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Tracked markets vs full-time result
Each row compares the model’s highlighted side (or lean) to what happened at full time.
- Market Prediction Result Outcome
- Trên / Dưới 2.5 Dưới 2.5 Trên 2.5 (4 goals) ✖ Incorrect
- Cả Hai Đội Đều Ghi Bàn BTTS Không Có ✖ Incorrect
- 1X2 Brunswick City Brunswick City ✔ Correct
- Thông tin tỷ số chính xác 1-1, 1-0, 0-1, 2-1, 1-2 3-1 ✖ Incorrect
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View technical JSON
{
"bundle_version": 1,
"content_hash": "cf9ff6a495a047655cf464dc57ea7d601d5855f7149fbe0b5b82a1c3e69b20e8",
"decision_algo_version": "2.2.0",
"facts": {
"ai_fp": {
"afp_away_win_prob": 0.3386,
"afp_draw_prob": 0.2792,
"afp_home_win_prob": 0.3822,
"away_predicted_xg": 1.24,
"away_win_prob": 0.3386,
"away_win_prob_posterior": 0.3386,
"bayes_applied": 1,
"btts_no_prob": 0.456,
"btts_yes_prob": 0.545,
"dc_rho": -0.13,
"draw_prob": 0.2792,
"draw_prob_posterior": 0.2792,
"fair_odds_away": 2.95,
"fair_odds_away_posterior": 2.95,
"fair_odds_draw": 3.58,
"fair_odds_draw_posterior": 3.58,
"fair_odds_home": 2.62,
"fair_odds_home_posterior": 2.62,
"home_predicted_xg": 1.36,
"home_win_prob": 0.3822,
"home_win_prob_posterior": 0.3822,
"over_25_prob": 0.482,
"prediction_confidence": "very_low",
"under_25_prob": 0.518
},
"api_prediction": {
"advice": "Combo Double chance : Brunswick City or draw and +1.5 goals",
"main_pick_display": "No Strong Winner Bet",
"percent_away": "30%",
"percent_draw": "35%",
"percent_home": "35%",
"winner_name": "Brunswick City"
},
"away_xg": 1.24,
"betting_insight": {
"bet_label": "Brunswick City",
"confidence": null,
"main_pick_meta": {
"confidence": "low",
"display_text": "No Strong Winner Bet",
"edge": -0.0054,
"edge_gap": 0.0427,
"market": "1X2",
"market_prob": 0.387,
"model_prob": 0.3817,
"pick_type": "no_strong",
"probabilities": {
"away": 33.9,
"draw": 27.9,
"home": 38.2
},
"reason": "No clear edge in 1X2 market",
"selection": null,
"selection_name": null
},
"market_comparison": [
{
"affi_link": "",
"bookmaker_name": "Pinnacle",
"odd": 2.34
}
],
"risk_color": null,
"risk_key": null,
"stacked_market": null,
"value_bet": {
"best_odds": 2.34,
"bookmaker_id": 0,
"bookmaker_name": "Pinnacle",
"display_market": "Brunswick City Win",
"is_value": false,
"label": "Home",
"market_fair_odds": 2.58,
"market_odds": 2.34,
"model_odds": 2.62,
"overround": 10.4,
"prob_edge": -4.6,
"value_pct": -10.7,
"value_rating": "no_value"
}
},
"betting_markets": {
"btts": {
"away_clean_sheet": 3,
"away_failed_to_score": 1,
"away_played": 16,
"away_score_rate": 71.1,
"home_clean_sheet": 1,
"home_failed_to_score": 5,
"home_played": 16,
"home_score_rate": 74.3,
"no_prob": 45.6,
"pick": "No",
"pick_prob": 54.4,
"source": "xG_dc",
"strong_pick": true,
"yes_prob": 54.4
},
"correct_score": {
"away_expected": 1.24,
"home_expected": 1.36,
"scores": [
{
"away": 1,
"home": 1,
"label": "1-1",
"prob": 12.5
},
{
"away": 0,
"home": 1,
"label": "1-0",
"prob": 10.1
},
{
"away": 1,
"home": 0,
"label": "0-1",
"prob": 9.2
},
{
"away": 1,
"home": 2,
"label": "2-1",
"prob": 8.5
},
{
"away": 2,
"home": 1,
"label": "1-2",
"prob": 7.8
}
],
"source": "xG"
},
"double_chance": {
"options": [
{
"key": "1X",
"label": "Brunswick City or Draw",
"prob": 66.1
},
{
"key": "12",
"label": "Brunswick City or Eltham Redbacks FC",
"prob": 72.1
},
{
"key": "X2",
"label": "Draw or Eltham Redbacks FC",
"prob": 61.8
}
],
"pick_key": "12",
"pick_label": "Brunswick City or Eltham Redbacks FC",
"pick_prob": 72.1
},
"match_winner": {
"away_pct": 33.9,
"draw_pct": 27.9,
"home_pct": 38.2,
"lean_key": "home",
"lean_label": "Brunswick City"
},
"over_under": {
"api_hint": "+1.5",
"avg_total": 2.6,
"away_avg_scored": 2.2,
"confidence": "low",
"home_avg_scored": 1.8,
"over_prob": 48.2,
"pick": "Under 2.5",
"pick_prob": 51.8,
"source": "xG_dc",
"strong_pick": true,
"total_expected": 2.6,
"under_prob": 51.8
},
"prob_source": "poisson",
"value_bet_enhanced": {
"bookmaker_id": 0,
"bookmaker_name": "Pinnacle",
"edge": 5.2,
"implied_prob": 26.5,
"is_value": true,
"label": "Draw",
"market": "Draw",
"model_prob": 27.9,
"odds": 3.77
}
},
"closing_line_bundle": {
"away_team": "Eltham Redbacks FC",
"closing_bookmaker": "Pinnacle",
"closing_capture": "PRE1",
"early_bookmaker": "Pinnacle",
"early_capture": "PRE30",
"has_data": true,
"home_team": "Brunswick City",
"largest_move_kind": null,
"max_abs_move_pp": 0.0,
"model_vs_closing": [
{
"closing_implied_pct": 38.7,
"gap_pp": -0.54,
"kind": "1x2_h",
"model_pct": 38.17
},
{
"closing_implied_pct": 24.02,
"gap_pp": 3.91,
"kind": "1x2_d",
"model_pct": 27.93
},
{
"closing_implied_pct": 37.27,
"gap_pp": -3.37,
"kind": "1x2_a",
"model_pct": 33.9
},
{
"closing_implied_pct": 66.75,
"gap_pp": -18.55,
"kind": "ou_o",
"model_pct": 48.2
},
{
"closing_implied_pct": 33.25,
"gap_pp": 18.55,
"kind": "ou_u",
"model_pct": 51.8
}
],
"movement": [
{
"closing": 2.34,
"early": 2.34,
"implied_closing_pct": 38.7,
"implied_delta_pp": 0.0,
"implied_early_pct": 38.7,
"kind": "1x2_h"
},
{
"closing": 3.77,
"early": 3.77,
"implied_closing_pct": 24.02,
"implied_delta_pp": 0.0,
"implied_early_pct": 24.02,
"kind": "1x2_d"
},
{
"closing": 2.43,
"early": 2.43,
"implied_closing_pct": 37.27,
"implied_delta_pp": 0.0,
"implied_early_pct": 37.27,
"kind": "1x2_a"
},
{
"closing": 1.38,
"early": 1.38,
"implied_closing_pct": 66.75,
"implied_delta_pp": 0.0,
"implied_early_pct": 66.75,
"kind": "ou_o"
},
{
"closing": 2.77,
"early": 2.77,
"implied_closing_pct": 33.25,
"implied_delta_pp": 0.0,
"implied_early_pct": 33.25,
"kind": "ou_u"
}
],
"movement_negligible": true,
"same_bookmaker": true,
"top_value_gap": {
"gap_pp": 18.6,
"kind": "ou_u"
}
},
"correct_score_insight": {
"best_value": null,
"most_likely": {
"label": "1-1",
"prob": 12.5
}
},
"home_xg": 1.36,
"homepage_pick": null,
"market_cards": [
{
"decision": "value_bet",
"ev_available": true,
"ev_over": -0.3252,
"ev_over_display": {
"capped": false,
"raw_pct": -32.5,
"text": "-32.5%"
},
"ev_under": 0.4608,
"ev_under_display": {
"capped": true,
"raw_pct": 46.1,
"text": "+25%+"
},
"featured": true,
"id": "ou_2_5",
"max_ev": 0.4608,
"over_prob": 48.2,
"sort_key": 10564.72,
"tier": "best",
"under_prob": 51.8,
"value_side": "under"
},
{
"decision": "value_bet",
"ev_available": true,
"ev_no": 0.3224,
"ev_no_display": {
"capped": true,
"raw_pct": 32.2,
"text": "+25%+"
},
"ev_yes": -0.2493,
"ev_yes_display": {
"capped": false,
"raw_pct": -24.9,
"text": "-24.9%"
},
"featured": false,
"id": "btts",
"max_ev": 0.3224,
"no_prob": 45.6,
"sort_key": 10290.16,
"tier": "best",
"value_side": "no",
"yes_prob": 54.4
},
{
"decision": "no_bet",
"ev": -0.0999,
"ev_available": true,
"ev_display": {
"capped": false,
"raw_pct": -10.0,
"text": "-10.0%"
},
"featured": false,
"id": "1x2",
"implied_prob": 0.387,
"max_ev": -0.0527,
"max_ev_display": {
"capped": false,
"raw_pct": -5.3,
"text": "-5.3%"
},
"model_prob": 0.3817,
"side_label": "Brunswick City",
"sort_key": 1786.825,
"tier": "bad_ev"
},
{
"featured": false,
"id": "correct_score",
"sort_key": 817.5,
"tier": "risk",
"top_label": "1-1",
"top_prob": 12.5
}
],
"market_intelligence": {
"betting_signal": {
"alert_breadth": "10/12",
"alert_breadth_note": "10/12 sportsbooks confirmed",
"alert_move": "\u2191 +14.3%",
"alert_team": "Eltham Redbacks FC",
"alert_title": "Sharp Money Alert",
"divergence_pp": 3.9,
"has_alert": true,
"hero_edge_pp": 3.9,
"hero_label": "Draw",
"market_prob_pct": 38.7,
"market_team": "Brunswick City",
"model_prob_pct": 38.2,
"model_team": "Brunswick City",
"show": true,
"status_icon": "\u2713",
"status_key": "aligned",
"status_label": "Reliable forecast",
"status_line": "Model and market broadly aligned",
"steam_score": 72,
"steam_subtitle": "Strong sharp signal",
"steam_tier": "A",
"title": "Betting Signal"
},
"edge_rows": [
{
"edge_pp": -0.48,
"fair_prob": 38.22,
"label": "Brunswick City",
"market_prob": 38.7,
"market_type": "1x2",
"outcome": "home"
},
{
"edge_pp": 3.9,
"fair_prob": 27.92,
"label": "Draw",
"market_prob": 24.02,
"market_type": "1x2",
"outcome": "draw"
},
{
"edge_pp": -3.41,
"fair_prob": 33.86,
"label": "Eltham Redbacks FC",
"market_prob": 37.27,
"market_type": "1x2",
"outcome": "away"
},
{
"edge_pp": -17.79,
"fair_prob": 48.2,
"label": "Over 2.5",
"market_prob": 65.99,
"market_type": "ou25",
"outcome": "over"
},
{
"edge_pp": 17.79,
"fair_prob": 51.8,
"label": "Under 2.5",
"market_prob": 34.01,
"market_type": "ou25",
"outcome": "under"
},
{
"edge_pp": -12.89,
"fair_prob": 54.4,
"label": "BTTS Yes",
"market_prob": 67.29,
"market_type": "btts",
"outcome": "yes"
},
{
"edge_pp": 12.89,
"fair_prob": 45.6,
"label": "BTTS No",
"market_prob": 32.71,
"market_type": "btts",
"outcome": "no"
}
],
"edge_snapshot": {
"edge_label": "aligned",
"edge_pp": 3.9,
"fair_prob_pct": 27.92,
"hero_side": "draw",
"hero_team_name": "Draw",
"market_prob_pct": 24.02,
"status": "market_efficient",
"steam_team_name": "Eltham Redbacks FC"
},
"fair_source": "poisson_pipeline",
"fair_vs_market": {
"comparison_available": true,
"comparison_disabled": false,
"degraded_note": "",
"divergence_guard": {
"divergence_level": "aligned",
"edge_status": "market_efficient",
"max_gap_pp": 3.9,
"suppress_hero": false,
"suppress_value_language": false
},
"divergence_label": "",
"divergence_level": "aligned",
"divergence_level_label": "Aligned",
"divergence_note": "",
"divergence_tier": "aligned",
"edge_label": "Aligned",
"edge_label_key": "aligned",
"fair_confidence": "medium",
"fair_confidence_label": "Medium",
"fair_source_note": "Fair probability from Poisson/xG statistical model. Not bookmaker odds. Not betting advice.",
"forecast_assessment": {
"favourite_class": "Balanced match",
"favourite_label": "Brunswick City",
"forecast_certainty_tier": "low",
"headline": "Balanced match",
"market_agreement_label": "Strong",
"market_prob_pct": 38.7,
"model_prob_pct": 38.2,
"outcome_separation_tier": "low",
"paragraphs": [],
"reliability_headline": "Reliable forecast",
"reliability_icon": "\u2713",
"reliability_tier": "reliable",
"summary": "The model and market both lean Brunswick City, but neither indicates a dominant favourite. Draw and Eltham Redbacks FC remain plausible \u2014 this is a relatively open match.",
"tier": "balanced",
"title": "Forecast Assessment",
"validation_label": "Pass"
},
"forecast_certainty": {
"note": "Three outcomes remain closely bunched \u2014 treat as a relatively open match.",
"tier": "low",
"tier_label": "Low"
},
"forecast_certainty_label": "Low",
"has_market_probs": true,
"hero_edge_pp": 3.9,
"hero_label": "Draw",
"hero_side": "draw",
"market_activity": "Eltham Redbacks FC odds lengthened \u2191 +14.3%.",
"market_agreement": "strong",
"market_agreement_label": "Strong",
"market_interpretation": {
"bullets": [
"Current pricing remains close to the model baseline."
],
"follow_up": "However, Eltham Redbacks FC has seen drift \u2014 odds lengthened by 14.3%, suggesting weakening support.",
"gap_tier": "aligned",
"lead": "The market and model are broadly aligned. Any small pricing gap likely reflects rounding or bookmaker margin, not a structural disagreement.",
"note": "Drift away from Eltham Redbacks FC \u2014 odds lengthened by 14.3% (weakening support).",
"paragraphs": [
"The market and model are broadly aligned. Any small pricing gap likely reflects rounding or bookmaker margin, not a structural disagreement.",
"However, Eltham Redbacks FC has seen drift \u2014 odds lengthened by 14.3%, suggesting weakening support.",
"Drift away from Eltham Redbacks FC \u2014 odds lengthened by 14.3% (weakening support)."
],
"quiet_market": false,
"title": "Market Assessment"
},
"market_narrative": {
"paragraphs": [
"Market pricing and the fair estimate remain broadly aligned.",
"At the same time, Eltham Redbacks FC has drifted \u2014 odds lengthened by 14.3%, suggesting weakening support.",
"Broad sportsbook alignment (10/12) supports the current market view on Eltham Redbacks FC."
],
"title": "Current Market Narrative"
},
"max_gap_pp": 3.9,
"model_validation": {
"score_label_key": "mi_mv_pass",
"status": "pass"
},
"model_validation_label": "Pass",
"outcome_separation": {
"breakdown": [
"No outcome exceeds 50% on the 1X2 grid.",
"Favourite exceeds second outcome by 4.4 pp (at 38.2%)."
],
"lead_gap_pp": 4.4,
"max_prob_pct": 38.2,
"note": "How spread out the model 1X2 probabilities are \u2014 crowded splits mean no single outcome dominates. Not accuracy vs the market.",
"tier": "low",
"tier_label": "Low"
},
"outcome_separation_label": "Low",
"rows": [
{
"edge_pp": -0.48,
"fair_prob_pct": 38.22,
"is_hero": false,
"label": "Brunswick City",
"market_prob_pct": 38.7,
"side": "home"
},
{
"edge_pp": 3.9,
"fair_prob_pct": 27.92,
"is_hero": true,
"label": "Draw",
"market_prob_pct": 24.02,
"side": "draw"
},
{
"edge_pp": -3.41,
"fair_prob_pct": 33.86,
"is_hero": false,
"label": "Eltham Redbacks FC",
"market_prob_pct": 37.27,
"side": "away"
}
],
"status": "market_efficient",
"status_label": "Market Efficient",
"steam_note": "Drift away from Eltham Redbacks FC \u2014 odds lengthened by 14.3% (weakening support).",
"unavailable_note": ""
},
"interpretation": {
"has_conflict": true,
"paragraphs": [
"The betting market strongly prefers Brunswick City (38.7%).",
"However, Eltham Redbacks FC has attracted one of the strongest multi-book steam moves of the day (\u2191 +14.3%, 10/12).",
"This creates a conflict: Model \u2192 Brunswick City, Market \u2192 Brunswick City, Recent sharp money \u2192 Eltham Redbacks FC.",
"Because signals disagree, confidence remains limited."
],
"show": true,
"title": "OddsGPT Interpretation"
},
"lifecycle": {
"closing_implied_pct": 26.53,
"closing_odds": 3.77,
"clv_pending": true,
"clv_pp": 0.0,
"clv_status": "pending",
"context": "match",
"current_stage": "waiting_for_kickoff",
"current_stage_detail": "",
"current_stage_label": "Waiting for kickoff",
"entry_implied_pct": 26.53,
"entry_odds": 3.77,
"model_validation_label": "Pass",
"model_validation_status": "pass",
"stages": [
{
"detail": "",
"id": "forecast_generated",
"label": "Forecast Generated",
"status": "done"
},
{
"detail": "",
"id": "market_detected",
"label": "Market Compared",
"status": "active"
},
{
"detail": "",
"id": "model_validated",
"label": "Validation Passed",
"status": "done"
},
{
"detail": "PRE1",
"id": "closing_recorded",
"label": "Closing Recorded",
"status": "done"
},
{
"detail": "",
"id": "clv_evaluated",
"label": "CLV Evaluated",
"status": "pending"
}
]
},
"market_move_intelligence": {
"books_reacting": 10,
"books_total": 12,
"breadth_display": "10/12",
"clv_label": "+0.00 pp",
"clv_status": "evaluated",
"current_odds": 2.4,
"move_context": "Largest move today",
"move_display": "\u2191 +14.3%",
"move_pct_abs": 14.3,
"move_speed_icon": "\ud83d\udc22",
"move_speed_label": "Slow drift over 12h",
"narrative_paragraphs": [
"Multi-book steam on Eltham Redbacks FC (14.3%, 10/12) \u2014 aligned shortening, not a single-book blip.",
"Sharper sportsbooks initiated a solid move with growing cross-book confirmation."
],
"narrative_title": "Market Narrative",
"odds_path": {
"display": "2.47 \u2192 2.00 \u2192 2.40",
"move_speed_icon": "\ud83d\udc22",
"move_speed_label": "Slow drift over 12h",
"pick_team": "Eltham Redbacks FC",
"points": [
{
"label_key": "open",
"value": "2.47"
},
{
"label_key": "extreme",
"value": "2.00"
},
{
"label_key": "current",
"value": "2.40"
}
],
"sparkline_polyline": "0.0,18.0 28.0,0.0 56.0,1.6",
"sparkline_trend": "up",
"sparkline_trend_label": "One-way rise"
},
"open_odds": 2.1,
"page_alert_line": "Sharp money alert: Eltham Redbacks FC \u2191 +14.3% market move detected",
"phase_label": "Sharp repricing",
"phase_tip": "Aggressive adjustment \u2014 often sharp-led or high consensus.",
"pick_team": "Eltham Redbacks FC",
"ref_book": "Bet365",
"seo_title_alert": "Sharp money alert: Eltham Redbacks FC \u2191 +14.3% market move detected",
"sharp_leader": "Pinnacle",
"show": true,
"signal_badge_class": "confirm",
"signal_icon": "\ud83d\udcc8",
"signal_key": "market_steam",
"signal_label": "Steam",
"steam_score": 72,
"steam_subtitle": "Strong sharp signal",
"steam_tier": "A",
"title": "Market Move Intelligence"
},
"market_overview": {
"breadth_display": "10/12",
"current_odds": 2.4,
"move_display": "\u2191 +14.3%",
"open_odds": 2.1,
"pick_team": "Eltham Redbacks FC",
"steam_score": 72,
"steam_team_name": "Eltham Redbacks FC",
"steam_tier": "A"
},
"premium_teaser": {
"current_divergence_pp": 3.9,
"divergence_label": "Current divergence",
"title": "Premium Market Intelligence",
"unlock_items": [
"Historical similar matches",
"Closing odds analysis",
"CLV tracking",
"Sharp money signals",
"Market efficiency rating",
"Historical model vs market results"
],
"unlock_label": "Unlock"
},
"show": true
},
"match": {
"away_expected_goals": null,
"away_team_id": 27511,
"away_team_logo": null,
"away_team_name": "Eltham Redbacks FC",
"country_code": "AU",
"country_flag": "/static/images/country/au.svg",
"country_name": "Australia",
"fixture_id": 1522204,
"goals_away": null,
"goals_home": null,
"home_expected_goals": null,
"home_team_country": "Australia",
"home_team_id": 16780,
"home_team_logo": "/static/teams/16780.webp",
"home_team_name": "Brunswick City",
"league_country": "Australia",
"league_id": 836,
"league_logo": "/static/leagues/836.webp",
"league_name": "Victoria NPL 2",
"league_season": 2026,
"match_date": "2026-06-12 09:30:00",
"score_fulltime_away": null,
"score_fulltime_home": null,
"status_long": "Not Started",
"status_short": "NS",
"venue_city": null,
"venue_name": null
},
"match_decision": {
"confidence": {
"breakdown": [
"pred_conf_md_max_1x2_under_50",
"pred_conf_md_top_two_close",
"pred_conf_md_line_above_ev"
],
"breakdown_resolved": [
"Max 1X2 prob under 50% (open contest) (\u22121.0)",
"Top two outcomes relatively close in probability (\u22120.5)",
"At least one tracked line above +EV threshold (+0.5)"
],
"score": 6.0
},
"markets": {
"1x2": {
"1x2_ev_mode": "market_first_p15",
"away": {
"alpha": 0.4272,
"best_odd": 2.43,
"calibration": {
"active": false,
"hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
},
"edge": -0.0144,
"ev": -0.1293,
"implied_prob": 0.3727,
"model_prob": 0.339,
"p_final": 0.3583
},
"draw": {
"alpha": 0.2824,
"best_odd": 3.77,
"calibration": {
"active": false,
"hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
},
"edge": 0.011,
"ev": -0.0527,
"implied_prob": 0.2402,
"model_prob": 0.2793,
"p_final": 0.2513
},
"ev_available": true,
"home": {
"alpha": 0.4464,
"best_odd": 2.34,
"calibration": {
"active": false,
"hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
},
"edge": -0.0024,
"ev": -0.0999,
"implied_prob": 0.387,
"model_prob": 0.3817,
"p_final": 0.3847
}
},
"btts": {
"best_no_odd": 2.9,
"best_yes_odd": 1.38,
"edge_no": 0.1289,
"edge_yes": -0.1289,
"ev_available": true,
"ev_no": 0.3224,
"ev_yes": -0.2493,
"implied_no": 0.3271,
"implied_yes": 0.6729,
"n_bookmakers": 6,
"reliability": "medium"
},
"ou25": {
"best_over_odd": 1.4,
"best_under_odd": 2.82,
"edge_over": -0.1779,
"edge_under": 0.1779,
"ev_available": true,
"ev_over": -0.3252,
"ev_under": 0.4608,
"implied_over": 0.6599,
"implied_under": 0.3401,
"n_bookmakers": 8,
"reliability": "medium"
}
},
"match_tier": "value_game",
"min_ev": 0.02,
"total_xg": 2.6,
"variance_flag": false
},
"unified_decision": {
"actionable_ev_threshold": 0.02,
"algorithm": {
"enabled_since": "2026-05-26",
"game_typing_module": true,
"version": "2.2.0"
},
"balanced_alternative": null,
"best_tracked_ev": 0.4608,
"confidence": 6.5,
"decision_confidence_v1": {
"breakdown": [
"pred_conf_v1_primary_line",
"pred_conf_v1_primary_ev_above_10",
"pred_conf_v1_max_1x2_under_50",
"pred_conf_v1_multi_ev_lines"
],
"breakdown_resolved": [
"Primary line identified (+1.0)",
"Primary EV above 10% (+1.0)",
"Max 1X2 prob under 50% (no dominant 1X2) (\u22121.0)",
"Two or more valid +EV lines at threshold (+0.5)"
],
"score": 6.5
},
"execution": {
"1x2_dominant": false,
"1x2_open_contest": true,
"grade": "A",
"stake_factor": 1.0
},
"favourite_misaligned_1x2": {
"active": false,
"gap": null,
"side": null
},
"game_type": {
"label_zh": "\u672a\u5206\u578b",
"scoring_type": "neutral",
"signals": {
"btts_yes_prob": 0.544,
"draw_prob": 0.2793,
"max_1x2_prob": 0.3817,
"over_prob": 0.482,
"total_xg": 2.6,
"under_prob": 0.518,
"xg_diff": 0.12
},
"type": "neutral",
"typing_weights_enabled": true
},
"hero_display_pick": null,
"longshot_picks": [],
"markets": {
"1x2": {
"decision": "no_bet",
"edge": -0.0024,
"ev": -0.0999,
"implied_prob": 0.387,
"max_ev_side": "draw",
"model_prob": 0.3817,
"side": "home",
"side_label": "Brunswick City"
},
"btts": {
"decision": "value_bet",
"edge": 0.1289,
"ev": 0.3224,
"implied_prob": 0.3271,
"model_prob": 0.456,
"side": "no",
"value_side": "no"
},
"ou_2_5": {
"decision": "value_bet",
"edge": 0.1779,
"ev": 0.4608,
"implied_prob": 0.3401,
"model_prob": 0.518,
"side": "under",
"value_side": "under"
}
},
"match_id": 1522204,
"match_regime": {
"action": "bet",
"actionable": true,
"clear_edge": true,
"code": "clear_edge",
"execution_line_key": null,
"insight_line_key": null,
"max_valid_ev": 0.4608,
"min_ev": 0.02,
"stake_mult": 1.0,
"use_split_strip": false
},
"match_tier": "value_game",
"no_clear_primary": false,
"probabilities": {
"away": 0.339,
"draw": 0.2793,
"home": 0.3817
},
"reason_codes": [
"no_ev_1x2"
],
"secondary_pick": {
"decision": "value_bet",
"ev": 0.3224,
"implied_prob": 0.3271,
"market": "btts",
"model_prob": 0.456,
"not_dominant": true,
"risk_band": "medium",
"risk_tier": "secondary",
"side": "no",
"slot": "secondary"
},
"secondary_picks": [
{
"decision": "value_bet",
"ev": 0.3224,
"implied_prob": 0.3271,
"market": "btts",
"model_prob": 0.456,
"not_dominant": true,
"risk_band": "medium",
"risk_tier": "secondary",
"side": "no",
"slot": "secondary"
}
],
"suppressed_primary": null,
"teams": {
"away": "Eltham Redbacks FC",
"home": "Brunswick City"
},
"top_pick": {
"composite_score": 0.238694,
"decision": "value_bet",
"ev": 0.4608,
"implied_prob": 0.3401,
"market": "ou_2_5",
"model_prob": 0.518,
"not_dominant": false,
"primary_strength": "clear",
"risk_band": "strong",
"risk_tier": "primary",
"side": "under",
"slot": "primary",
"speculative_primary": false
},
"valid_markets_count": 2
}
},
"fixture_id": 1522204,
"generated_at_utc": "2026-06-12T12:25:24.765339+00:00",
"lang_id": "en"
}
Cách sử dụng cái này
- Hãy tập trung vào dòng Chính khi bạn muốn có một ý tưởng có thể thực hiện được.
- Đừng ghép nhiều quân mỏng với nhau;các cạnh không thêm đáng tin cậy.
- Chỉ coi những cú đánh dài là những lượt chơi tùy chọn, có mức đặt cược cao.
Khám phá thêm nội dung dự đoán
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