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Thị trường được theo dõi so với kết quả toàn thời gian
Mỗi hàng so sánh mô hình trước trận đấu với kết quả toàn thời gian.
- Chợ Dự đoán Kết quả kết quả
- Tài / Xỉu 2.5 Tài 2.5 Tài 2.5 (3 mục tiêu) ✔ Chính xác
- Cả Hai Đội Đều Ghi Bàn BTTS Có Có ✔ Chính xác
- 1X2 Ipatinga Ipatinga ✔ Chính xác
- Thông tin tỷ số chính xác 1-1, 0-1, 1-0, 1-2, 2-1 2-1 ✔ Chính xác
Validation Report
Immutable Snapshot
Closing Odds
1.65
AI Fair Odds
—
CLV
+0.0%
Final Result
Ipatinga win · Ipatinga 2–1 Operário Ferroviário
Prediction
✔ Correct
Decision Grade
A
Model Performance
This prediction contributes to:
- Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%
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View technical JSON
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"decision_algo_version": "2.2.0",
"facts": {
"ai_fp": {
"afp_away_win_prob": 0.3023,
"afp_draw_prob": 0.2971,
"afp_home_win_prob": 0.4006,
"away_predicted_xg": 1.32,
"away_win_prob": 0.3023,
"away_win_prob_posterior": 0.3023,
"bayes_applied": 1,
"btts_no_prob": 0.455,
"btts_yes_prob": 0.545,
"dc_rho": -0.13,
"draw_prob": 0.2971,
"draw_prob_posterior": 0.2971,
"fair_odds_away": 3.31,
"fair_odds_away_posterior": 3.31,
"fair_odds_draw": 3.37,
"fair_odds_draw_posterior": 3.37,
"fair_odds_home": 2.5,
"fair_odds_home_posterior": 2.5,
"home_predicted_xg": 1.28,
"home_win_prob": 0.4006,
"home_win_prob_posterior": 0.4006,
"over_25_prob": 0.482,
"prediction_confidence": "very_low",
"under_25_prob": 0.518
},
"api_prediction": {
"advice": "Combo Double chance : Ipatinga or draw and -3.5 goals",
"main_pick_display": "No Strong Winner Bet",
"percent_away": "10%",
"percent_draw": "45%",
"percent_home": "45%",
"winner_name": "Ipatinga"
},
"away_xg": 1.32,
"betting_insight": {
"bet_label": "Ipatinga",
"confidence": null,
"main_pick_meta": {
"confidence": "low",
"display_text": "No Strong Winner Bet",
"edge": -0.1389,
"edge_gap": 0.098,
"market": "1X2",
"market_prob": 0.5394,
"model_prob": 0.4005,
"pick_type": "no_strong",
"probabilities": {
"away": 30.2,
"draw": 29.7,
"home": 40.0
},
"reason": "No clear edge in 1X2 market",
"selection": null,
"selection_name": null
},
"market_comparison": [
{
"affi_link": "",
"bookmaker_name": "Pinnacle",
"odd": 1.65
}
],
"risk_color": null,
"risk_key": null,
"stacked_market": null,
"value_bet": {
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"bookmaker_id": 0,
"bookmaker_name": "Pinnacle",
"display_market": "Ipatinga Win",
"is_value": false,
"label": "Home",
"market_fair_odds": 1.85,
"market_odds": 1.65,
"model_odds": 2.5,
"overround": 12.4,
"prob_edge": -20.6,
"value_pct": -34.0,
"value_rating": "no_value"
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},
"betting_markets": {
"btts": {
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"away_failed_to_score": 3,
"away_played": 9,
"away_score_rate": 73.3,
"home_clean_sheet": 3,
"home_failed_to_score": 3,
"home_played": 9,
"home_score_rate": 72.2,
"no_prob": 45.5,
"pick": "Yes",
"pick_prob": 54.5,
"source": "xG_dc",
"strong_pick": true,
"yes_prob": 54.5
},
"correct_score": {
"away_expected": 1.32,
"home_expected": 1.28,
"scores": [
{
"away": 1,
"home": 1,
"label": "1-1",
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{
"away": 1,
"home": 0,
"label": "0-1",
"prob": 9.8
},
{
"away": 0,
"home": 1,
"label": "1-0",
"prob": 9.5
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{
"away": 2,
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"prob": 8.3
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{
"away": 1,
"home": 2,
"label": "2-1",
"prob": 8.0
}
],
"source": "xG"
},
"double_chance": {
"options": [
{
"key": "1X",
"label": "Ipatinga or Draw",
"prob": 69.8
},
{
"key": "12",
"label": "Ipatinga or Oper\u00e1rio Ferrovi\u00e1rio",
"prob": 70.3
},
{
"key": "X2",
"label": "Draw or Oper\u00e1rio Ferrovi\u00e1rio",
"prob": 59.9
}
],
"pick_key": "12",
"pick_label": "Ipatinga or Oper\u00e1rio Ferrovi\u00e1rio",
"pick_prob": 70.3
},
"match_winner": {
"away_pct": 30.2,
"draw_pct": 29.7,
"home_pct": 40.1,
"lean_key": "home",
"lean_label": "Ipatinga"
},
"over_under": {
"api_hint": "-3.5",
"avg_total": 2.6,
"away_avg_scored": 0.9,
"confidence": "low",
"home_avg_scored": 1.1,
"over_prob": 48.2,
"pick": "Over 2.5",
"pick_prob": 51.8,
"source": "xG_dc",
"strong_pick": true,
"total_expected": 2.6,
"under_prob": 51.8
},
"prob_source": "poisson",
"value_bet_enhanced": {
"bookmaker_id": 0,
"bookmaker_name": "Pinnacle",
"edge": 48.0,
"implied_prob": 20.4,
"is_value": true,
"label": "Away",
"market": "Oper\u00e1rio Ferrovi\u00e1rio Win",
"model_prob": 30.2,
"odds": 4.9
}
},
"closing_line_bundle": {
"away_team": "Oper\u00e1rio Ferrovi\u00e1rio",
"closing_bookmaker": "Pinnacle",
"closing_capture": "PRE1",
"early_bookmaker": "Pinnacle",
"early_capture": "PRE30",
"has_data": true,
"home_team": "Ipatinga",
"largest_move_kind": null,
"max_abs_move_pp": 0.0,
"model_vs_closing": [
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"closing_implied_pct": 53.94,
"gap_pp": -13.89,
"kind": "1x2_h",
"model_pct": 40.05
},
{
"closing_implied_pct": 27.9,
"gap_pp": 1.81,
"kind": "1x2_d",
"model_pct": 29.71
},
{
"closing_implied_pct": 18.16,
"gap_pp": 12.08,
"kind": "1x2_a",
"model_pct": 30.25
},
{
"closing_implied_pct": 41.84,
"gap_pp": 6.36,
"kind": "ou_o",
"model_pct": 48.2
},
{
"closing_implied_pct": 58.16,
"gap_pp": -6.36,
"kind": "ou_u",
"model_pct": 51.8
}
],
"movement": [
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"closing": 1.65,
"early": 1.65,
"implied_closing_pct": 53.94,
"implied_delta_pp": 0.0,
"implied_early_pct": 53.94,
"kind": "1x2_h"
},
{
"closing": 3.19,
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"implied_delta_pp": 0.0,
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"kind": "1x2_d"
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{
"closing": 4.9,
"early": 4.9,
"implied_closing_pct": 18.16,
"implied_delta_pp": 0.0,
"implied_early_pct": 18.16,
"kind": "1x2_a"
},
{
"closing": 2.21,
"early": 2.21,
"implied_closing_pct": 41.84,
"implied_delta_pp": 0.0,
"implied_early_pct": 41.84,
"kind": "ou_o"
},
{
"closing": 1.59,
"early": 1.59,
"implied_closing_pct": 58.16,
"implied_delta_pp": 0.0,
"implied_early_pct": 58.16,
"kind": "ou_u"
}
],
"movement_negligible": true,
"same_bookmaker": true,
"top_value_gap": {
"gap_pp": 12.1,
"kind": "1x2_a"
}
},
"correct_score_insight": {
"best_value": null,
"most_likely": {
"label": "1-1",
"prob": 12.5
}
},
"home_xg": 1.28,
"homepage_pick": null,
"market_cards": [
{
"decision": "value_bet",
"ev_available": true,
"ev_no": -0.2447,
"ev_no_display": {
"capped": false,
"raw_pct": -24.5,
"text": "-24.5%"
},
"ev_yes": 0.199,
"ev_yes_display": {
"capped": false,
"raw_pct": 19.9,
"text": "+19.9%"
},
"featured": true,
"id": "btts",
"max_ev": 0.199,
"no_prob": 45.5,
"sort_key": 10329.1,
"tier": "best",
"value_side": "yes",
"yes_prob": 54.5
},
{
"decision": "value_bet",
"ev_available": true,
"ev_over": 0.0845,
"ev_over_display": {
"capped": false,
"raw_pct": 8.5,
"text": "+8.5%"
},
"ev_under": -0.1608,
"ev_under_display": {
"capped": false,
"raw_pct": -16.1,
"text": "-16.1%"
},
"featured": false,
"id": "ou_2_5",
"max_ev": 0.0845,
"over_prob": 48.2,
"sort_key": 10076.05,
"tier": "best",
"under_prob": 51.8,
"value_side": "over"
},
{
"decision": "no_bet",
"ev": -0.2189,
"ev_available": true,
"ev_display": {
"capped": false,
"raw_pct": -21.9,
"text": "-21.9%"
},
"featured": false,
"id": "1x2",
"implied_prob": 0.5394,
"max_ev": -0.0131,
"max_ev_display": {
"capped": false,
"raw_pct": -1.3,
"text": "-1.3%"
},
"model_prob": 0.4005,
"side_label": "Ipatinga",
"sort_key": 1796.725,
"tier": "bad_ev"
},
{
"featured": false,
"id": "correct_score",
"sort_key": 817.5,
"tier": "risk",
"top_label": "1-1",
"top_prob": 12.5
}
],
"market_intelligence": {
"betting_signal": {
"alert_breadth": "2/11",
"alert_breadth_note": "2/11 sportsbooks confirmed",
"alert_move": "\u2193 -17.5%",
"alert_team": "Oper\u00e1rio Ferrovi\u00e1rio",
"alert_title": "Sharp Money Alert",
"divergence_pp": 13.9,
"has_alert": false,
"hero_edge_pp": -13.88,
"hero_label": "Ipatinga",
"market_prob_pct": 53.9,
"market_team": "Ipatinga",
"model_prob_pct": 40.1,
"model_team": "Ipatinga",
"show": true,
"status_icon": "!",
"status_key": "caution",
"status_label": "Use caution",
"status_line": "Use caution \u2014 signals are mixed",
"steam_score": 49,
"steam_subtitle": "Moderate sharp signal",
"steam_tier": "B",
"title": "Betting Signal"
},
"edge_rows": [
{
"edge_pp": -13.88,
"fair_prob": 40.06,
"label": "Ipatinga",
"market_prob": 53.94,
"market_type": "1x2",
"outcome": "home"
},
{
"edge_pp": 1.81,
"fair_prob": 29.71,
"label": "Draw",
"market_prob": 27.9,
"market_type": "1x2",
"outcome": "draw"
},
{
"edge_pp": 12.07,
"fair_prob": 30.23,
"label": "Oper\u00e1rio Ferrovi\u00e1rio",
"market_prob": 18.16,
"market_type": "1x2",
"outcome": "away"
},
{
"edge_pp": 6.26,
"fair_prob": 48.2,
"label": "Over 2.5",
"market_prob": 41.94,
"market_type": "ou25",
"outcome": "over"
},
{
"edge_pp": -6.26,
"fair_prob": 51.8,
"label": "Under 2.5",
"market_prob": 58.06,
"market_type": "ou25",
"outcome": "under"
},
{
"edge_pp": 10.85,
"fair_prob": 54.5,
"label": "BTTS Yes",
"market_prob": 43.65,
"market_type": "btts",
"outcome": "yes"
},
{
"edge_pp": -10.85,
"fair_prob": 45.5,
"label": "BTTS No",
"market_prob": 56.35,
"market_type": "btts",
"outcome": "no"
}
],
"edge_snapshot": {
"edge_label": "strong_disagreement",
"edge_pp": -13.88,
"fair_prob_pct": 40.06,
"hero_side": "home",
"hero_team_name": "Ipatinga",
"market_prob_pct": 53.94,
"status": "market_ahead",
"steam_team_name": "Oper\u00e1rio Ferrovi\u00e1rio"
},
"fair_source": "poisson_pipeline",
"fair_vs_market": {
"comparison_available": true,
"comparison_disabled": false,
"degraded_note": "",
"divergence_guard": {
"divergence_level": "strong",
"edge_status": "market_ahead",
"max_gap_pp": 13.88,
"suppress_hero": false,
"suppress_value_language": false
},
"divergence_label": "Strong model-market divergence",
"divergence_level": "strong",
"divergence_level_label": "Strong divergence",
"divergence_note": "The fair estimate differs noticeably from current market pricing. This may reflect genuine disagreement or incomplete rating inputs.",
"divergence_tier": "strong",
"edge_label": "Strong disagreement",
"edge_label_key": "strong_disagreement",
"fair_confidence": "medium",
"fair_confidence_label": "Medium",
"fair_source_note": "Fair probability from Poisson/xG statistical model. Not bookmaker odds. Not betting advice.",
"forecast_assessment": {
"favourite_class": "Balanced match",
"favourite_label": "Ipatinga",
"forecast_certainty_tier": "low",
"headline": "Balanced match",
"market_agreement_label": "Weak",
"market_prob_pct": 53.9,
"model_prob_pct": 40.1,
"outcome_separation_tier": "medium",
"paragraphs": [],
"reliability_headline": "Use caution",
"reliability_icon": "!",
"reliability_tier": "caution",
"summary": "Both lean Ipatinga, but the market prices them higher (53.9% vs model 40.1%). The edge remains modest and the match stays relatively open.",
"tier": "balanced",
"title": "Prediction Assessment",
"validation_label": "Warning"
},
"forecast_certainty": {
"note": "Three outcomes remain closely bunched \u2014 treat as a relatively open match.",
"tier": "low",
"tier_label": "Low"
},
"forecast_certainty_label": "Low",
"has_market_probs": true,
"hero_edge_pp": -13.88,
"hero_label": "Ipatinga",
"hero_side": "home",
"market_activity": "Oper\u00e1rio Ferrovi\u00e1rio odds shortened \u2193 -17.5%.",
"market_agreement": "weak",
"market_agreement_label": "Weak",
"market_interpretation": {
"bullets": [
"Investors may be incorporating information not fully reflected in the baseline model.",
"Tournament-specific context can shift market pricing."
],
"follow_up": "However, recent buying interest has been on Oper\u00e1rio Ferrovi\u00e1rio, with odds shortening by 17.5%. Confirmation remains limited (2/11 books), suggesting early interest rather than a broad market move.",
"gap_tier": "strong",
"lead": "The market is materially more optimistic about Ipatinga than the current fair estimate.",
"note": "Buying interest on Oper\u00e1rio Ferrovi\u00e1rio \u2014 odds shortened by 17.5%.",
"paragraphs": [
"The market is materially more optimistic about Ipatinga than the current fair estimate.",
"However, recent buying interest has been on Oper\u00e1rio Ferrovi\u00e1rio, with odds shortening by 17.5%. Confirmation remains limited (2/11 books), suggesting early interest rather than a broad market move.",
"Buying interest on Oper\u00e1rio Ferrovi\u00e1rio \u2014 odds shortened by 17.5%."
],
"quiet_market": false,
"title": "Market Assessment"
},
"market_narrative": {
"paragraphs": [
"The market favors Ipatinga more strongly than the current fair estimate.",
"At the same time, Oper\u00e1rio Ferrovi\u00e1rio has attracted buying interest, with odds shortening by 17.5%.",
"Market confirmation remains limited (2/11), suggesting an early move rather than a broad consensus."
],
"title": "Current Market Narrative"
},
"max_gap_pp": 13.88,
"model_validation": {
"score_label_key": "mi_mv_warning",
"status": "warning"
},
"model_validation_label": "Warning",
"outcome_separation": {
"breakdown": [
"No outcome exceeds 50% on the 1X2 grid.",
"Favourite exceeds second outcome by 9.8 pp (at 40.1%)."
],
"lead_gap_pp": 9.8,
"max_prob_pct": 40.1,
"note": "How spread out the model 1X2 probabilities are \u2014 crowded splits mean no single outcome dominates. Not accuracy vs the market.",
"tier": "medium",
"tier_label": "Medium"
},
"outcome_separation_label": "Medium",
"rows": [
{
"edge_pp": -13.88,
"fair_prob_pct": 40.06,
"is_hero": true,
"label": "Ipatinga",
"market_prob_pct": 53.94,
"side": "home"
},
{
"edge_pp": 1.81,
"fair_prob_pct": 29.71,
"is_hero": false,
"label": "Draw",
"market_prob_pct": 27.9,
"side": "draw"
},
{
"edge_pp": 12.07,
"fair_prob_pct": 30.23,
"is_hero": false,
"label": "Oper\u00e1rio Ferrovi\u00e1rio",
"market_prob_pct": 18.16,
"side": "away"
}
],
"status": "market_ahead",
"status_label": "Market Ahead",
"steam_note": "Buying interest on Oper\u00e1rio Ferrovi\u00e1rio \u2014 odds shortened by 17.5%.",
"unavailable_note": ""
},
"interpretation": {
"has_conflict": true,
"paragraphs": [
"The betting market strongly prefers Ipatinga (53.9%).",
"Oper\u00e1rio Ferrovi\u00e1rio has attracted notable multi-book line movement (\u2193 -17.5%, 2/11).",
"This creates a conflict: Model \u2192 Ipatinga, Market \u2192 Ipatinga, Recent sharp money \u2192 Oper\u00e1rio Ferrovi\u00e1rio.",
"Because signals disagree, confidence remains limited."
],
"show": true,
"title": "OddsGPT Interpretation"
},
"lifecycle": {
"closing_implied_pct": 60.61,
"closing_odds": 1.65,
"clv_pending": true,
"clv_pp": 0.0,
"clv_status": "pending",
"context": "match",
"current_stage": "waiting_for_kickoff",
"current_stage_detail": "",
"current_stage_label": "Waiting for kickoff",
"entry_implied_pct": 60.61,
"entry_odds": 1.65,
"model_validation_label": "Warning",
"model_validation_status": "warning",
"stages": [
{
"detail": "",
"id": "forecast_generated",
"label": "Prediction Generated",
"status": "done"
},
{
"detail": "",
"id": "market_detected",
"label": "Market Compared",
"status": "active"
},
{
"detail": "",
"id": "model_validated",
"label": "Validation Passed",
"status": "active"
},
{
"detail": "PRE1",
"id": "closing_recorded",
"label": "Closing Recorded",
"status": "done"
},
{
"detail": "",
"id": "clv_evaluated",
"label": "CLV Evaluated",
"status": "pending"
}
]
},
"market_move_intelligence": {
"books_reacting": 2,
"books_total": 11,
"breadth_display": "2/11",
"clv_label": "+0.00 pp",
"clv_status": "evaluated",
"current_odds": 4.33,
"move_context": "Largest move today",
"move_display": "\u2193 -17.5%",
"move_pct_abs": 17.5,
"move_speed_icon": "\ud83d\udc22",
"move_speed_label": "Slow drift over 23h 55m",
"narrative_paragraphs": [
"Bet365 led repricing on Oper\u00e1rio Ferrovi\u00e1rio (17.5%) \u2014 sharp book moved before wider follow-through.",
"Sharper sportsbooks initiated the move, but wider market participation remains limited."
],
"narrative_title": "Market Narrative",
"odds_path": {
"display": "5.30 \u2192 4.33 \u2192 4.33",
"move_speed_icon": "\ud83d\udc22",
"move_speed_label": "Slow drift over 23h 55m",
"pick_team": "Oper\u00e1rio Ferrovi\u00e1rio",
"points": [
{
"label_key": "open",
"value": "5.30"
},
{
"label_key": "extreme",
"value": "4.33"
},
{
"label_key": "current",
"value": "4.33"
}
],
"sparkline_polyline": "0.0,0.0 28.0,6.8 56.0,18.0",
"sparkline_trend": "down",
"sparkline_trend_label": "One-way drop"
},
"open_odds": 5.25,
"page_alert_line": "",
"phase_label": "Sharp repricing",
"phase_tip": "Aggressive adjustment \u2014 often sharp-led or high consensus.",
"pick_team": "Oper\u00e1rio Ferrovi\u00e1rio",
"ref_book": "Bet365",
"seo_title_alert": "",
"sharp_leader": "Bet365",
"show": true,
"signal_badge_class": "confirm",
"signal_icon": "\u26a1",
"signal_key": "sharp_led",
"signal_label": "Sharp-led move",
"steam_score": 49,
"steam_subtitle": "Moderate sharp signal",
"steam_tier": "B",
"title": "Market Move Intelligence"
},
"market_overview": {
"breadth_display": "2/11",
"current_odds": 4.33,
"move_display": "\u2193 -17.5%",
"open_odds": 5.25,
"pick_team": "Oper\u00e1rio Ferrovi\u00e1rio",
"steam_score": 49,
"steam_team_name": "Oper\u00e1rio Ferrovi\u00e1rio",
"steam_tier": "B"
},
"premium_teaser": {
"current_divergence_pp": 13.9,
"divergence_label": "Current divergence",
"title": "Premium Market Intelligence",
"unlock_items": [
"Historical similar matches",
"Closing odds analysis",
"CLV tracking",
"Sharp money signals",
"Market efficiency rating",
"Historical model vs market results"
],
"unlock_label": "Unlock"
},
"show": true
},
"match": {
"away_expected_goals": null,
"away_team_id": 2217,
"away_team_logo": "/static/teams/2217.webp",
"away_team_name": "Oper\u00e1rio Ferrovi\u00e1rio",
"country_code": "BR",
"country_flag": "/static/images/country/br.svg",
"country_name": "Brazil",
"fixture_id": 1538036,
"goals_away": null,
"goals_home": null,
"home_expected_goals": null,
"home_team_country": "Brazil",
"home_team_id": 12277,
"home_team_logo": "/static/teams/12277.webp",
"home_team_name": "Ipatinga",
"league_country": "Brazil",
"league_id": 76,
"league_logo": "/static/leagues/76.webp",
"league_name": "Serie D Brazil",
"league_season": 2026,
"match_date": "2026-06-14 19:00:00",
"score_fulltime_away": null,
"score_fulltime_home": null,
"status_long": "Not Started",
"status_short": "NS",
"venue_city": null,
"venue_name": null
},
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"confidence": {
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"pred_conf_md_max_1x2_under_50",
"pred_conf_md_line_above_ev"
],
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"Max 1X2 prob under 50% (open contest) (\u22121.0)",
"At least one tracked line above +EV threshold (+0.5)"
],
"score": 6.5
},
"markets": {
"1x2": {
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"away": {
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"best_odd": 4.9,
"calibration": {
"active": false,
"hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
},
"edge": 0.0198,
"ev": -0.0131,
"implied_prob": 0.1816,
"model_prob": 0.3025,
"p_final": 0.2014
},
"draw": {
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"best_odd": 3.19,
"calibration": {
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"hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
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"edge": 0.0053,
"ev": -0.0932,
"implied_prob": 0.279,
"model_prob": 0.2971,
"p_final": 0.2843
},
"ev_available": true,
"home": {
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"best_odd": 1.65,
"calibration": {
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"hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
},
"edge": -0.066,
"ev": -0.2189,
"implied_prob": 0.5394,
"model_prob": 0.4005,
"p_final": 0.4734
}
},
"btts": {
"best_no_odd": 1.66,
"best_yes_odd": 2.2,
"edge_no": -0.1085,
"edge_yes": 0.1085,
"ev_available": true,
"ev_no": -0.2447,
"ev_yes": 0.199,
"implied_no": 0.5635,
"implied_yes": 0.4365,
"n_bookmakers": 7,
"reliability": "medium"
},
"ou25": {
"best_over_odd": 2.25,
"best_under_odd": 1.62,
"edge_over": 0.0626,
"edge_under": -0.0626,
"ev_available": true,
"ev_over": 0.0845,
"ev_under": -0.1608,
"implied_over": 0.4194,
"implied_under": 0.5806,
"n_bookmakers": 8,
"reliability": "medium"
}
},
"match_tier": "value_game",
"min_ev": 0.02,
"total_xg": 2.6,
"variance_flag": false
},
"unified_decision": {
"actionable_ev_threshold": 0.02,
"algorithm": {
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"game_typing_module": true,
"version": "2.2.0"
},
"balanced_alternative": null,
"best_tracked_ev": 0.199,
"confidence": 6.5,
"decision_confidence_v1": {
"breakdown": [
"pred_conf_v1_primary_line",
"pred_conf_v1_primary_ev_above_10",
"pred_conf_v1_max_1x2_under_50",
"pred_conf_v1_multi_ev_lines"
],
"breakdown_resolved": [
"Primary line identified (+1.0)",
"Primary EV above 10% (+1.0)",
"Max 1X2 prob under 50% (no dominant 1X2) (\u22121.0)",
"Two or more valid +EV lines at threshold (+0.5)"
],
"score": 6.5
},
"execution": {
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"1x2_open_contest": true,
"grade": "A",
"stake_factor": 1.0
},
"favourite_misaligned_1x2": {
"active": false,
"gap": null,
"side": null
},
"game_type": {
"label_zh": "\u5747\u8861\uff08\u5f00\u653e\u8d5b\u679c\uff09",
"scoring_type": "balanced",
"signals": {
"btts_yes_prob": 0.545,
"draw_prob": 0.2971,
"max_1x2_prob": 0.4005,
"over_prob": 0.482,
"total_xg": 2.6,
"under_prob": 0.518,
"xg_diff": 0.04
},
"type": "balanced",
"typing_weights_enabled": true
},
"hero_display_pick": null,
"longshot_picks": [],
"markets": {
"1x2": {
"decision": "no_bet",
"edge": -0.066,
"ev": -0.2189,
"implied_prob": 0.5394,
"max_ev_side": "away",
"model_prob": 0.4005,
"side": "home",
"side_label": "Ipatinga"
},
"btts": {
"decision": "value_bet",
"edge": 0.1085,
"ev": 0.199,
"implied_prob": 0.4365,
"model_prob": 0.545,
"side": "yes",
"value_side": "yes"
},
"ou_2_5": {
"decision": "value_bet",
"edge": 0.0626,
"ev": 0.0845,
"implied_prob": 0.4194,
"model_prob": 0.482,
"side": "over",
"value_side": "over"
}
},
"match_id": 1538036,
"match_regime": {
"action": "bet",
"actionable": true,
"clear_edge": true,
"code": "clear_edge",
"execution_line_key": null,
"insight_line_key": null,
"max_valid_ev": 0.199,
"min_ev": 0.02,
"stake_mult": 1.0,
"use_split_strip": false
},
"match_tier": "value_game",
"no_clear_primary": false,
"probabilities": {
"away": 0.3025,
"draw": 0.2971,
"home": 0.4005
},
"reason_codes": [
"no_ev_1x2"
],
"secondary_pick": null,
"secondary_picks": [],
"suppressed_primary": null,
"teams": {
"away": "Oper\u00e1rio Ferrovi\u00e1rio",
"home": "Ipatinga"
},
"top_pick": {
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"decision": "value_bet",
"ev": 0.199,
"implied_prob": 0.4365,
"market": "btts",
"model_prob": 0.545,
"not_dominant": false,
"primary_strength": "clear",
"risk_band": "strong",
"risk_tier": "primary",
"side": "yes",
"slot": "primary",
"speculative_primary": false
},
"valid_markets_count": 2
}
},
"fixture_id": 1538036,
"generated_at_utc": "2026-06-14T18:59:24.713487+00:00",
"lang_id": "en"
}
Khám phá thêm nội dung dự đoán
Nhận dự đoán cao cấp cho Ipatinga & Operário Ferroviário!
Mở khóa phân tích chuyên sâu, mẹo cá cược độc quyền và dự đoán trận đấu với dịch vụ đăng ký cao cấp của chúng tôi.
Đăng ký ngay
Serie D Brazil — Bảng xếp hạng
| # | Đội | Tr | T | H | B | Đ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Manauara | 10 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 22 |
| 2 | Nacional AM | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 20 |
| 3 | São Raimundo | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 13 |
| 4 | Monte Roraima | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 10 |
| 5 | Manaus FC | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 10 |
| 6 | GAS | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 5 |
| # | Đội | Tr | BT | BB | +/- | Đ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nacional AM | 10 | 15 | 9 | +6 | 20 |
| 2 | Manauara | 10 | 13 | 5 | +8 | 22 |
| 3 | Monte Roraima | 10 | 11 | 14 | -3 | 10 |
| 4 | São Raimundo | 10 | 10 | 7 | +3 | 13 |
| 5 | Manaus FC | 10 | 8 | 13 | -5 | 10 |
| 6 | GAS | 10 | 8 | 17 | -9 | 5 |
