Kiểm toán dự đoán: Levski Sofia vs CSKA Sofia Dự đoán, tỷ lệ cược & mẹo cá cược AI

Nov 08, 2026 - 15:00
0 1.12
3 0.82
xG Accuracy: 40%

Thị trường được theo dõi so với kết quả toàn thời gian

Cấp dự đoán Not available

Mỗi hàng so sánh mô hình trước trận đấu với kết quả toàn thời gian.

  • Chợ Dự đoán Kết quả kết quả
  • Tài / Xỉu 2.5 Xỉu 2.5 Tài 2.5 (3 mục tiêu) ✖ Không đúng
  • Cả Hai Đội Đều Ghi Bàn BTTS Không Không ✔ Chính xác
  • 1X2 Levski Sofia CSKA Sofia ✖ Không đúng
  • Thông tin tỷ số chính xác 1-0, 0-0, 1-1, 0-1, 2-0 0-3 ✖ Không đúng
Nhà cái cao cấp stake: người mới có thể dùng mã khuyến mãi FHn2uDc1. Đăng ký ngay

Dòng thời gian dự đoán

Dự đoán này chuyển từ dự báo sang đánh giá toàn thời gian như thế nào.

  1. Nov 08, 2026 · 15:00 UTC Kickoff
  2. FT Full-time result CSKA Sofia win · 0–3

Ảnh chụp lịch sử

Bị treo khi bắt đầu — kết quả đầu ra của mô hình như trước khi trận đấu bắt đầu.

Phán quyết lịch sử: No prediction record
Số liệu trước trận đấu (bối cảnh lịch sử)
Độ tin cậy dự đoán 57/100 · Moderate
  • Validation: Pending
Chứng cớ ★★★★★
  • No strong statistical edge
  • Market has already priced much of the edge
  • Validation pending
Market Compatibility 100/100
Betting Confidence 59/100

Validation Report

Prediction Time: Oct 26, 2026 · 04:59 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-17920183

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result CSKA Sofia win · Levski Sofia 0–3 CSKA Sofia
Prediction No prediction record
Decision Grade Not assessed

Xem lại câu hỏi thường gặp

Dự đoán đó chính xác đến mức nào?
Trang này xếp loại các thị trường định hướng (1X2, Trên/Dưới 2,5, BTTS) so với kết quả toàn thời gian. Mức dự đoán phản ánh có bao nhiêu thị trường được theo dõi phù hợp với thực tế.
Độ chính xác xG đo lường điều gì?
Độ chính xác của xG so sánh hồ sơ bàn thắng dự kiến ​​trước trận đấu của mô hình với tỷ số thực tế — chứ không phải liệu mọi thị trường có thành công hay không. Đánh giá mang tính định hướng mạnh mẽ có thể cùng tồn tại với điểm chính xác xG vừa phải.
Tại sao tỷ số chính xác không được dự đoán?
Các kết quả có tỷ số chính xác là các kết quả có xác suất thấp ngay cả khi mô hình đọc tốt hồ sơ trận đấu. Chúng tôi nêu bật các thùng điểm cao nhất cho ngữ cảnh; thiếu dòng chính xác không làm mất hiệu lực của đánh giá định hướng.
Điều này có cải thiện bản ghi AI không?
Mỗi trận đấu kết thúc sẽ được ghi vào hệ thống xác thực của chúng tôi. Tỷ lệ trúng tổng hợp và nghiên cứu CLV được xuất bản riêng - trang này là đường dẫn kiểm tra mỗi trận đấu.

Dự đoán chỉ nhằm mục đích thông tin. Luôn đánh bạc có trách nhiệm và trong giới hạn của bạn. Hiệu suất trong quá khứ không đảm bảo kết quả trong tương lai.

Chưa có briefing AI cho trận này. Sau khi nâng cấp máy chủ, chạy lại «Tạo tỷ lệ hàng loạt» để tạo bản tóm tắt.

View technical JSON
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        },
        "ev_available": true,
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        "ev_yes": -0.2711,
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        "decision": "no_bet",
        "disagreement_label": "Normal",
        "disagreement_level": "normal",
        "ev": -0.0979,
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        "ev_display": {
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        "raw_edge_pp": -1.9,
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        "raw_signal_ev_display": "-12.1%",
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        "alert_breadth_note": "",
        "alert_move": "",
        "alert_team": "",
        "alert_title": "Sharp Money Alert",
        "divergence_pp": 0.0,
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        "hero_edge_pp": null,
        "hero_label": "",
        "market_prob_pct": null,
        "market_team": "Levski Sofia",
        "model_prob_pct": 40.7,
        "model_team": "Levski Sofia",
        "show": true,
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        "status_line": "Direction aligned; check pricing gap separately",
        "steam_score": null,
        "steam_subtitle": "",
        "steam_tier": "",
        "title": "Betting Signal"
      },
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          },
          {
            "key": "clv_pending",
            "read_min": 3,
            "title": "Why CLV Matters More Than Win Rate",
            "url": "/academy/clv/why-clv-matters-more-than-win-rate/en"
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          "alignment": {
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            "direction_key": "agree",
            "gap_pp": 1.9,
            "key": "agree",
            "label": "Agree",
            "model_strong": false,
            "pricing_aligned": true,
            "pricing_key": "high",
            "probability_gap_pp": 1.9,
            "summary": "Model and market currently agree on the stronger side (Levski Sofia)."
          },
          "alignment_key": "agree",
          "best_consensus_ev": 0.1573,
          "best_outlier_ev": 0.1573,
          "confidence_band": "Moderate",
          "decision_strength": 6.6,
          "decision_strength_v1": 6.0,
          "decision_strength_v2": 6.6,
          "decision_type": "VALUE_ALERT",
          "execution_confidence": 61,
          "extreme_disagreement": false,
          "final_verdict_audit": {
            "action": "Monitor closing market and validate with CLV.",
            "action_label": "Action",
            "decision": "Selective Lean - No Primary Bet",
            "is_primary": false,
            "snapshot": "The Decision Model estimates Levski Sofia at 40.8%, compared with a no-vig market probability of 42.7%.",
            "why": [
              {
                "text": "Decision Model identifies Levski Sofia as the value side (40.8%)",
                "tone": "ok"
              },
              {
                "text": "Market broadly agrees with the direction",
                "tone": "ok"
              },
              {
                "text": "Market quality / price reliability is insufficient for Primary",
                "tone": "bad"
              }
            ],
            "why_label": "Decision Summary"
          },
          "gap_pp": 1.9,
          "gates_failed": [
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          ],
          "has_top_pick": true,
          "headline": "Selective Lean - No Primary Bet",
          "hero_mode": "default",
          "icon": "\u2192",
          "label": "Lean only \u2014 not a default Primary",
          "market_signal": "Market aligns with model lean",
          "model_conflict_detail": null,
          "model_lean": "Levski Sofia",
          "no_primary_reasons": {
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            "calibration_mode": null,
            "codes": [
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            "label": "Reason",
            "other_factors": [],
            "other_label": "Other factors",
            "primary": {
              "code": "market_quality",
              "detail": "Price reliability is weak (thin coverage, outlier quote, or low book agreement).",
              "name": "Market Quality Risk",
              "short": "Market Quality Risk",
              "tone": "warn"
            },
            "secondary": null,
            "version": "v1"
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          "outlier_excluded_panel": "",
          "primary_allowed": false,
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                "key": "positive_ev",
                "label": "Consensus EV +15.7% meets Primary gate (\u2265+5.0%)",
                "ok": true
              },
              {
                "key": "gate",
                "label": "Reliability below 65",
                "ok": false
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            ],
            "lean_ev_threshold_pct": 2.0,
            "primary_ev_threshold_pct": 5.0,
            "subtitle": "Primary needs consensus EV \u2265 +5.0% plus reliability/execution/calibration gates (Decision Strength is explain-only). Lean/tracked gate is +2.0% (selective only \u2014 not default Primary sizing).",
            "title": "Why not Primary?"
          },
          "primary_gate_checklist": "Gate checklist: Consensus EV +15.7% \u2705 (need \u2265+5.0%) \u00b7 Calibration Clear \u2705 \u2192 Primary blocked. Decision Strength 6.6/10 (explain only, not a Primary gate). If you still act under hard block: example stake 0.10\u20130.20% bankroll (never Primary).",
          "primary_gate_snapshot": "Primary Gate Snapshot: Consensus EV +15.7% (gate \u2265+5.0%) \u00b7 Calibration: Clear \u2192 Primary blocked \u00b7 Decision Strength 6.6/10 (display only)",
          "primary_gates": {
            "items": [
              {
                "key": "extreme_gap",
                "label": "Extreme gap",
                "ok": true,
                "value": "no"
              },
              {
                "key": "xg_calibration",
                "label": "xG calibration",
                "ok": true,
                "value": "ok"
              },
              {
                "key": "reliability",
                "label": "Rel",
                "ok": false,
                "value": "59 (\u226565)"
              },
              {
                "key": "execution",
                "label": "Exec",
                "ok": false,
                "value": "61 (\u226565)"
              },
              {
                "key": "alignment",
                "label": "Align",
                "ok": true,
                "value": "agree"
              },
              {
                "key": "consensus_ev",
                "label": "ConsEV",
                "ok": true,
                "value": "+15.7% (\u2265+5.0%)"
              },
              {
                "key": "top_pick",
                "label": "Pick",
                "ok": true,
                "value": "true"
              },
              {
                "key": "validation",
                "label": "Validation",
                "ok": true,
                "value": "true"
              }
            ],
            "passed": 6,
            "total": 8
          },
          "primary_type": null,
          "reasons": [
            "Model and market currently agree on the stronger side (Levski Sofia).",
            "Decision strength: 6.6/10",
            "Reliability below 65"
          ],
          "reliability_score": 59,
          "speed_read": "Speed read: Model Signal can look moderate/strong while Decision Strength stays low after calibration \u2014 Strength alone does not block Primary (v2.5+); still check reliability/execution/EV hard gates.",
          "strength_v2_breakdown": [
            "Base decision score (v1)",
            "Market aligns with model",
            "Consensus-line +EV"
          ],
          "subline": "Selective consensus value may exist \u2014 below default Primary sizing bar.",
          "thresholds": {
            "extreme_gap_pp": 30.0,
            "lean_min_consensus_ev": 0.02,
            "lean_min_strength": 5.0,
            "min_consensus_ev": 0.05,
            "min_execution": 65,
            "min_reliability": 65,
            "min_strength": 7.0,
            "source": "db",
            "user_id": 2
          },
          "thresholds_source": "db",
          "thresholds_user_id": 2,
          "tier": "lean",
          "validation_ok": true,
          "value_context": {
            "consensus_ev": -0.0979,
            "consensus_ev_display": "-9.8%",
            "consensus_odds": 2.155,
            "disagreement_label": "Normal",
            "disagreement_level": "normal",
            "implied_prob": 0.4269,
            "is_extreme_disagreement": false,
            "model_prob": 0.4079,
            "raw_edge_display": "-1.9 percentage points",
            "raw_edge_pp": -1.9,
            "raw_implied_prob": 0.4640371229698376,
            "raw_signal_ev": -0.121,
            "raw_signal_ev_display": "-12.1%"
          },
          "version": "v2.5",
          "xg_calibration": {
            "block_value_alert": false,
            "calibration_status": "ok",
            "deviation_pct": -17.0,
            "reasons": [],
            "recommended_action": "ok",
            "strength_delta": 0.0,
            "uplift_away": null,
            "uplift_home": null,
            "xg_separation": {
              "band": "ok",
              "block_value_alert": false,
              "separation_score": 0,
              "strength_delta": 0.0,
              "xg_gap": 0.3
            }
          }
        },
        "bet_status": "lean",
        "books_breadth_display": "1/5",
        "breadth_ratio": 0.2,
        "evidence": {
          "score": 78,
          "signals": [
            {
              "icon": "\u25cb",
              "key": "statistical_edge",
              "label": "No strong statistical edge",
              "status": "neutral"
            },
            {
              "icon": "\u2713",
              "key": "market_agreement",
              "label": "Direction agrees with model lean",
              "status": "pass"
            },
            {
              "icon": "\u2713",
              "key": "steam",
              "label": "Market drift supports model side (direction only \u2014 not pricing convergence)",
              "status": "pass"
            },
            {
              "icon": "!",
              "key": "validation",
              "label": "Validation pending",
              "status": "caution"
            }
          ],
          "stars": 4,
          "tier": "high",
          "tier_label": "High"
        },
        "forecast_reliability": {
          "breakdown": [
            {
              "key": "validation",
              "label": "Validation: Pending",
              "tone": "ok"
            }
          ],
          "parts": {
            "alignment": 25.0,
            "data_quality": 12.0,
            "market_coverage": 2.0,
            "steam_coherence": 7.0,
            "validation": 8.0
          },
          "score": 59,
          "stars": 2,
          "tier": "moderate",
          "tier_label": "Moderate"
        },
        "lean_gap_pp": 0.0,
        "market_agreement": "unknown",
        "max_gap_pp": 0.0,
        "model_calibration": {
          "away_xg": 0.82,
          "calibration_status": "ok",
          "deviation_pct": -17.0,
          "elevated": false,
          "home_xg": 1.12,
          "impact_note": "",
          "league_avg_xg": 1.35,
          "peak_xg": 1.12,
          "status_label": "Within typical league range",
          "summary": "Home xG 1.12 \u00b7 Away xG 0.82 \u00b7 League avg 1.35 \u00b7 Peak deviation -17%",
          "title": "Model Calibration Check"
        },
        "move_is_drift": true,
        "mv_status": "pending",
        "odds_delta_pct": 1.4,
        "steam_conflicts": false,
        "steam_move_display": "\u2191 +1.4%",
        "steam_team": "CSKA Sofia",
        "suppress_execution": false,
        "value_split": {
          "execution_confidence": {
            "label": "Betting Confidence",
            "score": 61,
            "tier": "moderate",
            "tier_label": "Moderate"
          },
          "market_compatibility": {
            "label": "Market Compatibility",
            "note": "Price proximity vs model (inverse of pp gap) \u2014 not the same as a Primary go-ahead. Read alongside Decision Strength and Alignment.",
            "score": 90,
            "tier": "high",
            "tier_label": "High"
          },
          "model_edge_strength": {
            "label": "Model Signal Strength",
            "score": 40,
            "tier": "low",
            "tier_label": "Low"
          },
          "model_value": {
            "label": "Market Compatibility",
            "note": "Price proximity vs model (inverse of pp gap) \u2014 not the same as a Primary go-ahead. Read alongside Decision Strength and Alignment.",
            "score": 90,
            "tier": "high",
            "tier_label": "High"
          },
          "recommendation": {
            "action": "lean",
            "label": "Selective Lean - No Primary Bet"
          }
        },
        "verdict": {
          "agree_note": "Selective consensus value may exist \u2014 below default Primary sizing bar.",
          "alignment": {
            "direction_aligned": true,
            "direction_key": "agree",
            "gap_pp": 1.9,
            "key": "agree",
            "label": "Agree",
            "model_strong": false,
            "pricing_aligned": true,
            "pricing_key": "high",
            "probability_gap_pp": 1.9,
            "summary": "Model and market currently agree on the stronger side (Levski Sofia)."
          },
          "authority": {
            "action": "lean",
            "alignment": {
              "direction_aligned": true,
              "direction_key": "agree",
              "gap_pp": 1.9,
              "key": "agree",
              "label": "Agree",
              "model_strong": false,
              "pricing_aligned": true,
              "pricing_key": "high",
              "probability_gap_pp": 1.9,
              "summary": "Model and market currently agree on the stronger side (Levski Sofia)."
            },
            "alignment_key": "agree",
            "best_consensus_ev": 0.1573,
            "best_outlier_ev": 0.1573,
            "confidence_band": "Moderate",
            "decision_strength": 6.6,
            "decision_strength_v1": 6.0,
            "decision_strength_v2": 6.6,
            "decision_type": "VALUE_ALERT",
            "execution_confidence": 61,
            "extreme_disagreement": false,
            "final_verdict_audit": {
              "action": "Monitor closing market and validate with CLV.",
              "action_label": "Action",
              "decision": "Selective Lean - No Primary Bet",
              "is_primary": false,
              "snapshot": "The Decision Model estimates Levski Sofia at 40.8%, compared with a no-vig market probability of 42.7%.",
              "why": [
                {
                  "text": "Decision Model identifies Levski Sofia as the value side (40.8%)",
                  "tone": "ok"
                },
                {
                  "text": "Market broadly agrees with the direction",
                  "tone": "ok"
                },
                {
                  "text": "Market quality / price reliability is insufficient for Primary",
                  "tone": "bad"
                }
              ],
              "why_label": "Decision Summary"
            },
            "gap_pp": 1.9,
            "gates_failed": [
              "Reliability below 65"
            ],
            "has_top_pick": true,
            "headline": "Selective Lean - No Primary Bet",
            "hero_mode": "default",
            "icon": "\u2192",
            "label": "Lean only \u2014 not a default Primary",
            "market_signal": "Market aligns with model lean",
            "model_conflict_detail": null,
            "model_lean": "Levski Sofia",
            "no_primary_reasons": {
              "all_triggered": [
                "market_quality"
              ],
              "calibration_mode": null,
              "codes": [
                "market_quality"
              ],
              "label": "Reason",
              "other_factors": [],
              "other_label": "Other factors",
              "primary": {
                "code": "market_quality",
                "detail": "Price reliability is weak (thin coverage, outlier quote, or low book agreement).",
                "name": "Market Quality Risk",
                "short": "Market Quality Risk",
                "tone": "warn"
              },
              "secondary": null,
              "version": "v1"
            },
            "outlier_detected": false,
            "outlier_excluded_panel": "",
            "primary_allowed": false,
            "primary_block_explain": {
              "entries": [
                {
                  "key": "positive_ev",
                  "label": "Consensus EV +15.7% meets Primary gate (\u2265+5.0%)",
                  "ok": true
                },
                {
                  "key": "gate",
                  "label": "Reliability below 65",
                  "ok": false
                }
              ],
              "lean_ev_threshold_pct": 2.0,
              "primary_ev_threshold_pct": 5.0,
              "subtitle": "Primary needs consensus EV \u2265 +5.0% plus reliability/execution/calibration gates (Decision Strength is explain-only). Lean/tracked gate is +2.0% (selective only \u2014 not default Primary sizing).",
              "title": "Why not Primary?"
            },
            "primary_gate_checklist": "Gate checklist: Consensus EV +15.7% \u2705 (need \u2265+5.0%) \u00b7 Calibration Clear \u2705 \u2192 Primary blocked. Decision Strength 6.6/10 (explain only, not a Primary gate). If you still act under hard block: example stake 0.10\u20130.20% bankroll (never Primary).",
            "primary_gate_snapshot": "Primary Gate Snapshot: Consensus EV +15.7% (gate \u2265+5.0%) \u00b7 Calibration: Clear \u2192 Primary blocked \u00b7 Decision Strength 6.6/10 (display only)",
            "primary_gates": {
              "items": [
                {
                  "key": "extreme_gap",
                  "label": "Extreme gap",
                  "ok": true,
                  "value": "no"
                },
                {
                  "key": "xg_calibration",
                  "label": "xG calibration",
                  "ok": true,
                  "value": "ok"
                },
                {
                  "key": "reliability",
                  "label": "Rel",
                  "ok": false,
                  "value": "59 (\u226565)"
                },
                {
                  "key": "execution",
                  "label": "Exec",
                  "ok": false,
                  "value": "61 (\u226565)"
                },
                {
                  "key": "alignment",
                  "label": "Align",
                  "ok": true,
                  "value": "agree"
                },
                {
                  "key": "consensus_ev",
                  "label": "ConsEV",
                  "ok": true,
                  "value": "+15.7% (\u2265+5.0%)"
                },
                {
                  "key": "top_pick",
                  "label": "Pick",
                  "ok": true,
                  "value": "true"
                },
                {
                  "key": "validation",
                  "label": "Validation",
                  "ok": true,
                  "value": "true"
                }
              ],
              "passed": 6,
              "total": 8
            },
            "primary_type": null,
            "reasons": [
              "Model and market currently agree on the stronger side (Levski Sofia).",
              "Decision strength: 6.6/10",
              "Reliability below 65"
            ],
            "reliability_score": 59,
            "speed_read": "Speed read: Model Signal can look moderate/strong while Decision Strength stays low after calibration \u2014 Strength alone does not block Primary (v2.5+); still check reliability/execution/EV hard gates.",
            "strength_v2_breakdown": [
              "Base decision score (v1)",
              "Market aligns with model",
              "Consensus-line +EV"
            ],
            "subline": "Selective consensus value may exist \u2014 below default Primary sizing bar.",
            "thresholds": {
              "extreme_gap_pp": 30.0,
              "lean_min_consensus_ev": 0.02,
              "lean_min_strength": 5.0,
              "min_consensus_ev": 0.05,
              "min_execution": 65,
              "min_reliability": 65,
              "min_strength": 7.0,
              "source": "db",
              "user_id": 2
            },
            "thresholds_source": "db",
            "thresholds_user_id": 2,
            "tier": "lean",
            "validation_ok": true,
            "value_context": {
              "consensus_ev": -0.0979,
              "consensus_ev_display": "-9.8%",
              "consensus_odds": 2.155,
              "disagreement_label": "Normal",
              "disagreement_level": "normal",
              "implied_prob": 0.4269,
              "is_extreme_disagreement": false,
              "model_prob": 0.4079,
              "raw_edge_display": "-1.9 percentage points",
              "raw_edge_pp": -1.9,
              "raw_implied_prob": 0.4640371229698376,
              "raw_signal_ev": -0.121,
              "raw_signal_ev_display": "-12.1%"
            },
            "version": "v2.5",
            "xg_calibration": {
              "block_value_alert": false,
              "calibration_status": "ok",
              "deviation_pct": -17.0,
              "reasons": [],
              "recommended_action": "ok",
              "strength_delta": 0.0,
              "uplift_away": null,
              "uplift_home": null,
              "xg_separation": {
                "band": "ok",
                "block_value_alert": false,
                "separation_score": 0,
                "strength_delta": 0.0,
                "xg_gap": 0.3
              }
            }
          },
          "headline": "Selective Lean - No Primary Bet",
          "icon": "\u2192",
          "label": "Lean only \u2014 not a default Primary",
          "subline": "Selective consensus value may exist \u2014 below default Primary sizing bar.",
          "tier": "lean"
        },
        "why": {
          "action_line": "Compare model lean with current best odds before sizing any bet.",
          "bullets": [
            "Model: Levski Sofia 1.12 xG vs CSKA Sofia 0.82 \u2192 Levski Sofia 40.7%",
            "Market Drift: CSKA Sofia odds \u2191 +1.4%"
          ],
          "one_liner": "Model and market both lean Levski Sofia with no major conflict.",
          "title": "Why?"
        }
      },
      "edge_rows": [
        {
          "edge_pp": null,
          "fair_prob": 40.74,
          "label": "Levski Sofia",
          "market_prob": null,
          "market_type": "1x2",
          "outcome": "home"
        },
        {
          "edge_pp": null,
          "fair_prob": 34.36,
          "label": "Draw",
          "market_prob": null,
          "market_type": "1x2",
          "outcome": "draw"
        },
        {
          "edge_pp": null,
          "fair_prob": 24.9,
          "label": "CSKA Sofia",
          "market_prob": null,
          "market_type": "1x2",
          "outcome": "away"
        },
        {
          "edge_pp": -12.88,
          "fair_prob": 30.7,
          "label": "Over 2.5",
          "market_prob": 43.58,
          "market_type": "ou25",
          "outcome": "over"
        },
        {
          "edge_pp": 12.88,
          "fair_prob": 69.3,
          "label": "Under 2.5",
          "market_prob": 56.42,
          "market_type": "ou25",
          "outcome": "under"
        },
        {
          "edge_pp": -10.63,
          "fair_prob": 39.4,
          "label": "BTTS Yes",
          "market_prob": 50.03,
          "market_type": "btts",
          "outcome": "yes"
        },
        {
          "edge_pp": 10.63,
          "fair_prob": 60.6,
          "label": "BTTS No",
          "market_prob": 49.97,
          "market_type": "btts",
          "outcome": "no"
        }
      ],
      "edge_snapshot": {},
      "fair_source": "poisson_pipeline",
      "fair_vs_market": {
        "closing_capture": "",
        "closing_footnote": "Model probabilities are generated from the statistical xG model using a Poisson distribution. Closing market probabilities are derived from consensus closing 1X2 odds after margin removal. Values represent implied probabilities rather than betting recommendations.",
        "comparison_available": false,
        "comparison_disabled": false,
        "comparison_summary": "",
        "degraded_note": "",
        "divergence_guard": {
          "divergence_level": "aligned",
          "edge_status": "unknown",
          "max_gap_pp": 0.0,
          "suppress_hero": false,
          "suppress_value_language": false
        },
        "divergence_label": "",
        "divergence_level": "aligned",
        "divergence_level_label": "Aligned",
        "divergence_note": "",
        "divergence_tier": "aligned",
        "edge_label": "",
        "edge_label_key": "",
        "fair_confidence": "medium",
        "fair_confidence_label": "Medium",
        "fair_source_note": "Model probabilities are generated from the statistical xG model using a Poisson distribution. Closing market probabilities are derived from consensus closing 1X2 odds after margin removal. Values represent implied probabilities rather than betting recommendations.",
        "forecast_assessment": {
          "favourite_class": "Balanced match",
          "favourite_label": "Levski Sofia",
          "forecast_certainty_tier": "low",
          "headline": "Balanced match",
          "market_agreement_label": "\u2014",
          "market_direction": {
            "label": "Supports model direction",
            "positive": true
          },
          "market_prob_pct": 42.7,
          "model_prob_gap_display": "-2.0 percentage points",
          "model_prob_gap_pp": -2.0,
          "model_prob_pct": 40.7,
          "outcome_separation_tier": "medium",
          "paragraphs": [],
          "pricing_convergence": {
            "gap_display": "-2.0 percentage points",
            "gap_pp": -2.0,
            "label": "High",
            "label_key": "mi_fa_pricing_high"
          },
          "reliability_headline": "Limited reliability",
          "reliability_icon": "!",
          "reliability_score": 59,
          "reliability_tier": "limited",
          "summary": "Levski Sofia \u2014 market direction supports the model lean.",
          "tier": "balanced",
          "title": "Prediction Assessment",
          "validation_label": "Pending",
          "value_split": {
            "execution_confidence": {
              "label": "Betting Confidence",
              "score": 61,
              "tier": "moderate",
              "tier_label": "Moderate"
            },
            "market_compatibility": {
              "label": "Market Compatibility",
              "note": "Price proximity vs model (inverse of pp gap) \u2014 not the same as a Primary go-ahead. Read alongside Decision Strength and Alignment.",
              "score": 90,
              "tier": "high",
              "tier_label": "High"
            },
            "model_edge_strength": {
              "label": "Model Signal Strength",
              "score": 40,
              "tier": "low",
              "tier_label": "Low"
            },
            "model_value": {
              "label": "Market Compatibility",
              "note": "Price proximity vs model (inverse of pp gap) \u2014 not the same as a Primary go-ahead. Read alongside Decision Strength and Alignment.",
              "score": 90,
              "tier": "high",
              "tier_label": "High"
            },
            "recommendation": {
              "action": "lean",
              "label": "Selective Lean - No Primary Bet"
            }
          },
          "why": {
            "action_line": "Compare model lean with current best odds before sizing any bet.",
            "bullets": [
              "Model: Levski Sofia 1.12 xG vs CSKA Sofia 0.82 \u2192 Levski Sofia 40.7%",
              "Market Drift: CSKA Sofia odds \u2191 +1.4%"
            ],
            "one_liner": "Model and market both lean Levski Sofia with no major conflict.",
            "title": "Why?"
          }
        },
        "forecast_certainty": {
          "note": "Three outcomes remain closely bunched \u2014 treat as a relatively open match.",
          "tier": "low",
          "tier_label": "Low"
        },
        "forecast_certainty_label": "Low",
        "has_market_probs": false,
        "hero_edge_pp": null,
        "hero_label": "",
        "hero_side": null,
        "market_activity": "CSKA Sofia odds lengthened \u2191 +1.4%.",
        "market_agreement": "unknown",
        "market_agreement_label": "\u2014",
        "market_interpretation": {},
        "market_narrative": {},
        "market_source": "closing_1x2",
        "max_gap_pp": 0.0,
        "model_validation": {
          "score_label_key": "mi_mv_pending",
          "status": "pending"
        },
        "model_validation_label": "Pending",
        "outcome_separation": {
          "breakdown": [
            "No outcome exceeds 50% on the 1X2 grid.",
            "Favourite exceeds second outcome by 6.4 pp (at 40.7%)."
          ],
          "lead_gap_pp": 6.4,
          "max_prob_pct": 40.7,
          "note": "How spread out the model 1X2 probabilities are \u2014 crowded splits mean no single outcome dominates. Not accuracy vs the market.",
          "tier": "medium",
          "tier_label": "Medium"
        },
        "outcome_separation_label": "Medium",
        "overall_assessment": {
          "badge_class": "aligned",
          "largest_gap_label": "",
          "largest_gap_pp": null,
          "lead": "The model and closing market are broadly aligned.",
          "level": "aligned",
          "max_gap_pp": 0.0,
          "title": "Broadly Aligned"
        },
        "rows": [
          {
            "difference_pp": null,
            "edge_pp": null,
            "fair_prob_pct": 40.74,
            "is_hero": false,
            "label": "Levski Sofia",
            "market_prob_pct": null,
            "side": "home",
            "signal_key": "",
            "signal_label": ""
          },
          {
            "difference_pp": null,
            "edge_pp": null,
            "fair_prob_pct": 34.36,
            "is_hero": false,
            "label": "Draw",
            "market_prob_pct": null,
            "side": "draw",
            "signal_key": "",
            "signal_label": ""
          },
          {
            "difference_pp": null,
            "edge_pp": null,
            "fair_prob_pct": 24.9,
            "is_hero": false,
            "label": "CSKA Sofia",
            "market_prob_pct": null,
            "side": "away",
            "signal_key": "",
            "signal_label": ""
          }
        ],
        "status": "unknown",
        "status_label": "\u2014",
        "steam_note": "",
        "unavailable_note": ""
      },
      "interpretation": {
        "has_conflict": "",
        "paragraphs": [
          "The statistical model leans Levski Sofia (40.7%).",
          "Levski Sofia \u2014 market direction supports the model lean."
        ],
        "show": true,
        "title": "OddsGPT Interpretation"
      },
      "lifecycle": {
        "closing_implied_pct": null,
        "closing_odds": null,
        "closing_reason": "Expected before kickoff",
        "closing_status": "waiting",
        "closing_status_label": "Waiting",
        "clv_pending": true,
        "clv_pp": null,
        "clv_reason": "",
        "clv_status": "pending",
        "context": "match",
        "current_stage": "market_monitoring",
        "current_stage_detail": "",
        "current_stage_label": "Market monitoring",
        "entry_implied_pct": 28.49,
        "entry_odds": 3.51,
        "match_phase": "upcoming",
        "match_phase_detail": "",
        "match_phase_display": "Upcoming",
        "match_phase_label": "Upcoming",
        "model_validation_label": "Pending",
        "model_validation_status": "pending",
        "stages": [
          {
            "detail": "",
            "id": "forecast_generated",
            "label": "Prediction Generated",
            "status": "done"
          },
          {
            "detail": "",
            "id": "market_detected",
            "label": "Market Compared",
            "status": "active"
          },
          {
            "detail": "",
            "id": "model_validated",
            "label": "Validation Passed",
            "status": "pending"
          },
          {
            "detail": "",
            "id": "closing_recorded",
            "label": "Closing Recorded",
            "status": "pending"
          },
          {
            "detail": "",
            "id": "clv_evaluated",
            "label": "CLV Evaluated",
            "status": "pending"
          }
        ]
      },
      "market_move_intelligence": {
        "empty_note": "A price change is visible, but breadth or move strength is still below the confirmation threshold.",
        "empty_status": "unconfirmed",
        "empty_title": "Line move detected \u2014 not yet confirmed",
        "monitoring": true,
        "monitoring_label": "Actively monitoring",
        "show": false
      },
      "market_overview": {
        "breadth_display": "1/5",
        "current_odds": 3.51,
        "move_display": "\u2191 +1.4%",
        "open_odds": 3.46,
        "pick_team": "CSKA Sofia",
        "steam_score": 1,
        "steam_team_name": "CSKA Sofia",
        "steam_tier": "C"
      },
      "premium_teaser": {},
      "show": true
    },
    "match": {
      "at2.away_team_slug": "cska-sofia",
      "away_expected_goals": null,
      "away_goal_display": null,
      "away_team_display_name": "CSKA Sofia",
      "away_team_id": 853,
      "away_team_logo": "https://media.api-sports.io/football/teams/853.png",
      "away_team_name": "CSKA Sofia",
      "away_team_public_id": "3Pa2cc1zTK6607",
      "away_team_slug": "cska-sofia",
      "country_code": "BG",
      "country_display_name": "Bulgaria",
      "country_flag": "https://media.api-sports.io/flags/bg.svg",
      "country_id": 25,
      "country_name": "Bulgaria",
      "fixture_id": 1551133,
      "goals_away": null,
      "goals_home": null,
      "home_expected_goals": null,
      "home_goal_display": null,
      "home_team_country": "Bulgaria",
      "home_team_display_name": "Levski Sofia",
      "home_team_id": 646,
      "home_team_logo": "https://media.api-sports.io/football/teams/646.png",
      "home_team_name": "Levski Sofia",
      "home_team_public_id": "2ZDELT0aPzSZAS",
      "home_team_slug": "levski-sofia",
      "ht.home_team_slug": "levski-sofia",
      "league_country": "Bulgaria",
      "league_country_display": "Bulgaria",
      "league_display_name": "Gi\u1ea3i V\u00f4 \u0111\u1ecbch Qu\u1ed1c gia Bulgaria",
      "league_id": 172,
      "league_logo": "https://media.api-sports.io/football/leagues/172.png",
      "league_name": "Gi\u1ea3i V\u00f4 \u0111\u1ecbch Qu\u1ed1c gia Bulgaria",
      "league_public_id": "4cmwkammgUOIQT",
      "league_season": 2026,
      "match_date": "2026-11-08 15:00:00",
      "public_id": "2k4lZ17gkyVAch",
      "score_fulltime_away": null,
      "score_fulltime_home": null,
      "score_penalty_away": null,
      "score_penalty_home": null,
      "status_long": "Not Started",
      "status_short": "NS",
      "venue_city": "Sofia",
      "venue_name": "Vivacom Arena Georgi Asparuhov"
    },
    "match_decision": {
      "confidence": {
        "breakdown": [
          "pred_conf_md_max_1x2_under_50",
          "pred_conf_md_top_two_close",
          "pred_conf_md_line_above_ev",
          "pred_conf_md_draw_above_30"
        ],
        "breakdown_resolved": [
          "Max 1X2 prob under 50% (open contest) (\u22121.0)",
          "Top two outcomes relatively close in probability (\u22120.5)",
          "At least one tracked line above +EV threshold (+0.5)",
          "Draw probability above 30% (\u22120.5)"
        ],
        "score": 5.5
      },
      "markets": {
        "1x2": {
          "1x2_ev_mode": "market_first_p15",
          "away": {
            "alpha": 0.2897,
            "best_odd": 3.39,
            "calibration": {
              "active": false,
              "hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
            },
            "edge": -0.0066,
            "ev": -0.1023,
            "implied_prob": 0.2714,
            "joint_probs": {
              "away": 0.2714,
              "draw": 0.3017,
              "home": 0.4269
            },
            "model_prob": 0.2486,
            "p_final": 0.2648
          },
          "draw": {
            "alpha": 0.2812,
            "best_odd": 3.05,
            "calibration": {
              "active": false,
              "hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
            },
            "edge": 0.0118,
            "ev": -0.0441,
            "implied_prob": 0.3017,
            "joint_probs": {
              "away": 0.2714,
              "draw": 0.3017,
              "home": 0.4269
            },
            "model_prob": 0.3434,
            "p_final": 0.3134
          },
          "ev_available": true,
          "home": {
            "alpha": 0.4372,
            "best_odd": 2.155,
            "calibration": {
              "active": false,
              "hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
            },
            "edge": -0.0083,
            "ev": -0.0979,
            "implied_prob": 0.4269,
            "joint_probs": {
              "away": 0.2714,
              "draw": 0.3017,
              "home": 0.4269
            },
            "model_prob": 0.4079,
            "p_final": 0.4186
          }
        },
        "1x2_outlier": {
          "1x2_ev_mode": "legacy_max_odd",
          "away": {
            "best_odd": 3.51,
            "edge": -0.0363,
            "ev": -0.1274,
            "implied_prob": 0.2849,
            "model_prob": 0.2486
          },
          "draw": {
            "best_odd": 3.1,
            "edge": 0.0209,
            "ev": 0.0647,
            "implied_prob": 0.3226,
            "model_prob": 0.3434
          },
          "ev_available": true,
          "home": {
            "best_odd": 2.25,
            "edge": -0.0365,
            "ev": -0.0821,
            "implied_prob": 0.4444,
            "model_prob": 0.4079
          }
        },
        "btts": {
          "alpha_no": 0.2951,
          "alpha_yes": 0.2951,
          "best_no_odd": 1.88,
          "best_yes_odd": 1.85,
          "btts_ev_mode": "market_first_available",
          "edge_no": 0.1063,
          "edge_yes": -0.1063,
          "ev_available": true,
          "ev_no": 0.1393,
          "ev_no_risk_adj": -0.0207,
          "ev_yes": -0.2711,
          "ev_yes_risk_adj": -0.1346,
          "implied_no": 0.4997,
          "implied_yes": 0.5003,
          "market_first": {
            "available": true,
            "mode": "market_first_btts",
            "n_bookmakers": 4,
            "no": {
              "alpha": 0.2951,
              "best_odd": 1.84,
              "edge": 0.0309,
              "ev": -0.0207,
              "implied_prob": 0.5014,
              "model_prob": 0.606,
              "p_final": 0.5322
            },
            "prediction_confidence": "low",
            "yes": {
              "alpha": 0.2951,
              "best_odd": 1.85,
              "edge": -0.0309,
              "ev": -0.1346,
              "implied_prob": 0.4986,
              "model_prob": 0.394,
              "p_final": 0.4678
            }
          },
          "n_bookmakers": 4,
          "p_final_no": 0.5322,
          "p_final_yes": 0.4678,
          "prediction_confidence": "low",
          "reliability": "medium"
        },
        "ou25": {
          "alpha_over": 0.2824,
          "alpha_under": 0.3107,
          "best_over_odd": 2.19,
          "best_under_odd": 1.67,
          "consensus_over_odd": 2.15,
          "consensus_under_odd": 1.66,
          "edge_over": -0.1288,
          "edge_under": 0.1288,
          "ev_available": true,
          "ev_over": -0.3277,
          "ev_over_risk_adj": -0.1414,
          "ev_under": 0.1573,
          "ev_under_risk_adj": 0.0031,
          "implied_over": 0.4358,
          "implied_over_mf": 0.4357,
          "implied_under": 0.5642,
          "implied_under_mf": 0.5643,
          "market_first": {
            "available": true,
            "mode": "market_first_ou",
            "n_bookmakers": 4,
            "over": {
              "alpha": 0.2824,
              "best_odd": 2.15,
              "edge": -0.0363,
              "ev": -0.1414,
              "implied_prob": 0.4357,
              "model_prob": 0.307,
              "p_final": 0.3993
            },
            "prediction_confidence": "low",
            "under": {
              "alpha": 0.3107,
              "best_odd": 1.66,
              "edge": 0.04,
              "ev": 0.0031,
              "implied_prob": 0.5643,
              "model_prob": 0.693,
              "p_final": 0.6043
            }
          },
          "n_bookmakers": 4,
          "ou_ev_mode": "market_first_available",
          "p_final_over": 0.3993,
          "p_final_under": 0.6043,
          "prediction_confidence": "low",
          "reliability": "medium"
        }
      },
      "match_tier": "value_game",
      "min_ev": 0.02,
      "total_xg": 1.94,
      "variance_flag": false
    },
    "unified_decision": {
      "actionable_ev_threshold": 0.02,
      "algorithm": {
        "enabled_since": "2026-05-26",
        "game_typing_module": true,
        "version": "2.5.0"
      },
      "balanced_alternative": null,
      "best_consensus_ev": 0.1573,
      "best_outlier_ev": 0.1573,
      "best_tracked_ev": 0.1573,
      "boundary": {
        "ev_path": "market_first",
        "probs_source": "baseline"
      },
      "confidence": 6.0,
      "decision_confidence_v1": {
        "breakdown": [
          "pred_conf_v1_primary_line",
          "pred_conf_v1_primary_ev_above_10",
          "pred_conf_v1_max_1x2_under_50",
          "pred_conf_v1_draw_above_30",
          "pred_conf_v1_multi_ev_lines"
        ],
        "breakdown_resolved": [
          "Primary line identified (+1.0)",
          "Primary EV above 10% (+1.0)",
          "Max 1X2 prob under 50% (no dominant 1X2) (\u22121.0)",
          "Draw probability above 30% (\u22120.5)",
          "Two or more valid +EV lines at threshold (+0.5)"
        ],
        "breakdown_v2": [
          "Base decision score (v1)",
          "Market aligns with model",
          "Consensus-line +EV"
        ],
        "score": 6.6,
        "score_v1_legacy": 6.0,
        "score_v2_pre_penalty": 6.6,
        "strength_v2": true
      },
      "decision_strength_v2": {
        "breakdown": [
          "Base decision score (v1)",
          "Market aligns with model",
          "Consensus-line +EV"
        ],
        "score": 6.6,
        "score_pre_penalty": 6.6
      },
      "decision_type": "VALUE_ALERT",
      "ev_path": "market_first",
      "execution": {
        "1x2_dominant": false,
        "1x2_open_contest": true,
        "grade": "A",
        "stake_factor": 1.0
      },
      "favourite_misaligned_1x2": {
        "active": false,
        "gap": null,
        "side": null
      },
      "final_action": "lean",
      "final_decision": {
        "action": "lean",
        "alignment": {
          "direction_aligned": true,
          "direction_key": "agree",
          "gap_pp": 1.9,
          "key": "agree",
          "label": "Agree",
          "model_strong": false,
          "pricing_aligned": true,
          "pricing_key": "high",
          "probability_gap_pp": 1.9,
          "summary": "Model and market currently agree on the stronger side (Levski Sofia)."
        },
        "alignment_key": "agree",
        "best_consensus_ev": 0.1573,
        "best_outlier_ev": 0.1573,
        "confidence_band": "Moderate",
        "decision_strength": 6.6,
        "decision_strength_v1": 6.0,
        "decision_strength_v2": 6.6,
        "decision_type": "VALUE_ALERT",
        "execution_confidence": 61,
        "extreme_disagreement": false,
        "final_verdict_audit": {
          "action": "Monitor closing market and validate with CLV.",
          "action_label": "Action",
          "decision": "Selective Lean - No Primary Bet",
          "is_primary": false,
          "snapshot": "The Decision Model estimates Levski Sofia at 40.8%, compared with a no-vig market probability of 42.7%.",
          "why": [
            {
              "text": "Decision Model identifies Levski Sofia as the value side (40.8%)",
              "tone": "ok"
            },
            {
              "text": "Market broadly agrees with the direction",
              "tone": "ok"
            },
            {
              "text": "Market quality / price reliability is insufficient for Primary",
              "tone": "bad"
            }
          ],
          "why_label": "Decision Summary"
        },
        "gap_pp": 1.9,
        "gates_failed": [
          "Reliability below 65"
        ],
        "has_top_pick": true,
        "headline": "Selective Lean - No Primary Bet",
        "hero_mode": "default",
        "icon": "\u2192",
        "label": "Lean only \u2014 not a default Primary",
        "market_signal": "Market aligns with model lean",
        "model_conflict_detail": null,
        "model_lean": "Levski Sofia",
        "no_primary_reasons": {
          "all_triggered": [
            "market_quality"
          ],
          "calibration_mode": null,
          "codes": [
            "market_quality"
          ],
          "label": "Reason",
          "other_factors": [],
          "other_label": "Other factors",
          "primary": {
            "code": "market_quality",
            "detail": "Price reliability is weak (thin coverage, outlier quote, or low book agreement).",
            "name": "Market Quality Risk",
            "short": "Market Quality Risk",
            "tone": "warn"
          },
          "secondary": null,
          "version": "v1"
        },
        "outlier_detected": false,
        "outlier_excluded_panel": "",
        "primary_allowed": false,
        "primary_block_explain": {
          "entries": [
            {
              "key": "positive_ev",
              "label": "Consensus EV +15.7% meets Primary gate (\u2265+5.0%)",
              "ok": true
            },
            {
              "key": "gate",
              "label": "Reliability below 65",
              "ok": false
            }
          ],
          "lean_ev_threshold_pct": 2.0,
          "primary_ev_threshold_pct": 5.0,
          "subtitle": "Primary needs consensus EV \u2265 +5.0% plus reliability/execution/calibration gates (Decision Strength is explain-only). Lean/tracked gate is +2.0% (selective only \u2014 not default Primary sizing).",
          "title": "Why not Primary?"
        },
        "primary_gate_checklist": "Gate checklist: Consensus EV +15.7% \u2705 (need \u2265+5.0%) \u00b7 Calibration Clear \u2705 \u2192 Primary blocked. Decision Strength 6.6/10 (explain only, not a Primary gate). If you still act under hard block: example stake 0.10\u20130.20% bankroll (never Primary).",
        "primary_gate_snapshot": "Primary Gate Snapshot: Consensus EV +15.7% (gate \u2265+5.0%) \u00b7 Calibration: Clear \u2192 Primary blocked \u00b7 Decision Strength 6.6/10 (display only)",
        "primary_gates": {
          "items": [
            {
              "key": "extreme_gap",
              "label": "Extreme gap",
              "ok": true,
              "value": "no"
            },
            {
              "key": "xg_calibration",
              "label": "xG calibration",
              "ok": true,
              "value": "ok"
            },
            {
              "key": "reliability",
              "label": "Rel",
              "ok": false,
              "value": "59 (\u226565)"
            },
            {
              "key": "execution",
              "label": "Exec",
              "ok": false,
              "value": "61 (\u226565)"
            },
            {
              "key": "alignment",
              "label": "Align",
              "ok": true,
              "value": "agree"
            },
            {
              "key": "consensus_ev",
              "label": "ConsEV",
              "ok": true,
              "value": "+15.7% (\u2265+5.0%)"
            },
            {
              "key": "top_pick",
              "label": "Pick",
              "ok": true,
              "value": "true"
            },
            {
              "key": "validation",
              "label": "Validation",
              "ok": true,
              "value": "true"
            }
          ],
          "passed": 6,
          "total": 8
        },
        "primary_type": null,
        "reasons": [
          "Model and market currently agree on the stronger side (Levski Sofia).",
          "Decision strength: 6.6/10",
          "Reliability below 65"
        ],
        "reliability_score": 59,
        "speed_read": "Speed read: Model Signal can look moderate/strong while Decision Strength stays low after calibration \u2014 Strength alone does not block Primary (v2.5+); still check reliability/execution/EV hard gates.",
        "strength_v2_breakdown": [
          "Base decision score (v1)",
          "Market aligns with model",
          "Consensus-line +EV"
        ],
        "subline": "Selective consensus value may exist \u2014 below default Primary sizing bar.",
        "thresholds": {
          "extreme_gap_pp": 30.0,
          "lean_min_consensus_ev": 0.02,
          "lean_min_strength": 5.0,
          "min_consensus_ev": 0.05,
          "min_execution": 65,
          "min_reliability": 65,
          "min_strength": 7.0,
          "source": "db",
          "user_id": 2
        },
        "thresholds_source": "db",
        "thresholds_user_id": 2,
        "tier": "lean",
        "validation_ok": true,
        "value_context": {
          "consensus_ev": -0.0979,
          "consensus_ev_display": "-9.8%",
          "consensus_odds": 2.155,
          "disagreement_label": "Normal",
          "disagreement_level": "normal",
          "implied_prob": 0.4269,
          "is_extreme_disagreement": false,
          "model_prob": 0.4079,
          "raw_edge_display": "-1.9 percentage points",
          "raw_edge_pp": -1.9,
          "raw_implied_prob": 0.4640371229698376,
          "raw_signal_ev": -0.121,
          "raw_signal_ev_display": "-12.1%"
        },
        "version": "v2.5",
        "xg_calibration": {
          "block_value_alert": false,
          "calibration_status": "ok",
          "deviation_pct": -17.0,
          "reasons": [],
          "recommended_action": "ok",
          "strength_delta": 0.0,
          "uplift_away": null,
          "uplift_home": null,
          "xg_separation": {
            "band": "ok",
            "block_value_alert": false,
            "separation_score": 0,
            "strength_delta": 0.0,
            "xg_gap": 0.3
          }
        }
      },
      "game_type": {
        "label_zh": "\u6781\u7aef\u9632\u5b88\uff08\u4f4e\u8fdb\u7403\uff09",
        "scoring_type": "defensive",
        "signals": {
          "btts_yes_prob": 0.394,
          "draw_prob": 0.3434,
          "max_1x2_prob": 0.4079,
          "over_prob": 0.307,
          "total_xg": 1.94,
          "under_prob": 0.693,
          "xg_diff": 0.3
        },
        "type": "defensive",
        "typing_weights_enabled": true
      },
      "hero_display_pick": null,
      "hero_mode": "default",
      "longshot_picks": [],
      "markets": {
        "1x2": {
          "consensus_odds": 2.155,
          "decision": "no_bet",
          "edge": -0.0083,
          "ev": -0.0979,
          "implied_prob": 0.4269,
          "max_ev_side": "draw",
          "model_prob": 0.4079,
          "side": "home",
          "side_label": "Levski Sofia"
        },
        "btts": {
          "decision": "value_bet",
          "decision_layer": {
            "alpha": 0.2951,
            "available": true,
            "consensus_odds": 1.84,
            "edge": 0.0309,
            "market_prob": 0.5014,
            "mode": "market_first_btts",
            "model_prob": 0.606,
            "n_bookmakers": 4,
            "no": {
              "alpha": 0.2951,
              "best_odd": 1.84,
              "edge": 0.0309,
              "ev": -0.0207,
              "implied_prob": 0.5014,
              "model_prob": 0.606,
              "p_final": 0.5322
            },
            "p_final": 0.5322,
            "prediction_confidence": "low",
            "risk_adj_ev": -0.0207,
            "value_side": "no",
            "yes": {
              "alpha": 0.2951,
              "best_odd": 1.85,
              "edge": -0.0309,
              "ev": -0.1346,
              "implied_prob": 0.4986,
              "model_prob": 0.394,
              "p_final": 0.4678
            }
          },
          "edge": 0.1063,
          "ev": 0.1393,
          "implied_prob": 0.4997,
          "model_prob": 0.606,
          "side": "no",
          "value_side": "no"
        },
        "ou_2_5": {
          "decision": "value_bet",
          "decision_layer": {
            "alpha": 0.3107,
            "available": true,
            "consensus_odds": 1.66,
            "edge": 0.04,
            "market_prob": 0.5643,
            "mode": "market_first_ou",
            "model_prob": 0.693,
            "n_bookmakers": 4,
            "over": {
              "alpha": 0.2824,
              "best_odd": 2.15,
              "edge": -0.0363,
              "ev": -0.1414,
              "implied_prob": 0.4357,
              "model_prob": 0.307,
              "p_final": 0.3993
            },
            "p_final": 0.6043,
            "prediction_confidence": "low",
            "risk_adj_ev": 0.0031,
            "under": {
              "alpha": 0.3107,
              "best_odd": 1.66,
              "edge": 0.04,
              "ev": 0.0031,
              "implied_prob": 0.5643,
              "model_prob": 0.693,
              "p_final": 0.6043
            },
            "value_side": "under"
          },
          "edge": 0.1288,
          "ev": 0.1573,
          "implied_prob": 0.5642,
          "model_prob": 0.693,
          "side": "under",
          "value_side": "under"
        }
      },
      "match_id": 1551133,
      "match_regime": {
        "action": "bet",
        "actionable": true,
        "clear_edge": true,
        "code": "clear_edge",
        "execution_line_key": null,
        "insight_line_key": null,
        "max_valid_ev": 0.1573,
        "min_ev": 0.02,
        "stake_mult": 1.0,
        "use_split_strip": false
      },
      "match_tier": "value_game",
      "no_clear_primary": false,
      "probabilities": {
        "away": 0.2486,
        "draw": 0.3434,
        "home": 0.4079
      },
      "probs_source": "baseline",
      "reason_codes": [
        "no_ev_1x2"
      ],
      "secondary_pick": {
        "decision": "value_bet",
        "ev": 0.1393,
        "implied_prob": 0.4997,
        "market": "btts",
        "model_prob": 0.606,
        "not_dominant": false,
        "risk_band": "strong",
        "risk_tier": "secondary",
        "side": "no",
        "slot": "secondary"
      },
      "secondary_picks": [
        {
          "decision": "value_bet",
          "ev": 0.1393,
          "implied_prob": 0.4997,
          "market": "btts",
          "model_prob": 0.606,
          "not_dominant": false,
          "risk_band": "strong",
          "risk_tier": "secondary",
          "side": "no",
          "slot": "secondary"
        }
      ],
      "show_betting_primary_label": false,
      "suppressed_primary": null,
      "teams": {
        "away": "CSKA Sofia",
        "home": "Levski Sofia"
      },
      "top_pick": {
        "composite_score": 0.141712,
        "decision": "value_bet",
        "ev": 0.1573,
        "implied_prob": 0.5642,
        "market": "ou_2_5",
        "model_prob": 0.693,
        "not_dominant": false,
        "primary_strength": "clear",
        "risk_band": "strong",
        "risk_tier": "primary",
        "side": "under",
        "slot": "primary",
        "speculative_primary": false
      },
      "valid_markets_count": 2,
      "value_context_1x2": {
        "consensus_ev": -0.0979,
        "consensus_ev_display": "-9.8%",
        "consensus_odds": 2.155,
        "disagreement_label": "Normal",
        "disagreement_level": "normal",
        "implied_prob": 0.4269,
        "is_extreme_disagreement": false,
        "model_prob": 0.4079,
        "raw_edge_display": "-1.9 percentage points",
        "raw_edge_pp": -1.9,
        "raw_implied_prob": 0.4640371229698376,
        "raw_signal_ev": -0.121,
        "raw_signal_ev_display": "-12.1%"
      }
    }
  },
  "fixture_id": 1551133,
  "generated_at_utc": "2026-11-02T02:46:35.784286+00:00",
  "lang_id": "en"
}

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Giải Vô địch Quốc gia Bulgaria Giải Vô địch Quốc gia Bulgaria — Bảng xếp hạng
# Đội Tr T H B Đ
1 CSKA Sofia 14 10 4 0 34
2 Levski Sofia 13 10 2 1 32
3 Ludogorets 13 9 3 1 30
4 CSKA 1948 14 9 2 3 29
5 Botev Plovdiv 14 7 2 5 23
6 Arda Kardzhali 14 6 3 5 21
7 Spartak Varna 14 4 4 6 16
8 Slavia Sofia 14 2 8 4 14
9 Cherno More Varna 14 3 4 7 13
10 Dunav Ruse 14 3 3 8 12
11 Lokomotiv Plovdiv 14 3 3 8 12
12 Septemvri Sofia 14 3 2 9 11
13 Botev Vratsa 14 2 4 8 10
14 Lokomotiv Sofia 14 1 6 7 9
# Đội Tr BT BB +/- Đ
1 CSKA 1948 14 33 16 +17 29
2 CSKA Sofia 14 32 9 +23 34
3 Ludogorets 13 26 11 +15 30
4 Levski Sofia 13 25 8 +17 32
5 Botev Plovdiv 14 23 21 +2 23
6 Arda Kardzhali 14 20 22 -2 21
7 Dunav Ruse 14 16 23 -7 12
8 Spartak Varna 14 15 25 -10 16
9 Lokomotiv Sofia 14 15 26 -11 9
10 Cherno More Varna 14 14 22 -8 13
11 Septemvri Sofia 14 12 25 -13 11
12 Botev Vratsa 14 11 24 -13 10
13 Slavia Sofia 14 9 9 0 14
14 Lokomotiv Plovdiv 14 8 18 -10 12