Nhà cái cao cấp stake: người mới có thể dùng mã khuyến mãi FHn2uDc1. Đăng ký ngay
Thị trường được theo dõi so với kết quả toàn thời gian
Mỗi hàng so sánh mô hình trước trận đấu với kết quả toàn thời gian.
- Chợ Dự đoán Kết quả kết quả
- Tài / Xỉu 2.5 Xỉu 2.5 Xỉu 2.5 (2 mục tiêu) ✔ Chính xác
- Cả Hai Đội Đều Ghi Bàn BTTS Không Có ✖ Không đúng
- 1X2 Inter Bratislava Vẽ tranh ✖ Không đúng
- Thông tin tỷ số chính xác 1-1, 0-1, 1-0, 1-2, 2-1 1-1 ✔ Chính xác
Validation Report
Immutable Snapshot
Closing Odds
1.83
AI Fair Odds
—
CLV
+0.0%
Final Result
Draw · Humenné 1–1 Inter Bratislava
Prediction
✖ Missed
Decision Grade
F
Model Performance
This prediction contributes to:
- Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%
Chưa có briefing AI cho trận này. Sau khi nâng cấp máy chủ, chạy lại «Tạo tỷ lệ hàng loạt» để tạo bản tóm tắt.
View technical JSON
{
"bundle_version": 1,
"content_hash": "bbf7a7e21f091d83e4b9cfeea88a2eaad177d4a88dfc41c67360c79a0a4769ae",
"decision_algo_version": "2.5.0",
"facts": {
"ai_fp": {
"away_predicted_xg": 1.37,
"away_win_prob": 0.3849,
"away_win_prob_posterior": null,
"bayes_applied": 0,
"btts_no_prob": 0.456,
"btts_yes_prob": 0.544,
"dc_rho": -0.13,
"draw_prob": 0.2957,
"draw_prob_posterior": null,
"fair_odds_away": 2.6,
"fair_odds_away_posterior": null,
"fair_odds_draw": 3.38,
"fair_odds_draw_posterior": null,
"fair_odds_home": 3.13,
"fair_odds_home_posterior": null,
"home_predicted_xg": 1.23,
"home_win_prob": 0.3194,
"home_win_prob_posterior": null,
"over_25_prob": 0.482,
"prediction_confidence": "very_low",
"under_25_prob": 0.518
},
"api_prediction": {
"advice": "Double chance : draw or Inter Bratislava",
"main_pick_display": "No Strong Winner Bet",
"percent_away": "45%",
"percent_draw": "45%",
"percent_home": "10%",
"winner_name": "Inter Bratislava"
},
"away_xg": 1.37,
"betting_insight": {
"bet_label": "Inter Bratislava",
"confidence": null,
"main_pick_meta": {
"confidence": "low",
"display_text": "No Strong Winner Bet",
"edge": -0.116,
"edge_gap": 0.0651,
"market": "1X2",
"market_prob": 0.5006,
"model_prob": 0.3846,
"pick_type": "no_strong",
"probabilities": {
"away": 38.5,
"draw": 29.6,
"home": 32.0
},
"reason": "No clear edge in 1X2 market",
"selection": null,
"selection_name": null
},
"market_comparison": [
{
"affi_link": "",
"bookmaker_name": "Pinnacle",
"odd": 1.83
}
],
"risk_color": null,
"risk_key": null,
"stacked_market": null,
"value_bet": {
"best_odds": 1.83,
"bookmaker_id": 0,
"bookmaker_name": "Pinnacle",
"display_market": "Inter Bratislava Win",
"is_value": false,
"label": "Away",
"market_fair_odds": 2.0,
"market_odds": 1.83,
"model_odds": 2.6,
"overround": 9.2,
"prob_edge": -16.2,
"value_pct": -29.6,
"value_rating": "no_value"
}
},
"betting_markets": {
"btts": {
"away_clean_sheet": 3,
"away_failed_to_score": 1,
"away_played": 8,
"away_score_rate": 74.6,
"home_clean_sheet": 2,
"home_failed_to_score": 3,
"home_played": 8,
"home_score_rate": 70.8,
"no_prob": 45.6,
"pick": "Yes",
"pick_prob": 54.4,
"source": "xG_dc",
"strong_pick": false,
"yes_prob": 54.4
},
"correct_score": {
"away_expected": 1.37,
"home_expected": 1.23,
"scores": [
{
"away": 1,
"home": 1,
"label": "1-1",
"prob": 12.5
},
{
"away": 1,
"home": 0,
"label": "0-1",
"prob": 10.2
},
{
"away": 0,
"home": 1,
"label": "1-0",
"prob": 9.1
},
{
"away": 2,
"home": 1,
"label": "1-2",
"prob": 8.6
},
{
"away": 1,
"home": 2,
"label": "2-1",
"prob": 7.7
}
],
"source": "xG"
},
"double_chance": {
"options": [
{
"key": "1X",
"label": "Humenn\u00e9 or Draw",
"prob": 61.5
},
{
"key": "12",
"label": "Humenn\u00e9 or Inter Bratislava",
"prob": 70.4
},
{
"key": "X2",
"label": "Draw or Inter Bratislava",
"prob": 68.1
}
],
"pick_key": "12",
"pick_label": "Humenn\u00e9 or Inter Bratislava",
"pick_prob": 70.4
},
"match_winner": {
"away_pct": 38.5,
"draw_pct": 29.6,
"home_pct": 31.9,
"lean_key": "away",
"lean_label": "Inter Bratislava"
},
"over_under": {
"api_hint": null,
"avg_total": 2.6,
"away_avg_scored": 2.0,
"confidence": "low",
"home_avg_scored": 0.6,
"over_prob": 48.2,
"pick": "Under 2.5",
"pick_prob": 51.8,
"source": "xG_dc",
"strong_pick": true,
"total_expected": 2.6,
"under_prob": 51.8
},
"prob_source": "poisson",
"value_bet_enhanced": {
"bookmaker_id": 0,
"bookmaker_name": "Pinnacle",
"edge": 15.2,
"implied_prob": 27.7,
"is_value": true,
"label": "Home",
"market": "Humenn\u00e9 Win",
"model_prob": 31.9,
"odds": 3.61
}
},
"closing_line_bundle": {
"away_team": "Inter Bratislava",
"closing_1x2_probs_pct": {
"away": 50.06,
"draw": 24.56,
"home": 25.38
},
"closing_bookmaker": "Pinnacle",
"closing_capture": "PRE1",
"closing_fetched_at": "2026-09-19 13:29:26",
"early_bookmaker": "Pinnacle",
"early_capture": "PRE30",
"early_fetched_at": "2026-09-19 13:06:03",
"has_data": true,
"home_team": "Humenn\u00e9",
"largest_move_kind": null,
"max_abs_move_pp": 0.0,
"model_vs_closing": [
{
"closing_implied_pct": 25.38,
"gap_pp": 6.57,
"kind": "1x2_h",
"model_pct": 31.95
},
{
"closing_implied_pct": 24.56,
"gap_pp": 5.03,
"kind": "1x2_d",
"model_pct": 29.59
},
{
"closing_implied_pct": 50.06,
"gap_pp": -11.6,
"kind": "1x2_a",
"model_pct": 38.46
},
{
"closing_implied_pct": 55.91,
"gap_pp": -7.71,
"kind": "ou_o",
"model_pct": 48.2
},
{
"closing_implied_pct": 44.09,
"gap_pp": 7.71,
"kind": "ou_u",
"model_pct": 51.8
}
],
"movement": [
{
"closing": 3.61,
"early": 3.61,
"implied_closing_pct": 25.38,
"implied_delta_pp": 0.0,
"implied_early_pct": 25.38,
"kind": "1x2_h"
},
{
"closing": 3.73,
"early": 3.73,
"implied_closing_pct": 24.56,
"implied_delta_pp": 0.0,
"implied_early_pct": 24.56,
"kind": "1x2_d"
},
{
"closing": 1.83,
"early": 1.83,
"implied_closing_pct": 50.06,
"implied_delta_pp": 0.0,
"implied_early_pct": 50.06,
"kind": "1x2_a"
},
{
"closing": 1.68,
"early": 1.68,
"implied_closing_pct": 55.91,
"implied_delta_pp": 0.0,
"implied_early_pct": 55.91,
"kind": "ou_o"
},
{
"closing": 2.13,
"early": 2.13,
"implied_closing_pct": 44.09,
"implied_delta_pp": 0.0,
"implied_early_pct": 44.09,
"kind": "ou_u"
}
],
"movement_negligible": true,
"same_bookmaker": true,
"top_value_gap": {
"gap_pp": 7.7,
"kind": "ou_u"
}
},
"correct_score_insight": {
"best_value": null,
"lean_card": {
"diff_pp": -0.8,
"ev": -0.0625,
"has_edge": false,
"label": "1-1",
"market_odds": 7.5,
"market_prob": 0.1333,
"market_prob_pct": 13.3,
"model_prob": 0.125,
"model_prob_pct": 12.5,
"n_bookmakers": 3,
"status_key": "no_value"
},
"most_likely": {
"label": "1-1",
"prob": 12.5
},
"top5": [
{
"label": "1-1",
"prob": 12.5
},
{
"label": "0-1",
"prob": 10.2
},
{
"label": "1-0",
"prob": 9.1
},
{
"label": "1-2",
"prob": 8.6
},
{
"label": "2-1",
"prob": 7.7
}
]
},
"home_xg": 1.23,
"homepage_pick": null,
"market_cards": [
{
"decision": "value_bet",
"decision_layer": {
"alpha": 0.2017,
"available": true,
"consensus_odds": 2.05,
"edge": 0.0139,
"edge_pp": 1.4,
"market_prob": 0.4489,
"mode": "market_first_ou",
"model_prob": 0.518,
"n_bookmakers": 5,
"over": {
"alpha": 0.2219,
"best_odd": 1.67,
"edge": -0.0153,
"ev": -0.1053,
"implied_prob": 0.5511,
"model_prob": 0.482,
"p_final": 0.5358
},
"p_final": 0.4629,
"prediction_confidence": "very_low",
"raw_edge_pp": 6.9,
"raw_signal_ev": 0.0619,
"risk_adj_ev": -0.0511,
"under": {
"alpha": 0.2017,
"best_odd": 2.05,
"edge": 0.0139,
"ev": -0.0511,
"implied_prob": 0.4489,
"model_prob": 0.518,
"p_final": 0.4629
},
"value_side": "under"
},
"ev_available": true,
"ev_over": -0.1565,
"ev_over_display": {
"capped": false,
"raw_pct": -15.7,
"text": "-15.7%"
},
"ev_under": 0.1033,
"ev_under_display": {
"capped": false,
"raw_pct": 10.3,
"text": "+10.3%"
},
"featured": true,
"id": "ou_2_5",
"max_ev": 0.1033,
"n_bookmakers": 5,
"over_prob": 48.2,
"sort_key": 10242.97,
"tier": "best",
"under_prob": 51.8,
"value_side": "under"
},
{
"decision": "lean",
"decision_layer": {
"alpha": 0.2154,
"available": true,
"consensus_odds": 2.13,
"edge": 0.0062,
"edge_pp": 0.6,
"market_prob": 0.4274,
"mode": "market_first_btts",
"model_prob": 0.456,
"n_bookmakers": 3,
"no": {
"alpha": 0.2154,
"best_odd": 2.13,
"edge": 0.0062,
"ev": -0.0765,
"implied_prob": 0.4274,
"model_prob": 0.456,
"p_final": 0.4336
},
"p_final": 0.4336,
"prediction_confidence": "very_low",
"raw_edge_pp": 2.9,
"raw_signal_ev": -0.0287,
"risk_adj_ev": -0.0765,
"value_side": "no",
"yes": {
"alpha": 0.2369,
"best_odd": 1.59,
"edge": -0.0068,
"ev": -0.1004,
"implied_prob": 0.5726,
"model_prob": 0.544,
"p_final": 0.5658
}
},
"ev_available": true,
"ev_no": -0.0105,
"ev_no_display": {
"capped": false,
"raw_pct": -1.1,
"text": "-1.1%"
},
"ev_yes": -0.1296,
"ev_yes_display": {
"capped": false,
"raw_pct": -13.0,
"text": "-13.0%"
},
"featured": false,
"id": "btts",
"max_ev": -0.0105,
"n_bookmakers": 3,
"no_prob": 45.6,
"sort_key": 1797.375,
"tier": "bad_ev",
"value_side": "no",
"yes_prob": 54.4
},
{
"authority_action": "no_bet",
"authority_note": "The market has moved toward Humenn\u00e9, but the model still strongly favours Inter Bratislava.",
"consensus_odds": 1.83,
"decision": "no_bet",
"disagreement_label": "Moderate",
"disagreement_level": "moderate",
"ev": -0.1891,
"ev_available": true,
"ev_display": {
"capped": false,
"raw_pct": -18.9,
"text": "-18.9%"
},
"featured": false,
"id": "1x2",
"implied_prob": 0.5006,
"is_extreme_disagreement": false,
"max_ev": -0.0197,
"max_ev_display": {
"capped": false,
"raw_pct": -2.0,
"text": "-2.0%"
},
"model_prob": 0.3846,
"raw_edge_display": "-11.6 percentage points",
"raw_edge_pp": -11.6,
"raw_signal_ev": -0.2962,
"raw_signal_ev_display": "-29.6%",
"show_primary_label": false,
"side_label": "Inter Bratislava",
"sort_key": 1795.075,
"tier": "bad_ev"
},
{
"featured": false,
"id": "correct_score",
"sort_key": 817.5,
"tier": "risk",
"top_label": "1-1",
"top_prob": 12.5
}
],
"market_intelligence": {
"betting_signal": {
"alert_breadth": "1/6",
"alert_breadth_note": "1/6 sportsbooks confirmed",
"alert_move": "\u2193 -2.9%",
"alert_team": "Humenn\u00e9",
"alert_title": "Sharp Money Alert",
"divergence_pp": 11.6,
"has_alert": false,
"hero_edge_pp": -11.57,
"hero_label": "Inter Bratislava",
"market_prob_pct": 50.1,
"market_team": "Inter Bratislava",
"model_prob_pct": 38.5,
"model_team": "Inter Bratislava",
"show": true,
"status_icon": "!",
"status_key": "caution",
"status_label": "Use caution",
"status_line": "Use caution \u2014 signals are mixed",
"steam_score": 3,
"steam_subtitle": "Limited conviction",
"steam_tier": "C",
"title": "Betting Signal"
},
"decision_chain": {
"academy_links": [
{
"key": "market_disagree",
"read_min": 5,
"title": "When Should You Trust AI Over the Market?",
"url": "/academy/ai-betting/when-should-you-trust-ai-over-the-market/en"
},
{
"key": "steam",
"read_min": 4,
"title": "What Is a Steam Move?",
"url": "/academy/betting-market/what-is-a-steam-move/en"
},
{
"key": "clv_pending",
"read_min": 3,
"title": "Why CLV Matters More Than Win Rate",
"url": "/academy/clv/why-clv-matters-more-than-win-rate/en"
}
],
"alignment": {
"direction_aligned": true,
"direction_key": "agree",
"gap_pp": 11.6,
"key": "conflict",
"label": "Disagree",
"model_strong": false,
"pricing_aligned": true,
"pricing_key": "moderate",
"probability_gap_pp": 11.6,
"summary": "The market has moved toward Humenn\u00e9, but the model still strongly favours Inter Bratislava."
},
"authority": {
"action": "no_bet",
"alignment": {
"direction_aligned": true,
"direction_key": "agree",
"gap_pp": 11.6,
"key": "conflict",
"label": "Disagree",
"model_strong": false,
"pricing_aligned": true,
"pricing_key": "moderate",
"probability_gap_pp": 11.6,
"summary": "The market has moved toward Humenn\u00e9, but the model still strongly favours Inter Bratislava."
},
"alignment_key": "conflict",
"best_consensus_ev": 0.1033,
"best_outlier_ev": 0.1534,
"confidence_band": "Moderate\u2013Low",
"decision_strength": 3.0,
"decision_strength_v1": 6.0,
"decision_strength_v2": 3.5,
"decision_type": "NO_SIGNAL",
"execution_confidence": 19,
"extreme_disagreement": false,
"final_verdict_audit": {
"action": "Monitor closing market and validate with CLV.",
"action_label": "Action",
"decision": "No Primary Bet",
"is_primary": false,
"snapshot": "The Decision Model estimates Inter Bratislava at 38.5%, compared with a no-vig market probability of 50.1%.",
"why": [
{
"text": "Decision Model identifies Inter Bratislava as the value side (38.5%)",
"tone": "ok"
},
{
"text": "Market pricing conflicts with the model lean",
"tone": "bad"
},
{
"text": "Model\u2013market disagreement blocks Primary sizing",
"tone": "bad"
},
{
"text": "Market quality / price reliability is insufficient for Primary",
"tone": "bad"
},
{
"text": "Model confidence reduced due to calibration uncertainty",
"tone": "bad"
}
],
"why_label": "Decision Summary"
},
"gap_pp": 11.6,
"gates_failed": [
"Reliability below 65"
],
"has_top_pick": true,
"headline": "No Primary Bet",
"hero_mode": "default",
"icon": "\u25cb",
"label": "No Primary Bet",
"market_signal": "The market has moved toward Humenn\u00e9, but the model still strongly favours Inter Bratislava.",
"model_conflict_detail": null,
"model_lean": "Inter Bratislava",
"no_primary_reasons": {
"all_triggered": [
"market_conflict",
"market_quality",
"calibration_risk"
],
"calibration_mode": "soft",
"codes": [
"market_conflict",
"market_quality"
],
"label": "Reason",
"other_factors": [
{
"code": "market_quality",
"detail": "Price reliability is weak (thin coverage, outlier quote, or low book agreement).",
"name": "Market Quality Risk",
"short": "Market Quality Risk",
"tone": "warn"
}
],
"other_label": "Other factors",
"primary": {
"code": "market_conflict",
"detail": "Model lean and market pricing / drift are not aligned.",
"name": "Market Conflict",
"short": "Market Conflict",
"subtype": "drift_against_model",
"tone": "warn"
},
"secondary": {
"code": "market_quality",
"detail": "Price reliability is weak (thin coverage, outlier quote, or low book agreement).",
"name": "Market Quality Risk",
"short": "Market Quality Risk",
"tone": "warn"
},
"version": "v1"
},
"outlier_detected": true,
"outlier_excluded_panel": "Excluded top quotes (audit row \u2014 never Primary): #1 \u00b7 market OU_2_5 \u00b7 side Inter Bratislava \u00b7 decimal odds ~2.23 (derived from model% \u00d7 (1+EV)) \u00b7 EV +15% \u00b7 book: not captured on live render (see odds history / admin snapshot) \u00b7 captured: \u2014 \u00b7 audit_ref: fixture=1561134 \u00b7 snapshot=live-render \u00b7 odds\u22482.23 \u00b7 reason=thin|single-book|\u0394EV\u22653.0%EV \u00b7 book=admin-only \u00b7 trigger: outlier EV \u2212 consensus EV \u2265 +3.0% EV (not probability pp) AND thin/single-book style \u00b7 consensus used +10.3% EV. Excluded quotes cannot clear Primary.",
"primary_allowed": false,
"primary_block_explain": {
"entries": [
{
"key": "positive_ev",
"label": "Consensus EV +10.3% meets Primary gate (\u2265+5.0%)",
"ok": true
},
{
"key": "gate",
"label": "Reliability below 65",
"ok": false
}
],
"lean_ev_threshold_pct": 2.0,
"primary_ev_threshold_pct": 5.0,
"subtitle": "Primary needs consensus EV \u2265 +5.0% plus reliability/execution/calibration gates (Decision Strength is explain-only). Lean/tracked gate is +2.0% (selective only \u2014 not default Primary sizing).",
"title": "Why not Primary?"
},
"primary_gate_checklist": "Gate checklist: Consensus EV +10.3% \u2705 (need \u2265+5.0%) \u00b7 Calibration See checklist \u274c \u2192 Primary blocked. Decision Strength 3.0/10 (explain only, not a Primary gate). If you still act under hard block: example stake 0.10\u20130.20% bankroll (never Primary).",
"primary_gate_snapshot": "Primary Gate Snapshot: Consensus EV +10.3% (gate \u2265+5.0%) \u00b7 Calibration: See checklist \u2192 Primary blocked \u00b7 Decision Strength 3.0/10 (display only)",
"primary_gates": {
"items": [
{
"key": "extreme_gap",
"label": "Extreme gap",
"ok": true,
"value": "no"
},
{
"key": "xg_calibration",
"label": "xG calibration",
"ok": true,
"value": "warning"
},
{
"key": "reliability",
"label": "Rel",
"ok": false,
"value": "54 (\u226565)"
},
{
"key": "execution",
"label": "Exec",
"ok": false,
"value": "19 (\u226565)"
},
{
"key": "alignment",
"label": "Align",
"ok": false,
"value": "conflict"
},
{
"key": "consensus_ev",
"label": "ConsEV",
"ok": true,
"value": "+10.3% (\u2265+5.0%)"
},
{
"key": "top_pick",
"label": "Pick",
"ok": true,
"value": "true"
},
{
"key": "validation",
"label": "Validation",
"ok": true,
"value": "true"
}
],
"passed": 5,
"total": 8
},
"primary_type": null,
"reasons": [
"The market has moved toward Humenn\u00e9, but the model still strongly favours Inter Bratislava.",
"Decision strength: 3.0/10",
"Reliability below 65",
"Outlier price +15% EV detected \u2014 not used for Primary (consensus only)."
],
"reliability_score": 54,
"speed_read": "Speed read: Model Signal can look moderate/strong while Decision Strength stays low after calibration \u2014 Strength alone does not block Primary (v2.5+); still check reliability/execution/EV hard gates.",
"strength_v2_breakdown": [
"Base decision score (v1)",
"Market steam conflicts with model",
"Consensus-line +EV",
"Low xG separation (league-average noise)"
],
"subline": "The market has moved toward Humenn\u00e9, but the model still strongly favours Inter Bratislava.",
"thresholds": {
"extreme_gap_pp": 30.0,
"lean_min_consensus_ev": 0.02,
"lean_min_strength": 5.0,
"min_consensus_ev": 0.05,
"min_execution": 65,
"min_reliability": 65,
"min_strength": 7.0,
"source": "db",
"user_id": 2
},
"thresholds_source": "db",
"thresholds_user_id": 2,
"tier": "observe",
"validation_ok": true,
"value_context": {
"consensus_ev": -0.1891,
"consensus_ev_display": "-18.9%",
"consensus_odds": 1.83,
"disagreement_label": "Moderate",
"disagreement_level": "moderate",
"implied_prob": 0.5006,
"is_extreme_disagreement": false,
"model_prob": 0.3846,
"raw_edge_display": "-11.6 percentage points",
"raw_edge_pp": -11.6,
"raw_implied_prob": 0.5464480874316939,
"raw_signal_ev": -0.2962,
"raw_signal_ev_display": "-29.6%"
},
"version": "v2.5",
"xg_calibration": {
"block_value_alert": false,
"calibration_status": "warning",
"deviation_pct": 1.5,
"reasons": [
"Thin xG separation gap=0.14"
],
"recommended_action": "monitor",
"strength_delta": -1.0,
"uplift_away": null,
"uplift_home": null,
"xg_separation": {
"band": "low",
"block_value_alert": false,
"separation_score": -10,
"strength_delta": -1.0,
"xg_gap": 0.14
}
}
},
"bet_status": "no_bet",
"books_breadth_display": "1/6",
"breadth_ratio": 0.16666666666666666,
"evidence": {
"score": 57,
"signals": [
{
"icon": "\u25cb",
"key": "statistical_edge",
"label": "No strong statistical edge",
"status": "neutral"
},
{
"icon": "!",
"key": "market_agreement",
"label": "Direction agrees; pricing still diverges",
"status": "caution"
},
{
"icon": "!",
"key": "steam",
"label": "Sharp steam conflicts with model",
"status": "caution"
},
{
"icon": "!",
"key": "validation",
"label": "Validation warning",
"status": "caution"
}
],
"stars": 2,
"tier": "moderate",
"tier_label": "Moderate"
},
"forecast_reliability": {
"breakdown": [
{
"key": "validation",
"label": "Validation: Warning",
"tone": "caution"
},
{
"key": "gap",
"label": "Large market gap (12 pp)",
"tone": "caution"
},
{
"key": "steam",
"label": "Steam conflicts with model",
"tone": "caution"
}
],
"parts": {
"alignment": 19.2,
"data_quality": 12.0,
"market_coverage": 1.7,
"steam_coherence": 2.0,
"validation": 14.0
},
"score": 54,
"stars": 2,
"tier": "moderate",
"tier_label": "Moderate"
},
"lean_gap_pp": 11.57,
"market_agreement": "weak",
"max_gap_pp": 11.57,
"model_calibration": {
"away_xg": 1.37,
"calibration_status": "ok",
"deviation_pct": 1.0,
"elevated": false,
"home_xg": 1.23,
"impact_note": "",
"league_avg_xg": 1.35,
"peak_xg": 1.37,
"status_label": "Within typical league range",
"summary": "Home xG 1.23 \u00b7 Away xG 1.37 \u00b7 League avg 1.35 \u00b7 Peak deviation +1%",
"title": "Model Calibration Check"
},
"move_is_drift": false,
"mv_status": "warning",
"odds_delta_pct": -2.9,
"steam_conflicts": true,
"steam_move_display": "\u2193 -2.9%",
"steam_team": "Humenn\u00e9",
"suppress_execution": false,
"value_split": {
"execution_confidence": {
"label": "Monitoring Confidence",
"score": 19,
"tier": "not_reliable",
"tier_label": "Not reliable"
},
"market_compatibility": {
"label": "Pricing proximity (inverse gap)",
"note": "This score falls as the probability gap (pp) rises \u2014 it is NOT a bet green light. Direction may still agree (see Alignment above). Formula: proximity = max(0, 100 \u2212 5\u00d7pp). Example: 16 pp \u2192 20/100 (diverged).",
"score": 14,
"tier": "not_reliable",
"tier_label": "Not reliable"
},
"model_edge_strength": {
"label": "Model Signal Strength",
"score": 38,
"tier": "low",
"tier_label": "Low"
},
"model_value": {
"label": "Pricing proximity (inverse gap)",
"note": "This score falls as the probability gap (pp) rises \u2014 it is NOT a bet green light. Direction may still agree (see Alignment above). Formula: proximity = max(0, 100 \u2212 5\u00d7pp). Example: 16 pp \u2192 20/100 (diverged).",
"score": 14,
"tier": "not_reliable",
"tier_label": "Not reliable"
},
"recommendation": {
"action": "no_bet",
"label": "No Primary Bet"
}
},
"verdict": {
"agree_note": "The market has moved toward Humenn\u00e9, but the model still strongly favours Inter Bratislava.",
"alignment": {
"direction_aligned": true,
"direction_key": "agree",
"gap_pp": 11.6,
"key": "conflict",
"label": "Disagree",
"model_strong": false,
"pricing_aligned": true,
"pricing_key": "moderate",
"probability_gap_pp": 11.6,
"summary": "The market has moved toward Humenn\u00e9, but the model still strongly favours Inter Bratislava."
},
"authority": {
"action": "no_bet",
"alignment": {
"direction_aligned": true,
"direction_key": "agree",
"gap_pp": 11.6,
"key": "conflict",
"label": "Disagree",
"model_strong": false,
"pricing_aligned": true,
"pricing_key": "moderate",
"probability_gap_pp": 11.6,
"summary": "The market has moved toward Humenn\u00e9, but the model still strongly favours Inter Bratislava."
},
"alignment_key": "conflict",
"best_consensus_ev": 0.1033,
"best_outlier_ev": 0.1534,
"confidence_band": "Moderate\u2013Low",
"decision_strength": 3.0,
"decision_strength_v1": 6.0,
"decision_strength_v2": 3.5,
"decision_type": "NO_SIGNAL",
"execution_confidence": 19,
"extreme_disagreement": false,
"final_verdict_audit": {
"action": "Monitor closing market and validate with CLV.",
"action_label": "Action",
"decision": "No Primary Bet",
"is_primary": false,
"snapshot": "The Decision Model estimates Inter Bratislava at 38.5%, compared with a no-vig market probability of 50.1%.",
"why": [
{
"text": "Decision Model identifies Inter Bratislava as the value side (38.5%)",
"tone": "ok"
},
{
"text": "Market pricing conflicts with the model lean",
"tone": "bad"
},
{
"text": "Model\u2013market disagreement blocks Primary sizing",
"tone": "bad"
},
{
"text": "Market quality / price reliability is insufficient for Primary",
"tone": "bad"
},
{
"text": "Model confidence reduced due to calibration uncertainty",
"tone": "bad"
}
],
"why_label": "Decision Summary"
},
"gap_pp": 11.6,
"gates_failed": [
"Reliability below 65"
],
"has_top_pick": true,
"headline": "No Primary Bet",
"hero_mode": "default",
"icon": "\u25cb",
"label": "No Primary Bet",
"market_signal": "The market has moved toward Humenn\u00e9, but the model still strongly favours Inter Bratislava.",
"model_conflict_detail": null,
"model_lean": "Inter Bratislava",
"no_primary_reasons": {
"all_triggered": [
"market_conflict",
"market_quality",
"calibration_risk"
],
"calibration_mode": "soft",
"codes": [
"market_conflict",
"market_quality"
],
"label": "Reason",
"other_factors": [
{
"code": "market_quality",
"detail": "Price reliability is weak (thin coverage, outlier quote, or low book agreement).",
"name": "Market Quality Risk",
"short": "Market Quality Risk",
"tone": "warn"
}
],
"other_label": "Other factors",
"primary": {
"code": "market_conflict",
"detail": "Model lean and market pricing / drift are not aligned.",
"name": "Market Conflict",
"short": "Market Conflict",
"subtype": "drift_against_model",
"tone": "warn"
},
"secondary": {
"code": "market_quality",
"detail": "Price reliability is weak (thin coverage, outlier quote, or low book agreement).",
"name": "Market Quality Risk",
"short": "Market Quality Risk",
"tone": "warn"
},
"version": "v1"
},
"outlier_detected": true,
"outlier_excluded_panel": "Excluded top quotes (audit row \u2014 never Primary): #1 \u00b7 market OU_2_5 \u00b7 side Inter Bratislava \u00b7 decimal odds ~2.23 (derived from model% \u00d7 (1+EV)) \u00b7 EV +15% \u00b7 book: not captured on live render (see odds history / admin snapshot) \u00b7 captured: \u2014 \u00b7 audit_ref: fixture=1561134 \u00b7 snapshot=live-render \u00b7 odds\u22482.23 \u00b7 reason=thin|single-book|\u0394EV\u22653.0%EV \u00b7 book=admin-only \u00b7 trigger: outlier EV \u2212 consensus EV \u2265 +3.0% EV (not probability pp) AND thin/single-book style \u00b7 consensus used +10.3% EV. Excluded quotes cannot clear Primary.",
"primary_allowed": false,
"primary_block_explain": {
"entries": [
{
"key": "positive_ev",
"label": "Consensus EV +10.3% meets Primary gate (\u2265+5.0%)",
"ok": true
},
{
"key": "gate",
"label": "Reliability below 65",
"ok": false
}
],
"lean_ev_threshold_pct": 2.0,
"primary_ev_threshold_pct": 5.0,
"subtitle": "Primary needs consensus EV \u2265 +5.0% plus reliability/execution/calibration gates (Decision Strength is explain-only). Lean/tracked gate is +2.0% (selective only \u2014 not default Primary sizing).",
"title": "Why not Primary?"
},
"primary_gate_checklist": "Gate checklist: Consensus EV +10.3% \u2705 (need \u2265+5.0%) \u00b7 Calibration See checklist \u274c \u2192 Primary blocked. Decision Strength 3.0/10 (explain only, not a Primary gate). If you still act under hard block: example stake 0.10\u20130.20% bankroll (never Primary).",
"primary_gate_snapshot": "Primary Gate Snapshot: Consensus EV +10.3% (gate \u2265+5.0%) \u00b7 Calibration: See checklist \u2192 Primary blocked \u00b7 Decision Strength 3.0/10 (display only)",
"primary_gates": {
"items": [
{
"key": "extreme_gap",
"label": "Extreme gap",
"ok": true,
"value": "no"
},
{
"key": "xg_calibration",
"label": "xG calibration",
"ok": true,
"value": "warning"
},
{
"key": "reliability",
"label": "Rel",
"ok": false,
"value": "54 (\u226565)"
},
{
"key": "execution",
"label": "Exec",
"ok": false,
"value": "19 (\u226565)"
},
{
"key": "alignment",
"label": "Align",
"ok": false,
"value": "conflict"
},
{
"key": "consensus_ev",
"label": "ConsEV",
"ok": true,
"value": "+10.3% (\u2265+5.0%)"
},
{
"key": "top_pick",
"label": "Pick",
"ok": true,
"value": "true"
},
{
"key": "validation",
"label": "Validation",
"ok": true,
"value": "true"
}
],
"passed": 5,
"total": 8
},
"primary_type": null,
"reasons": [
"The market has moved toward Humenn\u00e9, but the model still strongly favours Inter Bratislava.",
"Decision strength: 3.0/10",
"Reliability below 65",
"Outlier price +15% EV detected \u2014 not used for Primary (consensus only)."
],
"reliability_score": 54,
"speed_read": "Speed read: Model Signal can look moderate/strong while Decision Strength stays low after calibration \u2014 Strength alone does not block Primary (v2.5+); still check reliability/execution/EV hard gates.",
"strength_v2_breakdown": [
"Base decision score (v1)",
"Market steam conflicts with model",
"Consensus-line +EV",
"Low xG separation (league-average noise)"
],
"subline": "The market has moved toward Humenn\u00e9, but the model still strongly favours Inter Bratislava.",
"thresholds": {
"extreme_gap_pp": 30.0,
"lean_min_consensus_ev": 0.02,
"lean_min_strength": 5.0,
"min_consensus_ev": 0.05,
"min_execution": 65,
"min_reliability": 65,
"min_strength": 7.0,
"source": "db",
"user_id": 2
},
"thresholds_source": "db",
"thresholds_user_id": 2,
"tier": "observe",
"validation_ok": true,
"value_context": {
"consensus_ev": -0.1891,
"consensus_ev_display": "-18.9%",
"consensus_odds": 1.83,
"disagreement_label": "Moderate",
"disagreement_level": "moderate",
"implied_prob": 0.5006,
"is_extreme_disagreement": false,
"model_prob": 0.3846,
"raw_edge_display": "-11.6 percentage points",
"raw_edge_pp": -11.6,
"raw_implied_prob": 0.5464480874316939,
"raw_signal_ev": -0.2962,
"raw_signal_ev_display": "-29.6%"
},
"version": "v2.5",
"xg_calibration": {
"block_value_alert": false,
"calibration_status": "warning",
"deviation_pct": 1.5,
"reasons": [
"Thin xG separation gap=0.14"
],
"recommended_action": "monitor",
"strength_delta": -1.0,
"uplift_away": null,
"uplift_home": null,
"xg_separation": {
"band": "low",
"block_value_alert": false,
"separation_score": -10,
"strength_delta": -1.0,
"xg_gap": 0.14
}
}
},
"headline": "No Primary Bet",
"icon": "\u25cb",
"label": "No Primary Bet",
"subline": "The market has moved toward Humenn\u00e9, but the model still strongly favours Inter Bratislava.",
"tier": "observe"
},
"why": {
"action_line": "Compare model lean with current best odds before sizing any bet.",
"bullets": [
"Model: Humenn\u00e9 1.23 xG vs Inter Bratislava 1.37 \u2192 Inter Bratislava 38.5%",
"Market: Inter Bratislava ~50.1% implied",
"Market Steam: Humenn\u00e9 \u2193 -2.9%"
],
"one_liner": "Model favours Inter Bratislava, but sharp money moved toward Humenn\u00e9.",
"title": "Why?"
}
},
"edge_rows": [
{
"edge_pp": 6.56,
"fair_prob": 31.94,
"label": "Humenn\u00e9",
"market_prob": 25.38,
"market_type": "1x2",
"outcome": "home"
},
{
"edge_pp": 5.01,
"fair_prob": 29.57,
"label": "Draw",
"market_prob": 24.56,
"market_type": "1x2",
"outcome": "draw"
},
{
"edge_pp": -11.57,
"fair_prob": 38.49,
"label": "Inter Bratislava",
"market_prob": 50.06,
"market_type": "1x2",
"outcome": "away"
},
{
"edge_pp": -6.52,
"fair_prob": 48.2,
"label": "Over 2.5",
"market_prob": 54.72,
"market_type": "ou25",
"outcome": "over"
},
{
"edge_pp": 6.52,
"fair_prob": 51.8,
"label": "Under 2.5",
"market_prob": 45.28,
"market_type": "ou25",
"outcome": "under"
},
{
"edge_pp": -2.73,
"fair_prob": 54.4,
"label": "BTTS Yes",
"market_prob": 57.13,
"market_type": "btts",
"outcome": "yes"
},
{
"edge_pp": 2.73,
"fair_prob": 45.6,
"label": "BTTS No",
"market_prob": 42.87,
"market_type": "btts",
"outcome": "no"
}
],
"edge_snapshot": {
"edge_label": "strong_disagreement",
"edge_pp": -11.57,
"fair_prob_pct": 38.49,
"hero_side": "away",
"hero_team_name": "Inter Bratislava",
"market_prob_pct": 50.06,
"status": "strong_market_ahead",
"steam_team_name": "Humenn\u00e9"
},
"fair_source": "poisson_pipeline",
"fair_vs_market": {
"closing_capture": "PRE1",
"closing_footnote": "Model probabilities are generated from the statistical xG model using a Poisson distribution. Closing market probabilities are derived from consensus closing 1X2 odds after margin removal. Values represent implied probabilities rather than betting recommendations. Closing snapshot: PRE1.",
"comparison_available": true,
"comparison_disabled": false,
"comparison_summary": "The closing market estimates Inter Bratislava\u0027s win probability at 50.1%, compared with the model\u0027s estimate of 38.5%, a difference of 11.6 percentage points. This highlights a disagreement between the model and market consensus, without indicating which view is ultimately correct.",
"degraded_note": "",
"divergence_guard": {
"divergence_level": "strong",
"edge_status": "strong_market_ahead",
"max_gap_pp": 11.57,
"suppress_hero": false,
"suppress_value_language": false
},
"divergence_label": "Strong model-market divergence",
"divergence_level": "strong",
"divergence_level_label": "Strong divergence",
"divergence_note": "The fair estimate differs noticeably from current market pricing. This may reflect genuine disagreement or incomplete rating inputs.",
"divergence_tier": "strong",
"edge_label": "Strong disagreement",
"edge_label_key": "strong_disagreement",
"fair_confidence": "medium",
"fair_confidence_label": "Medium",
"fair_source_note": "Model probabilities are generated from the statistical xG model using a Poisson distribution. Closing market probabilities are derived from consensus closing 1X2 odds after margin removal. Values represent implied probabilities rather than betting recommendations. Closing snapshot: PRE1.",
"forecast_assessment": {
"favourite_class": "Balanced match",
"favourite_label": "Inter Bratislava",
"forecast_certainty_tier": "low",
"headline": "Balanced match",
"market_agreement_label": "Weak",
"market_direction": {
"label": "Conflicts with model",
"positive": false
},
"market_prob_pct": 50.1,
"model_prob_gap_display": "-11.6 percentage points",
"model_prob_gap_pp": -11.6,
"model_prob_pct": 38.5,
"outcome_separation_tier": "medium",
"paragraphs": [],
"pricing_convergence": {
"gap_display": "-11.6 percentage points",
"gap_pp": -11.6,
"label": "Moderate",
"label_key": "mi_fa_pricing_moderate"
},
"reliability_headline": "Limited reliability",
"reliability_icon": "!",
"reliability_score": 54,
"reliability_tier": "limited",
"summary": "The market has moved toward Humenn\u00e9, but the model still strongly favours Inter Bratislava. This disagreement reduces confidence and prevents a Primary bet.",
"tier": "balanced",
"title": "Prediction Assessment",
"validation_label": "Warning",
"value_split": {
"execution_confidence": {
"label": "Monitoring Confidence",
"score": 19,
"tier": "not_reliable",
"tier_label": "Not reliable"
},
"market_compatibility": {
"label": "Pricing proximity (inverse gap)",
"note": "This score falls as the probability gap (pp) rises \u2014 it is NOT a bet green light. Direction may still agree (see Alignment above). Formula: proximity = max(0, 100 \u2212 5\u00d7pp). Example: 16 pp \u2192 20/100 (diverged).",
"score": 14,
"tier": "not_reliable",
"tier_label": "Not reliable"
},
"model_edge_strength": {
"label": "Model Signal Strength",
"score": 38,
"tier": "low",
"tier_label": "Low"
},
"model_value": {
"label": "Pricing proximity (inverse gap)",
"note": "This score falls as the probability gap (pp) rises \u2014 it is NOT a bet green light. Direction may still agree (see Alignment above). Formula: proximity = max(0, 100 \u2212 5\u00d7pp). Example: 16 pp \u2192 20/100 (diverged).",
"score": 14,
"tier": "not_reliable",
"tier_label": "Not reliable"
},
"recommendation": {
"action": "no_bet",
"label": "No Primary Bet"
}
},
"why": {
"action_line": "Compare model lean with current best odds before sizing any bet.",
"bullets": [
"Model: Humenn\u00e9 1.23 xG vs Inter Bratislava 1.37 \u2192 Inter Bratislava 38.5%",
"Market: Inter Bratislava ~50.1% implied",
"Market Steam: Humenn\u00e9 \u2193 -2.9%"
],
"one_liner": "Model favours Inter Bratislava, but sharp money moved toward Humenn\u00e9.",
"title": "Why?"
}
},
"forecast_certainty": {
"note": "Three outcomes remain closely bunched \u2014 treat as a relatively open match.",
"tier": "low",
"tier_label": "Low"
},
"forecast_certainty_label": "Low",
"has_market_probs": true,
"hero_edge_pp": -11.57,
"hero_label": "Inter Bratislava",
"hero_side": "away",
"market_activity": "Humenn\u00e9 odds shortened \u2193 -2.9%.",
"market_agreement": "weak",
"market_agreement_label": "Weak",
"market_interpretation": {
"bullets": [
"Investors may be incorporating information not fully reflected in the baseline model.",
"Tournament-specific context can shift market pricing."
],
"follow_up": "However, recent buying interest has been on Humenn\u00e9, with odds shortening by 2.9%. Confirmation remains limited (1/6 books), suggesting early interest rather than a broad market move.",
"gap_tier": "strong",
"lead": "The market is materially more optimistic about Inter Bratislava than the current fair estimate.",
"note": "",
"paragraphs": [
"The market is materially more optimistic about Inter Bratislava than the current fair estimate.",
"However, recent buying interest has been on Humenn\u00e9, with odds shortening by 2.9%. Confirmation remains limited (1/6 books), suggesting early interest rather than a broad market move."
],
"quiet_market": false,
"title": "Market Assessment"
},
"market_narrative": {
"paragraphs": [
"The market favors Inter Bratislava more strongly than the current fair estimate.",
"At the same time, Humenn\u00e9 has attracted buying interest, with odds shortening by 2.9%.",
"Market confirmation remains limited (1/6), suggesting an early move rather than a broad consensus."
],
"title": "Current Market Narrative"
},
"market_source": "closing_1x2",
"max_gap_pp": 11.57,
"model_validation": {
"score_label_key": "mi_mv_warning",
"status": "warning"
},
"model_validation_label": "Warning",
"outcome_separation": {
"breakdown": [
"No outcome exceeds 50% on the 1X2 grid.",
"Favourite exceeds second outcome by 6.6 pp (at 38.5%)."
],
"lead_gap_pp": 6.6,
"max_prob_pct": 38.5,
"note": "How spread out the model 1X2 probabilities are \u2014 crowded splits mean no single outcome dominates. Not accuracy vs the market.",
"tier": "medium",
"tier_label": "Medium"
},
"outcome_separation_label": "Medium",
"overall_assessment": {
"badge_class": "strong",
"largest_gap_label": "Inter Bratislava",
"largest_gap_pp": -11.6,
"lead": "The closing market prices Inter Bratislava higher than the statistical model.",
"level": "strong",
"max_gap_pp": 11.6,
"title": "Strong Disagreement"
},
"rows": [
{
"difference_pp": 6.56,
"edge_pp": 6.56,
"fair_prob_pct": 31.94,
"is_hero": false,
"label": "Humenn\u00e9",
"market_prob_pct": 25.38,
"side": "home",
"signal_key": "model_higher",
"signal_label": "Model Higher"
},
{
"difference_pp": 5.01,
"edge_pp": 5.01,
"fair_prob_pct": 29.57,
"is_hero": false,
"label": "Draw",
"market_prob_pct": 24.56,
"side": "draw",
"signal_key": "model_higher",
"signal_label": "Model Higher"
},
{
"difference_pp": -11.57,
"edge_pp": -11.57,
"fair_prob_pct": 38.49,
"is_hero": true,
"label": "Inter Bratislava",
"market_prob_pct": 50.06,
"side": "away",
"signal_key": "market_higher",
"signal_label": "Market Higher"
}
],
"status": "strong_market_ahead",
"status_label": "Strong Market Ahead",
"steam_note": "",
"unavailable_note": ""
},
"interpretation": {
"has_conflict": true,
"paragraphs": [
"The betting market strongly prefers Inter Bratislava (50.1%).",
"Humenn\u00e9 has attracted notable multi-book line movement (\u2193 -2.9%, 1/6).",
"This creates a conflict: Model \u2192 Inter Bratislava, Market \u2192 Inter Bratislava, Recent sharp money \u2192 Humenn\u00e9.",
"Because signals disagree, confidence remains limited."
],
"show": true,
"title": "OddsGPT Interpretation"
},
"lifecycle": {
"closing_implied_pct": 54.64,
"closing_odds": 1.83,
"closing_reason": "",
"closing_status": "recorded",
"closing_status_label": "Recorded",
"clv_pending": true,
"clv_pp": 0.0,
"clv_reason": "",
"clv_status": "pending",
"context": "match",
"current_stage": "waiting_for_kickoff",
"current_stage_detail": "",
"current_stage_label": "Waiting for kickoff",
"entry_implied_pct": 54.64,
"entry_odds": 1.83,
"match_phase": "upcoming",
"match_phase_detail": "",
"match_phase_display": "Upcoming",
"match_phase_label": "Upcoming",
"model_validation_label": "Warning",
"model_validation_status": "warning",
"stages": [
{
"detail": "",
"id": "forecast_generated",
"label": "Prediction Generated",
"status": "done"
},
{
"detail": "",
"id": "market_detected",
"label": "Market Compared",
"status": "active"
},
{
"detail": "",
"id": "model_validated",
"label": "Validation Passed",
"status": "active"
},
{
"detail": "PRE1",
"id": "closing_recorded",
"label": "Closing Recorded",
"status": "done"
},
{
"detail": "",
"id": "clv_evaluated",
"label": "CLV Evaluated",
"status": "pending"
}
]
},
"market_move_intelligence": {
"books_reacting": 1,
"books_reacting_detail": [
{
"bookmaker_id": 8,
"bookmaker_name": "Bet365",
"is_sharp": true,
"move_delta_display": "\u2193 -2.9%",
"odds_delta_pct": -2.9
}
],
"books_total": 6,
"breadth_display": "1/6",
"clv_label": "+0.00 pp",
"clv_status": "evaluated",
"current_odds": 3.4,
"is_drift": false,
"move_context": "Largest closing-window shift",
"move_display": "\u2193 -2.9%",
"move_pct_abs": 2.9,
"move_speed_icon": "\ud83d\udc22",
"move_speed_label": "Slow drift over 41h 23m",
"narrative_paragraphs": [
"Volatile two-way pricing on Humenn\u00e9 (swing 3.61 \u2192 3.00 \u2192 3.40) \u2014 net 2.9% but intraday chop is elevated.",
"Price swings look choppy \u2014 volatility reduced overall confidence in the directional signal."
],
"narrative_title": "Market Narrative",
"odds_delta_pct": -2.9,
"odds_path": {
"chart_y_labels": [
"3.61",
"3.50",
"3.40"
],
"display": "3.61 \u2192 3.00 \u2192 3.40",
"move_speed_icon": "\ud83d\udc22",
"move_speed_label": "Slow drift over 41h 23m",
"pick_team": "Humenn\u00e9",
"points": [
{
"label_key": "open",
"value": "3.61"
},
{
"label_key": "extreme",
"value": "3.00"
},
{
"label_key": "current",
"value": "3.40"
}
],
"sparkline_points": [
3.5,
3.61,
3.4
],
"sparkline_polyline": "0.0,9.4 28.0,0.0 56.0,18.0",
"sparkline_trend": "flat",
"sparkline_trend_label": "Stable",
"summary_boxes": [
{
"label_key": "open",
"value": "3.50"
},
{
"label_key": "low",
"value": "3.40"
},
{
"label_key": "high",
"value": "3.61"
},
{
"label_key": "current",
"value": "3.40"
}
]
},
"open_odds": 3.5,
"page_alert_line": "",
"phase_label": "Volatile",
"phase_tip": "High disagreement or chop \u2014 low reliability for directional bets.",
"pick_team": "Humenn\u00e9",
"ref_book": "Bet365",
"seo_title_alert": "",
"sharp_leader": "Bet365",
"show": true,
"signal_badge_class": "warn",
"signal_icon": "\u26a0\ufe0f",
"signal_impact": {
"current_odds": 3.4,
"is_drift": false,
"label": "Sharp signal",
"move_display": "\u2193 -2.9%",
"open_odds": 3.5,
"summary": "Market moved toward Humenn\u00e9 while the model still favours another side.",
"team": "Humenn\u00e9",
"tone": "against"
},
"signal_key": "volatile_market",
"signal_label": "Volatile market",
"steam_score": 3,
"steam_subtitle": "Limited conviction",
"steam_tier": "C",
"title": "Market Move Intelligence"
},
"market_overview": {
"breadth_display": "1/6",
"current_odds": 3.4,
"move_display": "\u2193 -2.9%",
"open_odds": 3.5,
"pick_team": "Humenn\u00e9",
"steam_score": 3,
"steam_team_name": "Humenn\u00e9",
"steam_tier": "C"
},
"premium_teaser": {
"current_divergence_pp": 11.6,
"divergence_label": "Current divergence",
"title": "Premium Market Intelligence",
"unlock_items": [
"Historical similar matches",
"Closing odds analysis",
"CLV tracking",
"Sharp money signals",
"Market efficiency rating",
"Historical model vs market results"
],
"unlock_label": "Unlock"
},
"show": true
},
"match": {
"at2.away_team_slug": "inter-bratislava",
"away_expected_goals": null,
"away_goal_display": null,
"away_team_display_name": "Inter Bratislava",
"away_team_id": 10547,
"away_team_logo": "/static/teams/10547.webp",
"away_team_name": "Inter Bratislava",
"away_team_public_id": "61u70SGutpN3eh",
"away_team_slug": "inter-bratislava",
"country_code": "SK",
"country_display_name": "Slovakia",
"country_flag": "/static/images/country/sk.svg",
"country_id": 140,
"country_name": "Slovakia",
"fixture_id": 1561134,
"goals_away": null,
"goals_home": null,
"home_expected_goals": null,
"home_goal_display": null,
"home_team_country": "Slovakia",
"home_team_display_name": "Humenn\u00e9",
"home_team_id": 14068,
"home_team_logo": "/static/teams/14068.webp",
"home_team_name": "Humenn\u00e9",
"home_team_public_id": "2vqex9Y6eVLfMg",
"home_team_slug": "humenne",
"ht.home_team_slug": "humenne",
"league_country": "Slovakia",
"league_country_display": "Slovakia",
"league_display_name": "Gi\u1ea3i H\u1ea1ng Nh\u00ec Slovakia",
"league_id": 506,
"league_logo": "/static/leagues/506.webp",
"league_name": "Gi\u1ea3i H\u1ea1ng Nh\u00ec Slovakia",
"league_public_id": "1xj18gall4XqEu",
"league_season": 2026,
"match_date": "2026-09-19 13:30:00",
"public_id": "3bqKv5ADE1rozk",
"score_fulltime_away": null,
"score_fulltime_home": null,
"score_penalty_away": null,
"score_penalty_home": null,
"status_long": "Not Started",
"status_short": "NS",
"venue_city": null,
"venue_name": null
},
"match_decision": {
"confidence": {
"breakdown": [
"pred_conf_md_max_1x2_under_50",
"pred_conf_md_top_two_close",
"pred_conf_md_line_above_ev"
],
"breakdown_resolved": [
"Max 1X2 prob under 50% (open contest) (\u22121.0)",
"Top two outcomes relatively close in probability (\u22120.5)",
"At least one tracked line above +EV threshold (+0.5)"
],
"score": 6.0
},
"markets": {
"1x2": {
"1x2_ev_mode": "market_first_p15",
"away": {
"alpha": 0.4956,
"best_odd": 1.83,
"calibration": {
"active": false,
"hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
},
"edge": -0.0575,
"ev": -0.1891,
"implied_prob": 0.5006,
"joint_probs": {
"away": 0.5006,
"draw": 0.2456,
"home": 0.2538
},
"model_prob": 0.3846,
"p_final": 0.4431
},
"draw": {
"alpha": 0.2774,
"best_odd": 3.73,
"calibration": {
"active": false,
"hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
},
"edge": 0.0139,
"ev": -0.0319,
"implied_prob": 0.2456,
"joint_probs": {
"away": 0.5006,
"draw": 0.2456,
"home": 0.2538
},
"model_prob": 0.2959,
"p_final": 0.2596
},
"ev_available": true,
"home": {
"alpha": 0.2704,
"best_odd": 3.61,
"calibration": {
"active": false,
"hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
},
"edge": 0.0178,
"ev": -0.0197,
"implied_prob": 0.2538,
"joint_probs": {
"away": 0.5006,
"draw": 0.2456,
"home": 0.2538
},
"model_prob": 0.3195,
"p_final": 0.2715
}
},
"1x2_outlier": {
"1x2_ev_mode": "legacy_max_odd",
"away": {
"best_odd": 1.83,
"edge": -0.1618,
"ev": -0.2961,
"implied_prob": 0.5464,
"model_prob": 0.3846
},
"draw": {
"best_odd": 3.73,
"edge": 0.0278,
"ev": 0.1036,
"implied_prob": 0.2681,
"model_prob": 0.2959
},
"ev_available": true,
"home": {
"best_odd": 3.61,
"edge": 0.0425,
"ev": 0.1534,
"implied_prob": 0.277,
"model_prob": 0.3195
}
},
"btts": {
"alpha_no": 0.2154,
"alpha_yes": 0.2369,
"best_no_odd": 2.17,
"best_yes_odd": 1.6,
"btts_ev_mode": "market_first_available",
"edge_no": 0.0273,
"edge_yes": -0.0273,
"ev_available": true,
"ev_no": -0.0105,
"ev_no_risk_adj": -0.0765,
"ev_yes": -0.1296,
"ev_yes_risk_adj": -0.1004,
"implied_no": 0.4287,
"implied_yes": 0.5713,
"market_first": {
"available": true,
"mode": "market_first_btts",
"n_bookmakers": 3,
"no": {
"alpha": 0.2154,
"best_odd": 2.13,
"edge": 0.0062,
"ev": -0.0765,
"implied_prob": 0.4274,
"model_prob": 0.456,
"p_final": 0.4336
},
"prediction_confidence": "very_low",
"yes": {
"alpha": 0.2369,
"best_odd": 1.59,
"edge": -0.0068,
"ev": -0.1004,
"implied_prob": 0.5726,
"model_prob": 0.544,
"p_final": 0.5658
}
},
"n_bookmakers": 3,
"p_final_no": 0.4336,
"p_final_yes": 0.5658,
"prediction_confidence": "very_low",
"reliability": "medium"
},
"ou25": {
"alpha_over": 0.2219,
"alpha_under": 0.2017,
"best_over_odd": 1.75,
"best_under_odd": 2.13,
"consensus_over_odd": 1.67,
"consensus_under_odd": 2.05,
"edge_over": -0.0652,
"edge_under": 0.0652,
"ev_available": true,
"ev_over": -0.1565,
"ev_over_risk_adj": -0.1053,
"ev_under": 0.1033,
"ev_under_risk_adj": -0.0511,
"implied_over": 0.5472,
"implied_over_mf": 0.5511,
"implied_under": 0.4528,
"implied_under_mf": 0.4489,
"market_first": {
"available": true,
"mode": "market_first_ou",
"n_bookmakers": 5,
"over": {
"alpha": 0.2219,
"best_odd": 1.67,
"edge": -0.0153,
"ev": -0.1053,
"implied_prob": 0.5511,
"model_prob": 0.482,
"p_final": 0.5358
},
"prediction_confidence": "very_low",
"under": {
"alpha": 0.2017,
"best_odd": 2.05,
"edge": 0.0139,
"ev": -0.0511,
"implied_prob": 0.4489,
"model_prob": 0.518,
"p_final": 0.4629
}
},
"n_bookmakers": 5,
"ou_ev_mode": "market_first_available",
"p_final_over": 0.5358,
"p_final_under": 0.4629,
"prediction_confidence": "very_low",
"reliability": "medium"
}
},
"match_regime": {
"action": "avoid",
"code": "no_edge",
"execution_line_key": "pred_regime_exec_no_actionable",
"insight_line_key": "pred_regime_insight_minor_inefficiency",
"stake_mult": 0.0,
"use_split_strip": true
},
"match_tier": "no_bet",
"min_ev": 0.02,
"total_xg": 2.6,
"variance_flag": false
},
"unified_decision": {
"actionable_ev_threshold": 0.02,
"algorithm": {
"enabled_since": "2026-05-26",
"game_typing_module": true,
"version": "2.5.0"
},
"balanced_alternative": null,
"best_consensus_ev": 0.1033,
"best_outlier_ev": 0.1534,
"best_tracked_ev": 0.1033,
"confidence": 6.0,
"decision_confidence_v1": {
"breakdown": [
"pred_conf_v1_primary_line",
"pred_conf_v1_primary_ev_above_10",
"pred_conf_v1_max_1x2_under_50"
],
"breakdown_resolved": [
"Primary line identified (+1.0)",
"Primary EV above 10% (+1.0)",
"Max 1X2 prob under 50% (no dominant 1X2) (\u22121.0)"
],
"breakdown_v2": [
"Base decision score (v1)",
"Market steam conflicts with model",
"Consensus-line +EV",
"Low xG separation (league-average noise)"
],
"score": 3.0,
"score_v1_legacy": 6.0,
"score_v2_pre_penalty": 3.5,
"strength_v2": true
},
"decision_strength_v2": {
"breakdown": [
"Base decision score (v1)",
"Market steam conflicts with model",
"Consensus-line +EV",
"Low xG separation (league-average noise)"
],
"score": 3.0,
"score_pre_penalty": 3.5
},
"decision_type": "NO_SIGNAL",
"execution": {
"1x2_dominant": false,
"1x2_open_contest": true,
"grade": "A",
"stake_factor": 1.0
},
"favourite_misaligned_1x2": {
"active": false,
"gap": null,
"side": null
},
"final_action": "no_bet",
"final_decision": {
"action": "no_bet",
"alignment": {
"direction_aligned": true,
"direction_key": "agree",
"gap_pp": 11.6,
"key": "conflict",
"label": "Disagree",
"model_strong": false,
"pricing_aligned": true,
"pricing_key": "moderate",
"probability_gap_pp": 11.6,
"summary": "The market has moved toward Humenn\u00e9, but the model still strongly favours Inter Bratislava."
},
"alignment_key": "conflict",
"best_consensus_ev": 0.1033,
"best_outlier_ev": 0.1534,
"confidence_band": "Moderate\u2013Low",
"decision_strength": 3.0,
"decision_strength_v1": 6.0,
"decision_strength_v2": 3.5,
"decision_type": "NO_SIGNAL",
"execution_confidence": 19,
"extreme_disagreement": false,
"final_verdict_audit": {
"action": "Monitor closing market and validate with CLV.",
"action_label": "Action",
"decision": "No Primary Bet",
"is_primary": false,
"snapshot": "The Decision Model estimates Inter Bratislava at 38.5%, compared with a no-vig market probability of 50.1%.",
"why": [
{
"text": "Decision Model identifies Inter Bratislava as the value side (38.5%)",
"tone": "ok"
},
{
"text": "Market pricing conflicts with the model lean",
"tone": "bad"
},
{
"text": "Model\u2013market disagreement blocks Primary sizing",
"tone": "bad"
},
{
"text": "Market quality / price reliability is insufficient for Primary",
"tone": "bad"
},
{
"text": "Model confidence reduced due to calibration uncertainty",
"tone": "bad"
}
],
"why_label": "Decision Summary"
},
"gap_pp": 11.6,
"gates_failed": [
"Reliability below 65"
],
"has_top_pick": true,
"headline": "No Primary Bet",
"hero_mode": "default",
"icon": "\u25cb",
"label": "No Primary Bet",
"market_signal": "The market has moved toward Humenn\u00e9, but the model still strongly favours Inter Bratislava.",
"model_conflict_detail": null,
"model_lean": "Inter Bratislava",
"no_primary_reasons": {
"all_triggered": [
"market_conflict",
"market_quality",
"calibration_risk"
],
"calibration_mode": "soft",
"codes": [
"market_conflict",
"market_quality"
],
"label": "Reason",
"other_factors": [
{
"code": "market_quality",
"detail": "Price reliability is weak (thin coverage, outlier quote, or low book agreement).",
"name": "Market Quality Risk",
"short": "Market Quality Risk",
"tone": "warn"
}
],
"other_label": "Other factors",
"primary": {
"code": "market_conflict",
"detail": "Model lean and market pricing / drift are not aligned.",
"name": "Market Conflict",
"short": "Market Conflict",
"subtype": "drift_against_model",
"tone": "warn"
},
"secondary": {
"code": "market_quality",
"detail": "Price reliability is weak (thin coverage, outlier quote, or low book agreement).",
"name": "Market Quality Risk",
"short": "Market Quality Risk",
"tone": "warn"
},
"version": "v1"
},
"outlier_detected": true,
"outlier_excluded_panel": "Excluded top quotes (audit row \u2014 never Primary): #1 \u00b7 market OU_2_5 \u00b7 side Inter Bratislava \u00b7 decimal odds ~2.23 (derived from model% \u00d7 (1+EV)) \u00b7 EV +15% \u00b7 book: not captured on live render (see odds history / admin snapshot) \u00b7 captured: \u2014 \u00b7 audit_ref: fixture=1561134 \u00b7 snapshot=live-render \u00b7 odds\u22482.23 \u00b7 reason=thin|single-book|\u0394EV\u22653.0%EV \u00b7 book=admin-only \u00b7 trigger: outlier EV \u2212 consensus EV \u2265 +3.0% EV (not probability pp) AND thin/single-book style \u00b7 consensus used +10.3% EV. Excluded quotes cannot clear Primary.",
"primary_allowed": false,
"primary_block_explain": {
"entries": [
{
"key": "positive_ev",
"label": "Consensus EV +10.3% meets Primary gate (\u2265+5.0%)",
"ok": true
},
{
"key": "gate",
"label": "Reliability below 65",
"ok": false
}
],
"lean_ev_threshold_pct": 2.0,
"primary_ev_threshold_pct": 5.0,
"subtitle": "Primary needs consensus EV \u2265 +5.0% plus reliability/execution/calibration gates (Decision Strength is explain-only). Lean/tracked gate is +2.0% (selective only \u2014 not default Primary sizing).",
"title": "Why not Primary?"
},
"primary_gate_checklist": "Gate checklist: Consensus EV +10.3% \u2705 (need \u2265+5.0%) \u00b7 Calibration See checklist \u274c \u2192 Primary blocked. Decision Strength 3.0/10 (explain only, not a Primary gate). If you still act under hard block: example stake 0.10\u20130.20% bankroll (never Primary).",
"primary_gate_snapshot": "Primary Gate Snapshot: Consensus EV +10.3% (gate \u2265+5.0%) \u00b7 Calibration: See checklist \u2192 Primary blocked \u00b7 Decision Strength 3.0/10 (display only)",
"primary_gates": {
"items": [
{
"key": "extreme_gap",
"label": "Extreme gap",
"ok": true,
"value": "no"
},
{
"key": "xg_calibration",
"label": "xG calibration",
"ok": true,
"value": "warning"
},
{
"key": "reliability",
"label": "Rel",
"ok": false,
"value": "54 (\u226565)"
},
{
"key": "execution",
"label": "Exec",
"ok": false,
"value": "19 (\u226565)"
},
{
"key": "alignment",
"label": "Align",
"ok": false,
"value": "conflict"
},
{
"key": "consensus_ev",
"label": "ConsEV",
"ok": true,
"value": "+10.3% (\u2265+5.0%)"
},
{
"key": "top_pick",
"label": "Pick",
"ok": true,
"value": "true"
},
{
"key": "validation",
"label": "Validation",
"ok": true,
"value": "true"
}
],
"passed": 5,
"total": 8
},
"primary_type": null,
"reasons": [
"The market has moved toward Humenn\u00e9, but the model still strongly favours Inter Bratislava.",
"Decision strength: 3.0/10",
"Reliability below 65",
"Outlier price +15% EV detected \u2014 not used for Primary (consensus only)."
],
"reliability_score": 54,
"speed_read": "Speed read: Model Signal can look moderate/strong while Decision Strength stays low after calibration \u2014 Strength alone does not block Primary (v2.5+); still check reliability/execution/EV hard gates.",
"strength_v2_breakdown": [
"Base decision score (v1)",
"Market steam conflicts with model",
"Consensus-line +EV",
"Low xG separation (league-average noise)"
],
"subline": "The market has moved toward Humenn\u00e9, but the model still strongly favours Inter Bratislava.",
"thresholds": {
"extreme_gap_pp": 30.0,
"lean_min_consensus_ev": 0.02,
"lean_min_strength": 5.0,
"min_consensus_ev": 0.05,
"min_execution": 65,
"min_reliability": 65,
"min_strength": 7.0,
"source": "db",
"user_id": 2
},
"thresholds_source": "db",
"thresholds_user_id": 2,
"tier": "observe",
"validation_ok": true,
"value_context": {
"consensus_ev": -0.1891,
"consensus_ev_display": "-18.9%",
"consensus_odds": 1.83,
"disagreement_label": "Moderate",
"disagreement_level": "moderate",
"implied_prob": 0.5006,
"is_extreme_disagreement": false,
"model_prob": 0.3846,
"raw_edge_display": "-11.6 percentage points",
"raw_edge_pp": -11.6,
"raw_implied_prob": 0.5464480874316939,
"raw_signal_ev": -0.2962,
"raw_signal_ev_display": "-29.6%"
},
"version": "v2.5",
"xg_calibration": {
"block_value_alert": false,
"calibration_status": "warning",
"deviation_pct": 1.5,
"reasons": [
"Thin xG separation gap=0.14"
],
"recommended_action": "monitor",
"strength_delta": -1.0,
"uplift_away": null,
"uplift_home": null,
"xg_separation": {
"band": "low",
"block_value_alert": false,
"separation_score": -10,
"strength_delta": -1.0,
"xg_gap": 0.14
}
}
},
"game_type": {
"label_zh": "\u5747\u8861\uff08\u5f00\u653e\u8d5b\u679c\uff09",
"scoring_type": "balanced",
"signals": {
"btts_yes_prob": 0.544,
"draw_prob": 0.2959,
"max_1x2_prob": 0.3846,
"over_prob": 0.482,
"total_xg": 2.6,
"under_prob": 0.518,
"xg_diff": 0.14
},
"type": "balanced",
"typing_weights_enabled": true
},
"hero_display_pick": null,
"hero_mode": "default",
"longshot_picks": [],
"markets": {
"1x2": {
"consensus_odds": 1.83,
"decision": "no_bet",
"edge": -0.0575,
"ev": -0.1891,
"implied_prob": 0.5006,
"max_ev_side": "home",
"model_prob": 0.3846,
"side": "away",
"side_label": "Inter Bratislava"
},
"btts": {
"decision": "lean",
"decision_layer": {
"alpha": 0.2154,
"available": true,
"consensus_odds": 2.13,
"edge": 0.0062,
"market_prob": 0.4274,
"mode": "market_first_btts",
"model_prob": 0.456,
"n_bookmakers": 3,
"no": {
"alpha": 0.2154,
"best_odd": 2.13,
"edge": 0.0062,
"ev": -0.0765,
"implied_prob": 0.4274,
"model_prob": 0.456,
"p_final": 0.4336
},
"p_final": 0.4336,
"prediction_confidence": "very_low",
"risk_adj_ev": -0.0765,
"value_side": "no",
"yes": {
"alpha": 0.2369,
"best_odd": 1.59,
"edge": -0.0068,
"ev": -0.1004,
"implied_prob": 0.5726,
"model_prob": 0.544,
"p_final": 0.5658
}
},
"edge": 0.0273,
"ev": -0.0105,
"implied_prob": 0.4287,
"model_prob": 0.456,
"side": "no",
"value_side": "no"
},
"ou_2_5": {
"decision": "value_bet",
"decision_layer": {
"alpha": 0.2017,
"available": true,
"consensus_odds": 2.05,
"edge": 0.0139,
"market_prob": 0.4489,
"mode": "market_first_ou",
"model_prob": 0.518,
"n_bookmakers": 5,
"over": {
"alpha": 0.2219,
"best_odd": 1.67,
"edge": -0.0153,
"ev": -0.1053,
"implied_prob": 0.5511,
"model_prob": 0.482,
"p_final": 0.5358
},
"p_final": 0.4629,
"prediction_confidence": "very_low",
"risk_adj_ev": -0.0511,
"under": {
"alpha": 0.2017,
"best_odd": 2.05,
"edge": 0.0139,
"ev": -0.0511,
"implied_prob": 0.4489,
"model_prob": 0.518,
"p_final": 0.4629
},
"value_side": "under"
},
"edge": 0.0652,
"ev": 0.1033,
"implied_prob": 0.4528,
"model_prob": 0.518,
"side": "under",
"value_side": "under"
}
},
"match_id": 1561134,
"match_regime": {
"action": "bet",
"actionable": true,
"clear_edge": true,
"code": "clear_edge",
"execution_line_key": null,
"insight_line_key": null,
"max_valid_ev": 0.1033,
"min_ev": 0.02,
"stake_mult": 1.0,
"use_split_strip": false
},
"match_tier": "value_game",
"no_clear_primary": false,
"probabilities": {
"away": 0.3846,
"draw": 0.2959,
"home": 0.3195
},
"reason_codes": [
"no_ev_1x2"
],
"secondary_pick": null,
"secondary_picks": [],
"show_betting_primary_label": false,
"suppressed_primary": null,
"teams": {
"away": "Inter Bratislava",
"home": "Humenn\u00e9"
},
"top_pick": {
"composite_score": 0.037457,
"decision": "value_bet",
"ev": 0.1033,
"implied_prob": 0.4528,
"market": "ou_2_5",
"model_prob": 0.518,
"not_dominant": false,
"primary_strength": "clear",
"risk_band": "strong",
"risk_tier": "primary",
"side": "under",
"slot": "primary",
"speculative_primary": false
},
"valid_markets_count": 1,
"value_context_1x2": {
"consensus_ev": -0.1891,
"consensus_ev_display": "-18.9%",
"consensus_odds": 1.83,
"disagreement_label": "Moderate",
"disagreement_level": "moderate",
"implied_prob": 0.5006,
"is_extreme_disagreement": false,
"model_prob": 0.3846,
"raw_edge_display": "-11.6 percentage points",
"raw_edge_pp": -11.6,
"raw_implied_prob": 0.5464480874316939,
"raw_signal_ev": -0.2962,
"raw_signal_ev_display": "-29.6%"
}
}
},
"fixture_id": 1561134,
"generated_at_utc": "2026-09-19T13:29:28.885526+00:00",
"lang_id": "en"
}
Khám phá thêm nội dung dự đoán
Nhận dự đoán cao cấp cho Humenné & Inter Bratislava!
Mở khóa phân tích chuyên sâu, mẹo cá cược độc quyền và dự đoán trận đấu với dịch vụ đăng ký cao cấp của chúng tôi.
Đăng ký ngay
Giải Hạng Nhì Slovakia — Bảng xếp hạng
| # | Đội | Tr | T | H | B | Đ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Petržalka | 10 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 27 |
| 2 | Šamorín | 10 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 27 |
| 3 | Považská Bystrica | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 19 |
| 4 | Žilina II | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 16 |
| 5 | Pohronie | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 16 |
| 6 | Galanta | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 16 |
| 7 | Inter Bratislava | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 15 |
| 8 | Tatran Prešov | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 14 |
| 9 | Liptovský Mikuláš | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 13 |
| 10 | Baník Lehota pod Vtáčnikom | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 13 |
| 11 | Zlaté Moravce | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 12 |
| 12 | Malženice | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 10 |
| 13 | Slovan Bratislava II | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 9 |
| 14 | Humenné | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 7 |
| 15 | MFK Bytča | 10 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 6 |
| 16 | Lokomotíva Zvolen | 10 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 3 |
| # | Đội | Tr | BT | BB | +/- | Đ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Šamorín | 10 | 22 | 10 | +12 | 27 |
| 2 | Petržalka | 10 | 20 | 6 | +14 | 27 |
| 3 | Inter Bratislava | 10 | 20 | 11 | +9 | 15 |
| 4 | Považská Bystrica | 10 | 20 | 17 | +3 | 19 |
| 5 | Pohronie | 10 | 16 | 15 | +1 | 16 |
| 6 | Liptovský Mikuláš | 10 | 15 | 12 | +3 | 13 |
| 7 | Baník Lehota pod Vtáčnikom | 10 | 15 | 16 | -1 | 13 |
| 8 | Slovan Bratislava II | 10 | 14 | 16 | -2 | 9 |
| 9 | Galanta | 10 | 13 | 14 | -1 | 16 |
| 10 | Malženice | 10 | 13 | 15 | -2 | 10 |
| 11 | Žilina II | 9 | 12 | 9 | +3 | 16 |
| 12 | Tatran Prešov | 10 | 12 | 14 | -2 | 14 |
| 13 | Zlaté Moravce | 10 | 10 | 9 | +1 | 12 |
| 14 | MFK Bytča | 10 | 8 | 28 | -20 | 6 |
| 15 | Lokomotíva Zvolen | 10 | 7 | 18 | -11 | 3 |
| 16 | Humenné | 9 | 6 | 13 | -7 | 7 |
