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Thị trường được theo dõi so với kết quả toàn thời gian
Mỗi hàng so sánh mô hình trước trận đấu với kết quả toàn thời gian.
- Chợ Dự đoán Kết quả kết quả
- Tài / Xỉu 2.5 Tài 2.5 Xỉu 2.5 (0 mục tiêu) ✖ Không đúng
- Cả Hai Đội Đều Ghi Bàn BTTS Có Không ✖ Không đúng
- 1X2 Circulo Deportivo Vẽ tranh ✖ Không đúng
- Thông tin tỷ số chính xác 1-1, 1-0, 0-1, 2-1, 1-2 0-0 ✖ Không đúng
Validation Report
Immutable Snapshot
Closing Odds
3.63
AI Fair Odds
—
CLV
+0.0%
Final Result
Draw · Circulo Deportivo 0–0 Santamarina
Prediction
✖ Missed
Decision Grade
F
Model Performance
This prediction contributes to:
- Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%
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View technical JSON
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"decision_algo_version": "2.2.0",
"facts": {
"ai_fp": {
"afp_away_win_prob": 0.31,
"afp_draw_prob": 0.3057,
"afp_home_win_prob": 0.3843,
"away_predicted_xg": 1.27,
"away_win_prob": 0.31,
"away_win_prob_posterior": 0.31,
"bayes_applied": 1,
"btts_no_prob": 0.455,
"btts_yes_prob": 0.545,
"dc_rho": -0.13,
"draw_prob": 0.3057,
"draw_prob_posterior": 0.3057,
"fair_odds_away": 3.23,
"fair_odds_away_posterior": 3.23,
"fair_odds_draw": 3.27,
"fair_odds_draw_posterior": 3.27,
"fair_odds_home": 2.6,
"fair_odds_home_posterior": 2.6,
"home_predicted_xg": 1.33,
"home_win_prob": 0.3843,
"home_win_prob_posterior": 0.3843,
"over_25_prob": 0.482,
"prediction_confidence": "very_low",
"under_25_prob": 0.518
},
"api_prediction": {
"advice": "Combo Double chance : draw or Santamarina and -3.5 goals",
"main_pick_display": "No Strong Winner Bet",
"percent_away": "45%",
"percent_draw": "45%",
"percent_home": "10%",
"winner_name": "Santamarina"
},
"away_xg": 1.27,
"betting_insight": {
"bet_label": "Circulo Deportivo",
"confidence": null,
"main_pick_meta": {
"confidence": "low",
"display_text": "No Strong Winner Bet",
"edge": -0.039,
"edge_gap": 0.075,
"market": "1X2",
"market_prob": 0.4236,
"model_prob": 0.3846,
"pick_type": "no_strong",
"probabilities": {
"away": 31.0,
"draw": 30.6,
"home": 38.5
},
"reason": "No clear edge in 1X2 market",
"selection": null,
"selection_name": null
},
"market_comparison": [
{
"affi_link": "",
"bookmaker_name": "Pinnacle",
"odd": 2.12
}
],
"risk_color": null,
"risk_key": null,
"stacked_market": null,
"value_bet": {
"best_odds": 2.12,
"bookmaker_id": 0,
"bookmaker_name": "Pinnacle",
"display_market": "Circulo Deportivo Win",
"is_value": false,
"label": "Home",
"market_fair_odds": 2.36,
"market_odds": 2.12,
"model_odds": 2.6,
"overround": 11.3,
"prob_edge": -8.7,
"value_pct": -18.5,
"value_rating": "no_value"
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},
"betting_markets": {
"btts": {
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"away_failed_to_score": 7,
"away_played": 11,
"away_score_rate": 71.9,
"home_clean_sheet": 3,
"home_failed_to_score": 8,
"home_played": 10,
"home_score_rate": 73.6,
"no_prob": 45.5,
"pick": "Yes",
"pick_prob": 54.5,
"source": "xG_dc",
"strong_pick": true,
"yes_prob": 54.5
},
"correct_score": {
"away_expected": 1.27,
"home_expected": 1.33,
"scores": [
{
"away": 1,
"home": 1,
"label": "1-1",
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{
"away": 0,
"home": 1,
"label": "1-0",
"prob": 9.9
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{
"away": 1,
"home": 0,
"label": "0-1",
"prob": 9.4
},
{
"away": 1,
"home": 2,
"label": "2-1",
"prob": 8.3
},
{
"away": 2,
"home": 1,
"label": "1-2",
"prob": 8.0
}
],
"source": "xG"
},
"double_chance": {
"options": [
{
"key": "1X",
"label": "Circulo Deportivo or Draw",
"prob": 69.0
},
{
"key": "12",
"label": "Circulo Deportivo or Santamarina",
"prob": 69.4
},
{
"key": "X2",
"label": "Draw or Santamarina",
"prob": 61.6
}
],
"pick_key": "12",
"pick_label": "Circulo Deportivo or Santamarina",
"pick_prob": 69.4
},
"match_winner": {
"away_pct": 31.0,
"draw_pct": 30.6,
"home_pct": 38.4,
"lean_key": "home",
"lean_label": "Circulo Deportivo"
},
"over_under": {
"api_hint": "-3.5",
"avg_total": 2.6,
"away_avg_scored": 0.8,
"confidence": "low",
"home_avg_scored": 0.3,
"over_prob": 48.2,
"pick": "Over 2.5",
"pick_prob": 51.8,
"source": "xG_dc",
"strong_pick": true,
"total_expected": 2.6,
"under_prob": 51.8
},
"prob_source": "poisson",
"value_bet_enhanced": {
"bookmaker_id": 0,
"bookmaker_name": "Pinnacle",
"edge": 12.5,
"implied_prob": 27.5,
"is_value": true,
"label": "Away",
"market": "Santamarina Win",
"model_prob": 31.0,
"odds": 3.63
}
},
"closing_line_bundle": {
"away_team": "Santamarina",
"closing_bookmaker": "Pinnacle",
"closing_capture": "PRE1",
"early_bookmaker": "Pinnacle",
"early_capture": "PRE30",
"has_data": true,
"home_team": "Circulo Deportivo",
"largest_move_kind": null,
"max_abs_move_pp": 0.0,
"model_vs_closing": [
{
"closing_implied_pct": 42.36,
"gap_pp": -3.9,
"kind": "1x2_h",
"model_pct": 38.46
},
{
"closing_implied_pct": 32.9,
"gap_pp": -2.32,
"kind": "1x2_d",
"model_pct": 30.58
},
{
"closing_implied_pct": 24.74,
"gap_pp": 6.22,
"kind": "1x2_a",
"model_pct": 30.96
},
{
"closing_implied_pct": 34.65,
"gap_pp": 13.55,
"kind": "ou_o",
"model_pct": 48.2
},
{
"closing_implied_pct": 65.35,
"gap_pp": -13.55,
"kind": "ou_u",
"model_pct": 51.8
}
],
"movement": [
{
"closing": 2.12,
"early": 2.12,
"implied_closing_pct": 42.36,
"implied_delta_pp": 0.0,
"implied_early_pct": 42.36,
"kind": "1x2_h"
},
{
"closing": 2.73,
"early": 2.73,
"implied_closing_pct": 32.9,
"implied_delta_pp": 0.0,
"implied_early_pct": 32.9,
"kind": "1x2_d"
},
{
"closing": 3.63,
"early": 3.63,
"implied_closing_pct": 24.74,
"implied_delta_pp": 0.0,
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"kind": "1x2_a"
},
{
"closing": 2.64,
"early": 2.64,
"implied_closing_pct": 34.65,
"implied_delta_pp": 0.0,
"implied_early_pct": 34.65,
"kind": "ou_o"
},
{
"closing": 1.4,
"early": 1.4,
"implied_closing_pct": 65.35,
"implied_delta_pp": 0.0,
"implied_early_pct": 65.35,
"kind": "ou_u"
}
],
"movement_negligible": true,
"same_bookmaker": true,
"top_value_gap": {
"gap_pp": 13.6,
"kind": "ou_o"
}
},
"correct_score_insight": {
"best_value": null,
"most_likely": {
"label": "1-1",
"prob": 12.5
}
},
"home_xg": 1.33,
"homepage_pick": null,
"market_cards": [
{
"decision": "value_bet",
"ev_available": true,
"ev_no": -0.2265,
"ev_no_display": {
"capped": false,
"raw_pct": -22.7,
"text": "-22.7%"
},
"ev_yes": 0.199,
"ev_yes_display": {
"capped": false,
"raw_pct": 19.9,
"text": "+19.9%"
},
"featured": true,
"id": "btts",
"max_ev": 0.199,
"no_prob": 45.5,
"sort_key": 10329.1,
"tier": "best",
"value_side": "yes",
"yes_prob": 54.5
},
{
"decision": "value_bet",
"ev_available": true,
"ev_over": 0.2725,
"ev_over_display": {
"capped": true,
"raw_pct": 27.3,
"text": "+25%+"
},
"ev_under": -0.2126,
"ev_under_display": {
"capped": false,
"raw_pct": -21.3,
"text": "-21.3%"
},
"featured": false,
"id": "ou_2_5",
"max_ev": 0.2725,
"over_prob": 48.2,
"sort_key": 10245.25,
"tier": "best",
"under_prob": 51.8,
"value_side": "over"
},
{
"decision": "no_bet",
"ev": -0.137,
"ev_available": true,
"ev_display": {
"capped": false,
"raw_pct": -13.7,
"text": "-13.7%"
},
"featured": false,
"id": "1x2",
"implied_prob": 0.4236,
"max_ev": -0.0405,
"max_ev_display": {
"capped": false,
"raw_pct": -4.0,
"text": "-4.0%"
},
"model_prob": 0.3846,
"side_label": "Circulo Deportivo",
"sort_key": 1789.875,
"tier": "bad_ev"
},
{
"featured": false,
"id": "correct_score",
"sort_key": 817.5,
"tier": "risk",
"top_label": "1-1",
"top_prob": 12.5
}
],
"market_intelligence": {
"betting_signal": {
"alert_breadth": "2/12",
"alert_breadth_note": "2/12 sportsbooks confirmed",
"alert_move": "\u2193 -9.3%",
"alert_team": "Santamarina",
"alert_title": "Sharp Money Alert",
"divergence_pp": 6.3,
"has_alert": false,
"hero_edge_pp": 6.26,
"hero_label": "Santamarina",
"market_prob_pct": 42.4,
"market_team": "Circulo Deportivo",
"model_prob_pct": 38.4,
"model_team": "Circulo Deportivo",
"show": true,
"status_icon": "\u2713",
"status_key": "aligned",
"status_label": "Reliable prediction",
"status_line": "Model and market broadly aligned",
"steam_score": 30,
"steam_subtitle": "Limited conviction",
"steam_tier": "C",
"title": "Betting Signal"
},
"edge_rows": [
{
"edge_pp": -3.93,
"fair_prob": 38.43,
"label": "Circulo Deportivo",
"market_prob": 42.36,
"market_type": "1x2",
"outcome": "home"
},
{
"edge_pp": -2.33,
"fair_prob": 30.57,
"label": "Draw",
"market_prob": 32.9,
"market_type": "1x2",
"outcome": "draw"
},
{
"edge_pp": 6.26,
"fair_prob": 31.0,
"label": "Santamarina",
"market_prob": 24.74,
"market_type": "1x2",
"outcome": "away"
},
{
"edge_pp": 10.62,
"fair_prob": 48.2,
"label": "Over 2.5",
"market_prob": 37.58,
"market_type": "ou25",
"outcome": "over"
},
{
"edge_pp": -10.62,
"fair_prob": 51.8,
"label": "Under 2.5",
"market_prob": 62.42,
"market_type": "ou25",
"outcome": "under"
},
{
"edge_pp": 11.29,
"fair_prob": 54.5,
"label": "BTTS Yes",
"market_prob": 43.21,
"market_type": "btts",
"outcome": "yes"
},
{
"edge_pp": -11.29,
"fair_prob": 45.5,
"label": "BTTS No",
"market_prob": 56.79,
"market_type": "btts",
"outcome": "no"
}
],
"edge_snapshot": {
"edge_label": "mild_disagreement",
"edge_pp": 6.26,
"fair_prob_pct": 31.0,
"hero_side": "away",
"hero_team_name": "Santamarina",
"market_prob_pct": 24.74,
"status": "strong_disagreement",
"steam_team_name": "Santamarina"
},
"fair_source": "poisson_pipeline",
"fair_vs_market": {
"comparison_available": true,
"comparison_disabled": false,
"degraded_note": "",
"divergence_guard": {
"divergence_level": "moderate",
"edge_status": "strong_disagreement",
"max_gap_pp": 6.26,
"suppress_hero": false,
"suppress_value_language": false
},
"divergence_label": "Moderate model-market divergence",
"divergence_level": "moderate",
"divergence_level_label": "Moderate divergence",
"divergence_note": "Fair estimate and market pricing differ modestly. Monitor before kickoff.",
"divergence_tier": "moderate",
"edge_label": "Mild disagreement",
"edge_label_key": "mild_disagreement",
"fair_confidence": "medium",
"fair_confidence_label": "Medium",
"fair_source_note": "Fair probability from Poisson/xG statistical model. Not bookmaker odds. Not betting advice.",
"forecast_assessment": {
"favourite_class": "Balanced match",
"favourite_label": "Circulo Deportivo",
"forecast_certainty_tier": "low",
"headline": "Balanced match",
"market_agreement_label": "Moderate",
"market_prob_pct": 42.4,
"model_prob_pct": 38.4,
"outcome_separation_tier": "medium",
"paragraphs": [],
"reliability_headline": "Reliable prediction",
"reliability_icon": "\u2713",
"reliability_tier": "reliable",
"summary": "Both lean Circulo Deportivo, but the market prices them higher (42.4% vs model 38.4%). The edge remains modest and the match stays relatively open.",
"tier": "balanced",
"title": "Prediction Assessment",
"validation_label": "Pass"
},
"forecast_certainty": {
"note": "Three outcomes remain closely bunched \u2014 treat as a relatively open match.",
"tier": "low",
"tier_label": "Low"
},
"forecast_certainty_label": "Low",
"has_market_probs": true,
"hero_edge_pp": 6.26,
"hero_label": "Santamarina",
"hero_side": "away",
"market_activity": "Santamarina odds shortened \u2193 -9.3%.",
"market_agreement": "moderate",
"market_agreement_label": "Moderate",
"market_interpretation": {
"bullets": [
"Monitor line movement before kickoff \u2014 not a betting recommendation."
],
"follow_up": "Confirmation remains limited (2/12 books), suggesting early interest rather than a broad market move.",
"gap_tier": "mild",
"lead": "The fair estimate shows a modest edge over current market pricing on Santamarina.",
"note": "Market activity aligns with the largest pricing gap on Santamarina.",
"paragraphs": [
"The fair estimate shows a modest edge over current market pricing on Santamarina.",
"Confirmation remains limited (2/12 books), suggesting early interest rather than a broad market move.",
"Market activity aligns with the largest pricing gap on Santamarina."
],
"quiet_market": false,
"title": "Market Assessment"
},
"market_narrative": {
"paragraphs": [
"The fair estimate still sits above current market pricing on Santamarina.",
"Recent line movement on Santamarina (\u2193 -9.3%) aligns with the pricing gap.",
"Market confirmation remains limited (2/12), suggesting an early move rather than a broad consensus."
],
"title": "Current Market Narrative"
},
"max_gap_pp": 6.26,
"model_validation": {
"score_label_key": "mi_mv_pass",
"status": "pass"
},
"model_validation_label": "Pass",
"outcome_separation": {
"breakdown": [
"No outcome exceeds 50% on the 1X2 grid.",
"Favourite exceeds second outcome by 7.4 pp (at 38.4%)."
],
"lead_gap_pp": 7.4,
"max_prob_pct": 38.4,
"note": "How spread out the model 1X2 probabilities are \u2014 crowded splits mean no single outcome dominates. Not accuracy vs the market.",
"tier": "medium",
"tier_label": "Medium"
},
"outcome_separation_label": "Medium",
"rows": [
{
"edge_pp": -3.93,
"fair_prob_pct": 38.43,
"is_hero": false,
"label": "Circulo Deportivo",
"market_prob_pct": 42.36,
"side": "home"
},
{
"edge_pp": -2.33,
"fair_prob_pct": 30.57,
"is_hero": false,
"label": "Draw",
"market_prob_pct": 32.9,
"side": "draw"
},
{
"edge_pp": 6.26,
"fair_prob_pct": 31.0,
"is_hero": true,
"label": "Santamarina",
"market_prob_pct": 24.74,
"side": "away"
}
],
"status": "strong_disagreement",
"status_label": "Strong Disagreement",
"steam_note": "Market activity aligns with the largest pricing gap on Santamarina.",
"unavailable_note": ""
},
"interpretation": {
"has_conflict": true,
"paragraphs": [
"The betting market strongly prefers Circulo Deportivo (42.4%).",
"Santamarina has attracted notable multi-book line movement (\u2193 -9.3%, 2/12).",
"This creates a conflict: Model \u2192 Circulo Deportivo, Market \u2192 Circulo Deportivo, Recent sharp money \u2192 Santamarina.",
"Because signals disagree, confidence remains limited."
],
"show": true,
"title": "OddsGPT Interpretation"
},
"lifecycle": {
"closing_implied_pct": 27.55,
"closing_odds": 3.63,
"clv_pending": true,
"clv_pp": 0.0,
"clv_status": "pending",
"context": "match",
"current_stage": "waiting_for_kickoff",
"current_stage_detail": "",
"current_stage_label": "Waiting for kickoff",
"entry_implied_pct": 27.55,
"entry_odds": 3.63,
"model_validation_label": "Pass",
"model_validation_status": "pass",
"stages": [
{
"detail": "",
"id": "forecast_generated",
"label": "Prediction Generated",
"status": "done"
},
{
"detail": "",
"id": "market_detected",
"label": "Market Compared",
"status": "active"
},
{
"detail": "",
"id": "model_validated",
"label": "Validation Passed",
"status": "done"
},
{
"detail": "PRE1",
"id": "closing_recorded",
"label": "Closing Recorded",
"status": "done"
},
{
"detail": "",
"id": "clv_evaluated",
"label": "CLV Evaluated",
"status": "pending"
}
]
},
"market_move_intelligence": {
"books_reacting": 2,
"books_total": 12,
"breadth_display": "2/12",
"clv_label": "+0.00 pp",
"clv_status": "evaluated",
"current_odds": 3.4,
"move_context": "Largest move today",
"move_display": "\u2193 -9.3%",
"move_pct_abs": 9.3,
"move_speed_icon": "\ud83d\udc22",
"move_speed_label": "Slow drift over 19h 55m",
"narrative_paragraphs": [
"Bet365 led repricing on Santamarina (9.3%) \u2014 sharp book moved before wider follow-through.",
"Price swings look choppy \u2014 volatility reduced overall confidence in the directional signal."
],
"narrative_title": "Market Narrative",
"odds_path": {
"display": "3.88 \u2192 3.40 \u2192 3.40",
"move_speed_icon": "\ud83d\udc22",
"move_speed_label": "Slow drift over 19h 55m",
"pick_team": "Santamarina",
"points": [
{
"label_key": "open",
"value": "3.88"
},
{
"label_key": "extreme",
"value": "3.40"
},
{
"label_key": "current",
"value": "3.40"
}
],
"sparkline_polyline": "0.0,0.0 28.0,6.2 56.0,18.0",
"sparkline_trend": "down",
"sparkline_trend_label": "One-way drop"
},
"open_odds": 3.75,
"page_alert_line": "",
"phase_label": "Sharp repricing",
"phase_tip": "Aggressive adjustment \u2014 often sharp-led or high consensus.",
"pick_team": "Santamarina",
"ref_book": "Bet365",
"seo_title_alert": "",
"sharp_leader": "Bet365",
"show": true,
"signal_badge_class": "confirm",
"signal_icon": "\u26a1",
"signal_key": "sharp_led",
"signal_label": "Sharp-led move",
"steam_score": 30,
"steam_subtitle": "Limited conviction",
"steam_tier": "C",
"title": "Market Move Intelligence"
},
"market_overview": {
"breadth_display": "2/12",
"current_odds": 3.4,
"move_display": "\u2193 -9.3%",
"open_odds": 3.75,
"pick_team": "Santamarina",
"steam_score": 30,
"steam_team_name": "Santamarina",
"steam_tier": "C"
},
"premium_teaser": {
"current_divergence_pp": 6.3,
"divergence_label": "Current divergence",
"title": "Premium Market Intelligence",
"unlock_items": [
"Historical similar matches",
"Closing odds analysis",
"CLV tracking",
"Sharp money signals",
"Market efficiency rating",
"Historical model vs market results"
],
"unlock_label": "Unlock"
},
"show": true
},
"match": {
"away_expected_goals": null,
"away_team_id": 475,
"away_team_logo": "/static/teams/475.webp",
"away_team_name": "Santamarina",
"country_code": "AR",
"country_flag": "/static/images/country/ar.svg",
"country_name": "Argentina",
"fixture_id": 1530386,
"goals_away": null,
"goals_home": null,
"home_expected_goals": null,
"home_team_country": "Argentina",
"home_team_id": 8399,
"home_team_logo": "/static/teams/8399.webp",
"home_team_name": "Circulo Deportivo",
"league_country": "Argentina",
"league_id": 134,
"league_logo": "/static/leagues/134.webp",
"league_name": "Torneo Federal A",
"league_season": 2026,
"match_date": "2026-06-14 18:00:00",
"score_fulltime_away": null,
"score_fulltime_home": null,
"status_long": "Not Started",
"status_short": "NS",
"venue_city": "Comandante Nicanor Otamendi",
"venue_name": "Estadio Guillermo Trama"
},
"match_decision": {
"confidence": {
"breakdown": [
"pred_conf_md_max_1x2_under_50",
"pred_conf_md_line_above_ev",
"pred_conf_md_draw_above_30"
],
"breakdown_resolved": [
"Max 1X2 prob under 50% (open contest) (\u22121.0)",
"At least one tracked line above +EV threshold (+0.5)",
"Draw probability above 30% (\u22120.5)"
],
"score": 6.0
},
"markets": {
"1x2": {
"1x2_ev_mode": "market_first_p15",
"away": {
"alpha": 0.272,
"best_odd": 3.63,
"calibration": {
"active": false,
"hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
},
"edge": 0.0169,
"ev": -0.0405,
"implied_prob": 0.2474,
"model_prob": 0.3096,
"p_final": 0.2643
},
"draw": {
"alpha": 0.4344,
"best_odd": 2.73,
"calibration": {
"active": false,
"hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
},
"edge": -0.0101,
"ev": -0.1294,
"implied_prob": 0.329,
"model_prob": 0.3058,
"p_final": 0.3189
},
"ev_available": true,
"home": {
"alpha": 0.4237,
"best_odd": 2.12,
"calibration": {
"active": false,
"hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
},
"edge": -0.0165,
"ev": -0.137,
"implied_prob": 0.4236,
"model_prob": 0.3846,
"p_final": 0.4071
}
},
"btts": {
"best_no_odd": 1.7,
"best_yes_odd": 2.2,
"edge_no": -0.1129,
"edge_yes": 0.1129,
"ev_available": true,
"ev_no": -0.2265,
"ev_yes": 0.199,
"implied_no": 0.5679,
"implied_yes": 0.4321,
"n_bookmakers": 7,
"reliability": "medium"
},
"ou25": {
"best_over_odd": 2.64,
"best_under_odd": 1.52,
"edge_over": 0.1062,
"edge_under": -0.1062,
"ev_available": true,
"ev_over": 0.2725,
"ev_under": -0.2126,
"implied_over": 0.3758,
"implied_under": 0.6242,
"n_bookmakers": 9,
"reliability": "medium"
}
},
"match_tier": "value_game",
"min_ev": 0.02,
"total_xg": 2.6,
"variance_flag": false
},
"unified_decision": {
"actionable_ev_threshold": 0.02,
"algorithm": {
"enabled_since": "2026-05-26",
"game_typing_module": true,
"version": "2.2.0"
},
"balanced_alternative": null,
"best_tracked_ev": 0.2725,
"confidence": 6.0,
"decision_confidence_v1": {
"breakdown": [
"pred_conf_v1_primary_line",
"pred_conf_v1_primary_ev_above_10",
"pred_conf_v1_max_1x2_under_50",
"pred_conf_v1_draw_above_30",
"pred_conf_v1_multi_ev_lines"
],
"breakdown_resolved": [
"Primary line identified (+1.0)",
"Primary EV above 10% (+1.0)",
"Max 1X2 prob under 50% (no dominant 1X2) (\u22121.0)",
"Draw probability above 30% (\u22120.5)",
"Two or more valid +EV lines at threshold (+0.5)"
],
"score": 6.0
},
"execution": {
"1x2_dominant": false,
"1x2_open_contest": true,
"grade": "A",
"stake_factor": 1.0
},
"favourite_misaligned_1x2": {
"active": false,
"gap": null,
"side": null
},
"game_type": {
"label_zh": "\u5747\u8861\uff08\u5f00\u653e\u8d5b\u679c\uff09",
"scoring_type": "balanced",
"signals": {
"btts_yes_prob": 0.545,
"draw_prob": 0.3058,
"max_1x2_prob": 0.3846,
"over_prob": 0.482,
"total_xg": 2.6,
"under_prob": 0.518,
"xg_diff": 0.06
},
"type": "balanced",
"typing_weights_enabled": true
},
"hero_display_pick": null,
"longshot_picks": [],
"markets": {
"1x2": {
"decision": "no_bet",
"edge": -0.0165,
"ev": -0.137,
"implied_prob": 0.4236,
"max_ev_side": "away",
"model_prob": 0.3846,
"side": "home",
"side_label": "Circulo Deportivo"
},
"btts": {
"decision": "value_bet",
"edge": 0.1129,
"ev": 0.199,
"implied_prob": 0.4321,
"model_prob": 0.545,
"side": "yes",
"value_side": "yes"
},
"ou_2_5": {
"decision": "value_bet",
"edge": 0.1062,
"ev": 0.2725,
"implied_prob": 0.3758,
"model_prob": 0.482,
"side": "over",
"value_side": "over"
}
},
"match_id": 1530386,
"match_regime": {
"action": "bet",
"actionable": true,
"clear_edge": true,
"code": "clear_edge",
"execution_line_key": null,
"insight_line_key": null,
"max_valid_ev": 0.2725,
"min_ev": 0.02,
"stake_mult": 1.0,
"use_split_strip": false
},
"match_tier": "value_game",
"no_clear_primary": false,
"probabilities": {
"away": 0.3096,
"draw": 0.3058,
"home": 0.3846
},
"reason_codes": [
"no_ev_1x2"
],
"secondary_pick": {
"decision": "value_bet",
"ev": 0.2725,
"implied_prob": 0.3758,
"market": "ou_2_5",
"model_prob": 0.482,
"not_dominant": true,
"risk_band": "medium",
"risk_tier": "secondary",
"side": "over",
"slot": "secondary"
},
"secondary_picks": [
{
"decision": "value_bet",
"ev": 0.2725,
"implied_prob": 0.3758,
"market": "ou_2_5",
"model_prob": 0.482,
"not_dominant": true,
"risk_band": "medium",
"risk_tier": "secondary",
"side": "over",
"slot": "secondary"
}
],
"suppressed_primary": null,
"teams": {
"away": "Santamarina",
"home": "Circulo Deportivo"
},
"top_pick": {
"composite_score": 0.108455,
"decision": "value_bet",
"ev": 0.199,
"implied_prob": 0.4321,
"market": "btts",
"model_prob": 0.545,
"not_dominant": false,
"primary_strength": "clear",
"risk_band": "strong",
"risk_tier": "primary",
"side": "yes",
"slot": "primary",
"speculative_primary": false
},
"valid_markets_count": 2
}
},
"fixture_id": 1530386,
"generated_at_utc": "2026-06-14T18:20:55.394236+00:00",
"lang_id": "en"
}
Khám phá thêm nội dung dự đoán
Nhận dự đoán cao cấp cho Circulo Deportivo & Santamarina!
Mở khóa phân tích chuyên sâu, mẹo cá cược độc quyền và dự đoán trận đấu với dịch vụ đăng ký cao cấp của chúng tôi.
Đăng ký ngay
Torneo Federal A — Bảng xếp hạng
| # | Đội | Tr | T | H | B | Đ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Olimpo Bahia Blanca | 16 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 31 |
| 2 | Douglas Haig | 18 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 31 |
| 3 | Sportivo Belgrano | 18 | 7 | 9 | 2 | 30 |
| 4 | San Martin Formosa | 16 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 30 |
| 5 | Alvarado | 16 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 27 |
| 6 | Gimnasia Chivilcoy | 18 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 27 |
| 7 | Defensores de Belgrano VR | 18 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 27 |
| 8 | Kimberley Mar del Plata | 16 | 6 | 8 | 2 | 26 |
| 9 | Bartolomé Mitre | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 26 |
| 10 | Sol de América | 16 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 26 |
| 11 | Juventud Antoniana | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 25 |
| 12 | Cipolletti | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 25 |
| 13 | Sarmiento de La Banda | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 25 |
| 14 | 9 de Julio Rafaela | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 25 |
| 15 | Sportivo Las Parejas | 18 | 5 | 9 | 4 | 24 |
| 16 | Villa Mitre | 16 | 5 | 8 | 3 | 23 |
| 17 | Argentino Monte Maíz | 16 | 5 | 8 | 3 | 23 |
| 18 | Atenas | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 23 |
| 19 | Huracan Las Heras | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 23 |
| 20 | Atletico Escobar | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 22 |
| 21 | Fundacion Amigos | 16 | 4 | 9 | 3 | 21 |
| 22 | Deportivo Rincon | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 19 |
| 23 | San Martín Mendoza | 16 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 19 |
| 24 | Defensores de Vilelas | 16 | 6 | 1 | 9 | 19 |
| 25 | Independiente De Chivilcoy | 18 | 4 | 7 | 7 | 19 |
| 26 | El Linqueño | 18 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 19 |
| 27 | Costa Brava | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 18 |
| 28 | Sol de Mayo | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 18 |
| 29 | Boca Unidos | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 18 |
| 30 | Germinal de Rawson | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 18 |
| 31 | Juventud Unida Univ. | 16 | 3 | 8 | 5 | 17 |
| 32 | Tucuman Central | 16 | 5 | 2 | 9 | 17 |
| 33 | Gimnasia Concepción | 18 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 17 |
| 34 | Guillermo Brown | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 17 |
| 35 | Sarmiento Resistencia | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 15 |
| 36 | Santamarina | 16 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 13 |
| 37 | Circulo Deportivo | 16 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 13 |
| # | Đội | Tr | BT | BB | +/- | Đ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 de Julio Rafaela | 18 | 28 | 27 | +1 | 25 |
| 2 | San Martin Formosa | 16 | 25 | 19 | +6 | 30 |
| 3 | Defensores de Belgrano VR | 18 | 24 | 20 | +4 | 27 |
| 4 | Douglas Haig | 18 | 22 | 15 | +7 | 31 |
| 5 | Sportivo Belgrano | 18 | 21 | 9 | +12 | 30 |
| 6 | Defensores de Vilelas | 16 | 21 | 26 | -5 | 19 |
| 7 | Atletico Escobar | 18 | 21 | 29 | -8 | 22 |
| 8 | Alvarado | 16 | 19 | 7 | +12 | 27 |
| 9 | Juventud Antoniana | 16 | 19 | 11 | +8 | 25 |
| 10 | Sol de América | 16 | 19 | 14 | +5 | 26 |
| 11 | Cipolletti | 16 | 19 | 15 | +4 | 25 |
| 12 | Boca Unidos | 16 | 19 | 25 | -6 | 18 |
| 13 | Gimnasia Chivilcoy | 18 | 17 | 12 | +5 | 27 |
| 14 | Fundacion Amigos | 16 | 17 | 14 | +3 | 21 |
| 15 | Sarmiento de La Banda | 16 | 17 | 15 | +2 | 25 |
| 16 | Argentino Monte Maíz | 16 | 16 | 12 | +4 | 23 |
| 17 | Kimberley Mar del Plata | 16 | 15 | 9 | +6 | 26 |
| 18 | Sol de Mayo | 16 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 18 |
| 19 | Independiente De Chivilcoy | 18 | 15 | 22 | -7 | 19 |
| 20 | Villa Mitre | 16 | 14 | 8 | +6 | 23 |
| 21 | Tucuman Central | 16 | 14 | 19 | -5 | 17 |
| 22 | El Linqueño | 18 | 14 | 21 | -7 | 19 |
| 23 | Olimpo Bahia Blanca | 16 | 13 | 4 | +9 | 31 |
| 24 | Bartolomé Mitre | 16 | 13 | 7 | +6 | 26 |
| 25 | Deportivo Rincon | 16 | 13 | 16 | -3 | 19 |
| 26 | Guillermo Brown | 16 | 13 | 20 | -7 | 17 |
| 27 | Sportivo Las Parejas | 18 | 12 | 13 | -1 | 24 |
| 28 | Atenas | 16 | 12 | 13 | -1 | 23 |
| 29 | Costa Brava | 16 | 12 | 13 | -1 | 18 |
| 30 | Gimnasia Concepción | 18 | 12 | 18 | -6 | 17 |
| 31 | Sarmiento Resistencia | 16 | 12 | 23 | -11 | 15 |
| 32 | Huracan Las Heras | 16 | 11 | 13 | -2 | 23 |
| 33 | San Martín Mendoza | 16 | 11 | 15 | -4 | 19 |
| 34 | Juventud Unida Univ. | 16 | 10 | 10 | 0 | 17 |
| 35 | Santamarina | 16 | 9 | 17 | -8 | 13 |
| 36 | Circulo Deportivo | 16 | 8 | 16 | -8 | 13 |
| 37 | Germinal de Rawson | 16 | 7 | 14 | -7 | 18 |
