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- Chợ Dự đoán Kết quả kết quả
- Tài / Xỉu 2.5 Xỉu 2.5 Tài 2.5 (4 mục tiêu) ✖ Không đúng
- Cả Hai Đội Đều Ghi Bàn BTTS Không Có ✖ Không đúng
- 1X2 HJS Akatemia Vẽ tranh ✖ Không đúng
- Thông tin tỷ số chính xác 1-1, 0-1, 1-0, 1-2, 2-1 2-2 ✖ Không đúng
Validation Report
Immutable Snapshot
Closing Odds
2.12
AI Fair Odds
—
CLV
+0.0%
Final Result
Draw · GrIFK 2–2 HJS Akatemia
Prediction
✖ Missed
Decision Grade
F
Model Performance
This prediction contributes to:
- Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%
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View technical JSON
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"dc_rho": -0.13,
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"fair_odds_away": 2.66,
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"prediction_confidence": "very_low",
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"advice": "Winner : HJS Akatemia",
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"percent_draw": "45%",
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"betting_insight": {
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{
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"key": "X2",
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"pick_key": "12",
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"pick_prob": 70.4
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"match_winner": {
"away_pct": 37.5,
"draw_pct": 29.6,
"home_pct": 32.9,
"lean_key": "away",
"lean_label": "HJS Akatemia"
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"over_under": {
"api_hint": null,
"avg_total": 2.6,
"away_avg_scored": 1.6,
"confidence": "low",
"home_avg_scored": 0.9,
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"pick": "Under 2.5",
"pick_prob": 51.8,
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"prob_source": "poisson",
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{
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"movement": [
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"kind": "1x2_h"
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{
"closing": 3.7,
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"kind": "1x2_d"
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"closing": 2.12,
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"movement_negligible": true,
"same_bookmaker": true,
"top_value_gap": {
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"correct_score_insight": {
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"most_likely": {
"label": "1-1",
"prob": 12.5
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"home_xg": 1.25,
"homepage_pick": null,
"market_cards": [
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"ev_over_display": {
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"raw_pct": -26.2,
"text": "-26.2%"
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"ev_under_display": {
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"raw_pct": 32.1,
"text": "+25%+"
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"tier": "best",
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"value_side": "under"
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{
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"ev_no_display": {
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"text": "+17.8%"
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"ev_yes": -0.1825,
"ev_yes_display": {
"capped": false,
"raw_pct": -18.2,
"text": "-18.2%"
},
"featured": false,
"id": "btts",
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"no_prob": 45.5,
"sort_key": 10160.56,
"tier": "best",
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{
"decision": "no_bet",
"ev": -0.1398,
"ev_available": true,
"ev_display": {
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"raw_pct": -14.0,
"text": "-14.0%"
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"featured": false,
"id": "1x2",
"implied_prob": 0.4272,
"max_ev": -0.0423,
"max_ev_display": {
"capped": false,
"raw_pct": -4.2,
"text": "-4.2%"
},
"model_prob": 0.3757,
"side_label": "HJS Akatemia",
"sort_key": 1789.425,
"tier": "bad_ev"
},
{
"featured": false,
"id": "correct_score",
"sort_key": 817.5,
"tier": "risk",
"top_label": "1-1",
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],
"market_intelligence": {
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"alert_breadth": "",
"alert_breadth_note": "",
"alert_move": "",
"alert_team": "",
"alert_title": "Sharp Money Alert",
"divergence_pp": 5.2,
"has_alert": false,
"hero_edge_pp": -5.18,
"hero_label": "HJS Akatemia",
"market_prob_pct": 42.7,
"market_team": "HJS Akatemia",
"model_prob_pct": 37.5,
"model_team": "HJS Akatemia",
"show": true,
"status_icon": "\u2713",
"status_key": "aligned",
"status_label": "Reliable forecast",
"status_line": "Model and market broadly aligned",
"steam_score": null,
"steam_subtitle": "",
"steam_tier": "",
"title": "Betting Signal"
},
"edge_rows": [
{
"edge_pp": 0.04,
"fair_prob": 32.85,
"label": "GrIFK",
"market_prob": 32.81,
"market_type": "1x2",
"outcome": "home"
},
{
"edge_pp": 5.14,
"fair_prob": 29.61,
"label": "Draw",
"market_prob": 24.47,
"market_type": "1x2",
"outcome": "draw"
},
{
"edge_pp": -5.18,
"fair_prob": 37.54,
"label": "HJS Akatemia",
"market_prob": 42.72,
"market_type": "1x2",
"outcome": "away"
},
{
"edge_pp": -13.75,
"fair_prob": 48.2,
"label": "Over 2.5",
"market_prob": 61.95,
"market_type": "ou25",
"outcome": "over"
},
{
"edge_pp": 13.75,
"fair_prob": 51.8,
"label": "Under 2.5",
"market_prob": 38.05,
"market_type": "ou25",
"outcome": "under"
},
{
"edge_pp": -8.97,
"fair_prob": 54.5,
"label": "BTTS Yes",
"market_prob": 63.47,
"market_type": "btts",
"outcome": "yes"
},
{
"edge_pp": 8.97,
"fair_prob": 45.5,
"label": "BTTS No",
"market_prob": 36.53,
"market_type": "btts",
"outcome": "no"
}
],
"edge_snapshot": {
"edge_label": "mild_disagreement",
"edge_pp": -5.18,
"fair_prob_pct": 37.54,
"hero_side": "away",
"hero_team_name": "HJS Akatemia",
"market_prob_pct": 42.72,
"status": "market_ahead",
"steam_team_name": "GrIFK"
},
"fair_source": "poisson_pipeline",
"fair_vs_market": {
"comparison_available": true,
"comparison_disabled": false,
"degraded_note": "",
"divergence_guard": {
"divergence_level": "moderate",
"edge_status": "market_ahead",
"max_gap_pp": 5.18,
"suppress_hero": false,
"suppress_value_language": false
},
"divergence_label": "Moderate model-market divergence",
"divergence_level": "moderate",
"divergence_level_label": "Moderate divergence",
"divergence_note": "Fair estimate and market pricing differ modestly. Monitor before kickoff.",
"divergence_tier": "moderate",
"edge_label": "Mild disagreement",
"edge_label_key": "mild_disagreement",
"fair_confidence": "medium",
"fair_confidence_label": "Medium",
"fair_source_note": "Fair probability from Poisson/xG statistical model. Not bookmaker odds. Not betting advice.",
"forecast_assessment": {
"favourite_class": "Balanced match",
"favourite_label": "HJS Akatemia",
"forecast_certainty_tier": "low",
"headline": "Balanced match",
"market_agreement_label": "Strong",
"market_prob_pct": 42.7,
"model_prob_pct": 37.5,
"outcome_separation_tier": "low",
"paragraphs": [],
"reliability_headline": "Reliable forecast",
"reliability_icon": "\u2713",
"reliability_tier": "reliable",
"summary": "Both lean HJS Akatemia, but the market prices them higher (42.7% vs model 37.5%). The edge remains modest and the match stays relatively open.",
"tier": "balanced",
"title": "Forecast Assessment",
"validation_label": "Pass"
},
"forecast_certainty": {
"note": "Three outcomes remain closely bunched \u2014 treat as a relatively open match.",
"tier": "low",
"tier_label": "Low"
},
"forecast_certainty_label": "Low",
"has_market_probs": true,
"hero_edge_pp": -5.18,
"hero_label": "HJS Akatemia",
"hero_side": "away",
"market_activity": "No meaningful directional movement yet.",
"market_agreement": "strong",
"market_agreement_label": "Strong",
"market_interpretation": {
"bullets": [
"Monitor line movement before kickoff \u2014 not a betting recommendation."
],
"follow_up": "",
"gap_tier": "mild",
"lead": "The market and model broadly agree on HJS Akatemia. The remaining divergence may reflect differences in team-strength assumptions rather than a directional disagreement.",
"note": "The market shows a modest preference for HJS Akatemia relative to the current fair estimate.",
"paragraphs": [
"The market and model broadly agree on HJS Akatemia. The remaining divergence may reflect differences in team-strength assumptions rather than a directional disagreement."
],
"quiet_market": true,
"title": "Market Assessment"
},
"market_narrative": {
"paragraphs": [
"The market still prices HJS Akatemia above the current fair estimate.",
"Pricing has been stable with broad sportsbook participation, suggesting settled consensus."
],
"title": "Current Market Narrative"
},
"max_gap_pp": 5.18,
"model_validation": {
"score_label_key": "mi_mv_pass",
"status": "pass"
},
"model_validation_label": "Pass",
"outcome_separation": {
"breakdown": [
"No outcome exceeds 50% on the 1X2 grid.",
"Favourite exceeds second outcome by 4.7 pp (at 37.5%)."
],
"lead_gap_pp": 4.7,
"max_prob_pct": 37.5,
"note": "How spread out the model 1X2 probabilities are \u2014 crowded splits mean no single outcome dominates. Not accuracy vs the market.",
"tier": "low",
"tier_label": "Low"
},
"outcome_separation_label": "Low",
"rows": [
{
"edge_pp": 0.04,
"fair_prob_pct": 32.85,
"is_hero": false,
"label": "GrIFK",
"market_prob_pct": 32.81,
"side": "home"
},
{
"edge_pp": 5.14,
"fair_prob_pct": 29.61,
"is_hero": false,
"label": "Draw",
"market_prob_pct": 24.47,
"side": "draw"
},
{
"edge_pp": -5.18,
"fair_prob_pct": 37.54,
"is_hero": true,
"label": "HJS Akatemia",
"market_prob_pct": 42.72,
"side": "away"
}
],
"status": "market_ahead",
"status_label": "Market Ahead",
"steam_note": "The market shows a modest preference for HJS Akatemia relative to the current fair estimate.",
"unavailable_note": ""
},
"interpretation": {
"has_conflict": true,
"paragraphs": [
"The betting market strongly prefers HJS Akatemia (42.7%).",
"This creates a conflict: Model \u2192 HJS Akatemia, Market \u2192 HJS Akatemia, Recent sharp money \u2192 recent line movement.",
"Because signals disagree, confidence remains limited."
],
"show": true,
"title": "OddsGPT Interpretation"
},
"lifecycle": {
"closing_implied_pct": 47.17,
"closing_odds": 2.12,
"clv_pending": true,
"clv_pp": 0.0,
"clv_status": "pending",
"context": "match",
"current_stage": "waiting_for_kickoff",
"current_stage_detail": "",
"current_stage_label": "Waiting for kickoff",
"entry_implied_pct": 47.17,
"entry_odds": 2.12,
"model_validation_label": "Pass",
"model_validation_status": "pass",
"stages": [
{
"detail": "",
"id": "forecast_generated",
"label": "Forecast Generated",
"status": "done"
},
{
"detail": "",
"id": "market_detected",
"label": "Market Compared",
"status": "active"
},
{
"detail": "",
"id": "model_validated",
"label": "Validation Passed",
"status": "done"
},
{
"detail": "PRE1",
"id": "closing_recorded",
"label": "Closing Recorded",
"status": "done"
},
{
"detail": "",
"id": "clv_evaluated",
"label": "CLV Evaluated",
"status": "pending"
}
]
},
"market_move_intelligence": {
"show": false
},
"market_overview": {
"breadth_display": "9/12",
"current_odds": 2.75,
"move_display": "+0.0%",
"open_odds": 2.75,
"pick_team": "GrIFK",
"steam_score": 22,
"steam_team_name": "GrIFK",
"steam_tier": "C"
},
"premium_teaser": {
"current_divergence_pp": 5.2,
"divergence_label": "Current divergence",
"title": "Premium Market Intelligence",
"unlock_items": [
"Historical similar matches",
"Closing odds analysis",
"CLV tracking",
"Sharp money signals",
"Market efficiency rating",
"Historical model vs market results"
],
"unlock_label": "Unlock"
},
"show": true
},
"match": {
"away_expected_goals": null,
"away_team_id": 9209,
"away_team_logo": "/static/teams/9209.webp",
"away_team_name": "HJS Akatemia",
"country_code": "FI",
"country_flag": "/static/images/country/fi.svg",
"country_name": "Finland",
"fixture_id": 1541506,
"goals_away": null,
"goals_home": null,
"home_expected_goals": null,
"home_team_country": "Finland",
"home_team_id": 2079,
"home_team_logo": "/static/teams/2079.webp",
"home_team_name": "GrIFK",
"league_country": "Finland",
"league_id": 248,
"league_logo": "/static/leagues/248.webp",
"league_name": "Kakkonen - Lohko B",
"league_season": 2026,
"match_date": "2026-06-12 15:30:00",
"score_fulltime_away": null,
"score_fulltime_home": null,
"status_long": "Not Started",
"status_short": "NS",
"venue_city": "Kauniainen",
"venue_name": null
},
"match_decision": {
"confidence": {
"breakdown": [
"pred_conf_md_max_1x2_under_50",
"pred_conf_md_top_two_close",
"pred_conf_md_line_above_ev"
],
"breakdown_resolved": [
"Max 1X2 prob under 50% (open contest) (\u22121.0)",
"Top two outcomes relatively close in probability (\u22120.5)",
"At least one tracked line above +EV threshold (+0.5)"
],
"score": 6.0
},
"markets": {
"1x2": {
"1x2_ev_mode": "market_first_p15",
"away": {
"alpha": 0.4152,
"best_odd": 2.12,
"calibration": {
"active": false,
"hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
},
"edge": -0.0214,
"ev": -0.1398,
"implied_prob": 0.4272,
"model_prob": 0.3757,
"p_final": 0.4058
},
"draw": {
"alpha": 0.2771,
"best_odd": 3.7,
"calibration": {
"active": false,
"hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
},
"edge": 0.0141,
"ev": -0.0423,
"implied_prob": 0.2447,
"model_prob": 0.2956,
"p_final": 0.2588
},
"ev_available": true,
"home": {
"alpha": 0.4496,
"best_odd": 2.76,
"calibration": {
"active": false,
"hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
},
"edge": 0.0003,
"ev": -0.0937,
"implied_prob": 0.3281,
"model_prob": 0.3287,
"p_final": 0.3284
}
},
"btts": {
"best_no_odd": 2.59,
"best_yes_odd": 1.5,
"edge_no": 0.0897,
"edge_yes": -0.0897,
"ev_available": true,
"ev_no": 0.1784,
"ev_yes": -0.1825,
"implied_no": 0.3653,
"implied_yes": 0.6347,
"n_bookmakers": 6,
"reliability": "medium"
},
"ou25": {
"best_over_odd": 1.53,
"best_under_odd": 2.55,
"edge_over": -0.1375,
"edge_under": 0.1375,
"ev_available": true,
"ev_over": -0.2625,
"ev_under": 0.3209,
"implied_over": 0.6195,
"implied_under": 0.3805,
"n_bookmakers": 7,
"reliability": "medium"
}
},
"match_tier": "value_game",
"min_ev": 0.02,
"total_xg": 2.6,
"variance_flag": false
},
"unified_decision": {
"actionable_ev_threshold": 0.02,
"algorithm": {
"enabled_since": "2026-05-26",
"game_typing_module": true,
"version": "2.2.0"
},
"balanced_alternative": null,
"best_tracked_ev": 0.3209,
"confidence": 6.5,
"decision_confidence_v1": {
"breakdown": [
"pred_conf_v1_primary_line",
"pred_conf_v1_primary_ev_above_10",
"pred_conf_v1_max_1x2_under_50",
"pred_conf_v1_multi_ev_lines"
],
"breakdown_resolved": [
"Primary line identified (+1.0)",
"Primary EV above 10% (+1.0)",
"Max 1X2 prob under 50% (no dominant 1X2) (\u22121.0)",
"Two or more valid +EV lines at threshold (+0.5)"
],
"score": 6.5
},
"execution": {
"1x2_dominant": false,
"1x2_open_contest": true,
"grade": "A",
"stake_factor": 1.0
},
"favourite_misaligned_1x2": {
"active": false,
"gap": null,
"side": null
},
"game_type": {
"label_zh": "\u5747\u8861\uff08\u5f00\u653e\u8d5b\u679c\uff09",
"scoring_type": "balanced",
"signals": {
"btts_yes_prob": 0.545,
"draw_prob": 0.2956,
"max_1x2_prob": 0.3757,
"over_prob": 0.482,
"total_xg": 2.6,
"under_prob": 0.518,
"xg_diff": 0.1
},
"type": "balanced",
"typing_weights_enabled": true
},
"hero_display_pick": null,
"longshot_picks": [],
"markets": {
"1x2": {
"decision": "no_bet",
"edge": -0.0214,
"ev": -0.1398,
"implied_prob": 0.4272,
"max_ev_side": "draw",
"model_prob": 0.3757,
"side": "away",
"side_label": "HJS Akatemia"
},
"btts": {
"decision": "value_bet",
"edge": 0.0897,
"ev": 0.1784,
"implied_prob": 0.3653,
"model_prob": 0.455,
"side": "no",
"value_side": "no"
},
"ou_2_5": {
"decision": "value_bet",
"edge": 0.1375,
"ev": 0.3209,
"implied_prob": 0.3805,
"model_prob": 0.518,
"side": "under",
"value_side": "under"
}
},
"match_id": 1541506,
"match_regime": {
"action": "bet",
"actionable": true,
"clear_edge": true,
"code": "clear_edge",
"execution_line_key": null,
"insight_line_key": null,
"max_valid_ev": 0.3209,
"min_ev": 0.02,
"stake_mult": 1.0,
"use_split_strip": false
},
"match_tier": "value_game",
"no_clear_primary": false,
"probabilities": {
"away": 0.3757,
"draw": 0.2956,
"home": 0.3287
},
"reason_codes": [
"no_ev_1x2"
],
"secondary_pick": {
"decision": "value_bet",
"ev": 0.1784,
"implied_prob": 0.3653,
"market": "btts",
"model_prob": 0.455,
"not_dominant": true,
"risk_band": "medium",
"risk_tier": "secondary",
"side": "no",
"slot": "secondary"
},
"secondary_picks": [
{
"decision": "value_bet",
"ev": 0.1784,
"implied_prob": 0.3653,
"market": "btts",
"model_prob": 0.455,
"not_dominant": true,
"risk_band": "medium",
"risk_tier": "secondary",
"side": "no",
"slot": "secondary"
}
],
"suppressed_primary": null,
"teams": {
"away": "HJS Akatemia",
"home": "GrIFK"
},
"top_pick": {
"composite_score": 0.116358,
"decision": "value_bet",
"ev": 0.3209,
"implied_prob": 0.3805,
"market": "ou_2_5",
"model_prob": 0.518,
"not_dominant": false,
"primary_strength": "clear",
"risk_band": "strong",
"risk_tier": "primary",
"side": "under",
"slot": "primary",
"speculative_primary": false
},
"valid_markets_count": 2
}
},
"fixture_id": 1541506,
"generated_at_utc": "2026-06-12T15:29:24.642925+00:00",
"lang_id": "en"
}
Khám phá thêm nội dung dự đoán
Nhận dự đoán cao cấp cho GrIFK & HJS Akatemia!
Mở khóa phân tích chuyên sâu, mẹo cá cược độc quyền và dự đoán trận đấu với dịch vụ đăng ký cao cấp của chúng tôi.
Đăng ký ngay
Kakkonen - Lohko B — Bảng xếp hạng
| # | Đội | Tr | T | H | B | Đ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Honka | 18 | 13 | 4 | 1 | 43 |
| 2 | ÅIFK | 18 | 12 | 3 | 3 | 39 |
| 3 | EPS | 18 | 10 | 2 | 6 | 32 |
| 4 | HJS Akatemia | 18 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 31 |
| 5 | Ilves II | 18 | 8 | 6 | 4 | 30 |
| 6 | P-Iirot | 18 | 8 | 3 | 7 | 27 |
| 7 | GrIFK | 18 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 24 |
| 8 | EBK | 18 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 15 |
| 9 | Musa | 18 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 12 |
| 10 | NJS | 18 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 1 |
| # | Đội | Tr | BT | BB | +/- | Đ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Honka | 18 | 56 | 17 | +39 | 43 |
| 2 | Ilves II | 18 | 51 | 30 | +21 | 30 |
| 3 | EPS | 18 | 39 | 26 | +13 | 32 |
| 4 | ÅIFK | 18 | 38 | 18 | +20 | 39 |
| 5 | HJS Akatemia | 18 | 30 | 24 | +6 | 31 |
| 6 | P-Iirot | 18 | 30 | 25 | +5 | 27 |
| 7 | EBK | 18 | 27 | 43 | -16 | 15 |
| 8 | GrIFK | 18 | 23 | 31 | -8 | 24 |
| 9 | Musa | 18 | 19 | 55 | -36 | 12 |
| 10 | NJS | 18 | 10 | 54 | -44 | 1 |
