Thống kê / Bóng đá / Brazil. Serie D / Piauí vs Tirol/CEFAT

Piauí vs Tirol/CEFAT Statistics & Analysis

Jun 13, 2026 - 19:00
2 1.32
1 1.28
xG Accuracy: 77%
Nhà cái cao cấp 1xBet: người mới có thể dùng mã khuyến mãi 1x_3342271. Đăng ký ngay

Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the model’s highlighted side (or lean) to what happened at full time.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Trên / Dưới 2.5 Trên 2.5 Trên 2.5 (3 goals) ✔ Correct
  • Cả Hai Đội Đều Ghi Bàn BTTS Có ✔ Correct
  • 1X2 Piauí Piauí ✔ Correct
  • Thông tin tỷ số chính xác 1-1, 1-0, 0-1, 2-1, 1-2 2-1 ✔ Correct

Chưa có briefing AI cho trận này. Sau khi nâng cấp máy chủ, chạy lại «Tạo tỷ lệ hàng loạt» để tạo bản tóm tắt.

View technical JSON
{
  "bundle_version": 1,
  "content_hash": "c3f49b2209604154b15959b2a448f1368dad6cc4fd8eadb4335aa0fdc1ee0048",
  "decision_algo_version": "2.2.0",
  "facts": {
    "ai_fp": {
      "afp_away_win_prob": 0.3104,
      "afp_draw_prob": 0.3023,
      "afp_home_win_prob": 0.3874,
      "away_predicted_xg": 1.28,
      "away_win_prob": 0.3104,
      "away_win_prob_posterior": 0.3104,
      "bayes_applied": 1,
      "btts_no_prob": 0.455,
      "btts_yes_prob": 0.545,
      "dc_rho": -0.13,
      "draw_prob": 0.3023,
      "draw_prob_posterior": 0.3023,
      "fair_odds_away": 3.22,
      "fair_odds_away_posterior": 3.22,
      "fair_odds_draw": 3.31,
      "fair_odds_draw_posterior": 3.31,
      "fair_odds_home": 2.58,
      "fair_odds_home_posterior": 2.58,
      "home_predicted_xg": 1.32,
      "home_win_prob": 0.3874,
      "home_win_prob_posterior": 0.3874,
      "over_25_prob": 0.482,
      "prediction_confidence": "very_low",
      "under_25_prob": 0.518
    },
    "api_prediction": {
      "advice": "Double chance : Piau\u00ed or draw",
      "main_pick_display": "No Strong Winner Bet",
      "percent_away": "10%",
      "percent_draw": "45%",
      "percent_home": "45%",
      "winner_name": "Piau\u00ed"
    },
    "away_xg": 1.28,
    "betting_insight": {
      "bet_label": "Piau\u00ed",
      "confidence": null,
      "main_pick_meta": {
        "confidence": "low",
        "display_text": "No Strong Winner Bet",
        "edge": -0.0688,
        "edge_gap": 0.077,
        "market": "1X2",
        "market_prob": 0.4563,
        "model_prob": 0.3875,
        "pick_type": "no_strong",
        "probabilities": {
          "away": 31.0,
          "draw": 30.2,
          "home": 38.7
        },
        "reason": "No clear edge in 1X2 market",
        "selection": null,
        "selection_name": null
      },
      "market_comparison": [
        {
          "affi_link": "",
          "bookmaker_name": "Pinnacle",
          "odd": 1.98
        }
      ],
      "risk_color": null,
      "risk_key": null,
      "stacked_market": null,
      "value_bet": {
        "best_odds": 1.98,
        "bookmaker_id": 0,
        "bookmaker_name": "Pinnacle",
        "display_market": "Piau\u00ed Win",
        "is_value": false,
        "label": "Home",
        "market_fair_odds": 2.19,
        "market_odds": 1.98,
        "model_odds": 2.58,
        "overround": 10.7,
        "prob_edge": -11.7,
        "value_pct": -23.3,
        "value_rating": "no_value"
      }
    },
    "betting_markets": {
      "btts": {
        "away_clean_sheet": 5,
        "away_failed_to_score": 3,
        "away_played": 9,
        "away_score_rate": 72.2,
        "home_clean_sheet": 2,
        "home_failed_to_score": 1,
        "home_played": 9,
        "home_score_rate": 73.3,
        "no_prob": 45.5,
        "pick": "Yes",
        "pick_prob": 54.5,
        "source": "xG_dc",
        "strong_pick": true,
        "yes_prob": 54.5
      },
      "correct_score": {
        "away_expected": 1.28,
        "home_expected": 1.32,
        "scores": [
          {
            "away": 1,
            "home": 1,
            "label": "1-1",
            "prob": 12.5
          },
          {
            "away": 0,
            "home": 1,
            "label": "1-0",
            "prob": 9.8
          },
          {
            "away": 1,
            "home": 0,
            "label": "0-1",
            "prob": 9.5
          },
          {
            "away": 1,
            "home": 2,
            "label": "2-1",
            "prob": 8.3
          },
          {
            "away": 2,
            "home": 1,
            "label": "1-2",
            "prob": 8.0
          }
        ],
        "source": "xG"
      },
      "double_chance": {
        "options": [
          {
            "key": "1X",
            "label": "Piau\u00ed or Draw",
            "prob": 68.9
          },
          {
            "key": "12",
            "label": "Piau\u00ed or Tirol/CEFAT",
            "prob": 69.7
          },
          {
            "key": "X2",
            "label": "Draw or Tirol/CEFAT",
            "prob": 61.2
          }
        ],
        "pick_key": "12",
        "pick_label": "Piau\u00ed or Tirol/CEFAT",
        "pick_prob": 69.7
      },
      "match_winner": {
        "away_pct": 31.0,
        "draw_pct": 30.2,
        "home_pct": 38.7,
        "lean_key": "home",
        "lean_label": "Piau\u00ed"
      },
      "over_under": {
        "api_hint": null,
        "avg_total": 2.6,
        "away_avg_scored": 1.0,
        "confidence": "low",
        "home_avg_scored": 1.3,
        "over_prob": 48.2,
        "pick": "Over 2.5",
        "pick_prob": 51.8,
        "source": "xG_dc",
        "strong_pick": true,
        "total_expected": 2.6,
        "under_prob": 51.8
      },
      "prob_source": "poisson",
      "value_bet_enhanced": {
        "bookmaker_id": 0,
        "bookmaker_name": "Pinnacle",
        "edge": 20.6,
        "implied_prob": 25.7,
        "is_value": true,
        "label": "Away",
        "market": "Tirol/CEFAT Win",
        "model_prob": 31.0,
        "odds": 3.89
      }
    },
    "closing_line_bundle": {
      "away_team": "Tirol/CEFAT",
      "closing_bookmaker": "Pinnacle",
      "closing_capture": "PRE1",
      "early_bookmaker": "Pinnacle",
      "early_capture": "PRE30",
      "has_data": true,
      "home_team": "Piau\u00ed",
      "largest_move_kind": null,
      "max_abs_move_pp": 0.0,
      "model_vs_closing": [
        {
          "closing_implied_pct": 45.63,
          "gap_pp": -6.88,
          "kind": "1x2_h",
          "model_pct": 38.75
        },
        {
          "closing_implied_pct": 31.15,
          "gap_pp": -0.95,
          "kind": "1x2_d",
          "model_pct": 30.2
        },
        {
          "closing_implied_pct": 23.22,
          "gap_pp": 7.82,
          "kind": "1x2_a",
          "model_pct": 31.05
        },
        {
          "closing_implied_pct": 38.72,
          "gap_pp": 9.48,
          "kind": "ou_o",
          "model_pct": 48.2
        },
        {
          "closing_implied_pct": 61.28,
          "gap_pp": -9.48,
          "kind": "ou_u",
          "model_pct": 51.8
        }
      ],
      "movement": [
        {
          "closing": 1.98,
          "early": 1.98,
          "implied_closing_pct": 45.63,
          "implied_delta_pp": 0.0,
          "implied_early_pct": 45.63,
          "kind": "1x2_h"
        },
        {
          "closing": 2.9,
          "early": 2.9,
          "implied_closing_pct": 31.15,
          "implied_delta_pp": 0.0,
          "implied_early_pct": 31.15,
          "kind": "1x2_d"
        },
        {
          "closing": 3.89,
          "early": 3.89,
          "implied_closing_pct": 23.22,
          "implied_delta_pp": 0.0,
          "implied_early_pct": 23.22,
          "kind": "1x2_a"
        },
        {
          "closing": 2.39,
          "early": 2.39,
          "implied_closing_pct": 38.72,
          "implied_delta_pp": 0.0,
          "implied_early_pct": 38.72,
          "kind": "ou_o"
        },
        {
          "closing": 1.51,
          "early": 1.51,
          "implied_closing_pct": 61.28,
          "implied_delta_pp": 0.0,
          "implied_early_pct": 61.28,
          "kind": "ou_u"
        }
      ],
      "movement_negligible": true,
      "same_bookmaker": true,
      "top_value_gap": {
        "gap_pp": 9.5,
        "kind": "ou_o"
      }
    },
    "correct_score_insight": {
      "best_value": null,
      "most_likely": {
        "label": "1-1",
        "prob": 12.5
      }
    },
    "home_xg": 1.32,
    "homepage_pick": null,
    "market_cards": [
      {
        "decision": "value_bet",
        "ev_available": true,
        "ev_no": -0.2265,
        "ev_no_display": {
          "capped": false,
          "raw_pct": -22.7,
          "text": "-22.7%"
        },
        "ev_yes": 0.1445,
        "ev_yes_display": {
          "capped": false,
          "raw_pct": 14.4,
          "text": "+14.4%"
        },
        "featured": true,
        "id": "btts",
        "max_ev": 0.1445,
        "no_prob": 45.5,
        "sort_key": 10280.05,
        "tier": "best",
        "value_side": "yes",
        "yes_prob": 54.5
      },
      {
        "decision": "value_bet",
        "ev_available": true,
        "ev_over": 0.1761,
        "ev_over_display": {
          "capped": false,
          "raw_pct": 17.6,
          "text": "+17.6%"
        },
        "ev_under": -0.2075,
        "ev_under_display": {
          "capped": false,
          "raw_pct": -20.8,
          "text": "-20.8%"
        },
        "featured": false,
        "id": "ou_2_5",
        "max_ev": 0.1761,
        "over_prob": 48.2,
        "sort_key": 10158.49,
        "tier": "best",
        "under_prob": 51.8,
        "value_side": "over"
      },
      {
        "decision": "no_bet",
        "ev": -0.1699,
        "ev_available": true,
        "ev_display": {
          "capped": false,
          "raw_pct": -17.0,
          "text": "-17.0%"
        },
        "featured": false,
        "id": "1x2",
        "implied_prob": 0.4563,
        "max_ev": -0.016,
        "max_ev_display": {
          "capped": false,
          "raw_pct": -1.6,
          "text": "-1.6%"
        },
        "model_prob": 0.3875,
        "side_label": "Piau\u00ed",
        "sort_key": 1796.0,
        "tier": "bad_ev"
      },
      {
        "featured": false,
        "id": "correct_score",
        "sort_key": 817.5,
        "tier": "risk",
        "top_label": "1-1",
        "top_prob": 12.5
      }
    ],
    "market_intelligence": {
      "betting_signal": {
        "alert_breadth": "",
        "alert_breadth_note": "",
        "alert_move": "",
        "alert_team": "",
        "alert_title": "Sharp Money Alert",
        "divergence_pp": 7.8,
        "has_alert": false,
        "hero_edge_pp": 7.82,
        "hero_label": "Tirol/CEFAT",
        "market_prob_pct": 45.6,
        "market_team": "Piau\u00ed",
        "model_prob_pct": 38.7,
        "model_team": "Piau\u00ed",
        "show": true,
        "status_icon": "\u2713",
        "status_key": "aligned",
        "status_label": "Reliable forecast",
        "status_line": "Model and market broadly aligned",
        "steam_score": null,
        "steam_subtitle": "",
        "steam_tier": "",
        "title": "Betting Signal"
      },
      "edge_rows": [
        {
          "edge_pp": -6.89,
          "fair_prob": 38.74,
          "label": "Piau\u00ed",
          "market_prob": 45.63,
          "market_type": "1x2",
          "outcome": "home"
        },
        {
          "edge_pp": -0.92,
          "fair_prob": 30.23,
          "label": "Draw",
          "market_prob": 31.15,
          "market_type": "1x2",
          "outcome": "draw"
        },
        {
          "edge_pp": 7.82,
          "fair_prob": 31.04,
          "label": "Tirol/CEFAT",
          "market_prob": 23.22,
          "market_type": "1x2",
          "outcome": "away"
        },
        {
          "edge_pp": 9.19,
          "fair_prob": 48.2,
          "label": "Over 2.5",
          "market_prob": 39.01,
          "market_type": "ou25",
          "outcome": "over"
        },
        {
          "edge_pp": -9.19,
          "fair_prob": 51.8,
          "label": "Under 2.5",
          "market_prob": 60.99,
          "market_type": "ou25",
          "outcome": "under"
        },
        {
          "edge_pp": 8.96,
          "fair_prob": 54.5,
          "label": "BTTS Yes",
          "market_prob": 45.54,
          "market_type": "btts",
          "outcome": "yes"
        },
        {
          "edge_pp": -8.96,
          "fair_prob": 45.5,
          "label": "BTTS No",
          "market_prob": 54.46,
          "market_type": "btts",
          "outcome": "no"
        }
      ],
      "edge_snapshot": {
        "edge_label": "mild_disagreement",
        "edge_pp": 7.82,
        "fair_prob_pct": 31.04,
        "hero_side": "away",
        "hero_team_name": "Tirol/CEFAT",
        "market_prob_pct": 23.22,
        "status": "strong_disagreement",
        "steam_team_name": "Piau\u00ed"
      },
      "fair_source": "poisson_pipeline",
      "fair_vs_market": {
        "comparison_available": true,
        "comparison_disabled": false,
        "degraded_note": "",
        "divergence_guard": {
          "divergence_level": "moderate",
          "edge_status": "strong_disagreement",
          "max_gap_pp": 7.82,
          "suppress_hero": false,
          "suppress_value_language": false
        },
        "divergence_label": "Moderate model-market divergence",
        "divergence_level": "moderate",
        "divergence_level_label": "Moderate divergence",
        "divergence_note": "Fair estimate and market pricing differ modestly. Monitor before kickoff.",
        "divergence_tier": "moderate",
        "edge_label": "Mild disagreement",
        "edge_label_key": "mild_disagreement",
        "fair_confidence": "medium",
        "fair_confidence_label": "Medium",
        "fair_source_note": "Fair probability from Poisson/xG statistical model. Not bookmaker odds. Not betting advice.",
        "forecast_assessment": {
          "favourite_class": "Balanced match",
          "favourite_label": "Piau\u00ed",
          "forecast_certainty_tier": "low",
          "headline": "Balanced match",
          "market_agreement_label": "Moderate",
          "market_prob_pct": 45.6,
          "model_prob_pct": 38.7,
          "outcome_separation_tier": "medium",
          "paragraphs": [],
          "reliability_headline": "Reliable forecast",
          "reliability_icon": "\u2713",
          "reliability_tier": "reliable",
          "summary": "Both lean Piau\u00ed, but the market prices them higher (45.6% vs model 38.7%). The edge remains modest and the match stays relatively open.",
          "tier": "balanced",
          "title": "Forecast Assessment",
          "validation_label": "Pass"
        },
        "forecast_certainty": {
          "note": "Three outcomes remain closely bunched \u2014 treat as a relatively open match.",
          "tier": "low",
          "tier_label": "Low"
        },
        "forecast_certainty_label": "Low",
        "has_market_probs": true,
        "hero_edge_pp": 7.82,
        "hero_label": "Tirol/CEFAT",
        "hero_side": "away",
        "market_activity": "No meaningful directional movement yet.",
        "market_agreement": "moderate",
        "market_agreement_label": "Moderate",
        "market_interpretation": {
          "bullets": [
            "Monitor line movement before kickoff \u2014 not a betting recommendation."
          ],
          "follow_up": "",
          "gap_tier": "mild",
          "lead": "The fair estimate shows a modest edge over current market pricing on Tirol/CEFAT.",
          "note": "The fair estimate shows a modest edge over current market pricing on Tirol/CEFAT.",
          "paragraphs": [
            "The fair estimate shows a modest edge over current market pricing on Tirol/CEFAT."
          ],
          "quiet_market": true,
          "title": "Market Assessment"
        },
        "market_narrative": {
          "paragraphs": [
            "The fair estimate still sits above current market pricing on Tirol/CEFAT.",
            "No meaningful directional movement has emerged, and pricing remains stable across tracked sportsbooks."
          ],
          "title": "Current Market Narrative"
        },
        "max_gap_pp": 7.82,
        "model_validation": {
          "score_label_key": "mi_mv_pass",
          "status": "pass"
        },
        "model_validation_label": "Pass",
        "outcome_separation": {
          "breakdown": [
            "No outcome exceeds 50% on the 1X2 grid.",
            "Favourite exceeds second outcome by 7.7 pp (at 38.7%)."
          ],
          "lead_gap_pp": 7.7,
          "max_prob_pct": 38.7,
          "note": "How spread out the model 1X2 probabilities are \u2014 crowded splits mean no single outcome dominates. Not accuracy vs the market.",
          "tier": "medium",
          "tier_label": "Medium"
        },
        "outcome_separation_label": "Medium",
        "rows": [
          {
            "edge_pp": -6.89,
            "fair_prob_pct": 38.74,
            "is_hero": false,
            "label": "Piau\u00ed",
            "market_prob_pct": 45.63,
            "side": "home"
          },
          {
            "edge_pp": -0.92,
            "fair_prob_pct": 30.23,
            "is_hero": false,
            "label": "Draw",
            "market_prob_pct": 31.15,
            "side": "draw"
          },
          {
            "edge_pp": 7.82,
            "fair_prob_pct": 31.04,
            "is_hero": true,
            "label": "Tirol/CEFAT",
            "market_prob_pct": 23.22,
            "side": "away"
          }
        ],
        "status": "strong_disagreement",
        "status_label": "Strong Disagreement",
        "steam_note": "The fair estimate shows a modest edge over current market pricing on Tirol/CEFAT.",
        "unavailable_note": ""
      },
      "interpretation": {
        "has_conflict": false,
        "paragraphs": [
          "The betting market strongly prefers Piau\u00ed (45.6%).",
          "Both lean Piau\u00ed, but the market prices them higher (45.6% vs model 38.7%). The edge remains modest and the match stays relatively open."
        ],
        "show": true,
        "title": "OddsGPT Interpretation"
      },
      "lifecycle": {
        "closing_implied_pct": 25.71,
        "closing_odds": 3.89,
        "clv_pending": true,
        "clv_pp": 0.0,
        "clv_status": "pending",
        "context": "match",
        "current_stage": "waiting_for_kickoff",
        "current_stage_detail": "",
        "current_stage_label": "Waiting for kickoff",
        "entry_implied_pct": 25.71,
        "entry_odds": 3.89,
        "model_validation_label": "Pass",
        "model_validation_status": "pass",
        "stages": [
          {
            "detail": "",
            "id": "forecast_generated",
            "label": "Forecast Generated",
            "status": "done"
          },
          {
            "detail": "",
            "id": "market_detected",
            "label": "Market Compared",
            "status": "active"
          },
          {
            "detail": "",
            "id": "model_validated",
            "label": "Validation Passed",
            "status": "done"
          },
          {
            "detail": "PRE1",
            "id": "closing_recorded",
            "label": "Closing Recorded",
            "status": "done"
          },
          {
            "detail": "",
            "id": "clv_evaluated",
            "label": "CLV Evaluated",
            "status": "pending"
          }
        ]
      },
      "market_move_intelligence": {
        "show": false
      },
      "market_overview": {
        "breadth_display": "4/12",
        "current_odds": 2.1,
        "move_display": "+0.0%",
        "open_odds": 2.1,
        "pick_team": "Piau\u00ed",
        "steam_score": 8,
        "steam_team_name": "Piau\u00ed",
        "steam_tier": "C"
      },
      "premium_teaser": {
        "current_divergence_pp": 7.8,
        "divergence_label": "Current divergence",
        "title": "Premium Market Intelligence",
        "unlock_items": [
          "Historical similar matches",
          "Closing odds analysis",
          "CLV tracking",
          "Sharp money signals",
          "Market efficiency rating",
          "Historical model vs market results"
        ],
        "unlock_label": "Unlock"
      },
      "show": true
    },
    "match": {
      "away_expected_goals": null,
      "away_team_id": 18799,
      "away_team_logo": "/static/teams/18799.webp",
      "away_team_name": "Tirol/CEFAT",
      "country_code": "BR",
      "country_flag": "/static/images/country/br.svg",
      "country_name": "Brazil",
      "fixture_id": 1538060,
      "goals_away": 0,
      "goals_home": 0,
      "home_expected_goals": null,
      "home_team_country": "Brazil",
      "home_team_id": 13094,
      "home_team_logo": "/static/teams/13094.webp",
      "home_team_name": "Piau\u00ed",
      "league_country": "Brazil",
      "league_id": 76,
      "league_logo": "/static/leagues/76.webp",
      "league_name": "Serie D",
      "league_season": 2026,
      "match_date": "2026-06-13 19:00:00",
      "score_fulltime_away": null,
      "score_fulltime_home": null,
      "status_long": "Second Half",
      "status_short": "2H",
      "venue_city": null,
      "venue_name": null
    },
    "match_decision": {
      "confidence": {
        "breakdown": [
          "pred_conf_md_max_1x2_under_50",
          "pred_conf_md_line_above_ev",
          "pred_conf_md_draw_above_30"
        ],
        "breakdown_resolved": [
          "Max 1X2 prob under 50% (open contest) (\u22121.0)",
          "At least one tracked line above +EV threshold (+0.5)",
          "Draw probability above 30% (\u22120.5)"
        ],
        "score": 6.0
      },
      "markets": {
        "1x2": {
          "1x2_ev_mode": "market_first_p15",
          "away": {
            "alpha": 0.2648,
            "best_odd": 3.89,
            "calibration": {
              "active": false,
              "hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
            },
            "edge": 0.0207,
            "ev": -0.016,
            "implied_prob": 0.2322,
            "model_prob": 0.3105,
            "p_final": 0.253
          },
          "draw": {
            "alpha": 0.4436,
            "best_odd": 2.9,
            "calibration": {
              "active": false,
              "hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
            },
            "edge": -0.0042,
            "ev": -0.1088,
            "implied_prob": 0.3115,
            "model_prob": 0.302,
            "p_final": 0.3073
          },
          "ev_available": true,
          "home": {
            "alpha": 0.5381,
            "best_odd": 1.98,
            "calibration": {
              "active": false,
              "hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
            },
            "edge": -0.037,
            "ev": -0.1699,
            "implied_prob": 0.4563,
            "model_prob": 0.3875,
            "p_final": 0.4193
          }
        },
        "btts": {
          "best_no_odd": 1.7,
          "best_yes_odd": 2.1,
          "edge_no": -0.0896,
          "edge_yes": 0.0896,
          "ev_available": true,
          "ev_no": -0.2265,
          "ev_yes": 0.1445,
          "implied_no": 0.5446,
          "implied_yes": 0.4554,
          "n_bookmakers": 8,
          "reliability": "medium"
        },
        "ou25": {
          "best_over_odd": 2.44,
          "best_under_odd": 1.53,
          "edge_over": 0.0919,
          "edge_under": -0.0919,
          "ev_available": true,
          "ev_over": 0.1761,
          "ev_under": -0.2075,
          "implied_over": 0.3901,
          "implied_under": 0.6099,
          "n_bookmakers": 9,
          "reliability": "medium"
        }
      },
      "match_tier": "value_game",
      "min_ev": 0.02,
      "total_xg": 2.6,
      "variance_flag": false
    },
    "unified_decision": {
      "actionable_ev_threshold": 0.02,
      "algorithm": {
        "enabled_since": "2026-05-26",
        "game_typing_module": true,
        "version": "2.2.0"
      },
      "balanced_alternative": null,
      "best_tracked_ev": 0.1761,
      "confidence": 6.0,
      "decision_confidence_v1": {
        "breakdown": [
          "pred_conf_v1_primary_line",
          "pred_conf_v1_primary_ev_above_10",
          "pred_conf_v1_max_1x2_under_50",
          "pred_conf_v1_draw_above_30",
          "pred_conf_v1_multi_ev_lines"
        ],
        "breakdown_resolved": [
          "Primary line identified (+1.0)",
          "Primary EV above 10% (+1.0)",
          "Max 1X2 prob under 50% (no dominant 1X2) (\u22121.0)",
          "Draw probability above 30% (\u22120.5)",
          "Two or more valid +EV lines at threshold (+0.5)"
        ],
        "score": 6.0
      },
      "execution": {
        "1x2_dominant": false,
        "1x2_open_contest": true,
        "grade": "A",
        "stake_factor": 1.0
      },
      "favourite_misaligned_1x2": {
        "active": false,
        "gap": null,
        "side": null
      },
      "game_type": {
        "label_zh": "\u5747\u8861\uff08\u5f00\u653e\u8d5b\u679c\uff09",
        "scoring_type": "balanced",
        "signals": {
          "btts_yes_prob": 0.545,
          "draw_prob": 0.302,
          "max_1x2_prob": 0.3875,
          "over_prob": 0.482,
          "total_xg": 2.6,
          "under_prob": 0.518,
          "xg_diff": 0.04
        },
        "type": "balanced",
        "typing_weights_enabled": true
      },
      "hero_display_pick": null,
      "longshot_picks": [],
      "markets": {
        "1x2": {
          "decision": "no_bet",
          "edge": -0.037,
          "ev": -0.1699,
          "implied_prob": 0.4563,
          "max_ev_side": "away",
          "model_prob": 0.3875,
          "side": "home",
          "side_label": "Piau\u00ed"
        },
        "btts": {
          "decision": "value_bet",
          "edge": 0.0896,
          "ev": 0.1445,
          "implied_prob": 0.4554,
          "model_prob": 0.545,
          "side": "yes",
          "value_side": "yes"
        },
        "ou_2_5": {
          "decision": "value_bet",
          "edge": 0.0919,
          "ev": 0.1761,
          "implied_prob": 0.3901,
          "model_prob": 0.482,
          "side": "over",
          "value_side": "over"
        }
      },
      "match_id": 1538060,
      "match_regime": {
        "action": "bet",
        "actionable": true,
        "clear_edge": true,
        "code": "clear_edge",
        "execution_line_key": null,
        "insight_line_key": null,
        "max_valid_ev": 0.1761,
        "min_ev": 0.02,
        "stake_mult": 1.0,
        "use_split_strip": false
      },
      "match_tier": "value_game",
      "no_clear_primary": false,
      "probabilities": {
        "away": 0.3105,
        "draw": 0.302,
        "home": 0.3875
      },
      "reason_codes": [
        "no_ev_1x2"
      ],
      "secondary_pick": {
        "decision": "value_bet",
        "ev": 0.1761,
        "implied_prob": 0.3901,
        "market": "ou_2_5",
        "model_prob": 0.482,
        "not_dominant": true,
        "risk_band": "medium",
        "risk_tier": "secondary",
        "side": "over",
        "slot": "secondary"
      },
      "secondary_picks": [
        {
          "decision": "value_bet",
          "ev": 0.1761,
          "implied_prob": 0.3901,
          "market": "ou_2_5",
          "model_prob": 0.482,
          "not_dominant": true,
          "risk_band": "medium",
          "risk_tier": "secondary",
          "side": "over",
          "slot": "secondary"
        }
      ],
      "suppressed_primary": null,
      "teams": {
        "away": "Tirol/CEFAT",
        "home": "Piau\u00ed"
      },
      "top_pick": {
        "composite_score": 0.078753,
        "decision": "value_bet",
        "ev": 0.1445,
        "implied_prob": 0.4554,
        "market": "btts",
        "model_prob": 0.545,
        "not_dominant": false,
        "primary_strength": "clear",
        "risk_band": "strong",
        "risk_tier": "primary",
        "side": "yes",
        "slot": "primary",
        "speculative_primary": false
      },
      "valid_markets_count": 2
    }
  },
  "fixture_id": 1538060,
  "generated_at_utc": "2026-06-13T20:56:30.081786+00:00",
  "lang_id": "en"
}
Cách sử dụng cái này
  • Hãy tập trung vào dòng Chính khi bạn muốn có một ý tưởng có thể thực hiện được.
  • Đừng ghép nhiều quân mỏng với nhau;các cạnh không thêm đáng tin cậy.
  • Chỉ coi những cú đánh dài là những lượt chơi tùy chọn, có mức đặt cược cao.

Nhận dự đoán cao cấp cho Piauí & Tirol/CEFAT!

Mở khóa phân tích chuyên sâu, mẹo cá cược độc quyền và dự đoán trận đấu với dịch vụ đăng ký cao cấp của chúng tôi.

Đăng ký ngay
Quay lại Thống kê