Thống kê / Bóng đá / Brazil. Cúp U20 Brazil A / Criciúma U20 vs Palmeiras U20

Criciúma U20 vs Palmeiras U20 Statistics & Analysis

Jun 16, 2026 - 18:00
0 1.14
6 1.46
xG Accuracy: 21%
Nhà cái cao cấp stake: người mới có thể dùng mã khuyến mãi FHn2uDc1. Đăng ký ngay

Thị trường được theo dõi so với kết quả toàn thời gian

Mỗi hàng so sánh mô hình trước trận đấu với kết quả toàn thời gian.

  • Chợ Dự đoán Kết quả kết quả
  • Tài / Xỉu 2.5 Xỉu 2.5 Tài 2.5 (6 mục tiêu) ✖ Không đúng
  • Cả Hai Đội Đều Ghi Bàn BTTS Không Không ✔ Chính xác
  • 1X2 Palmeiras U20 Palmeiras U20 ✔ Chính xác
  • Thông tin tỷ số chính xác 1-1, 0-1, 1-2, 1-0, 0-2 0-6 ✖ Không đúng

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Aug 04, 2026 · 05:02 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-2976697

Closing Odds 1.64
AI Fair Odds
CLV +0.0%
Final Result Palmeiras U20 win · Criciúma U20 0–6 Palmeiras U20
Prediction ✔ Correct
Decision Grade B-

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Thông tin thị trường

Đọc bổ sung sau lựa chọn chính: feed đóng kèo ưu tiên đã thay đổi so với mô hình thế nào.

Tóm tắt thị trường

Thị trường khá ổn định trước giờ bóng lăn. Không thấy dịch chuyển implied đáng kể giữa PRE30 và PRE1 trên snapshot ưu tiên.

Dù biến động muộn hạn chế, mô hình vẫn định giá Criciúma U20 (1X2),Vẽ tranh (1X2),Dưới 2,5 bàn cao hơn rõ rệt so với implied từ các snapshot đóng kèo — đây là bức tranh tĩnh «mô hình so với giá», không phải câu chuyện đuổi dòng muộn.

Mô hình vẫn cao hơn implied đóng kèo ở Dưới 2,5 bàn khoảng 8.0 điểm phần trăm — tín hiệu lệch giá rõ nhất trên trang này.

Mô hình so với xác suất ngầm lúc đóng kèo

Thị trường Mô hình % Ngầm đóng kèo % Chênh (pp)
Criciúma U20 (1X2) 25.6 21.5 +4.1
Vẽ tranh (1X2) 27.2 21.2 +6.1
Palmeiras U20 (1X2) 47.1 57.3 -10.2
Trên 2,5 bàn 48.2 56.2 -8.0
Dưới 2,5 bàn 51.8 43.8 +8.0
Ý nghĩa đơn giản

Nói dễ hiểu: mô hình khoảng 51.8% cho Dưới 2,5 bàn, trong khi snapshot đóng kèo ngầm khoảng 43.8%. Chênh lệch — khoảng 8.0 điểm phần trăm — là khoảng cách mô hình–thị trường lớn nhất được nhấn mạnh trên trang này.

Giải thích nhanh: «ngầm đóng kèo» là xác suất suy ra từ kèo chụp cuối (sau khi bỏ vig đơn giản). «Chênh (pp)» = % mô hình trừ % ngầm đó, tính theo điểm phần trăm (pp).

Biến động kèo trước giờ bóng lăn

Một nhà cái ưu tiên mỗi snapshot (không phải toàn thị trường). Đường dẫn chụp: PRE30 → PRE1 · Nhà cái: Pinnacle

Trong ngoặc trên cột: Closing = snapshot đầu tiên khả dụng theo PRE1→PRE5→PRE10→PRE30; Early = snapshot đầu tiên trong PRE30→PRE10→PRE5 khác Closing.

Kèo chi tiết được gấp bên dưới — biến động implied (đã bỏ vig) không đáng kể.

Xem bảng đầy đủ từng dòng
Thị trường Sớm (PRE30) Sát giờ (PRE1) Δ ngầm (pp)
Criciúma U20 (1X2) 4.37 4.37 0.0
Vẽ tranh (1X2) 4.44 4.44 0.0
Palmeiras U20 (1X2) 1.64 1.64 0.0
Trên 2,5 bàn 1.69 1.69 0.0
Dưới 2,5 bàn 2.17 2.17 0.0

Chưa có briefing AI cho trận này. Sau khi nâng cấp máy chủ, chạy lại «Tạo tỷ lệ hàng loạt» để tạo bản tóm tắt.

View technical JSON
{
  "bundle_version": 1,
  "content_hash": "a77e6b9042cf430444b7c977bd97169db0f441deee7edb1387ba93326f85ba06",
  "decision_algo_version": "2.2.0",
  "facts": {
    "ai_fp": {
      "afp_away_win_prob": 0.4713,
      "afp_draw_prob": 0.2723,
      "afp_home_win_prob": 0.2564,
      "away_predicted_xg": 1.46,
      "away_win_prob": 0.4713,
      "away_win_prob_posterior": 0.4713,
      "bayes_applied": 1,
      "btts_no_prob": 0.462,
      "btts_yes_prob": 0.538,
      "dc_rho": -0.13,
      "draw_prob": 0.2723,
      "draw_prob_posterior": 0.2723,
      "fair_odds_away": 2.12,
      "fair_odds_away_posterior": 2.12,
      "fair_odds_draw": 3.67,
      "fair_odds_draw_posterior": 3.67,
      "fair_odds_home": 3.9,
      "fair_odds_home_posterior": 3.9,
      "home_predicted_xg": 1.14,
      "home_win_prob": 0.2564,
      "home_win_prob_posterior": 0.2564,
      "over_25_prob": 0.482,
      "prediction_confidence": "very_low",
      "under_25_prob": 0.518
    },
    "api_prediction": {
      "advice": "Winner : Palmeiras U20",
      "main_pick_display": "No Value Bet in 1X2",
      "percent_away": "50%",
      "percent_draw": "50%",
      "percent_home": "0%",
      "winner_name": "Palmeiras U20"
    },
    "away_xg": 1.46,
    "betting_insight": {
      "bet_label": "Palmeiras U20",
      "confidence": null,
      "main_pick_meta": {
        "confidence": "low",
        "display_text": "No Value Bet in 1X2",
        "edge": -0.1018,
        "edge_gap": 0.1991,
        "market": "1X2",
        "market_prob": 0.5732,
        "model_prob": 0.4714,
        "pick_type": "no_value",
        "probabilities": {
          "away": 47.1,
          "draw": 27.2,
          "home": 25.6
        },
        "reason": "Model probability is not above market implied probability",
        "selection": null,
        "selection_name": null
      },
      "market_comparison": [
        {
          "affi_link": "",
          "bookmaker_name": "Pinnacle",
          "odd": 1.64
        }
      ],
      "risk_color": null,
      "risk_key": null,
      "stacked_market": null,
      "value_bet": {
        "best_odds": 1.64,
        "bookmaker_id": 0,
        "bookmaker_name": "Pinnacle",
        "display_market": "Palmeiras U20 Win",
        "is_value": false,
        "label": "Away",
        "market_fair_odds": 1.74,
        "market_odds": 1.64,
        "model_odds": 2.12,
        "overround": 6.4,
        "prob_edge": -13.8,
        "value_pct": -22.6,
        "value_rating": "no_value"
      }
    },
    "betting_markets": {
      "btts": {
        "away_clean_sheet": 4,
        "away_failed_to_score": 0,
        "away_played": 15,
        "away_score_rate": 76.8,
        "home_clean_sheet": 2,
        "home_failed_to_score": 4,
        "home_played": 15,
        "home_score_rate": 68.0,
        "no_prob": 46.2,
        "pick": "Yes",
        "pick_prob": 53.8,
        "source": "xG_dc",
        "strong_pick": false,
        "yes_prob": 53.8
      },
      "correct_score": {
        "away_expected": 1.46,
        "home_expected": 1.14,
        "scores": [
          {
            "away": 1,
            "home": 1,
            "label": "1-1",
            "prob": 12.4
          },
          {
            "away": 1,
            "home": 0,
            "label": "0-1",
            "prob": 10.8
          },
          {
            "away": 2,
            "home": 1,
            "label": "1-2",
            "prob": 9.0
          },
          {
            "away": 0,
            "home": 1,
            "label": "1-0",
            "prob": 8.5
          },
          {
            "away": 2,
            "home": 0,
            "label": "0-2",
            "prob": 7.9
          }
        ],
        "source": "xG"
      },
      "double_chance": {
        "options": [
          {
            "key": "1X",
            "label": "Crici\u00fama U20 or Draw",
            "prob": 52.8
          },
          {
            "key": "12",
            "label": "Crici\u00fama U20 or Palmeiras U20",
            "prob": 72.7
          },
          {
            "key": "X2",
            "label": "Draw or Palmeiras U20",
            "prob": 74.3
          }
        ],
        "pick_key": "X2",
        "pick_label": "Draw or Palmeiras U20",
        "pick_prob": 74.3
      },
      "match_winner": {
        "away_pct": 47.1,
        "draw_pct": 27.2,
        "home_pct": 25.6,
        "lean_key": "away",
        "lean_label": "Palmeiras U20"
      },
      "over_under": {
        "api_hint": null,
        "avg_total": 2.6,
        "away_avg_scored": 2.5,
        "confidence": "low",
        "home_avg_scored": 1.2,
        "over_prob": 48.2,
        "pick": "Under 2.5",
        "pick_prob": 51.8,
        "source": "xG_dc",
        "strong_pick": true,
        "total_expected": 2.6,
        "under_prob": 51.8
      },
      "prob_source": "poisson",
      "value_bet_enhanced": {
        "bookmaker_id": 0,
        "bookmaker_name": "Pinnacle",
        "edge": 20.8,
        "implied_prob": 22.5,
        "is_value": true,
        "label": "Draw",
        "market": "Draw",
        "model_prob": 27.2,
        "odds": 4.44
      }
    },
    "closing_line_bundle": {
      "away_team": "Palmeiras U20",
      "closing_bookmaker": "Pinnacle",
      "closing_capture": "PRE1",
      "early_bookmaker": "Pinnacle",
      "early_capture": "PRE30",
      "has_data": true,
      "home_team": "Crici\u00fama U20",
      "largest_move_kind": null,
      "max_abs_move_pp": 0.0,
      "model_vs_closing": [
        {
          "closing_implied_pct": 21.51,
          "gap_pp": 4.12,
          "kind": "1x2_h",
          "model_pct": 25.63
        },
        {
          "closing_implied_pct": 21.17,
          "gap_pp": 6.06,
          "kind": "1x2_d",
          "model_pct": 27.23
        },
        {
          "closing_implied_pct": 57.32,
          "gap_pp": -10.18,
          "kind": "1x2_a",
          "model_pct": 47.14
        },
        {
          "closing_implied_pct": 56.22,
          "gap_pp": -8.02,
          "kind": "ou_o",
          "model_pct": 48.2
        },
        {
          "closing_implied_pct": 43.78,
          "gap_pp": 8.02,
          "kind": "ou_u",
          "model_pct": 51.8
        }
      ],
      "movement": [
        {
          "closing": 4.37,
          "early": 4.37,
          "implied_closing_pct": 21.51,
          "implied_delta_pp": 0.0,
          "implied_early_pct": 21.51,
          "kind": "1x2_h"
        },
        {
          "closing": 4.44,
          "early": 4.44,
          "implied_closing_pct": 21.17,
          "implied_delta_pp": 0.0,
          "implied_early_pct": 21.17,
          "kind": "1x2_d"
        },
        {
          "closing": 1.64,
          "early": 1.64,
          "implied_closing_pct": 57.32,
          "implied_delta_pp": 0.0,
          "implied_early_pct": 57.32,
          "kind": "1x2_a"
        },
        {
          "closing": 1.69,
          "early": 1.69,
          "implied_closing_pct": 56.22,
          "implied_delta_pp": 0.0,
          "implied_early_pct": 56.22,
          "kind": "ou_o"
        },
        {
          "closing": 2.17,
          "early": 2.17,
          "implied_closing_pct": 43.78,
          "implied_delta_pp": 0.0,
          "implied_early_pct": 43.78,
          "kind": "ou_u"
        }
      ],
      "movement_negligible": true,
      "same_bookmaker": true,
      "top_value_gap": {
        "gap_pp": 8.0,
        "kind": "ou_u"
      }
    },
    "correct_score_insight": {
      "best_value": null,
      "most_likely": {
        "label": "1-1",
        "prob": 12.4
      }
    },
    "home_xg": 1.14,
    "homepage_pick": null,
    "market_cards": [
      {
        "decision": "value_bet",
        "ev_available": true,
        "ev_over": -0.1806,
        "ev_over_display": {
          "capped": false,
          "raw_pct": -18.1,
          "text": "-18.1%"
        },
        "ev_under": 0.1396,
        "ev_under_display": {
          "capped": false,
          "raw_pct": 14.0,
          "text": "+14.0%"
        },
        "featured": true,
        "id": "ou_2_5",
        "max_ev": 0.1396,
        "over_prob": 48.2,
        "sort_key": 10275.64,
        "tier": "best",
        "under_prob": 51.8,
        "value_side": "under"
      },
      {
        "decision": "small_edge",
        "ev_available": true,
        "ev_no": 0.0072,
        "ev_no_display": {
          "capped": false,
          "raw_pct": 0.7,
          "text": "+0.7%"
        },
        "ev_yes": -0.0693,
        "ev_yes_display": {
          "capped": false,
          "raw_pct": -6.9,
          "text": "-6.9%"
        },
        "featured": false,
        "id": "btts",
        "max_ev": 0.0072,
        "no_prob": 46.2,
        "sort_key": 5205.76,
        "tier": "lean",
        "value_side": "no",
        "yes_prob": 53.8
      },
      {
        "decision": "no_bet",
        "ev": -0.1448,
        "ev_available": true,
        "ev_display": {
          "capped": false,
          "raw_pct": -14.5,
          "text": "-14.5%"
        },
        "featured": false,
        "id": "1x2",
        "implied_prob": 0.5732,
        "max_ev": -0.0111,
        "max_ev_display": {
          "capped": false,
          "raw_pct": -1.1,
          "text": "-1.1%"
        },
        "model_prob": 0.4714,
        "side_label": "Palmeiras U20",
        "sort_key": 1797.225,
        "tier": "bad_ev"
      },
      {
        "featured": false,
        "id": "correct_score",
        "sort_key": 817.2,
        "tier": "risk",
        "top_label": "1-1",
        "top_prob": 12.4
      }
    ],
    "market_intelligence": {
      "betting_signal": {
        "alert_breadth": "10/11",
        "alert_breadth_note": "10/11 sportsbooks confirmed",
        "alert_move": "\u2191 +5.6%",
        "alert_team": "Crici\u00fama U20",
        "alert_title": "Sharp Money Alert",
        "divergence_pp": 10.2,
        "has_alert": true,
        "hero_edge_pp": -10.19,
        "hero_label": "Palmeiras U20",
        "market_prob_pct": 57.3,
        "market_team": "Palmeiras U20",
        "model_prob_pct": 47.1,
        "model_team": "Palmeiras U20",
        "show": true,
        "status_icon": "!",
        "status_key": "caution",
        "status_label": "Use caution",
        "status_line": "Use caution \u2014 signals are mixed",
        "steam_score": 51,
        "steam_subtitle": "Moderate sharp signal",
        "steam_tier": "B",
        "title": "Betting Signal"
      },
      "edge_rows": [
        {
          "edge_pp": 4.13,
          "fair_prob": 25.64,
          "label": "Crici\u00fama U20",
          "market_prob": 21.51,
          "market_type": "1x2",
          "outcome": "home"
        },
        {
          "edge_pp": 6.06,
          "fair_prob": 27.23,
          "label": "Draw",
          "market_prob": 21.17,
          "market_type": "1x2",
          "outcome": "draw"
        },
        {
          "edge_pp": -10.19,
          "fair_prob": 47.13,
          "label": "Palmeiras U20",
          "market_prob": 57.32,
          "market_type": "1x2",
          "outcome": "away"
        },
        {
          "edge_pp": -8.12,
          "fair_prob": 48.2,
          "label": "Over 2.5",
          "market_prob": 56.32,
          "market_type": "ou25",
          "outcome": "over"
        },
        {
          "edge_pp": 8.12,
          "fair_prob": 51.8,
          "label": "Under 2.5",
          "market_prob": 43.68,
          "market_type": "ou25",
          "outcome": "under"
        },
        {
          "edge_pp": -1.69,
          "fair_prob": 53.8,
          "label": "BTTS Yes",
          "market_prob": 55.49,
          "market_type": "btts",
          "outcome": "yes"
        },
        {
          "edge_pp": 1.69,
          "fair_prob": 46.2,
          "label": "BTTS No",
          "market_prob": 44.51,
          "market_type": "btts",
          "outcome": "no"
        }
      ],
      "edge_snapshot": {
        "edge_label": "strong_disagreement",
        "edge_pp": -10.19,
        "fair_prob_pct": 47.13,
        "hero_side": "away",
        "hero_team_name": "Palmeiras U20",
        "market_prob_pct": 57.32,
        "status": "market_ahead",
        "steam_team_name": "Crici\u00fama U20"
      },
      "fair_source": "poisson_pipeline",
      "fair_vs_market": {
        "comparison_available": true,
        "comparison_disabled": false,
        "degraded_note": "",
        "divergence_guard": {
          "divergence_level": "strong",
          "edge_status": "market_ahead",
          "max_gap_pp": 10.19,
          "suppress_hero": false,
          "suppress_value_language": false
        },
        "divergence_label": "Strong model-market divergence",
        "divergence_level": "strong",
        "divergence_level_label": "Strong divergence",
        "divergence_note": "The fair estimate differs noticeably from current market pricing. This may reflect genuine disagreement or incomplete rating inputs.",
        "divergence_tier": "strong",
        "edge_label": "Strong disagreement",
        "edge_label_key": "strong_disagreement",
        "fair_confidence": "medium",
        "fair_confidence_label": "Medium",
        "fair_source_note": "Fair probability from Poisson/xG statistical model. Not bookmaker odds. Not betting advice.",
        "forecast_assessment": {
          "favourite_class": "Slight favourite",
          "favourite_label": "Palmeiras U20",
          "forecast_certainty_tier": "medium",
          "headline": "Slight edge match",
          "market_agreement_label": "Weak",
          "market_prob_pct": 57.3,
          "model_prob_pct": 47.1,
          "outcome_separation_tier": "medium",
          "paragraphs": [],
          "reliability_headline": "Use caution",
          "reliability_icon": "!",
          "reliability_tier": "caution",
          "summary": "Model and market lean the same side on Palmeiras U20, but pricing gaps warrant caution.",
          "tier": "slight_edge",
          "title": "Prediction Assessment",
          "validation_label": "Warning"
        },
        "forecast_certainty": {
          "note": "A lead outcome exists, but the match is not one-sided in the model.",
          "tier": "medium",
          "tier_label": "Medium"
        },
        "forecast_certainty_label": "Medium",
        "has_market_probs": true,
        "hero_edge_pp": -10.19,
        "hero_label": "Palmeiras U20",
        "hero_side": "away",
        "market_activity": "Crici\u00fama U20 odds lengthened \u2191 +5.6%.",
        "market_agreement": "weak",
        "market_agreement_label": "Weak",
        "market_interpretation": {
          "bullets": [
            "Investors may be incorporating information not fully reflected in the baseline model.",
            "Tournament-specific context can shift market pricing."
          ],
          "follow_up": "However, Crici\u00fama U20 has seen drift \u2014 odds lengthened by 5.6%, suggesting weakening support.",
          "gap_tier": "strong",
          "lead": "The market is materially more optimistic about Palmeiras U20 than the current fair estimate.",
          "note": "Drift away from Crici\u00fama U20 \u2014 odds lengthened by 5.6% (weakening support).",
          "paragraphs": [
            "The market is materially more optimistic about Palmeiras U20 than the current fair estimate.",
            "However, Crici\u00fama U20 has seen drift \u2014 odds lengthened by 5.6%, suggesting weakening support.",
            "Drift away from Crici\u00fama U20 \u2014 odds lengthened by 5.6% (weakening support)."
          ],
          "quiet_market": false,
          "title": "Market Assessment"
        },
        "market_narrative": {
          "paragraphs": [
            "The market favors Palmeiras U20 more strongly than the current fair estimate.",
            "At the same time, Crici\u00fama U20 has drifted \u2014 odds lengthened by 5.6%, suggesting weakening support.",
            "Broad sportsbook alignment (10/11) supports the current market view on Crici\u00fama U20."
          ],
          "title": "Current Market Narrative"
        },
        "max_gap_pp": 10.19,
        "model_validation": {
          "score_label_key": "mi_mv_warning",
          "status": "warning"
        },
        "model_validation_label": "Warning",
        "outcome_separation": {
          "breakdown": [
            "No outcome exceeds 50% on the 1X2 grid.",
            "Favourite exceeds second outcome by 19.9 pp (at 47.1%)."
          ],
          "lead_gap_pp": 19.9,
          "max_prob_pct": 47.1,
          "note": "How spread out the model 1X2 probabilities are \u2014 crowded splits mean no single outcome dominates. Not accuracy vs the market.",
          "tier": "medium",
          "tier_label": "Medium"
        },
        "outcome_separation_label": "Medium",
        "rows": [
          {
            "edge_pp": 4.13,
            "fair_prob_pct": 25.64,
            "is_hero": false,
            "label": "Crici\u00fama U20",
            "market_prob_pct": 21.51,
            "side": "home"
          },
          {
            "edge_pp": 6.06,
            "fair_prob_pct": 27.23,
            "is_hero": false,
            "label": "Draw",
            "market_prob_pct": 21.17,
            "side": "draw"
          },
          {
            "edge_pp": -10.19,
            "fair_prob_pct": 47.13,
            "is_hero": true,
            "label": "Palmeiras U20",
            "market_prob_pct": 57.32,
            "side": "away"
          }
        ],
        "status": "market_ahead",
        "status_label": "Market Ahead",
        "steam_note": "Drift away from Crici\u00fama U20 \u2014 odds lengthened by 5.6% (weakening support).",
        "unavailable_note": ""
      },
      "interpretation": {
        "has_conflict": true,
        "paragraphs": [
          "The betting market strongly prefers Palmeiras U20 (57.3%).",
          "However, Crici\u00fama U20 has attracted one of the strongest multi-book steam moves of the day (\u2191 +5.6%, 10/11).",
          "This creates a conflict: Model \u2192 Palmeiras U20, Market \u2192 Palmeiras U20, Recent sharp money \u2192 Crici\u00fama U20.",
          "Because signals disagree, confidence remains limited."
        ],
        "show": true,
        "title": "OddsGPT Interpretation"
      },
      "lifecycle": {
        "closing_implied_pct": 60.98,
        "closing_odds": 1.64,
        "clv_pending": true,
        "clv_pp": 0.0,
        "clv_status": "pending",
        "context": "match",
        "current_stage": "waiting_for_kickoff",
        "current_stage_detail": "",
        "current_stage_label": "Waiting for kickoff",
        "entry_implied_pct": 60.98,
        "entry_odds": 1.64,
        "model_validation_label": "Warning",
        "model_validation_status": "warning",
        "stages": [
          {
            "detail": "",
            "id": "forecast_generated",
            "label": "Prediction Generated",
            "status": "done"
          },
          {
            "detail": "",
            "id": "market_detected",
            "label": "Market Compared",
            "status": "active"
          },
          {
            "detail": "",
            "id": "model_validated",
            "label": "Validation Passed",
            "status": "active"
          },
          {
            "detail": "PRE1",
            "id": "closing_recorded",
            "label": "Closing Recorded",
            "status": "done"
          },
          {
            "detail": "",
            "id": "clv_evaluated",
            "label": "CLV Evaluated",
            "status": "pending"
          }
        ]
      },
      "market_move_intelligence": {
        "books_reacting": 10,
        "books_total": 11,
        "breadth_display": "10/11",
        "clv_label": "+0.00 pp",
        "clv_status": "evaluated",
        "current_odds": 4.75,
        "move_context": "Largest move today",
        "move_display": "\u2191 +5.6%",
        "move_pct_abs": 5.6,
        "move_speed_icon": "\u2194",
        "move_speed_label": "Gradual move over 7h 59m",
        "narrative_paragraphs": [
          "Pinnacle led repricing on Crici\u00fama U20 (5.6%) \u2014 sharp book moved before wider follow-through.",
          "A meaningful move led by sharper sportsbooks, with moderate market confirmation."
        ],
        "narrative_title": "Market Narrative",
        "odds_path": {
          "display": "4.75 \u2192 3.50 \u2192 4.75",
          "move_speed_icon": "\u2194",
          "move_speed_label": "Gradual move over 7h 59m",
          "pick_team": "Crici\u00fama U20",
          "points": [
            {
              "label_key": "open",
              "value": "4.75"
            },
            {
              "label_key": "extreme",
              "value": "3.50"
            },
            {
              "label_key": "current",
              "value": "4.75"
            }
          ],
          "sparkline_polyline": "0.0,11.8 28.0,18.0 56.0,0.0",
          "sparkline_trend": "up",
          "sparkline_trend_label": "One-way rise"
        },
        "open_odds": 4.5,
        "page_alert_line": "Strong steam move across 10/11 sportsbooks on Crici\u00fama U20",
        "phase_label": "Sharp repricing",
        "phase_tip": "Aggressive adjustment \u2014 often sharp-led or high consensus.",
        "pick_team": "Crici\u00fama U20",
        "ref_book": "Bet365",
        "seo_title_alert": "",
        "sharp_leader": "Pinnacle",
        "show": true,
        "signal_badge_class": "confirm",
        "signal_icon": "\u26a1",
        "signal_key": "sharp_led",
        "signal_label": "Sharp-led move",
        "steam_score": 51,
        "steam_subtitle": "Moderate sharp signal",
        "steam_tier": "B",
        "title": "Market Move Intelligence"
      },
      "market_overview": {
        "breadth_display": "10/11",
        "current_odds": 4.75,
        "move_display": "\u2191 +5.6%",
        "open_odds": 4.5,
        "pick_team": "Crici\u00fama U20",
        "steam_score": 51,
        "steam_team_name": "Crici\u00fama U20",
        "steam_tier": "B"
      },
      "premium_teaser": {
        "current_divergence_pp": 10.2,
        "divergence_label": "Current divergence",
        "title": "Premium Market Intelligence",
        "unlock_items": [
          "Historical similar matches",
          "Closing odds analysis",
          "CLV tracking",
          "Sharp money signals",
          "Market efficiency rating",
          "Historical model vs market results"
        ],
        "unlock_label": "Unlock"
      },
      "show": true
    },
    "match": {
      "away_expected_goals": null,
      "away_team_id": 12968,
      "away_team_logo": "/static/teams/12968.webp",
      "away_team_name": "Palmeiras U20",
      "country_code": "BR",
      "country_flag": "/static/images/country/br.svg",
      "country_name": "Brazil",
      "fixture_id": 1526178,
      "goals_away": 0,
      "goals_home": 0,
      "home_expected_goals": null,
      "home_team_country": "Brazil",
      "home_team_id": 12999,
      "home_team_logo": "/static/teams/12999.webp",
      "home_team_name": "Crici\u00fama U20",
      "league_country": "Brazil",
      "league_id": 740,
      "league_logo": "/static/leagues/740.webp",
      "league_name": "C\u00fap U20 Brazil A",
      "league_season": 2026,
      "match_date": "2026-06-16 18:00:00",
      "score_fulltime_away": null,
      "score_fulltime_home": null,
      "status_long": "First Half",
      "status_short": "1H",
      "venue_city": null,
      "venue_name": null
    },
    "match_decision": {
      "confidence": {
        "breakdown": [
          "pred_conf_md_max_1x2_under_50",
          "pred_conf_md_line_above_ev"
        ],
        "breakdown_resolved": [
          "Max 1X2 prob under 50% (open contest) (\u22121.0)",
          "At least one tracked line above +EV threshold (+0.5)"
        ],
        "score": 6.5
      },
      "markets": {
        "1x2": {
          "1x2_ev_mode": "market_first_p15",
          "away": {
            "alpha": 0.5084,
            "best_odd": 1.64,
            "calibration": {
              "active": false,
              "hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
            },
            "edge": -0.0517,
            "ev": -0.1448,
            "implied_prob": 0.5732,
            "model_prob": 0.4714,
            "p_final": 0.5214
          },
          "draw": {
            "alpha": 0.1818,
            "best_odd": 4.44,
            "calibration": {
              "active": false,
              "hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
            },
            "edge": 0.011,
            "ev": -0.0111,
            "implied_prob": 0.2117,
            "model_prob": 0.2723,
            "p_final": 0.2227
          },
          "ev_available": true,
          "home": {
            "alpha": 0.1877,
            "best_odd": 4.37,
            "calibration": {
              "active": false,
              "hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
            },
            "edge": 0.0077,
            "ev": -0.0262,
            "implied_prob": 0.2151,
            "model_prob": 0.2563,
            "p_final": 0.2228
          }
        },
        "btts": {
          "best_no_odd": 2.18,
          "best_yes_odd": 1.73,
          "edge_no": 0.0169,
          "edge_yes": -0.0169,
          "ev_available": true,
          "ev_no": 0.0072,
          "ev_yes": -0.0693,
          "implied_no": 0.4451,
          "implied_yes": 0.5549,
          "n_bookmakers": 7,
          "reliability": "medium"
        },
        "ou25": {
          "best_over_odd": 1.7,
          "best_under_odd": 2.2,
          "edge_over": -0.0812,
          "edge_under": 0.0812,
          "ev_available": true,
          "ev_over": -0.1806,
          "ev_under": 0.1396,
          "implied_over": 0.5632,
          "implied_under": 0.4368,
          "n_bookmakers": 9,
          "reliability": "medium"
        }
      },
      "match_tier": "value_game",
      "min_ev": 0.02,
      "total_xg": 2.6,
      "variance_flag": false
    },
    "unified_decision": {
      "actionable_ev_threshold": 0.02,
      "algorithm": {
        "enabled_since": "2026-05-26",
        "game_typing_module": true,
        "version": "2.2.0"
      },
      "balanced_alternative": null,
      "best_tracked_ev": 0.1396,
      "confidence": 6.0,
      "decision_confidence_v1": {
        "breakdown": [
          "pred_conf_v1_primary_line",
          "pred_conf_v1_primary_ev_above_10",
          "pred_conf_v1_max_1x2_under_50"
        ],
        "breakdown_resolved": [
          "Primary line identified (+1.0)",
          "Primary EV above 10% (+1.0)",
          "Max 1X2 prob under 50% (no dominant 1X2) (\u22121.0)"
        ],
        "score": 6.0
      },
      "execution": {
        "1x2_dominant": false,
        "1x2_open_contest": true,
        "grade": "A",
        "stake_factor": 1.0
      },
      "favourite_misaligned_1x2": {
        "active": false,
        "gap": null,
        "side": null
      },
      "game_type": {
        "label_zh": "\u672a\u5206\u578b",
        "scoring_type": "neutral",
        "signals": {
          "btts_yes_prob": 0.538,
          "draw_prob": 0.2723,
          "max_1x2_prob": 0.4714,
          "over_prob": 0.482,
          "total_xg": 2.6,
          "under_prob": 0.518,
          "xg_diff": 0.32
        },
        "type": "neutral",
        "typing_weights_enabled": true
      },
      "hero_display_pick": null,
      "longshot_picks": [],
      "markets": {
        "1x2": {
          "decision": "no_bet",
          "edge": -0.0517,
          "ev": -0.1448,
          "implied_prob": 0.5732,
          "max_ev_side": "draw",
          "model_prob": 0.4714,
          "side": "away",
          "side_label": "Palmeiras U20"
        },
        "btts": {
          "decision": "small_edge",
          "edge": 0.0169,
          "ev": 0.0072,
          "implied_prob": 0.4451,
          "model_prob": 0.462,
          "side": "no",
          "value_side": "no"
        },
        "ou_2_5": {
          "decision": "value_bet",
          "edge": 0.0812,
          "ev": 0.1396,
          "implied_prob": 0.4368,
          "model_prob": 0.518,
          "side": "under",
          "value_side": "under"
        }
      },
      "match_id": 1526178,
      "match_regime": {
        "action": "bet",
        "actionable": true,
        "clear_edge": true,
        "code": "clear_edge",
        "execution_line_key": null,
        "insight_line_key": null,
        "max_valid_ev": 0.1396,
        "min_ev": 0.02,
        "stake_mult": 1.0,
        "use_split_strip": false
      },
      "match_tier": "value_game",
      "no_clear_primary": false,
      "probabilities": {
        "away": 0.4714,
        "draw": 0.2723,
        "home": 0.2563
      },
      "reason_codes": [
        "no_ev_1x2"
      ],
      "secondary_pick": null,
      "secondary_picks": [],
      "suppressed_primary": null,
      "teams": {
        "away": "Palmeiras U20",
        "home": "Crici\u00fama U20"
      },
      "top_pick": {
        "composite_score": 0.072313,
        "decision": "value_bet",
        "ev": 0.1396,
        "implied_prob": 0.4368,
        "market": "ou_2_5",
        "model_prob": 0.518,
        "not_dominant": false,
        "primary_strength": "clear",
        "risk_band": "strong",
        "risk_tier": "primary",
        "side": "under",
        "slot": "primary",
        "speculative_primary": false
      },
      "valid_markets_count": 1
    }
  },
  "fixture_id": 1526178,
  "generated_at_utc": "2026-06-16T18:25:36.007322+00:00",
  "lang_id": "en"
}

Nhận dự đoán cao cấp cho Criciúma U20 & Palmeiras U20!

Mở khóa phân tích chuyên sâu, mẹo cá cược độc quyền và dự đoán trận đấu với dịch vụ đăng ký cao cấp của chúng tôi.

Đăng ký ngay
Quay lại Thống kê
Cúp U20 Brazil A Cúp U20 Brazil ABảng xếp hạng
# Đội Tr T H B Đ
1 Palmeiras U20 19 13 5 1 44
2 Vasco da Gama U20 19 11 3 5 36
3 Botafogo U20 19 11 3 5 36
4 RB Bragantino U20 19 10 4 5 34
5 Athletico Paranaense U20 19 9 5 5 32
6 Santos U20 19 9 4 6 31
7 Cruzeiro U20 19 8 5 6 29
8 Corinthians U20 19 8 5 6 29
9 Bahia U20 19 8 5 6 29
10 Flamengo U20 19 7 7 5 28
11 São Paulo U20 19 6 7 6 25
12 América Mineiro U20 19 6 7 6 25
13 Cuiabá U20 19 6 3 10 21
14 Vitória U20 19 5 5 9 20
15 Fluminense U20 19 5 4 10 19
16 Grêmio U20 19 6 1 12 19
17 Juventude U20 19 5 3 11 18
18 Criciúma U20 19 5 2 12 17
19 Avaí U20 19 3 7 9 16
20 Fortaleza U20 19 2 9 8 15
# Đội Tr BT BB +/- Đ
1 Palmeiras U20 19 54 23 +31 44
2 RB Bragantino U20 19 49 35 +14 34
3 Athletico Paranaense U20 19 39 25 +14 32
4 Vasco da Gama U20 19 36 19 +17 36
5 Cruzeiro U20 19 35 27 +8 29
6 Botafogo U20 19 32 20 +12 36
7 Bahia U20 19 32 30 +2 29
8 Corinthians U20 19 31 25 +6 29
9 Grêmio U20 19 31 42 -11 19
10 Santos U20 19 29 24 +5 31
11 Flamengo U20 19 28 29 -1 28
12 São Paulo U20 19 27 26 +1 25
13 Fluminense U20 19 25 31 -6 19
14 América Mineiro U20 19 25 37 -12 25
15 Criciúma U20 19 24 40 -16 17
16 Avaí U20 19 24 43 -19 16
17 Vitória U20 19 20 31 -11 20
18 Juventude U20 19 20 39 -19 18
19 Cuiabá U20 19 19 27 -8 21
20 Fortaleza U20 19 18 25 -7 15