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- Chợ Dự đoán Kết quả kết quả
- Tài / Xỉu 2.5 Xỉu 2.5 Tài 2.5 (4 mục tiêu) ✖ Không đúng
- Cả Hai Đội Đều Ghi Bàn BTTS Có Có ✔ Chính xác
- 1X2 Vitória Guimarães B Amarante ✖ Không đúng
- Thông tin tỷ số chính xác 0-1, 1-1, 0-0, 1-0, 0-2 1-3 ✖ Không đúng
Validation Report
Immutable Snapshot
Closing Odds
2.94
AI Fair Odds
—
CLV
+0.0%
Final Result
Amarante win · Vitória Guimarães B 1–3 Amarante
Prediction
✖ Missed
Decision Grade
F
Model Performance
This prediction contributes to:
- Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%
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View technical JSON
{
"bundle_version": 1,
"content_hash": "c157db1d6f6749430e0171f5292ccb9d6bd43bda85253ec721ed3a182c6a16b0",
"decision_algo_version": "2.1.0",
"facts": {
"ai_fp": {
"away_predicted_xg": 1.25,
"away_win_prob": null,
"dc_rho": -0.13,
"draw_prob": null,
"fair_odds_away": null,
"fair_odds_draw": null,
"fair_odds_home": null,
"home_predicted_xg": 1.45,
"home_win_prob": null,
"prediction_confidence": "none"
},
"api_prediction": {
"advice": "Double chance : draw or Amarante",
"main_pick_display": "No Strong Winner Bet",
"percent_away": "50%",
"percent_draw": "50%",
"percent_home": "0%",
"winner_name": "Amarante"
},
"away_xg": 1.25,
"betting_insight": {
"bet_label": "Vit\u00f3ria Guimar\u00e3es B",
"confidence": null,
"main_pick_meta": {
"confidence": "low",
"display_text": "No Strong Winner Bet",
"edge": 0.1062,
"edge_gap": 0.092,
"market": "1X2",
"market_prob": 0.3115,
"model_prob": 0.4177,
"pick_type": "no_strong",
"probabilities": {
"away": 32.6,
"draw": 25.7,
"home": 41.8
},
"reason": "No clear edge in 1X2 market",
"selection": null,
"selection_name": null
},
"market_comparison": [],
"risk_color": null,
"risk_key": null,
"stacked_market": null,
"value_bet": null
},
"betting_markets": {
"btts": {
"away_clean_sheet": 13,
"away_failed_to_score": 8,
"away_played": 31,
"away_score_rate": 74.2,
"home_clean_sheet": 13,
"home_failed_to_score": 7,
"home_played": 31,
"home_score_rate": 77.4,
"no_prob": 42.6,
"pick": "Yes",
"pick_prob": 57.4,
"source": "stats",
"strong_pick": true,
"yes_prob": 57.4
},
"correct_score": {
"away_expected": 1.1,
"home_expected": 1.0,
"scores": [
{
"away": 1,
"home": 0,
"label": "0-1",
"prob": 13.5
},
{
"away": 1,
"home": 1,
"label": "1-1",
"prob": 13.5
},
{
"away": 0,
"home": 0,
"label": "0-0",
"prob": 12.2
},
{
"away": 0,
"home": 1,
"label": "1-0",
"prob": 12.2
},
{
"away": 2,
"home": 0,
"label": "0-2",
"prob": 7.4
}
],
"source": "avg"
},
"double_chance": {
"options": [
{
"key": "1X",
"label": "Vit\u00f3ria Guimar\u00e3es B or Draw",
"prob": 50.0
},
{
"key": "12",
"label": "Vit\u00f3ria Guimar\u00e3es B or Amarante",
"prob": 50.0
},
{
"key": "X2",
"label": "Draw or Amarante",
"prob": 100.0
}
],
"pick_key": "X2",
"pick_label": "Draw or Amarante",
"pick_prob": 100.0
},
"match_winner": {
"away_pct": 50.0,
"draw_pct": 50.0,
"home_pct": 0.0,
"lean_key": "draw",
"lean_label": "Draw"
},
"over_under": {
"api_hint": null,
"avg_total": 2.1,
"away_avg_scored": 1.2,
"confidence": "high",
"home_avg_scored": 1.1,
"over_prob": 35.0,
"pick": "Under 2.5",
"pick_prob": 65.0,
"source": "avg",
"strong_pick": true,
"total_expected": 2.1,
"under_prob": 65.0
},
"prob_source": null,
"value_bet_enhanced": null
},
"closing_line_bundle": {
"away_team": "Amarante",
"closing_bookmaker": "Pinnacle",
"closing_capture": "PRE1",
"early_bookmaker": "Pinnacle",
"early_capture": "PRE30",
"has_data": true,
"home_team": "Vit\u00f3ria Guimar\u00e3es B",
"largest_move_kind": null,
"max_abs_move_pp": 0.0,
"model_vs_closing": [
{
"closing_implied_pct": 31.15,
"gap_pp": 10.62,
"kind": "1x2_h",
"model_pct": 41.77
},
{
"closing_implied_pct": 34.69,
"gap_pp": -9.02,
"kind": "1x2_d",
"model_pct": 25.67
},
{
"closing_implied_pct": 34.17,
"gap_pp": -1.6,
"kind": "1x2_a",
"model_pct": 32.57
},
{
"closing_implied_pct": 39.03,
"gap_pp": -4.03,
"kind": "ou_o",
"model_pct": 35.0
},
{
"closing_implied_pct": 60.97,
"gap_pp": 4.03,
"kind": "ou_u",
"model_pct": 65.0
}
],
"movement": [
{
"closing": 2.94,
"early": 2.94,
"implied_closing_pct": 31.15,
"implied_delta_pp": 0.0,
"implied_early_pct": 31.15,
"kind": "1x2_h"
},
{
"closing": 2.64,
"early": 2.64,
"implied_closing_pct": 34.69,
"implied_delta_pp": 0.0,
"implied_early_pct": 34.69,
"kind": "1x2_d"
},
{
"closing": 2.68,
"early": 2.68,
"implied_closing_pct": 34.17,
"implied_delta_pp": 0.0,
"implied_early_pct": 34.17,
"kind": "1x2_a"
},
{
"closing": 2.39,
"early": 2.39,
"implied_closing_pct": 39.03,
"implied_delta_pp": 0.0,
"implied_early_pct": 39.03,
"kind": "ou_o"
},
{
"closing": 1.53,
"early": 1.53,
"implied_closing_pct": 60.97,
"implied_delta_pp": 0.0,
"implied_early_pct": 60.97,
"kind": "ou_u"
}
],
"movement_negligible": true,
"same_bookmaker": true,
"top_value_gap": {
"gap_pp": 10.6,
"kind": "1x2_h"
}
},
"correct_score_insight": {
"best_value": null,
"most_likely": {
"label": "0-1",
"prob": 13.5
}
},
"home_xg": 1.45,
"homepage_pick": null,
"market_cards": [
{
"decision": "value_bet",
"ev_available": true,
"ev_no": -0.2119,
"ev_yes": 0.1078,
"featured": true,
"id": "btts",
"max_ev": 0.1078,
"no_prob": 42.6,
"sort_key": 10247.02,
"tier": "best",
"value_side": "yes",
"yes_prob": 57.4
},
{
"decision": "value_bet",
"ev_available": true,
"ev_over": -0.1635,
"ev_under": 0.04,
"featured": false,
"id": "ou_2_5",
"max_ev": 0.04,
"over_prob": 35.0,
"sort_key": 10036.0,
"tier": "best",
"under_prob": 65.0,
"value_side": "under"
},
{
"decision": "value_bet",
"ev": 0.0338,
"ev_available": true,
"featured": false,
"id": "1x2",
"implied_prob": 0.3115,
"max_ev": 0.0338,
"model_prob": 0.4177,
"side_label": "Vit\u00f3ria Guimar\u00e3es B",
"sort_key": 10030.42,
"tier": "best"
},
{
"featured": false,
"id": "correct_score",
"sort_key": 820.5,
"tier": "risk",
"top_label": "0-1",
"top_prob": 13.5
}
],
"match": {
"away_expected_goals": null,
"away_team_id": 4725,
"away_team_logo": "/static/teams/4725.webp",
"away_team_name": "Amarante",
"country_flag": "/static/images/country/pt.svg",
"country_name": "Portugal",
"fixture_id": 1515060,
"goals_away": null,
"goals_home": null,
"home_expected_goals": null,
"home_team_id": 232,
"home_team_logo": "/static/teams/232.webp",
"home_team_name": "Vit\u00f3ria Guimar\u00e3es B",
"league_country": "Portugal",
"league_id": 865,
"league_logo": "/static/leagues/865.webp",
"league_name": "Liga 3",
"league_season": 2025,
"match_date": "2026-05-17 14:00:00",
"score_fulltime_away": null,
"score_fulltime_home": null,
"status_long": "Not Started",
"status_short": "NS"
},
"match_decision": {
"confidence": {
"breakdown": [
"pred_conf_md_max_1x2_under_50",
"pred_conf_md_line_above_ev"
],
"breakdown_resolved": [
"Max 1X2 prob under 50% (open contest) (\u22121.0)",
"At least one tracked line above +EV threshold (+0.5)"
],
"score": 6.5
},
"markets": {
"1x2": {
"1x2_ev_mode": "market_first_p15",
"away": {
"alpha": 0.4392,
"best_odd": 2.68,
"calibration": {
"active": false,
"hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
},
"edge": -0.007,
"ev": -0.1032,
"implied_prob": 0.3417,
"model_prob": 0.3257,
"p_final": 0.3346
},
"draw": {
"alpha": 0.3891,
"best_odd": 2.64,
"calibration": {
"active": false,
"hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
},
"edge": -0.0351,
"ev": -0.1769,
"implied_prob": 0.3469,
"model_prob": 0.2567,
"p_final": 0.3118
},
"ev_available": true,
"home": {
"alpha": 0.3783,
"best_odd": 2.94,
"calibration": {
"active": false,
"hook": "CALIBRATE_1X2_P_FINAL"
},
"edge": 0.0402,
"ev": 0.0338,
"implied_prob": 0.3115,
"model_prob": 0.4177,
"p_final": 0.3516
}
},
"btts": {
"best_no_odd": 1.85,
"best_yes_odd": 1.93,
"edge_no": -0.0865,
"edge_yes": 0.0865,
"ev_available": true,
"ev_no": -0.2119,
"ev_yes": 0.1078,
"implied_no": 0.5125,
"implied_yes": 0.4875,
"n_bookmakers": 6,
"reliability": "medium"
},
"ou25": {
"best_over_odd": 2.39,
"best_under_odd": 1.6,
"edge_over": -0.0568,
"edge_under": 0.0568,
"ev_available": true,
"ev_over": -0.1635,
"ev_under": 0.04,
"implied_over": 0.4068,
"implied_under": 0.5932,
"n_bookmakers": 7,
"reliability": "medium"
}
},
"match_tier": "value_game",
"min_ev": 0.02,
"total_xg": 2.7,
"variance_flag": false
},
"unified_decision": {
"actionable_ev_threshold": 0.02,
"algorithm": {
"enabled_since": "2026-04-26",
"game_typing_module": true,
"version": "2.1.0"
},
"balanced_alternative": null,
"best_tracked_ev": 0.1078,
"confidence": 6.5,
"decision_confidence_v1": {
"breakdown": [
"pred_conf_v1_primary_line",
"pred_conf_v1_primary_ev_above_10",
"pred_conf_v1_max_1x2_under_50",
"pred_conf_v1_multi_ev_lines"
],
"breakdown_resolved": [
"Primary line identified (+1.0)",
"Primary EV above 10% (+1.0)",
"Max 1X2 prob under 50% (no dominant 1X2) (\u22121.0)",
"Two or more valid +EV lines at threshold (+0.5)"
],
"score": 6.5
},
"execution": {
"1x2_dominant": false,
"1x2_open_contest": true,
"grade": "A",
"stake_factor": 1.0
},
"favourite_misaligned_1x2": {
"active": false,
"gap": null,
"side": null
},
"game_type": {
"label_zh": "\u672a\u5206\u578b",
"scoring_type": "neutral",
"signals": {
"btts_yes_prob": 0.574,
"draw_prob": 0.2567,
"max_1x2_prob": 0.4177,
"over_prob": 0.35,
"total_xg": 2.7,
"under_prob": 0.65,
"xg_diff": 0.2
},
"type": "neutral",
"typing_weights_enabled": true
},
"hero_display_pick": null,
"longshot_picks": [],
"markets": {
"1x2": {
"decision": "value_bet",
"edge": 0.0402,
"ev": 0.0338,
"implied_prob": 0.3115,
"max_ev_side": "home",
"model_prob": 0.4177,
"side": "home",
"side_label": "Vit\u00f3ria Guimar\u00e3es B"
},
"btts": {
"decision": "value_bet",
"edge": 0.0865,
"ev": 0.1078,
"implied_prob": 0.4875,
"model_prob": 0.574,
"side": "yes",
"value_side": "yes"
},
"ou_2_5": {
"decision": "value_bet",
"edge": 0.0568,
"ev": 0.04,
"implied_prob": 0.5932,
"model_prob": 0.65,
"side": "under",
"value_side": "under"
}
},
"match_id": 1515060,
"match_regime": {
"action": "bet",
"actionable": true,
"clear_edge": true,
"code": "clear_edge",
"execution_line_key": null,
"insight_line_key": null,
"max_valid_ev": 0.1078,
"min_ev": 0.02,
"stake_mult": 1.0,
"use_split_strip": false
},
"match_tier": "value_game",
"no_clear_primary": false,
"probabilities": {
"away": 0.3257,
"draw": 0.2567,
"home": 0.4177
},
"reason_codes": [
"high_total_goals"
],
"secondary_pick": null,
"secondary_picks": [],
"suppressed_primary": null,
"teams": {
"away": "Amarante",
"home": "Vit\u00f3ria Guimar\u00e3es B"
},
"top_pick": {
"composite_score": 0.061877,
"decision": "value_bet",
"ev": 0.1078,
"implied_prob": 0.4875,
"market": "btts",
"model_prob": 0.574,
"not_dominant": false,
"primary_strength": "clear",
"risk_band": "strong",
"risk_tier": "primary",
"side": "yes",
"slot": "primary",
"speculative_primary": false
},
"valid_markets_count": 3
}
},
"fixture_id": 1515060,
"generated_at_utc": "2026-05-17T13:59:35.731212+00:00",
"lang_id": "en"
}
Khám phá thêm nội dung dự đoán
Nhận dự đoán cao cấp cho Vitória Guimarães B & Amarante!
Mở khóa phân tích chuyên sâu, mẹo cá cược độc quyền và dự đoán trận đấu với dịch vụ đăng ký cao cấp của chúng tôi.
Đăng ký ngay
Liga 3 — Bảng xếp hạng
| # | Đội | Tr | T | H | B | Đ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vitória Guimarães B | 18 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 29 |
| 2 | Amarante | 18 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 29 |
| 3 | Trofense | 18 | 7 | 7 | 4 | 28 |
| 4 | Varzim | 18 | 7 | 7 | 4 | 28 |
| 5 | Paredes | 18 | 6 | 9 | 3 | 27 |
| 6 | SC Braga B | 18 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 25 |
| 7 | Fafe | 18 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 24 |
| 8 | AD Marco 09 | 18 | 4 | 7 | 7 | 19 |
| 9 | São João Ver | 18 | 2 | 8 | 8 | 14 |
| 10 | Sanjoanense | 18 | 2 | 7 | 9 | 13 |
| # | Đội | Tr | BT | BB | +/- | Đ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Varzim | 18 | 26 | 17 | +9 | 28 |
| 2 | Trofense | 18 | 23 | 15 | +8 | 28 |
| 3 | Fafe | 18 | 23 | 21 | +2 | 24 |
| 4 | Paredes | 18 | 22 | 12 | +10 | 27 |
| 5 | Vitória Guimarães B | 18 | 20 | 16 | +4 | 29 |
| 6 | Sanjoanense | 18 | 20 | 32 | -12 | 13 |
| 7 | Amarante | 18 | 19 | 17 | +2 | 29 |
| 8 | SC Braga B | 18 | 16 | 17 | -1 | 25 |
| 9 | AD Marco 09 | 18 | 15 | 22 | -7 | 19 |
| 10 | São João Ver | 18 | 11 | 26 | -15 | 14 |
