Unirea Slobozia vs AFC Hermannstadt Statistics & Analysis

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  "decision_algo_version": "2.0.0",
  "facts": {
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      "away_predicted_xg": 1.15,
      "away_win_prob": 0.289,
      "dc_rho": -0.13,
      "draw_prob": 0.2953,
      "fair_odds_away": 3.46,
      "fair_odds_draw": 3.39,
      "fair_odds_home": 2.41,
      "home_predicted_xg": 1.42,
      "home_win_prob": 0.4157,
      "prediction_confidence": "high"
    },
    "api_prediction": {
      "advice": "Double chance : draw or AFC Hermannstadt",
      "main_pick_display": "No Strong Winner Bet",
      "percent_away": "45%",
      "percent_draw": "45%",
      "percent_home": "10%",
      "winner_name": "AFC Hermannstadt"
    },
    "away_xg": 1.15,
    "betting_insight": {
      "bet_label": "Unirea Slobozia",
      "confidence": null,
      "main_pick_meta": {
        "confidence": "low",
        "display_text": "No Strong Winner Bet",
        "edge": 0.1152,
        "edge_gap": 0.1201,
        "market": "1X2",
        "market_prob": 0.3002,
        "model_prob": 0.4154,
        "pick_type": "no_strong",
        "probabilities": {
          "away": 28.9,
          "draw": 29.5,
          "home": 41.5
        },
        "reason": "No clear edge in 1X2 market",
        "selection": null,
        "selection_name": null
      },
      "market_comparison": [
        {
          "affi_link": "",
          "bookmaker_name": "Pinnacle",
          "odd": 3.14
        }
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      "risk_color": null,
      "risk_key": null,
      "stacked_market": null,
      "value_bet": {
        "best_odds": 3.14,
        "bookmaker_id": 0,
        "bookmaker_name": "Pinnacle",
        "display_market": "Unirea Slobozia Win",
        "is_value": true,
        "label": "Home",
        "market_fair_odds": 3.33,
        "market_odds": 3.14,
        "model_odds": 2.41,
        "overround": 6.1,
        "prob_edge": 9.6,
        "value_pct": 30.3,
        "value_rating": "strong_value"
      }
    },
    "betting_markets": {
      "btts": {
        "away_clean_sheet": 5,
        "away_failed_to_score": 13,
        "away_played": 36,
        "away_score_rate": 68.3,
        "home_clean_sheet": 6,
        "home_failed_to_score": 14,
        "home_played": 36,
        "home_score_rate": 75.8,
        "no_prob": 46.6,
        "pick": "Yes",
        "pick_prob": 53.4,
        "source": "xG_dc",
        "strong_pick": false,
        "yes_prob": 53.4
      },
      "correct_score": {
        "away_expected": 1.15,
        "home_expected": 1.42,
        "scores": [
          {
            "away": 1,
            "home": 1,
            "label": "1-1",
            "prob": 12.5
          },
          {
            "away": 0,
            "home": 1,
            "label": "1-0",
            "prob": 10.9
          },
          {
            "away": 1,
            "home": 2,
            "label": "2-1",
            "prob": 8.9
          },
          {
            "away": 1,
            "home": 0,
            "label": "0-1",
            "prob": 8.8
          },
          {
            "away": 0,
            "home": 2,
            "label": "2-0",
            "prob": 7.7
          }
        ],
        "source": "xG"
      },
      "double_chance": {
        "options": [
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            "key": "1X",
            "label": "Unirea Slobozia or Draw",
            "prob": 71.1
          },
          {
            "key": "12",
            "label": "Unirea Slobozia or AFC Hermannstadt",
            "prob": 70.5
          },
          {
            "key": "X2",
            "label": "Draw or AFC Hermannstadt",
            "prob": 58.4
          }
        ],
        "pick_key": "1X",
        "pick_label": "Unirea Slobozia or Draw",
        "pick_prob": 71.1
      },
      "match_winner": {
        "away_pct": 28.9,
        "draw_pct": 29.5,
        "home_pct": 41.6,
        "lean_key": "home",
        "lean_label": "Unirea Slobozia"
      },
      "over_under": {
        "api_hint": null,
        "avg_total": 2.57,
        "away_avg_scored": 1.0,
        "confidence": "low",
        "home_avg_scored": 1.0,
        "over_prob": 47.4,
        "pick": "Over 2.5",
        "pick_prob": 52.6,
        "source": "xG_dc",
        "strong_pick": true,
        "total_expected": 2.57,
        "under_prob": 52.6
      },
      "prob_source": "poisson",
      "value_bet_enhanced": {
        "bookmaker_id": 0,
        "bookmaker_name": "Pinnacle",
        "edge": 30.6,
        "implied_prob": 31.8,
        "is_value": true,
        "label": "Home",
        "market": "Unirea Slobozia Win",
        "model_prob": 41.6,
        "odds": 3.14
      }
    },
    "correct_score_insight": {
      "best_value": null,
      "most_likely": {
        "label": "1-1",
        "prob": 12.5
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    },
    "home_xg": 1.42,
    "homepage_pick": null,
    "market_cards": [
      {
        "decision": "value_bet",
        "ev_available": true,
        "ev_over": 0.057,
        "ev_under": -0.1058,
        "featured": true,
        "id": "ou_2_5",
        "max_ev": 0.057,
        "over_prob": 47.4,
        "sort_key": 10201.3,
        "tier": "best",
        "under_prob": 52.6,
        "value_side": "over"
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      {
        "decision": "value_bet",
        "ev": 0.0323,
        "ev_available": true,
        "featured": false,
        "id": "1x2",
        "implied_prob": 0.3002,
        "max_ev": 0.0323,
        "model_prob": 0.4154,
        "side_label": "Unirea Slobozia",
        "sort_key": 10029.07,
        "tier": "best"
      },
      {
        "decision": "small_edge",
        "ev_available": true,
        "ev_no": -0.1379,
        "ev_yes": 0.0039,
        "featured": false,
        "id": "btts",
        "max_ev": 0.0039,
        "no_prob": 46.6,
        "sort_key": 5203.12,
        "tier": "lean",
        "value_side": "yes",
        "yes_prob": 53.4
      },
      {
        "featured": false,
        "id": "correct_score",
        "sort_key": 817.5,
        "tier": "risk",
        "top_label": "1-1",
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    ],
    "match": {
      "away_expected_goals": null,
      "away_team_id": 2579,
      "away_team_logo": "/static/teams/2579.webp",
      "away_team_name": "AFC Hermannstadt",
      "country_flag": "/static/images/country/ro.svg",
      "country_name": "Romania",
      "fixture_id": 1531536,
      "goals_away": null,
      "goals_home": null,
      "home_expected_goals": null,
      "home_team_id": 6916,
      "home_team_logo": "/static/teams/6916.webp",
      "home_team_name": "Unirea Slobozia",
      "league_country": "Romania",
      "league_id": 283,
      "league_logo": "/static/leagues/283.webp",
      "league_name": "Liga I",
      "league_season": 2025,
      "match_date": "2026-05-04 14:30:00",
      "score_fulltime_away": null,
      "score_fulltime_home": null,
      "status_long": "Not Started",
      "status_short": "NS"
    },
    "match_decision": {
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          "pred_conf_md_max_1x2_under_50",
          "pred_conf_md_line_above_ev"
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          "Max 1X2 prob under 50% (open contest) (\u22121.0)",
          "At least one tracked line above +EV threshold (+0.5)"
        ],
        "score": 6.5
      },
      "markets": {
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            "alpha": 0.3711,
            "best_odd": 2.32,
            "calibration": {
              "active": false,
              "hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
            },
            "edge": -0.0434,
            "ev": -0.1582,
            "implied_prob": 0.4062,
            "model_prob": 0.2893,
            "p_final": 0.3629
          },
          "draw": {
            "alpha": 0.2992,
            "best_odd": 3.21,
            "calibration": {
              "active": false,
              "hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
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            "ev": -0.0559,
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            "p_final": 0.2941
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          "home": {
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            "best_odd": 3.14,
            "calibration": {
              "active": false,
              "hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
            },
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            "ev": 0.0323,
            "implied_prob": 0.3002,
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            "p_final": 0.3287
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          "n_bookmakers": 10,
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          "edge_under": -0.0443,
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          "implied_under": 0.5703,
          "n_bookmakers": 11,
          "reliability": "medium"
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      "match_tier": "value_game",
      "min_ev": 0.02,
      "total_xg": 2.57,
      "variance_flag": false
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      "best_tracked_ev": 0.057,
      "confidence": 5.5,
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          "pred_conf_v1_max_1x2_under_50",
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          "Max 1X2 prob under 50% (no dominant 1X2) (\u22121.0)",
          "Two or more valid +EV lines at threshold (+0.5)"
        ],
        "score": 5.5
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      "execution": {
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        "1x2_open_contest": true,
        "grade": "A",
        "stake_factor": 1.0
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      "game_type": {
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        "scoring_type": "balanced",
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          "draw_prob": 0.2953,
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          "over_prob": 0.474,
          "total_xg": 2.57,
          "under_prob": 0.526,
          "xg_diff": 0.27
        },
        "type": "balanced",
        "typing_weights_enabled": true
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      "hero_display_pick": null,
      "longshot_picks": [],
      "markets": {
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          "edge": 0.0286,
          "ev": 0.0323,
          "implied_prob": 0.3002,
          "max_ev_side": "home",
          "model_prob": 0.4154,
          "side": "home",
          "side_label": "Unirea Slobozia"
        },
        "btts": {
          "decision": "small_edge",
          "edge": 0.0374,
          "ev": 0.0039,
          "implied_prob": 0.4966,
          "model_prob": 0.534,
          "side": "yes",
          "value_side": "yes"
        },
        "ou_2_5": {
          "decision": "value_bet",
          "edge": 0.0443,
          "ev": 0.057,
          "implied_prob": 0.4297,
          "model_prob": 0.474,
          "side": "over",
          "value_side": "over"
        }
      },
      "match_id": 1531536,
      "match_regime": {
        "action": "optional",
        "actionable": true,
        "clear_edge": false,
        "code": "thin_edge",
        "execution_line_key": null,
        "insight_line_key": null,
        "max_valid_ev": 0.057,
        "min_ev": 0.02,
        "stake_mult": 0.25,
        "use_split_strip": false
      },
      "match_tier": "value_game",
      "no_clear_primary": false,
      "probabilities": {
        "away": 0.2893,
        "draw": 0.2953,
        "home": 0.4154
      },
      "reason_codes": [
        "model_summary"
      ],
      "secondary_pick": null,
      "secondary_picks": [],
      "suppressed_primary": null,
      "teams": {
        "away": "AFC Hermannstadt",
        "home": "Unirea Slobozia"
      },
      "top_pick": {
        "composite_score": 0.018913,
        "decision": "value_bet",
        "ev": 0.057,
        "implied_prob": 0.4297,
        "market": "ou_2_5",
        "model_prob": 0.474,
        "not_dominant": true,
        "primary_strength": "clear",
        "risk_band": "medium",
        "risk_tier": "primary",
        "side": "over",
        "slot": "primary",
        "speculative_primary": false
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      "valid_markets_count": 2
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  "fixture_id": 1531536,
  "generated_at_utc": "2026-05-04T14:29:04.030417+00:00",
  "lang_id": "en"
}