identifies Hutnik Krak\u00f3w as the value side (38.0%)",
"tone": "ok"
},
{
"text": "Market pricing conflicts with the model lean",
"tone": "bad"
},
{
"text": "Model\u2013market disagreement blocks Primary sizing",
"tone": "bad"
},
{
"text": "Market quality / price reliability is insufficient for Primary",
"tone": "bad"
},
{
"text": "Model confidence reduced due to calibration uncertainty",
"tone": "bad"
}
],
"why_label": "Decision Summary"
},
"gap_pp": 7.8,
"gates_failed": [
"Reliability below 65"
],
"has_top_pick": true,
"headline": "No Primary Bet",
"hero_mode": "default",
"icon": "\u25cb",
"label": "No Primary Bet",
"market_signal": "The market has moved away from Hutnik Krak\u00f3w, but the model still strongly favours Hutnik Krak\u00f3w.",
"model_conflict_detail": null,
"model_lean": "Hutnik Krak\u00f3w",
"no_primary_reasons": {
"all_triggered": [
"market_conflict",
"market_quality",
"calibration_risk"
],
"calibration_mode": "soft",
"codes": [
"market_conflict",
"market_quality"
],
"label": "Reason",
"other_factors": [
{
"code": "market_quality",
"detail": "Price reliability is weak (thin coverage, outlier quote, or low book agreement).",
"name": "Market Quality Risk",
"short": "Market Quality Risk",
"tone": "warn"
}
],
"other_label": "Other factors",
"primary": {
"code": "market_conflict",
"detail": "Model lean and market pricing / drift are not aligned.",
"name": "Market Conflict",
"short": "Market Conflict",
"subtype": "drift_against_model",
"tone": "warn"
},
"secondary": {
"code": "market_quality",
"detail": "Price reliability is weak (thin coverage, outlier quote, or low book agreement).",
"name": "Market Quality Risk",
"short": "Market Quality Risk",
"tone": "warn"
},
"version": "v1"
},
"outlier_detected": false,
"outlier_excluded_panel": "",
"primary_allowed": false,
"primary_block_explain": {
"entries": [
{
"key": "positive_ev",
"label": "Consensus EV +23.3% meets Primary gate (\u2265+5.0%)",
"ok": true
},
{
"key": "gate",
"label": "Reliability below 65",
"ok": false
}
],
"lean_ev_threshold_pct": 2.0,
"primary_ev_threshold_pct": 5.0,
"subtitle": "Primary needs consensus EV \u2265 +5.0% plus reliability/execution/calibration gates (Decision Strength is explain-only). Lean/tracked gate is +2.0% (selective only \u2014 not default Primary sizing).",
"title": "Why not Primary?"
},
"primary_gate_checklist": "Gate checklist: Consensus EV +23.3% \u2705 (need \u2265+5.0%) \u00b7 Calibration See checklist \u274c \u2192 Primary blocked. Decision Strength 3.0/10 (explain only, not a Primary gate). If you still act under hard block: example stake 0.10\u20130.20% bankroll (never Primary).",
"primary_gate_snapshot": "Primary Gate Snapshot: Consensus EV +23.3% (gate \u2265+5.0%) \u00b7 Calibration: See checklist \u2192 Primary blocked \u00b7 Decision Strength 3.0/10 (display only)",
"primary_gates": {
"items": [
{
"key": "extreme_gap",
"label": "Extreme gap",
"ok": true,
"value": "no"
},
{
"key": "xg_calibration",
"label": "xG calibration",
"ok": true,
"value": "warning"
},
{
"key": "reliability",
"label": "Rel",
"ok": false,
"value": "54 (\u226565)"
},
{
"key": "execution",
"label": "Exec",
"ok": false,
"value": "19 (\u226565)"
},
{
"key": "alignment",
"label": "Align",
"ok": false,
"value": "conflict"
},
{
"key": "consensus_ev",
"label": "ConsEV",
"ok": true,
"value": "+23.3% (\u2265+5.0%)"
},
{
"key": "top_pick",
"label": "Pick",
"ok": true,
"value": "true"
},
{
"key": "validation",
"label": "Validation",
"ok": true,
"value": "true"
}
],
"passed": 5,
"total": 8
},
"primary_type": null,
"reasons": [
"The market has moved away from Hutnik Krak\u00f3w, but the model still strongly favours Hutnik Krak\u00f3w.",
"Decision strength: 3.0/10",
"Reliability below 65"
],
"reliability_score": 54,
"speed_read": "Speed read: Model Signal can look moderate/strong while Decision Strength stays low after calibration \u2014 Strength alone does not block Primary (v2.5+); still check reliability/execution/EV hard gates.",
"strength_v2_breakdown": [
"Base decision score (v1)",
"Market steam conflicts with model",
"Consensus-line +EV",
"Low xG separation (league-average noise)"
],
"subline": "The market has moved away from Hutnik Krak\u00f3w, but the model still strongly favours Hutnik Krak\u00f3w.",
"thresholds": {
"extreme_gap_pp": 30.0,
"lean_min_consensus_ev": 0.02,
"lean_min_strength": 5.0,
"min_consensus_ev": 0.05,
"min_execution": 65,
"min_reliability": 65,
"min_strength": 7.0,
"source": "db",
"user_id": 2
},
"thresholds_source": "db",
"thresholds_user_id": 2,
"tier": "observe",
"validation_ok": true,
"value_context": {
"consensus_ev": -0.0215,
"consensus_ev_display": "-2.1%",
"consensus_odds": 3.03,
"disagreement_label": "Moderate",
"disagreement_level": "moderate",
"implied_prob": 0.3022,
"is_extreme_disagreement": false,
"model_prob": 0.3803,
"raw_edge_display": "+7.8 percentage points",
"raw_edge_pp": 7.8,
"raw_implied_prob": 0.33003300330033003,
"raw_signal_ev": 0.1523,
"raw_signal_ev_display": "+15.2%"
},
"version": "v2.5",
"xg_calibration": {
"block_value_alert": false,
"calibration_status": "warning",
"deviation_pct": 0.7,
"reasons": [
"Thin xG separation gap=0.12"
],
"recommended_action": "monitor",
"strength_delta": -1.0,
"uplift_away": null,
"uplift_home": null,
"xg_separation": {
"band": "low",
"block_value_alert": false,
"separation_score": -10,
"strength_delta": -1.0,
"xg_gap": 0.12
}
}
},
"headline": "No Primary Bet",
"icon": "\u25cb",
"label": "No Primary Bet",
"subline": "The market has moved away from Hutnik Krak\u00f3w, but the model still strongly favours Hutnik Krak\u00f3w.",
"tier": "observe"
},
"why": {
"action_line": "Compare model lean with current best odds before sizing any bet.",
"bullets": [
"Model: Znicz Pruszk\u00f3w 1.24 xG vs Hutnik Krak\u00f3w 1.36 \u2192 Hutnik Krak\u00f3w 38.0%",
"Market: Znicz Pruszk\u00f3w ~30.2% implied",
"Market Drift: Hutnik Krak\u00f3w odds \u2191 +3.6%"
],
"one_liner": "Model favours Hutnik Krak\u00f3w, but the market has moved away from Hutnik Krak\u00f3w.",
"title": "Why?"
}
},
"edge_rows": [
{
"edge_pp": -11.22,
"fair_prob": 32.39,
"label": "Znicz Pruszk\u00f3w",
"market_prob": 43.61,
"market_type": "1x2",
"outcome": "home"
},
{
"edge_pp": 3.42,
"fair_prob": 29.59,
"label": "Draw",
"market_prob": 26.17,
"market_type": "1x2",
"outcome": "draw"
},
{
"edge_pp": 7.79,
"fair_prob": 38.01,
"label": "Hutnik Krak\u00f3w",
"market_prob": 30.22,
"market_type": "1x2",
"outcome": "away"
},
{
"edge_pp": -11.56,
"fair_prob": 48.2,
"label": "Over 2.5",
"market_prob": 59.76,
"market_type": "ou25",
"outcome": "over"
},
{
"edge_pp": 11.56,
"fair_prob": 51.8,
"label": "Under 2.5",
"market_prob": 40.24,
"market_type": "ou25",
"outcome": "under"
},
{
"edge_pp": -7.91,
"fair_prob": 54.4,
"label": "BTTS Yes",
"market_prob": 62.31,
"market_type": "btts",
"outcome": "yes"
},
{
"edge_pp": 7.91,
"fair_prob": 45.6,
"label": "BTTS No",
"market_prob": 37.69,
"market_type": "btts",
"outcome": "no"
}
],
"edge_snapshot": {
"edge_label": "strong_disagreement",
"edge_pp": -11.22,
"fair_prob_pct": 32.39,
"hero_side": "home",
"hero_team_name": "Znicz Pruszk\u00f3w",
"market_prob_pct": 43.61,
"status": "strong_market_ahead",
"steam_team_name": "Hutnik Krak\u00f3w"
},
"fair_source": "poisson_pipeline",
"fair_vs_market": {
"closing_capture": "PRE1",
"closing_footnote": "Model probabilities are generated from the statistical xG model using a Poisson distribution. Closing market probabilities are derived from consensus closing 1X2 odds after margin removal. Values represent implied probabilities rather than betting recommendations. Closing snapshot: PRE1.",
"comparison_available": true,
"comparison_disabled": false,
"comparison_summary": "The closing market estimates Znicz Pruszk\u00f3w\u0027s win probability at 43.6%, compared with the model\u0027s estimate of 32.4%, a difference of 11.2 percentage points. This highlights a disagreement between the model and market consensus, without indicating which view is ultimately correct.",
"degraded_note": "",
"divergence_guard": {
"divergence_level": "strong",
"edge_status": "strong_market_ahead",
"max_gap_pp": 11.22,
"suppress_hero": false,
"suppress_value_language": false
},
"divergence_label": "Strong model-market divergence",
"divergence_level": "strong",
"divergence_level_label": "Strong divergence",
"divergence_note": "The fair estimate differs noticeably from current market pricing. This may reflect genuine disagreement or incomplete rating inputs.",
"divergence_tier": "strong",
"edge_label": "Strong disagreement",
"edge_label_key": "strong_disagreement",
"fair_confidence": "medium",
"fair_confidence_label": "Medium",
"fair_source_note": "Model probabilities are generated from the statistical xG model using a Poisson distribution. Closing market probabilities are derived from consensus closing 1X2 odds after margin removal. Values represent implied probabilities rather than betting recommendations. Closing snapshot: PRE1.",
"forecast_assessment": {
"favourite_class": "Balanced match",
"favourite_label": "Hutnik Krak\u00f3w",
"forecast_certainty_tier": "low",
"headline": "Balanced match",
"market_agreement_label": "Weak",
"market_direction": {
"label": "Conflicts with model",
"positive": false
},
"market_prob_pct": 30.2,
"model_prob_gap_display": "+7.8 percentage points",
"model_prob_gap_pp": 7.8,
"model_prob_pct": 38.0,
"outcome_separation_tier": "medium",
"paragraphs": [],
"pricing_convergence": {
"gap_display": "+7.8 percentage points",
"gap_pp": 7.8,
"label": "Moderate",
"label_key": "mi_fa_pricing_moderate"
},
"reliability_headline": "Limited reliability",
"reliability_icon": "!",
"reliability_score": 54,
"reliability_tier": "limited",
"summary": "The market has moved away from Hutnik Krak\u00f3w, but the model still strongly favours Hutnik Krak\u00f3w. This disagreement reduces confidence and prevents a Primary bet.",
"tier": "balanced",
"title": "Prediction Assessment",
"validation_label": "Warning",
"value_split": {
"execution_confidence": {
"label": "Monitoring Confidence",
"score": 19,
"tier": "not_reliable",
"tier_label": "Not reliable"
},
"market_compatibility": {
"label": "Pricing proximity (inverse gap)",
"note": "This score falls as the probability gap (pp) rises \u2014 it is NOT a bet green light. Direction may still agree (see Alignment above). Formula: proximity = max(0, 100 \u2212 5\u00d7pp). Example: 16 pp \u2192 20/100 (diverged).",
"score": 21,
"tier": "not_reliable",
"tier_label": "Not reliable"
},
"model_edge_strength": {
"label": "Model Signal Strength",
"score": 38,
"tier": "low",
"tier_label": "Low"
},
"model_value": {
"label": "Pricing proximity (inverse gap)",
"note": "This score falls as the probability gap (pp) rises \u2014 it is NOT a bet green light. Direction may still agree (see Alignment above). Formula: proximity = max(0, 100 \u2212 5\u00d7pp). Example: 16 pp \u2192 20/100 (diverged).",
"score": 21,
"tier": "not_reliable",
"tier_label": "Not reliable"
},
"recommendation": {
"action": "no_bet",
"label": "No Primary Bet"
}
},
"why": {
"action_line": "Compare model lean with current best odds before sizing any bet.",
"bullets": [
"Model: Znicz Pruszk\u00f3w 1.24 xG vs Hutnik Krak\u00f3w 1.36 \u2192 Hutnik Krak\u00f3w 38.0%",
"Market: Znicz Pruszk\u00f3w ~30.2% implied",
"Market Drift: Hutnik Krak\u00f3w odds \u2191 +3.6%"
],
"one_liner": "Model favours Hutnik Krak\u00f3w, but the market has moved away from Hutnik Krak\u00f3w.",
"title": "Why?"
}
},
"forecast_certainty": {
"note": "Three outcomes remain closely bunched \u2014 treat as a relatively open match.",
"tier": "low",
"tier_label": "Low"
},
"forecast_certainty_label": "Low",
"has_market_probs": true,
"hero_edge_pp": -11.22,
"hero_label": "Znicz Pruszk\u00f3w",
"hero_side": "home",
"market_activity": "Hutnik Krak\u00f3w odds lengthened \u2191 +3.6%.",
"market_agreement": "weak",
"market_agreement_label": "Weak",
"market_interpretation": {
"bullets": [
"Investors may be incorporating information not fully reflected in the baseline model.",
"Tournament-specific context can shift market pricing."
],
"follow_up": "However, Hutnik Krak\u00f3w has seen drift \u2014 odds lengthened by 3.6%, suggesting weakening support. Confirmation remains limited (2/11 books), suggesting early interest rather than a broad market move.",
"gap_tier": "strong",
"lead": "The market is materially more optimistic about Znicz Pruszk\u00f3w than the current fair estimate.",
"note": "",
"paragraphs": [
"The market is materially more optimistic about Znicz Pruszk\u00f3w than the current fair estimate.",
"However, Hutnik Krak\u00f3w has seen drift \u2014 odds lengthened by 3.6%, suggesting weakening support. Confirmation remains limited (2/11 books), suggesting early interest rather than a broad market move."
],
"quiet_market": false,
"title": "Market Assessment"
},
"market_narrative": {
"paragraphs": [
"The market favors Znicz Pruszk\u00f3w more strongly than the current fair estimate.",
"At the same time, Hutnik Krak\u00f3w has drifted \u2014 odds lengthened by 3.6%, suggesting weakening support.",
"Market confirmation remains limited (2/11), suggesting an early move rather than a broad consensus."
],
"title": "Current Market Narrative"
},
"market_source": "closing_1x2",
"max_gap_pp": 11.22,
"model_validation": {
"score_label_key": "mi_mv_warning",
"status": "warning"
},
"model_validation_label": "Warning",
"outcome_separation": {
"breakdown": [
"No outcome exceeds 50% on the 1X2 grid.",
"Favourite exceeds second outcome by 5.6 pp (at 38.0%)."
],
"lead_gap_pp": 5.6,
"max_prob_pct": 38.0,
"note": "How spread out the model 1X2 probabilities are \u2014 crowded splits mean no single outcome dominates. Not accuracy vs the market.",
"tier": "medium",
"tier_label": "Medium"
},
"outcome_separation_label": "Medium",
"overall_assessment": {
"badge_class": "strong",
"largest_gap_label": "Znicz Pruszk\u00f3w",
"largest_gap_pp": -11.2,
"lead": "The closing market prices Znicz Pruszk\u00f3w higher than the statistical model.",
"level": "strong",
"max_gap_pp": 11.2,
"title": "Strong Disagreement"
},
"rows": [
{
"difference_pp": -11.22,
"edge_pp": -11.22,
"fair_prob_pct": 32.39,
"is_hero": true,
"label": "Znicz Pruszk\u00f3w",
"market_prob_pct": 43.61,
"side": "home",
"signal_key": "market_higher",
"signal_label": "Market Higher"
},
{
"difference_pp": 3.42,
"edge_pp": 3.42,
"fair_prob_pct": 29.59,
"is_hero": false,
"label": "Draw",
"market_prob_pct": 26.17,
"side": "draw",
"signal_key": "aligned",
"signal_label": "Aligned"
},
{
"difference_pp": 7.79,
"edge_pp": 7.79,
"fair_prob_pct": 38.01,
"is_hero": false,
"label": "Hutnik Krak\u00f3w",
"market_prob_pct": 30.22,
"side": "away",
"signal_key": "model_higher",
"signal_label": "Model Higher"
}
],
"status": "strong_market_ahead",
"status_label": "Strong Market Ahead",
"steam_note": "",
"unavailable_note": ""
},
"interpretation": {
"has_conflict": true,
"paragraphs": [
"The betting market strongly prefers Znicz Pruszk\u00f3w (30.2%).",
"Hutnik Krak\u00f3w odds have drifted longer across books (\u2191 +3.6%, 2/11) \u2014 market pricing moves against this side.",
"This creates a conflict: Model \u2192 Hutnik Krak\u00f3w, Market \u2192 Znicz Pruszk\u00f3w, while Hutnik Krak\u00f3w odds drifted longer (market fade).",
"Because signals disagree, confidence remains limited."
],
"show": true,
"title": "OddsGPT Interpretation"
},
"lifecycle": {
"closing_implied_pct": 47.62,
"closing_odds": 2.1,
"closing_reason": "",
"closing_status": "recorded",
"closing_status_label": "Recorded",
"clv_pending": true,
"clv_pp": 0.0,
"clv_reason": "",
"clv_status": "pending",
"context": "match",
"current_stage": "waiting_for_kickoff",
"current_stage_detail": "",
"current_stage_label": "Waiting for kickoff",
"entry_implied_pct": 47.62,
"entry_odds": 2.1,
"match_phase": "upcoming",
"match_phase_detail": "",
"match_phase_display": "Upcoming",
"match_phase_label": "Upcoming",
"model_validation_label": "Warning",
"model_validation_status": "warning",
"stages": [
{
"detail": "",
"id": "forecast_generated",
"label": "Prediction Generated",
"status": "done"
},
{
"detail": "",
"id": "market_detected",
"label": "Market Compared",
"status": "active"
},
{
"detail": "",
"id": "model_validated",
"label": "Validation Passed",
"status": "active"
},
{
"detail": "PRE1",
"id": "closing_recorded",
"label": "Closing Recorded",
"status": "done"
},
{
"detail": "",
"id": "clv_evaluated",
"label": "CLV Evaluated",
"status": "pending"
}
]
},
"market_move_intelligence": {
"books_reacting": 2,
"books_reacting_detail": [
{
"bookmaker_id": 8,
"bookmaker_name": "Bet365",
"is_sharp": true,
"move_delta_display": "\u2191 +3.6%",
"odds_delta_pct": 3.6
},
{
"bookmaker_id": 9,
"bookmaker_name": "Dafabet",
"is_sharp": false,
"move_delta_display": "\u2191 +3.1%",
"odds_delta_pct": 3.1
}
],
"books_total": 11,
"breadth_display": "2/11",
"clv_label": "+0.00 pp",
"clv_status": "evaluated",
"current_odds": 2.9,
"is_drift": true,
"move_context": "Sharpest sharp-led move",
"move_display": "\u2191 +3.6%",
"move_pct_abs": 3.6,
"move_speed_icon": "\ud83d\udc22",
"move_speed_label": "Slow drift over 61h 9m",
"narrative_paragraphs": [
"Volatile two-way pricing on Hutnik Krak\u00f3w (swing 3.30 \u2192 2.70 \u2192 2.90) \u2014 net 3.6% but intraday chop is elevated.",
"Price swings look choppy \u2014 volatility reduced overall confidence in the directional signal."
],
"narrative_title": "Market Narrative",
"odds_delta_pct": 3.6,
"odds_path": {
"chart_y_labels": [
"3.03",
"2.92",
"2.80"
],
"display": "3.30 \u2192 2.70 \u2192 2.90",
"move_speed_icon": "\ud83d\udc22",
"move_speed_label": "Slow drift over 61h 9m",
"pick_team": "Hutnik Krak\u00f3w",
"points": [
{
"label_key": "open",
"value": "3.30"
},
{
"label_key": "extreme",
"value": "2.70"
},
{
"label_key": "current",
"value": "2.90"
}
],
"sparkline_points": [
2.8,
3.03,
2.9
],
"sparkline_polyline": "0.0,18.0 28.0,0.0 56.0,10.2",
"sparkline_trend": "up",
"sparkline_trend_label": "One-way rise",
"summary_boxes": [
{
"label_key": "open",
"value": "2.80"
},
{
"label_key": "low",
"value": "2.80"
},
{
"label_key": "high",
"value": "3.03"
},
{
"label_key": "current",
"value": "2.90"
}
]
},
"open_odds": 2.8,
"page_alert_line": "",
"phase_label": "Volatile",
"phase_tip": "High disagreement or chop \u2014 low reliability for directional bets.",
"pick_team": "Hutnik Krak\u00f3w",
"ref_book": "Bet365",
"seo_title_alert": "",
"sharp_leader": "Bet365",
"show": true,
"signal_badge_class": "warn",
"signal_icon": "\u26a0\ufe0f",
"signal_impact": {
"current_odds": 2.9,
"is_drift": true,
"label": "Market Signal",
"move_display": "\u2191 +3.6%",
"open_odds": 2.8,
"summary": "Market moved away from Hutnik Krak\u00f3w while the model still favours another side.",
"team": "Hutnik Krak\u00f3w",
"tone": "against"
},
"signal_key": "volatile_market",
"signal_label": "Volatile market",
"steam_score": 13,
"steam_subtitle": "Limited conviction",
"steam_tier": "C",
"title": "Market Move Intelligence"
},
"market_overview": {
"breadth_display": "2/11",
"current_odds": 2.9,
"move_display": "\u2191 +3.6%",
"open_odds": 2.8,
"pick_team": "Hutnik Krak\u00f3w",
"steam_score": 13,
"steam_team_name": "Hutnik Krak\u00f3w",
"steam_tier": "C"
},
"premium_teaser": {
"current_divergence_pp": 11.2,
"divergence_label": "Current divergence",
"title": "Premium Market Intelligence",
"unlock_items": [
"Historical similar matches",
"Closing odds analysis",
"CLV tracking",
"Sharp money signals",
"Market efficiency rating",
"Historical model vs market results"
],
"unlock_label": "Unlock"
},
"show": true
},
"match": {
"away_expected_goals": null,
"away_goal_display": null,
"away_team_display_name": "Hutnik Krak\u00f3w",
"away_team_id": 6942,
"away_team_logo": "/static/teams/6942.webp",
"away_team_name": "Hutnik Krak\u00f3w",
"away_team_public_id": "1P2UXeigj5mRrq",
"away_team_slug": "hutnik-krakow",
"country_code": "PL",
"country_display_name": "Poland",
"country_flag": "/static/images/country/pl.svg",
"country_id": 128,
"country_name": "Poland",
"fixture_id": 1561646,
"goals_away": null,
"goals_home": null,
"home_expected_goals": null,
"home_goal_display": null,
"home_team_country": "Poland",
"home_team_display_name": "Znicz Pruszk\u00f3w",
"home_team_id": 6964,
"home_team_logo": "/static/teams/6964.webp",
"home_team_name": "Znicz Pruszk\u00f3w",
"home_team_public_id": "4FNJmgqo4peq0q",
"home_team_slug": "znicz-pruszkow",
"league_country": "Poland",
"league_country_display": "Poland",
"league_display_name": "II liga \u2013 East",
"league_id": 109,
"league_logo": "/static/leagues/109.webp",
"league_name": "II liga \u2013 East",
"league_public_id": "5kAPo8EJElUiHj",
"league_season": 2026,
"match_date": "2026-09-06 12:30:00",
"public_id": "2QnqSRwRZZyTX1",
"score_fulltime_away": null,
"score_fulltime_home": null,
"score_penalty_away": null,
"score_penalty_home": null,
"status_long": "Not Started",
"status_short": "NS",
"venue_city": null,
"venue_name": "Stadion MZOS Znicz"
},
"match_decision": {
"confidence": {
"breakdown": [
"pred_conf_md_max_1x2_under_50",
"pred_conf_md_top_two_close",
"pred_conf_md_line_above_ev"
],
"breakdown_resolved": [
"Max 1X2 prob under 50% (open contest) (\u22121.0)",
"Top two outcomes relatively close in probability (\u22120.5)",
"At least one tracked line above +EV threshold (+0.5)"
],
"score": 6.0
},
"markets": {
"1x2": {
"1x2_ev_mode": "market_first_p15",
"away": {
"alpha": 0.2649,
"best_odd": 3.03,
"calibration": {
"active": false,
"hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
},
"edge": 0.0207,
"ev": -0.0215,
"implied_prob": 0.3022,
"joint_probs": {
"away": 0.3022,
"draw": 0.2617,
"home": 0.4361
},
"model_prob": 0.3803,
"p_final": 0.3229
},
"draw": {
"alpha": 0.2846,
"best_odd": 3.5,
"calibration": {
"active": false,
"hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
},
"edge": 0.0098,
"ev": -0.05,
"implied_prob": 0.2617,
"joint_probs": {
"away": 0.3022,
"draw": 0.2617,
"home": 0.4361
},
"model_prob": 0.2959,
"p_final": 0.2714
},
"ev_available": true,
"home": {
"alpha": 0.3741,
"best_odd": 2.1,
"calibration": {
"active": false,
"hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
},
"edge": -0.042,
"ev": -0.1725,
"implied_prob": 0.4361,
"joint_probs": {
"away": 0.3022,
"draw": 0.2617,
"home": 0.4361
},
"model_prob": 0.3237,
"p_final": 0.3941
}
},
"1x2_outlier": {
"1x2_ev_mode": "legacy_max_odd",
"away": {
"best_odd": 3.03,
"edge": 0.0503,
"ev": 0.1524,
"implied_prob": 0.33,
"model_prob": 0.3803
},
"draw": {
"best_odd": 3.5,
"edge": 0.0102,
"ev": 0.0358,
"implied_prob": 0.2857,
"model_prob": 0.2959
},
"ev_available": true,
"home": {
"best_odd": 2.1,
"edge": -0.1525,
"ev": -0.3202,
"implied_prob": 0.4762,
"model_prob": 0.3237
}
},
"btts": {
"alpha_no": 0.1644,
"alpha_yes": 0.2261,
"best_no_odd": 2.52,
"best_yes_odd": 1.52,
"btts_ev_mode": "market_first_available",
"edge_no": 0.0791,
"edge_yes": -0.0791,
"ev_available": true,
"ev_no": 0.1491,
"ev_no_risk_adj": -0.0566,
"ev_yes": -0.1731,
"ev_yes_risk_adj": -0.1199,
"implied_no": 0.3769,
"implied_yes": 0.6231,
"market_first": {
"available": true,
"mode": "market_first_btts",
"n_bookmakers": 8,
"no": {
"alpha": 0.1644,
"best_odd": 2.46,
"edge": 0.0143,
"ev": -0.0566,
"implied_prob": 0.3692,
"model_prob": 0.456,
"p_final": 0.3835
},
"prediction_confidence": "very_low",
"yes": {
"alpha": 0.2261,
"best_odd": 1.44,
"edge": -0.0196,
"ev": -0.1199,
"implied_prob": 0.6308,
"model_prob": 0.544,
"p_final": 0.6112
}
},
"n_bookmakers": 8,
"p_final_no": 0.3835,
"p_final_yes": 0.6112,
"prediction_confidence": "very_low",
"reliability": "medium"
},
"ou25": {
"alpha_over": 0.2124,
"alpha_under": 0.1545,
"best_over_odd": 1.6,
"best_under_odd": 2.38,
"consensus_over_odd": 1.51,
"consensus_under_odd": 2.3,
"edge_over": -0.1156,
"edge_under": 0.1156,
"ev_available": true,
"ev_over": -0.2288,
"ev_over_risk_adj": -0.1275,
"ev_under": 0.2328,
"ev_under_risk_adj": -0.0452,
"implied_over": 0.5976,
"implied_over_mf": 0.6037,
"implied_under": 0.4024,
"implied_under_mf": 0.3963,
"market_first": {
"available": true,
"mode": "market_first_ou",
"n_bookmakers": 8,
"over": {
"alpha": 0.2124,
"best_odd": 1.51,
"edge": -0.0258,
"ev": -0.1275,
"implied_prob": 0.6037,
"model_prob": 0.482,
"p_final": 0.5778
},
"prediction_confidence": "very_low",
"under": {
"alpha": 0.1545,
"best_odd": 2.3,
"edge": 0.0188,
"ev": -0.0452,
"implied_prob": 0.3963,
"model_prob": 0.518,
"p_final": 0.4151
}
},
"n_bookmakers": 8,
"ou_ev_mode": "market_first_available",
"p_final_over": 0.5778,
"p_final_under": 0.4151,
"prediction_confidence": "very_low",
"reliability": "medium"
}
},
"match_regime": {
"action": "avoid",
"code": "no_edge",
"execution_line_key": "pred_regime_exec_no_actionable",
"insight_line_key": "pred_regime_insight_minor_inefficiency",
"stake_mult": 0.0,
"use_split_strip": true
},
"match_tier": "no_bet",
"min_ev": 0.02,
"total_xg": 2.6,
"variance_flag": false
},
"unified_decision": {
"actionable_ev_threshold": 0.02,
"algorithm": {
"enabled_since": "2026-05-26",
"game_typing_module": true,
"version": "2.5.0"
},
"balanced_alternative": null,
"best_consensus_ev": 0.2328,
"best_outlier_ev": 0.2328,
"best_tracked_ev": 0.2328,
"confidence": 6.5,
"decision_confidence_v1": {
"breakdown": [
"pred_conf_v1_primary_line",
"pred_conf_v1_primary_ev_above_10",
"pred_conf_v1_max_1x2_under_50",
"pred_conf_v1_multi_ev_lines"
],
"breakdown_resolved": [
"Primary line identified (+1.0)",
"Primary EV above 10% (+1.0)",
"Max 1X2 prob under 50% (no dominant 1X2) (\u22121.0)",
"Two or more valid +EV lines at threshold (+0.5)"
],
"breakdown_v2": [
"Base decision score (v1)",
"Market steam conflicts with model",
"Consensus-line +EV",
"Low xG separation (league-average noise)"
],
"score": 3.0,
"score_v1_legacy": 6.5,
"score_v2_pre_penalty": 3.8,
"strength_v2": true
},
"decision_strength_v2": {
"breakdown": [
"Base decision score (v1)",
"Market steam conflicts with model",
"Consensus-line +EV",
"Low xG separation (league-average noise)"
],
"score": 3.0,
"score_pre_penalty": 3.8
},
"decision_type": "NO_SIGNAL",
"execution": {
"1x2_dominant": false,
"1x2_open_contest": true,
"grade": "A",
"stake_factor": 1.0
},
"favourite_misaligned_1x2": {
"active": false,
"gap": null,
"side": null
},
"final_action": "no_bet",
"final_decision": {
"action": "no_bet",
"alignment": {
"direction_aligned": false,
"direction_key": "conflict",
"gap_pp": 11.2,
"key": "conflict",
"label": "Disagree",
"model_strong": false,
"pricing_aligned": true,
"pricing_key": "moderate",
"probability_gap_pp": 11.2,
"summary": "The market has moved away from Hutnik Krak\u00f3w, but the model still strongly favours Hutnik Krak\u00f3w."
},
"alignment_key": "conflict",
"best_consensus_ev": 0.2328,
"best_outlier_ev": 0.2328,
"confidence_band": "Moderate\u2013Low",
"decision_strength": 3.0,
"decision_strength_v1": 6.5,
"decision_strength_v2": 3.8,
"decision_type": "NO_SIGNAL",
"execution_confidence": 19,
"extreme_disagreement": false,
"final_verdict_audit": {
"action": "Monitor closing market and validate with CLV.",
"action_label": "Action",
"decision": "No Primary Bet",
"is_primary": false,
"snapshot": "The Decision Model estimates Hutnik Krak\u00f3w at 38.0%, compared with a no-vig market probability of 30.2%.",
"why": [
{
"text": "Decision Model identifies Hutnik Krak\u00f3w as the value side (38.0%)",
"tone": "ok"
},
{
"text": "Market pricing conflicts with the model lean",
"tone": "bad"
},
{
"text": "Model\u2013market disagreement blocks Primary sizing",
"tone": "bad"
},
{
"text": "Market quality / price reliability is insufficient for Primary",
"tone": "bad"
},
{
"text": "Model confidence reduced due to calibration uncertainty",
"tone": "bad"
}
],
"why_label": "Decision Summary"
},
"gap_pp": 7.8,
"gates_failed": [
"Reliability below 65"
],
"has_top_pick": true,
"headline": "No Primary Bet",
"hero_mode": "default",
"icon": "\u25cb",
"label": "No Primary Bet",
"market_signal": "The market has moved away from Hutnik Krak\u00f3w, but the model still strongly favours Hutnik Krak\u00f3w.",
"model_conflict_detail": null,
"model_lean": "Hutnik Krak\u00f3w",
"no_primary_reasons": {
"all_triggered": [
"market_conflict",
"market_quality",
"calibration_risk"
],
"calibration_mode": "soft",
"codes": [
"market_conflict",
"market_quality"
],
"label": "Reason",
"other_factors": [
{
"code": "market_quality",
"detail": "Price reliability is weak (thin coverage, outlier quote, or low book agreement).",
"name": "Market Quality Risk",
"short": "Market Quality Risk",
"tone": "warn"
}
],
"other_label": "Other factors",
"primary": {
"code": "market_conflict",
"detail": "Model lean and market pricing / drift are not aligned.",
"name": "Market Conflict",
"short": "Market Conflict",
"subtype": "drift_against_model",
"tone": "warn"
},
"secondary": {
"code": "market_quality",
"detail": "Price reliability is weak (thin coverage, outlier quote, or low book agreement).",
"name": "Market Quality Risk",
"short": "Market Quality Risk",
"tone": "warn"
},
"version": "v1"
},
"outlier_detected": false,
"outlier_excluded_panel": "",
"primary_allowed": false,
"primary_block_explain": {
"entries": [
{
"key": "positive_ev",
"label": "Consensus EV +23.3% meets Primary gate (\u2265+5.0%)",
"ok": true
},
{
"key": "gate",
"label": "Reliability below 65",
"ok": false
}
],
"lean_ev_threshold_pct": 2.0,
"primary_ev_threshold_pct": 5.0,
"subtitle": "Primary needs consensus EV \u2265 +5.0% plus reliability/execution/calibration gates (Decision Strength is explain-only). Lean/tracked gate is +2.0% (selective only \u2014 not default Primary sizing).",
"title": "Why not Primary?"
},
"primary_gate_checklist": "Gate checklist: Consensus EV +23.3% \u2705 (need \u2265+5.0%) \u00b7 Calibration See checklist \u274c \u2192 Primary blocked. Decision Strength 3.0/10 (explain only, not a Primary gate). If you still act under hard block: example stake 0.10\u20130.20% bankroll (never Primary).",
"primary_gate_snapshot": "Primary Gate Snapshot: Consensus EV +23.3% (gate \u2265+5.0%) \u00b7 Calibration: See checklist \u2192 Primary blocked \u00b7 Decision Strength 3.0/10 (display only)",
"primary_gates": {
"items": [
{
"key": "extreme_gap",
"label": "Extreme gap",
"ok": true,
"value": "no"
},
{
"key": "xg_calibration",
"label": "xG calibration",
"ok": true,
"value": "warning"
},
{
"key": "reliability",
"label": "Rel",
"ok": false,
"value": "54 (\u226565)"
},
{
"key": "execution",
"label": "Exec",
"ok": false,
"value": "19 (\u226565)"
},
{
"key": "alignment",
"label": "Align",
"ok": false,
"value": "conflict"
},
{
"key": "consensus_ev",
"label": "ConsEV",
"ok": true,
"value": "+23.3% (\u2265+5.0%)"
},
{
"key": "top_pick",
"label": "Pick",
"ok": true,
"value": "true"
},
{
"key": "validation",
"label": "Validation",
"ok": true,
"value": "true"
}
],
"passed": 5,
"total": 8
},
"primary_type": null,
"reasons": [
"The market has moved away from Hutnik Krak\u00f3w, but the model still strongly favours Hutnik Krak\u00f3w.",
"Decision strength: 3.0/10",
"Reliability below 65"
],
"reliability_score": 54,
"speed_read": "Speed read: Model Signal can look moderate/strong while Decision Strength stays low after calibration \u2014 Strength alone does not block Primary (v2.5+); still check reliability/execution/EV hard gates.",
"strength_v2_breakdown": [
"Base decision score (v1)",
"Market steam conflicts with model",
"Consensus-line +EV",
"Low xG separation (league-average noise)"
],
"subline": "The market has moved away from Hutnik Krak\u00f3w, but the model still strongly favours Hutnik Krak\u00f3w.",
"thresholds": {
"extreme_gap_pp": 30.0,
"lean_min_consensus_ev": 0.02,
"lean_min_strength": 5.0,
"min_consensus_ev": 0.05,
"min_execution": 65,
"min_reliability": 65,
"min_strength": 7.0,
"source": "db",
"user_id": 2
},
"thresholds_source": "db",
"thresholds_user_id": 2,
"tier": "observe",
"validation_ok": true,
"value_context": {
"consensus_ev": -0.0215,
"consensus_ev_display": "-2.1%",
"consensus_odds": 3.03,
"disagreement_label": "Moderate",
"disagreement_level": "moderate",
"implied_prob": 0.3022,
"is_extreme_disagreement": false,
"model_prob": 0.3803,
"raw_edge_display": "+7.8 percentage points",
"raw_edge_pp": 7.8,
"raw_implied_prob": 0.33003300330033003,
"raw_signal_ev": 0.1523,
"raw_signal_ev_display": "+15.2%"
},
"version": "v2.5",
"xg_calibration": {
"block_value_alert": false,
"calibration_status": "warning",
"deviation_pct": 0.7,
"reasons": [
"Thin xG separation gap=0.12"
],
"recommended_action": "monitor",
"strength_delta": -1.0,
"uplift_away": null,
"uplift_home": null,
"xg_separation": {
"band": "low",
"block_value_alert": false,
"separation_score": -10,
"strength_delta": -1.0,
"xg_gap": 0.12
}
}
},
"game_type": {
"label_zh": "\u5747\u8861\uff08\u5f00\u653e\u8d5b\u679c\uff09",
"scoring_type": "balanced",
"signals": {
"btts_yes_prob": 0.544,
"draw_prob": 0.2959,
"max_1x2_prob": 0.3803,
"over_prob": 0.482,
"total_xg": 2.6,
"under_prob": 0.518,
"xg_diff": 0.12
},
"type": "balanced",
"typing_weights_enabled": true
},
"hero_display_pick": null,
"hero_mode": "default",
"longshot_picks": [],
"markets": {
"1x2": {
"consensus_odds": 3.03,
"decision": "no_bet",
"edge": 0.0207,
"ev": -0.0215,
"implied_prob": 0.3022,
"max_ev_side": "away",
"model_prob": 0.3803,
"side": "away",
"side_label": "Hutnik Krak\u00f3w"
},
"btts": {
"decision": "value_bet",
"decision_layer": {
"alpha": 0.1644,
"available": true,
"consensus_odds": 2.46,
"edge": 0.0143,
"market_prob": 0.3692,
"mode": "market_first_btts",
"model_prob": 0.456,
"n_bookmakers": 8,
"no": {
"alpha": 0.1644,
"best_odd": 2.46,
"edge": 0.0143,
"ev": -0.0566,
"implied_prob": 0.3692,
"model_prob": 0.456,
"p_final": 0.3835
},
"p_final": 0.3835,
"prediction_confidence": "very_low",
"risk_adj_ev": -0.0566,
"value_side": "no",
"yes": {
"alpha": 0.2261,
"best_odd": 1.44,
"edge": -0.0196,
"ev": -0.1199,
"implied_prob": 0.6308,
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"p_final": 0.6112
}
},
"edge": 0.0791,
"ev": 0.1491,
"implied_prob": 0.3769,
"model_prob": 0.456,
"side": "no",
"value_side": "no"
},
"ou_2_5": {
"decision": "value_bet",
"decision_layer": {
"alpha": 0.1545,
"available": true,
"consensus_odds": 2.3,
"edge": 0.0188,
"market_prob": 0.3963,
"mode": "market_first_ou",
"model_prob": 0.518,
"n_bookmakers": 8,
"over": {
"alpha": 0.2124,
"best_odd": 1.51,
"edge": -0.0258,
"ev": -0.1275,
"implied_prob": 0.6037,
"model_prob": 0.482,
"p_final": 0.5778
},
"p_final": 0.4151,
"prediction_confidence": "very_low",
"risk_adj_ev": -0.0452,
"under": {
"alpha": 0.1545,
"best_odd": 2.3,
"edge": 0.0188,
"ev": -0.0452,
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},
"value_side": "under"
},
"edge": 0.1156,
"ev": 0.2328,
"implied_prob": 0.4024,
"model_prob": 0.518,
"side": "under",
"value_side": "under"
}
},
"match_id": 1561646,
"match_regime": {
"action": "bet",
"actionable": true,
"clear_edge": true,
"code": "clear_edge",
"execution_line_key": null,
"insight_line_key": null,
"max_valid_ev": 0.2328,
"min_ev": 0.02,
"stake_mult": 1.0,
"use_split_strip": false
},
"match_tier": "value_game",
"no_clear_primary": false,
"probabilities": {
"away": 0.3803,
"draw": 0.2959,
"home": 0.3237
},
"reason_codes": [
"no_ev_1x2"
],
"secondary_pick": {
"decision": "value_bet",
"ev": 0.1491,
"implied_prob": 0.3769,
"market": "btts",
"model_prob": 0.456,
"not_dominant": true,
"risk_band": "medium",
"risk_tier": "secondary",
"side": "no",
"slot": "secondary"
},
"secondary_picks": [
{
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"implied_prob": 0.3769,
"market": "btts",
"model_prob": 0.456,
"not_dominant": true,
"risk_band": "medium",
"risk_tier": "secondary",
"side": "no",
"slot": "secondary"
}
],
"show_betting_primary_label": false,
"suppressed_primary": null,
"teams": {
"away": "Hutnik Krak\u00f3w",
"home": "Znicz Pruszk\u00f3w"
},
"top_pick": {
"composite_score": 0.084413,
"decision": "value_bet",
"ev": 0.2328,
"implied_prob": 0.4024,
"market": "ou_2_5",
"model_prob": 0.518,
"not_dominant": false,
"primary_strength": "clear",
"risk_band": "strong",
"risk_tier": "primary",
"side": "under",
"slot": "primary",
"speculative_primary": false
},
"valid_markets_count": 2,
"value_context_1x2": {
"consensus_ev": -0.0215,
"consensus_ev_display": "-2.1%",
"consensus_odds": 3.03,
"disagreement_label": "Moderate",
"disagreement_level": "moderate",
"implied_prob": 0.3022,
"is_extreme_disagreement": false,
"model_prob": 0.3803,
"raw_edge_display": "+7.8 percentage points",
"raw_edge_pp": 7.8,
"raw_implied_prob": 0.33003300330033003,
"raw_signal_ev": 0.1523,
"raw_signal_ev_display": "+15.2%"
}
}
},
"fixture_id": 1561646,
"generated_at_utc": "2026-09-06T12:29:33.484442+00:00",
"lang_id": "en"
}
Khám phá thêm nội dung dự đoán
Nhận dự đoán cao cấp cho Znicz Pruszków & Hutnik Kraków!
Mở khóa phân tích chuyên sâu, mẹo cá cược độc quyền và dự đoán trận đấu với dịch vụ đăng ký cao cấp của chúng tôi.
Đăng ký ngay
II liga – East — Bảng xếp hạng
| # | Đội | Tr | T | H | B | Đ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Znicz Pruszków | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 20 |
| 2 | Górnik Łęczna | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 17 |
| 3 | Tychy 71 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 17 |
| 4 | Zawisza Bydgoszcz | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 16 |
| 5 | Rekord Bielsko-Biała | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 16 |
| 6 | Hutnik Kraków | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 15 |
| 7 | Sandecja Nowy Sącz | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 15 |
| 8 | Chojniczanka Chojnice | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 14 |
| 9 | Podhale Nowy Targ | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 14 |
| 10 | Lechia Zielona Góra | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 12 |
| 11 | Olimpia Grudziądz | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 12 |
| 12 | Stal Stalowa Wola | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 10 |
| 13 | Avia Świdnik | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 10 |
| 14 | Legia Warszawa II | 9 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 9 |
| 15 | Śląsk Wrocław II | 9 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 9 |
| 16 | Sokół Kleczew | 9 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 8 |
| 17 | Świt Skolwin | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 5 |
| 18 | Resovia Rzeszów | 9 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 3 |
| # | Đội | Tr | BT | BB | +/- | Đ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Znicz Pruszków | 9 | 19 | 10 | +9 | 20 |
| 2 | Górnik Łęczna | 9 | 18 | 9 | +9 | 17 |
| 3 | Podhale Nowy Targ | 9 | 18 | 17 | +1 | 14 |
| 4 | Legia Warszawa II | 9 | 18 | 17 | +1 | 9 |
| 5 | Lechia Zielona Góra | 9 | 17 | 15 | +2 | 12 |
| 6 | Zawisza Bydgoszcz | 9 | 16 | 11 | +5 | 16 |
| 7 | Hutnik Kraków | 9 | 16 | 11 | +5 | 15 |
| 8 | Chojniczanka Chojnice | 9 | 16 | 14 | +2 | 14 |
| 9 | Śląsk Wrocław II | 9 | 15 | 17 | -2 | 9 |
| 10 | Rekord Bielsko-Biała | 9 | 14 | 9 | +5 | 16 |
| 11 | Stal Stalowa Wola | 9 | 14 | 17 | -3 | 10 |
| 12 | Sandecja Nowy Sącz | 9 | 13 | 8 | +5 | 15 |
| 13 | Tychy 71 | 9 | 12 | 6 | +6 | 17 |
| 14 | Avia Świdnik | 9 | 12 | 16 | -4 | 10 |
| 15 | Olimpia Grudziądz | 9 | 11 | 15 | -4 | 12 |
| 16 | Sokół Kleczew | 9 | 10 | 21 | -11 | 8 |
| 17 | Świt Skolwin | 9 | 9 | 23 | -14 | 5 |
| 18 | Resovia Rzeszów | 9 | 6 | 18 | -12 | 3 |
