Uta Arad vs Csikszereda Statistics & Analysis

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      "away_win_prob": 0.1375,
      "dc_rho": -0.13,
      "draw_prob": 0.2625,
      "fair_odds_away": 7.27,
      "fair_odds_draw": 3.81,
      "fair_odds_home": 1.67,
      "home_predicted_xg": 1.71,
      "home_win_prob": 0.6,
      "prediction_confidence": "high"
    },
    "api_prediction": {
      "advice": "Winner : Uta Arad",
      "main_pick_display": "Winner : Uta Arad",
      "percent_away": "10%",
      "percent_draw": "45%",
      "percent_home": "45%",
      "winner_name": "Uta Arad"
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    "away_xg": 0.71,
    "betting_insight": {
      "bet_label": "Uta Arad",
      "confidence": 60.0,
      "main_pick_meta": {
        "confidence": "high",
        "display_text": "Winner : Uta Arad",
        "edge": 0.138,
        "edge_gap": 0.3367,
        "market": "1X2",
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        "pick_type": "winner",
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          "draw": 26.3,
          "home": 60.0
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        "reason": "",
        "selection": "home",
        "selection_name": "Uta Arad"
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          "affi_link": "",
          "bookmaker_name": "Pinnacle",
          "odd": 2.01
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      "risk_color": "#ff9800",
      "risk_key": "medium_risk",
      "stacked_market": null,
      "value_bet": {
        "best_odds": 2.01,
        "bookmaker_id": 0,
        "bookmaker_name": "Pinnacle",
        "display_market": "Uta Arad Win",
        "is_value": true,
        "label": "Home",
        "market_fair_odds": 2.17,
        "market_odds": 2.01,
        "model_odds": 1.67,
        "overround": 7.8,
        "prob_edge": 10.1,
        "value_pct": 20.4,
        "value_rating": "strong_value"
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    },
    "betting_markets": {
      "btts": {
        "away_clean_sheet": 9,
        "away_failed_to_score": 10,
        "away_played": 37,
        "away_score_rate": 50.8,
        "home_clean_sheet": 7,
        "home_failed_to_score": 10,
        "home_played": 37,
        "home_score_rate": 81.9,
        "no_prob": 57.0,
        "pick": "No",
        "pick_prob": 57.0,
        "source": "xG_dc",
        "strong_pick": true,
        "yes_prob": 43.0
      },
      "correct_score": {
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        "home_expected": 1.71,
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            "away": 0,
            "home": 1,
            "label": "1-0",
            "prob": 15.2
          },
          {
            "away": 0,
            "home": 2,
            "label": "2-0",
            "prob": 13.0
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            "away": 1,
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            "label": "1-1",
            "prob": 10.8
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            "away": 1,
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            "label": "2-1",
            "prob": 9.2
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            "away": 0,
            "home": 0,
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        ],
        "source": "xG"
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      "double_chance": {
        "options": [
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            "label": "Uta Arad or Draw",
            "prob": 86.2
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          {
            "key": "12",
            "label": "Uta Arad or Csikszereda",
            "prob": 73.8
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          {
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            "prob": 40.0
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        ],
        "pick_key": "1X",
        "pick_label": "Uta Arad or Draw",
        "pick_prob": 86.2
      },
      "match_winner": {
        "away_pct": 13.8,
        "draw_pct": 26.2,
        "home_pct": 60.0,
        "lean_key": "home",
        "lean_label": "Uta Arad"
      },
      "over_under": {
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        "avg_total": 2.42,
        "away_avg_scored": 1.1,
        "confidence": "medium",
        "home_avg_scored": 1.4,
        "over_prob": 43.5,
        "pick": "Under 2.5",
        "pick_prob": 56.5,
        "source": "xG_dc",
        "strong_pick": true,
        "total_expected": 2.42,
        "under_prob": 56.5
      },
      "prob_source": "poisson",
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        "edge": 20.6,
        "implied_prob": 49.8,
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        "label": "Home",
        "market": "Uta Arad Win",
        "model_prob": 60.0,
        "odds": 2.01
      }
    },
    "correct_score_insight": {
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        "best_bookmaker": "William Hill",
        "best_odds": 10.0,
        "edge": 3.0,
        "ev": 30.0,
        "label": "2-0",
        "probability": 13.0
      },
      "most_likely": {
        "label": "1-0",
        "prob": 15.2
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    },
    "home_xg": 1.71,
    "homepage_pick": {
      "best_bookmaker": "1xBet",
      "best_odds": 1.88,
      "confidence": "moderate",
      "display_label": "Home Uta Arad",
      "edge": 6.8,
      "ev": 12.6,
      "probability": 60.0
    },
    "market_cards": [
      {
        "decision": "value_bet",
        "ev_available": true,
        "ev_no": 0.197,
        "ev_yes": -0.2389,
        "featured": true,
        "id": "btts",
        "max_ev": 0.197,
        "no_prob": 57.0,
        "sort_key": 10327.3,
        "tier": "best",
        "value_side": "no",
        "yes_prob": 43.0
      },
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        "decision": "value_bet",
        "ev_available": true,
        "ev_over": -0.1692,
        "ev_under": 0.1017,
        "featured": false,
        "id": "ou_2_5",
        "max_ev": 0.1017,
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        "sort_key": 10091.53,
        "tier": "best",
        "under_prob": 56.5,
        "value_side": "under"
      },
      {
        "decision": "small_edge",
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        "id": "1x2",
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        "tier": "lean"
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      {
        "featured": false,
        "id": "correct_score",
        "sort_key": 825.6,
        "tier": "risk",
        "top_label": "1-0",
        "top_prob": 15.2
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    ],
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      "away_team_id": 6230,
      "away_team_logo": "/static/teams/6230.webp",
      "away_team_name": "Csikszereda",
      "country_flag": "/static/images/country/ro.svg",
      "country_name": "Romania",
      "fixture_id": 1531541,
      "goals_away": null,
      "goals_home": null,
      "home_expected_goals": null,
      "home_team_id": 2589,
      "home_team_logo": "/static/teams/2589.webp",
      "home_team_name": "Uta Arad",
      "league_country": "Romania",
      "league_id": 283,
      "league_logo": "/static/leagues/283.webp",
      "league_name": "Liga I",
      "league_season": 2025,
      "match_date": "2026-05-09 14:00:00",
      "score_fulltime_away": null,
      "score_fulltime_home": null,
      "status_long": "Not Started",
      "status_short": "NS"
    },
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          "At least one tracked line above +EV threshold (+0.5)",
          "Total xG in borderline band (high variance) (\u22121.5)"
        ],
        "score": 6.5
      },
      "markets": {
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          "away": {
            "alpha": 0.2403,
            "best_odd": 3.43,
            "calibration": {
              "active": false,
              "hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
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              "active": false,
              "hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
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            "edge": -0.0016,
            "ev": -0.0779,
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            "p_final": 0.2665
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            "alpha": 0.3568,
            "best_odd": 2.01,
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              "active": false,
              "hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
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          "reliability": "medium"
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          "best_under_odd": 1.95,
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          "edge_under": 0.0726,
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          "ev_over": -0.1692,
          "ev_under": 0.1017,
          "implied_over": 0.5076,
          "implied_under": 0.4924,
          "n_bookmakers": 11,
          "reliability": "medium"
        }
      },
      "match_tier": "value_game",
      "min_ev": 0.02,
      "total_xg": 2.42,
      "variance_flag": true
    },
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      "algorithm": {
        "enabled_since": "2026-04-26",
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      "confidence": 7.5,
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      "execution": {
        "1x2_dominant": true,
        "1x2_open_contest": false,
        "grade": "A",
        "stake_factor": 1.0
      },
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        "gap": null,
        "side": null
      },
      "game_type": {
        "label_zh": "\u672a\u5206\u578b",
        "scoring_type": "neutral",
        "signals": {
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          "draw_prob": 0.2628,
          "max_1x2_prob": 0.5995,
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          "total_xg": 2.42,
          "under_prob": 0.565,
          "xg_diff": 1.0
        },
        "type": "neutral",
        "typing_weights_enabled": true
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      "hero_display_pick": null,
      "longshot_picks": [],
      "markets": {
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          "decision": "small_edge",
          "edge": 0.0493,
          "ev": 0.0266,
          "implied_prob": 0.4615,
          "max_ev_side": "home",
          "model_prob": 0.5995,
          "side": "home",
          "side_label": "Uta Arad"
        },
        "btts": {
          "decision": "value_bet",
          "edge": 0.1134,
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          "implied_prob": 0.4566,
          "model_prob": 0.57,
          "side": "no",
          "value_side": "no"
        },
        "ou_2_5": {
          "decision": "value_bet",
          "edge": 0.0726,
          "ev": 0.1017,
          "implied_prob": 0.4924,
          "model_prob": 0.565,
          "side": "under",
          "value_side": "under"
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      },
      "match_id": 1531541,
      "match_regime": {
        "action": "bet",
        "actionable": true,
        "clear_edge": true,
        "code": "clear_edge",
        "execution_line_key": null,
        "insight_line_key": null,
        "max_valid_ev": 0.197,
        "min_ev": 0.02,
        "stake_mult": 1.0,
        "use_split_strip": false
      },
      "match_tier": "value_game",
      "no_clear_primary": false,
      "probabilities": {
        "away": 0.1377,
        "draw": 0.2628,
        "home": 0.5995
      },
      "reason_codes": [
        "variance_medium"
      ],
      "secondary_pick": {
        "decision": "value_bet",
        "ev": 0.1017,
        "implied_prob": 0.4924,
        "market": "ou_2_5",
        "model_prob": 0.565,
        "not_dominant": false,
        "risk_band": "strong",
        "risk_tier": "secondary",
        "side": "under",
        "slot": "secondary"
      },
      "secondary_picks": [
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          "decision": "value_bet",
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          "implied_prob": 0.4924,
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          "not_dominant": false,
          "risk_band": "strong",
          "risk_tier": "secondary",
          "side": "under",
          "slot": "secondary"
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      ],
      "suppressed_primary": null,
      "teams": {
        "away": "Csikszereda",
        "home": "Uta Arad"
      },
      "top_pick": {
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        "model_prob": 0.57,
        "not_dominant": false,
        "primary_strength": "clear",
        "risk_band": "strong",
        "risk_tier": "primary",
        "side": "no",
        "slot": "primary",
        "speculative_primary": false
      },
      "valid_markets_count": 3
    }
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  "fixture_id": 1531541,
  "generated_at_utc": "2026-05-09T13:59:50.339253+00:00",
  "lang_id": "en"
}