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- Chợ Dự đoán Kết quả kết quả
- Tài / Xỉu 2.5 Xỉu 2.5 Tài 2.5 (3 mục tiêu) ✖ Không đúng
- Cả Hai Đội Đều Ghi Bàn BTTS Không Có ✖ Không đúng
- 1X2 Santa Fe Santa Fe ✔ Chính xác
- Thông tin tỷ số chính xác 1-1, 0-1, 1-0, 0-0, 1-2 1-2 ✔ Chính xác
Validation Report
Immutable Snapshot
Closing Odds
Pending
AI Fair Odds
—
CLV
Pending
Final Result
Santa Fe win · Deportivo Pereira 1–2 Santa Fe
Prediction
✔ Correct
Decision Grade
F
Model Performance
This prediction contributes to:
- Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%
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View technical JSON
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"bundle_version": 1,
"content_hash": "cd58b3b0915c889f2734831c73b50bf652f27a81a730ca7d6c15ae8eb6a1eb09",
"decision_algo_version": "2.5.0",
"facts": {
"ai_fp": {
"away_predicted_xg": 1.26,
"away_win_prob": 0.3919,
"away_win_prob_posterior": null,
"bayes_applied": 0,
"btts_no_prob": 0.515,
"btts_yes_prob": 0.485,
"dc_rho": -0.13,
"draw_prob": 0.3146,
"draw_prob_posterior": null,
"fair_odds_away": 2.55,
"fair_odds_away_posterior": null,
"fair_odds_draw": 3.18,
"fair_odds_draw_posterior": null,
"fair_odds_home": 3.41,
"fair_odds_home_posterior": null,
"home_predicted_xg": 1.06,
"home_win_prob": 0.2936,
"home_win_prob_posterior": null,
"over_25_prob": 0.409,
"prediction_confidence": "high",
"under_25_prob": 0.591
},
"api_prediction": {
"advice": "Combo Double chance : draw or Santa Fe and -3.5 goals",
"main_pick_display": "No Strong Winner Bet",
"percent_away": "45%",
"percent_draw": "45%",
"percent_home": "10%",
"winner_name": "Santa Fe"
},
"away_xg": 1.26,
"betting_insight": {
"bet_label": "Santa Fe",
"confidence": null,
"main_pick_meta": {
"confidence": "low",
"display_text": "No Strong Winner Bet",
"edge": -0.1135,
"edge_gap": 0.0777,
"market": "1X2",
"market_prob": 0.5057,
"model_prob": 0.3922,
"pick_type": "no_strong",
"probabilities": {
"away": 39.2,
"draw": 31.5,
"home": 29.3
},
"reason": "No clear edge in 1X2 market",
"selection": null,
"selection_name": null
},
"market_comparison": [
{
"affi_link": "",
"bookmaker_name": "Pinnacle",
"odd": 1.88
}
],
"risk_color": null,
"risk_key": null,
"stacked_market": null,
"value_bet": {
"best_odds": 1.88,
"bookmaker_id": 0,
"bookmaker_name": "Pinnacle",
"display_market": "Santa Fe Win",
"is_value": false,
"label": "Away",
"market_fair_odds": 1.98,
"market_odds": 1.88,
"model_odds": 2.55,
"overround": 5.2,
"prob_edge": -14.0,
"value_pct": -26.3,
"value_rating": "no_value"
}
},
"betting_markets": {
"btts": {
"away_clean_sheet": 3,
"away_failed_to_score": 3,
"away_played": 24,
"away_score_rate": 71.6,
"home_clean_sheet": 3,
"home_failed_to_score": 11,
"home_played": 20,
"home_score_rate": 65.4,
"no_prob": 51.5,
"pick": "No",
"pick_prob": 51.5,
"source": "xG_dc",
"strong_pick": true,
"yes_prob": 48.5
},
"correct_score": {
"away_expected": 1.26,
"home_expected": 1.06,
"scores": [
{
"away": 1,
"home": 1,
"label": "1-1",
"prob": 13.1
},
{
"away": 1,
"home": 0,
"label": "0-1",
"prob": 12.4
},
{
"away": 0,
"home": 1,
"label": "1-0",
"prob": 10.4
},
{
"away": 0,
"home": 0,
"label": "0-0",
"prob": 9.8
},
{
"away": 2,
"home": 1,
"label": "1-2",
"prob": 8.3
}
],
"source": "xG"
},
"double_chance": {
"options": [
{
"key": "1X",
"label": "Deportivo Pereira or Draw",
"prob": 60.9
},
{
"key": "12",
"label": "Deportivo Pereira or Santa Fe",
"prob": 68.6
},
{
"key": "X2",
"label": "Draw or Santa Fe",
"prob": 70.7
}
],
"pick_key": "X2",
"pick_label": "Draw or Santa Fe",
"pick_prob": 70.7
},
"match_winner": {
"away_pct": 39.2,
"draw_pct": 31.5,
"home_pct": 29.4,
"lean_key": "away",
"lean_label": "Santa Fe"
},
"over_under": {
"api_hint": "-3.5",
"avg_total": 2.32,
"away_avg_scored": 1.5,
"confidence": "medium",
"home_avg_scored": 0.8,
"over_prob": 40.9,
"pick": "Under 2.5",
"pick_prob": 59.1,
"source": "xG_dc",
"strong_pick": true,
"total_expected": 2.32,
"under_prob": 59.1
},
"prob_source": "poisson",
"value_bet_enhanced": {
"bookmaker_id": 0,
"bookmaker_name": "Pinnacle",
"edge": 17.8,
"implied_prob": 26.7,
"is_value": true,
"label": "Draw",
"market": "Draw",
"model_prob": 31.5,
"odds": 3.74
}
},
"closing_line_bundle": {
"away_team": "Santa Fe",
"closing_1x2_probs_pct": {
"away": 50.57,
"draw": 25.42,
"home": 24.01
},
"closing_bookmaker": "Pinnacle",
"closing_capture": "PRE1",
"closing_fetched_at": "2026-09-29 20:29:02",
"early_bookmaker": "Pinnacle",
"early_capture": "PRE30",
"early_fetched_at": "2026-09-29 19:59:02",
"has_data": true,
"home_team": "Deportivo Pereira",
"largest_move_kind": null,
"max_abs_move_pp": 0.0,
"model_vs_closing": [
{
"closing_implied_pct": 24.01,
"gap_pp": 5.32,
"kind": "1x2_h",
"model_pct": 29.33
},
{
"closing_implied_pct": 25.42,
"gap_pp": 6.03,
"kind": "1x2_d",
"model_pct": 31.45
},
{
"closing_implied_pct": 50.57,
"gap_pp": -11.35,
"kind": "1x2_a",
"model_pct": 39.22
},
{
"closing_implied_pct": 55.93,
"gap_pp": -15.03,
"kind": "ou_o",
"model_pct": 40.9
},
{
"closing_implied_pct": 44.07,
"gap_pp": 15.03,
"kind": "ou_u",
"model_pct": 59.1
}
],
"movement": [
{
"closing": 3.96,
"early": 3.96,
"implied_closing_pct": 24.01,
"implied_delta_pp": 0.0,
"implied_early_pct": 24.01,
"kind": "1x2_h"
},
{
"closing": 3.74,
"early": 3.74,
"implied_closing_pct": 25.42,
"implied_delta_pp": 0.0,
"implied_early_pct": 25.42,
"kind": "1x2_d"
},
{
"closing": 1.88,
"early": 1.88,
"implied_closing_pct": 50.57,
"implied_delta_pp": 0.0,
"implied_early_pct": 50.57,
"kind": "1x2_a"
},
{
"closing": 1.71,
"early": 1.71,
"implied_closing_pct": 55.93,
"implied_delta_pp": 0.0,
"implied_early_pct": 55.93,
"kind": "ou_o"
},
{
"closing": 2.17,
"early": 2.17,
"implied_closing_pct": 44.07,
"implied_delta_pp": 0.0,
"implied_early_pct": 44.07,
"kind": "ou_u"
}
],
"movement_negligible": true,
"same_bookmaker": true,
"top_value_gap": {
"gap_pp": 15.0,
"kind": "ou_u"
}
},
"correct_score_insight": {
"best_value": {
"best_bookmaker": "1xBet",
"best_odds": 16.0,
"edge": 4.2,
"ev": 66.7,
"label": "1-0",
"probability": 10.4
},
"lean_card": {
"diff_pp": 1.7,
"ev": 0.1528,
"has_edge": true,
"label": "1-1",
"market_odds": 8.8,
"market_prob": 0.1136,
"market_prob_pct": 11.4,
"model_prob": 0.131,
"model_prob_pct": 13.1,
"n_bookmakers": 8,
"status_key": "positive_edge"
},
"most_likely": {
"label": "1-1",
"prob": 13.1
},
"top5": [
{
"label": "1-1",
"prob": 13.1
},
{
"label": "0-1",
"prob": 12.4
},
{
"label": "1-0",
"prob": 10.4
},
{
"label": "0-0",
"prob": 9.8
},
{
"label": "1-2",
"prob": 8.3
}
]
},
"home_xg": 1.06,
"homepage_pick": null,
"market_cards": [
{
"decision": "value_bet",
"decision_layer": {
"alpha": 0.4342,
"available": true,
"consensus_odds": 2.07,
"edge": 0.0615,
"edge_pp": 6.1,
"market_prob": 0.4495,
"mode": "market_first_ou",
"model_prob": 0.591,
"n_bookmakers": 8,
"over": {
"alpha": 0.4776,
"best_odd": 1.69,
"edge": -0.0676,
"ev": -0.1838,
"implied_prob": 0.5505,
"model_prob": 0.409,
"p_final": 0.4829
},
"p_final": 0.5109,
"prediction_confidence": "high",
"raw_edge_pp": 14.1,
"raw_signal_ev": 0.2234,
"risk_adj_ev": 0.0576,
"under": {
"alpha": 0.4342,
"best_odd": 2.07,
"edge": 0.0615,
"ev": 0.0576,
"implied_prob": 0.4495,
"model_prob": 0.591,
"p_final": 0.5109
},
"value_side": "under"
},
"ev_available": true,
"ev_over": -0.2638,
"ev_over_display": {
"capped": false,
"raw_pct": -26.4,
"text": "-26.4%"
},
"ev_under": 0.2825,
"ev_under_display": {
"capped": true,
"raw_pct": 28.2,
"text": "+25%+"
},
"featured": true,
"id": "ou_2_5",
"max_ev": 0.2825,
"n_bookmakers": 8,
"over_prob": 40.9,
"sort_key": 10404.25,
"tier": "best",
"under_prob": 59.1,
"value_side": "under"
},
{
"decision": "value_bet",
"decision_layer": {
"alpha": 0.455,
"available": true,
"consensus_odds": 2.155,
"edge": 0.0404,
"edge_pp": 4.0,
"market_prob": 0.4261,
"mode": "market_first_btts",
"model_prob": 0.515,
"n_bookmakers": 7,
"no": {
"alpha": 0.455,
"best_odd": 2.155,
"edge": 0.0404,
"ev": 0.0054,
"implied_prob": 0.4261,
"model_prob": 0.515,
"p_final": 0.4665
},
"p_final": 0.4665,
"prediction_confidence": "high",
"raw_edge_pp": 8.9,
"raw_signal_ev": 0.1098,
"risk_adj_ev": 0.0054,
"value_side": "no",
"yes": {
"alpha": 0.5005,
"best_odd": 1.6,
"edge": -0.0445,
"ev": -0.1529,
"implied_prob": 0.5739,
"model_prob": 0.485,
"p_final": 0.5294
}
},
"ev_available": true,
"ev_no": 0.1587,
"ev_no_display": {
"capped": false,
"raw_pct": 15.9,
"text": "+15.9%"
},
"ev_yes": -0.161,
"ev_yes_display": {
"capped": false,
"raw_pct": -16.1,
"text": "-16.1%"
},
"featured": false,
"id": "btts",
"max_ev": 0.1587,
"n_bookmakers": 7,
"no_prob": 51.5,
"sort_key": 10142.83,
"tier": "best",
"value_side": "no",
"yes_prob": 48.5
},
{
"authority_action": "lean",
"authority_note": "Selective consensus value may exist \u2014 below default Primary sizing bar.",
"consensus_odds": 1.88,
"decision": "no_bet",
"disagreement_label": "Moderate",
"disagreement_level": "moderate",
"ev": -0.1555,
"ev_available": true,
"ev_display": {
"capped": false,
"raw_pct": -15.6,
"text": "-15.6%"
},
"featured": false,
"id": "1x2",
"implied_prob": 0.5057,
"is_extreme_disagreement": false,
"max_ev": 0.0123,
"max_ev_display": {
"capped": false,
"raw_pct": 1.2,
"text": "+1.2%"
},
"model_prob": 0.3922,
"raw_edge_display": "-11.4 percentage points",
"raw_edge_pp": -11.4,
"raw_signal_ev": -0.2627,
"raw_signal_ev_display": "-26.3%",
"show_primary_label": false,
"side_label": "Santa Fe",
"sort_key": 5209.84,
"tier": "lean"
},
{
"featured": false,
"id": "correct_score",
"sort_key": 819.3,
"tier": "risk",
"top_label": "1-1",
"top_prob": 13.1
}
],
"market_intelligence": {
"betting_signal": {
"alert_breadth": "9/9",
"alert_breadth_note": "9/9 sportsbooks confirmed",
"alert_move": "\u2191 +15.6%",
"alert_team": "Draw",
"alert_title": "Sharp Money Alert",
"divergence_pp": 11.4,
"has_alert": true,
"hero_edge_pp": -11.38,
"hero_label": "Santa Fe",
"market_prob_pct": 50.6,
"market_team": "Santa Fe",
"model_prob_pct": 39.2,
"model_team": "Santa Fe",
"show": true,
"status_icon": "!",
"status_key": "caution",
"status_label": "Use caution",
"status_line": "Use caution \u2014 signals are mixed",
"steam_score": 68,
"steam_subtitle": "Strong sharp signal",
"steam_tier": "A",
"title": "Betting Signal"
},
"decision_chain": {
"academy_links": [
{
"key": "market_disagree",
"read_min": 5,
"title": "When Should You Trust AI Over the Market?",
"url": "/academy/ai-betting/when-should-you-trust-ai-over-the-market/en"
},
{
"key": "steam",
"read_min": 4,
"title": "What Is a Steam Move?",
"url": "/academy/betting-market/what-is-a-steam-move/en"
},
{
"key": "clv_pending",
"read_min": 3,
"title": "Why CLV Matters More Than Win Rate",
"url": "/academy/clv/why-clv-matters-more-than-win-rate/en"
}
],
"alignment": {
"direction_aligned": true,
"direction_key": "agree",
"gap_pp": 11.4,
"key": "agree",
"label": "Agree",
"model_strong": false,
"pricing_aligned": true,
"pricing_key": "moderate",
"probability_gap_pp": 11.4,
"summary": "Model and market currently agree on the stronger side (Santa Fe)."
},
"authority": {
"action": "lean",
"alignment": {
"direction_aligned": true,
"direction_key": "agree",
"gap_pp": 11.4,
"key": "agree",
"label": "Agree",
"model_strong": false,
"pricing_aligned": true,
"pricing_key": "moderate",
"probability_gap_pp": 11.4,
"summary": "Model and market currently agree on the stronger side (Santa Fe)."
},
"alignment_key": "agree",
"best_consensus_ev": 0.2825,
"best_outlier_ev": 0.2825,
"confidence_band": "Moderate",
"decision_strength": 5.8,
"decision_strength_v1": 6.0,
"decision_strength_v2": 6.8,
"decision_type": "VALUE_ALERT",
"execution_confidence": 56,
"extreme_disagreement": false,
"final_verdict_audit": {
"action": "Monitor closing market and validate with CLV.",
"action_label": "Action",
"decision": "Selective Lean - No Primary Bet",
"is_primary": false,
"snapshot": "The Decision Model estimates Santa Fe at 39.2%, compared with a no-vig market probability of 50.6%.",
"why": [
{
"text": "Decision Model identifies Santa Fe as the value side (39.2%)",
"tone": "ok"
},
{
"text": "Market broadly agrees with the direction",
"tone": "ok"
},
{
"text": "Model confidence reduced due to calibration uncertainty",
"tone": "bad"
}
],
"why_label": "Decision Summary"
},
"gap_pp": 11.4,
"gates_failed": [
"Execution confidence below 65"
],
"has_top_pick": true,
"headline": "Selective Lean - No Primary Bet",
"hero_mode": "default",
"icon": "\u2192",
"label": "Lean only \u2014 not a default Primary",
"market_signal": "Market aligns with model lean",
"model_conflict_detail": null,
"model_lean": "Santa Fe",
"no_primary_reasons": {
"all_triggered": [
"calibration_risk"
],
"calibration_mode": "soft",
"codes": [
"calibration_risk"
],
"label": "Reason",
"other_factors": [],
"other_label": "Other factors",
"primary": {
"code": "calibration_risk",
"detail": "Confidence reduced because model assumptions exceed the normal range.",
"name": "Calibration Risk",
"short": "Calibration Risk",
"tone": "danger"
},
"secondary": null,
"version": "v1"
},
"outlier_detected": false,
"outlier_excluded_panel": "",
"primary_allowed": false,
"primary_block_explain": {
"entries": [
{
"key": "positive_ev",
"label": "Consensus EV +28.2% meets Primary gate (\u2265+5.0%)",
"ok": true
},
{
"key": "gate",
"label": "Execution confidence below 65",
"ok": false
}
],
"lean_ev_threshold_pct": 2.0,
"primary_ev_threshold_pct": 5.0,
"subtitle": "Primary needs consensus EV \u2265 +5.0% plus reliability/execution/calibration gates (Decision Strength is explain-only). Lean/tracked gate is +2.0% (selective only \u2014 not default Primary sizing).",
"title": "Why not Primary?"
},
"primary_gate_checklist": "Gate checklist: Consensus EV +28.2% \u2705 (need \u2265+5.0%) \u00b7 Calibration See checklist \u274c \u2192 Primary blocked. Decision Strength 5.8/10 (explain only, not a Primary gate). If you still act under hard block: example stake 0.10\u20130.20% bankroll (never Primary).",
"primary_gate_snapshot": "Primary Gate Snapshot: Consensus EV +28.2% (gate \u2265+5.0%) \u00b7 Calibration: See checklist \u2192 Primary blocked \u00b7 Decision Strength 5.8/10 (display only)",
"primary_gates": {
"items": [
{
"key": "extreme_gap",
"label": "Extreme gap",
"ok": true,
"value": "no"
},
{
"key": "xg_calibration",
"label": "xG calibration",
"ok": true,
"value": "warning"
},
{
"key": "reliability",
"label": "Rel",
"ok": true,
"value": "70 (\u226565)"
},
{
"key": "execution",
"label": "Exec",
"ok": false,
"value": "56 (\u226565)"
},
{
"key": "alignment",
"label": "Align",
"ok": true,
"value": "agree"
},
{
"key": "consensus_ev",
"label": "ConsEV",
"ok": true,
"value": "+28.2% (\u2265+5.0%)"
},
{
"key": "top_pick",
"label": "Pick",
"ok": true,
"value": "true"
},
{
"key": "validation",
"label": "Validation",
"ok": true,
"value": "true"
}
],
"passed": 7,
"total": 8
},
"primary_type": null,
"reasons": [
"Model and market currently agree on the stronger side (Santa Fe).",
"Decision strength: 5.8/10",
"Execution confidence below 65"
],
"reliability_score": 70,
"speed_read": "Speed read: Model Signal can look moderate/strong while Decision Strength stays low after calibration \u2014 Strength alone does not block Primary (v2.5+); still check reliability/execution/EV hard gates.",
"strength_v2_breakdown": [
"Base decision score (v1)",
"Reliability supports action",
"Market aligns with model",
"Consensus-line +EV",
"Low xG separation (league-average noise)"
],
"subline": "Selective consensus value may exist \u2014 below default Primary sizing bar.",
"thresholds": {
"extreme_gap_pp": 30.0,
"lean_min_consensus_ev": 0.02,
"lean_min_strength": 5.0,
"min_consensus_ev": 0.05,
"min_execution": 65,
"min_reliability": 65,
"min_strength": 7.0,
"source": "db",
"user_id": 2
},
"thresholds_source": "db",
"thresholds_user_id": 2,
"tier": "lean",
"validation_ok": true,
"value_context": {
"consensus_ev": -0.1555,
"consensus_ev_display": "-15.6%",
"consensus_odds": 1.88,
"disagreement_label": "Moderate",
"disagreement_level": "moderate",
"implied_prob": 0.5057,
"is_extreme_disagreement": false,
"model_prob": 0.3922,
"raw_edge_display": "-11.4 percentage points",
"raw_edge_pp": -11.4,
"raw_implied_prob": 0.5319148936170213,
"raw_signal_ev": -0.2627,
"raw_signal_ev_display": "-26.3%"
},
"version": "v2.5",
"xg_calibration": {
"block_value_alert": false,
"calibration_status": "warning",
"deviation_pct": -6.7,
"reasons": [
"Thin xG separation gap=0.2"
],
"recommended_action": "monitor",
"strength_delta": -1.0,
"uplift_away": null,
"uplift_home": null,
"xg_separation": {
"band": "low",
"block_value_alert": false,
"separation_score": -10,
"strength_delta": -1.0,
"xg_gap": 0.2
}
}
},
"bet_status": "lean",
"books_breadth_display": "9/9",
"breadth_ratio": 1.0,
"evidence": {
"score": 68,
"signals": [
{
"icon": "\u25cb",
"key": "statistical_edge",
"label": "No strong statistical edge",
"status": "neutral"
},
{
"icon": "!",
"key": "market_agreement",
"label": "Direction agrees; pricing still diverges",
"status": "caution"
},
{
"icon": "\u2713",
"key": "steam",
"label": "Market drift supports model side (direction only \u2014 not pricing convergence)",
"status": "pass"
},
{
"icon": "!",
"key": "validation",
"label": "Validation warning",
"status": "caution"
}
],
"stars": 3,
"tier": "moderate",
"tier_label": "Moderate"
},
"forecast_reliability": {
"breakdown": [
{
"key": "validation",
"label": "Validation: Warning",
"tone": "caution"
},
{
"key": "gap",
"label": "Large market gap (11 pp)",
"tone": "caution"
},
{
"key": "steam",
"label": "Market drift aligns with model",
"tone": "ok"
}
],
"parts": {
"alignment": 19.3,
"data_quality": 12.0,
"market_coverage": 10.0,
"steam_coherence": 10.0,
"validation": 14.0
},
"score": 70,
"stars": 3,
"tier": "high",
"tier_label": "High"
},
"lean_gap_pp": 11.38,
"market_agreement": "weak",
"max_gap_pp": 11.38,
"model_calibration": {
"away_xg": 1.26,
"calibration_status": "ok",
"deviation_pct": -7.0,
"elevated": false,
"home_xg": 1.06,
"impact_note": "",
"league_avg_xg": 1.35,
"peak_xg": 1.26,
"status_label": "Within typical league range",
"summary": "Home xG 1.06 \u00b7 Away xG 1.26 \u00b7 League avg 1.35 \u00b7 Peak deviation -7%",
"title": "Model Calibration Check"
},
"move_is_drift": true,
"mv_status": "warning",
"odds_delta_pct": 15.6,
"steam_conflicts": false,
"steam_move_display": "\u2191 +15.6%",
"steam_team": "Draw",
"suppress_execution": false,
"value_split": {
"execution_confidence": {
"label": "Betting Confidence",
"score": 56,
"tier": "moderate",
"tier_label": "Moderate"
},
"market_compatibility": {
"label": "Pricing proximity (inverse gap)",
"note": "This score falls as the probability gap (pp) rises \u2014 it is NOT a bet green light. Direction may still agree (see Alignment above). Formula: proximity = max(0, 100 \u2212 5\u00d7pp). Example: 16 pp \u2192 20/100 (diverged).",
"score": 43,
"tier": "low",
"tier_label": "Low"
},
"model_edge_strength": {
"label": "Model Signal Strength",
"score": 39,
"tier": "low",
"tier_label": "Low"
},
"model_value": {
"label": "Pricing proximity (inverse gap)",
"note": "This score falls as the probability gap (pp) rises \u2014 it is NOT a bet green light. Direction may still agree (see Alignment above). Formula: proximity = max(0, 100 \u2212 5\u00d7pp). Example: 16 pp \u2192 20/100 (diverged).",
"score": 43,
"tier": "low",
"tier_label": "Low"
},
"recommendation": {
"action": "lean",
"label": "Selective Lean - No Primary Bet"
}
},
"verdict": {
"agree_note": "Selective consensus value may exist \u2014 below default Primary sizing bar.",
"alignment": {
"direction_aligned": true,
"direction_key": "agree",
"gap_pp": 11.4,
"key": "agree",
"label": "Agree",
"model_strong": false,
"pricing_aligned": true,
"pricing_key": "moderate",
"probability_gap_pp": 11.4,
"summary": "Model and market currently agree on the stronger side (Santa Fe)."
},
"authority": {
"action": "lean",
"alignment": {
"direction_aligned": true,
"direction_key": "agree",
"gap_pp": 11.4,
"key": "agree",
"label": "Agree",
"model_strong": false,
"pricing_aligned": true,
"pricing_key": "moderate",
"probability_gap_pp": 11.4,
"summary": "Model and market currently agree on the stronger side (Santa Fe)."
},
"alignment_key": "agree",
"best_consensus_ev": 0.2825,
"best_outlier_ev": 0.2825,
"confidence_band": "Moderate",
"decision_strength": 5.8,
"decision_strength_v1": 6.0,
"decision_strength_v2": 6.8,
"decision_type": "VALUE_ALERT",
"execution_confidence": 56,
"extreme_disagreement": false,
"final_verdict_audit": {
"action": "Monitor closing market and validate with CLV.",
"action_label": "Action",
"decision": "Selective Lean - No Primary Bet",
"is_primary": false,
"snapshot": "The Decision Model estimates Santa Fe at 39.2%, compared with a no-vig market probability of 50.6%.",
"why": [
{
"text": "Decision Model identifies Santa Fe as the value side (39.2%)",
"tone": "ok"
},
{
"text": "Market broadly agrees with the direction",
"tone": "ok"
},
{
"text": "Model confidence reduced due to calibration uncertainty",
"tone": "bad"
}
],
"why_label": "Decision Summary"
},
"gap_pp": 11.4,
"gates_failed": [
"Execution confidence below 65"
],
"has_top_pick": true,
"headline": "Selective Lean - No Primary Bet",
"hero_mode": "default",
"icon": "\u2192",
"label": "Lean only \u2014 not a default Primary",
"market_signal": "Market aligns with model lean",
"model_conflict_detail": null,
"model_lean": "Santa Fe",
"no_primary_reasons": {
"all_triggered": [
"calibration_risk"
],
"calibration_mode": "soft",
"codes": [
"calibration_risk"
],
"label": "Reason",
"other_factors": [],
"other_label": "Other factors",
"primary": {
"code": "calibration_risk",
"detail": "Confidence reduced because model assumptions exceed the normal range.",
"name": "Calibration Risk",
"short": "Calibration Risk",
"tone": "danger"
},
"secondary": null,
"version": "v1"
},
"outlier_detected": false,
"outlier_excluded_panel": "",
"primary_allowed": false,
"primary_block_explain": {
"entries": [
{
"key": "positive_ev",
"label": "Consensus EV +28.2% meets Primary gate (\u2265+5.0%)",
"ok": true
},
{
"key": "gate",
"label": "Execution confidence below 65",
"ok": false
}
],
"lean_ev_threshold_pct": 2.0,
"primary_ev_threshold_pct": 5.0,
"subtitle": "Primary needs consensus EV \u2265 +5.0% plus reliability/execution/calibration gates (Decision Strength is explain-only). Lean/tracked gate is +2.0% (selective only \u2014 not default Primary sizing).",
"title": "Why not Primary?"
},
"primary_gate_checklist": "Gate checklist: Consensus EV +28.2% \u2705 (need \u2265+5.0%) \u00b7 Calibration See checklist \u274c \u2192 Primary blocked. Decision Strength 5.8/10 (explain only, not a Primary gate). If you still act under hard block: example stake 0.10\u20130.20% bankroll (never Primary).",
"primary_gate_snapshot": "Primary Gate Snapshot: Consensus EV +28.2% (gate \u2265+5.0%) \u00b7 Calibration: See checklist \u2192 Primary blocked \u00b7 Decision Strength 5.8/10 (display only)",
"primary_gates": {
"items": [
{
"key": "extreme_gap",
"label": "Extreme gap",
"ok": true,
"value": "no"
},
{
"key": "xg_calibration",
"label": "xG calibration",
"ok": true,
"value": "warning"
},
{
"key": "reliability",
"label": "Rel",
"ok": true,
"value": "70 (\u226565)"
},
{
"key": "execution",
"label": "Exec",
"ok": false,
"value": "56 (\u226565)"
},
{
"key": "alignment",
"label": "Align",
"ok": true,
"value": "agree"
},
{
"key": "consensus_ev",
"label": "ConsEV",
"ok": true,
"value": "+28.2% (\u2265+5.0%)"
},
{
"key": "top_pick",
"label": "Pick",
"ok": true,
"value": "true"
},
{
"key": "validation",
"label": "Validation",
"ok": true,
"value": "true"
}
],
"passed": 7,
"total": 8
},
"primary_type": null,
"reasons": [
"Model and market currently agree on the stronger side (Santa Fe).",
"Decision strength: 5.8/10",
"Execution confidence below 65"
],
"reliability_score": 70,
"speed_read": "Speed read: Model Signal can look moderate/strong while Decision Strength stays low after calibration \u2014 Strength alone does not block Primary (v2.5+); still check reliability/execution/EV hard gates.",
"strength_v2_breakdown": [
"Base decision score (v1)",
"Reliability supports action",
"Market aligns with model",
"Consensus-line +EV",
"Low xG separation (league-average noise)"
],
"subline": "Selective consensus value may exist \u2014 below default Primary sizing bar.",
"thresholds": {
"extreme_gap_pp": 30.0,
"lean_min_consensus_ev": 0.02,
"lean_min_strength": 5.0,
"min_consensus_ev": 0.05,
"min_execution": 65,
"min_reliability": 65,
"min_strength": 7.0,
"source": "db",
"user_id": 2
},
"thresholds_source": "db",
"thresholds_user_id": 2,
"tier": "lean",
"validation_ok": true,
"value_context": {
"consensus_ev": -0.1555,
"consensus_ev_display": "-15.6%",
"consensus_odds": 1.88,
"disagreement_label": "Moderate",
"disagreement_level": "moderate",
"implied_prob": 0.5057,
"is_extreme_disagreement": false,
"model_prob": 0.3922,
"raw_edge_display": "-11.4 percentage points",
"raw_edge_pp": -11.4,
"raw_implied_prob": 0.5319148936170213,
"raw_signal_ev": -0.2627,
"raw_signal_ev_display": "-26.3%"
},
"version": "v2.5",
"xg_calibration": {
"block_value_alert": false,
"calibration_status": "warning",
"deviation_pct": -6.7,
"reasons": [
"Thin xG separation gap=0.2"
],
"recommended_action": "monitor",
"strength_delta": -1.0,
"uplift_away": null,
"uplift_home": null,
"xg_separation": {
"band": "low",
"block_value_alert": false,
"separation_score": -10,
"strength_delta": -1.0,
"xg_gap": 0.2
}
}
},
"headline": "Selective Lean - No Primary Bet",
"icon": "\u2192",
"label": "Lean only \u2014 not a default Primary",
"subline": "Selective consensus value may exist \u2014 below default Primary sizing bar.",
"tier": "lean"
},
"why": {
"action_line": "Compare model lean with current best odds before sizing any bet.",
"bullets": [
"Model: Deportivo Pereira 1.06 xG vs Santa Fe 1.26 \u2192 Santa Fe 39.2%",
"Market: Santa Fe ~50.6% implied",
"Market Drift: Draw odds \u2191 +15.6%"
],
"one_liner": "Model and market both lean Santa Fe with no major conflict.",
"title": "Why?"
}
},
"edge_rows": [
{
"edge_pp": 5.35,
"fair_prob": 29.36,
"label": "Deportivo Pereira",
"market_prob": 24.01,
"market_type": "1x2",
"outcome": "home"
},
{
"edge_pp": 6.04,
"fair_prob": 31.46,
"label": "Draw",
"market_prob": 25.42,
"market_type": "1x2",
"outcome": "draw"
},
{
"edge_pp": -11.38,
"fair_prob": 39.19,
"label": "Santa Fe",
"market_prob": 50.57,
"market_type": "1x2",
"outcome": "away"
},
{
"edge_pp": -14.03,
"fair_prob": 40.9,
"label": "Over 2.5",
"market_prob": 54.93,
"market_type": "ou25",
"outcome": "over"
},
{
"edge_pp": 14.03,
"fair_prob": 59.1,
"label": "Under 2.5",
"market_prob": 45.07,
"market_type": "ou25",
"outcome": "under"
},
{
"edge_pp": -8.58,
"fair_prob": 48.5,
"label": "BTTS Yes",
"market_prob": 57.08,
"market_type": "btts",
"outcome": "yes"
},
{
"edge_pp": 8.58,
"fair_prob": 51.5,
"label": "BTTS No",
"market_prob": 42.92,
"market_type": "btts",
"outcome": "no"
}
],
"edge_snapshot": {
"edge_label": "strong_disagreement",
"edge_pp": -11.38,
"fair_prob_pct": 39.19,
"hero_side": "away",
"hero_team_name": "Santa Fe",
"market_prob_pct": 50.57,
"status": "strong_market_ahead",
"steam_team_name": "Draw"
},
"fair_source": "poisson_pipeline",
"fair_vs_market": {
"closing_capture": "PRE1",
"closing_footnote": "Model probabilities are generated from the statistical xG model using a Poisson distribution. Closing market probabilities are derived from consensus closing 1X2 odds after margin removal. Values represent implied probabilities rather than betting recommendations. Closing snapshot: PRE1.",
"comparison_available": true,
"comparison_disabled": false,
"comparison_summary": "The closing market estimates Santa Fe\u0027s win probability at 50.6%, compared with the model\u0027s estimate of 39.2%, a difference of 11.4 percentage points. This highlights a disagreement between the model and market consensus, without indicating which view is ultimately correct.",
"degraded_note": "",
"divergence_guard": {
"divergence_level": "strong",
"edge_status": "strong_market_ahead",
"max_gap_pp": 11.38,
"suppress_hero": false,
"suppress_value_language": false
},
"divergence_label": "Strong model-market divergence",
"divergence_level": "strong",
"divergence_level_label": "Strong divergence",
"divergence_note": "The fair estimate differs noticeably from current market pricing. This may reflect genuine disagreement or incomplete rating inputs.",
"divergence_tier": "strong",
"edge_label": "Strong disagreement",
"edge_label_key": "strong_disagreement",
"fair_confidence": "medium",
"fair_confidence_label": "Medium",
"fair_source_note": "Model probabilities are generated from the statistical xG model using a Poisson distribution. Closing market probabilities are derived from consensus closing 1X2 odds after margin removal. Values represent implied probabilities rather than betting recommendations. Closing snapshot: PRE1.",
"forecast_assessment": {
"favourite_class": "Balanced match",
"favourite_label": "Santa Fe",
"forecast_certainty_tier": "low",
"headline": "Balanced match",
"market_agreement_label": "Weak",
"market_direction": {
"label": "Supports model direction",
"positive": true
},
"market_prob_pct": 50.6,
"model_prob_gap_display": "-11.4 percentage points",
"model_prob_gap_pp": -11.4,
"model_prob_pct": 39.2,
"outcome_separation_tier": "medium",
"paragraphs": [],
"pricing_convergence": {
"gap_display": "-11.4 percentage points",
"gap_pp": -11.4,
"label": "Moderate",
"label_key": "mi_fa_pricing_moderate"
},
"reliability_headline": "Moderate reliability",
"reliability_icon": "\u2713",
"reliability_score": 70,
"reliability_tier": "moderate",
"summary": "Santa Fe \u2014 market direction supports the model lean.",
"tier": "balanced",
"title": "Prediction Assessment",
"validation_label": "Warning",
"value_split": {
"execution_confidence": {
"label": "Betting Confidence",
"score": 56,
"tier": "moderate",
"tier_label": "Moderate"
},
"market_compatibility": {
"label": "Pricing proximity (inverse gap)",
"note": "This score falls as the probability gap (pp) rises \u2014 it is NOT a bet green light. Direction may still agree (see Alignment above). Formula: proximity = max(0, 100 \u2212 5\u00d7pp). Example: 16 pp \u2192 20/100 (diverged).",
"score": 43,
"tier": "low",
"tier_label": "Low"
},
"model_edge_strength": {
"label": "Model Signal Strength",
"score": 39,
"tier": "low",
"tier_label": "Low"
},
"model_value": {
"label": "Pricing proximity (inverse gap)",
"note": "This score falls as the probability gap (pp) rises \u2014 it is NOT a bet green light. Direction may still agree (see Alignment above). Formula: proximity = max(0, 100 \u2212 5\u00d7pp). Example: 16 pp \u2192 20/100 (diverged).",
"score": 43,
"tier": "low",
"tier_label": "Low"
},
"recommendation": {
"action": "lean",
"label": "Selective Lean - No Primary Bet"
}
},
"why": {
"action_line": "Compare model lean with current best odds before sizing any bet.",
"bullets": [
"Model: Deportivo Pereira 1.06 xG vs Santa Fe 1.26 \u2192 Santa Fe 39.2%",
"Market: Santa Fe ~50.6% implied",
"Market Drift: Draw odds \u2191 +15.6%"
],
"one_liner": "Model and market both lean Santa Fe with no major conflict.",
"title": "Why?"
}
},
"forecast_certainty": {
"note": "Three outcomes remain closely bunched \u2014 treat as a relatively open match.",
"tier": "low",
"tier_label": "Low"
},
"forecast_certainty_label": "Low",
"has_market_probs": true,
"hero_edge_pp": -11.38,
"hero_label": "Santa Fe",
"hero_side": "away",
"market_activity": "Draw odds lengthened \u2191 +15.6%.",
"market_agreement": "weak",
"market_agreement_label": "Weak",
"market_interpretation": {
"bullets": [
"Investors may be incorporating information not fully reflected in the baseline model.",
"Tournament-specific context can shift market pricing."
],
"follow_up": "However, Draw has seen drift \u2014 odds lengthened by 15.6%, suggesting weakening support.",
"gap_tier": "strong",
"lead": "The market is materially more optimistic about Santa Fe than the current fair estimate.",
"note": "Drift away from Draw \u2014 odds lengthened by 15.6% (weakening support).",
"paragraphs": [
"The market is materially more optimistic about Santa Fe than the current fair estimate.",
"However, Draw has seen drift \u2014 odds lengthened by 15.6%, suggesting weakening support.",
"Drift away from Draw \u2014 odds lengthened by 15.6% (weakening support)."
],
"quiet_market": false,
"title": "Market Assessment"
},
"market_narrative": {
"paragraphs": [
"The market favors Santa Fe more strongly than the current fair estimate.",
"At the same time, Draw has drifted \u2014 odds lengthened by 15.6%, suggesting weakening support.",
"Broad sportsbook alignment (9/9) supports the current market view on Draw."
],
"title": "Current Market Narrative"
},
"market_source": "closing_1x2",
"max_gap_pp": 11.38,
"model_validation": {
"score_label_key": "mi_mv_warning",
"status": "warning"
},
"model_validation_label": "Warning",
"outcome_separation": {
"breakdown": [
"No outcome exceeds 50% on the 1X2 grid.",
"Favourite exceeds second outcome by 7.7 pp (at 39.2%)."
],
"lead_gap_pp": 7.7,
"max_prob_pct": 39.2,
"note": "How spread out the model 1X2 probabilities are \u2014 crowded splits mean no single outcome dominates. Not accuracy vs the market.",
"tier": "medium",
"tier_label": "Medium"
},
"outcome_separation_label": "Medium",
"overall_assessment": {
"badge_class": "strong",
"largest_gap_label": "Santa Fe",
"largest_gap_pp": -11.4,
"lead": "The closing market prices Santa Fe higher than the statistical model.",
"level": "strong",
"max_gap_pp": 11.4,
"title": "Strong Disagreement"
},
"rows": [
{
"difference_pp": 5.35,
"edge_pp": 5.35,
"fair_prob_pct": 29.36,
"is_hero": false,
"label": "Deportivo Pereira",
"market_prob_pct": 24.01,
"side": "home",
"signal_key": "model_higher",
"signal_label": "Model Higher"
},
{
"difference_pp": 6.04,
"edge_pp": 6.04,
"fair_prob_pct": 31.46,
"is_hero": false,
"label": "Draw",
"market_prob_pct": 25.42,
"side": "draw",
"signal_key": "model_higher",
"signal_label": "Model Higher"
},
{
"difference_pp": -11.38,
"edge_pp": -11.38,
"fair_prob_pct": 39.19,
"is_hero": true,
"label": "Santa Fe",
"market_prob_pct": 50.57,
"side": "away",
"signal_key": "market_higher",
"signal_label": "Market Higher"
}
],
"status": "strong_market_ahead",
"status_label": "Strong Market Ahead",
"steam_note": "Drift away from Draw \u2014 odds lengthened by 15.6% (weakening support).",
"unavailable_note": ""
},
"interpretation": {
"has_conflict": false,
"paragraphs": [
"The betting market strongly prefers Santa Fe (50.6%).",
"However, Draw has seen one of the strongest multi-book drifts of the day (\u2191 +15.6%, 9/9) \u2014 odds lengthened, not shortened.",
"Santa Fe \u2014 market direction supports the model lean."
],
"show": true,
"title": "OddsGPT Interpretation"
},
"lifecycle": {
"closing_implied_pct": 53.19,
"closing_odds": 1.88,
"closing_reason": "",
"closing_status": "recorded",
"closing_status_label": "Recorded",
"clv_pending": true,
"clv_pp": 0.0,
"clv_reason": "",
"clv_status": "pending",
"context": "match",
"current_stage": "waiting_for_kickoff",
"current_stage_detail": "",
"current_stage_label": "Waiting for kickoff",
"entry_implied_pct": 53.19,
"entry_odds": 1.88,
"match_phase": "upcoming",
"match_phase_detail": "",
"match_phase_display": "Upcoming",
"match_phase_label": "Upcoming",
"model_validation_label": "Warning",
"model_validation_status": "warning",
"stages": [
{
"detail": "",
"id": "forecast_generated",
"label": "Prediction Generated",
"status": "done"
},
{
"detail": "",
"id": "market_detected",
"label": "Market Compared",
"status": "active"
},
{
"detail": "",
"id": "model_validated",
"label": "Validation Passed",
"status": "active"
},
{
"detail": "PRE1",
"id": "closing_recorded",
"label": "Closing Recorded",
"status": "done"
},
{
"detail": "",
"id": "clv_evaluated",
"label": "CLV Evaluated",
"status": "pending"
}
]
},
"market_move_intelligence": {
"books_reacting": 9,
"books_reacting_detail": [
{
"bookmaker_id": 11,
"bookmaker_name": "1xBet",
"is_sharp": false,
"move_delta_display": "\u2191 +24.8%",
"odds_delta_pct": 24.8
},
{
"bookmaker_id": 8,
"bookmaker_name": "Bet365",
"is_sharp": true,
"move_delta_display": "\u2191 +15.6%",
"odds_delta_pct": 15.6
},
{
"bookmaker_id": 7,
"bookmaker_name": "William Hill",
"is_sharp": false,
"move_delta_display": "\u2191 +9.4%",
"odds_delta_pct": 9.4
},
{
"bookmaker_id": 4,
"bookmaker_name": "Pinnacle",
"is_sharp": true,
"move_delta_display": "\u2191 +9.0%",
"odds_delta_pct": 9.0
},
{
"bookmaker_id": 5,
"bookmaker_name": "SBO",
"is_sharp": true,
"move_delta_display": "\u2191 +7.4%",
"odds_delta_pct": 7.4
},
{
"bookmaker_id": 3,
"bookmaker_name": "Betfair",
"is_sharp": true,
"move_delta_display": "\u2191 +6.1%",
"odds_delta_pct": 6.1
},
{
"bookmaker_id": 36,
"bookmaker_name": "BetVictor",
"is_sharp": false,
"move_delta_display": "\u2191 +5.9%",
"odds_delta_pct": 5.9
},
{
"bookmaker_id": 32,
"bookmaker_name": "Betano",
"is_sharp": false,
"move_delta_display": "\u2191 +4.5%",
"odds_delta_pct": 4.5
},
{
"bookmaker_id": 2,
"bookmaker_name": "Marathonbet",
"is_sharp": false,
"move_delta_display": "\u2191 +4.4%",
"odds_delta_pct": 4.4
}
],
"books_total": 9,
"breadth_display": "9/9",
"clv_label": "+0.00 pp",
"clv_status": "evaluated",
"current_odds": 3.7,
"is_drift": true,
"move_context": "Largest move today",
"move_display": "\u2191 +15.6%",
"move_pct_abs": 15.6,
"move_speed_icon": "\ud83d\udc22",
"move_speed_label": "Slow drift over 49h 57m",
"narrative_paragraphs": [
"9/9 books lengthened Draw together (15.6% drift, score 68) \u2014 broad market fade, not a single-book blip.",
"Noticeable drift \u2014 odds lengthened with multi-book confirmation (not steam)."
],
"narrative_title": "Market Narrative",
"odds_delta_pct": 15.6,
"odds_path": {
"chart_y_labels": [
"3.74",
"3.47",
"3.20"
],
"display": "4.12 \u2192 2.98 \u2192 3.70",
"move_speed_icon": "\ud83d\udc22",
"move_speed_label": "Slow drift over 49h 57m",
"pick_team": "Draw",
"points": [
{
"label_key": "open",
"value": "4.12"
},
{
"label_key": "extreme",
"value": "2.98"
},
{
"label_key": "current",
"value": "3.70"
}
],
"sparkline_points": [
3.2,
3.74,
3.7
],
"sparkline_polyline": "0.0,18.0 28.0,0.0 56.0,1.3",
"sparkline_trend": "up",
"sparkline_trend_label": "One-way rise",
"summary_boxes": [
{
"label_key": "open",
"value": "3.20"
},
{
"label_key": "low",
"value": "3.20"
},
{
"label_key": "high",
"value": "3.74"
},
{
"label_key": "current",
"value": "3.70"
}
]
},
"open_odds": 3.2,
"page_alert_line": "Market drift alert: Draw odds \u2191 +15.6% \u2014 pricing moves against this side",
"phase_label": "Market drift",
"phase_tip": "Broad lengthening \u2014 market pricing moves against the tracked side.",
"pick_team": "Draw",
"ref_book": "Bet365",
"seo_title_alert": "Market drift alert: Draw odds \u2191 +15.6% \u2014 pricing moves against this side",
"sharp_leader": "Bet365",
"show": true,
"signal_badge_class": "fade",
"signal_icon": "\ud83d\udcc9",
"signal_impact": {
"current_odds": 3.7,
"is_drift": true,
"label": "Market Signal",
"move_display": "\u2191 +15.6%",
"open_odds": 3.2,
"summary": "Broad market drift supports the same direction as the model lean.",
"team": "Draw",
"tone": "with"
},
"signal_key": "strong_drift",
"signal_label": "Strong drift",
"steam_score": 68,
"steam_subtitle": "Strong sharp signal",
"steam_tier": "A",
"title": "Market Move Intelligence"
},
"market_overview": {
"breadth_display": "9/9",
"current_odds": 3.7,
"move_display": "\u2191 +15.6%",
"open_odds": 3.2,
"pick_team": "Draw",
"steam_score": 68,
"steam_team_name": "Draw",
"steam_tier": "A"
},
"premium_teaser": {
"current_divergence_pp": 11.4,
"divergence_label": "Current divergence",
"title": "Premium Market Intelligence",
"unlock_items": [
"Historical similar matches",
"Closing odds analysis",
"CLV tracking",
"Sharp money signals",
"Market efficiency rating",
"Historical model vs market results"
],
"unlock_label": "Unlock"
},
"show": true
},
"match": {
"at2.away_team_slug": "santa-fe",
"away_expected_goals": null,
"away_goal_display": null,
"away_team_display_name": "Santa Fe",
"away_team_id": 1139,
"away_team_logo": "/static/teams/1139.webp",
"away_team_name": "Santa Fe",
"away_team_public_id": "4qDvQlWR2ZQJ63",
"away_team_slug": "santa-fe",
"country_code": "CO",
"country_display_name": "Colombia",
"country_flag": "/static/images/country/co.svg",
"country_id": 34,
"country_name": "Colombia",
"fixture_id": 1549712,
"goals_away": null,
"goals_home": null,
"home_expected_goals": null,
"home_goal_display": null,
"home_team_country": "Colombia",
"home_team_display_name": "Deportivo Pereira",
"home_team_id": 1462,
"home_team_logo": "/static/teams/1462.webp",
"home_team_name": "Deportivo Pereira",
"home_team_public_id": "01R8wWdolhwLhY",
"home_team_slug": "deportivo-pereira",
"ht.home_team_slug": "deportivo-pereira",
"league_country": "Colombia",
"league_country_display": "Colombia",
"league_display_name": "Primera A Colombia",
"league_id": 239,
"league_logo": "/static/leagues/239.webp",
"league_name": "Primera A Colombia",
"league_public_id": "1Lhk6g0OB2PKf8",
"league_season": 2026,
"match_date": "2026-09-29 20:30:00",
"public_id": "3ajvfIzJ07Cvkc",
"score_fulltime_away": null,
"score_fulltime_home": null,
"score_penalty_away": null,
"score_penalty_home": null,
"status_long": "Not Started",
"status_short": "NS",
"venue_city": "Pereira",
"venue_name": "Estadio Hernan Ramirez Villegas"
},
"match_decision": {
"confidence": {
"breakdown": [
"pred_conf_md_max_1x2_under_50",
"pred_conf_md_line_above_ev",
"pred_conf_md_draw_above_30"
],
"breakdown_resolved": [
"Max 1X2 prob under 50% (open contest) (\u22121.0)",
"At least one tracked line above +EV threshold (+0.5)",
"Draw probability above 30% (\u22120.5)"
],
"score": 6.0
},
"markets": {
"1x2": {
"1x2_ev_mode": "market_first_p15",
"away": {
"alpha": 0.4978,
"best_odd": 1.88,
"calibration": {
"active": false,
"hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
},
"edge": -0.0565,
"ev": -0.1555,
"implied_prob": 0.5057,
"joint_probs": {
"away": 0.5057,
"draw": 0.2542,
"home": 0.2401
},
"model_prob": 0.3922,
"p_final": 0.4492
},
"draw": {
"alpha": 0.2729,
"best_odd": 3.74,
"calibration": {
"active": false,
"hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
},
"edge": 0.0165,
"ev": 0.0123,
"implied_prob": 0.2542,
"joint_probs": {
"away": 0.5057,
"draw": 0.2542,
"home": 0.2401
},
"model_prob": 0.3145,
"p_final": 0.2707
},
"ev_available": true,
"home": {
"alpha": 0.2761,
"best_odd": 3.96,
"calibration": {
"active": false,
"hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
},
"edge": 0.0147,
"ev": 0.0089,
"implied_prob": 0.2401,
"joint_probs": {
"away": 0.5057,
"draw": 0.2542,
"home": 0.2401
},
"model_prob": 0.2933,
"p_final": 0.2548
}
},
"1x2_outlier": {
"1x2_ev_mode": "legacy_max_odd",
"away": {
"best_odd": 1.88,
"edge": -0.1397,
"ev": -0.2627,
"implied_prob": 0.5319,
"model_prob": 0.3922
},
"draw": {
"best_odd": 3.74,
"edge": 0.0471,
"ev": 0.1762,
"implied_prob": 0.2674,
"model_prob": 0.3145
},
"ev_available": true,
"home": {
"best_odd": 3.96,
"edge": 0.0408,
"ev": 0.1614,
"implied_prob": 0.2525,
"model_prob": 0.2933
}
},
"btts": {
"alpha_no": 0.455,
"alpha_yes": 0.5005,
"best_no_odd": 2.25,
"best_yes_odd": 1.73,
"btts_ev_mode": "market_first_available",
"edge_no": 0.0858,
"edge_yes": -0.0858,
"ev_available": true,
"ev_no": 0.1587,
"ev_no_risk_adj": 0.0054,
"ev_yes": -0.161,
"ev_yes_risk_adj": -0.1529,
"implied_no": 0.4292,
"implied_yes": 0.5708,
"market_first": {
"available": true,
"mode": "market_first_btts",
"n_bookmakers": 7,
"no": {
"alpha": 0.455,
"best_odd": 2.155,
"edge": 0.0404,
"ev": 0.0054,
"implied_prob": 0.4261,
"model_prob": 0.515,
"p_final": 0.4665
},
"prediction_confidence": "high",
"yes": {
"alpha": 0.5005,
"best_odd": 1.6,
"edge": -0.0445,
"ev": -0.1529,
"implied_prob": 0.5739,
"model_prob": 0.485,
"p_final": 0.5294
}
},
"n_bookmakers": 7,
"p_final_no": 0.4665,
"p_final_yes": 0.5294,
"prediction_confidence": "high",
"reliability": "medium"
},
"ou25": {
"alpha_over": 0.4776,
"alpha_under": 0.4342,
"best_over_odd": 1.8,
"best_under_odd": 2.17,
"consensus_over_odd": 1.69,
"consensus_under_odd": 2.07,
"edge_over": -0.1403,
"edge_under": 0.1403,
"ev_available": true,
"ev_over": -0.2638,
"ev_over_risk_adj": -0.1838,
"ev_under": 0.2825,
"ev_under_risk_adj": 0.0576,
"implied_over": 0.5493,
"implied_over_mf": 0.5505,
"implied_under": 0.4507,
"implied_under_mf": 0.4495,
"market_first": {
"available": true,
"mode": "market_first_ou",
"n_bookmakers": 8,
"over": {
"alpha": 0.4776,
"best_odd": 1.69,
"edge": -0.0676,
"ev": -0.1838,
"implied_prob": 0.5505,
"model_prob": 0.409,
"p_final": 0.4829
},
"prediction_confidence": "high",
"under": {
"alpha": 0.4342,
"best_odd": 2.07,
"edge": 0.0615,
"ev": 0.0576,
"implied_prob": 0.4495,
"model_prob": 0.591,
"p_final": 0.5109
}
},
"n_bookmakers": 8,
"ou_ev_mode": "market_first_available",
"p_final_over": 0.4829,
"p_final_under": 0.5109,
"prediction_confidence": "high",
"reliability": "medium"
}
},
"match_tier": "value_game",
"min_ev": 0.02,
"total_xg": 2.32,
"variance_flag": false
},
"unified_decision": {
"actionable_ev_threshold": 0.02,
"algorithm": {
"enabled_since": "2026-05-26",
"game_typing_module": true,
"version": "2.5.0"
},
"balanced_alternative": null,
"best_consensus_ev": 0.2825,
"best_outlier_ev": 0.2825,
"best_tracked_ev": 0.2825,
"confidence": 6.0,
"decision_confidence_v1": {
"breakdown": [
"pred_conf_v1_primary_line",
"pred_conf_v1_primary_ev_above_10",
"pred_conf_v1_max_1x2_under_50",
"pred_conf_v1_draw_above_30",
"pred_conf_v1_multi_ev_lines"
],
"breakdown_resolved": [
"Primary line identified (+1.0)",
"Primary EV above 10% (+1.0)",
"Max 1X2 prob under 50% (no dominant 1X2) (\u22121.0)",
"Draw probability above 30% (\u22120.5)",
"Two or more valid +EV lines at threshold (+0.5)"
],
"breakdown_v2": [
"Base decision score (v1)",
"Reliability supports action",
"Market aligns with model",
"Consensus-line +EV",
"Low xG separation (league-average noise)"
],
"score": 5.8,
"score_v1_legacy": 6.0,
"score_v2_pre_penalty": 6.8,
"strength_v2": true
},
"decision_strength_v2": {
"breakdown": [
"Base decision score (v1)",
"Reliability supports action",
"Market aligns with model",
"Consensus-line +EV",
"Low xG separation (league-average noise)"
],
"score": 5.8,
"score_pre_penalty": 6.8
},
"decision_type": "VALUE_ALERT",
"execution": {
"1x2_dominant": false,
"1x2_open_contest": true,
"grade": "A",
"stake_factor": 1.0
},
"favourite_misaligned_1x2": {
"active": false,
"gap": null,
"side": null
},
"final_action": "lean",
"final_decision": {
"action": "lean",
"alignment": {
"direction_aligned": true,
"direction_key": "agree",
"gap_pp": 11.4,
"key": "agree",
"label": "Agree",
"model_strong": false,
"pricing_aligned": true,
"pricing_key": "moderate",
"probability_gap_pp": 11.4,
"summary": "Model and market currently agree on the stronger side (Santa Fe)."
},
"alignment_key": "agree",
"best_consensus_ev": 0.2825,
"best_outlier_ev": 0.2825,
"confidence_band": "Moderate",
"decision_strength": 5.8,
"decision_strength_v1": 6.0,
"decision_strength_v2": 6.8,
"decision_type": "VALUE_ALERT",
"execution_confidence": 56,
"extreme_disagreement": false,
"final_verdict_audit": {
"action": "Monitor closing market and validate with CLV.",
"action_label": "Action",
"decision": "Selective Lean - No Primary Bet",
"is_primary": false,
"snapshot": "The Decision Model estimates Santa Fe at 39.2%, compared with a no-vig market probability of 50.6%.",
"why": [
{
"text": "Decision Model identifies Santa Fe as the value side (39.2%)",
"tone": "ok"
},
{
"text": "Market broadly agrees with the direction",
"tone": "ok"
},
{
"text": "Model confidence reduced due to calibration uncertainty",
"tone": "bad"
}
],
"why_label": "Decision Summary"
},
"gap_pp": 11.4,
"gates_failed": [
"Execution confidence below 65"
],
"has_top_pick": true,
"headline": "Selective Lean - No Primary Bet",
"hero_mode": "default",
"icon": "\u2192",
"label": "Lean only \u2014 not a default Primary",
"market_signal": "Market aligns with model lean",
"model_conflict_detail": null,
"model_lean": "Santa Fe",
"no_primary_reasons": {
"all_triggered": [
"calibration_risk"
],
"calibration_mode": "soft",
"codes": [
"calibration_risk"
],
"label": "Reason",
"other_factors": [],
"other_label": "Other factors",
"primary": {
"code": "calibration_risk",
"detail": "Confidence reduced because model assumptions exceed the normal range.",
"name": "Calibration Risk",
"short": "Calibration Risk",
"tone": "danger"
},
"secondary": null,
"version": "v1"
},
"outlier_detected": false,
"outlier_excluded_panel": "",
"primary_allowed": false,
"primary_block_explain": {
"entries": [
{
"key": "positive_ev",
"label": "Consensus EV +28.2% meets Primary gate (\u2265+5.0%)",
"ok": true
},
{
"key": "gate",
"label": "Execution confidence below 65",
"ok": false
}
],
"lean_ev_threshold_pct": 2.0,
"primary_ev_threshold_pct": 5.0,
"subtitle": "Primary needs consensus EV \u2265 +5.0% plus reliability/execution/calibration gates (Decision Strength is explain-only). Lean/tracked gate is +2.0% (selective only \u2014 not default Primary sizing).",
"title": "Why not Primary?"
},
"primary_gate_checklist": "Gate checklist: Consensus EV +28.2% \u2705 (need \u2265+5.0%) \u00b7 Calibration See checklist \u274c \u2192 Primary blocked. Decision Strength 5.8/10 (explain only, not a Primary gate). If you still act under hard block: example stake 0.10\u20130.20% bankroll (never Primary).",
"primary_gate_snapshot": "Primary Gate Snapshot: Consensus EV +28.2% (gate \u2265+5.0%) \u00b7 Calibration: See checklist \u2192 Primary blocked \u00b7 Decision Strength 5.8/10 (display only)",
"primary_gates": {
"items": [
{
"key": "extreme_gap",
"label": "Extreme gap",
"ok": true,
"value": "no"
},
{
"key": "xg_calibration",
"label": "xG calibration",
"ok": true,
"value": "warning"
},
{
"key": "reliability",
"label": "Rel",
"ok": true,
"value": "70 (\u226565)"
},
{
"key": "execution",
"label": "Exec",
"ok": false,
"value": "56 (\u226565)"
},
{
"key": "alignment",
"label": "Align",
"ok": true,
"value": "agree"
},
{
"key": "consensus_ev",
"label": "ConsEV",
"ok": true,
"value": "+28.2% (\u2265+5.0%)"
},
{
"key": "top_pick",
"label": "Pick",
"ok": true,
"value": "true"
},
{
"key": "validation",
"label": "Validation",
"ok": true,
"value": "true"
}
],
"passed": 7,
"total": 8
},
"primary_type": null,
"reasons": [
"Model and market currently agree on the stronger side (Santa Fe).",
"Decision strength: 5.8/10",
"Execution confidence below 65"
],
"reliability_score": 70,
"speed_read": "Speed read: Model Signal can look moderate/strong while Decision Strength stays low after calibration \u2014 Strength alone does not block Primary (v2.5+); still check reliability/execution/EV hard gates.",
"strength_v2_breakdown": [
"Base decision score (v1)",
"Reliability supports action",
"Market aligns with model",
"Consensus-line +EV",
"Low xG separation (league-average noise)"
],
"subline": "Selective consensus value may exist \u2014 below default Primary sizing bar.",
"thresholds": {
"extreme_gap_pp": 30.0,
"lean_min_consensus_ev": 0.02,
"lean_min_strength": 5.0,
"min_consensus_ev": 0.05,
"min_execution": 65,
"min_reliability": 65,
"min_strength": 7.0,
"source": "db",
"user_id": 2
},
"thresholds_source": "db",
"thresholds_user_id": 2,
"tier": "lean",
"validation_ok": true,
"value_context": {
"consensus_ev": -0.1555,
"consensus_ev_display": "-15.6%",
"consensus_odds": 1.88,
"disagreement_label": "Moderate",
"disagreement_level": "moderate",
"implied_prob": 0.5057,
"is_extreme_disagreement": false,
"model_prob": 0.3922,
"raw_edge_display": "-11.4 percentage points",
"raw_edge_pp": -11.4,
"raw_implied_prob": 0.5319148936170213,
"raw_signal_ev": -0.2627,
"raw_signal_ev_display": "-26.3%"
},
"version": "v2.5",
"xg_calibration": {
"block_value_alert": false,
"calibration_status": "warning",
"deviation_pct": -6.7,
"reasons": [
"Thin xG separation gap=0.2"
],
"recommended_action": "monitor",
"strength_delta": -1.0,
"uplift_away": null,
"uplift_home": null,
"xg_separation": {
"band": "low",
"block_value_alert": false,
"separation_score": -10,
"strength_delta": -1.0,
"xg_gap": 0.2
}
}
},
"game_type": {
"label_zh": "\u5747\u8861\uff08\u5f00\u653e\u8d5b\u679c\uff09",
"scoring_type": "balanced",
"signals": {
"btts_yes_prob": 0.485,
"draw_prob": 0.3145,
"max_1x2_prob": 0.3922,
"over_prob": 0.409,
"total_xg": 2.32,
"under_prob": 0.591,
"xg_diff": 0.2
},
"type": "balanced",
"typing_weights_enabled": true
},
"hero_display_pick": null,
"hero_mode": "default",
"longshot_picks": [],
"markets": {
"1x2": {
"consensus_odds": 1.88,
"decision": "no_bet",
"edge": -0.0565,
"ev": -0.1555,
"implied_prob": 0.5057,
"max_ev_side": "draw",
"model_prob": 0.3922,
"side": "away",
"side_label": "Santa Fe"
},
"btts": {
"decision": "value_bet",
"decision_layer": {
"alpha": 0.455,
"available": true,
"consensus_odds": 2.155,
"edge": 0.0404,
"market_prob": 0.4261,
"mode": "market_first_btts",
"model_prob": 0.515,
"n_bookmakers": 7,
"no": {
"alpha": 0.455,
"best_odd": 2.155,
"edge": 0.0404,
"ev": 0.0054,
"implied_prob": 0.4261,
"model_prob": 0.515,
"p_final": 0.4665
},
"p_final": 0.4665,
"prediction_confidence": "high",
"risk_adj_ev": 0.0054,
"value_side": "no",
"yes": {
"alpha": 0.5005,
"best_odd": 1.6,
"edge": -0.0445,
"ev": -0.1529,
"implied_prob": 0.5739,
"model_prob": 0.485,
"p_final": 0.5294
}
},
"edge": 0.0858,
"ev": 0.1587,
"implied_prob": 0.4292,
"model_prob": 0.515,
"side": "no",
"value_side": "no"
},
"ou_2_5": {
"decision": "value_bet",
"decision_layer": {
"alpha": 0.4342,
"available": true,
"consensus_odds": 2.07,
"edge": 0.0615,
"market_prob": 0.4495,
"mode": "market_first_ou",
"model_prob": 0.591,
"n_bookmakers": 8,
"over": {
"alpha": 0.4776,
"best_odd": 1.69,
"edge": -0.0676,
"ev": -0.1838,
"implied_prob": 0.5505,
"model_prob": 0.409,
"p_final": 0.4829
},
"p_final": 0.5109,
"prediction_confidence": "high",
"risk_adj_ev": 0.0576,
"under": {
"alpha": 0.4342,
"best_odd": 2.07,
"edge": 0.0615,
"ev": 0.0576,
"implied_prob": 0.4495,
"model_prob": 0.591,
"p_final": 0.5109
},
"value_side": "under"
},
"edge": 0.1403,
"ev": 0.2825,
"implied_prob": 0.4507,
"model_prob": 0.591,
"side": "under",
"value_side": "under"
}
},
"match_id": 1549712,
"match_regime": {
"action": "bet",
"actionable": true,
"clear_edge": true,
"code": "clear_edge",
"execution_line_key": null,
"insight_line_key": null,
"max_valid_ev": 0.2825,
"min_ev": 0.02,
"stake_mult": 1.0,
"use_split_strip": false
},
"match_tier": "value_game",
"no_clear_primary": false,
"probabilities": {
"away": 0.3922,
"draw": 0.3145,
"home": 0.2933
},
"reason_codes": [
"no_ev_1x2"
],
"secondary_pick": {
"decision": "value_bet",
"ev": 0.1587,
"implied_prob": 0.4292,
"market": "btts",
"model_prob": 0.515,
"not_dominant": false,
"risk_band": "strong",
"risk_tier": "secondary",
"side": "no",
"slot": "secondary"
},
"secondary_picks": [
{
"decision": "value_bet",
"ev": 0.1587,
"implied_prob": 0.4292,
"market": "btts",
"model_prob": 0.515,
"not_dominant": false,
"risk_band": "strong",
"risk_tier": "secondary",
"side": "no",
"slot": "secondary"
}
],
"show_betting_primary_label": false,
"suppressed_primary": null,
"teams": {
"away": "Santa Fe",
"home": "Deportivo Pereira"
},
"top_pick": {
"composite_score": 0.11687,
"decision": "value_bet",
"ev": 0.2825,
"implied_prob": 0.4507,
"market": "ou_2_5",
"model_prob": 0.591,
"not_dominant": false,
"primary_strength": "clear",
"risk_band": "strong",
"risk_tier": "primary",
"side": "under",
"slot": "primary",
"speculative_primary": false
},
"valid_markets_count": 2,
"value_context_1x2": {
"consensus_ev": -0.1555,
"consensus_ev_display": "-15.6%",
"consensus_odds": 1.88,
"disagreement_label": "Moderate",
"disagreement_level": "moderate",
"implied_prob": 0.5057,
"is_extreme_disagreement": false,
"model_prob": 0.3922,
"raw_edge_display": "-11.4 percentage points",
"raw_edge_pp": -11.4,
"raw_implied_prob": 0.5319148936170213,
"raw_signal_ev": -0.2627,
"raw_signal_ev_display": "-26.3%"
}
}
},
"fixture_id": 1549712,
"generated_at_utc": "2026-09-29T20:29:07.314872+00:00",
"lang_id": "en"
}
Khám phá thêm nội dung dự đoán
Nhận dự đoán cao cấp cho Deportivo Pereira & Santa Fe!
Mở khóa phân tích chuyên sâu, mẹo cá cược độc quyền và dự đoán trận đấu với dịch vụ đăng ký cao cấp của chúng tôi.
Đăng ký ngay
Primera A Colombia — Bảng xếp hạng
| # | Đội | Tr | T | H | B | Đ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Atlético Nacional | 19 | 13 | 1 | 5 | 40 |
| 2 | Junior | 19 | 11 | 2 | 6 | 35 |
| 3 | Deportivo Pasto | 19 | 10 | 4 | 5 | 34 |
| 4 | América de Cali | 19 | 10 | 3 | 6 | 33 |
| 5 | Once Caldas | 19 | 8 | 9 | 2 | 33 |
| 6 | Deportes Tolima | 19 | 8 | 7 | 4 | 31 |
| 7 | Santa Fe | 19 | 7 | 8 | 4 | 29 |
| 8 | La Equidad | 19 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 28 |
| 9 | Deportivo Cali | 19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 27 |
| 10 | Millonarios FC | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 26 |
| 11 | Independiente Medellín | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 26 |
| 12 | Águilas Doradas Rionegro | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 26 |
| 13 | Bucaramanga | 19 | 5 | 8 | 6 | 23 |
| 14 | Llaneros FC | 19 | 4 | 10 | 5 | 22 |
| 15 | Fortaleza FC | 19 | 5 | 7 | 7 | 22 |
| 16 | Jaguares de Córdoba | 19 | 5 | 3 | 11 | 18 |
| 17 | Alianza Petrolera | 19 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 17 |
| 18 | Chico FC | 19 | 5 | 2 | 12 | 17 |
| 19 | Cúcuta Deportivo | 19 | 3 | 7 | 9 | 16 |
| 20 | Deportivo Pereira | 19 | 1 | 7 | 11 | 10 |
| # | Đội | Tr | BT | BB | +/- | Đ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Atlético Nacional | 19 | 35 | 15 | +20 | 40 |
| 2 | Once Caldas | 19 | 31 | 22 | +9 | 33 |
| 3 | Millonarios FC | 19 | 31 | 23 | +8 | 26 |
| 4 | Junior | 19 | 31 | 24 | +7 | 35 |
| 5 | Santa Fe | 19 | 29 | 22 | +7 | 29 |
| 6 | Deportivo Pasto | 19 | 29 | 25 | +4 | 34 |
| 7 | Deportes Tolima | 19 | 27 | 17 | +10 | 31 |
| 8 | Bucaramanga | 19 | 26 | 20 | +6 | 23 |
| 9 | Independiente Medellín | 19 | 26 | 24 | +2 | 26 |
| 10 | La Equidad | 19 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 28 |
| 11 | América de Cali | 19 | 25 | 15 | +10 | 33 |
| 12 | Fortaleza FC | 19 | 22 | 27 | -5 | 22 |
| 13 | Cúcuta Deportivo | 19 | 22 | 35 | -13 | 16 |
| 14 | Deportivo Cali | 19 | 20 | 16 | +4 | 27 |
| 15 | Águilas Doradas Rionegro | 19 | 20 | 25 | -5 | 26 |
| 16 | Jaguares de Córdoba | 19 | 20 | 33 | -13 | 18 |
| 17 | Llaneros FC | 19 | 17 | 20 | -3 | 22 |
| 18 | Chico FC | 19 | 15 | 32 | -17 | 17 |
| 19 | Deportivo Pereira | 19 | 15 | 32 | -17 | 10 |
| 20 | Alianza Petrolera | 19 | 13 | 27 | -14 | 17 |
| # | Đội | Tr | xG | xGC | +/- | Đ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Águilas Doradas Rionegro | 19 | 10.2 | 5.1 | +5.1 | 26 |
| 2 | América de Cali | 19 | 9.1 | 4.4 | +4.7 | 33 |
| 3 | Millonarios FC | 19 | 7.8 | 4.3 | +3.5 | 26 |
| 4 | Atlético Nacional | 19 | 6.6 | 3.5 | +3.1 | 40 |
| 5 | Deportes Tolima | 19 | 6.8 | 4.2 | +2.6 | 31 |
| 6 | Deportivo Cali | 19 | 5.4 | 3.1 | +2.3 | 27 |
| 7 | Once Caldas | 19 | 5.0 | 5.0 | 0.0 | 33 |
| 8 | Chico FC | 19 | 4.8 | 5.0 | -0.2 | 17 |
| 9 | Independiente Medellín | 19 | 3.5 | 3.7 | -0.2 | 26 |
| 10 | Junior | 19 | 3.6 | 4.3 | -0.7 | 35 |
| 11 | Santa Fe | 19 | 4.0 | 5.1 | -1.1 | 29 |
| 12 | Cúcuta Deportivo | 19 | 5.2 | 6.6 | -1.4 | 16 |
| 13 | Bucaramanga | 19 | 3.4 | 5.0 | -1.6 | 23 |
| 14 | Deportivo Pereira | 19 | 4.3 | 6.0 | -1.7 | 10 |
| 15 | Alianza Petrolera | 19 | 6.5 | 8.5 | -2.0 | 17 |
| 16 | Fortaleza FC | 19 | 3.4 | 5.4 | -2.0 | 22 |
| 17 | La Equidad | 19 | 3.9 | 6.1 | -2.2 | 28 |
| 18 | Llaneros FC | 19 | 4.7 | 7.2 | -2.5 | 22 |
| 19 | Deportivo Pasto | 19 | 4.5 | 7.0 | -2.5 | 34 |
| 20 | Jaguares de Córdoba | 19 | 2.8 | 5.8 | -3.0 | 18 |
