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Mỗi hàng so sánh mô hình trước trận đấu với kết quả toàn thời gian.
- Chợ Dự đoán Kết quả kết quả
- Tài / Xỉu 2.5 Xỉu 2.5 Xỉu 2.5 (0 mục tiêu) ✔ Chính xác
- Cả Hai Đội Đều Ghi Bàn BTTS Có Không ✖ Không đúng
- 1X2 Maranhão Vẽ tranh ✖ Không đúng
- Thông tin tỷ số chính xác 1-1, 0-1, 1-0, 1-2, 2-1 0-0 ✖ Không đúng
Validation Report
Immutable Snapshot
Closing Odds
1.6
AI Fair Odds
2.81
CLV
+0.0%
Final Result
Draw · Ituano 0–0 Maranhão
Prediction
✖ Missed
Decision Grade
F
Probability Calibration
- Expected: 35.6%
- Historical Bucket: 35–40% — Building sample
Model Performance
This prediction contributes to:
- Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%
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View technical JSON
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"content_hash": "ab806673b255e96e48e7317e68fb5c6f7dd5d3a5a8567e1bfe2fc13abd54cbb9",
"decision_algo_version": "2.2.1",
"facts": {
"ai_fp": {
"away_predicted_xg": 1.31,
"away_win_prob": 0.3564,
"away_win_prob_posterior": null,
"bayes_applied": 0,
"btts_no_prob": 0.455,
"btts_yes_prob": 0.546,
"dc_rho": -0.13,
"draw_prob": 0.2965,
"draw_prob_posterior": null,
"fair_odds_away": 2.81,
"fair_odds_away_posterior": null,
"fair_odds_draw": 3.37,
"fair_odds_draw_posterior": null,
"fair_odds_home": 2.88,
"fair_odds_home_posterior": null,
"home_predicted_xg": 1.29,
"home_win_prob": 0.347,
"home_win_prob_posterior": null,
"over_25_prob": 0.482,
"prediction_confidence": "very_low",
"under_25_prob": 0.518
},
"api_prediction": {
"advice": "Combo Double chance : Ituano or draw and -3.5 goals",
"main_pick_display": "No Strong Winner Bet",
"percent_away": "10%",
"percent_draw": "45%",
"percent_home": "45%",
"winner_name": "Ituano"
},
"away_xg": 1.31,
"betting_insight": {
"bet_label": "Maranh\u00e3o",
"confidence": null,
"main_pick_meta": {
"confidence": "low",
"display_text": "No Strong Winner Bet",
"edge": 0.2015,
"edge_gap": 0.0087,
"market": "1X2",
"market_prob": 0.1544,
"model_prob": 0.3559,
"pick_type": "no_strong",
"probabilities": {
"away": 35.6,
"draw": 29.7,
"home": 34.7
},
"reason": "No clear edge in 1X2 market",
"selection": null,
"selection_name": null
},
"market_comparison": [
{
"affi_link": "",
"bookmaker_name": "Pinnacle",
"odd": 5.94
}
],
"risk_color": null,
"risk_key": null,
"stacked_market": null,
"value_bet": {
"best_odds": 5.94,
"bookmaker_id": 0,
"bookmaker_name": "Pinnacle",
"display_market": "Maranh\u00e3o Win",
"is_value": false,
"label": "Away",
"market_fair_odds": 6.48,
"market_odds": 5.94,
"model_odds": 2.81,
"overround": 9.0,
"prob_edge": 18.8,
"value_pct": 111.4,
"value_rating": "no_value"
}
},
"betting_markets": {
"btts": {
"away_clean_sheet": 3,
"away_failed_to_score": 6,
"away_played": 11,
"away_score_rate": 73.0,
"home_clean_sheet": 4,
"home_failed_to_score": 3,
"home_played": 11,
"home_score_rate": 72.5,
"no_prob": 45.5,
"pick": "Yes",
"pick_prob": 54.5,
"source": "xG_dc",
"strong_pick": false,
"yes_prob": 54.5
},
"correct_score": {
"away_expected": 1.31,
"home_expected": 1.29,
"scores": [
{
"away": 1,
"home": 1,
"label": "1-1",
"prob": 12.6
},
{
"away": 1,
"home": 0,
"label": "0-1",
"prob": 9.7
},
{
"away": 0,
"home": 1,
"label": "1-0",
"prob": 9.6
},
{
"away": 2,
"home": 1,
"label": "1-2",
"prob": 8.2
},
{
"away": 1,
"home": 2,
"label": "2-1",
"prob": 8.1
}
],
"source": "xG"
},
"double_chance": {
"options": [
{
"key": "1X",
"label": "Ituano or Draw",
"prob": 64.3
},
{
"key": "12",
"label": "Ituano or Maranh\u00e3o",
"prob": 70.3
},
{
"key": "X2",
"label": "Draw or Maranh\u00e3o",
"prob": 65.2
}
],
"pick_key": "12",
"pick_label": "Ituano or Maranh\u00e3o",
"pick_prob": 70.3
},
"match_winner": {
"away_pct": 35.6,
"draw_pct": 29.6,
"home_pct": 34.7,
"lean_key": "away",
"lean_label": "Maranh\u00e3o"
},
"over_under": {
"api_hint": "-3.5",
"avg_total": 2.6,
"away_avg_scored": 0.8,
"confidence": "low",
"home_avg_scored": 1.4,
"over_prob": 48.2,
"pick": "Under 2.5",
"pick_prob": 51.8,
"source": "xG_dc",
"strong_pick": false,
"total_expected": 2.6,
"under_prob": 51.8
},
"prob_source": "poisson",
"value_bet_enhanced": {
"bookmaker_id": 0,
"bookmaker_name": "Pinnacle",
"edge": 111.5,
"implied_prob": 16.8,
"is_value": false,
"label": "Away",
"market": "Maranh\u00e3o Win",
"model_prob": 35.6,
"odds": 5.94
}
},
"closing_line_bundle": {
"away_team": "Maranh\u00e3o",
"closing_bookmaker": "Pinnacle",
"closing_capture": "PRE1",
"early_bookmaker": "Pinnacle",
"early_capture": "PRE30",
"has_data": true,
"home_team": "Ituano",
"largest_move_kind": null,
"max_abs_move_pp": 0.0,
"model_vs_closing": [
{
"closing_implied_pct": 57.33,
"gap_pp": -22.61,
"kind": "1x2_h",
"model_pct": 34.73
},
{
"closing_implied_pct": 27.22,
"gap_pp": 2.46,
"kind": "1x2_d",
"model_pct": 29.68
},
{
"closing_implied_pct": 15.44,
"gap_pp": 20.15,
"kind": "1x2_a",
"model_pct": 35.59
},
{
"closing_implied_pct": 42.34,
"gap_pp": 5.86,
"kind": "ou_o",
"model_pct": 48.2
},
{
"closing_implied_pct": 57.66,
"gap_pp": -5.86,
"kind": "ou_u",
"model_pct": 51.8
}
],
"movement": [
{
"closing": 1.6,
"early": 1.6,
"implied_closing_pct": 57.33,
"implied_delta_pp": 0.0,
"implied_early_pct": 57.33,
"kind": "1x2_h"
},
{
"closing": 3.37,
"early": 3.37,
"implied_closing_pct": 27.22,
"implied_delta_pp": 0.0,
"implied_early_pct": 27.22,
"kind": "1x2_d"
},
{
"closing": 5.94,
"early": 5.94,
"implied_closing_pct": 15.44,
"implied_delta_pp": 0.0,
"implied_early_pct": 15.44,
"kind": "1x2_a"
},
{
"closing": 2.22,
"early": 2.22,
"implied_closing_pct": 42.34,
"implied_delta_pp": 0.0,
"implied_early_pct": 42.34,
"kind": "ou_o"
},
{
"closing": 1.63,
"early": 1.63,
"implied_closing_pct": 57.66,
"implied_delta_pp": 0.0,
"implied_early_pct": 57.66,
"kind": "ou_u"
}
],
"movement_negligible": true,
"same_bookmaker": true,
"top_value_gap": {
"gap_pp": 20.1,
"kind": "1x2_a"
}
},
"correct_score_insight": {
"best_value": null,
"most_likely": {
"label": "1-1",
"prob": 12.6
}
},
"home_xg": 1.29,
"homepage_pick": null,
"market_cards": [
{
"decision": "value_bet",
"ev": 0.0844,
"ev_available": true,
"ev_display": {
"capped": false,
"raw_pct": 8.4,
"text": "+8.4%"
},
"featured": true,
"id": "1x2",
"implied_prob": 0.1544,
"max_ev": 0.0844,
"max_ev_display": {
"capped": false,
"raw_pct": 8.4,
"text": "+8.4%"
},
"model_prob": 0.3559,
"side_label": "Maranh\u00e3o",
"sort_key": 10225.96,
"tier": "best"
},
{
"decision": "lean",
"ev_available": false,
"ev_no": null,
"ev_no_display": null,
"ev_yes": null,
"ev_yes_display": null,
"featured": false,
"id": "btts",
"max_ev": null,
"no_prob": 45.5,
"sort_key": 4050.0,
"tier": "lean",
"value_side": "yes",
"yes_prob": 54.5
},
{
"decision": "no_bet",
"ev_available": false,
"ev_over": null,
"ev_over_display": null,
"ev_under": null,
"ev_under_display": null,
"featured": false,
"id": "ou_2_5",
"max_ev": null,
"over_prob": 48.2,
"sort_key": 2050.0,
"tier": "pass",
"under_prob": 51.8,
"value_side": "under"
},
{
"featured": false,
"id": "correct_score",
"sort_key": 817.8,
"tier": "risk",
"top_label": "1-1",
"top_prob": 12.6
}
],
"market_intelligence": {
"betting_signal": {
"alert_breadth": "11/12",
"alert_breadth_note": "11/12 sportsbooks confirmed",
"alert_move": "\u2191 +10.5%",
"alert_team": "Maranh\u00e3o",
"alert_title": "Sharp Money Alert",
"divergence_pp": 22.6,
"has_alert": true,
"hero_edge_pp": -22.63,
"hero_label": "Ituano",
"market_prob_pct": 15.4,
"market_team": "Ituano",
"model_prob_pct": 35.6,
"model_team": "Maranh\u00e3o",
"show": true,
"status_icon": "!",
"status_key": "caution",
"status_label": "Use caution",
"status_line": "Use caution \u2014 signals are mixed",
"steam_score": 67,
"steam_subtitle": "Strong sharp signal",
"steam_tier": "A",
"title": "Betting Signal"
},
"decision_chain": {
"academy_links": [
{
"key": "market_disagree",
"read_min": 5,
"title": "When Should You Trust AI Over the Market?",
"url": "/academy/ai-betting/when-should-you-trust-ai-over-the-market/en"
},
{
"key": "steam",
"read_min": 4,
"title": "What Is a Steam Move?",
"url": "/academy/betting-market/what-is-a-steam-move/en"
},
{
"key": "clv_pending",
"read_min": 3,
"title": "Why CLV Matters More Than Win Rate",
"url": "/academy/clv/why-clv-matters-more-than-win-rate/en"
}
],
"evidence": {
"signals": [
{
"icon": "\u25cb",
"key": "statistical_edge",
"label": "No strong statistical edge",
"status": "neutral"
},
{
"icon": "!",
"key": "market_agreement",
"label": "Market partially disagrees",
"status": "caution"
},
{
"icon": "\u2713",
"key": "steam",
"label": "Sharp steam supports model side",
"status": "pass"
},
{
"icon": "!",
"key": "validation",
"label": "Validation warning",
"status": "caution"
}
],
"stars": 1,
"tier": "low",
"tier_label": "Low"
},
"forecast_reliability": {
"breakdown": [
{
"key": "validation",
"label": "Validation: Warning",
"tone": "caution"
},
{
"key": "gap",
"label": "Large market gap (23 pp)",
"tone": "caution"
},
{
"key": "steam",
"label": "Steam aligns with model",
"tone": "ok"
}
],
"parts": {
"alignment": 13.7,
"data_quality": 12.0,
"market_coverage": 9.2,
"steam_coherence": 10.0,
"validation": 14.0
},
"score": 64,
"stars": 3,
"tier": "moderate",
"tier_label": "Moderate"
},
"suppress_execution": true,
"value_split": {
"execution_confidence": {
"label": "Execution Confidence",
"score": 41,
"tier": "low",
"tier_label": "Low"
},
"model_value": {
"label": "Model Value",
"score": 7,
"tier": "not_reliable",
"tier_label": "Not reliable"
},
"recommendation": {
"action": "wait",
"label": "Wait"
}
},
"verdict": {
"icon": "\u23f8",
"label": "Wait for validation",
"tier": "wait"
},
"why": {
"action_line": "Compare model lean with current best odds before sizing any bet.",
"bullets": [
"Model: Ituano 1.29 xG vs Maranh\u00e3o 1.31 \u2192 Maranh\u00e3o 35.6%",
"Market: Ituano ~15.4% implied",
"Steam: Maranh\u00e3o \u2191 +10.5%"
],
"one_liner": "Model leans Maranh\u00e3o, but market pricing diverges by 23 pp.",
"title": "Why?"
}
},
"edge_rows": [
{
"edge_pp": -22.63,
"fair_prob": 34.7,
"label": "Ituano",
"market_prob": 57.33,
"market_type": "1x2",
"outcome": "home"
},
{
"edge_pp": 2.43,
"fair_prob": 29.65,
"label": "Draw",
"market_prob": 27.22,
"market_type": "1x2",
"outcome": "draw"
},
{
"edge_pp": 20.2,
"fair_prob": 35.64,
"label": "Maranh\u00e3o",
"market_prob": 15.44,
"market_type": "1x2",
"outcome": "away"
},
{
"edge_pp": null,
"fair_prob": 48.2,
"label": "Over 2.5",
"market_prob": null,
"market_type": "ou25",
"outcome": "over"
},
{
"edge_pp": null,
"fair_prob": 51.8,
"label": "Under 2.5",
"market_prob": null,
"market_type": "ou25",
"outcome": "under"
},
{
"edge_pp": null,
"fair_prob": 54.5,
"label": "BTTS Yes",
"market_prob": null,
"market_type": "btts",
"outcome": "yes"
},
{
"edge_pp": null,
"fair_prob": 45.5,
"label": "BTTS No",
"market_prob": null,
"market_type": "btts",
"outcome": "no"
}
],
"edge_snapshot": {
"edge_label": "extreme_disagreement",
"edge_pp": -22.63,
"fair_prob_pct": 34.7,
"hero_side": "home",
"hero_team_name": "Ituano",
"market_prob_pct": 57.33,
"status": "market_ahead",
"steam_team_name": "Maranh\u00e3o"
},
"fair_source": "poisson_pipeline",
"fair_vs_market": {
"comparison_available": true,
"comparison_disabled": false,
"degraded_note": "",
"divergence_guard": {
"divergence_level": "extreme",
"edge_status": "market_ahead",
"max_gap_pp": 22.63,
"suppress_hero": false,
"suppress_value_language": true
},
"divergence_label": "Extreme model-market divergence",
"divergence_level": "extreme",
"divergence_level_label": "Extreme divergence",
"divergence_note": "The fair estimate differs substantially from current market pricing. Large divergences can occur when rating inputs are incomplete, team-strength estimates are uncertain, or the market incorporates information not present in the model. Interpret with caution.",
"divergence_tier": "extreme",
"edge_label": "Extreme disagreement",
"edge_label_key": "extreme_disagreement",
"fair_confidence": "medium",
"fair_confidence_label": "Medium",
"fair_source_note": "Fair probability from Poisson/xG statistical model. Not bookmaker odds. Not betting advice.",
"forecast_assessment": {
"favourite_class": "Balanced match",
"favourite_label": "Maranh\u00e3o",
"forecast_certainty_tier": "low",
"headline": "Balanced match",
"market_agreement_label": "Weak",
"market_prob_pct": 15.4,
"model_prob_pct": 35.6,
"outcome_separation_tier": "low",
"paragraphs": [],
"reliability_headline": "Use caution",
"reliability_icon": "!",
"reliability_tier": "caution",
"summary": "The model and market both lean Maranh\u00e3o, but neither indicates a dominant favourite. Draw and Ituano remain plausible \u2014 this is a relatively open match.",
"tier": "balanced",
"title": "Prediction Assessment",
"validation_label": "Warning",
"value_split": {
"execution_confidence": {
"label": "Execution Confidence",
"score": 41,
"tier": "low",
"tier_label": "Low"
},
"model_value": {
"label": "Model Value",
"score": 7,
"tier": "not_reliable",
"tier_label": "Not reliable"
},
"recommendation": {
"action": "wait",
"label": "Wait"
}
},
"why": {
"action_line": "Compare model lean with current best odds before sizing any bet.",
"bullets": [
"Model: Ituano 1.29 xG vs Maranh\u00e3o 1.31 \u2192 Maranh\u00e3o 35.6%",
"Market: Ituano ~15.4% implied",
"Steam: Maranh\u00e3o \u2191 +10.5%"
],
"one_liner": "Model leans Maranh\u00e3o, but market pricing diverges by 23 pp.",
"title": "Why?"
}
},
"forecast_certainty": {
"note": "Three outcomes remain closely bunched \u2014 treat as a relatively open match.",
"tier": "low",
"tier_label": "Low"
},
"forecast_certainty_label": "Low",
"has_market_probs": true,
"hero_edge_pp": -22.63,
"hero_label": "Ituano",
"hero_side": "home",
"market_activity": "Maranh\u00e3o odds lengthened \u2191 +10.5%.",
"market_agreement": "weak",
"market_agreement_label": "Weak",
"market_interpretation": {},
"market_narrative": {},
"max_gap_pp": 22.63,
"model_validation": {
"score_label_key": "mi_mv_warning",
"status": "warning"
},
"model_validation_label": "Warning",
"outcome_separation": {
"breakdown": [
"No outcome exceeds 50% on the 1X2 grid.",
"Top two 1X2 outcomes within 0.9 percentage points."
],
"lead_gap_pp": 0.9,
"max_prob_pct": 35.6,
"note": "How spread out the model 1X2 probabilities are \u2014 crowded splits mean no single outcome dominates. Not accuracy vs the market.",
"tier": "low",
"tier_label": "Low"
},
"outcome_separation_label": "Low",
"rows": [
{
"edge_pp": -22.63,
"fair_prob_pct": 34.7,
"is_hero": true,
"label": "Ituano",
"market_prob_pct": 57.33,
"side": "home"
},
{
"edge_pp": 2.43,
"fair_prob_pct": 29.65,
"is_hero": false,
"label": "Draw",
"market_prob_pct": 27.22,
"side": "draw"
},
{
"edge_pp": 20.2,
"fair_prob_pct": 35.64,
"is_hero": false,
"label": "Maranh\u00e3o",
"market_prob_pct": 15.44,
"side": "away"
}
],
"status": "market_ahead",
"status_label": "Market Ahead",
"steam_note": "",
"unavailable_note": ""
},
"interpretation": {
"has_conflict": true,
"paragraphs": [
"The betting market strongly prefers Ituano (15.4%).",
"However, Maranh\u00e3o has attracted one of the strongest multi-book steam moves of the day (\u2191 +10.5%, 11/12).",
"This creates a conflict: Model \u2192 Maranh\u00e3o, Market \u2192 Ituano, Recent sharp money \u2192 Maranh\u00e3o.",
"Because signals disagree, confidence remains limited."
],
"show": true,
"title": "OddsGPT Interpretation"
},
"lifecycle": {
"closing_implied_pct": 62.5,
"closing_odds": 1.6,
"clv_pending": true,
"clv_pp": 0.0,
"clv_status": "pending",
"context": "match",
"current_stage": "waiting_for_kickoff",
"current_stage_detail": "",
"current_stage_label": "Waiting for kickoff",
"entry_implied_pct": 62.5,
"entry_odds": 1.6,
"model_validation_label": "Warning",
"model_validation_status": "warning",
"stages": [
{
"detail": "",
"id": "forecast_generated",
"label": "Prediction Generated",
"status": "done"
},
{
"detail": "",
"id": "market_detected",
"label": "Market Compared",
"status": "active"
},
{
"detail": "",
"id": "model_validated",
"label": "Validation Passed",
"status": "active"
},
{
"detail": "PRE1",
"id": "closing_recorded",
"label": "Closing Recorded",
"status": "done"
},
{
"detail": "",
"id": "clv_evaluated",
"label": "CLV Evaluated",
"status": "pending"
}
]
},
"market_move_intelligence": {
"books_reacting": 11,
"books_total": 12,
"breadth_display": "11/12",
"clv_label": "+0.00 pp",
"clv_status": "evaluated",
"current_odds": 5.25,
"move_context": "Largest move today",
"move_display": "\u2191 +10.5%",
"move_pct_abs": 10.5,
"move_speed_icon": "\ud83d\udc22",
"move_speed_label": "Slow drift over 83h 49m",
"narrative_paragraphs": [
"Multi-book steam on Maranh\u00e3o (10.5%, 11/12) \u2014 aligned shortening, not a single-book blip.",
"Sharper sportsbooks initiated a solid move with growing cross-book confirmation."
],
"narrative_title": "Market Narrative",
"odds_delta_pct": 10.5,
"odds_path": {
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"5.94",
"5.35",
"4.75"
],
"display": "5.70 \u2192 4.20 \u2192 5.25",
"move_speed_icon": "\ud83d\udc22",
"move_speed_label": "Slow drift over 83h 49m",
"pick_team": "Maranh\u00e3o",
"points": [
{
"label_key": "open",
"value": "5.70"
},
{
"label_key": "extreme",
"value": "4.20"
},
{
"label_key": "current",
"value": "5.25"
}
],
"sparkline_points": [
4.75,
5.94,
5.25
],
"sparkline_polyline": "0.0,18.0 28.0,0.0 56.0,10.4",
"sparkline_trend": "up",
"sparkline_trend_label": "One-way rise",
"summary_boxes": [
{
"label_key": "open",
"value": "4.75"
},
{
"label_key": "low",
"value": "4.75"
},
{
"label_key": "high",
"value": "5.94"
},
{
"label_key": "current",
"value": "5.25"
}
]
},
"open_odds": 4.75,
"page_alert_line": "Sharp money alert: Maranh\u00e3o \u2191 +10.5% market move detected",
"phase_label": "Sharp repricing",
"phase_tip": "Aggressive adjustment \u2014 often sharp-led or high consensus.",
"pick_team": "Maranh\u00e3o",
"ref_book": "Bet365",
"seo_title_alert": "Sharp money alert: Maranh\u00e3o \u2191 +10.5% market move detected",
"sharp_leader": "Pinnacle",
"show": true,
"signal_badge_class": "confirm",
"signal_icon": "\ud83d\udcc8",
"signal_key": "market_steam",
"signal_label": "Steam",
"steam_score": 67,
"steam_subtitle": "Strong sharp signal",
"steam_tier": "A",
"title": "Market Move Intelligence"
},
"market_overview": {
"breadth_display": "11/12",
"current_odds": 5.25,
"move_display": "\u2191 +10.5%",
"open_odds": 4.75,
"pick_team": "Maranh\u00e3o",
"steam_score": 67,
"steam_team_name": "Maranh\u00e3o",
"steam_tier": "A"
},
"premium_teaser": {
"current_divergence_pp": 22.6,
"divergence_label": "Current divergence",
"title": "Premium Market Intelligence",
"unlock_items": [
"Historical similar matches",
"Closing odds analysis",
"CLV tracking",
"Sharp money signals",
"Market efficiency rating",
"Historical model vs market results"
],
"unlock_label": "Unlock"
},
"show": true
},
"match": {
"away_expected_goals": null,
"away_team_id": 7832,
"away_team_logo": "/static/teams/7832.webp",
"away_team_name": "Maranh\u00e3o",
"country_code": "BR",
"country_flag": "/static/images/country/br.svg",
"country_name": "Brazil",
"fixture_id": 1526870,
"goals_away": null,
"goals_home": null,
"home_expected_goals": null,
"home_team_country": "Brazil",
"home_team_id": 7779,
"home_team_logo": "/static/teams/7779.webp",
"home_team_name": "Ituano",
"league_country": "Brazil",
"league_id": 75,
"league_logo": "/static/leagues/75.webp",
"league_name": "Serie C Brazil",
"league_season": 2026,
"match_date": "2026-06-28 23:30:00",
"score_fulltime_away": null,
"score_fulltime_home": null,
"status_long": "Not Started",
"status_short": "NS",
"venue_city": "Itu",
"venue_name": null
},
"match_decision": {
"confidence": {
"breakdown": [
"pred_conf_md_max_1x2_under_50",
"pred_conf_md_top_two_close",
"pred_conf_md_line_above_ev"
],
"breakdown_resolved": [
"Max 1X2 prob under 50% (open contest) (\u22121.0)",
"Top two outcomes relatively close in probability (\u22120.5)",
"At least one tracked line above +EV threshold (+0.5)"
],
"score": 6.0
},
"markets": {
"1x2": {
"1x2_ev_mode": "market_first_p15",
"away": {
"alpha": 0.1396,
"best_odd": 5.94,
"calibration": {
"active": false,
"hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
},
"edge": 0.0281,
"ev": 0.0844,
"implied_prob": 0.1544,
"model_prob": 0.3559,
"p_final": 0.1826
},
"draw": {
"alpha": 0.2889,
"best_odd": 3.37,
"calibration": {
"active": false,
"hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
},
"edge": 0.0071,
"ev": -0.0587,
"implied_prob": 0.2722,
"model_prob": 0.2968,
"p_final": 0.2793
},
"ev_available": true,
"home": {
"alpha": 0.3965,
"best_odd": 1.6,
"calibration": {
"active": false,
"hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
},
"edge": -0.0896,
"ev": -0.2261,
"implied_prob": 0.5733,
"model_prob": 0.3473,
"p_final": 0.4837
}
},
"btts": {
"ev_available": false,
"n_bookmakers": 0,
"reliability": "low"
},
"ou25": {
"ev_available": false,
"n_bookmakers": 0,
"reliability": "low"
}
},
"match_tier": "value_game",
"min_ev": 0.02,
"total_xg": 2.6,
"variance_flag": false
},
"unified_decision": {
"actionable_ev_threshold": 0.02,
"algorithm": {
"enabled_since": "2026-05-26",
"game_typing_module": true,
"version": "2.2.1"
},
"balanced_alternative": null,
"best_tracked_ev": 0.0844,
"confidence": 5.0,
"decision_confidence_v1": {
"breakdown": [
"pred_conf_v1_primary_line",
"pred_conf_v1_max_1x2_under_50"
],
"breakdown_resolved": [
"Primary line identified (+1.0)",
"Max 1X2 prob under 50% (no dominant 1X2) (\u22121.0)"
],
"guard_capped": true,
"score": 3.0,
"score_before_guard": 5.0
},
"execution": {
"1x2_dominant": false,
"1x2_open_contest": true,
"grade": "B",
"stake_factor": 0.5
},
"favourite_misaligned_1x2": {
"active": false,
"gap": null,
"side": null
},
"game_type": {
"label_zh": "\u5747\u8861\uff08\u5f00\u653e\u8d5b\u679c\uff09",
"scoring_type": "balanced",
"signals": {
"btts_yes_prob": 0.545,
"draw_prob": 0.2968,
"max_1x2_prob": 0.3559,
"over_prob": 0.482,
"total_xg": 2.6,
"under_prob": 0.518,
"xg_diff": 0.02
},
"type": "balanced",
"typing_weights_enabled": true
},
"guard_active": true,
"guard_level": "extreme",
"guard_message": "Model validation failed \u2014 value signals on 1X2 are not actionable until inputs are verified.",
"hero_display_pick": null,
"longshot_picks": [],
"markets": {
"1x2": {
"decision": "guard_blocked",
"decision_before_guard": "value_bet",
"edge": 0.0281,
"ev": 0.0844,
"guard_blocked": true,
"implied_prob": 0.1544,
"max_ev_side": "away",
"model_prob": 0.3559,
"side": "away",
"side_label": "Maranh\u00e3o"
},
"btts": {
"decision": "lean",
"edge": null,
"ev": null,
"implied_prob": null,
"model_prob": 0.545,
"side": "yes",
"value_side": "yes"
},
"ou_2_5": {
"decision": "no_bet",
"edge": null,
"ev": null,
"implied_prob": null,
"model_prob": 0.518,
"side": "under",
"value_side": "under"
}
},
"match_id": 1526870,
"match_regime": {
"action": "optional",
"actionable": true,
"clear_edge": false,
"code": "thin_edge",
"execution_line_key": null,
"insight_line_key": null,
"max_valid_ev": 0.0844,
"min_ev": 0.02,
"stake_mult": 0.25,
"use_split_strip": false
},
"match_tier": "value_game",
"no_clear_primary": false,
"probabilities": {
"away": 0.3559,
"draw": 0.2968,
"home": 0.3473
},
"reason_codes": [
"model_summary"
],
"secondary_pick": null,
"secondary_picks": [],
"suppressed_primary": null,
"teams": {
"away": "Maranh\u00e3o",
"home": "Ituano"
},
"top_pick": {
"composite_score": 0.033042,
"decision": "value_bet",
"ev": 0.0844,
"implied_prob": 0.1544,
"market": "1x2",
"model_prob": 0.3559,
"not_dominant": true,
"primary_strength": "weak",
"risk_band": "speculative",
"risk_tier": "primary",
"side": "away",
"side_label": "Maranh\u00e3o",
"slot": "primary",
"speculative_primary": true
},
"valid_markets_count": 1
}
},
"fixture_id": 1526870,
"generated_at_utc": "2026-06-28T23:29:05.440704+00:00",
"lang_id": "en"
}
Khám phá thêm nội dung dự đoán
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Mở khóa phân tích chuyên sâu, mẹo cá cược độc quyền và dự đoán trận đấu với dịch vụ đăng ký cao cấp của chúng tôi.
Đăng ký ngay
Serie C Brazil — Bảng xếp hạng
| # | Đội | Tr | T | H | B | Đ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Botafogo PB | 19 | 10 | 3 | 6 | 33 |
| 2 | Brusque | 19 | 9 | 5 | 5 | 32 |
| 3 | Ferroviária | 19 | 8 | 6 | 5 | 30 |
| 4 | Maringá | 19 | 8 | 6 | 5 | 30 |
| 5 | Floresta | 19 | 8 | 6 | 5 | 30 |
| 6 | Inter De Limeira | 19 | 8 | 6 | 5 | 30 |
| 7 | Paysandu | 19 | 9 | 2 | 8 | 29 |
| 8 | Santa Cruz | 19 | 8 | 5 | 6 | 29 |
| 9 | Ypiranga-RS | 19 | 8 | 5 | 6 | 29 |
| 10 | Guarani Campinas | 19 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 28 |
| 11 | Figueirense | 19 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 28 |
| 12 | Maranhão | 19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 27 |
| 13 | Amazonas | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 26 |
| 14 | Caxias | 19 | 6 | 7 | 6 | 25 |
| 15 | Ituano | 19 | 6 | 4 | 9 | 22 |
| 16 | Volta Redonda | 19 | 6 | 3 | 10 | 21 |
| 17 | Barra | 19 | 5 | 6 | 8 | 21 |
| 18 | Anápolis | 19 | 5 | 4 | 10 | 19 |
| 19 | AO Itabaiana | 19 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 17 |
| 20 | Confiança | 19 | 3 | 4 | 12 | 13 |
| # | Đội | Tr | BT | BB | +/- | Đ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Guarani Campinas | 19 | 34 | 24 | +10 | 28 |
| 2 | Maringá | 19 | 32 | 30 | +2 | 30 |
| 3 | Botafogo PB | 19 | 28 | 19 | +9 | 33 |
| 4 | Brusque | 19 | 28 | 22 | +6 | 32 |
| 5 | Ypiranga-RS | 19 | 27 | 24 | +3 | 29 |
| 6 | Paysandu | 19 | 26 | 27 | -1 | 29 |
| 7 | Ferroviária | 19 | 22 | 15 | +7 | 30 |
| 8 | Floresta | 19 | 22 | 20 | +2 | 30 |
| 9 | Inter De Limeira | 19 | 22 | 20 | +2 | 30 |
| 10 | Barra | 19 | 21 | 21 | 0 | 21 |
| 11 | Amazonas | 19 | 21 | 23 | -2 | 26 |
| 12 | Santa Cruz | 19 | 20 | 15 | +5 | 29 |
| 13 | Maranhão | 19 | 19 | 18 | +1 | 27 |
| 14 | Figueirense | 19 | 19 | 22 | -3 | 28 |
| 15 | Ituano | 19 | 18 | 21 | -3 | 22 |
| 16 | Caxias | 19 | 17 | 16 | +1 | 25 |
| 17 | Anápolis | 19 | 17 | 22 | -5 | 19 |
| 18 | AO Itabaiana | 19 | 14 | 27 | -13 | 17 |
| 19 | Volta Redonda | 19 | 13 | 25 | -12 | 21 |
| 20 | Confiança | 19 | 11 | 20 | -9 | 13 |
